Clean Zone + SL/TP (Latest Only)📌 Description
Clean Zone + SL/TP (Latest Only) is an indicator designed to highlight the most recent supply or demand zone based on pivot highs/lows, and automatically plot entry, stop loss, and multiple take profit levels.
🔹 Automatic Direction Detection
The script can auto-detect trade direction (Long/Short) using pivot logic, or you can override manually.
🔹 Zone Drawing
Only the latest valid supply (red) or demand (green) zone is displayed.
Zones are extended to the right for a customizable number of bars.
🔹 Entry / SL / TP Levels
Entry, Stop Loss, and TP1/TP2/TP3 levels are plotted automatically.
Targets can be calculated either by zone size or by ATR-based multiples.
Risk/Reward ratios are fully adjustable.
🔹 Customizable Display
Toggle visibility for zones (box), entry/SL/TP lines, and price labels.
Labels show only on the latest bar for a clean chart look.
🎯 Use Case
This tool helps traders quickly identify the cleanest and most recent supply/demand setup and manage trades with predefined risk/reward targets. It’s especially useful for price action traders and those who prefer simple, uncluttered charts.
"demand" için komut dosyalarını ara
Ai Golden Support and Resistance Adaptive Support & Resistance (ADR-scaled ABCD + Breakout/Retest Zones)
What it does
This indicator detects actionable support/resistance zones from swing structure and breakout events, then keeps each zone active until it’s invalidated by price. It adapts zone sensitivity using Average Daily Range (ADR) so the same rules scale across symbols and vol regimes.
Core Logic (high level)
Swing & ABCD pattern seed
Detects alternating pivots (high–low–high–low or low–high–low–high) using a user-selected lookback.
Validates basic AB–BC–CD proportions: BC must retrace a portion of AB; CD must extend BC within a set range.
From a valid sequence, sets a candidate level (top for bearish, bottom for bullish).
Breakout confirmation
A level becomes confirmed when price closes beyond it (crossover/crossunder).
On confirmation, the script draws a dotted reference line and records how many bars elapsed from the seed pivot to breakout. That count defines the lookback window used for local extremes.
Zone construction
Supply (bearish): builds a box around the most recent local range near the bearish seed;
Demand (bullish): builds a box around the most recent local range near the bullish seed.
Each zone’s height is derived from nearby extremes and the seed swing, so boxes reflect local structure rather than fixed pip widths.
Volatility normalization (ADR%)
ADR is computed from daily candles.
The Risk Profile input (“High/Medium/Low”) scales required move sizes using ADR%, and adjusts pivot sensitivity (fewer/more bars).
Higher risk → more sensitive (smaller ADR %, tighter pivot lookback).
Lower risk → stricter filters (larger ADR %, wider pivot lookback).
Explosive-move filter (streak logic)
Searches the seeded lookback for consecutive same-color candles (config via the risk profile).
Requires the cumulative % move of that streak to exceed an ADR-scaled threshold.
When found, the zone is tagged as originating from an “explosive” move (potentially higher reaction probability).
Zone persistence & invalidation
Zones persist and auto-extend to the right until invalidated.
Invalidation occurs when price closes through a rule-based threshold derived from the seed structure (stored per zone).
Once invalidated, the zone is marked inactive and stops updating.
Inputs & Controls
Risk Profile: High / Medium / Low (sets pivot lookback, streak length, and ADR% thresholds).
Labels & Visuals: Toggle labels and level lines; set line width.
Colors/Boxes: Supply (red), Demand (green); dotted breakout references.
No broker/session settings are required; the script adapts per symbol via ADR.
On-Chart Elements
Dotted breakout lines at confirmed levels (with measured bars-to-breakout).
Supply/Demand boxes that extend until invalidation.
Optional labels for clarity; minimal clutter by default.
How to Use
Context: Use higher-TF context for bias; apply zones on your trading TF.
Confluence: Combine zones with your own triggers (structure breaks, rejection wicks, momentum shifts).
Invalidation: If price closes beyond a zone’s invalidation threshold, treat that zone as inactive.
Sensitivity: If too many zones appear, switch to Medium/Low Risk (stricter ADR% & pivots); if too few, use High Risk.
Notes & Limitations
Logic is rule-based; there is no machine learning.
Daily ADR is computed from D timeframe, so intraday charts inherit daily volatility context.
Results vary by symbol and timeframe; validate settings per market.
This is an indicator (no orders or P/L).
Eureka & Phoenix Thrust — NYSE (90% Breadth Days)🚀Eureka & Phoenix Thrust Indicator (NYSE Breadth)
Overview
This free indicator highlights rare but powerful breadth thrust days on the NYSE that can mark important turning points in the market.
It automatically detects both:
📈 Eureka Thrust (90% Up Day)
– At least 90% of NYSE issues advance and at least 90% of NYSE volume is advancing.
– Often signals broad-based institutional buying and strong market demand.
📉 Phoenix Thrust (90% Down Day)
– At least 90% of NYSE issues decline and at least 90% of NYSE volume is declining.
– Reflects broad institutional selling or panic, sometimes marking capitulation lows.
Both signal types were popularized by Lowry’s Research and O’Neil/IBD market models.
Notes
Eureka Thrusts are bullish confirmation signals, especially when clustered.
Phoenix Thrusts often mark panic selling — bearish in the short term, but can precede market bottoms if followed by Eurekas.
These events are rare. You may need to scroll back in history (e.g., March 2020, 2008, 1987) to see them in action.
Disclaimer
This tool is for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and risk management before making trading or investment decisions.
Pro Market Toolkit (TH) v2.4 — S/R + Zones + ATR Bands + Alertsรายละเอียด (ภาษาไทย):
อินดิเคเตอร์ชุดเครื่องมือครบวงจรสำหรับนักเทรด
คำนวณ แนวรับ–แนวต้าน (Support / Resistance) อัตโนมัติจากสวิง (Pivot High/Low)
สร้าง Supply/Demand Zones จาก ATR เพื่อหาพื้นที่กลับตัวสำคัญ
วาดเส้น Moving Average และ ATR Bands เพื่อประเมินแนวโน้มและความผันผวน
แสดงสัญญาณ Breakout และ Bounce/Reject อย่างชัดเจนบนกราฟ
รองรับ Alerts สำหรับ 4 เงื่อนไขสำคัญ: Breakout ขึ้น/ลง, Demand Bounce, Supply Reject
มีตารางแสดง Trend และค่า ATR ปัจจุบัน
เหมาะสำหรับผู้ที่ต้องการดูแนวโน้ม, หาจุดเข้า/ออก และรับการแจ้งเตือนอัตโนมัติ โดยไม่ต้องเฝ้ากราฟตลอดเวลา
Description (English):
A comprehensive trading toolkit indicator for professional traders.
Automatically detects Support/Resistance levels using swing pivots
Generates Supply/Demand Zones based on ATR to highlight potential reversal areas
Plots Moving Average and ATR Bands for trend and volatility analysis
Displays clear signal markers for Breakouts and Zone Bounces/Rejects
Provides Alerts for 4 key conditions: Breakout Up/Down, Demand Bounce, Supply Reject
Includes an on-chart table showing the current Trend and ATR value
Ideal for traders who want automatic key levels, zones, and signal alerts without the need to monitor the chart constantly.
ABO LANA-𝑀1. إشارات التداول الرئيسية:
إشارة شراء (BUY):
تظهر عند تحول اتجاه السوق من هابط إلى صاعد، مع إغلاق السعر فوق المتوسط المتحرك (EMA 9).
إشارة بيع (SELL):
تظهر عند تحول الاتجاه من صاعد إلى هابط، مع إغلاق السعر تحت المتوسط المتحرك.
2. مناطق العرض والطلب (Supply/Demand):
مناطق العرض (Supply):
تمثل مستويات مقاومة رئيسية (لون أحمر) تُرسم عند القمم السعرية.
مناطق الطلب (Demand):
تمثل مستويات دعم رئيسية (لون أخضر) تُرسم عند القيعان السعرية.
تحديث تلقائي بناءً على حركة السعر وأطر زمنية متعددة.
3. إدارة المخاطر والأرباح:
وقف الخسارة (SL):
يُحسب باستخدام مضاعف ATR (المدى الحقيقي).
مستويات الأرباح (TP1, TP2, TP3):
مستويات ثلاثية للأرباح مع مضاعفات قابلة للتخصيص.
تنبيهات صوتية عند تحقيق كل هدف.
4. لوحة المعلومات (Dashboard):
اتجاه السوق: صاعد/هابط عبر 6 أطر زمنية (من 1 دقيقة إلى يومي).
مؤشر الزخم (Momentum):
اتجاه حركة السعر خلال 10 شمعات.
RSI مخصص:
يجمع بين RSI قصير المدى (2) ومتوسط متحرك (7).
حجم التداول: صاعد/هابط مقارنة بالمتوسط.
قوة الترند (ADX): قوي/ضعيف.
5. ميزات إضافية:
خطوط اتجاه ديناميكية:
تُرسم تلقائياً بين القمم والقيعان.
مستويات دعم/مقاومة:
مستخرجة من 7 أطر زمنية (H4, H1, M30, ...).
نطاق متوسط (Middle Band):
خط برتقالي يعكس متوسط حركة السعر.
تحليل السيولة:
يعتمد على شموع هايكين أشي وحجم التداول.
Brief Explanation of ABO LANA-M (English):
1. Core Trading Signals:
BUY Signal:
Triggers when market trend shifts from bearish to bullish, with price closing above EMA 9.
