CryptoFlux Dynamo [JOAT]CryptoFlux Dynamo: Velocity Scalping Strategy
WHAT THIS STRATEGY IS
CryptoFlux Dynamo is an open-source Pine Script v6 strategy designed for momentum-based scalping on cryptocurrency perpetual futures. It combines multiple technical analysis methods into a unified system that adapts its behavior based on current market volatility conditions.
This script is published open-source so you can read, understand, and modify the complete logic. The description below explains everything the strategy does so that traders who cannot read Pine Script can fully understand how it works before using it.
HOW THIS STRATEGY IS ORIGINAL AND WHY THE INDICATORS ARE COMBINED
This strategy uses well-known indicators (MACD, EMA, RSI, MFI, Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, ATR). The originality is not in the individual indicators themselves, but in the specific way they are integrated into a regime-adaptive system. Here is the detailed justification for why these components are combined and how they work together:
The Problem Being Solved:
Standard indicator-based strategies use fixed thresholds. For example, a typical MACD strategy might enter when the histogram crosses above zero. However, in cryptocurrency markets, volatility changes dramatically throughout the day and week. A MACD crossover during a low-volatility consolidation period has very different implications than the same crossover during a high-volatility trending period. Using the same entry thresholds and stop distances in both conditions leads to either:
Too many false signals during consolidation (if thresholds are loose)
Missing valid opportunities during expansion (if thresholds are tight)
Stops that are too tight during volatility spikes (causing premature exits)
Stops that are too wide during compression (giving back profits)
The Solution Approach:
This strategy first classifies the current volatility regime using normalized ATR (ATR as a percentage of price), then dynamically adjusts ALL other parameters based on that classification. This creates a context-aware system rather than a static threshold comparison.
How Each Component Contributes to the System:
ATR-Based Regime Classification (The Foundation)
The strategy calculates ATR over 21 periods, smooths it with a 13-period EMA to reduce noise from wicks, then divides by price to get a normalized percentage. This ATR% is classified into three regimes:
- Compression (ATR% < 0.8%): Market is consolidating, breakouts are more likely but false signals are common
- Expansion (ATR% 0.8% - 1.6%): Normal trending conditions
- Velocity (ATR% > 1.6%): High volatility, larger moves but also larger adverse excursions
This regime classification then controls stop distances, profit targets, trailing stop offsets, and signal strength requirements. The regime acts as a "meta-parameter" that tunes the entire system.
EMA Ribbon (8/21/34) - Trend Structure Detection
The three EMAs establish trend direction and structure. When EMA 8 > EMA 21 > EMA 34, the trend structure is bullish. The slope of the middle EMA (21) is calculated over 8 bars and converted to degrees using arctangent. This slope measurement quantifies trend strength, not just direction.
Why these specific periods? The 8/21/34 sequence follows Fibonacci-like spacing and provides good separation on 5-minute cryptocurrency charts. The fast EMA (8) responds to immediate price action, the mid EMA (21) represents the short-term trend, and the slow EMA (34) acts as a trend filter.
The EMA ribbon works with the regime classification: during compression regimes, the strategy requires stronger ribbon alignment before entry because false breakouts are more common.
MACD (8/21/5) - Momentum Measurement
The MACD uses faster parameters (8/21/5) than the standard (12/26/9) because cryptocurrency markets move faster than traditional markets. The histogram is smoothed with a 5-period EMA to reduce noise.
The key innovation is the adaptive histogram baseline. Instead of using a fixed threshold, the strategy calculates a rolling baseline from the smoothed absolute histogram value, then multiplies by a sensitivity factor (1.15). This means the threshold for "significant momentum" automatically adjusts based on recent momentum levels.
The MACD works with the regime classification: during velocity regimes, the histogram baseline is effectively higher because recent momentum has been stronger, preventing entries on relatively weak momentum.
RSI (21 period) and MFI (21 period) - Independent Momentum Confirmation
RSI measures momentum using price changes only. MFI (Money Flow Index) measures momentum using price AND volume. By requiring both to confirm, the strategy filters out price moves that lack volume support.
The 21-period length is longer than typical (14) to reduce noise on 5-minute charts. The trigger threshold (55 for longs, 45 for shorts) is slightly offset from 50 to require momentum in the trade direction, not just neutral readings.
These indicators work together: a signal requires RSI > 55 AND MFI > 55 for longs. This dual confirmation reduces false signals from price manipulation or low-volume moves.
Bollinger Bands (1.5 mult) and Keltner Channels (1.8 mult) - Squeeze Detection
When Bollinger Bands contract inside Keltner Channels, volatility is compressing and a breakout is likely. This is the "squeeze" condition. When the bands expand back outside the channels, the squeeze "releases."
The strategy uses a 1.5 multiplier for Bollinger Bands (tighter than standard 2.0) and 1.8 for Keltner Channels. These values were chosen to identify meaningful squeezes on 5-minute cryptocurrency charts without triggering too frequently.
The squeeze detection works with the regime classification: squeeze releases during compression regimes receive additional signal strength points because breakouts from consolidation are more significant.
Volume Impulse Detection - Institutional Participation Filter
The strategy calculates a volume baseline (34-period SMA) and standard deviation. A "volume impulse" is detected when current volume exceeds the baseline by 1.15x OR when the volume z-score exceeds 0.5.
This filter ensures entries occur when there is meaningful market participation, not during low-volume periods where price moves are less reliable.
Volume impulse is required for all entries and adds points to the composite signal strength score.
Cycle Oscillator - Trend Alignment Filter
The strategy calculates a 55-period EMA as a cycle basis, then measures price deviation from this basis as a percentage. When price is more than 0.15% above the cycle basis, the cycle is bullish. When more than 0.15% below, the cycle is bearish.
This filter prevents counter-trend entries. Long signals require bullish cycle alignment; short signals require bearish cycle alignment.
BTC Dominance Filter (Optional) - Market Regime Filter
The strategy can optionally use BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) as a market regime filter. When BTC dominance is rising (slope > 0.12), the market is in "risk-off" mode and long entries on altcoins are filtered. When dominance is falling (slope < -0.12), short entries are filtered.
This filter is optional because the BTC.D data feed may lag during low-liquidity periods.
How The Components Work Together (The Mashup Justification):
The strategy uses a composite scoring system where each signal pathway contributes points:
Trend Break pathway (30 points): Requires EMA ribbon alignment + positive slope + price breaks above recent structure high
Momentum Surge pathway (30 points): Requires MACD histogram > adaptive baseline + MACD line > signal + RSI > 55 + MFI > 55 + volume impulse
Squeeze Release pathway (25 points): Requires BB inside KC (squeeze) then release + momentum bias + histogram confirmation
Micro Pullback pathway (15 points): Requires shallow retracement to fast EMA within established trend + histogram confirmation + volume impulse
Additional modifiers:
+5 points if volume impulse is present, -5 if absent
+5 points in velocity regime, -2 in compression regime
+5 points if cycle is aligned, -5 if counter-trend
A trade only executes when the composite score reaches the minimum threshold (default 55) AND all filters agree (session, cycle bias, BTC dominance if enabled).
This scoring system is the core innovation: instead of requiring ALL conditions to be true (which would generate very few signals) or ANY condition to be true (which would generate too many false signals), the strategy requires ENOUGH conditions to be true, with different conditions contributing different weights based on their reliability.
HOW THE STRATEGY CALCULATES ENTRIES AND EXITS
Entry Logic:
1. Calculate current volatility regime from ATR%
2. Calculate all indicator values (MACD, EMA, RSI, MFI, squeeze, volume)
3. Evaluate each signal pathway and sum points
4. Check all filters (session, cycle, dominance, kill switch)
5. If composite score >= 55 AND all filters pass, generate entry signal
6. Calculate position size based on risk per trade and regime-adjusted stop distance
7. Execute entry with regime name as comment
Position Sizing Formula:
RiskCapital = Equity * (0.65 / 100)
StopDistance = ATR * StopMultiplier(regime)
RawQuantity = RiskCapital / StopDistance
MaxQuantity = Equity * (12 / 100) / Price
Quantity = min(RawQuantity, MaxQuantity)
Quantity = round(Quantity / 0.001) * 0.001
This ensures each trade risks approximately 0.65% of equity regardless of volatility, while capping total exposure at 12% of equity.
Stop Loss Calculation:
Stop distance is ATR multiplied by a regime-specific multiplier:
Compression regime: 1.05x ATR (tighter stops because moves are smaller)
Expansion regime: 1.55x ATR (standard stops)
Velocity regime: 2.1x ATR (wider stops to avoid premature exits during volatility)
Take Profit Calculation:
Target distance is ATR multiplied by regime-specific multiplier and base risk/reward:
Compression regime: 1.6x ATR * 1.8 base R:R * 0.9 regime bonus = approximately 2.6x ATR
Expansion regime: 2.05x ATR * 1.8 base R:R * 1.0 regime bonus = approximately 3.7x ATR
Velocity regime: 2.8x ATR * 1.8 base R:R * 1.15 regime bonus = approximately 5.8x ATR
Trailing Stop Logic:
When adaptive trailing is enabled, the strategy calculates a trailing offset based on ATR and regime:
Compression regime: 1.1x base offset (looser trailing to avoid noise)
Expansion regime: 1.0x base offset (standard)
Velocity regime: 0.8x base offset (tighter trailing to lock in profits during fast moves)
The trailing stop only activates when it would be tighter than the initial stop.
Momentum Fail-Safe Exits:
The strategy closes positions early if momentum reverses:
Long positions close if MACD histogram turns negative OR EMA ribbon structure breaks (fast EMA crosses below mid EMA)
Short positions close if MACD histogram turns positive OR EMA ribbon structure breaks
This prevents holding through momentum reversals even if stop loss hasn't been hit.
Kill Switch:
If maximum drawdown exceeds 6.5%, the strategy disables new entries until manually reset. This prevents continued trading during adverse conditions.
HOW TO USE THIS STRATEGY
Step 1: Apply to Chart
Use a 5-minute chart of a high-liquidity cryptocurrency perpetual (BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT recommended)
Ensure at least 200 bars of history are loaded for indicator stabilization
Use standard candlestick charts only (not Heikin Ashi, Renko, or other non-standard types)
Step 2: Understand the Visual Elements
EMA Ribbon: Three lines (8/21/34 periods) showing trend structure. Bullish when stacked upward, bearish when stacked downward.
Background Color: Shows current volatility regime
- Indigo/dark blue = Compression (low volatility)
- Purple = Expansion (normal volatility)
- Magenta/pink = Velocity (high volatility)
Bar Colors: Reflect signal strength divergence. Brighter colors indicate stronger directional bias.
Triangle Markers: Entry signals. Up triangles below bars = long entry. Down triangles above bars = short entry.
Dashboard (top-right): Real-time display of regime, ATR%, signal strengths, position status, stops, targets, and risk metrics.
Step 3: Interpret the Dashboard
Regime: Current volatility classification (Compression/Expansion/Velocity)
ATR%: Normalized volatility as percentage of price
Long/Short Strength: Current composite signal scores (0-100)
Cycle Osc: Price deviation from 55-period EMA as percentage
Dominance: BTC.D slope and filter status
Position: Current position direction or "Flat"
Stop/Target: Current stop loss and take profit levels
Kill Switch: Status of drawdown protection
Volume Z: Current volume z-score
Impulse: Whether volume impulse condition is met
Step 4: Adjust Parameters for Your Needs
For more conservative trading: Increase "Minimum Composite Signal Strength" to 65 or higher
For more aggressive trading: Decrease to 50 (but expect more false signals)
For higher timeframes (15m+): Increase "Structure Break Window" to 12-15, increase "RSI Momentum Trigger" to 58
For lower liquidity pairs: Increase "Volume Impulse Multiplier" to 1.3, increase slippage in strategy properties
To disable short selling: Uncheck "Enable Short Structure"
To disable BTC dominance filter: Uncheck "BTC Dominance Confirmation"
STRATEGY PROPERTIES (BACKTEST SETTINGS)
These are the exact settings used in the strategy's Properties dialog box. You must use these same settings when evaluating the backtest results shown in the publication:
Initial Capital: $100,000
Justification: This amount is higher than typical retail accounts. I chose this value to demonstrate percentage-based returns that scale proportionally. The strategy uses percentage-based position sizing (0.65% risk per trade), so a $10,000 account would see the same percentage returns with 10x smaller position sizes. The absolute dollar amounts in the backtest should be interpreted as percentages of capital.
Commission: 0.04% (commission_value = 0.04)
Justification: This reflects typical perpetual futures exchange fees. Major exchanges charge between 0.02% (maker) and 0.075% (taker). The 0.04% value is a reasonable middle estimate. If your exchange charges different fees, adjust this value accordingly. Higher fees will reduce net profitability.
Slippage: 1 tick
Justification: This is conservative for liquid pairs like BTC/USDT on major exchanges during normal conditions. For less liquid altcoins or during high volatility, actual slippage may be higher. If you trade less liquid pairs, increase this value to 2-3 ticks for more realistic results.
Pyramiding: 1
Justification: No position stacking. The strategy holds only one position at a time. This simplifies risk management and prevents overexposure.
calc_on_every_tick: true
Justification: The strategy evaluates on every price update, not just bar close. This is necessary for scalping timeframes where waiting for bar close would miss opportunities. Note that this setting means backtest results may differ slightly from bar-close-only evaluation.
calc_on_order_fills: true
Justification: The strategy recalculates immediately after order fills for faster response to position changes.
RISK PER TRADE JUSTIFICATION
The default risk per trade is 0.65% of equity. This is well within the TradingView guideline that "risking more than 5-10% on a trade is not typically considered viable."
With the 12% maximum exposure cap, even if the strategy takes multiple consecutive losses, the total risk remains manageable. The kill switch at 6.5% drawdown provides additional protection by halting new entries during adverse conditions.
The position sizing formula ensures that stop distance (which varies by regime) is accounted for, so actual risk per trade remains approximately 0.65% regardless of volatility conditions.
SAMPLE SIZE CONSIDERATIONS
For statistically meaningful backtest results, you should select a dataset that generates at least 100 trades. On 5-minute BTC/USDT charts, this typically requires:
2-3 months of data during normal market conditions
1-2 months during high-volatility periods
3-4 months during low-volatility consolidation periods
The strategy's selectivity (requiring 55+ composite score plus all filters) means it generates fewer signals than less filtered approaches. If your backtest shows fewer than 100 trades, extend the date range or reduce the minimum signal strength threshold.
Fewer than 100 trades produces statistically unreliable results. Win rate, profit factor, and other metrics can vary significantly with small sample sizes.
STRATEGY DESIGN COMPROMISES AND LIMITATIONS
Every strategy involves trade-offs. Here are the compromises made in this design and the limitations you should understand:
Selectivity vs. Opportunity Trade-off
The 55-point minimum threshold filters many potential trades. This reduces false signals but also misses valid setups that don't meet all criteria. Lowering the threshold increases trade frequency but decreases win rate. There is no "correct" threshold; it depends on your preference for fewer higher-quality signals vs. more signals with lower individual quality.
Regime Classification Lag
The ATR-based regime detection uses historical data (21 periods + 13-period smoothing). It cannot predict sudden volatility spikes. During flash crashes or black swan events, the strategy may be classified in the wrong regime for several bars before the classification updates. This is an inherent limitation of any lagging indicator.
Indicator Parameter Sensitivity
The default parameters (MACD 8/21/5, EMA 8/21/34, RSI 21, etc.) are tuned for BTC/ETH perpetuals on 5-minute charts during 2024 market conditions. Different assets, timeframes, or market regimes may require different parameters. There is no guarantee that parameters optimized on historical data will perform similarly in the future.
BTC Dominance Filter Limitations
The CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D data feed may lag during low-liquidity periods or weekends. The dominance slope calculation uses a 5-bar SMA, adding additional delay. If you notice the filter behaving unexpectedly, consider disabling it.
Backtest vs. Live Execution Differences
TradingView backtesting does not replicate actual broker execution. Key differences:
Backtests assume perfect fills at calculated prices; real execution involves order book depth, latency, and partial fills
The calc_on_every_tick setting improves backtest realism but still cannot capture sub-bar price action or order book dynamics
Commission and slippage settings are estimates; actual costs vary by exchange, time of day, and market conditions
Funding rates on perpetual futures are not modeled in backtests and can significantly impact profitability over time
Exchange-specific limitations (position limits, liquidation mechanics, order types) are not modeled
Market Condition Dependencies
This strategy is designed for trending and breakout conditions. During extended sideways consolidation with no clear direction, the strategy may generate few signals or experience whipsaws. No strategy performs well in all market conditions.
Cryptocurrency-Specific Risks
Cryptocurrency markets operate 24/7 without session boundaries. This means:
No natural "overnight" risk reduction
Volatility can spike at any time
Liquidity varies significantly by time of day
Exchange outages or issues can occur at any time
WHAT THIS STRATEGY DOES NOT DO
To be straightforward about limitations:
This strategy does not guarantee profits. Past backtest performance does not indicate future results.
