2Tier Ichimoku Pyramiding [Takazudo]Ichimoku based pyramiding strategy example that was tested on 4h TF.
makes the first entry when 2Tier Kumo breakout was occurred.
makes the extra entries when higher-low (on long) or lower-high (on short) was occurred.
uses short term MACD reversal + stop entry as a confirmation of the trend.
slack trailing stop loss.
changes entry quantity by the percentage of SL.
prevents the ranged entry.
This is just an example of how to trade using Ichimoku signals.
Komut dosyalarını "entry" için ara
Ichimoku Cloud LONG and SHORT indicatorsThis simple script uses 4 rules from Ichimoku Cloud indicator to marks position entry points.
The idea is that by entering a long position just when these 4 criteria are met, you can capture a 2-3% plus move within the next few days:
1. The conversion line is above the base line
2. The price is above the clouds
3. The lagging span is above the clouds
4. The rightmost cloud is green
The same 4 criteria but inverted will indicate a short entry.
In order to avoid 'stale' entries which can lead to chasing, we want the price and conversion line crossovers to be recent, within the past few days. Ideally we want to enter before close on the day the entry signal is given so that we can capture any potential gap up (or down if short). Often the price will make a nice move the next day or day after. If any of the criteria become invalidated, or if after 4-5 days there hasn't been significant movement, then it was a false alarm.
This script will show the basic Ichimoku Cloud indicators, plus labels for bearish and bullish price and conversion line crossovers as well as LONG and SHOT indicators to show when the entry criteria have been met.
Percent Calculator OverlayFirst and foremost: I'm inspired to publish my scripts by the other member's who publish quality, detailed scripts -a token of my appreciation and support, Thank You.
The percent calculator overlay is an extension of my Percent Calculator indicator that allows one to visualize the percent metrics they're interested in trading: it''s function is to simply output the target price from either the close or ones trade-entry based on a desired percent return on investment (R.O.I.) then plots it on top of the chart as an area plot and notes anytime in the past the desired conditions were met with a {flag "Success"}.
Say you want to profit 15% from your entry: open the settings and plug in your entry value and the number 15 into the appropriate settings and the indicator displays what the target price should be (rounded to two decimal places) right on the chart with the area as well as the horizontal line which is enabled by the "track price" setting.
The percent calculator overlay also goes one step further by finding the average percent return on investment over a desired interval of time (the default is 20 candles) as well as allows one to adjust the size of the price move the average percent return on investment is being calculated for which is displayed on the chart as circles and also displays a horizontal line for the most current value with the enabled "track price" setting.
NOTE: unlike the Percent Calculator the Percent Calculator Overlay creates a visual record of the number of success' the programmed parameters have achieved (based on the closing prices) which self adjusts when the "size of the move" is changed.
Say you want to find the average percent return on investment for a 3 candle swing over a 200 candle interval of time: open the settings and plug the number 200 into the interval setting and the number 3 into the price-move setting and the indicator displays what the average 3 candle swing returns on investment and plots what the target price would be to achieve the average return given the current close (or entry price) with the gray circles and the horizontal line enabled with the "track price" setting.
Practical Application: comparing ones desired return on investment to the average return on investment can help determine how realistic ones goals are... it's unlikely to achieve 100% return on investment if the average is only around 10% (given the parameters one is working within) but on the other hand achieving 5% return on investment is highly likely. By visualizing roughly how often the given parameters have achieved success on the chart one can become a lot more comfortable, confident, and accurate with their goals.
Forward Looking Statement: I believe in the not too distant future plug and play automated trading systems will be made available to the general public. Over the past 4 years we have seen brokers offer free charting software, commission free trading, and now fractional shares; I don't think it will be much longer before we can simply click a few buttons and tell the computer to enter when the stochastic is overbought/sold and exit with a predefined percent gain (and to repeat that process indefinitely). -Imagine the data moving 2-3-4 times a second, the liquidity flowing like Niagara falls, and 95% of the working population not only starting to invest but gains the extra cash flow they desperately need.
Beta testing: please comment or send me a message if you happen to stumble over any bugs or have any suggestions for improvement.
Percent Calculator (Return On Investment Target Price)First and foremost: I was inspired to publish my first script after reading some of the other member's scripts -a token of my appreciation and support, Thank You.
The percent calculator is a very simple and basic indicator to use, it''s function is to simply output the target price from either the close or ones trade-entry based on a desired percent return on investment (R.O.I.).
Say you want to profit 15% from your entry: simply plug in your entry value and the number 15 into the appropriate settings and the indicator displays what the target price should be (rounded to two decimal places).
The percent calculator also goes one step further by finding the average percent return on investment over a desired interval of time (the default is 20 candles) as well as allows one to adjust the size of the price move the average percent return on investment is being calculated for.
Say you want to find the average percent return on investment for a 3 candle swing over a 200 candle interval of time: simply plug the number 200 into the interval setting and the number 3 into the price-move setting and the indicator displays what the average 3 candle swing returns on investment.