SELL Signal:
Activates when trend reverses from bullish to bearish, with price closing below EMA 9.
2. Supply/Demand Zones:
Supply Zones (Red):
Key resistance levels plotted at swing highs.
Demand Zones (Green):
Key support levels plotted at swing lows.
Auto-updated based on price action across multiple timeframes.
3. Risk & Profit Management:
Stop Loss (SL):
Calculated using ATR multiplier.
Take Profit Targets (TP1, TP2, TP3):
Three customizable profit levels.
Audio alerts when each target is hit.
4. Smart Dashboard:
Market Trend: Bullish/Bearish across 6 timeframes (1m to Daily).
Momentum Indicator:
Price movement direction over 10 candles.
Custom RSI:
Combines RSI(2) with SMA(7) for smoother readings.
Volume Analysis:
Compares current volume to 20-period average.
Trend Strength (ADX): Strong/Weak.
5. Advanced Features:
Dynamic Trendlines:
Automatically drawn between swing highs/lows.
Support/Resistance Levels:
Extracted from 7 timeframes (H4, H1, M30, etc.).
Middle Band:
Orange line showing price equilibrium.
Liquidity Analysis:
Based on Heikin Ashi candles and volume confirmation.
TSD Quantum [Moeinudin Montazerfaraj] 🔸 "TSD" stands for **Trend 1-2-3 and Supply & Demand**, which is the foundation of the trading style this indicator is built upon.
🔹 TSD Quantum is a specialized indicator designed exclusively for day traders who trade EURUSD, XAUUSD (Gold), and DAX40 on the 1H, 15M, and 5M timeframes using a Supply & Demand-based strategy.
This indicator is **not suitable for other symbols** and has been tailored specifically for these three assets to ensure high precision and effectiveness.
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### 🔍 Key Features:
✅ **Trading Checklist Panel**
A built-in checklist helps you track every rule in your trading plan. If even one condition is left unchecked, the system highlights it in red and marks the trade as "Not Allowed." This feature enhances trading discipline.
✅ **Spread & ATR Control Panel**
Supports both auto-calculated and fixed values for spread and ATR. This is especially helpful when placing stop-losses quickly and accurately.
✅ **Inside & Outside Candle Detection**
A dedicated panel highlights whether the last candle is inside or outside. Hovering your mouse over the chart elements automatically colorizes the candles:
🔵 Blue = Outside candle
🔴 Red = Inside candle
Also displays the high/low of the latest outside bar.
✅ **Weekly Trade Stats Panel**
Custom-built for the mentioned three assets. You can enter your trades using either fixed risk or floating risk models.
✅ **Performance Metrics**
Helps you build and adjust a floating risk model—so you don’t have to enter every trade with the same lot size. Improves risk management across multiple trades.
✅ **Base Candles Display**
Grey and white base candles are marked based on supply and demand zones.
✅ **EOT Candles**
Candles with a green dot underneath indicate valid EOT opportunities for potential move-outs.
✅ **RC (Rejection Candle) Detection**
RC candles are automatically detected to alert you of potential traps or weaknesses during Supply/Demand formations.
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### ⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator does **not** issue buy/sell signals and **cannot guarantee profit or prevent loss**. It is a **tool for discretionary trading**, not an automated expert advisor.
All decisions must be made by the trader based on their own strategy and risk tolerance.
This is the **latest tested version** of TSD Quantum. All features have been validated and function as intended. Future updates will be provided if needed.
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🙏 Thank you for reviewing this script. We hope it becomes a valuable addition to your day trading toolkit!
Gold vs DXYThe 30-day rolling correlation between Gold (XAU/USD) and the US Dollar Index (DXY) shows how closely the two move together — or more often, in opposite directions — over the last 30 trading days. In most market environments, the relationship is pretty straightforward: when the dollar goes up, gold tends to go down, and vice versa. That’s because gold is priced in dollars, so a stronger dollar makes it more expensive for international buyers, which usually softens demand.
But it’s not always that simple. There are times when this inverse correlation breaks down. For example, if real yields (like the US 10-year yield minus inflation expectations) are rising, that can pressure gold even if the dollar is falling — because higher real returns elsewhere make gold less attractive. Another case is when other currencies, like the euro or yen, rally strongly on their own central bank decisions. This can pull DXY lower without necessarily signaling weakness in the U.S. economy — meaning gold might not benefit much.
There are also “risk-on” moments where investors rotate into equities or crypto, selling off both gold and the dollar in favor of yield or momentum. And during periods of crisis or uncertainty, both gold and the dollar can rise together as safe-haven assets, breaking the usual pattern entirely.
That’s why tracking the rolling correlation is helpful. It shows whether the historical relationship between gold and the dollar is still holding — or if we’re entering a different market regime. It’s not about predicting exact price moves, but about understanding the current backdrop. When gold and DXY are moving out of sync as expected, it can support your trade thesis. But when the correlation flattens or flips, it’s often a sign to dig deeper — macro forces may be shifting.
Alpha - Combined BreakoutThis Pine Script indicator, "Alpha - Combined Breakout," is a combination between Smart Money Breakout Signals and UT Bot Alert, The UT Bot Alert indicator was initially developer by Yo_adriiiiaan
The idea of original code belongs HPotter.
This Indicator helps you identify potential trading opportunities by combining two distinct strategies: Smart Money Breakout and a modified UT Bot (likely a variation of the Ultimate Trend Bot). It provides visual signals, draws lines for potential take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels, and includes a dashboard to track performance metrics.
Tutorial:
Understanding and Using the "Alpha - Combined Breakout" Indicator
This indicator is designed for traders looking for confirmation of market direction and potential entry/exit points by blending structural analysis with a trend-following oscillator.
How it Works (General Concept)
The indicator combines two main components:
Smart Money Breakout: This part identifies significant breaks in market structure, which "smart money" traders often use to gauge shifts in supply and demand. It looks for higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows and flags when these structural points are broken.
UT Bot: This is a trend-following component that generates buy and sell signals based on price action relative to an Average True Range (ATR) based trailing stop.
You can choose to use these signals independently or combined to generate trading alerts and visual cues on your chart. The dashboard provides a quick overview of how well the signals are performing based on your chosen settings and display mode.
Parameters and What They Do
Let's break down each input parameter:
1. Smart Money Inputs
These settings control how the indicator identifies market structure and breakouts.
swingSize (Market Structure Time-Horizon):
What it does: This integer value defines the number of candles used to identify significant "swing" (pivot) points—highs and lows.
Effect: A larger swingSize creates a smoother market structure, focusing on longer-term trends. This means signals might appear less frequently and with some delay but could be more reliable for higher timeframes or broader market movements. A smaller swingSize will pick up more minor market structure changes, leading to more frequent but potentially noisier signals, suitable for lower timeframes or scalping.
Analogy: Think of it like a zoom level on your market structure map. Higher values zoom out, showing only major mountain ranges. Lower values zoom in, showing every hill and bump.
bosConfType (BOS Confirmation Type):
What it does: This string input determines how a Break of Structure (BOS) is confirmed. You have two options:
'Candle Close': A breakout is confirmed only if a candle's closing price surpasses the previous swing high (for bullish) or swing low (for bearish).
'Wicks': A breakout is confirmed if any part of the candle (including its wick) surpasses the previous swing high or low.
Effect: 'Candle Close' provides stronger, more conservative confirmation, as it implies sustained price movement beyond the structure. 'Wicks' provides earlier, more aggressive signals, as it captures momentary breaches of the structure.
Analogy: Imagine a wall. 'Candle Close' means the whole person must get over the wall. 'Wicks' means even a finger touching over the top counts as a breach.
choch (Show CHoCH):
What it does: A boolean (true/false) input to enable or disable the display of "Change of Character" (CHoCH) labels. CHoCH indicates the first structural break against the current dominant trend.
Effect: When true, it helps identify early signs of a potential trend reversal, as it marks where the market's "character" (its tendency to make higher highs/lows or lower lows/highs) first changes.
BULL (Bullish Color) & BEAR (Bearish Color):
What they do: These color inputs allow you to customize the visual appearance of bullish and bearish signals and lines drawn by the Smart Money component.
Effect: Purely cosmetic, helps with visual identification on the chart.
sm_tp_sl_multiplier (SM TP/SL Multiplier (ATR)):
What it does: A float value that acts as a multiplier for the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate the Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels specifically when you're in "Smart Money Only" mode. It uses the ATR calculated by the UT Bot's nLoss_ut as its base.
Effect: A higher multiplier creates wider TP/SL levels, potentially leading to fewer trades but larger wins/losses. A lower multiplier creates tighter TP/SL levels, potentially leading to more frequent but smaller wins/losses.
2. UT Bot Alerts Inputs
These parameters control the behavior and sensitivity of the UT Bot component.
a_ut (UT Key Value (Sensitivity)):
What it does: This integer value adjusts the sensitivity of the UT Bot.
Effect: A higher value makes the UT Bot less sensitive to price fluctuations, resulting in fewer and potentially more reliable signals. A lower value makes it more sensitive, generating more signals, which can include more false signals.
Analogy: Like a noise filter. Higher values filter out more noise, keeping only strong signals.
c_ut (UT ATR Period):
What it does: This integer sets the look-back period for the Average True Range (ATR) calculation used by the UT Bot. ATR measures market volatility.