This strategy does not predict the future. It reacts to current conditions based on historical patterns.
This strategy does not account for funding rates, which can significantly impact perpetual futures profitability.
This strategy does not model exchange-specific execution issues (partial fills, requotes, outages).
This strategy does not adapt to fundamental news events or black swan scenarios.
This strategy is not optimized for all market conditions. It may underperform during extended consolidation.
IMPORTANT RISK WARNINGS
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The backtest results shown reflect specific historical market conditions and parameter settings. Markets change constantly, and strategies that performed well historically may underperform or lose money in the future. A single backtest run does not constitute proof of future profitability.
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Cryptocurrency derivatives are highly volatile instruments. You can lose your entire investment. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose completely.
This is not financial advice. This strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, trading recommendations, or any form of financial guidance. The author is not a licensed financial advisor.
You are responsible for your own decisions. Before using this strategy with real capital:
Thoroughly understand the code and logic by reading the open-source implementation
Forward test with paper trading or very small positions for an extended period
Verify that commission, slippage, and execution assumptions match your actual trading environment
Understand that live results will differ from backtest results
Consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor
No guarantees or warranties. This strategy is provided "as is" without any guarantees of profitability, accuracy, or suitability for any purpose. The author is not responsible for any losses incurred from using this strategy.
OPEN-SOURCE CODE STRUCTURE
The strategy code is organized into these sections for readability:
Configuration Architecture: Input parameters organized into logical groups (Core Controls, Optimization Constants, Regime Intelligence, Signal Pathways, Risk Architecture, Visualization)
Helper Functions: calcQty() for position sizing, clamp01() and normalize() for value normalization, calcMFI() for Money Flow Index calculation
Core Indicator Engine: EMA ribbon, ATR and regime classification, MACD with adaptive baseline, RSI, MFI, volume analytics, cycle oscillator, BTC dominance filter, squeeze detection
Signal Pathway Logic: Trend break, momentum surge, squeeze release, micro pullback pathways with composite scoring
Entry/Exit Orchestration: Signal filtering, position sizing, entry execution, stop/target calculation, trailing stop logic, momentum fail-safe exits
Visualization Layer: EMA plots, regime background, bar coloring, signal labels, dashboard table
You can read and modify any part of the code. Understanding the logic before deployment is strongly recommended.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades
"charts" için komut dosyalarını ara
Bollinger Bands HTF Hardcoded (Len 20 / Dev 2) [CHE]Bollinger Bands HTF Hardcoded (Len 20 / Dev 2) — Higher-timeframe BB emulation with bucket-based length scaling and on-chart diagnostics
Summary
This indicator emulates higher-timeframe Bollinger Bands directly on the current chart by scaling a fixed base length (20) via a timeframe-to-bucket multiplier map. It avoids cross-timeframe requests and instead applies the “HTF feel” by using a longer effective lookback on lower timeframes. Bands use the classic deviation of 2 and the original color scheme (Basis blue, Upper red, Lower green, blue fill). An on-chart table reports the resolved bucket, multiplier, and effective length.
Pine version: v6
Overlay: true
Primary outputs: Basis (SMA), Upper/Lower bands, background fill, optional info table
Motivation: Why this design?
Cross-timeframe Bollinger Bands typically rely on `request.security`, which can introduce complexity, mixed-bar alignment issues, and potential repaint paths depending on how users consume signals intrabar. This design offers a deterministic alternative: a single-series calculation on the chart timeframe, with a hardcoded “HTF emulation” achieved by scaling the BB length according to coarse higher-timeframe buckets. The result is a smoother, slower band structure on low timeframes without external timeframe calls.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
Baseline: Standard Bollinger Bands with a fixed user length on the current timeframe, or true HTF bands via `request.security`.
Architecture differences:
Fixed base parameters: Length = 20, Deviation = 2.
Bucket mapping derived from the chart timeframe (or manually overridden).
No `request.security`; all computations occur on the current series.
Effective length is “20 × multiplier”, where multiplier approximates aggregation into the chosen bucket.
Diagnostics table for transparency (bucket, multiplier, resolved length, bandwidth).
Practical effect: On lower timeframes, the effective length becomes much larger, behaving like a higher-timeframe Bollinger structure (smoother basis and wider stability), while remaining purely local to the chart series.
How it works (technical)
The script first resolves a target bucket (“Auto” or a manual selection such as 60/240/1D/…/12M). It then computes a multiplier that approximates how many current bars fit into that bucket (e.g., 1m→60m uses mult≈60, 5m→60m uses mult≈12). The effective Bollinger length becomes:
`bb_len = 20 mult` (clamped to at least 1)
Using the effective length, it calculates:
`basis = ta.sma(src, bb_len)`
`dev = 2 ta.stdev(src, bb_len)`
`upper = basis + dev`
`lower = basis - dev`
A “bandwidth” diagnostic is also computed as `(upper-lower) / basis` (guarded against division by zero) and shown in the table as a percentage. A persistent table object is created/deleted based on the visibility toggle and updated only on the last bar for performance.
Parameter Guide
Source — Input series for the bands — Default: Close
Use close for classic behavior; smoother sources reduce responsiveness.
Bucket — HTF bucket selection — Default: Auto
Auto derives a bucket from the chart timeframe; manual selection forces the intended target bucket.
Offset — Plot offset — Default: 0
Shifts plots forward/back for visual alignment, displayed in the data window.
Table X / Table Y — Table anchor — Default: Right / Top
Places the diagnostics table in one of nine anchor points.
Table Size — Table text size — Default: Normal
Use small on dense charts, large for presentations.
Dark Mode — Table theme — Default: Enabled
Switches table palette for readability against chart background.
Show Table — Toggle diagnostics table — Default: Enabled
Disable for a cleaner chart.
Reading & Interpretation
Basis (blue): The moving average centerline of the bands (SMA of effective length).
Upper (red) / Lower (green): ±2 standard deviations around the basis using the same effective length.
Fill (blue tint): Visual band zone to quickly see compression/expansion.
Interpretation staples:
Price riding the upper band suggests strong bullish pressure; riding the lower band suggests strong bearish pressure.
Band expansion indicates rising volatility; contraction indicates volatility compression.
Mean reversion setups often key off the basis and re-entries from outside bands, while breakout/trend setups often key off sustained band rides.
Diagnostics table:
HTF Tag: Human-readable label showing the current timeframe → bucket mapping.
Bucket: The resolved target bucket (Auto result or manual selection).
Multiplier: The integer factor applied to the base length.
Len/Dev: Shows base length (20) and the effective length result plus deviation (2).
Bandwidth: Normalized width of the band (percent), useful for spotting squeezes.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
HTF context on LTF charts: Use this as “slow structure” bands on 1m–15m charts without requesting HTF data.
Squeeze detection: Watch bandwidth shrink to historically low levels, then look for break/hold outside bands.
Trend filtering: Favor long bias when price stays above the basis and repeatedly respects it; favor short bias when below.
Confluence: Combine with market structure (swing highs/lows), volume tools, or a trend filter (e.g., a longer MA) for confirmation.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Repaint/confirmation: No cross-timeframe requests. Values can still evolve intrabar and settle on close, as with any indicator computed on live bars.
History requirements: Very large effective lengths need sufficient historical bars; expect a warm-up period after loading or switching symbols/timeframes.
Known limits: Because the method approximates HTF behavior by scaling lookback, it is not identical to true HTF Bollinger Bands computed on aggregated candles. In particular, volatility and mean can differ slightly versus a real HTF series.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Default workflow:
Bucket: Auto
Source: Close
Table: On (until you trust the mapping), then optionally off
If bands feel too slow on your timeframe: choose a smaller bucket (e.g., 60 instead of 240).
If bands feel too reactive/noisy: choose a larger bucket (e.g., 1D or 3D).
If chart looks cluttered: hide the table; keep only the bands and fill.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a Bollinger Band visualization layer that emulates higher-timeframe “slowness” via deterministic length scaling. It is not a complete trading system and does not include entries, exits, sizing, or risk management. Use it as context alongside your execution rules and protective stops.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino.
Realtime Squeeze Box [CHE] Realtime Squeeze Box — Detects lowvolatility consolidation periods and draws trimmed price range boxes in realtime to highlight potential breakout setups without clutter from outliers.
Summary
This indicator identifies "squeeze" phases where recent price volatility falls below a dynamic baseline threshold, signaling potential energy buildup for directional moves. By requiring a minimum number of consecutive bars in squeeze, it reduces noise from fleeting dips, making signals more reliable than simple threshold crosses. The core innovation is realtime box visualization: during active squeezes, it builds and updates a box capturing the price range while ignoring extreme values via quantile trimming, providing a cleaner view of consolidation bounds. This differs from static volatility bands by focusing on trimmed ranges and suppressing overlapping boxes, which helps traders spot genuine setups amid choppy markets. Overall, it aids in anticipating breakouts by combining volatility filtering with visual containment of price action.
Motivation: Why this design?
Traders often face whipsaws during brief volatility lulls that mimic true consolidations, leading to premature entries, or miss setups because standard volatility measures lag in adapting to changing market regimes. This design addresses that by using a hold requirement on consecutive lowvolatility bars to denoise signals, ensuring only sustained squeezes trigger visuals. The core idea—comparing rolling standard deviation to a smoothed baseline—creates a responsive yet stable filter for lowenergy periods, while the trimmed box approach isolates the core price cluster, making it easier to gauge breakout potential without distortion from spikes.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
Reference baseline: Traditional squeeze indicators like the Bollinger Band Squeeze or TTM Squeeze rely on fixed multiples of bands or momentum oscillators crossing zero, which can fire on isolated bars or ignore range compression nuances.
Architecture differences:
Realtime box construction that updates barbybar during squeezes, using arrays to track and trim price values.
Quantilebased outlier rejection to define box bounds, focusing on the bulk of prices rather than full range.
Overlap suppression logic that skips redundant boxes if the new range intersects heavily with the prior one.
Hold counter for consecutive bar validation, adding persistence before signaling.
Practical effect: Charts show fewer, more defined orange boxes encapsulating tight price action, with a horizontal line extension marking the midpoint postsqueeze—visibly reducing clutter in sideways markets and highlighting "coiled" ranges that standard plots might blur with full highs/lows. This matters for quicker visual scanning of multitimeframe setups, as boxes selflimit to recent history and avoid piling up.
How it works (technical)
The indicator starts by computing a rolling average and standard deviation over a userdefined length on the chosen source price series. This deviation measure is then smoothed into a baseline using either a simple or exponential average over a longer window, serving as a reference for normal volatility. A squeeze triggers when the current deviation dips below this baseline scaled by a multiplier less than one, but only after a minimum number of consecutive bars confirm it, which resets the counter on breaks.
Upon squeeze start, it clears a buffer and begins collecting source prices barbybar, limited to the first few bars to keep computation light. For visualization, if enabled, it sorts the buffer and finds a quantile threshold, then identifies the minimum value at or below that threshold to set upper and lower box bounds—effectively clamping the range to exclude tails above the quantile. The box draws from the start bar to the current one, updating its right edge and levels dynamically; if the new bounds overlap significantly with the last completed box, it suppresses drawing to avoid redundancy.
Once the hold limit or squeeze ends, the box freezes: its final bounds become the last reference, a midpoint line extends rightward from the end, and a tiny circle label marks the point. Buffers and states reset on new squeezes, with historical boxes and lines capped to prevent overload. All logic runs on every bar but uses confirmed historical data for calculations, with realtime updates only affecting the active box's position—no future peeking occurs. Initialization seeds with null values, building states progressively from the first bars.
Parameter Guide
Source: Selects the price series (e.g., close, hl2) for deviation and box building; influences sensitivity to wicks or bodies. Default: close. Tradeoffs/Tips: Use hl2 for balanced range view in volatile assets; stick to close for pure directional focus—test on your timeframe to avoid oversmoothing trends.
Length (Mean/SD): Sets window for average and deviation calculation; shorter values make detection quicker but noisier. Default: 20. Tradeoffs/Tips: Increase to 30+ for stability in higher timeframes, reducing false starts; below 10 risks overreacting to singlebar noise.
Baseline Length: Defines smoothing window for the deviation baseline; longer periods create a steadier reference, filtering regime shifts. Default: 50. Tradeoffs/Tips: Pair with Length at 1:2 ratio for calm markets; shorten to 30 if baselines lag during fast volatility drops, but watch for added whips.
Squeeze Multiplier (<1.0): Scales the baseline downward to set the squeeze threshold; lower values tighten criteria for rarer, stronger signals. Default: 0.8. Tradeoffs/Tips: Tighten to 0.6 for highvol assets like crypto to cut noise; loosen to 0.9 in forex for more frequent but shallower setups—balances hit rate vs. depth.
Baseline via EMA (instead of SMA): Switches baseline smoothing to exponential for faster adaptation to recent changes vs. equalweighted simple average. Default: false. Tradeoffs/Tips: Enable in trending markets for quicker baseline drops; disable for uniform history weighting in rangebound conditions to avoid overreacting.
SD: Sample (len1) instead of Population (len): Adjusts deviation formula to divide by length minus one for smallsample bias correction, slightly inflating values. Default: false. Tradeoffs/Tips: Use sample in short windows (<20) for more conservative thresholds; population suits long looks where bias is negligible, keeping signals tighter.
Min. Hold Bars in Squeeze: Requires this many consecutive squeeze bars before confirming; higher denoise but may clip early setups. Default: 1. Tradeoffs/Tips: Bump to 35 for intraday to filter ticks; keep at 1 for swings where quick consolidations matter—trades off timeliness for reliability.
Debug: Plot SD & Threshold: Toggles lines showing raw deviation and threshold for visual backtesting of squeeze logic. Default: false. Tradeoffs/Tips: Enable during tuning to eyeball crossovers; disable live to declutter—great for verifying multiplier impact without alerts.
Tint Bars when Squeeze Active: Overlays semitransparent color on bars during open box phases for quick squeeze spotting. Default: false. Tradeoffs/Tips: Pair with low opacity for subtlety; turn off if using boxes alone, as tint can obscure candlesticks in dense charts.
Tint Opacity (0..100): Controls background tint strength during active squeezes; higher values darken for emphasis. Default: 85. Tradeoffs/Tips: Dial to 60 for light touch; max at 100 risks hiding price action—adjust per chart theme for visibility.
Stored Price (during Squeeze): Price series captured in the buffer for box bounds; defaults to source but allows customization. Default: close. Tradeoffs/Tips: Switch to high/low for wider boxes in gappy markets; keep close for midline focus—impacts trim effectiveness on outliers.
Quantile q (0..1): Fraction of sorted prices below which tails are cut; higher q keeps more data but risks including spikes. Default: 0.718. Tradeoffs/Tips: Lower to 0.5 for aggressive trim in noisy assets; raise to 0.8 for fuller ranges—tune via debug to match your consolidation depth.
Box Fill Color: Sets interior shade of squeeze boxes; semitransparent for layering. Default: orange (80% trans.). Tradeoffs/Tips: Soften with more transparency in multiindicator setups; bold for standalone use—ensures boxes pop without overwhelming.
Box Border Color: Defines outline hue and solidity for box edges. Default: orange (0% trans.). Tradeoffs/Tips: Match fill for cohesion or contrast for edges; thin width keeps it clean—helps delineate bounds in zoomed views.
Keep Last N Boxes: Limits historical boxes/lines/labels to this count, deleting oldest for performance. Default: 10. Tradeoffs/Tips: Increase to 50 for weekly reviews; set to 0 for unlimited (risks lag)—balances history vs. speed on long charts.
Draw Box in Realtime (build/update): Enables live extension of boxes during squeezes vs. waiting for end. Default: true. Tradeoffs/Tips: Disable for confirmedonly views to mimic backtests; enable for proactive trading—adds minor repaint on live bars.
Box: Max First N Bars: Caps buffer collection to initial squeeze bars, freezing after for efficiency. Default: 15. Tradeoffs/Tips: Shorten to 510 for fast intraday; extend to 20 in dailies—prevents bloated arrays but may truncate long squeezes.
Reading & Interpretation
Squeeze phases appear as orange boxes encapsulating the trimmed price cluster during lowvolatility holds—narrow boxes signal tight consolidations, while wider ones indicate looser ranges within the threshold. The box's top and bottom represent the quantilecapped high and low of collected prices, with the interior fill shading the containment zone; ignore extremes outside for "true" bounds. Postsqueeze, a solid horizontal line extends right from the box's midpoint, acting as a reference level for potential breakout tests—drifting prices toward or away from it can hint at building momentum. Tiny orange circles at the line's start mark completion points for easy scanning. Debug lines (if on) show deviation hugging or crossing the threshold, confirming hold logic; a persistent hug below suggests prolonged calm, while spikes above reset counters.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
Trend following: Enter long on squeezeend close above the box top (or midpoint line) confirmed by higher high in structure; filter with rising 50period average to avoid countertrend traps. Use boxes as support/resistance proxies—short below bottom in downtrends.