Practical Application: comparing ones desired return on investment to the average return on investment can help determine how realistic ones goals are... it's unlikely to achieve 100% return on investment if the average is only around 10% (given the parameters one is working within) but on the other hand achieving 5% return on investment is highly likely.
Short in Bollinger Band Down trend (Weekly and Daily) // © PlanTradePlanMM
// 6/14/2020
// ---------------------------------------------------
// Name: Short in Bollinger Band Down trend (Weekly and Daily)
// ---------------------------------------------------
// Key Points in this study:
// 1. Short in BB Lower band, probability of price going down is more than 50%
// 2. Short at the top 1/4 of Lower band (EMA - Lower line), Stop is EMA, tartget is Lower line; it matches risk:/reward=1:3 naturally
//
// Draw Lines:
// BB Lower : is the Target (Black line)
// BB EMA : is the initial Stop (Black line)
// ShortLine : EMA - 1/4 of (Stop-target), which matches risk:/reward=1:3
// Prepare Zone : between EMA and ShortLine
// shortPrice : Blue dot line only showing when has Short position, Which shows entry price.
// StopPrice : Black dot line only showing when has Short position, Which shows updated stop price.
//
// Add SMA50 to filter the trend. Price <= SMA, allow to short
//
// What (Condition): in BB down trend band
// When (Price action): Price cross below ShortLine;
// How (Trading Plan): Short at ShortLine;
// Initial Stop is EMA;
// Initial Target is BB Lower Line;
// FollowUp: if price moves down first, and EMA is below Short Price. Move stop to EMA, At least "make even" in this trade;
// if Price touched Short Line again and goes down, new EMA will be the updated stop
//
// Exit: 1. Initial stop -- "Stop" when down first, Close above stop
// 2. Target reached -- "TR" when down quickly, Target reached
// 3. make even -- "ME" when small down and up, Exit at Entry Price
// 4. Small Winner -- "SM" when EMA below Entry price, Exit when Close above EMA
//
// --------------
// Because there are too many flags in up trend study already, I created this down trend script separately.
// Uptrend study is good for SPY, QQQ, and strong stocks.
// Downtrend Study is good for weak ETF, stock, and (-2x, -3x) ETFs, such as FAZ, UVXY, USO, XOP, AAL, CCL
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Back test Weekly and daily chart for SPY, QQQ, XOP, AAL, BA, MMM, FAZ, UVXY
// The best sample is FAZ Weekly chart.
// When SPY and QQQ are good in long term up trend, these (-2x, -3x) ETFs are always going down in long term.
// Some of them are not allowed to short. I used option Put/Put spread for the short entry.
//
SSL Crossover + MA choiceThis indicator builds on the SSL channel code by ErwinBeckers @
I have added options for diff MA's to be used in the SSL channel and crossover indicators for buy/sell signals
default MA is set to Arnaud Legaux, but you can set it to whatever you like - original was a Simple Moving Average by ErwinBeckers
The indicator will not repaint as the signals are drawn after close of crossover candles
Let me know if you have any suggestions - happy to add more functionality
Mirror MACD by Trader JayThis is my take on the metatrader indicator, the mirror macd. Works pretty good on Forex, haven't tested on anything else
Enter long after the Blue Line Cross Up the Red Line and EXIT after the Green line Cross Up the Red Line (above the Blue Line).
For the opposite position : ENTER SELL after the Red Line Cross Down.
Generalized SSL by Vts// Generalized SSL:
// This is the very first time the SSL indicator, whose acronym I ignore, is on Tradingview.
// It is based on moving averages of the highs and lows.
// Similar channel indicators can be found, whereas
// this one implements the persistency inside the channel, which is rather tricky.
// The green line is the base line which decides entries and exits, possibly with trailing stops.
// With respect to the original version, here one can play with different moving averages.
// The default settings are (10,SMA)
//
// Vitelot/Yanez/Vts March 2019
Trend is your friendThis indicator evaluates the trend based on crosses of two McGinley moving averages. It paints candles accordingly (it does not repaint), so you can see what the indicator is saying more clearly and stay in your trade until you see a period of consolidation or a reversal. You can control how far away those moving averages need to be for you to consider it a trend. If this distance is not met candles color is not changed and it shows you that the market is in a period of consolidation. I also added visualization of RSI, so you can have an easier time finding appropriate profit targets. For stop loss I would recommend placing it a couple points above or below the previous high / low that is located above / below you final target for entry. You can also use a certain percentage that works for you. I tried adding a stop loss based on ATR, but I did not like the results. Using market structure is a better choice in my opinion.