Effect: This period directly influences the calculation of the nLoss_ut (which is a_ut * xATR_ut), thus defining the distance of the trailing stop loss and take profit levels. A longer period makes the ATR smoother and less reactive to sudden price spikes. A shorter period makes it more responsive.
h_ut (UT Signals from Heikin Ashi Candles):
What it does: A boolean (true/false) input to determine if the UT Bot calculations should use standard candlestick data or Heikin Ashi candlestick data.
Effect: Heikin Ashi candles smooth out price action, often making trends clearer and reducing noise. Using them for UT Bot signals can lead to smoother, potentially delayed signals that stay with a trend longer. Standard candles are more reactive to raw price changes.
3. Line Drawing Control Buttons
These crucial boolean inputs determine which type of signals will trigger the drawing of TP/SL/Entry lines and flags on your chart. They act as a priority system.
drawLinesUtOnly (Draw Lines: UT Only):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when the UT Bot generates a buy/sell signal.
Effect: Isolates UT Bot signals for visual analysis.
drawLinesSmartMoneyOnly (Draw Lines: Smart Money Only):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when the Smart Money Breakout logic generates a bullish/bearish breakout.
Effect: Overrides drawLinesUtOnly if both are checked. Isolates Smart Money signals.
drawLinesCombined (Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when both a UT Bot signal AND a Smart Money Breakout signal occur on the same bar.
Effect: Overrides both drawLinesUtOnly and drawLinesSmartMoneyOnly if checked. Provides the strictest entry criteria for line drawing, looking for strong confluence.
Dashboard Metrics Explained
The dashboard provides performance statistics based on the lines drawing control button selected. For example, if "Draw Lines: UT Only" is active, the dashboard will show stats only for UT Bot signals.
Total Signals: The total number of buy or sell signals generated by the selected drawing mode.
TP1 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 1 (TP1) before hitting the Stop Loss.
TP2 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 2 (TP2) before hitting the Stop Loss.
TP3 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 3 (TP3) before hitting the Stop Loss. (Note: TP1, TP2, TP3 are in order of distance from entry, with TP3 being furthest.)
SL before any TP rate: This crucial metric shows the number of times the Stop Loss was hit / the percentage of total signals where the stop loss was triggered before any of the three Take Profit levels were reached. This gives you a clear picture of how often a trade resulted in a loss without ever moving into profit target territory.
Short Tutorial: How to Use the Indicator
Add to Chart: Open your TradingView chart, go to "Indicators," search for "Alpha - Combined Breakout," and add it to your chart.
Access Settings: Once added, click the gear icon next to the indicator name on your chart to open its settings.
Choose Your Signal Mode:
For UT Bot only: Uncheck "Draw Lines: Smart Money Only" and "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". Ensure "Draw Lines: UT Only" is checked.
For Smart Money only: Uncheck "Draw Lines: UT Only" and "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". Ensure "Draw Lines: Smart Money Only" is checked.
For Combined Signals: Check "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". This will override the other two.
Adjust Parameters:
Start with default settings. Observe how the signals appear on your chosen asset and timeframe.
Refine Smart Money: If you see too many "noisy" market structure breaks, increase swingSize. If you want earlier breakouts, try "Wicks" for bosConfType.
Refine UT Bot: Adjust a_ut (Sensitivity) to get more or fewer UT Bot signals. Change c_ut (ATR Period) if you want larger or smaller TP/SL distances. Experiment with h_ut to see if Heikin Ashi smoothing suits your trading style.
Adjust TP/SL Multiplier: If using "Smart Money Only" mode, fine-tune sm_tp_sl_multiplier to set appropriate risk/reward levels.
Interpret Signals & Lines:
Buy/Sell Flags: These indicate the presence of a signal based on your selected drawing mode.
Entry Line (Blue Solid): This is where the signal was generated (usually the close price of the signal candle).
SL Line (Red/Green Solid): Your calculated stop loss level.
TP Lines (Dashed): Your three calculated take profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, where TP3 is the furthest target).
Smart Money Lines (BOS/CHoCH): These lines indicate horizontal levels where market structure breaks occurred. CHoCH labels might appear at the first structural break against the prior trend.
Monitor Dashboard: Pay attention to the dashboard in the top right corner. This dynamically updates to show the win rates for each TP and, crucially, the "SL before any TP rate." Use these statistics to evaluate the effectiveness of the indicator's signals under your current settings and chosen mode.
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Set Alerts (Optional): You can set up alerts for any of the specific signals (UT Bot Long/Short, Smart Money Bullish/Bearish, or the "Line Draw" combined signals) to notify you when they occur, even if you're not actively watching the chart.
By following this tutorial, you'll be able to effectively use and customize the "Alpha - Combined Breakout" indicator to suit your trading strategy.
Red Report Filter x 'Bull_Trap_9'Hello Traders!
This one is my favorite.
This is indicator / filter: '2 of 2.'
'1 of 2' is the, 'Closed Market Filter,' I posted before this that you may like.
Again, I prefer 'Filter' over 'Indicator' because this Pine Script code does not interact with the actual price data.
It makes handling high impact reports effortless.
As you all know; if you're on a Prop and breach a 'Red,' you lose your account.
This will filter up to 5 reports. More than enough unless you're on EURUSD!
It offers both 'Red' and 'Orange' report control.
The default window times of 15 / 6 are programmed for red events. You can always alter the base code for your desired, 'Before / After.'
Click the tooltip for more info.
How to use:
You do need to update the inputs daily with the current report times before each open.
I trade YM / US markets. Those reports are very repetitive on their delivery times, so I usually leave a 10:00 setting in slot 1. I then toggle it 'On' or 'Off' per demand.
Just open the dialogue box and it is pretty self explanatory.
I used task scheduler for a lot of years, but that wasn't very reliable, modest work to set up daily and a lot of times I may not hear it or it malfunctions because of a Windows update.
TradingView has the little icon that floats from the bottom right, but who really looks for that.
Any audio alert is subject to fail for a number of reasons.
This filter REDS the screen in your face. Leaves no doubt about what's coming.
I know there may be other apps and options out there, but this filter is integral to the TradingView chart itself embedded through Pine Script. It is right there, a click away, easy to input data, and as long as your chart is active and working, the filter will fire.
I did not build an alert condition into this, but I'm sure that could be an option if you want to program in audio as well.
Please Note: Only when the price candles push into the filter zone, will the filter start to display. Run a test a minute from the current price candle and you can see how it functions.
I appreciate your interest.
SMA Smooth Market Structure (Multi-Timeframe)SMA Market Structure (Multi-Timeframe) is a powerful tool for tracking structural price action, using simple moving averages across any higher timeframe (HTF). It blends Smart Money Concepts with clean swing logic to reveal trend shifts, breaks of structure, and supply/demand zones.
This indicator highlights key structure features:
• Break of Structure (BOS) – Automatic detection of bullish or bearish swing breaks
• Internal Shifts – Early clues that the market is building toward a reversal
• Liquidity Sweeps (LS) – Detects swing failures that may trap traders
• Zigzag Swing Lines – Cleanly connects swing highs and lows
• Dynamic Zones – Demand (green) and supply (red) blocks drawn from engulfing breakouts
How to Use:
• Set your preferred HTF (e.g. 1H on a 15m chart) to view structure in proper context and
adjust SMA to smooth out market structure for directional consistency
• Watch BOS lines and swing labels like HH, HL, LH, LL for directional clarity
• Use the MS (Market Shift) label to identify full reversals after internal shifts + BOS
• Demand/Supply zones mark areas of previous strength and will update or mitigate automatically
• Alerts notify you of every BOS, MS, HH, LL, and LS event — no need to monitor manually
Customization Features:
• Toggle visibility of market shift markers, internal shifts, and zones
• Choose how internal shifts are calculated (High/Low or Open)
• Customize line style, width, and colors for BOS and zigzag lines
• Control zone duration and how mitigated zones behave (fade or delete)
• Built-in safety for Pine Script’s history limits using smart offset caps
Best Use Tips:
• Combine with price action patterns or volume for confirmation
• MS + BOS + zone tap often marks a high-probability reversal setup
• Use it to align lower timeframe entries with higher timeframe structure
For traders who want structure clarity without clutter, this tool is built to keep your chart actionable and adaptive.
GEEKSDOBYTE IFVG w/ Buy/Sell Signals1. Inputs & Configuration
Swing Lookback (swingLen)
Controls how many bars on each side are checked to mark a swing high or swing low (default = 5).
Booleans to Toggle Plotting
showSwings – Show small triangle markers at swing highs/lows
showFVG – Show Fair Value Gap zones
showSignals – Show “BUY”/“SELL” labels when price inverts an FVG
showDDLine – Show a yellow “DD” line at the close of the inversion bar
showCE – Show an orange dashed “CE” line at the midpoint of the gap area
2. Swing High / Low Detection
isSwingHigh = ta.pivothigh(high, swingLen, swingLen)
Marks a bar as a swing high if its high is higher than the highs of the previous swingLen bars and the next swingLen bars.
isSwingLow = ta.pivotlow(low, swingLen, swingLen)
Marks a bar as a swing low if its low is lower than the lows of the previous and next swingLen bars.
Plotting
If showSwings is true, small red downward triangles appear above swing highs, and green upward triangles below swing lows.
3. Fair Value Gap (3‐Bar) Identification
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is defined here using a simple three‐bar logic (sometimes called an “inefficiency” in price):
Bullish FVG (bullFVG)
Checks if, two bars ago, the low of that bar (low ) is strictly greater than the current bar’s high (high).