Exits/Stops: Trail stops to the box midpoint during postsqueeze runs for conservative holds; go aggressive by exiting on retest of opposite box side. If debug shows repeated threshold grazes, tighten stops to curb drawdowns in ranging followups.
Multiasset/MultiTF: Defaults work across stocks, forex, and crypto on 15min+ frames; scale Length proportionally (e.g., x2 on hourly). Layer with highertimeframe boxes for confluence—e.g., daily squeeze + 1H box for entry timing. (Unknown/Optional: Specific multiTF scaling recipes beyond proportional adjustment.)
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Repaint/confirmation: Core calculations use historical closes, confirming on bar close; active boxes repaint their right edge and levels live during squeezes if enabled, but freeze irrevocably on hold limit or end—mitigates via barbybar buffer adds without future leaks. No lookahead indexes.
security()/HTF: None used, so no external timeframe repaints; all native to chart resolution.
Resources: Caps at 300 boxes/lines/labels total; small arrays (up to 20 elements) and short loops in sorting/minfinding keep it light—suitable for 10k+ bar charts without throttling. Persistent variables track state across bars efficiently.
Known limits: May lag on ultrasharp volatility spikes due to baseline smoothing; gaps or thin markets can skew trims if buffer hits cap early; overlaps suppress visuals but might hide chained squeezes—(Unknown/Optional: Edge cases in nonstandard sessions).
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with defaults for most liquid assets on 1Hdaily: Length 20, Multiplier 0.8, Hold 1, Quantile 0.718—yields balanced detection without excess noise. For too many false starts (choppy charts), increase Hold to 3 and Baseline Length to 70 for stricter confirmation, reducing signals by 3050%. If squeezes feel sluggish or miss quick coils, shorten Length to 14 and enable EMA baseline for snappier adaptation, but monitor for added flips. In highvol environments like options, tighten Multiplier to 0.6 and Quantile to 0.6 to focus on core ranges; reverse for calm pairs by loosening to 0.95. Always backtest tweaks on your asset's history.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a volatilityfiltered visualization tool for spotting and bounding consolidation phases, best as a signal layer atop price action and trend filters—not a standalone predictor of direction or strength. It highlights setups but ignores volume, momentum, or news context, so pair with discreteness rules like higher highs/lows. Never use it alone for entries; always layer risk management, such as 12% stops beyond box extremes, and position sizing based on account drawdown tolerance.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on HeikinAshi, Renko, Kagi, PointandFigure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
Fibonacci Auto Retracement & HTF candles ReferenceAdvanced Higher Timeframe (HTF) Candle & Fibonacci Viewer
Overview:
The Advanced HTF Candle & Fibonacci Viewer is a professional Trading View indicator designed to help traders overlay higher timeframe price structures onto lower timeframe charts. By combining daily candle analysis with precise Fibonacci retracement levels, this tool allows traders to identify critical support and resistance zones, potential breakouts, and retracement opportunities without switching charts.
Special Thanks:
This script includes a small part of coding inspired by Zeiierman, whose work on HTF analysis provided the foundation for visualizing higher timeframe structures. Full credit to Zeiierman for their invaluable contribution to the Trading View community.
Key Features:
1. Multi-Day HTF Range Display
Automatically displays high and low of 1–7 previous days.
Highlights candle bodies and wicks for clear structure visualization.
Ideal for spotting daily ranges and breakout levels.
2. Dynamic Fibonacci Levels
Standard levels: 0%, 11.8%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 76.4%, 88.2%, 100%.
Optional mid-level lines for intraday support/resistance identification.
Levels adjust automatically to reflect price action direction.
3. Customizable Labels & Colors
Adjustable text size, color, transparency, and offset.
Fully customizable candle and Fibonacci colors.
Mid-level lines can be shown or hidden for a cleaner look.
4. Persistent Levels
Levels remain until the next trading session or breakout, helping track trends and retracements consistently.
5. Multi-Timeframe Optimization
Works on any chart timeframe, from 1-minute to weekly charts.
Provides higher timeframe insight while trading on lower timeframes.
Why Traders Love This Indicator:
View higher timeframe action without switching charts.
Identify high-probability entry and exit zones.
Combine with other indicators for complete market analysis.
Useful for swing traders, day traders, and scalpers alike.
Customization Options:
Number of previous days (1–7)
Show/hide mid-level lines
Show/hide labels
Customize label size, color, and offset
Customize Fibonacci and candle colors
Ideal Use Cases:
Swing Trading: Identify daily key levels for entry, exit, and stop-loss.
Day Trading: Use HTF ranges on intraday charts to spot breakouts and reversals.
Fibonacci Analysis: Locate retracement zones efficiently.
Trend Confirmation: Validate trades with higher timeframe structure.
Summary:
The Advanced HTF Candle & Fibonacci Viewer is a powerful tool for traders seeking clarity, structure, and precision. With higher timeframe insight overlaid on active charts and proper credit to Zeiierman for their HTF coding contribution, this indicator helps traders make informed, confident decisions in any market.
Dynamic Auto FibonacciDynamic Auto Fibonacci - Logarithmic Fib Retracements & Extensions
Overview
Dynamic Auto Fibonacci is an advanced Fibonacci analysis tool that automatically identifies swing highs and lows to plot precise retracement and extension levels on your chart. Unlike traditional manual Fibonacci tools, this indicator dynamically updates as price action evolves, with full support for logarithmic scaling - essential for accurate analysis on long-term charts and high-growth assets.
The indicator features a clean, modern aesthetic with customizable vibrant colors and text-only labels that won't clutter your chart, making it perfect for both intraday scalping and long-term position trading.
Key Features
✅ Automatic Fibonacci Detection - Automatically finds the highest high and lowest low within your selected timeframe
✅ Manual Anchor Point - Click directly on the chart to set a custom low point for your Fibonacci analysis
✅ Logarithmic Scale Support - True logarithmic Fibonacci calculations for accurate levels on log-scale charts
✅ Flexible Display Modes - Show retracements only, extensions only, or both simultaneously
✅ Fully Customizable Levels - Adjust any Fibonacci level value, color, or toggle individual levels on/off
✅ Unified Color Mode - One-click option to change all levels to a single color (perfect for minimalist chart styles)
✅ Clean Modern Design - Text-only labels with vibrant colors and adjustable positioning
✅ 13 Default Levels - Includes 0.0, 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, 0.886, 1.0, 1.236, 1.414, 1.618, 2.0, and 2.618
How to Use
Quick Start (Automatic Mode)
Add the indicator to your chart
By default, it will automatically find the lowest and highest points over the past 12 months
Fibonacci levels will appear with clean colored text labels positioned to the right of current price
Setting a Custom Anchor Point (Manual Mode)
This is the most powerful feature - drawing from a specific swing low:
Click the Settings icon (gear) on the indicator
Navigate to Fibonacci Settings group
Click inside the "Anchor Start Time" field - this will activate anchor selection mode
Click directly on the candle where you want to set your swing low point on the chart
The indicator will automatically:
Lock that candle as your anchor (swing low)
Find the highest high that occurred after your selected anchor point
Draw Fibonacci retracement and extension levels between those two points
Important: The anchor represents the starting point (0.0 level) of your Fibonacci, and the indicator finds the peak after that point as the 1.0 level.
Display Modes
Navigate to Display Settings → Display Mode to choose:
Retracements & Extensions (default) - Shows all levels from 0.0 to 2.618
Retracements Only - Shows only 0.0 to 1.0 levels (great for identifying pullback entry zones)
Extensions Only - Shows 1.0+ levels (useful for profit targets and breakout projections)
Customizing Individual Levels
Under Retracement Levels and Extension Levels groups, each level has three controls:
Toggle checkbox - Show/hide the level
Value field - Adjust the exact Fibonacci ratio (e.g., change 0.618 to 0.65 if desired)
Color picker - Set unique colors for each level
Unified Color Override
Perfect for chart screenshots or minimalist aesthetics:
Go to Unified Color Override settings group
Enable "Use Unified Color for All Levels"
Choose your color (defaults to gray)
All lines and text immediately change to that color - individual settings are preserved when you toggle back off
Line & Label Customization
Display Settings group offers:
Line Style: Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
Line Length: Short (10 bars), Medium (50 bars), or Long (extends right infinitely)
Line Width: 1-5 pixels
Label Size: Tiny to Huge
Label Offset: Adjust how many bars to the right labels appear (default: 12)
Show Anchor Line: Display vertical lines at your swing low and swing high points
Settings Overview
Fibonacci Settings:
Retracement Timeframe (default: 12M)
Anchor Start Time (click to select candle)
Use Log Scale Calculation (highly recommended for crypto and growth stocks)
Display Settings:
Display Mode (Retracements & Extensions / Retracements Only / Extensions Only)
Line Style, Length, Width
On-Chart Labels (clean text) or Price Scale Labels (traditional right-side axis)
Label Size and Offset
Unified Color Override:
One-click monochrome mode for all levels
Individual Level Controls:
8 customizable retracement levels (0.0 to 1.0)
5 customizable extension levels (1.236 to 2.618)
Use Cases
📊 Swing Trading - Identify key support/resistance zones for entries and exits
📊 Scalping - Use short-term anchors to find precise intraday reversal levels
📊 Position Trading - Logarithmic calculations essential for multi-year crypto/stock analysis
📊 Options Trading - Extension levels provide excellent profit target zones
📊 Multi-Timeframe Analysis - Set different anchors to compare short-term vs. long-term Fibonacci structures
Tips for Best Results
For cryptocurrency and growth stocks: Always enable "Use Log Scale Calculation" and view your chart in log scale
For precision: Use the manual anchor feature to draw from confirmed swing lows/highs rather than relying on automatic detection
For clean charts: Toggle off levels you don't actively use (e.g., disable 0.786 and 0.886 if you only trade 0.382/0.618)
For screenshots: Enable Unified Color Override and set to grayscale for professional-looking chart exports
Note on Logarithmic Scale
This indicator includes true logarithmic Fibonacci calculations, which are critical when analyzing assets with significant price appreciation. Standard arithmetic Fibonacci tools become increasingly inaccurate on log-scale charts - this indicator solves that problem by calculating levels using logarithmic mathematics when "Use Log Scale Calculation" is enabled.
Disclaimer: This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
Power RSI Segment Runner [CHE] Power RSI Segment Runner — Tracks RSI momentum across higher timeframe segments to detect directional switches for trend confirmation.
Summary
This indicator calculates a running Relative Strength Index adapted to segments defined by changes in a higher timeframe, such as daily closes, providing a smoothed view of momentum within each period. It distinguishes between completed segments, which fix the final RSI value, and ongoing ones, which update in real time with an exponential moving average filter. Directional switches between bullish and bearish momentum trigger visual alerts, including overlay lines and emojis, while a compact table displays current trend strength as a progress bar. This segmented approach reduces noise from intra-period fluctuations, offering clearer signals for trend persistence compared to standard RSI on lower timeframes.
Motivation: Why this design?
Standard RSI often generates erratic signals in choppy markets due to constant recalculation over fixed lookback periods, leading to false reversals that mislead traders during range-bound or volatile phases. By resetting the RSI accumulation at higher timeframe boundaries, this indicator aligns momentum assessment with broader market cycles, capturing sustained directional bias more reliably. It addresses the gap between short-term noise and long-term trends, helping users filter entries without over-relying on absolute overbought or oversold thresholds.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
- Baseline Reference: Diverges from the classic Wilder RSI, which uses a fixed-length exponential moving average of gains and losses across all bars.
- Architecture Differences:
- Segments momentum resets at higher timeframe changes, isolating calculations per period instead of continuous history.
- Employs persistent sums for ups and downs within segments, with on-the-fly RSI derivation and EMA smoothing.
- Integrates switch detection logic that clears prior visuals on reversal, preventing clutter from outdated alerts.
- Adds overlay projections like horizontal price lines and dynamic percent change trackers for immediate trade context.
- Practical Effect: Charts show discrete RSI endpoints for past segments alongside a curved running trace, making momentum evolution visually intuitive. Switches appear as clean, extendable overlays, reducing alert fatigue and highlighting only confirmed directional shifts, which aids in avoiding whipsaws during minor pullbacks.
How it works (technical)
The indicator begins by detecting changes in the specified higher timeframe, such as a new daily bar, to define segment boundaries. At each boundary, it finalizes the prior segment's RSI by summing positive and negative price changes over that period and derives the value from the ratio of those sums, then applies an exponential moving average for smoothing. Within the active segment, it accumulates ongoing ups and downs from price changes relative to the source, recalculating the running RSI similarly and smoothing it with the same EMA length.
Points for the running RSI are collected into an array starting from the segment's onset, forming a curved polyline once sufficient bars accumulate. Comparisons between the running RSI and the last completed segment's value determine the current direction as long, short, or neutral, with switches triggering deletions of old visuals and creation of new ones: a label at the RSI pane, a vertical dashed line across the RSI range, an emoji positioned via ATR offset on the price chart, a solid horizontal line at the switch price, a dashed line tracking current close, and a midpoint label for percent change from the switch.
Initialization occurs on the first bar by resetting accumulators, and visualization gates behind a minimum bar count since the segment start to avoid early instability. The trend strength table builds vertically with filled cells proportional to the rounded RSI value, colored by direction. All drawing objects update or extend on subsequent bars to reflect live progress.
Parameter Guide
EMA Length — Controls the smoothing applied to the running RSI; higher values increase lag but reduce noise. Default: 10. Trade-offs: Shorter settings heighten sensitivity for fast markets but risk more false switches; longer ones suit trending conditions for stability.
Source — Selects the price data for change calculations, typically close for standard momentum. Default: close. Trade-offs: Open or high/low may emphasize gaps, altering segment intensity.
Segment Timeframe — Defines the higher timeframe for segment resets, like daily for intraday charts. Default: D. Trade-offs: Shorter frames create more frequent but shorter segments; longer ones align with major cycles but delay resets.
Overbought Level — Sets the upper threshold for potential overbought conditions (currently unused in visuals). Default: 70. Trade-offs: Adjust for asset volatility; higher values delay bearish warnings.
Oversold Level — Sets the lower threshold for potential oversold conditions (currently unused in visuals). Default: 30. Trade-offs: Lower values permit deeper dips before signaling bullish potential.
Show Completed Label — Toggles labels at segment ends displaying final RSI. Default: true. Trade-offs: Enables historical review but can crowd charts on dense timeframes.
Plot Running Segment — Enables the curved polyline for live RSI trace. Default: true. Trade-offs: Visualizes intra-segment flow; disable for cleaner panes.
Running RSI as Label — Displays current running RSI as a forward-projected label on the last bar. Default: false. Trade-offs: Useful for quick reads; may overlap in tight scales.
Show Switch Label — Activates RSI pane labels on directional switches. Default: true. Trade-offs: Provides context; omit to minimize pane clutter.
Show Switch Line (RSI) — Draws vertical dashed lines across the RSI range at switches. Default: true. Trade-offs: Marks reversal bars clearly; extends both ways for reference.
Show Solid Overlay Line — Projects a horizontal line from switch price forward. Default: true. Trade-offs: Acts as dynamic support/resistance; wider lines enhance visibility.
Show Dashed Overlay Line — Tracks a dashed line from switch to current close. Default: true. Trade-offs: Shows price deviation; thinner for subtlety.
Show Percent Change Label — Midpoint label tracking percent move from switch. Default: true. Trade-offs: Quantifies progress; centers dynamically.
Show Trend Strength Table — Displays right-side table with direction header and RSI bar. Default: true. Trade-offs: Instant strength gauge; fixed position avoids overlap.
Activate Visualization After N Bars — Delays signals until this many bars into a segment. Default: 3. Trade-offs: Filters immature readings; higher values miss early momentum.
Segment End Label — Color for completed RSI labels. Default: 7E57C2. Trade-offs: Purple tones for finality.
Running RSI — Color for polyline and running elements. Default: yellow. Trade-offs: Bright for live tracking.
Long — Color for bullish switch visuals. Default: green. Trade-offs: Standard for uptrends.
Short — Color for bearish switch visuals. Default: red. Trade-offs: Standard for downtrends.
Solid Line Width — Thickness of horizontal overlay line. Default: 2. Trade-offs: Bolder for emphasis on key levels.
Dashed Line Width — Thickness of tracking and vertical lines. Default: 1. Trade-offs: Finer to avoid dominance.