Here is a basic trading strategy for the default settings:
Wait for the indicator to start printing a series of green or red candles. After that you can enter a long or a short around moving averages. Another valid place to entry is the specific RSI zone. If we are in an uptrend buying when RSI is oversold can be beneficial as you expect market to recover. I do not recommend changing RSI from 14. Vice versa for the downtrend. It gives you an edge as you know at what price RSI will be oversold and allows you to place trades in advance. Pretty neat! You need to realize that no indicator or strategy can give you an exact entry. There will always be some margin of error. What I wanted to say is that if there is a strong trend up and you buy around your key moving averages and when RSI is oversold you entered in good places and there is a pretty good chance you will make money.
Time frame settings:
If you want to use tighter stop losses I would recommend sticking to 15m. Do not go lower. It is not worth the stress. 1h and 4h seems to be very good as well, but expect your stop losses to be wider. What I personally tend to do is display 15m, 30m and 1h and compare it. Think of it as a short, mid and long term. That way you can see things little bit better.
Examples:
1H chart BTC
4h chart EUR / USD
1D chart NASDAQ
15m chart BTC (Daytrading)
That last chart shows that even if you were longing while the trend was about to change you still had a good chance to close it with a little profit and switch to short easily. The default settings is what has worked the best for me. Feel free to change them as you see fit and do not forget to let me know if you find something that works better :)
Notes:
Either disable wick display or change it to a neutral color like gray for both green and red candles. Unfortunately pine script does not allow wick painting, so if you have red / green wicks it will look terrible. If RSI visualization makes your candles look too small you can go to settings and disable the display of individual RSI levels. You will still be able to see the zones, but the scale won't be affected.
Daily ATR%If You are using a percentage of the Daily Average True Range in determining your stop placement,
this quick indicator is for You.
excerpt from investopedia.com/articles/trading/06/stopplacement.asp
ATR % Stop Method
The ATR% stop method can be used by any type of trader because the width of the stop is determined by the percentage of average true range (ATR). ATR is a measure of volatility over a specified period of time. The most common length is 14, which is also a common length for oscillators such as the relative strength index (RSI) and stochastics. A higher ATR indicates a more volatile market, while a lower ATR indicates a less volatile market. By using a certain percentage of ATR, you ensure that your stop is dynamic and changes appropriately with market conditions.
For example, for the first four months of 2006, the GBP/USD average daily range was around 110 to 140 pips. A day trader may want to use a 10% ATR stop - meaning that the stop is placed 10% x ATR pips from the entry price.In this instance, the stop would be anywhere from 11 to 14 pips from your entry price. A swing trader might use 50% or 100% of ATR as a stop. In May and June of 2006, daily ATR was anywhere from 150 to 180 pips. As such, the day trader with the 10% stop would have stops from entry of 15 to 18 pips while the swing trader with 50% stops would have stops of 75 to 90 pips from entry.
UCS_Squeeze_Timing-V1There is an important information the Squeeze indicator is missing, which is the Pre Squeeze entry. While the Bollinger band begins to curves out of the KC, The breakout usually happens. There are many instances that the Squeeze indicator will fire, after the Major move, I cant blame the indicator, thats the nature (lagging) of all indicators, and we have to live with it.
Therefore pre-squeeze-fire Entry can be critical in timing your entry. Timing it too early could result in stoploss if it turns against you, ( or serious burn on options premium), because we never know when the squeeze will fire with the TTM squeeze, But now We know. Its a little timing tool. Managing position is critical when playing options.
I will code the timing signal when I get some time.
Updated Versions -
ENIGMA Signals with Retests Select higher Time FrameENIGMA Signals with Retests – Script Description
The "ENIGMA Signals with Retests" script is a unique indicator designed for traders who prefer precision trading based on price action retests of key levels derived from higher timeframes. This tool is ideal for those employing multi-timeframe analysis strategies, helping them detect high-probability trade entries when the price interacts with significant support and resistance levels.
What Does This Script Do?
This indicator identifies key levels from a higher timeframe selected by the user (e.g., 4-hour or daily), then tracks price action on lower timeframes to provide actionable buy and sell signals when the price retests these levels. It visually plots the key levels on the chart and triggers alerts for potential trade opportunities when conditions are met.
How It Works
Key Level Detection:
The script uses custom functions to detect recent swing highs and swing lows on the selected higher timeframe (such as 4H or Daily). These levels represent potential areas of support and resistance where price reactions are likely to occur.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
The indicator leverages the request.security() function to retrieve price data from the user-defined higher timeframe and plots horizontal lines on the chart for the most recent swing highs and lows.
Retest-Based Signals:
Once the key levels are plotted, the script continuously monitors the price on the lower timeframe:
A Buy Signal is triggered when the price closes below a key high level and then moves back above it, indicating a potential bullish retest.
A Sell Signal is triggered when the price closes above a key low level and then moves back below it, indicating a potential bearish retest.
These retest signals are displayed as green and red arrows on the chart, helping traders identify optimal entry points.
Alerts for Retests:
The script includes built-in alert conditions that notify traders when a valid retest signal occurs. This allows traders to react promptly without constantly monitoring the chart.