In other words:
bullFVG = low > high
Bearish FVG (bearFVG)
Checks if, two bars ago, the high of that bar (high ) is strictly less than the current bar’s low (low).
In other words:
bearFVG = high < low
When either condition is true, it identifies a three‐bar “gap” or unfilled imbalance in the market.
4. Drawing FVG Zones
If showFVG is enabled, each time a bullish or bearish FVG is detected:
Bullish FVG Zone
Draws a semi‐transparent green box from the bar two bars ago (where the gap began) at low up to the current bar’s high.
Bearish FVG Zone
Draws a semi‐transparent red box from the bar two bars ago at high down to the current bar’s low.
These colored boxes visually highlight the “fair value imbalance” area on the chart.
5. Inversion (Fill) Detection & Entry Signals
An inversion is defined as the price “closing through” that previously drawn FVG:
Bullish Inversion (bullInversion)
Occurs when a bullish FVG was identified on bar-2 (bullFVG), and on the current bar the close is greater than that old bar-2 low:
bullInversion = bullFVG and close > low
Bearish Inversion (bearInversion)
Occurs when a bearish FVG was identified on bar-2 (bearFVG), and on the current bar the close is lower than that old bar-2 high:
bearInversion = bearFVG and close < high
When an inversion is true, the indicator optionally draws two lines and a label (depending on input toggles):
Draw “DD” Line (yellow, solid)
Plots a horizontal yellow line from the current bar’s close price extending five bars forward (bar_index + 5). This is often referred to as a “Demand/Daily Demand” line, marking where price inverted the gap.
Draw “CE” Line (orange, dashed)
Calculates the midpoint (ce) of the original FVG zone.
For a bullish inversion:
ce = (low + high) / 2
For a bearish inversion:
ce = (high + low) / 2
Plots a horizontal dashed orange line at that midpoint for five bars forward.
Plot Label (“BUY” / “SELL”)
If showSignals is true, a green “BUY” label is placed at the low of the current bar when a bullish inversion occurs.
Likewise, a red “SELL” label at the high of the current bar when a bearish inversion happens.
6. Putting It All Together
Swing Markers (Optional):
Visually confirm recent swing highs and swing lows with small triangles.
FVG Zones (Optional):
Highlight areas where price left a 3-bar gap (bullish in green, bearish in red).
Inversion Confirmation:
Wait for price to close beyond the old FVG boundary.
Once that happens, draw the yellow “DD” line at the close, the orange dashed “CE” line at the zone’s midpoint, and place a “BUY” or “SELL” label exactly on that bar.
User Controls:
All of the above elements can be individually toggled on/off (showSwings, showFVG, showSignals, showDDLine, showCE).
In Practice
A bullish FVG forms whenever a strong drop leaves a gap in liquidity (three bars ago low > current high).
When price later “fills” that gap by closing above the old low, the script signals a potential long entry (BUY), draws a demand line at the closing price, and marks the midpoint of that gap.
Conversely, a bearish FVG marks a potential short zone (three bars ago high < current low). When price closes below that gap’s high, it signals a SELL, with similar lines drawn.
By combining these elements, the indicator helps users visually identify inefficiencies (FVGs), confirm when price inverts/fills them, and place straightforward buy/sell labels alongside reference lines for trade management.
Long Wick Detector [LuxAlgo]The Long Wick Detector tool allows traders to identify candle wicks longer than a user-defined volatility threshold. This makes it useful for spotting zones with high supply or demand.
The tool displays mitigated and unmitigated levels and changes the color of the candles based on wick size and level breakouts.
🔶 USAGE
By default, the tool displays long mitigated and unmitigated candle wicks, with a maximum duration for an unmitigated long wick of 1,000 bars. What does all this mean?
🔹 Wick Threshold
Traders can adjust the volatility threshold to identify long wicks, with a higher threshold detecting more significant wicks.
As we can see in the image above, the tool detects more wicks with a smaller threshold compared to a higher one.
🔹 Level %
Traders can choose the percentage of the wick at which the level is located. By default, the level is displayed at the extremes of the wick. This parameter accepts values between 0 and 100.
100: extreme of the wick
50: middle of the wick
0: start of the wick
🔹 Max Duration
This parameter allows traders to specify the number of bars for the levels. The tool will only display mitigated or unmitigated levels up to the specified number of bars.
As shown in the above image, a longer duration allows more room for mitigation, displaying more levels.
🔹 Colored Candles
The tool allows for color customization using two parameters from the settings panel. The chart shows the different outputs.
The setting "Wick-Based Transparency" makes candles with smaller wicks less visible and candles with longer wicks more visible.
On the other hand, "Breakout-Based Color" changes the base color of the candles based on the mitigation of long wicks. When the price breaks above a detected top wick, the bullish color is used. When the price breaks below a detected bottom wick, the bearish color is used.
🔶 SETTINGS
Wick Threshold: The volatility threshold for wick detection. Use a smaller value to detect smaller wicks.
Level %: Placement of the plotted level relative to the wick.
Max Duration: The maximum duration in bars of mitigated wicks.
Mitigated Wicks: Enable or disable mitigated wicks.
🔹 Style
Wick Based Transparency: Make candles with smaller wicks more transparent and candles with longer wicks more solid.
Breakout Based Color: Change the base color based on wick mitigation.
Bullish & Bearish Colors
Institutional Support/Resistance Locator🏛️ Institutional Support/Resistance Locator
Overview
The Institutional Support/Resistance Locator identifies high-probability demand and supply zones based on strong price rejection, large candle bodies, and elevated volume . These zones are commonly targeted or defended by institutional participants, helping traders anticipate potential reversal or continuation areas.
⸻
How It Works
The indicator uses a confluence of conditions to detect zones:
• Large Body Candles: Body size must exceed the moving average body size multiplied by a user-defined factor.
• High Volume: Volume must exceed the moving average volume by a configurable multiplier.
• Wick Rejection: Candles must show strong upper or lower wicks indicating aggressive rejection.
• If all criteria are met:
• Bullish candles form a Demand Zone.
• Bearish candles form a Supply Zone.
Each zone is plotted for a customizable number of future bars, representing areas where institutions may re-engage with the market.
⸻
Key Features
• ✅ Highlights institutional demand and supply areas dynamically
• ✅ Customizable sensitivity: body, volume, wick, padding, and zone extension
• ✅ Zones plotted as translucent regions with auto-expiry
• ✅ Works across all timeframes and markets
⸻
How to Use
• Trend Traders: Use demand zones for potential bounce entries in uptrends, and supply zones for pullback short entries in downtrends.
• Range Traders: Use zones as potential reversal points inside sideways market structures.
• Scalpers & Intraday Traders: Combine with volume or price action near zones for refined entries.
Always validate zone reactions with supporting indicators or price behavior.
⸻
Why This Combination?
The combination of wick rejection, volume confirmation, and large candle structure is designed to reflect footprints of smart money. Rather than relying on fixed pivots or subjective zones, this logic adapts to the current market context with statistically grounded conditions.
⸻
Why It’s Worth Using
This tool offers traders a structured way to interpret institutional activity on charts without relying on guesswork. By plotting potential high-impact areas, it helps improve reaction time.
⸻
Note :
• This script is open-source and non-commercial.
• No performance guarantees or unrealistic claims are made.
• It is intended for educational and analytical purposes only.
Stablecoin Supply Ratio [Alpha Extract]Stablecoin Supply Ratio Indicator
The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) indicator compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to the aggregate supply of major stablecoins, offering insights into relative purchasing power and liquidity. This tool helps traders:
✔ Assess Bitcoin's buying power relative to the available stablecoin liquidity.
✔ Detect periods of capital inflow or outflow from stablecoins.
✔ Identify market sentiment shifts based on stablecoin reserves.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator aggregates the supply of key stablecoins and compares it to Bitcoin's market cap:
Stablecoin Aggregation
• Inputs:
USDT, USDC, DAI, USDD (daily closing values).
BUSD Market Cap (Glassnode data).
• Total Stablecoin Supply:
Sum of the listed stablecoins' market caps.
Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR)
• Formula:
SSR = Bitcoin Market Cap / Total Stablecoin Supply
• Normalized SSR:
Normalized by dividing SSR by its 200-day SMA.
Bollinger Bands
• Bands are applied to the normalized SSR using a configurable moving average type and 2 standard deviations.
Example Calculation:
ssr = btcmc / stablecoin_liq
ratio = ssr / ta.sma(ssr, 200)
basis = ta.sma(ratio, 200)
dev = 2 * ta.stdev(ratio, 200)
upper = basis + dev
lower = basis - dev
🔶 DETAILS
Visual Features:
• Normalized SSR:
Plotted as a light green line.
• Upper Band:
Red line indicating SSR overbought zone.
• Lower Band:
Green line signaling SSR oversold zone.
Interpretation:
• High SSR: Indicates stablecoin reserves are low relative to Bitcoin's market cap, reducing stablecoin buying power.
• Low SSR: Suggests high stablecoin liquidity relative to Bitcoin's market cap, increasing potential buying pressure.
• Band Crosses: Movements beyond the upper or lower bands may signal sentiment extremes.
🔶 EXAMPLES
Market insights include:
• Capital Outflows: SSR rising into the upper band may reflect decreasing stablecoin reserves, potentially signaling a liquidity drain.
• Capital Inflows: SSR dropping near the lower band could indicate growing stablecoin reserves, potentially fueling Bitcoin demand.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
• MA Type: Choose between SMA, EMA, WMA, SMMA, and VWMA for band calculation.