Reading & Interpretation
Completed segment RSIs appear as static points or labels in purple, indicating the fixed momentum at period close—values drifting toward the upper half suggest building strength, while lower half implies weakness. The yellow curved polyline traces the live smoothed RSI within the current segment, rising for accumulating gains and falling for losses. Directional labels and lines in green or red flag switches: green for running momentum exceeding the prior segment's, signaling potential uptrend continuation; red for the opposite.
The right table's header colors green for long, red for short, or gray for neutral/wait, with filled purple bars scaling from bottom (low RSI) to top (high), topped by the numeric value. Overlay elements project from switch bars: the solid green/red line as a price anchor, dashed tracker showing pullback extent, and percent label quantifying deviation—positive for alignment with direction, negative for counter-moves. Emojis (up arrow for long, down for short) float above/below price via ATR spacing for quick chart scans.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
- Trend Following: Enter long on green switch confirmation after a higher high in structure; filter with table strength above midpoint for conviction. Pair with volume surge for added weight.
- Exits/Stops: Trail stops to the solid overlay line on pullbacks; exit if percent change reverses beyond 2 percent against direction. Use wait bars to confirm without chasing.
- Multi-Asset/Multi-TF: Defaults suit forex/stocks on 1H-4H with daily segments; for crypto, shorten EMA to 5 for volatility. Scale segment TF to weekly for daily charts across indices.
- Combinations: Overlay on EMA clouds for confluence—switch aligning with cloud break strengthens signal. Add volatility filters like ATR bands to debounce in low-volume regimes.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Signals confirm on bar close within segments, with running polyline updating live but gated by minimum bars to prevent flicker. Higher timeframe changes may introduce minor repaints on timeframe switches, mitigated by relying on confirmed HTF closes rather than intrabar peeks. Resource limits cap at 500 labels/lines and 50 polylines, pruning old objects on switches to stay efficient; no explicit loops, but array growth ties to segment length—suitable for up to 500-bar histories without lag.
Known limits include delayed visualization in short segments and insensitivity to overbought/oversold levels, as thresholds are inputted but not actively visualized. Gaps in source data reset accumulators prematurely, potentially skewing early RSI.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with EMA length 10, daily segments, and 3-bar wait for balanced responsiveness on hourly charts. For excessive switches in ranging markets, increase wait bars to 5 or EMA to 14 to dampen noise. If signals lag in trends, drop EMA to 5 and use 1H segments. For stable assets like indices, widen to weekly segments; tune colors for dark/light themes without altering logic.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This tool serves as a momentum visualization and switch detector layered over price action, aiding trend identification and confirmation in segmented contexts. It is not a standalone trading system, predictive model, or risk calculator—always integrate with broader analysis, position sizing, and stop-loss discipline. View it as an enhancement for discretionary setups, not automated alerts without validation.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
Quantum Rotational Field MappingQuantum Rotational Field Mapping (QRFM):
Phase Coherence Detection Through Complex-Plane Oscillator Analysis
Quantum Rotational Field Mapping applies complex-plane mathematics and phase-space analysis to oscillator ensembles, identifying high-probability trend ignition points by measuring when multiple independent oscillators achieve phase coherence. Unlike traditional multi-oscillator approaches that simply stack indicators or use boolean AND/OR logic, this system converts each oscillator into a rotating phasor (vector) in the complex plane and calculates the Coherence Index (CI) —a mathematical measure of how tightly aligned the ensemble has become—then generates signals only when alignment, phase direction, and pairwise entanglement all converge.
The indicator combines three mathematical frameworks: phasor representation using analytic signal theory to extract phase and amplitude from each oscillator, coherence measurement using vector summation in the complex plane to quantify group alignment, and entanglement analysis that calculates pairwise phase agreement across all oscillator combinations. This creates a multi-dimensional confirmation system that distinguishes between random oscillator noise and genuine regime transitions.
What Makes This Original
Complex-Plane Phasor Framework
This indicator implements classical signal processing mathematics adapted for market oscillators. Each oscillator—whether RSI, MACD, Stochastic, CCI, Williams %R, MFI, ROC, or TSI—is first normalized to a common scale, then converted into a complex-plane representation using an in-phase (I) and quadrature (Q) component. The in-phase component is the oscillator value itself, while the quadrature component is calculated as the first difference (derivative proxy), creating a velocity-aware representation.
From these components, the system extracts:
Phase (φ) : Calculated as φ = atan2(Q, I), representing the oscillator's position in its cycle (mapped to -180° to +180°)
Amplitude (A) : Calculated as A = √(I² + Q²), representing the oscillator's strength or conviction
This mathematical approach is fundamentally different from simply reading oscillator values. A phasor captures both where an oscillator is in its cycle (phase angle) and how strongly it's expressing that position (amplitude). Two oscillators can have the same value but be in opposite phases of their cycles—traditional analysis would see them as identical, while QRFM sees them as 180° out of phase (contradictory).
Coherence Index Calculation
The core innovation is the Coherence Index (CI) , borrowed from physics and signal processing. When you have N oscillators, each with phase φₙ, you can represent each as a unit vector in the complex plane: e^(iφₙ) = cos(φₙ) + i·sin(φₙ).
The CI measures what happens when you sum all these vectors:
Resultant Vector : R = Σ e^(iφₙ) = Σ cos(φₙ) + i·Σ sin(φₙ)
Coherence Index : CI = |R| / N
Where |R| is the magnitude of the resultant vector and N is the number of active oscillators.
The CI ranges from 0 to 1:
CI = 1.0 : Perfect coherence—all oscillators have identical phase angles, vectors point in the same direction, creating maximum constructive interference
CI = 0.0 : Complete decoherence—oscillators are randomly distributed around the circle, vectors cancel out through destructive interference
0 < CI < 1 : Partial alignment—some clustering with some scatter
This is not a simple average or correlation. The CI captures phase synchronization across the entire ensemble simultaneously. When oscillators phase-lock (align their cycles), the CI spikes regardless of their individual values. This makes it sensitive to regime transitions that traditional indicators miss.
Dominant Phase and Direction Detection
Beyond measuring alignment strength, the system calculates the dominant phase of the ensemble—the direction the resultant vector points:
Dominant Phase : φ_dom = atan2(Σ sin(φₙ), Σ cos(φₙ))
This gives the "average direction" of all oscillator phases, mapped to -180° to +180°:
+90° to -90° (right half-plane): Bullish phase dominance
+90° to +180° or -90° to -180° (left half-plane): Bearish phase dominance
The combination of CI magnitude (coherence strength) and dominant phase angle (directional bias) creates a two-dimensional signal space. High CI alone is insufficient—you need high CI plus dominant phase pointing in a tradeable direction. This dual requirement is what separates QRFM from simple oscillator averaging.
Entanglement Matrix and Pairwise Coherence
While the CI measures global alignment, the entanglement matrix measures local pairwise relationships. For every pair of oscillators (i, j), the system calculates:
E(i,j) = |cos(φᵢ - φⱼ)|
This represents the phase agreement between oscillators i and j:
E = 1.0 : Oscillators are in-phase (0° or 360° apart)
E = 0.0 : Oscillators are in quadrature (90° apart, orthogonal)
E between 0 and 1 : Varying degrees of alignment
The system counts how many oscillator pairs exceed a user-defined entanglement threshold (e.g., 0.7). This entangled pairs count serves as a confirmation filter: signals require not just high global CI, but also a minimum number of strong pairwise agreements. This prevents false ignitions where CI is high but driven by only two oscillators while the rest remain scattered.
The entanglement matrix creates an N×N symmetric matrix that can be visualized as a web—when many cells are bright (high E values), the ensemble is highly interconnected. When cells are dark, oscillators are moving independently.
Phase-Lock Tolerance Mechanism
A complementary confirmation layer is the phase-lock detector . This calculates the maximum phase spread across all oscillators:
For all pairs (i,j), compute angular distance: Δφ = |φᵢ - φⱼ|, wrapping at 180°
Max Spread = maximum Δφ across all pairs
If max spread < user threshold (e.g., 35°), the ensemble is considered phase-locked —all oscillators are within a narrow angular band.
This differs from entanglement: entanglement measures pairwise cosine similarity (magnitude of alignment), while phase-lock measures maximum angular deviation (tightness of clustering). Both must be satisfied for the highest-conviction signals.
Multi-Layer Visual Architecture
QRFM includes six visual components that represent the same underlying mathematics from different perspectives:
Circular Orbit Plot : A polar coordinate grid showing each oscillator as a vector from origin to perimeter. Angle = phase, radius = amplitude. This is a real-time snapshot of the complex plane. When vectors converge (point in similar directions), coherence is high. When scattered randomly, coherence is low. Users can see phase alignment forming before CI numerically confirms it.
Phase-Time Heat Map : A 2D matrix with rows = oscillators and columns = time bins. Each cell is colored by the oscillator's phase at that time (using a gradient where color hue maps to angle). Horizontal color bands indicate sustained phase alignment over time. Vertical color bands show moments when all oscillators shared the same phase (ignition points). This provides historical pattern recognition.
Entanglement Web Matrix : An N×N grid showing E(i,j) for all pairs. Cells are colored by entanglement strength—bright yellow/gold for high E, dark gray for low E. This reveals which oscillators are driving coherence and which are lagging. For example, if RSI and MACD show high E but Stochastic shows low E with everything, Stochastic is the outlier.
Quantum Field Cloud : A background color overlay on the price chart. Color (green = bullish, red = bearish) is determined by dominant phase. Opacity is determined by CI—high CI creates dense, opaque cloud; low CI creates faint, nearly invisible cloud. This gives an atmospheric "feel" for regime strength without looking at numbers.
Phase Spiral : A smoothed plot of dominant phase over recent history, displayed as a curve that wraps around price. When the spiral is tight and rotating steadily, the ensemble is in coherent rotation (trending). When the spiral is loose or erratic, coherence is breaking down.
Dashboard : A table showing real-time metrics: CI (as percentage), dominant phase (in degrees with directional arrow), field strength (CI × average amplitude), entangled pairs count, phase-lock status (locked/unlocked), quantum state classification ("Ignition", "Coherent", "Collapse", "Chaos"), and collapse risk (recent CI change normalized to 0-100%).
Each component is independently toggleable, allowing users to customize their workspace. The orbit plot is the most essential—it provides intuitive, visual feedback on phase alignment that no numerical dashboard can match.
Core Components and How They Work Together
1. Oscillator Normalization Engine
The foundation is creating a common measurement scale. QRFM supports eight oscillators:
RSI : Normalized from to using overbought/oversold levels (70, 30) as anchors
MACD Histogram : Normalized by dividing by rolling standard deviation, then clamped to
Stochastic %K : Normalized from using (80, 20) anchors
CCI : Divided by 200 (typical extreme level), clamped to
Williams %R : Normalized from using (-20, -80) anchors
MFI : Normalized from using (80, 20) anchors
ROC : Divided by 10, clamped to
TSI : Divided by 50, clamped to
Each oscillator can be individually enabled/disabled. Only active oscillators contribute to phase calculations. The normalization removes scale differences—a reading of +0.8 means "strongly bullish" regardless of whether it came from RSI or TSI.
2. Analytic Signal Construction
For each active oscillator at each bar, the system constructs the analytic signal:
In-Phase (I) : The normalized oscillator value itself
Quadrature (Q) : The bar-to-bar change in the normalized value (first derivative approximation)
This creates a 2D representation: (I, Q). The phase is extracted as:
φ = atan2(Q, I) × (180 / π)
This maps the oscillator to a point on the unit circle. An oscillator at the same value but rising (positive Q) will have a different phase than one that is falling (negative Q). This velocity-awareness is critical—it distinguishes between "at resistance and stalling" versus "at resistance and breaking through."
The amplitude is extracted as:
A = √(I² + Q²)
This represents the distance from origin in the (I, Q) plane. High amplitude means the oscillator is far from neutral (strong conviction). Low amplitude means it's near zero (weak/transitional state).
3. Coherence Calculation Pipeline
For each bar (or every Nth bar if phase sample rate > 1 for performance):
Step 1 : Extract phase φₙ for each of the N active oscillators
Step 2 : Compute complex exponentials: Zₙ = e^(i·φₙ·π/180) = cos(φₙ·π/180) + i·sin(φₙ·π/180)
Step 3 : Sum the complex exponentials: R = Σ Zₙ = (Σ cos φₙ) + i·(Σ sin φₙ)
Step 4 : Calculate magnitude: |R| = √
Step 5 : Normalize by count: CI_raw = |R| / N
Step 6 : Smooth the CI: CI = SMA(CI_raw, smoothing_window)
The smoothing step (default 2 bars) removes single-bar noise spikes while preserving structural coherence changes. Users can adjust this to control reactivity versus stability.
The dominant phase is calculated as:
φ_dom = atan2(Σ sin φₙ, Σ cos φₙ) × (180 / π)
This is the angle of the resultant vector R in the complex plane.
4. Entanglement Matrix Construction
For all unique pairs of oscillators (i, j) where i < j:
Step 1 : Get phases φᵢ and φⱼ
Step 2 : Compute phase difference: Δφ = φᵢ - φⱼ (in radians)
Step 3 : Calculate entanglement: E(i,j) = |cos(Δφ)|
Step 4 : Store in symmetric matrix: matrix = matrix = E(i,j)
The matrix is then scanned: count how many E(i,j) values exceed the user-defined threshold (default 0.7). This count is the entangled pairs metric.
For visualization, the matrix is rendered as an N×N table where cell brightness maps to E(i,j) intensity.
5. Phase-Lock Detection
Step 1 : For all unique pairs (i, j), compute angular distance: Δφ = |φᵢ - φⱼ|
Step 2 : Wrap angles: if Δφ > 180°, set Δφ = 360° - Δφ
Step 3 : Find maximum: max_spread = max(Δφ) across all pairs
Step 4 : Compare to tolerance: phase_locked = (max_spread < tolerance)
If phase_locked is true, all oscillators are within the specified angular cone (e.g., 35°). This is a boolean confirmation filter.
6. Signal Generation Logic
Signals are generated through multi-layer confirmation:
Long Ignition Signal :
CI crosses above ignition threshold (e.g., 0.80)
AND dominant phase is in bullish range (-90° < φ_dom < +90°)
AND phase_locked = true
AND entangled_pairs >= minimum threshold (e.g., 4)
Short Ignition Signal :
CI crosses above ignition threshold
AND dominant phase is in bearish range (φ_dom < -90° OR φ_dom > +90°)
AND phase_locked = true
AND entangled_pairs >= minimum threshold
Collapse Signal :
CI at bar minus CI at current bar > collapse threshold (e.g., 0.55)
AND CI at bar was above 0.6 (must collapse from coherent state, not from already-low state)
These are strict conditions. A high CI alone does not generate a signal—dominant phase must align with direction, oscillators must be phase-locked, and sufficient pairwise entanglement must exist. This multi-factor gating dramatically reduces false signals compared to single-condition triggers.
Calculation Methodology
Phase 1: Oscillator Computation and Normalization
On each bar, the system calculates the raw values for all enabled oscillators using standard Pine Script functions:
RSI: ta.rsi(close, length)
MACD: ta.macd() returning histogram component
Stochastic: ta.stoch() smoothed with ta.sma()
CCI: ta.cci(close, length)
Williams %R: ta.wpr(length)
MFI: ta.mfi(hlc3, length)
ROC: ta.roc(close, length)
TSI: ta.tsi(close, short, long)
Each raw value is then passed through a normalization function:
normalize(value, overbought_level, oversold_level) = 2 × (value - oversold) / (overbought - oversold) - 1
This maps the oscillator's typical range to , where -1 represents extreme bearish, 0 represents neutral, and +1 represents extreme bullish.
For oscillators without fixed ranges (MACD, ROC, TSI), statistical normalization is used: divide by a rolling standard deviation or fixed divisor, then clamp to .
Phase 2: Phasor Extraction
For each normalized oscillator value val:
I = val (in-phase component)
Q = val - val (quadrature component, first difference)
Phase calculation:
phi_rad = atan2(Q, I)
phi_deg = phi_rad × (180 / π)
Amplitude calculation:
A = √(I² + Q²)
These values are stored in arrays: osc_phases and osc_amps for each oscillator n.
Phase 3: Complex Summation and Coherence
Initialize accumulators:
sum_cos = 0
sum_sin = 0
For each oscillator n = 0 to N-1:
phi_rad = osc_phases × (π / 180)
sum_cos += cos(phi_rad)
sum_sin += sin(phi_rad)
Resultant magnitude:
resultant_mag = √(sum_cos² + sum_sin²)
Coherence Index (raw):
CI_raw = resultant_mag / N
Smoothed CI:
CI = SMA(CI_raw, smoothing_window)
Dominant phase:
phi_dom_rad = atan2(sum_sin, sum_cos)
phi_dom_deg = phi_dom_rad × (180 / π)
Phase 4: Entanglement Matrix Population
For i = 0 to N-2:
For j = i+1 to N-1:
phi_i = osc_phases × (π / 180)
phi_j = osc_phases × (π / 180)
delta_phi = phi_i - phi_j
E = |cos(delta_phi)|
matrix_index_ij = i × N + j
matrix_index_ji = j × N + i
entangle_matrix = E
entangle_matrix = E
if E >= threshold:
entangled_pairs += 1
The matrix uses flat array storage with index mapping: index(row, col) = row × N + col.