How to Use the Script
Select Your Key Timeframe:
From the input settings, choose a higher timeframe that suits your trading style (e.g., 4H for intraday trading or Daily for swing trading).
Adjust Visual Preferences:
Customize the line style (solid, dashed, or dotted) and length of the plotted levels.
Toggle labels for the levels on or off as per your preference.
Trade Execution:
Once a retest signal appears on the lower timeframe, consider entering a trade in the direction of the signal. The buy signal suggests a potential long entry, while the sell signal indicates a potential short entry.
Set Alerts:
Use the alert conditions provided to get notified whenever a valid retest occurs. This helps in reducing screen time and improving trading efficiency.
Underlying Concepts
This script is grounded in the principles of support and resistance, retests, and breakout trading. By focusing on multi-timeframe key levels, it aligns with widely used trading concepts like:
Breakout and Retest: Entering trades after a confirmed breakout and successful retest of a significant level.
Swing Highs and Lows: Recognizing swing points to identify strong price reaction zones.
Multi-Timeframe Confluence: Enhancing trade probability by ensuring that the signals on lower timeframes correspond with key levels from higher timeframes.
Why This Script Is Unique
Unlike many generic trend-following or scalping indicators, "ENIGMA Signals with Retests" offers:
Precision Signals: It only provides signals when specific retest conditions are met, reducing false signals and noise.
Multi-Timeframe Customization: Users can tailor the higher timeframe to their strategy, making it versatile for various trading styles.
Alert Functionality: Alerts are integrated, allowing traders to stay updated without constantly monitoring the charts.
This script is perfect for traders looking for a systematic way to trade retests of key levels across multiple timeframes. Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or swing trader, "ENIGMA Signals with Retests" can help improve your precision and timing in the market.
Super Investor Club SMA RSI Trailing Stop for SPXOptimized for SPX, credit goes to Sean Seah Weiming
Key Features
Inputs:
smaLength: Length of the SMA (200 by default).
rsiLength: Length of the RSI calculation (14 by default).
rsiThreshold: RSI value below which entries are considered (40 by default).
trailStopPercent: Trailing stop loss percentage (5% by default).
waitingPeriod: The number of days to wait after an exit before entering again (10 days by default).
200 SMA and RSI Calculation:
Calculates the 200-period SMA of the closing price.
Computes the RSI using the given rsiLength.
Conditions for Entry:
A "buy" signal is triggered when:
The closing price is above the 200 SMA.
The RSI is below the defined threshold.
The waiting period since the last exit has elapsed.
Trailing Stop Loss:
When in a long position, the trailing stop price is adjusted based on the highest price since entry and the specified percentage.
Exit Conditions:
A sell signal is triggered when:
The price falls below the trailing stop price.
The price falls below the 200 SMA.
Visualization:
The 200 SMA is plotted on the chart.
"BUY" and "SELL" signals are marked with green and red labels, respectively.
4H CRT (1AM and 5AM)This TradingView script is designed to assist traders in implementing the "4-Hour Candle Ranges Theory Strategy (CRT)" by identifying key levels and setups based on the 1am and 4am (5am) 4-hour candles. This strategy is particularly effective for trading high-volatility assets such as Gold, EUR/USD, NAS100, US30, and S&P500, with US30 showing a notably high win rate. Here's how the strategy works:
Key Features:
1. Marking 1am and 4am 4-Hour Candle Ranges
- The script highlights the high and low of the 1am 4-hour candle.
- It visually tracks whether the high or low of the 1am candle is taken out by the subsequent 4-hour candle (5am).
2. Entry Setup Rules
- Primary Setup: Wait for the high or low of the 1am candle to be taken out by the 5am candle. Once this sweep occurs, wait for a Market Structure Shift (MSS) on the lower time frame (15min) to confirm your entry.
- Secondary Setup: If the 5am candle fails to take out the high or low of the 1am candle, the setup focuses on the levels formed by the 5am candle.
3. Trade Execution on 15-Minute Timeframe
- The script supports a lower time frame (15min) view to identify MSS and fine-tune entries.
4. Rinse and Repeat
- This process can be applied daily for consistent opportunities across the specified assets.
Advantages:
- Provides clear visual markers for key levels based on the 4-hour candles.
- Automates level plotting, saving traders time and reducing manual errors.
- Integrates well with the 15-minute timeframe for precise entry triggers.
- Optimized for popular trading instruments, especially US30 for a higher probability of success.
This script simplifies the application of CRT by automating the process of identifying and marking critical levels, enabling traders to focus on executing high-probability setups effectively.
Created by Hamid (poraymanfx)
Dabel MS + FVGThis script is designed to assist traders by identifying market structures, imbalances, and potential trade opportunities using Break of Structure (BOS) and Market Structure Shifts (MSS). It visually highlights imbalances in price action, key pivots, and market structure changes, providing actionable information for making trading decisions.