• Period: Adjust the 200-day smoothing period.
• Deviation Multiplier: Modify the standard deviation multiplier (default: 2).
The Stablecoin Supply Ratio indicator is a valuable tool for traders monitoring liquidity dynamics and stablecoin trends to anticipate Bitcoin market moves and capital flows.
Volume Range Profile with Fair Value (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Volume Range Profile with Fair Value (Zeiierman) is a precision-built volume-mapping tool designed to help traders visualize where institutional-level activity is occurring within the price range — and how that volume behavior shifts over time.
Unlike traditional volume profiles that rely on fixed session boundaries or static anchors, this tool dynamically calculates and displays volume zones across both the upper and lower ends of a price range, revealing point-of-control (POC) levels, directional volume flow, and a fair value drift line that updates live with each candle.
You’re not just looking at volume anymore. You’re dissecting who’s in control — and at what price.
⚪ In simple terms:
Upper Zone = The upper portion of the price range, showing concentrated volume activity — typically where selling or distribution may occur
Lower Zone = The lower portion of the price range, highlighting areas of high volume — often associated with buying or accumulation
POC Bin = The bin (price level) with the highest traded volume in the zone — considered the most accepted price by the market
Fair Value Trend = A dynamic trend line tracking the average POC price over time — visualizing the evolving fair value
Zone Labels = Display real-time breakdown of buy/sell volume within each zone and inside the POC — revealing who’s in control
█ How It Works
⚪ Volume Zones
Upper Zone: Anchored at the highest high in the lookback period
Lower Zone: Anchored at the lowest low in the lookback period
Width is user-defined via % of range
Each zone is divided into a series of volume bins
⚪ Volume Bins (Histograms)
Each zone is split into N bins that show how much volume occurred at each level:
Taller = More volume
The POC bin (Point of Control) is highlighted
Labels show % of volume in the POC relative to the whole zone
⚪ Buy vs Sell Breakdown
Each volume bin is split by:
Buy Volume = Close ≥ Open
Sell Volume = Close < Open
The script accumulates these and displays total Buy/Sell volume per zone.
⚪ Fair Value Drift Line
A POC trend is plotted over time:
Represents where volume was most active across each range
Color changes dynamically — green for rising, red for falling
Serves as a real-time fair value anchor across changing market structure
█ How to Use
⚪ Identify Key Control Zones
Use Upper/Lower Zone structures to understand where supply and demand is building.
Zones automatically adapt to recent highs/lows and re-center volume accordingly.
⚪ Follow Institutional Activity
Watch for POC clustering near price tops or bottoms.
Large volumes near extremes may indicate accumulation or distribution.
⚪ Spot Fair Value Drift
The fair value trend line (average POC price) gives insight into market equilibrium.
One strategy can be to trade a re-test of the fair value trend, trades are taken in the direction of the current trend.
█ Understanding Buy & Sell Volume Labels (Zone Totals)
These labels show the total buy and sell volume accumulated within each zone over the selected lookback period:
Buy Vol (green label) → Total volume where candles closed bullish
Sell Vol (red label) → Total volume where candles closed bearish
Together, they tell you which side dominated:
Higher Buy Vol → Bullish accumulation zone
Higher Sell Vol → Bearish distribution zone
This gives a quick visual insight into who controlled the zone, helping you spot areas of demand or supply imbalance.
█ Understanding POC Volume Labels
The POC (Point of Control) represents the price level where the most volume occurred within the zone. These labels break down that volume into:
Buy % – How much of the volume was buying (price closed up)
Sell % – How much was selling (price closed down)
Total % – How much of the entire zone’s volume happened at the POC
Use it to spot strong demand or supply zones:
High Buy % + High Total % → Strong buying interest = likely support
High Sell % + High Total % → Strong selling pressure = likely resistance
It gives a deeper look into who was in control at the most important price level.
█ Why It’s Useful
Track where fair value is truly forming
Detect aggressive volume accumulation or dumping
Visually split buyer/seller control at the most relevant price levels
Adapt volume structures to current trend direction
█ Settings Explained
Lookback Period: Number of bars to scan for highs/lows. Higher = smoother zones, Lower = reactive.
Zone Width (% of Range): Controls how much of the range is used to define each zone. Higher = broader zones.
Bins per Zone: Number of volume slices per zone. Higher = more detail, but heavier on resources.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Volume Order Blocks [BigBeluga]Volume Order Blocks is a powerful indicator that identifies significant order blocks based on price structure, helping traders spot key supply and demand zones. The tool leverages EMA crossovers to determine the formation of bullish and bearish order blocks while visualizing their associated volume and relative strength.
🔵 Key Features:
Order Block Detection via EMA Crossovers:
Plots bullish order blocks at recent lows when the short EMA crosses above the long EMA.
Plots bearish order blocks at recent highs when the short EMA crosses below the long EMA.
Uses customizable sensitivity through the “Sensitivity Detection” setting to fine-tune block formation.
Volume Collection and Visualization:
Calculates the total volume between the EMA crossover bar and the corresponding high (bearish OB) or low (bullish OB).
Displays the absolute volume amount next to each order block for clear volume insights.
Percentage Volume Distribution:
Shows the percentage distribution of volume among bullish or bearish order blocks.
100% represents the cumulative volume of all OBs in the same category (bullish or bearish).
Order Block Removal Conditions:
Bullish order blocks are removed when the price closes below the bottom of the block.
Bearish order blocks are removed when the price closes above the top of the block.
Helps maintain chart clarity by only displaying relevant and active levels.
Midline Feature:
Dashed midline inside each order block indicates the midpoint between the upper and lower boundaries.
Traders can toggle the midline on or off through the settings.
Shadow Trend:
Shadow Trend dynamically visualizes trend strength and direction by adapting its color intensity based on price movement.
🔵 Usage:
Supply & Demand Zones: Use bullish and bearish order blocks to identify key market reversal or continuation points.
Volume Strength Analysis: Compare volume percentages to gauge which order blocks hold stronger market significance.
Breakout Confirmation: Monitor block removal conditions for potential breakout signals beyond support or resistance zones.
Trend Reversals: Combine EMA crossovers with order block formation for early trend reversal detection.
Risk Management: Use OB boundaries as potential stop-loss or entry points.
Volume Order Blocks is an essential tool for traders seeking to incorporate volume-based supply and demand analysis into their trading strategy. By combining price action, volume data, and EMA crossovers, it offers a comprehensive view of market structure and potential turning points.
Wyckoff Event Detection [Alpha Extract]Wyckoff Event Detection
A powerful and intelligent indicator designed to detect key Wyckoff events in real time, helping traders analyze market structure and anticipate potential trend shifts. Using volume and price action, this script automatically identifies distribution and accumulation phases, providing traders with valuable insights into market behavior.
🔶 Phase-Based Detection
Utilizes a phase detection algorithm that evaluates price and volume conditions to identify accumulation (bullish) and distribution (bearish) events. This method ensures the script effectively captures major market turning points and avoids noise.
🔶 Multi-Factor Event Recognition
Incorporates multiple event conditions, including upthrusts, selling climaxes, and springs, to detect high-probability entry and exit points. Each event is filtered through customizable sensitivity settings, ensuring precise detection aligned with different trading styles.
🔶 Customizable Parameters
Fine-tune event detection with adjustable thresholds for volume, price movement, trend strength, and event spacing. These inputs allow traders to personalize the script to match their strategy and risk tolerance.
// === USER INPUTS ===
i_volLen = input.int(20, "Volume MA Length", minval=1)
i_priceLookback = input.int(20, "Price Pattern Lookback", minval=5)
i_lineLength = input.int(15, "Line Length", minval=5)
i_labelSpacing = input.int(5, "Minimum Label Spacing (bars)", minval=1, maxval=20)
❓How It Works
🔶 Event Identification
The script scans for key Wyckoff events by analyzing volume spikes, price deviations, and trend shifts within a user-defined lookback period. It categorizes events into bullish (accumulation) or bearish (distribution) structures and plots them directly on the chart.
// === EVENT DETECTION ===
volMA = ta.sma(volume, i_volLen)
highestHigh = ta.highest(high, i_priceLookback)
lowestLow = ta.lowest(low, i_priceLookback)
🔶 Automatic Filtering & Cleanup
Unconfirmed or weak signals are filtered out using customizable strength multipliers and volume thresholds. Events that do not meet the minimum conditions are discarded to keep the chart clean and informative.
🔶 Phase Strength Analysis
The script continuously tracks bullish and bearish event counts to determine whether the market is currently in an accumulation, distribution, or neutral phase. This allows traders to align their strategies accordingly.
🔶 Visual Alerts & Labels
Detects and labels key Wyckoff events directly on the chart, providing immediate insights into market conditions:
- PSY (Preliminary Supply) and UT (Upthrust) for distribution phases.
- PS (Preliminary Support) and SC (Selling Climax) for accumulation phases.
- Labels adjust dynamically to avoid chart clutter and improve readability.
🔶 Entry & Exit Optimization
By highlighting supply and demand imbalances, the script assists traders in identifying optimal entry and exit points. Wyckoff concepts such as springs and upthrusts provide clear trade signals based on market structure.
🔶 Trend Confirmation & Risk Management
Observing how price reacts to detected events helps confirm trend direction and potential reversals. Traders can place stop-loss and take-profit levels based on Wyckoff phase analysis, ensuring strategic trade execution.