Phase 5: Phase-Lock Check
max_spread = 0
For i = 0 to N-2:
For j = i+1 to N-1:
delta = |osc_phases - osc_phases |
if delta > 180:
delta = 360 - delta
max_spread = max(max_spread, delta)
phase_locked = (max_spread < tolerance)
Phase 6: Signal Evaluation
Ignition Long :
ignition_long = (CI crosses above threshold) AND
(phi_dom > -90 AND phi_dom < 90) AND
phase_locked AND
(entangled_pairs >= minimum)
Ignition Short :
ignition_short = (CI crosses above threshold) AND
(phi_dom < -90 OR phi_dom > 90) AND
phase_locked AND
(entangled_pairs >= minimum)
Collapse :
CI_prev = CI
collapse = (CI_prev - CI > collapse_threshold) AND (CI_prev > 0.6)
All signals are evaluated on bar close. The crossover and crossunder functions ensure signals fire only once when conditions transition from false to true.
Phase 7: Field Strength and Visualization Metrics
Average Amplitude :
avg_amp = (Σ osc_amps ) / N
Field Strength :
field_strength = CI × avg_amp
Collapse Risk (for dashboard):
collapse_risk = (CI - CI) / max(CI , 0.1)
collapse_risk_pct = clamp(collapse_risk × 100, 0, 100)
Quantum State Classification :
if (CI > threshold AND phase_locked):
state = "Ignition"
else if (CI > 0.6):
state = "Coherent"
else if (collapse):
state = "Collapse"
else:
state = "Chaos"
Phase 8: Visual Rendering
Orbit Plot : For each oscillator, convert polar (phase, amplitude) to Cartesian (x, y) for grid placement:
radius = amplitude × grid_center × 0.8
x = radius × cos(phase × π/180)
y = radius × sin(phase × π/180)
col = center + x (mapped to grid coordinates)
row = center - y
Heat Map : For each oscillator row and time column, retrieve historical phase value at lookback = (columns - col) × sample_rate, then map phase to color using a hue gradient.
Entanglement Web : Render matrix as table cell with background color opacity = E(i,j).
Field Cloud : Background color = (phi_dom > -90 AND phi_dom < 90) ? green : red, with opacity = mix(min_opacity, max_opacity, CI).
All visual components render only on the last bar (barstate.islast) to minimize computational overhead.
How to Use This Indicator
Step 1 : Apply QRFM to your chart. It works on all timeframes and asset classes, though 15-minute to 4-hour timeframes provide the best balance of responsiveness and noise reduction.
Step 2 : Enable the dashboard (default: top right) and the circular orbit plot (default: middle left). These are your primary visual feedback tools.
Step 3 : Optionally enable the heat map, entanglement web, and field cloud based on your preference. New users may find all visuals overwhelming; start with dashboard + orbit plot.
Step 4 : Observe for 50-100 bars to let the indicator establish baseline coherence patterns. Markets have different "normal" CI ranges—some instruments naturally run higher or lower coherence.
Understanding the Circular Orbit Plot
The orbit plot is a polar grid showing oscillator vectors in real-time:
Center point : Neutral (zero phase and amplitude)
Each vector : A line from center to a point on the grid
Vector angle : The oscillator's phase (0° = right/east, 90° = up/north, 180° = left/west, -90° = down/south)
Vector length : The oscillator's amplitude (short = weak signal, long = strong signal)
Vector label : First letter of oscillator name (R = RSI, M = MACD, etc.)
What to watch :
Convergence : When all vectors cluster in one quadrant or sector, CI is rising and coherence is forming. This is your pre-signal warning.
Scatter : When vectors point in random directions (360° spread), CI is low and the market is in a non-trending or transitional regime.
Rotation : When the cluster rotates smoothly around the circle, the ensemble is in coherent oscillation—typically seen during steady trends.
Sudden flips : When the cluster rapidly jumps from one side to the opposite (e.g., +90° to -90°), a phase reversal has occurred—often coinciding with trend reversals.
Example: If you see RSI, MACD, and Stochastic all pointing toward 45° (northeast) with long vectors, while CCI, TSI, and ROC point toward 40-50° as well, coherence is high and dominant phase is bullish. Expect an ignition signal if CI crosses threshold.
Reading Dashboard Metrics
The dashboard provides numerical confirmation of what the orbit plot shows visually:
CI : Displays as 0-100%. Above 70% = high coherence (strong regime), 40-70% = moderate, below 40% = low (poor conditions for trend entries).
Dom Phase : Angle in degrees with directional arrow. ⬆ = bullish bias, ⬇ = bearish bias, ⬌ = neutral.
Field Strength : CI weighted by amplitude. High values (> 0.6) indicate not just alignment but strong alignment.
Entangled Pairs : Count of oscillator pairs with E > threshold. Higher = more confirmation. If minimum is set to 4, you need at least 4 pairs entangled for signals.
Phase Lock : 🔒 YES (all oscillators within tolerance) or 🔓 NO (spread too wide).
State : Real-time classification:
🚀 IGNITION: CI just crossed threshold with phase-lock
⚡ COHERENT: CI is high and stable
💥 COLLAPSE: CI has dropped sharply
🌀 CHAOS: Low CI, scattered phases
Collapse Risk : 0-100% scale based on recent CI change. Above 50% warns of imminent breakdown.
Interpreting Signals
Long Ignition (Blue Triangle Below Price) :
Occurs when CI crosses above threshold (e.g., 0.80)
Dominant phase is in bullish range (-90° to +90°)
All oscillators are phase-locked (within tolerance)
Minimum entangled pairs requirement met
Interpretation : The oscillator ensemble has transitioned from disorder to coherent bullish alignment. This is a high-probability long entry point. The multi-layer confirmation (CI + phase direction + lock + entanglement) ensures this is not a single-oscillator whipsaw.
Short Ignition (Red Triangle Above Price) :
Same conditions as long, but dominant phase is in bearish range (< -90° or > +90°)
Interpretation : Coherent bearish alignment has formed. High-probability short entry.
Collapse (Circles Above and Below Price) :
CI has dropped by more than the collapse threshold (e.g., 0.55) over a 5-bar window
CI was previously above 0.6 (collapsing from coherent state)
Interpretation : Phase coherence has broken down. If you are in a position, this is an exit warning. If looking to enter, stand aside—regime is transitioning.
Phase-Time Heat Map Patterns
Enable the heat map and position it at bottom right. The rows represent individual oscillators, columns represent time bins (most recent on left).
Pattern: Horizontal Color Bands
If a row (e.g., RSI) shows consistent color across columns (say, green for several bins), that oscillator has maintained stable phase over time. If all rows show horizontal bands of similar color, the entire ensemble has been phase-locked for an extended period—this is a strong trending regime.
Pattern: Vertical Color Bands
If a column (single time bin) shows all cells with the same or very similar color, that moment in time had high coherence. These vertical bands often align with ignition signals or major price pivots.
Pattern: Rainbow Chaos
If cells are random colors (red, green, yellow mixed with no pattern), coherence is low. The ensemble is scattered. Avoid trading during these periods unless you have external confirmation.
Pattern: Color Transition
If you see a row transition from red to green (or vice versa) sharply, that oscillator has phase-flipped. If multiple rows do this simultaneously, a regime change is underway.
Entanglement Web Analysis
Enable the web matrix (default: opposite corner from heat map). It shows an N×N grid where N = number of active oscillators.
Bright Yellow/Gold Cells : High pairwise entanglement. For example, if the RSI-MACD cell is bright gold, those two oscillators are moving in phase. If the RSI-Stochastic cell is bright, they are entangled as well.
Dark Gray Cells : Low entanglement. Oscillators are decorrelated or in quadrature.
Diagonal : Always marked with "—" because an oscillator is always perfectly entangled with itself.
How to use :
Scan for clustering: If most cells are bright, coherence is high across the board. If only a few cells are bright, coherence is driven by a subset (e.g., RSI and MACD are aligned, but nothing else is—weak signal).
Identify laggards: If one row/column is entirely dark, that oscillator is the outlier. You may choose to disable it or monitor for when it joins the group (late confirmation).
Watch for web formation: During low-coherence periods, the matrix is mostly dark. As coherence builds, cells begin lighting up. A sudden "web" of connections forming visually precedes ignition signals.
Trading Workflow
Step 1: Monitor Coherence Level
Check the dashboard CI metric or observe the orbit plot. If CI is below 40% and vectors are scattered, conditions are poor for trend entries. Wait.
Step 2: Detect Coherence Building
When CI begins rising (say, from 30% to 50-60%) and you notice vectors on the orbit plot starting to cluster, coherence is forming. This is your alert phase—do not enter yet, but prepare.
Step 3: Confirm Phase Direction
Check the dominant phase angle and the orbit plot quadrant where clustering is occurring:
Clustering in right half (0° to ±90°): Bullish bias forming
Clustering in left half (±90° to 180°): Bearish bias forming
Verify the dashboard shows the corresponding directional arrow (⬆ or ⬇).
Step 4: Wait for Signal Confirmation
Do not enter based on rising CI alone. Wait for the full ignition signal:
CI crosses above threshold
Phase-lock indicator shows 🔒 YES
Entangled pairs count >= minimum
Directional triangle appears on chart
This ensures all layers have aligned.
Step 5: Execute Entry
Long : Blue triangle below price appears → enter long
Short : Red triangle above price appears → enter short
Step 6: Position Management
Initial Stop : Place stop loss based on your risk management rules (e.g., recent swing low/high, ATR-based buffer).
Monitoring :
Watch the field cloud density. If it remains opaque and colored in your direction, the regime is intact.
Check dashboard collapse risk. If it rises above 50%, prepare for exit.
Monitor the orbit plot. If vectors begin scattering or the cluster flips to the opposite side, coherence is breaking.
Exit Triggers :
Collapse signal fires (circles appear)
Dominant phase flips to opposite half-plane
CI drops below 40% (coherence lost)
Price hits your profit target or trailing stop
Step 7: Post-Exit Analysis
After exiting, observe whether a new ignition forms in the opposite direction (reversal) or if CI remains low (transition to range). Use this to decide whether to re-enter, reverse, or stand aside.
Best Practices
Use Price Structure as Context
QRFM identifies when coherence forms but does not specify where price will go. Combine ignition signals with support/resistance levels, trendlines, or chart patterns. For example:
Long ignition near a major support level after a pullback: high-probability bounce
Long ignition in the middle of a range with no structure: lower probability
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
Open QRFM on two timeframes simultaneously:
Higher timeframe (e.g., 4-hour): Use CI level to determine regime bias. If 4H CI is above 60% and dominant phase is bullish, the market is in a bullish regime.
Lower timeframe (e.g., 15-minute): Execute entries on ignition signals that align with the higher timeframe bias.
This prevents counter-trend trades and increases win rate.
Distinguish Between Regime Types
High CI, stable dominant phase (State: Coherent) : Trending market. Ignitions are continuation signals; collapses are profit-taking or reversal warnings.
Low CI, erratic dominant phase (State: Chaos) : Ranging or choppy market. Avoid ignition signals or reduce position size. Wait for coherence to establish.
Moderate CI with frequent collapses : Whipsaw environment. Use wider stops or stand aside.
Adjust Parameters to Instrument and Timeframe
Crypto/Forex (high volatility) : Lower ignition threshold (0.65-0.75), lower CI smoothing (2-3), shorter oscillator lengths (7-10).
Stocks/Indices (moderate volatility) : Standard settings (threshold 0.75-0.85, smoothing 5-7, oscillator lengths 14).
Lower timeframes (5-15 min) : Reduce phase sample rate to 1-2 for responsiveness.
Higher timeframes (daily+) : Increase CI smoothing and oscillator lengths for noise reduction.
Use Entanglement Count as Conviction Filter
The minimum entangled pairs setting controls signal strictness:
Low (1-2) : More signals, lower quality (acceptable if you have other confirmation)
Medium (3-5) : Balanced (recommended for most traders)
High (6+) : Very strict, fewer signals, highest quality
Adjust based on your trade frequency preference and risk tolerance.
Monitor Oscillator Contribution
Use the entanglement web to see which oscillators are driving coherence. If certain oscillators are consistently dark (low E with all others), they may be adding noise. Consider disabling them. For example:
On low-volume instruments, MFI may be unreliable → disable MFI
On strongly trending instruments, mean-reversion oscillators (Stochastic, RSI) may lag → reduce weight or disable
Respect the Collapse Signal
Collapse events are early warnings. Price may continue in the original direction for several bars after collapse fires, but the underlying regime has weakened. Best practice:
If in profit: Take partial or full profit on collapse
If at breakeven/small loss: Exit immediately
If collapse occurs shortly after entry: Likely a false ignition; exit to avoid drawdown
Collapses do not guarantee immediate reversals—they signal uncertainty .
Combine with Volume Analysis
If your instrument has reliable volume:
Ignitions with expanding volume: Higher conviction
Ignitions with declining volume: Weaker, possibly false
Collapses with volume spikes: Strong reversal signal
Collapses with low volume: May just be consolidation
Volume is not built into QRFM (except via MFI), so add it as external confirmation.
Observe the Phase Spiral
The spiral provides a quick visual cue for rotation consistency:
Tight, smooth spiral : Ensemble is rotating coherently (trending)
Loose, erratic spiral : Phase is jumping around (ranging or transitional)
If the spiral tightens, coherence is building. If it loosens, coherence is dissolving.
Do Not Overtrade Low-Coherence Periods
When CI is persistently below 40% and the state is "Chaos," the market is not in a regime where phase analysis is predictive. During these times:
Reduce position size
Widen stops
Wait for coherence to return
QRFM's strength is regime detection. If there is no regime, the tool correctly signals "stand aside."
Use Alerts Strategically
Set alerts for:
Long Ignition
Short Ignition
Collapse
Phase Lock (optional)
Configure alerts to "Once per bar close" to avoid intrabar repainting and noise. When an alert fires, manually verify:
Orbit plot shows clustering
Dashboard confirms all conditions
Price structure supports the trade
Do not blindly trade alerts—use them as prompts for analysis.
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance
Instruments :
Liquid, actively traded markets (major forex pairs, large-cap stocks, major indices, top-tier crypto)
Instruments with clear cyclical oscillator behavior (avoid extremely illiquid or manipulated markets)
Timeframes :
15-minute to 4-hour: Optimal balance of noise reduction and responsiveness
1-hour to daily: Slower, higher-conviction signals; good for swing trading
5-minute: Acceptable for scalping if parameters are tightened and you accept more noise
Market Regimes :
Trending markets with periodic retracements (where oscillators cycle through phases predictably)
Breakout environments (coherence forms before/during breakout; collapse occurs at exhaustion)
Rotational markets with clear swings (oscillators phase-lock at turning points)
Volatility :
Moderate to high volatility (oscillators have room to move through their ranges)
Stable volatility regimes (sudden VIX spikes or flash crashes may create false collapses)
Challenging Conditions
Instruments :
Very low liquidity markets (erratic price action creates unstable oscillator phases)
Heavily news-driven instruments (fundamentals may override technical coherence)
Highly correlated instruments (oscillators may all reflect the same underlying factor, reducing independence)
Market Regimes :
Deep, prolonged consolidation (oscillators remain near neutral, CI is chronically low, few signals fire)
Extreme chop with no directional bias (oscillators whipsaw, coherence never establishes)
Gap-driven markets (large overnight gaps create phase discontinuities)
Timeframes :
Sub-5-minute charts: Noise dominates; oscillators flip rapidly; coherence is fleeting and unreliable
Weekly/monthly: Oscillators move extremely slowly; signals are rare; better suited for long-term positioning than active trading
Special Cases :
During major economic releases or earnings: Oscillators may lag price or become decorrelated as fundamentals overwhelm technicals. Reduce position size or stand aside.
In extremely low-volatility environments (e.g., holiday periods): Oscillators compress to neutral, CI may be artificially high due to lack of movement, but signals lack follow-through.
Adaptive Behavior
QRFM is designed to self-adapt to poor conditions:
When coherence is genuinely absent, CI remains low and signals do not fire
When only a subset of oscillators aligns, entangled pairs count stays below threshold and signals are filtered out
When phase-lock cannot be achieved (oscillators too scattered), the lock filter prevents signals
This means the indicator will naturally produce fewer (or zero) signals during unfavorable conditions, rather than generating false signals. This is a feature —it keeps you out of low-probability trades.