Key features:
Imbalances Detection: Highlights bullish and bearish price gaps (Fair Value Gaps) using colored boxes. Users can choose the line style (solid, dashed, or dotted) for imbalance midlines.
Market Structure Analysis: Tracks pivot highs and lows to identify BOS and MSS in two separate market structures with adjustable pivot strengths.
Customizable Visualization: Allows users to choose line styles, colors, and display options for both imbalances and market structures.
Alerts: Alerts traders when BOS or MSS occur, helping to monitor the market effectively.
Trading Strategy
Imbalance Trading:
Imbalances (gaps) represent areas where supply or demand was left unfilled. These gaps often act as magnet zones where the price revisits to fill.
Bullish Imbalance: Look for buying opportunities when price enters a green imbalance zone.
Bearish Imbalance: Look for selling opportunities when price enters a red imbalance zone.
Use the midline of the imbalance box as a key reference point for potential reversals.
Break of Structure (BOS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS):
BOS: Indicates a continuation of the existing trend. For example:
Bullish BOS: Look for continuation in the uptrend after a high is broken.
Bearish BOS: Look for continuation in the downtrend after a low is broken.
MSS: Suggests a potential reversal in market structure. For example:
Bullish MSS: Indicates a possible shift from a bearish to bullish market.
Bearish MSS: Indicates a potential shift from a bullish to bearish market.
Multiple Market Structures:
This script provide two sets of market structures, allowing traders to compare short-term and long-term trends.
Adjust the pivot strength to suit your trading style (lower for intraday trading, higher for swing or positional trading).
Entry and Exit:
Entry: Look for entries near imbalances or after confirmed BOS/MSS in line with the overall trend.
Exit: Place stop-loss below/above recent pivots and take profit at nearby support/resistance or imbalance zones.
For New Traders
Focus on Basics: Understand what BOS and MSS mean and how they signal trend direction or reversals.
Use Alerts: Rely on the script's alert system to catch important moments without staring at charts all day.
Start Small: Test this strategy on a demo account before using it live. You can understand it more with practice.
Adaptive Momentum Reversion StrategyThe Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy: An Empirical Approach to Market Behavior
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy seeks to capitalize on market price dynamics by combining concepts from momentum and mean reversion theories. This hybrid approach leverages a Rate of Change (ROC) indicator along with Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions, triggering trades based on the crossing of specific thresholds. The strategy aims to detect momentum shifts and exploit price reversions to their mean.
Theoretical Framework
Momentum and Mean Reversion: Momentum trading assumes that assets with a recent history of strong performance will continue in that direction, while mean reversion suggests that assets tend to return to their historical average over time (Fama & French, 1988; Poterba & Summers, 1988). This strategy incorporates elements of both, looking for periods when momentum is either overextended (and likely to revert) or when the asset’s price is temporarily underpriced relative to its historical trend.
Rate of Change (ROC): The ROC is a straightforward momentum indicator that measures the percentage change in price over a specified period (Wilder, 1978). The strategy calculates the ROC over a 2-period window, making it responsive to short-term price changes. By using ROC, the strategy aims to detect price acceleration and deceleration.
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are used to identify volatility and potential price extremes, often signaling overbought or oversold conditions. The bands consist of a moving average and two standard deviation bounds that adjust dynamically with price volatility (Bollinger, 2002).
The strategy employs two sets of Bollinger Bands: one for short-term volatility (lower band) and another for longer-term trends (upper band), with different lengths and standard deviation multipliers.
Strategy Construction
Indicator Inputs:
ROC Period: The rate of change is computed over a 2-period window, which provides sensitivity to short-term price fluctuations.
Bollinger Bands:
Lower Band: Calculated with a 18-period length and a standard deviation of 1.7.
Upper Band: Calculated with a 21-period length and a standard deviation of 2.1.
Calculations:
ROC Calculation: The ROC is computed by comparing the current close price to the close price from rocPeriod days ago, expressing it as a percentage.
Bollinger Bands: The strategy calculates both upper and lower Bollinger Bands around the ROC, using a simple moving average as the central basis. The lower Bollinger Band is used as a reference for identifying potential long entry points when the ROC crosses above it, while the upper Bollinger Band serves as a reference for exits, when the ROC crosses below it.
Trading Conditions:
Long Entry: A long position is initiated when the ROC crosses above the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential shift from a period of low momentum to an increase in price movement.
Exit Condition: A position is closed when the ROC crosses under the upper Bollinger Band, or when the ROC drops below the lower band again, indicating a reversal or weakening of momentum.
Visual Indicators:
ROC Plot: The ROC is plotted as a line to visualize the momentum direction.
Bollinger Bands: The upper and lower bands, along with their basis (simple moving averages), are plotted to delineate the expected range for the ROC.
Background Color: To enhance decision-making, the strategy colors the background when extreme conditions are detected—green for oversold (ROC below the lower band) and red for overbought (ROC above the upper band), indicating potential reversal zones.