🔶 Table-Based Market Analysis (Table)
A built-in table summarizes:
- Market Phase: Accumulation, Distribution, or Neutral.
- Strength of Phase: Weak, Moderate, or Strong.
- Price Positioning: Whether price is near support, resistance, or in a trading range.
- Supply/Demand State: Identifies whether the market is supply or demand dominant.
🔶 Why Choose Wyckoff Market Phases - Alpha Extract?
This indicator offers a systematic approach to understanding market mechanics through the lens of Wyckoff's time-tested principles. By providing clear and actionable insights into market phases, it empowers traders to make informed decisions, enhancing both confidence and performance in various trading environments.
[TehThomas] - ICT Volume ImbalanceThis script is a Volume Imbalance (VI) detector and visualizer for use on the TradingView platform. The goal of the script is to automatically identify areas where there are significant imbalances in the volume of trades between consecutive candlesticks and visually highlight these areas. These imbalances can provide traders with valuable insights about the market’s current condition, often signaling potential reversal or continuation points based on price and volume action.
ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Concept of Volume Imbalances
Volume imbalances are a critical concept in the ICT trading methodology. They refer to situations where there is an unusual or significant difference in volume between two consecutive candlesticks, which might indicate institutional or large player activity. According to ICT principles, these imbalances can show us areas of market inefficiency or potential price manipulation. By identifying these imbalances, traders can gain an edge in understanding where the market is likely to move next.
Bullish and Bearish Volume Imbalances:
Bullish Volume Imbalance: This occurs when there is a strong increase in buying pressure, typically indicated by a higher volume on a candle that closes significantly above the previous one, often leaving a gap or larger price movement. The market could be preparing to push higher, and the volume shows a clear shift in buying demand.
Bearish Volume Imbalance:
Conversely, a bearish imbalance occurs when there is a strong increase in selling pressure, typically signaled by a candle that closes significantly lower than the previous one, again with higher volume. This could indicate that large players are offloading positions, and the price is likely to drop further.
Key Features and Functions of the Script
The script automates the process of detecting these volume imbalances and visually marking them on a price chart. Let’s explore its functionality in detail.
1. Inputs Section
The script allows for significant customization through its input options, which help traders adjust the detection and visualization of volume imbalances based on their individual preferences and trading style. Below are the details:
lookback (250 bars): This input specifies the number of bars (or candles) the script should look back when analyzing the volume imbalance. By setting this to 250, the user is looking at the last 250 bars on the chart to detect any significant volume imbalances. This period is adjustable between 50 to 500 bars.
volumeThreshold (1.0 multiplier): This input helps set the sensitivity for identifying volume imbalances. The script compares the volume of the current candle with the previous one, and if the current volume exceeds the previous volume by this threshold multiplier (in this case, 1.0 means at least equal to the previous volume), then it triggers an imbalance. Users can adjust the multiplier to suit different market conditions.
showBoxes (true/false): This toggle determines whether the boxes representing volume imbalances are drawn on the chart. When enabled, the script visually highlights the imbalances with colored boxes.
fillBaseColor (orange with 80% opacity): This is the color setting for the background of the imbalance boxes. A softer color (like orange with opacity) ensures the imbalance is highlighted without obscuring the price action.
borderColor (gray): The color of the border around the imbalance boxes. This adds a visual distinction to make the imbalance areas more visible.
borderWidth (1 pixel): This controls the width of the box's border to adjust how prominent it appears.
rightOffset (30 bars): This input controls how far the imbalance box extends to the right on the chart. It helps users anticipate the potential continuation of the imbalance beyond the current candle.
allowWickOverlap (true/false): This setting allows imbalances to be identified even if the wicks of the two consecutive candlesticks overlap. If set to false, only imbalances where the bodies of the candlesticks don’t overlap are considered.
showBrokenBoxes (true/false): If enabled, once a volume imbalance no longer holds true (i.e., the price breaks through the box), the box is marked as "broken." If disabled, the box is deleted when the imbalance condition no longer applies.
brokenBoxColor (red): This controls the color of the box when it is broken, which can be used as a visual cue that the imbalance was invalidated or no longer valid for analysis.
2. Volume Imbalance Function
This is the core function of the script, where the logic to detect bullish and bearish volume imbalances is implemented.
Bullish Imbalance Condition:
The first condition checks if the low of the current candle is greater than the high of the previous candle. This suggests that the market is moving upward with buying pressure.
The second condition checks whether the volume of the current candle is higher than the previous candle by the volumeThreshold multiplier. If both conditions are satisfied, a bullish imbalance is detected.
Bearish Imbalance Condition:
The first condition checks if the high of the current candle is lower than the low of the previous candle. This suggests downward price action with selling pressure.
The second condition checks whether the current volume exceeds the previous volume by the threshold
Allow Wick Overlap: If allowWickOverlap is set to true, the script will still detect imbalances if the wicks of the two candles overlap (common in volatile markets). If false, imbalances are only considered if the wicks do not overlap.
3. Box Creation and Management
When a volume imbalance is detected, the script creates a box on the chart:
The bullish imbalance box is drawn using the minimum of the open and close of the current bar as the top boundary and the maximum of the open and close of the previous bar as the bottom boundary.
Conversely, the bearish imbalance box is drawn in reverse, using the maximum of the current bar’s open and close as the top boundary and the minimum of the previous bar’s open and close as the bottom boundary.
Once the box is created, it is displayed on the chart with the specified background color, border color, and width.
4. Processing Existing Boxes
After detecting a new imbalance and drawing a box, the script checks whether the box should still remain on the chart:
If the price moves beyond the boundaries of the imbalance box, the box is marked as broken (if showBrokenBoxes is enabled), and its color is changed to red, signifying that the imbalance is no longer valid.
If the box remains intact (i.e., the price has not broken the defined boundaries), the script keeps the box extended to the right as the market continues to evolve.
5. Removing Outdated Boxes
Lastly, the script removes boxes that are older than the specified lookback period. For example, if a box was created 250 bars ago, it will be deleted after that period. This ensures the chart stays clean and only focuses on relevant imbalances.
Why This Script is Useful for Traders
This script is extremely valuable for traders, especially those following the ICT methodology, because it automates the process of detecting market inefficiencies or imbalances that might signal future price action. Here’s why it’s particularly useful:
Identifying Key Areas of Interest: Volume imbalances often point to areas where institutional or large-scale traders have entered the market. These areas could provide clues about the next significant move in the market.
Visualizing Market Structure: By automatically drawing boxes around volume imbalances, the script helps traders visually identify potential areas of support, resistance, or turning points, enabling them to make informed trading decisions.
Time Efficiency: Instead of manually analyzing each candlestick and volume spike, this script does the heavy lifting, saving traders valuable time and allowing them to focus on other aspects of their strategy.
Enhanced Trade Entries and Exits: By understanding where volume imbalances are occurring, traders can time their entries (buying during bullish imbalances and selling during bearish ones) and exits (as imbalances break) more effectively, thus improving their chances of success.
Conclusion
In summary, this script is a powerful tool for traders looking to implement volume imbalance strategies based on the ICT methodology. It automates the identification and visualization of significant imbalances in price and volume, offering traders a clear visual representation of potential market turning points. By customizing the settings, traders can tailor the script to their preferred timeframes and sensitivity, making it a flexible and effective tool for any trading strategy.
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MMXM ICT [TradingFinder] Market Maker Model PO3 CHoCH/CSID + FVG🔵 Introduction
The MMXM Smart Money Reversal leverages key metrics such as SMT Divergence, Liquidity Sweep, HTF PD Array, Market Structure Shift (MSS) or (ChoCh), CISD, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) to identify critical turning points in the market. Designed for traders aiming to analyze the behavior of major market participants, this setup pinpoints strategic areas for making informed trading decisions.
The document introduces the MMXM model, a trading strategy that identifies market maker activity to predict price movements. The model operates across five distinct stages: original consolidation, price run, smart money reversal, accumulation/distribution, and completion. This systematic approach allows traders to differentiate between buyside and sellside curves, offering a structured framework for interpreting price action.
Market makers play a pivotal role in facilitating these movements by bridging liquidity gaps. They continuously quote bid (buy) and ask (sell) prices for assets, ensuring smooth trading conditions.
By maintaining liquidity, market makers prevent scenarios where buyers are left without sellers and vice versa, making their activity a cornerstone of the MMXM strategy.
SMT Divergence serves as the first signal of a potential trend reversal, arising from discrepancies between the movements of related assets or indices. This divergence is detected when two or more highly correlated assets or indices move in opposite directions, signaling a likely shift in market trends.
Liquidity Sweep occurs when the market targets liquidity in specific zones through false price movements. This process allows major market participants to execute their orders efficiently by collecting the necessary liquidity to enter or exit positions.
The HTF PD Array refers to premium and discount zones on higher timeframes. These zones highlight price levels where the market is in a premium (ideal for selling) or discount (ideal for buying). These areas are identified based on higher timeframe market behavior and guide traders toward lucrative opportunities.
Market Structure Shift (MSS), also referred to as ChoCh, indicates a change in market structure, often marked by breaking key support or resistance levels. This shift confirms the directional movement of the market, signaling the start of a new trend.
CISD (Change in State of Delivery) reflects a transition in price delivery mechanisms. Typically occurring after MSS, CISD confirms the continuation of price movement in the new direction.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) represents zones where price imbalance exists between buyers and sellers. These gaps often act as price targets for filling, offering traders opportunities for entry or exit.