Parameter Optimization by Trading Style
Scalping (5-15 Minute Charts)
Goal : Maximum responsiveness, accept higher noise
Oscillator Lengths :
RSI: 7-10
MACD: 8/17/6
Stochastic: 8-10, smooth 2-3
CCI: 14-16
Others: 8-12
Coherence Settings :
CI Smoothing Window: 2-3 bars (fast reaction)
Phase Sample Rate: 1 (every bar)
Ignition Threshold: 0.65-0.75 (lower for more signals)
Collapse Threshold: 0.40-0.50 (earlier exit warnings)
Confirmation :
Phase Lock Tolerance: 40-50° (looser, easier to achieve)
Min Entangled Pairs: 2-3 (fewer oscillators required)
Visuals :
Orbit Plot + Dashboard only (reduce screen clutter for fast decisions)
Disable heavy visuals (heat map, web) for performance
Alerts :
Enable all ignition and collapse alerts
Set to "Once per bar close"
Day Trading (15-Minute to 1-Hour Charts)
Goal : Balance between responsiveness and reliability
Oscillator Lengths :
RSI: 14 (standard)
MACD: 12/26/9 (standard)
Stochastic: 14, smooth 3
CCI: 20
Others: 10-14
Coherence Settings :
CI Smoothing Window: 3-5 bars (balanced)
Phase Sample Rate: 2-3
Ignition Threshold: 0.75-0.85 (moderate selectivity)
Collapse Threshold: 0.50-0.55 (balanced exit timing)
Confirmation :
Phase Lock Tolerance: 30-40° (moderate tightness)
Min Entangled Pairs: 4-5 (reasonable confirmation)
Visuals :
Orbit Plot + Dashboard + Heat Map or Web (choose one)
Field Cloud for regime backdrop
Alerts :
Ignition and collapse alerts
Optional phase-lock alert for advance warning
Swing Trading (4-Hour to Daily Charts)
Goal : High-conviction signals, minimal noise, fewer trades
Oscillator Lengths :
RSI: 14-21
MACD: 12/26/9 or 19/39/9 (longer variant)
Stochastic: 14-21, smooth 3-5
CCI: 20-30
Others: 14-20
Coherence Settings :
CI Smoothing Window: 5-10 bars (very smooth)
Phase Sample Rate: 3-5
Ignition Threshold: 0.80-0.90 (high bar for entry)
Collapse Threshold: 0.55-0.65 (only significant breakdowns)
Confirmation :
Phase Lock Tolerance: 20-30° (tight clustering required)
Min Entangled Pairs: 5-7 (strong confirmation)
Visuals :
All modules enabled (you have time to analyze)
Heat Map for multi-bar pattern recognition
Web for deep confirmation analysis
Alerts :
Ignition and collapse
Review manually before entering (no rush)
Position/Long-Term Trading (Daily to Weekly Charts)
Goal : Rare, very high-conviction regime shifts
Oscillator Lengths :
RSI: 21-30
MACD: 19/39/9 or 26/52/12
Stochastic: 21, smooth 5
CCI: 30-50
Others: 20-30
Coherence Settings :
CI Smoothing Window: 10-14 bars
Phase Sample Rate: 5 (every 5th bar to reduce computation)
Ignition Threshold: 0.85-0.95 (only extreme alignment)
Collapse Threshold: 0.60-0.70 (major regime breaks only)
Confirmation :
Phase Lock Tolerance: 15-25° (very tight)
Min Entangled Pairs: 6+ (broad consensus required)
Visuals :
Dashboard + Orbit Plot for quick checks
Heat Map to study historical coherence patterns
Web to verify deep entanglement
Alerts :
Ignition only (collapses are less critical on long timeframes)
Manual review with fundamental analysis overlay
Performance Optimization (Low-End Systems)
If you experience lag or slow rendering:
Reduce Visual Load :
Orbit Grid Size: 8-10 (instead of 12+)
Heat Map Time Bins: 5-8 (instead of 10+)
Disable Web Matrix entirely if not needed
Disable Field Cloud and Phase Spiral
Reduce Calculation Frequency :
Phase Sample Rate: 5-10 (calculate every 5-10 bars)
Max History Depth: 100-200 (instead of 500+)
Disable Unused Oscillators :
If you only want RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, disable the other five. Fewer oscillators = smaller matrices, faster loops.
Simplify Dashboard :
Choose "Small" dashboard size
Reduce number of metrics displayed
These settings will not significantly degrade signal quality (signals are based on bar-close calculations, which remain accurate), but will improve chart responsiveness.
Important Disclaimers
This indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to identify periods of phase coherence across an ensemble of oscillators. It is not a standalone trading system and does not guarantee profitable trades. The Coherence Index, dominant phase, and entanglement metrics are mathematical calculations applied to historical price data—they measure past oscillator behavior and do not predict future price movements with certainty.
No Predictive Guarantee : High coherence indicates that oscillators are currently aligned, which historically has coincided with trending or directional price movement. However, past alignment does not guarantee future trends. Markets can remain coherent while prices consolidate, or lose coherence suddenly due to news, liquidity changes, or other factors not captured by oscillator mathematics.
Signal Confirmation is Probabilistic : The multi-layer confirmation system (CI threshold + dominant phase + phase-lock + entanglement) is designed to filter out low-probability setups. This increases the proportion of valid signals relative to false signals, but does not eliminate false signals entirely. Users should combine QRFM with additional analysis—support and resistance levels, volume confirmation, multi-timeframe alignment, and fundamental context—before executing trades.
Collapse Signals are Warnings, Not Reversals : A coherence collapse indicates that the oscillator ensemble has lost alignment. This often precedes trend exhaustion or reversals, but can also occur during healthy pullbacks or consolidations. Price may continue in the original direction after a collapse. Use collapses as risk management cues (tighten stops, take partial profits) rather than automatic reversal entries.
Market Regime Dependency : QRFM performs best in markets where oscillators exhibit cyclical, mean-reverting behavior and where trends are punctuated by retracements. In markets dominated by fundamental shocks, gap openings, or extreme low-liquidity conditions, oscillator coherence may be less reliable. During such periods, reduce position size or stand aside.
Risk Management is Essential : All trading involves risk of loss. Use appropriate stop losses, position sizing, and risk-per-trade limits. The indicator does not specify stop loss or take profit levels—these must be determined by the user based on their risk tolerance and account size. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Parameter Sensitivity : The indicator's behavior changes with input parameters. Aggressive settings (low thresholds, loose tolerances) produce more signals with lower average quality. Conservative settings (high thresholds, tight tolerances) produce fewer signals with higher average quality. Users should backtest and forward-test parameter sets on their specific instruments and timeframes before committing real capital.
No Repainting by Design : All signal conditions are evaluated on bar close using bar-close values. However, the visual components (orbit plot, heat map, dashboard) update in real-time during bar formation for monitoring purposes. For trade execution, rely on the confirmed signals (triangles and circles) that appear only after the bar closes.
Computational Load : QRFM performs extensive calculations, including nested loops for entanglement matrices and real-time table rendering. On lower-powered devices or when running multiple indicators simultaneously, users may experience lag. Use the performance optimization settings (reduce visual complexity, increase phase sample rate, disable unused oscillators) to improve responsiveness.
This system is most effective when used as one component within a broader trading methodology that includes sound risk management, multi-timeframe analysis, market context awareness, and disciplined execution. It is a tool for regime detection and signal confirmation, not a substitute for comprehensive trade planning.
Technical Notes
Calculation Timing : All signal logic (ignition, collapse) is evaluated using bar-close values. The barstate.isconfirmed or implicit bar-close behavior ensures signals do not repaint. Visual components (tables, plots) render on every tick for real-time feedback but do not affect signal generation.
Phase Wrapping : Phase angles are calculated in the range -180° to +180° using atan2. Angular distance calculations account for wrapping (e.g., the distance between +170° and -170° is 20°, not 340°). This ensures phase-lock detection works correctly across the ±180° boundary.
Array Management : The indicator uses fixed-size arrays for oscillator phases, amplitudes, and the entanglement matrix. The maximum number of oscillators is 8. If fewer oscillators are enabled, array sizes shrink accordingly (only active oscillators are processed).
Matrix Indexing : The entanglement matrix is stored as a flat array with size N×N, where N is the number of active oscillators. Index mapping: index(row, col) = row × N + col. Symmetric pairs (i,j) and (j,i) are stored identically.
Normalization Stability : Oscillators are normalized to using fixed reference levels (e.g., RSI overbought/oversold at 70/30). For unbounded oscillators (MACD, ROC, TSI), statistical normalization (division by rolling standard deviation) is used, with clamping to prevent extreme outliers from distorting phase calculations.
Smoothing and Lag : The CI smoothing window (SMA) introduces lag proportional to the window size. This is intentional—it filters out single-bar noise spikes in coherence. Users requiring faster reaction can reduce the smoothing window to 1-2 bars, at the cost of increased sensitivity to noise.
Complex Number Representation : Pine Script does not have native complex number types. Complex arithmetic is implemented using separate real and imaginary accumulators (sum_cos, sum_sin) and manual calculation of magnitude (sqrt(real² + imag²)) and argument (atan2(imag, real)).
Lookback Limits : The indicator respects Pine Script's maximum lookback constraints. Historical phase and amplitude values are accessed using the operator, with lookback limited to the chart's available bar history (max_bars_back=5000 declared).
Visual Rendering Performance : Tables (orbit plot, heat map, web, dashboard) are conditionally deleted and recreated on each update using table.delete() and table.new(). This prevents memory leaks but incurs redraw overhead. Rendering is restricted to barstate.islast (last bar) to minimize computational load—historical bars do not render visuals.
Alert Condition Triggers : alertcondition() functions evaluate on bar close when their boolean conditions transition from false to true. Alerts do not fire repeatedly while a condition remains true (e.g., CI stays above threshold for 10 bars fires only once on the initial cross).
Color Gradient Functions : The phaseColor() function maps phase angles to RGB hues using sine waves offset by 120° (red, green, blue channels). This creates a continuous spectrum where -180° to +180° spans the full color wheel. The amplitudeColor() function maps amplitude to grayscale intensity. The coherenceColor() function uses cos(phase) to map contribution to CI (positive = green, negative = red).
No External Data Requests : QRFM operates entirely on the chart's symbol and timeframe. It does not use request.security() or access external data sources. All calculations are self-contained, avoiding lookahead bias from higher-timeframe requests.
Deterministic Behavior : Given identical input parameters and price data, QRFM produces identical outputs. There are no random elements, probabilistic sampling, or time-of-day dependencies.
— Dskyz, Engineering precision. Trading coherence.
COT IndexTHE HIDDEN INTELLIGENCE IN FUTURES MARKETS
What if you could see what the smartest players in the futures markets are doing before the crowd catches on? While retail traders chase momentum indicators and moving averages, obsess over Japanese candlestick patterns, and debate whether the RSI should be set to fourteen or twenty-one periods, institutional players leave footprints in the sand through their mandatory reporting to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. These footprints, published weekly in the Commitment of Traders reports, have been hiding in plain sight for decades, available to anyone with an internet connection, yet remarkably few traders understand how to interpret them correctly. The COT Index indicator transforms this raw institutional positioning data into actionable trading signals, bringing Wall Street intelligence to your trading screen without requiring expensive Bloomberg terminals or insider connections.
The uncomfortable truth is this: Most retail traders operate in a binary world. Long or short. Buy or sell. They apply technical analysis to individual positions, constrained by limited capital that forces them to concentrate risk in single directional bets. Meanwhile, institutional traders operate in an entirely different dimension. They manage portfolios dynamically weighted across multiple markets, adjusting exposure based on evolving market conditions, correlation shifts, and risk assessments that retail traders never see. A hedge fund might be simultaneously long gold, short oil, neutral on copper, and overweight agricultural commodities, with position sizes calibrated to volatility and portfolio Greeks. When they increase gold exposure from five percent to eight percent of portfolio allocation, this rebalancing decision reflects sophisticated analysis of opportunity cost, risk parity, and cross-market dynamics that no individual chart pattern can capture.
This portfolio reweighting activity, multiplied across hundreds of institutional participants, manifests in the aggregate positioning data published weekly by the CFTC. The Commitment of Traders report does not show individual trades or strategies. It shows the collective footprint of how actual commercial hedgers and large speculators have allocated their capital across different markets. When mining companies collectively increase forward gold sales to hedge thirty percent more production than last quarter, they are not reacting to a moving average crossover. They are making strategic allocation decisions based on production forecasts, cost structures, and price expectations derived from operational realities invisible to outside observers. This is portfolio management in action, revealed through positioning data rather than price charts.
If you want to understand how institutional capital actually flows, how sophisticated traders genuinely position themselves across market cycles, the COT report provides a rare window into that hidden world. But understand what you are getting into. This is not a tool for scalpers seeking confirmation of the next five-minute move. This is not an oscillator that flashes oversold at market bottoms with convenient precision. COT analysis operates on a timescale measured in weeks and months, revealing positioning shifts that precede major market turns but offer no precision timing. The data arrives three days stale, published only once per week, capturing strategic positioning rather than tactical entries.
If you need instant gratification, if you trade intraday moves, if you demand mechanical signals with ninety percent accuracy, close this document now. COT analysis rewards patience, position sizing discipline, and tolerance for being early. It punishes impatience, overleveraging, and the expectation that any single indicator can substitute for market understanding.
The premise is deceptively simple. Every Tuesday, large traders in futures markets must report their positions to the CFTC. By Friday afternoon, this data becomes public. Academic research spanning three decades has consistently shown that not all market participants are created equal. Some traders consistently profit while others consistently lose. Some anticipate major turning points while others chase trends into exhaustion. Bessembinder and Chan (1992) demonstrated in their seminal study that commercial hedgers, those with actual exposure to the underlying commodity or financial instrument, possess superior forecasting ability compared to speculators. Their research, published in the Journal of Finance, found statistically significant predictive power in commercial positioning, particularly at extreme levels. This finding challenged the efficient market hypothesis and opened the door to a new approach to market analysis based on positioning rather than price alone.
Think about what this means. Every week, the government publishes a report showing you exactly how the most informed market participants are positioned. Not their opinions. Not their predictions. Their actual money at risk. When agricultural producers collectively hold their largest short hedge in five years, they are not making idle speculation. They are locking in prices for crops they will harvest, informed by private knowledge of weather conditions, soil quality, inventory levels, and demand expectations invisible to outside observers. When energy companies aggressively hedge forward production at current prices, they reveal information about expected supply that no analyst report can capture. This is not technical analysis based on past prices. This is not fundamental analysis based on publicly available data. This is behavioral analysis based on how the smartest money is actually positioned, how institutions allocate capital across portfolios, and how those allocation decisions shift as market conditions evolve.
WHY SOME TRADERS KNOW MORE THAN OTHERS
Building on this foundation, Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004) conducted extensive research examining the behaviour patterns of different trader categories. Their work, which analyzed over a decade of COT data across multiple commodity markets, revealed a fascinating dynamic that challenges much of what retail traders are taught. Commercial hedgers consistently positioned themselves against market extremes, buying when speculators were most bearish and selling when speculators reached peak bullishness. The contrarian positioning of commercials was not random noise but rather reflected their superior information about supply and demand fundamentals. Meanwhile, large speculators, primarily hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, exhibited strong trend-following behaviour that often amplified market moves beyond fundamental values. Small traders, the retail participants, consistently entered positions late in trends, frequently near turning points, making them reliable contrary indicators.
Wang (2003) extended this research by demonstrating that the predictive power of commercial positioning varies significantly across different commodity sectors. His analysis of agricultural commodities showed particularly strong forecasting ability, with commercial net positions explaining up to fifteen percent of return variance in subsequent weeks. This finding suggests that the informational advantages of hedgers are most pronounced in markets where physical supply and demand fundamentals dominate, as opposed to purely financial markets where information asymmetries are smaller. When a corn farmer hedges six months of expected harvest, that decision incorporates private observations about rainfall patterns, crop health, pest pressure, and local storage capacity that no distant analyst can match. When an oil refinery hedges crude oil purchases and gasoline sales simultaneously, the spread relationships reveal expectations about refining margins that reflect operational realities invisible in public data.
The theoretical mechanism underlying these empirical patterns relates to information asymmetry and different participant motivations. Commercial hedgers engage in futures markets not for speculative profit but to manage business risks. An agricultural producer selling forward six months of expected harvest is not making a bet on price direction but rather locking in revenue to facilitate financial planning and ensure business viability. However, this hedging activity necessarily incorporates private information about expected supply, inventory levels, weather conditions, and demand trends that the hedger observes through their commercial operations (Irwin and Sanders, 2012). When aggregated across many participants, this private information manifests in collective positioning.