Strategy Performance Considerations
The use of Bollinger Bands in this strategy provides an adaptive framework that adjusts to changing market volatility. When volatility increases, the bands widen, allowing for larger price movements, while during quieter periods, the bands contract, reducing trade signals. This adaptiveness is critical in maintaining strategy effectiveness across different market conditions.
The strategy’s pyramiding setting is disabled (pyramiding=0), ensuring that only one position is taken at a time, which is a conservative risk management approach. Additionally, the strategy includes transaction costs and slippage parameters to account for real-world trading conditions.
Empirical Evidence and Relevance
The combination of momentum and mean reversion has been widely studied and shown to provide profitable opportunities under certain market conditions. Studies such as Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) confirm that momentum strategies tend to work well in trending markets, while mean reversion strategies have been effective during periods of high volatility or after sharp price movements (De Bondt & Thaler, 1985). By integrating both strategies into one system, the Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy may be able to capitalize on both trending and reverting market behavior.
Furthermore, research by Chan (1996) on momentum-based trading systems demonstrates that adaptive strategies, which adjust to changes in market volatility, often outperform static strategies, providing a compelling rationale for the use of Bollinger Bands in this context.
Conclusion
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy provides a robust framework for trading based on the dual concepts of momentum and mean reversion. By using ROC in combination with Bollinger Bands, the strategy is capable of identifying overbought and oversold conditions while adapting to changing market conditions. The use of adaptive indicators ensures that the strategy remains flexible and can perform across different market environments, potentially offering a competitive edge for traders who seek to balance risk and reward in their trading approaches.
References
Bollinger, J. (2002). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. McGraw-Hill Professional.
Chan, L. K. C. (1996). Momentum, Mean Reversion, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns. Journal of Finance, 51(5), 1681-1713.
De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. H. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact? Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793-805.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1988). Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices. Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), 246-273.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research.
Cipher DCA Strategy70% + Accurate trading strategy, tailored for swing trading and Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) approach to build positions during bearish or oversold market conditions.
Here's how it works:
Market Entry: The script identifies optimal entry points by pinpointing when stocks are in an oversold state, making it an ideal time to buy. This is crucial for accumulating assets at lower prices, setting the stage for significant gains as the market rebounds.
Position Accumulation: By utilizing DCA, the strategy allows you to buy into the market in increments, reducing the impact of volatility and helping to mitigate risk during market downturns.
Swing Trading: Once the market begins to show signs of recovery, the strategy shifts to swing trading mode. It captures the upward momentum by holding positions through the market's upswing, aiming to sell near the peak of the bull market.
Market Exit: The indicator not only helps in buying low but also in selling high, guiding you to exit positions near what could be the top of the market cycle.
Range Channel by Atilla YurtsevenThis script creates a dynamic channel around a user-selected moving average (MA). It calculates the relative difference between price and the MA, then finds the average of the positive differences and the negative differences separately. Using these averages, it plots upper and lower bands around the MA as well as a histogram-like oscillator to show when price moves above or below the average thresholds.
How It Works
Moving Average Selection
The indicator allows you to choose among multiple MA types (SMA, EMA, WMA, Linear Regression, etc.). Depending on your preference, it calculates the chosen MA for the selected lookback period.
Relative Difference Calculation
It then computes the percentage difference between the source (typically the closing price) and the MA. (diff = (src / ma - 1) * 100)
Positive & Negative Averages
- Positive differences are averaged and represent how far the price typically moves above the MA.
- Negative differences are similarly averaged for when price moves below the MA.
Range Channel & Oscillator
- The channel is plotted around the MA using the average positive and negative differences (Upper Edge and Lower Edge).
- The “Untrended” histogram plots the difference (diff). Green bars occur when price is above the MA on average, and red bars when below. Two additional lines mark the upper and lower average thresholds on this histogram.
How to Use
Identify Overbought/Oversold Zones: The upper edge can serve as a dynamic overbought level, while the lower edge can suggest potential oversold conditions. When the histogram approaches or crosses these levels, it may signal price extremes relative to its average movement.
Trend Confirmation: Compare price action relative to the channel. If price and the histogram consistently remain above the MA and upper threshold, it could indicate a stronger bullish trend. If they remain below, it might signal a prolonged bearish trend.
Entry/Exit Timings:
- Entry: Traders can look for moments when price breaks back inside the channel from an extreme, anticipating a mean reversion.
- Exit: Watching how price interacts with these dynamic edges can help define stop-loss or take-profit points.
Because these thresholds adapt over time based on actual price behavior, they can be more responsive than fixed-percentage bands. However, like all indicators, it’s most effective when used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental tools.
Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit. Use it at your own discretion and risk.
Trade smart, stay safe.