By combining all these metrics, the Smart Money Reversal provides a comprehensive tool for analyzing market behavior and identifying key trading opportunities. It enables traders to anticipate the actions of major players and align their strategies accordingly.
MMBM :
MMSM :
🔵 How to Use
The Smart Money Reversal operates in two primary states: MMBM (Market Maker Buy Model) and MMSM (Market Maker Sell Model). Each state highlights critical structural changes in market trends, focusing on liquidity behavior and price reactions at key levels to offer precise and effective trading opportunities.
The MMXM model expands on this by identifying five distinct stages of market behavior: original consolidation, price run, smart money reversal, accumulation/distribution, and completion. These stages provide traders with a detailed roadmap for interpreting price action and anticipating market maker activity.
🟣 Market Maker Buy Model
In the MMBM state, the market transitions from a bearish trend to a bullish trend. Initially, SMT Divergence between related assets or indices reveals weaknesses in the bearish trend. Subsequently, a Liquidity Sweep collects liquidity from lower levels through false breakouts.
After this, the price reacts to discount zones identified in the HTF PD Array, where major market participants often execute buy orders. The market confirms the bullish trend with a Market Structure Shift (MSS) and a change in price delivery state (CISD). During this phase, an FVG emerges as a key trading opportunity. Traders can open long positions upon a pullback to this FVG zone, capitalizing on the bullish continuation.
🟣 Market Maker Sell Model
In the MMSM state, the market shifts from a bullish trend to a bearish trend. Here, SMT Divergence highlights weaknesses in the bullish trend. A Liquidity Sweep then gathers liquidity from higher levels.
The price reacts to premium zones identified in the HTF PD Array, where major sellers enter the market and reverse the price direction. A Market Structure Shift (MSS) and a change in delivery state (CISD) confirm the bearish trend. The FVG then acts as a target for the price. Traders can initiate short positions upon a pullback to this FVG zone, profiting from the bearish continuation.
Market makers actively bridge liquidity gaps throughout these stages, quoting continuous bid and ask prices for assets. This ensures that trades are executed seamlessly, even during periods of low market participation, and supports the structured progression of the MMXM model.
The price’s reaction to FVG zones in both states provides traders with opportunities to reduce risk and enhance precision. These pullbacks to FVG zones not only represent optimal entry points but also create avenues for maximizing returns with minimal risk.
🔵 Settings
Higher TimeFrame PD Array : Selects the timeframe for identifying premium/discount arrays on higher timeframes.
PD Array Period : Specifies the number of candles for identifying key swing points.
ATR Coefficient Threshold : Defines the threshold for acceptable volatility based on ATR.
Max Swing Back Method : Choose between analyzing all swings ("All") or a fixed number ("Custom").
Max Swing Back : Sets the maximum number of candles to consider for swing analysis (if "Custom" is selected).
Second Symbol for SMT : Specifies the second asset or index for detecting SMT divergence.
SMT Fractal Periods : Sets the number of candles required to identify SMT fractals.
FVG Validity Period : Defines the validity duration for FVG zones.
MSS Validity Period : Sets the validity duration for MSS zones.
FVG Filter : Activates filtering for FVG zones based on width.
FVG Filter Type : Selects the filtering level from "Very Aggressive" to "Very Defensive."
Mitigation Level FVG : Determines the level within the FVG zone (proximal, 50%, or distal) that price reacts to.
Demand FVG : Enables the display of demand FVG zones.
Supply FVG : Enables the display of supply FVG zones.
Zone Colors : Allows customization of colors for demand and supply FVG zones.
Bottom Line & Label : Enables or disables the SMT divergence line and label from the bottom.
Top Line & Label : Enables or disables the SMT divergence line and label from the top.
Show All HTF Levels : Displays all premium/discount levels on higher timeframes.
High/Low Levels : Activates the display of high/low levels.
Color Options : Customizes the colors for high/low lines and labels.
Show All MSS Levels : Enables display of all MSS zones.
High/Low MSS Levels : Activates the display of high/low MSS levels.
Color Options : Customizes the colors for MSS lines and labels.
🔵 Conclusion
The Smart Money Reversal model represents one of the most advanced tools for technical analysis, enabling traders to identify critical market turning points. By leveraging metrics such as SMT Divergence, Liquidity Sweep, HTF PD Array, MSS, CISD, and FVG, traders can predict future price movements with precision.
The price’s interaction with key zones such as PD Array and FVG, combined with pullbacks to imbalance areas, offers exceptional opportunities with favorable risk-to-reward ratios. This approach empowers traders to analyze the behavior of major market participants and adopt professional strategies for entry and exit.
By employing this analytical framework, traders can reduce errors, make more informed decisions, and capitalize on profitable opportunities. The Smart Money Reversal focuses on liquidity behavior and structural changes, making it an indispensable tool for financial market success.
Bitcoin Premium [SAKANE]Overview
"Bitcoin Premium " is an indicator designed to analyze the price differences (premiums) of Bitcoin between major exchanges. By using this tool, you can visualize these differences and trends across exchanges, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
Features
1. Premium Calculation and Display
- Calculates and visualizes the price differences between major exchanges like Coinbase, Bitfinex, Upbit, and Binance.
- Premiums are displayed in a histogram format for intuitive analysis.
2. Forex Rate Adjustment
- Prices quoted in KRW (e.g., from Upbit) are converted to USD using real-time KRW/USD forex rates.
3. Moving Average Option
- Displays moving averages (SMA or EMA) of premiums for a clearer view of long-term trends.
4. Customizable Settings
- Toggle the premium display for each exchange on or off.
- Includes label displays to support visual analysis.
What Can It Do for You?
1. Identify Arbitrage Opportunities
By observing price differences (premiums) between exchanges, you can identify arbitrage opportunities.
Example: If Bitcoin is cheaper on Binance and more expensive on Coinbase, you could buy on Binance and sell on Coinbase to capture the price difference.
2. Understand Regional Supply and Demand Trends
Each exchange's premium reflects the supply and demand dynamics of its respective region.
Example: A high premium on Upbit may indicate excess demand or regulatory impacts in the South Korean market.
3. Analyze Liquidity
Price differences often highlight liquidity disparities between exchanges. Markets with lower trading volumes tend to have larger premiums due to price distortions.
4. Evaluate Macroeconomic Impacts
Premium movements may reflect changes in macroeconomic factors, such as exchange rates, regulations, or financial conditions specific to each region.
5. Analyze Trends and Market Sentiment
By tracking premium trends, you can gauge market sentiment and understand regional or exchange-specific behaviors to inform your investment decisions.
6. Support Strategic Trading
This tool is useful for short-term arbitrage strategies as well as long-term evaluations of market health.
Exchange Characteristics and Premium Implications
The meaning of premiums varies by exchange.
- Coinbase (US Market)
Primarily used by investors buying directly with fiat currency (USD). A higher premium often signals bullish sentiment among institutional and retail investors.
- Bitfinex (Global Market)
A trader-focused exchange with active large-scale and leveraged trading. Premiums may reflect liquidity and risk appetite.
- Upbit (South Korean Market)
Priced in KRW, making it subject to forex rates and local market dynamics. High premiums may indicate strong demand or regulatory influences in South Korea.
- Binance (Global Market)
The largest exchange by trading volume. Premiums here are often a reflection of the overall market balance.
Notes
- This indicator is for reference only and does not guarantee trading decisions.
- Please consider the characteristics and conditions of each exchange when using this tool.
faiz MACDMACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a popular momentum indicator used in technical analysis to gauge the strength, direction, and potential reversal points of a trend in a financial asset's price movement. Developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s, MACD is particularly favored by traders for its ability to capture both trend-following and momentum aspects of price behavior.
Components of the MACD
The MACD is derived from two exponential moving averages (EMAs) of a security's price:
MACD Line: This is the difference between the 12-day and 26-day EMAs. The shorter 12-day EMA reacts more quickly to price changes, while the 26-day EMA smooths out price fluctuations, offering a longer-term perspective.
Formula: MACD Line = 12-day EMA - 26-day EMA
Signal Line: This is the 1-day EMA of the MACD Line itself. The signal line is used to generate buy and sell signals when it crosses the MACD line.
Formula: Signal Line = 1-day EMA of the MACD Line
MACD Histogram: The histogram represents the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line. It is displayed as bars that oscillate above and below a zero line, helping to visualize the convergence or divergence between the two lines.
Formula: Histogram = MACD Line - Signal Line
Interpretation of MACD
The MACD indicator is used to identify potential buy and sell signals based on the following observations:
MACD Line and Signal Line Crossovers:
Bullish Crossover: A buy signal occurs when the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line. This suggests that the momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls, indicating a potential upward price movement.
Bearish Crossover: A sell signal occurs when the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line. This suggests a bearish trend may be emerging, signaling a potential downward movement.
Divergence:
Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price of the asset is making new lows, but the MACD is forming higher lows. This suggests that the downward momentum is weakening and a potential reversal to the upside may be imminent.
Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price is making new highs, but the MACD is forming lower highs. This suggests that the upward momentum is weakening and a reversal to the downside may occur.
Only use it in timeframe m1, and solely use for XAUUSD pair.
Advisable to use it as a confirmation with other indicator such as
BBMA, SMC, SUPPORT RESISTANCE, SUPPLY AND DEMAND.
how to use :
MA 5 Crossing above MA9, will generate BUY signals
MA 5 Crossing below MA9, will generate SELL signals
Trade at your own SKILLS.
I dont mind people using this script for free.