Consider a gold mining company deciding how much forward production to hedge. Management must estimate ore grades, recovery rates, production costs, equipment reliability, labor availability, and dozens of other operational variables that determine whether locking in prices at current levels makes business sense. If the industry collectively hedges more aggressively than usual, it suggests either exceptional production expectations or concern about sustaining current price levels or combination of both. Either way, this positioning reveals information unavailable to speculators analyzing price charts and economic data. The hedger sees the physical reality behind the financial abstraction.
Large speculators operate under entirely different incentives and constraints. Commodity Trading Advisors managing billions in assets typically employ systematic, trend-following strategies that respond to price momentum rather than fundamental supply and demand. When crude oil rallies from sixty dollars to seventy dollars per barrel, these systems generate buy signals. As the rally continues to eighty dollars, position sizes increase. The strategy works brilliantly during sustained trends but becomes a liability at reversals. By the time oil reaches ninety dollars, trend-following funds are maximally long, having accumulated positions progressively throughout the rally. At this point, they represent not smart money anticipating further gains but rather crowded money vulnerable to reversal. Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004) documented this pattern across multiple energy markets, showing that extreme speculator positioning typically marked late-stage trend exhaustion rather than early-stage trend development.
Small traders, the retail participants who fall below reporting thresholds, display the weakest forecasting ability. Wang (2003) found that small trader positioning exhibited negative correlation with subsequent returns, meaning their aggregate positioning served as a reliable contrary indicator. The explanation combines several factors. Retail traders often lack the capital reserves to weather normal market volatility, leading to premature exits from positions that would eventually prove profitable. They tend to receive information through slower channels, entering trends after mainstream media coverage when institutional participants are preparing to exit. Perhaps most importantly, they trade with emotion, buying into euphoria and selling into panic at precisely the wrong times.
At major turning points, the three groups often position opposite each other with commercials extremely bearish, large speculators extremely bullish, and small traders piling into longs at the last moment. These high-divergence environments frequently precede increased volatility and trend reversals. The insiders with business exposure quietly exit as the momentum traders hit maximum capacity and retail enthusiasm peaks. Within weeks, the reversal begins, and positions unwind in the opposite sequence.
FROM RAW DATA TO ACTIONABLE SIGNALS
The COT Index indicator operationalizes these academic findings into a practical trading tool accessible through TradingView. At its core, the indicator normalizes net positioning data onto a zero to one hundred scale, creating what we call the COT Index. This normalization is critical because absolute position sizes vary dramatically across different futures contracts and over time. A commercial trader holding fifty thousand contracts net long in crude oil might be extremely bullish by historical standards, or it might be quite neutral depending on the context of total market size and historical ranges. Raw position numbers mean nothing without context. The COT Index solves this problem by calculating where current positioning stands relative to its range over a specified lookback period, typically two hundred fifty-two weeks or approximately five years of weekly data.
The mathematical transformation follows the methodology originally popularized by legendary trader Larry Williams, though the underlying concept appears in statistical normalization techniques across many fields. For any given trader category, we calculate the highest and lowest net position values over the lookback period, establishing the historical range for that specific market and trader group. Current positioning is then expressed as a percentage of this range, where zero represents the most bearish positioning ever seen in the lookback window and one hundred represents the most bullish extreme. A reading of fifty indicates positioning exactly in the middle of the historical range, suggesting neither extreme optimism nor pessimism relative to recent history (Williams and Noseworthy, 2009).
This index-based approach allows for meaningful comparison across different markets and time periods, overcoming the scaling problems inherent in analyzing raw position data. A commercial index reading of eighty-five in gold carries the same interpretive meaning as an eighty-five reading in wheat or crude oil, even though the absolute position sizes differ by orders of magnitude. This standardization enables systematic analysis across entire futures portfolios rather than requiring market-specific expertise for each contract.
The lookback period selection involves a fundamental tradeoff between responsiveness and stability. Shorter lookback periods, perhaps one hundred twenty-six weeks or approximately two and a half years, make the index more sensitive to recent positioning changes. However, it also increases noise and produces more false signals. Longer lookback periods, perhaps five hundred weeks or approximately ten years, create smoother readings that filter short-term noise but become slower to recognize regime changes. The indicator settings allow users to adjust this parameter based on their trading timeframe, risk tolerance, and market characteristics.
UNDERSTANDING CFTC DATA STRUCTURES
The indicator supports both Legacy and Disaggregated COT report formats, reflecting the evolution of CFTC reporting standards over decades of market development. Legacy reports categorize market participants into three broad groups: commercial traders (hedgers with underlying business exposure), non-commercial traders (large speculators seeking profit without commercial interest), and non-reportable traders (small speculators below reporting thresholds). Each category brings distinct motivations and information advantages to the market (CFTC, 2020).
The Disaggregated reports, introduced in September 2009 for physical commodity markets, provide finer granularity by splitting participants into five categories (CFTC, 2009). Producer and merchant positions capture those actually producing, processing, or merchandising the physical commodity. Swap dealers represent financial intermediaries facilitating derivative transactions for clients. Managed money includes commodity trading advisors and hedge funds executing systematic or discretionary strategies. Other reportables encompasses diverse participants not fitting the main categories. Small traders remain as the fifth group, representing retail participation.
This enhanced categorization reveals nuances invisible in Legacy reports, particularly distinguishing between different types of institutional capital and their distinct behavioural patterns. The indicator automatically detects which report type is appropriate for each futures contract and adjusts the display accordingly.
Importantly, Disaggregated reports exist only for physical commodity futures. Agricultural commodities like corn, wheat, and soybeans have Disaggregated reports because clear producer, merchant, and swap dealer categories exist. Energy commodities like crude oil and natural gas similarly have well-defined commercial hedger categories. Metals including gold, silver, and copper also receive Disaggregated treatment (CFTC, 2009). However, financial futures such as equity index futures, Treasury bond futures, and currency futures remain available only in Legacy format. The CFTC has indicated no plans to extend Disaggregated reporting to financial futures due to different market structures and participant categories in these instruments (CFTC, 2020).
THE BEHAVIORAL FOUNDATION
Understanding which trader perspective to follow requires appreciation of their distinct trading styles, success rates, and psychological profiles. Commercial hedgers exhibit anticyclical behaviour rooted in their fundamental knowledge and business imperatives. When agricultural producers hedge forward sales during harvest season, they are not speculating on price direction but rather locking in revenue for crops they will harvest. Their business requires converting volatile commodity exposure into predictable cash flows to facilitate planning and ensure survival through difficult periods. Yet their aggregate positioning reveals valuable information because these hedging decisions incorporate private information about supply conditions, inventory levels, weather observations, and demand expectations that hedgers observe through their commercial operations (Bessembinder and Chan, 1992).
Consider a practical example from energy markets. Major oil companies continuously hedge portions of forward production based on price levels, operational costs, and financial planning needs. When crude oil trades at ninety dollars per barrel, they might aggressively hedge the next twelve months of production, locking in prices that provide comfortable profit margins above their extraction costs. This hedging appears as short positioning in COT reports. If oil rallies further to one hundred dollars, they hedge even more aggressively, viewing these prices as exceptional opportunities to secure revenue. Their short positioning grows increasingly extreme. To an outside observer watching only price charts, the rally suggests bullishness. But the commercial positioning reveals that the actual producers of oil find these prices attractive enough to lock in years of sales, suggesting skepticism about sustaining even higher levels. When the eventual reversal occurs and oil declines back to eighty dollars, the commercials who hedged at ninety and one hundred dollars profit while speculators who chased the rally suffer losses.
Large speculators or managed money traders operate under entirely different incentives and constraints. Their systematic, momentum-driven strategies mean they amplify existing trends rather than anticipate reversals. Trend-following systems, the most common approach among large speculators, by definition require confirmation of trend through price momentum before entering positions (Sanders, Boris and Manfredo, 2004). When crude oil rallies from sixty dollars to eighty dollars per barrel over several months, trend-following algorithms generate buy signals based on moving average crossovers, breakouts, and other momentum indicators. As the rally continues, position sizes increase according to the systematic rules.
However, this approach becomes a liability at turning points. By the time oil reaches ninety dollars after a sustained rally, trend-following funds are maximally long, having accumulated positions progressively throughout the move. At this point, their positioning does not predict continued strength. Rather, it often marks late-stage trend exhaustion. The psychological and mechanical explanation is straightforward. Trend followers by definition chase price momentum, entering positions after trends establish rather than anticipating them. Eventually, they become fully invested just as the trend nears completion, leaving no incremental buying power to sustain the rally. When the first signs of reversal appear, systematic stops trigger, creating a cascade of selling that accelerates the downturn.
Small traders consistently display the weakest track record across academic studies. Wang (2003) found that small trader positioning exhibited negative correlation with subsequent returns in his analysis across multiple commodity markets. This result means that whatever small traders collectively do, the opposite typically proves profitable. The explanation for small trader underperformance combines several factors documented in behavioral finance literature. Retail traders often lack the capital reserves to weather normal market volatility, leading to premature exits from positions that would eventually prove profitable. They tend to receive information through slower channels, learning about commodity trends through mainstream media coverage that arrives after institutional participants have already positioned. Perhaps most importantly, retail traders are more susceptible to emotional decision-making, buying into euphoria and selling into panic at precisely the wrong times (Tharp, 2008).
SETTINGS, THRESHOLDS, AND SIGNAL GENERATION
The practical implementation of the COT Index requires understanding several key features and settings that users can adjust to match their trading style, timeframe, and risk tolerance. The lookback period determines the time window for calculating historical ranges. The default setting of two hundred fifty-two bars represents approximately one year on daily charts or five years on weekly charts, balancing responsiveness with stability. Conservative traders seeking only the most extreme, highest-probability signals might extend the lookback to five hundred bars or more. Aggressive traders seeking earlier entry and willing to accept more false positives might reduce it to one hundred twenty-six bars or even less for shorter-term applications.
The bullish and bearish thresholds define signal generation levels. Default settings of eighty and twenty respectively reflect academic research suggesting meaningful information content at these extremes. Readings above eighty indicate positioning in the top quintile of the historical range, representing genuine extremes rather than temporary fluctuations. Conversely, readings below twenty occupy the bottom quintile, indicating unusually bearish positioning (Briese, 2008).
However, traders must recognize that appropriate thresholds vary by market, trader category, and personal risk tolerance. Some futures markets exhibit wider positioning swings than others due to seasonal patterns, volatility characteristics, or participant behavior. Conservative traders seeking high-probability setups with fewer signals might raise thresholds to eighty-five and fifteen. Aggressive traders willing to accept more false positives for earlier entry could lower them to seventy-five and twenty-five.
The key is maintaining meaningful differentiation between bullish, neutral, and bearish zones. The default settings of eighty and twenty create a clear three-zone structure. Readings from zero to twenty represent bearish territory where the selected trader group holds unusually bearish positions. Readings from twenty to eighty represent neutral territory where positioning falls within normal historical ranges. Readings from eighty to one hundred represent bullish territory where the selected trader group holds unusually bullish positions.
The trading perspective selection determines which participant group the indicator follows, fundamentally shaping interpretation and signal meaning. For counter-trend traders seeking reversal opportunities, monitoring commercial positioning makes intuitive sense based on the academic research discussed earlier. When commercials reach extreme bearish readings below twenty, indicating unprecedented short positioning relative to recent history, they are effectively betting against the crowd. Given their informational advantages demonstrated by Bessembinder and Chan (1992), this contrarian stance often precedes major bottoms.
Trend followers might instead monitor large speculator positioning, but with inverted logic compared to commercials. When managed money reaches extreme bullish readings above eighty, the trend may be exhausting rather than accelerating. This seeming paradox reflects their late-cycle participation documented by Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004). Sophisticated traders thus use speculator extremes as fade signals, entering positions opposite to speculator consensus.
Small trader monitoring serves primarily as a contrary indicator for all trading styles. Extreme small trader bullishness above seventy-five or eighty typically warns of retail FOMO at market tops. Extreme small trader bearishness below twenty or twenty-five often marks capitulation bottoms where the last weak hands have sold.
VISUALIZATION AND USER INTERFACE
The visual design incorporates multiple elements working together to facilitate decision-making and maintain situational awareness during active trading. The primary COT Index line plots in bold with adjustable line width, defaulting to two pixels for clear visibility against busy price charts. An optional glow effect, controlled by a simple toggle, adds additional visual prominence through multiple plot layers with progressively increasing transparency and width.
A twenty-one period exponential moving average overlays the index line, providing trend context for positioning changes. When the index crosses above its moving average, it signals accelerating bullish sentiment among the selected trader group regardless of whether absolute positioning is extreme. Conversely, when the index crosses below its moving average, it signals deteriorating sentiment and potentially the beginning of a reversal in positioning trends.
The EMA provides a dynamic reference line for assessing positioning momentum. When the index trades far above its EMA, positioning is not only extreme in absolute terms but also building with momentum. When the index trades far below its EMA, positioning is contracting or reversing, which may indicate weakening conviction even if absolute levels remain elevated.
The data table positioned at the top right of the chart displays eleven metrics for each trader category, transforming the indicator from a simple index calculation into an analytical dashboard providing multidimensional market intelligence. Beyond the COT Index itself, users can monitor positioning extremity, which measures how unusual current levels are compared to historical norms using statistical techniques. The extremity metric clarifies whether a reading represents the ninety-fifth or ninety-ninth percentile, with values above two standard deviations indicating genuinely exceptional positioning.
Market power quantifies each group's influence on total open interest. This metric expresses each trader category's net position as a percentage of total market open interest. A commercial entity holding forty percent of total open interest commands significantly more influence than one holding five percent, making their positioning signals more meaningful.
Momentum and rate of change metrics reveal whether positions are building or contracting, providing early warning of potential regime shifts. Position velocity measures the rate of change in positioning changes, effectively a second derivative providing even earlier insight into inflection points.
Sentiment divergence highlights disagreements between commercial and speculative positioning. This metric calculates the absolute difference between normalized commercial and large speculator index values. Wang (2003) found that these high-divergence environments frequently preceded increased volatility and reversals.
The table also displays concentration metrics when available, showing how positioning is distributed among the largest handful of traders in each category. High concentration indicates a few dominant players controlling most of the positioning, while low concentration suggests broad-based participation across many traders.
THE ALERT SYSTEM AND MONITORING
The alert system, comprising five distinct alert conditions, enables systematic monitoring of dozens of futures markets without constant screen watching. The bullish and bearish COT signal alerts trigger when the index crosses user-defined thresholds, indicating the selected trader group has reached extreme positioning worthy of attention. These alerts fire in real-time as new weekly COT data publishes, typically Friday afternoon following the Tuesday measurement date.
Extreme positioning alerts fire at ninety and ten index levels, representing the top and bottom ten percent of the historical range, warning of particularly stretched readings that historically precede reversals with high probability. When commercials reach a COT Index reading below ten, they are expressing their most bearish stance in the entire lookback period.
The data staleness alert notifies users when COT reports have not updated for more than ten days, preventing reliance on outdated information for trading decisions. Government shutdowns or federal holidays can interrupt the normal Friday publication schedule. Using stale signals while believing them current creates dangerous false confidence.
The indicator's watermark information display positioned in the bottom right corner provides essential context at a glance. This persistent display shows the symbol and timeframe, the COT report date timestamp, days since last update, and the current signal state. A trader analyzing a potential short entry in crude oil can glance at the watermark to instantly confirm positioning context without interrupting analysis flow.
LIMITATIONS AND REALISTIC EXPECTATIONS
Practical application requires understanding both the indicator's considerable strengths and inherent limitations. COT data inherently lags price action by three days, as Tuesday positions are not published until Friday afternoon. This delay means the indicator cannot catch rapid intraday reversals or respond to surprise news events. Traders using the COT Index for timing entries must accept this latency and focus on swing trading and position trading timeframes where three-day lags matter less than in day trading or scalping.
The weekly publication schedule similarly makes the indicator unsuitable for short-term trading strategies requiring immediate feedback. The COT Index works best for traders operating on weekly or longer timeframes, where positioning shifts measured in weeks and months align with trading horizon.
Extreme COT readings can persist far longer than typical technical indicators suggest, testing the patience and capital reserves of traders attempting to fade them. When crude oil enters a sustained bull market driven by genuine supply disruptions, commercial hedgers may maintain bearish positioning for many months as prices grind higher. A commercial COT Index reading of fifteen indicating extreme bearishness might persist for three months while prices continue rallying before finally reversing. Traders without sufficient capital and risk tolerance to weather such drawdowns will exit prematurely, precisely when the signal is about to work (Irwin and Sanders, 2012).
Position sizing discipline becomes paramount when implementing COT-based strategies. Rather than risking large percentages of capital on individual signals, successful COT traders typically allocate modest position sizes across multiple signals, allowing some to take time to mature while others work more quickly.
The indicator also cannot overcome fundamental regime changes that alter the structural drivers of markets. If gold enters a true secular bull market driven by monetary debasement, commercial hedgers may remain persistently bearish as mining companies sell forward years of production at what they perceive as favorable prices. Their positioning indicates valuation concerns from a production cost perspective, but cannot stop prices from rising if investment demand overwhelms physical supply-demand balance.