Atilla Yurtseven
VIX Spike StrategyThis script implements a trading strategy based on the Volatility Index (VIX) and its standard deviation. It aims to enter a long position when the VIX exceeds a certain number of standard deviations above its moving average, which is a signal of a volatility spike. The position is then exited after a set number of periods.
VIX Symbol (vix_symbol): The input allows the user to specify the symbol for the VIX index (typically "CBOE:VIX").
Standard Deviation Length (stddev_length): The number of periods used to calculate the standard deviation of the VIX. This can be adjusted by the user.
Standard Deviation Multiplier (stddev_multiple): This multiplier is used to determine how many standard deviations above the moving average the VIX must exceed to trigger a long entry.
Exit Periods (exit_periods): The user specifies how many periods after entering the position the strategy will exit the trade.
Strategy Logic:
Data Loading: The script loads the VIX data, both for the current timeframe and as a rescaled version for calculation purposes.
Standard Deviation Calculation: It calculates both the moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation of the VIX over the specified period (stddev_length).
Entry Condition: A long position is entered when the VIX exceeds the moving average by a specified multiple of its standard deviation (calculated as vix_mean + stddev_multiple * vix_stddev).
Exit Condition: After the position is entered, it will be closed after the user-defined number of periods (exit_periods).
Visualization:
The VIX is plotted in blue.
The moving average of the VIX is plotted in orange.
The threshold for the VIX, which is the moving average plus the standard deviation multiplier, is plotted in red.
The background turns green when the entry condition is met, providing a visual cue.
Sources:
The VIX is often used as a measure of market volatility, with high values indicating increased uncertainty in the market.
Standard deviation is a statistical measure of the variability or dispersion of a set of data points. In financial markets, it is used to measure the volatility of asset prices.
References:
Bollerslev, T. (1986). "Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity." Journal of Econometrics.
Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities." Journal of Political Economy.
Gauti Market Maker Killzone EMA1. Identifying the Trend
Use Daily (1D) and Hourly (1H) Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to define the overall trend:
Bullish Trend: Both 1D and 1H EMAs are upward sloping, and the price is above these EMAs.
Bearish Trend: Both 1D and 1H EMAs are downward sloping, and the price is below these EMAs.
2. Confirmation with Higher Timeframes
Bullish Conditions:
Check 1D and 4H charts for price action above the EMA bands.
Look for price forming higher highs and higher lows or respecting support at the EMA bands.
Bearish Conditions:
Check 1D and 4H charts for price action below the EMA bands.
Look for price forming lower highs and lower lows or respecting resistance at the EMA bands.
Note: Crossover of EMAs on higher timeframes is an optional extra confirmation, but not mandatory for entry.
3. Entry Strategy
Use the 15-Minute (15M) timeframe for entries.
Entries are taken only during Killzones:
Killzones: London Open, New York Open, or other intraday key trading sessions. (Define the time ranges for these zones based on your trading hours.)
Wait for the price to touch or pull back to the EMA band during the Killzones in the direction of the overall trend:
In a bullish trend, enter long when the price touches the EMA band and shows signs of rejection or reversal.
In a bearish trend, enter short when the price touches the EMA band and shows signs of rejection or reversal.
4. Checklist for Entry
Confirm the following before entering:
1D Trend aligns with the 1H Trend.
Price Action in 1D and 4H supports the trend.
Killzone session is active.
Price is reacting to the EMA band on the 15M chart in the trend direction.
Scalp System# Scalp System
A premium scalping system designed specifically for 2-minute charts, combining multiple timeframe analysis with trend-based trading decisions. This indicator helps identify high-probability scalping opportunities through color-coded moving averages and their crossovers.
## Strategy Overview
### Entry Signals
- ONLY trade LONG when price is above RED line
- ONLY trade SHORT when price is below RED line
- Primary entry: BLUE/GREEN crosses
- Strong trend confirmation: YELLOW/PURPLE crosses
### Best Practices
1. Trade with the trend (follow RED line direction)
2. Wait for price pullbacks of faster lines
3. Combine crosses with support/resistance levels
4. Use smaller targets
5. Quick exits on failed breakouts
6. Monitor volume for confirmation
### Color Guide
- YELLOW: Fast trend identifier
- BLUE: Very short-term momentum (1min)
- GREEN: Short-term momentum (3min)
- RED: Trend filter
- PURPLE: Strong trend baseline
### Risk Management
- Place stops beyond the RED line
- Scale out at key levels
- Use 1:1.5 minimum risk/reward
- Avoid trading during major news
- Reduce position size in choppy markets
### Best Trading Hours
- Most effective during first 2 hours after market open
- Good opportunities during power hour (last hour)
- Avoid lunch hour chop (11:30-1:30 EST)
## Tips
- Less is more - wait for clean setups
- Respect the RED line as your trend filter
- Multiple timeframe confirmation increases success rate
- Use crosses as triggers, not absolute signals
- Practice in simulator before live trading
Easy CotHow to Use the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report for Market Analysis
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that breaks down the open interest in various futures markets. It categorizes traders into three main groups: Commercials, Non-Commercials, and Retail Traders (Non-Reportable positions). Understanding and analyzing the COT report can provide insights into market sentiment and potential reversals, especially in commodity, currency, and stock index futures.