All I want is just prayer for me and my family success.
Thank You and Have a nice and pleasant day :-)
ICT Setup 03 [TradingFinder] Judas Swing NY 9:30am + CHoCH/FVG🔵 Introduction
Judas Swing is an advanced trading setup designed to identify false price movements early in the trading day. This advanced trading strategy operates on the principle that major market players, or "smart money," drive price in a certain direction during the early hours to mislead smaller traders.
This deceptive movement attracts liquidity at specific levels, allowing larger players to execute primary trades in the opposite direction, ultimately causing the price to return to its true path.
The Judas Swing setup functions within two primary time frames, tailored separately for Forex and Stock markets. In the Forex market, the setup uses the 8:15 to 8:30 AM window to identify the high and low points, followed by the 8:30 to 8:45 AM frame to execute the Judas move and identify the CISD Level break, where Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones are subsequently detected.
In the Stock market, these time frames shift to 9:15 to 9:30 AM for identifying highs and lows and 9:30 to 9:45 AM for executing the Judas move and CISD Level break.
Concepts such as Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG) are crucial in this setup. An Order Block represents a chart region with a high volume of buy or sell orders placed by major financial institutions, marking significant levels where price reacts.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) refers to areas where price has moved rapidly without balance between supply and demand, highlighting zones of potential price action and future liquidity.
Bullish Setup :
Bearish Setup :
🔵 How to Use
The Judas Swing setup enables traders to pinpoint entry and exit points by utilizing Order Block and FVG concepts, helping them align with liquidity-driven moves orchestrated by smart money. This setup applies two distinct time frames for Forex and Stocks to capture early deceptive movements, offering traders optimized entry or exit moments.
🟣 Bullish Setup
In the Bullish Judas Swing setup, the first step is to identify High and Low points within the initial time frame. These levels serve as key points where price may react, forming the basis for analyzing the setup and assisting traders in anticipating future market shifts.
In the second time frame, a critical stage of the bullish setup begins. During this phase, the price may create a false break or Fake Break below the low level, a deceptive move by major players to absorb liquidity. This false move often causes smaller traders to enter positions incorrectly. After this fake-out, the price reverses upward, breaking the CISD Level, a critical point in the market structure, signaling a potential bullish trend.
Upon breaking the CISD Level and reversing upward, the indicator identifies both the Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Order Block is an area where major players typically place large buy orders, signaling potential price support. Meanwhile, the FVG marks a region of supply-demand imbalance, signaling areas where price might react.
Ultimately, after these key zones are identified, a trader may open a buy position if the price reaches one of these critical areas—Order Block or FVG—and reacts positively. Trading at these levels enhances the chance of success due to liquidity absorption and support from smart money, marking an opportune time for entering a long position.
🟣 Bearish Setup
In the Bearish Judas Swing setup, analysis begins with marking the High and Low levels in the initial time frame. These levels serve as key zones where price could react, helping to signal possible trend reversals. Identifying these levels is essential for locating significant bearish zones and positioning traders to capitalize on downward movements.
In the second time frame, the primary bearish setup unfolds. During this stage, price may exhibit a Fake Break above the high, causing a brief move upward and misleading smaller traders into incorrect positions. After this false move, the price typically returns downward, breaking the CISD Level—a crucial bearish trend indicator.
With the CISD Level broken and a bearish trend confirmed, the indicator identifies the Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Bearish Order Block is a region where smart money places significant sell orders, prompting a negative price reaction. The FVG denotes an area of supply-demand imbalance, signifying potential selling pressure.
When the price reaches one of these critical areas—the Bearish Order Block or FVG—and reacts downward, a trader may initiate a sell position. Entering trades at these levels, due to increased selling pressure and liquidity absorption, offers traders an advantage in profiting from price declines.
🔵 Settings
Market : The indicator allows users to choose between Forex and Stocks, automatically adjusting the time frames for the "Opening Range" and "Trading Permit" accordingly: Forex: 8:15–8:30 AM for identifying High and Low points, and 8:30–8:45 AM for capturing the Judas move and CISD Level break. Stocks: 9:15–9:30 AM for identifying High and Low points, and 9:30–9:45 AM for executing the Judas move and CISD Level break.
Refine Order Block : Enables finer adjustments to Order Block levels for more accurate price responses.
Mitigation Level OB : Allows users to set specific reaction points within an Order Block, including: Proximal: Closest level to the current price. 50% OB: Midpoint of the Order Block. Distal: Farthest level from the current price.
FVG Filter : The Judas Swing indicator includes a filter for Fair Value Gap (FVG), allowing different filtering based on FVG width: FVG Filter Type: Can be set to "Very Aggressive," "Aggressive," "Defensive," or "Very Defensive." Higher defensiveness narrows the FVG width, focusing on narrower gaps.
Mitigation Level FVG : Like the Order Block, you can set price reaction levels for FVG with options such as Proximal, 50% OB, and Distal.
CISD : The Bar Back Check option enables traders to specify the number of past candles checked for identifying the CISD Level, enhancing CISD Level accuracy on the chart.
🔵 Conclusion
The Judas Swing indicator helps traders spot reliable trading opportunities by detecting false price movements and key levels such as Order Block and FVG. With a focus on early market movements, this tool allows traders to align with major market participants, selecting entry and exit points with greater precision, thereby reducing trading risks.
Its extensive customization options enable adjustments for various market types and trading conditions, giving traders the flexibility to optimize their strategies. Based on ICT techniques and liquidity analysis, this indicator can be highly effective for those seeking precision in their entry points.
Overall, Judas Swing empowers traders to capitalize on significant market movements by leveraging price volatility. Offering precise and dependable signals, this tool presents an excellent opportunity for enhancing trading accuracy and improving performance
S&P 100 Option Expiration Week StrategyThe Option Expiration Week Strategy aims to capitalize on increased volatility and trading volume that often occur during the week leading up to the expiration of options on stocks in the S&P 100 index. This period, known as the option expiration week, culminates on the third Friday of each month when stock options typically expire in the U.S. During this week, investors in this strategy take a long position in S&P 100 stocks or an equivalent ETF from the Monday preceding the third Friday, holding until Friday. The strategy capitalizes on potential upward price pressures caused by increased option-related trading activity, rebalancing, and hedging practices.
The phenomenon leveraged by this strategy is well-documented in finance literature. Studies demonstrate that options expiration dates have a significant impact on stock returns, trading volume, and volatility. This effect is driven by various market dynamics, including portfolio rebalancing, delta hedging by option market makers, and the unwinding of positions by institutional investors (Stoll & Whaley, 1987; Ni, Pearson, & Poteshman, 2005). These market activities intensify near option expiration, causing price adjustments that may create short-term profitable opportunities for those aware of these patterns (Roll, Schwartz, & Subrahmanyam, 2009).
The paper by Johnson and So (2013), Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks, provides empirical evidence supporting this strategy. The study analyzes the impact of option expiration on S&P 100 stocks, showing that these stocks tend to exhibit abnormal returns and increased volume during the expiration week. The authors attribute these patterns to intensified option trading activity, where demand for hedging and arbitrage around options expiration causes temporary price adjustments.
Scientific Explanation
Research has found that option expiration weeks are marked by predictable increases in stock returns and volatility, largely due to the role of options market makers and institutional investors. Option market makers often use delta hedging to manage exposure, which requires frequent buying or selling of the underlying stock to maintain a hedged position. As expiration approaches, their activity can amplify price fluctuations. Additionally, institutional investors often roll over or unwind positions during expiration weeks, creating further demand for underlying stocks (Stoll & Whaley, 1987). This increased demand around expiration week typically leads to temporary stock price increases, offering profitable opportunities for short-term strategies.
Key Research and Bibliography
Johnson, T. C., & So, E. C. (2013). Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks. Journal of Banking and Finance, 37(11), 4226-4240.
This study specifically examines the S&P 100 stocks and demonstrates that option expiration weeks are associated with abnormal returns and trading volume due to increased activity in the options market.
Stoll, H. R., & Whaley, R. E. (1987). Program Trading and Expiration-Day Effects. Financial Analysts Journal, 43(2), 16-28.
Stoll and Whaley analyze how program trading and portfolio insurance strategies around expiration days impact stock prices, leading to temporary volatility and increased trading volume.
Ni, S. X., Pearson, N. D., & Poteshman, A. M. (2005). Stock Price Clustering on Option Expiration Dates. Journal of Financial Economics, 78(1), 49-87.
This paper investigates how option expiration dates affect stock price clustering and volume, driven by delta hedging and other option-related trading activities.
Roll, R., Schwartz, E., & Subrahmanyam, A. (2009). Options Trading Activity and Firm Valuation. Journal of Financial Markets, 12(3), 519-534.
The authors explore how options trading activity influences firm valuation, finding that higher options volume around expiration dates can lead to temporary price movements in underlying stocks.
Cao, C., & Wei, J. (2010). Option Market Liquidity and Stock Return Volatility. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 45(2), 481-507.
This study examines the relationship between options market liquidity and stock return volatility, finding that increased liquidity needs during expiration weeks can heighten volatility, impacting stock returns.
Summary
The Option Expiration Week Strategy utilizes well-researched financial market phenomena related to option expiration. By positioning long in S&P 100 stocks or ETFs during this period, traders can potentially capture abnormal returns driven by option market dynamics. The literature suggests that options-related activities—such as delta hedging, position rollovers, and portfolio adjustments—intensify demand for underlying assets, creating short-term profit opportunities around these key dates.