Key Components of the COT Report
Commercials (Hedgers)
These are entities involved in the production or consumption of the underlying asset. For example, oil producers might hedge by selling oil futures to lock in prices, while airlines might buy futures to hedge against rising prices.
Commercials typically act as hedgers, so their positions can indicate the need for protection rather than speculative intent. Because they are less price-sensitive, their positions are usually opposite to the trend near market reversals.
Non-Commercials (Large Speculators)
This group includes hedge funds, asset managers, and large traders who take speculative positions to profit from price movements.
Non-Commercials are often trend-followers, meaning they increase long positions in an uptrend and short positions in a downtrend. When Non-Commercials become extremely bullish or bearish, it may signal a potential market reversal.
Retail Traders (Non-Reportable Positions)
These are smaller individual traders whose positions are too small to be reported individually.
Retail traders tend to be less experienced and are often on the wrong side of major market moves, so extreme positions by retail traders can sometimes signal a market turning point.
How to Interpret the COT Data
1. Identify Extreme Positions
Extreme Long or Short Positions: When a group reaches a historically extreme level of long or short positions, it often signals a potential reversal. For instance, if Non-Commercials are overwhelmingly long, it may indicate that the uptrend is overextended, and a reversal could be near.
Contrarian Indicator: Since Retail Traders are often on the wrong side, you may look for signals where they are extremely long or short, indicating a possible reversal in the opposite direction.
2. Look for Divergences
Divergence Between Groups: If Non-Commercials (speculators) and Retail Traders are moving in opposite directions, it could indicate that a trend is losing momentum and a reversal is possible.
Commercials vs. Non-Commercials: Commercials are often positioned opposite to Non-Commercials. If there’s a divergence where Non-Commercials are highly bullish, but Commercials are increasingly bearish, it might suggest a coming reversal.
3. Trend Confirmation and Reversal Signals
Trend Confirmation: If both Non-Commercials and Retail Traders are aligned in one direction, it might confirm the trend. However, keep in mind that such alignment may signal the later stages of a trend.
Reversal Signals: Look for signs when Non-Commercials are reaching a peak in one direction while Retail Traders peak in the opposite. Such situations can often indicate that the current trend is close to exhaustion.
Using the COT Report in Trading Strategies
Contrarian Trading Strategy
Extreme Positions as Reversal Signals: Use COT data to identify extreme positions. For instance, if Non-Commercials have a very high long position in a commodity, it might suggest that a bullish trend is overextended and a bearish reversal could be near.
Retail Trader Extremes: If Retail Traders are heavily long or short, consider taking the opposite position once you have additional confirmation signals (e.g., technical indicators).
Following the Trend with Large Speculators
Non-Commercials tend to be trend-followers, so if you see them increasingly long (or short) on an asset, it could be a signal to follow the trend until extreme levels are reached.
Using Divergences for Entry and Exit Points
Entry: If Non-Commercials are long, but Retail Traders are heavily short, consider entering a long position as it may confirm the trend.
Exit: If Non-Commercials begin to reduce their positions while Retail Traders increase theirs, it might be time to consider exiting, as the trend could be losing momentum.
VOLUME DIRECTION INDICATORDesigned for the 1-hour chart, this indicator shows:
Green Line: Volume when price rises, suggesting buying.
Red Line: Volume when price falls, indicating selling.
How to Use:
Watch for Crossover: When the Green Line moves above the Red, it might signal a budding uptrend.
Check Retracement: If the Green Line pulls back but stays above the Red, the uptrend could be strengthening.
Price Check: Look for a small price drop but not a reversal.
Trade Entry:
Enter at the high of the retracement candle.
Or wait for the Green Line to rise again.
For Precision: Draw a line at the retracement peak and switch to a shorter timeframe to find entry patterns above this line.
Remember: Use this with other tools for better trading decisions.
The Volume Direction Indicator provides a visual representation of market activity by assuming volume can be attributed to buying or selling based on price action within each bar. When the price closes higher than it opened, the volume for that period is considered as 'Bought Shares', plotted in green. Conversely, if the price closes lower, the volume is treated as 'Sold Shares', shown in red. This indicator resets daily to give a fresh perspective on trading activity each day.
Key Features:
Buying Pressure: Green line represents the cumulative volume during periods where the price increased.
Selling Pressure: Red line indicates the cumulative volume during price decreases.
Daily Reset: Accumulated values reset at the start of each new trading day, focusing on daily market sentiment.
Note: This indicator simplifies market dynamics by linking volume directly to price changes. It does not account for complex trading scenarios like short selling or market manipulations. Use this indicator as a tool to gauge general market direction and activity, not for precise transaction data.