Similarly, structural changes in market participation can alter the meaning of positioning extremes. The growth of commodity index investing in the two thousands brought massive passive long-only capital into futures markets, fundamentally changing typical positioning ranges. Traders relying on COT signals without recognizing this regime change would have generated numerous false bearish signals during the commodity supercycle from 2003 to 2008.
The research foundation supporting COT analysis derives primarily from commodity markets where the commercial hedger information advantage is most pronounced. Studies specifically examining financial futures like equity indices and bonds show weaker but still present effects. Traders should calibrate expectations accordingly, recognizing that COT analysis likely works better for crude oil, natural gas, corn, and wheat than for the S&P 500, Treasury bonds, or currency futures.
Another important limitation involves the reporting threshold structure. Not all market participants appear in COT data, only those holding positions above specified minimums. In markets dominated by a few large players, concentration metrics become critical for proper interpretation. A single large trader accounting for thirty percent of commercial positioning might skew the entire category if their individual circumstances are idiosyncratic rather than representative.
GOLD FUTURES DURING A HYPOTHETICAL MARKET CYCLE
Consider a practical example using gold futures during a hypothetical but realistic market scenario that illustrates how the COT Index indicator guides trading decisions through a complete market cycle. Suppose gold has rallied from fifteen hundred to nineteen hundred dollars per ounce over six months, driven by inflation concerns following aggressive monetary expansion, geopolitical uncertainty, and sustained buying by Asian central banks for reserve diversification.
Large speculators, operating primarily trend-following strategies, have accumulated increasingly bullish positions throughout this rally. Their COT Index has climbed progressively from forty-five to eighty-five. The table display shows that large speculators now hold net long positions representing thirty-two percent of total open interest, their highest in four years. Momentum indicators show positive readings, indicating positions are still building though at a decelerating rate. Position velocity has turned negative, suggesting the pace of position building is slowing.
Meanwhile, commercial hedgers have responded to the rally by aggressively selling forward production and inventory. Their COT Index has moved inversely to price, declining from fifty-five to twenty. This bearish commercial positioning represents mining companies locking in forward sales at prices they view as attractive relative to production costs. The table shows commercials now hold net short positions representing twenty-nine percent of total open interest, their most bearish stance in five years. Concentration metrics indicate this positioning is broadly distributed across many commercial entities, suggesting the bearish stance reflects collective industry view rather than idiosyncratic positioning by a single firm.
Small traders, attracted by mainstream financial media coverage of gold's impressive rally, have recently piled into long positions. Their COT Index has jumped from forty-five to seventy-eight as retail investors chase the trend. Television financial networks feature frequent segments on gold with bullish guests. Internet forums and social media show surging retail interest. This retail enthusiasm historically marks late-stage trend development rather than early opportunity.
The COT Index indicator, configured to monitor commercial positioning from a contrarian perspective, displays a clear bearish signal given the extreme commercial short positioning. The table displays multiple confirming metrics: positioning extremity shows commercials at the ninety-sixth percentile of bearishness, market power indicates they control twenty-nine percent of open interest, and sentiment divergence registers sixty-five, indicating massive disagreement between commercial hedgers and large speculators. This divergence, the highest in three years, places the market in the historically high-risk category for reversals.
The interpretation requires nuance and consideration of context beyond just COT data. Commercials are not necessarily predicting an imminent crash. Rather, they are hedging business operations at what they collectively view as favorable price levels. However, the data reveals they have sold unusually large quantities of forward production, suggesting either exceptional production expectations for the year ahead or concern about sustaining current price levels or combination of both. Combined with extreme speculator positioning indicating a crowded long trade, and small trader enthusiasm confirming retail FOMO, the confluence suggests elevated reversal risk even if the precise timing remains uncertain.
A prudent trader analyzing this situation might take several actions based on COT Index signals. Existing long positions could be tightened with closer stop losses. Profit-taking on a portion of long exposure could lock in gains while maintaining some participation. Some traders might initiate modest short positions as portfolio hedges, sizing them appropriately for the inherent uncertainty in timing reversals. Others might simply move to the sidelines, avoiding new long entries until positioning normalizes.
The key lesson from case study analysis is that COT signals provide probabilistic edges rather than deterministic predictions. They work over many observations by identifying higher-probability configurations, not by generating perfect calls on individual trades. A fifty-five percent win rate with proper risk management produces substantial profits over time, yet still means forty-five percent of signals will be premature or wrong. Traders must embrace this probabilistic reality rather than seeking the impossible goal of perfect accuracy.
INTEGRATION WITH TRADING SYSTEMS
Integration with existing trading systems represents a natural and powerful use case for COT analysis, adding a positioning dimension to price-based technical approaches or fundamental analytical frameworks. Few traders rely exclusively on a single indicator or methodology. Rather, they build systems that synthesize multiple information sources, with each component addressing different aspects of market behavior.
Trend followers might use COT extremes as regime filters, modifying position sizing or avoiding new trend entries when positioning reaches levels historically associated with reversals. Consider a classic trend-following system based on moving average crossovers and momentum breakouts. Integration of COT analysis adds nuance. When large speculator positioning exceeds ninety or commercial positioning falls below ten, the regime filter recognizes elevated reversal risk. The system might reduce position sizing by fifty percent for new signals during these high-risk periods (Kaufman, 2013).
Mean reversion traders might require COT signal confluence before fading extended moves. When crude oil becomes technically overbought and large speculators show extreme long positioning above eighty-five, both signals confirm. If only technical indicators show extremes while positioning remains neutral, the potential short signal is rejected, avoiding fades of trends with underlying institutional support (Kaufman, 2013).
Discretionary traders can monitor the indicator as a continuous awareness tool, informing bias and position sizing without dictating mechanical entries and exits. A discretionary trader might notice commercial positioning shifting from neutral to progressively more bullish over several months. This trend informs growing positive bias even without triggering mechanical signals.
Multi-timeframe analysis represents another powerful integration approach. A trader might use daily charts for trade execution and timing while monitoring weekly COT positioning for strategic context. When both timeframes align, highest-probability opportunities emerge.
Portfolio construction for futures traders can incorporate COT signals as an additional selection criterion. Markets showing strong technical setups AND favorable COT positioning receive highest allocations. Markets with strong technicals but neutral or unfavorable positioning receive reduced allocations.
ADVANCED METRICS AND INTERPRETATION
The metrics table transforms simple positioning data into multidimensional market intelligence. Position extremity, calculated as the absolute deviation from the historical mean normalized by standard deviation, helps identify truly unusual readings versus routine fluctuations. A reading above two standard deviations indicates ninety-fifth percentile or higher extremity. Above three standard deviations indicates ninety-ninth percentile or higher, genuinely rare positioning that historically precedes major events with high probability.
Market power, expressed as a percentage of total open interest, reveals whose positioning matters most from a mechanical market impact perspective. Consider two scenarios in gold futures. In scenario one, commercials show a COT Index reading of fifteen while their market power metric shows they hold net shorts representing thirty-five percent of open interest. This is a high-confidence bearish signal. In scenario two, commercials also show a reading of fifteen, but market power shows only eight percent. While positioning is extreme relative to this category's normal range, their limited market share means less mechanical influence on price.
The rate of change and momentum metrics highlight whether positions are accelerating or decelerating, often providing earlier warnings than absolute levels alone. A COT Index reading of seventy-five with rapidly building momentum suggests continued movement toward extremes. Conversely, a reading of eighty-five with decelerating or negative momentum indicates the positioning trend is exhausting.
Position velocity measures the rate of change in positioning changes, effectively a second derivative. When velocity shifts from positive to negative, it indicates that while positioning may still be growing, the pace of growth is slowing. This deceleration often precedes actual reversal in positioning direction by several weeks.
Sentiment divergence calculates the absolute difference between normalized commercial and large speculator index values. When commercials show extreme bearish positioning at twenty while large speculators show extreme bullish positioning at eighty, the divergence reaches sixty, representing near-maximum disagreement. Wang (2003) found that these high-divergence environments frequently preceded increased volatility and reversals. The mechanism is intuitive. Extreme divergence indicates the informed hedgers and momentum-following speculators have positioned opposite each other with conviction. One group will prove correct and profit while the other proves incorrect and suffers losses. The resolution of this disagreement through price movement often involves volatility.
The table also displays concentration metrics when available. High concentration indicates a few dominant players controlling most of the positioning within a category, while low concentration suggests broad-based participation. Broad-based positioning more reliably reflects collective market intelligence and industry consensus. If mining companies globally all independently decide to hedge aggressively at similar price levels, it suggests genuine industry-wide view about price valuations rather than circumstances specific to one firm.
DATA QUALITY AND RELIABILITY
The CFTC has maintained COT reporting in various forms since the nineteen twenties, providing nearly a century of positioning data across multiple market cycles. However, data quality and reporting standards have evolved substantially over this long period. Modern electronic reporting implemented in the late nineteen nineties and early two thousands significantly improved accuracy and timeliness compared to earlier paper-based systems.
Traders should understand that COT reports capture positions as of Tuesday's close each week. Markets remain open three additional days before publication on Friday afternoon, meaning the reported data is three days stale when received. During periods of rapid market movement or major news events, this lag can be significant. The indicator addresses this limitation by including timestamp information and staleness warnings.
The three-day lag creates particular challenges during extreme volatility episodes. Flash crashes, surprise central bank interventions, geopolitical shocks, and other high-impact events can completely transform market positioning within hours. Traders must exercise judgment about whether reported positioning remains relevant given intervening events.
Reporting thresholds also mean that not all market participants appear in disaggregated COT data. Traders holding positions below specified minimums aggregate into the non-reportable or small trader category. This aggregation affects different markets differently. In highly liquid contracts like crude oil with thousands of participants, reportable traders might represent seventy to eighty percent of open interest. In thinly traded contracts with only dozens of active participants, a few large reportable positions might represent ninety-five percent of open interest.
Another data quality consideration involves trader classification into categories. The CFTC assigns traders to commercial or non-commercial categories based on reported business purpose and activities. However, this process is not perfect. Some entities engage in both commercial and speculative activities, creating ambiguity about proper classification. The transition to Disaggregated reports attempted to address some of these ambiguities by creating more granular categories.
COMPARISON WITH ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES
Several alternative approaches to COT analysis exist in the trading community beyond the normalization methodology employed by this indicator. Some analysts focus on absolute position changes week-over-week rather than index-based normalization. This approach calculates the change in net positioning from one week to the next. The emphasis falls on momentum in positioning changes rather than absolute levels relative to history. This method potentially identifies regime shifts earlier but sacrifices cross-market comparability (Briese, 2008).
Other practitioners employ more complex statistical transformations including percentile rankings, z-score standardization, and machine learning classification algorithms. Ruan and Zhang (2018) demonstrated that machine learning models applied to COT data could achieve modest improvements in forecasting accuracy compared to simple threshold-based approaches. However, these gains came at the cost of interpretability and implementation complexity.
The COT Index indicator intentionally employs a relatively straightforward normalization methodology for several important reasons. First, transparency enhances user understanding and trust. Traders can verify calculations manually and develop intuitive feel for what different readings mean. Second, academic research suggests that most of the predictive power in COT data comes from extreme positioning levels rather than subtle patterns requiring complex statistical methods to detect. Third, robust methods that work consistently across many markets and time periods tend to be simpler rather than more complex, reducing the risk of overfitting to historical data. Fourth, the complexity costs of implementation matter for retail traders without programming teams or computational infrastructure.
PSYCHOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF COT TRADING
Trading based on COT data requires psychological fortitude that differs from momentum-based approaches. Contrarian positioning signals inherently mean betting against prevailing market sentiment and recent price action. When commercials reach extreme bearish positioning, prices have typically been rising, sometimes for extended periods. The price chart looks bullish, momentum indicators confirm strength, moving averages align positively. The COT signal says bet against all of this. This psychological difficulty explains why COT analysis remains underutilized relative to trend-following methods.
Human psychology strongly predisposes us toward extrapolation and recency bias. When prices rally for months, our pattern-matching brains naturally expect continued rally. The recent price action dominates our perception, overwhelming rational analysis about positioning extremes and historical probabilities. The COT signal asking us to sell requires overriding these powerful psychological impulses.
The indicator design attempts to support the required psychological discipline through several features. Clear threshold markers and signal states reduce ambiguity about when signals trigger. When the commercial index crosses below twenty, the signal is explicit and unambiguous. The background shifts to red, the signal label displays bearish, and alerts fire. This explicitness helps traders act on signals rather than waiting for additional confirmation that may never arrive.
The metrics table provides analytical justification for contrarian positions, helping traders maintain conviction during inevitable periods of adverse price movement. When a trader enters short positions based on extreme commercial bearish positioning but prices continue rallying for several weeks, doubt naturally emerges. The table display provides reassurance. Commercial positioning remains extremely bearish. Divergence remains high. The positioning thesis remains intact even though price action has not yet confirmed.
Alert functionality ensures traders do not miss signals due to inattention while also not requiring constant monitoring that can lead to emotional decision-making. Setting alerts for COT extremes enables a healthier relationship with markets. When meaningful signals occur, alerts notify them. They can then calmly assess the situation and execute planned responses.
However, no indicator design can completely overcome the psychological difficulty of contrarian trading. Some traders simply cannot maintain short positions while prices rally. For these traders, COT analysis might be better employed as an exit signal for long positions rather than an entry signal for shorts.
Ultimately, successful COT trading requires developing comfort with probabilistic thinking rather than certainty-seeking. The signals work over many observations by identifying higher-probability configurations, not by generating perfect calls on individual trades. A fifty-five or sixty percent win rate with proper risk management produces substantial profits over years, yet still means forty to forty-five percent of signals will be premature or wrong. COT analysis provides genuine edge, but edge means probability advantage, not elimination of losing trades.
EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES AND CONTINUOUS LEARNING
The indicator provides extensive built-in educational resources through its documentation, detailed tooltips, and transparent calculations. However, mastering COT analysis requires study beyond any single tool or resource. Several excellent resources provide valuable extensions of the concepts covered in this guide.
Books and practitioner-focused monographs offer accessible entry points. Stephen Briese published The Commitments of Traders Bible in two thousand eight, offering detailed breakdowns of how different markets and trader categories behave (Briese, 2008). Briese's work stands out for its empirical focus and market-specific insights. Jack Schwager includes discussion of COT analysis within the broader context of market behavior in his book Market Sense and Nonsense (Schwager, 2012). Perry Kaufman's Trading Systems and Methods represents perhaps the most rigorous practitioner-focused text on systematic trading approaches including COT analysis (Kaufman, 2013).
Academic journal articles provide the rigorous statistical foundation underlying COT analysis. The Journal of Futures Markets regularly publishes research on positioning data and its predictive properties. Bessembinder and Chan's earlier work on systematic risk, hedging pressure, and risk premiums in futures markets provides theoretical foundation (Bessembinder, 1992). Chang's examination of speculator returns provides historical context (Chang, 1985). Irwin and Sanders provide essential skeptical perspective in their two thousand twelve article (Irwin and Sanders, 2012). Wang's two thousand three article provides one of the most empirical analyses of COT data across multiple commodity markets (Wang, 2003).
Online resources extend beyond academic and book-length treatments. The CFTC website provides free access to current and historical COT reports in multiple formats. The explanatory materials section offers detailed documentation of report construction, category definitions, and historical methodology changes. Traders serious about COT analysis should read these official CFTC documents to understand exactly what they are analyzing.
Commercial COT data services such as Barchart provide enhanced visualization and analysis tools beyond raw CFTC data. TradingView's educational materials, published scripts library, and user community provide additional resources for exploring different approaches to COT analysis.
The key to mastering COT analysis lies not in finding a single definitive source but rather in building understanding through multiple perspectives and information sources. Academic research provides rigorous empirical foundation. Practitioner-focused books offer practical implementation insights. Direct engagement with data through systematic backtesting develops intuition about how positioning dynamics manifest across different market conditions.
SYNTHESIZING KNOWLEDGE INTO PRACTICE
The COT Index indicator represents the synthesis of academic research, trading experience, and software engineering into a practical tool accessible to retail traders equipped with nothing more than a TradingView account and willingness to learn. What once required expensive data subscriptions, custom programming capabilities, statistical software, and institutional resources now appears as a straightforward indicator requiring only basic parameter selection and modest study to understand. This democratization of institutional-grade analysis tools represents a broader trend in financial markets over recent decades.
Yet technology and data access alone provide no edge without understanding and discipline. Markets remain relentlessly efficient at eliminating edges that become too widely known and mechanically exploited. The COT Index indicator succeeds only when users invest time learning the underlying concepts, understand the limitations and probability distributions involved, and integrate signals thoughtfully into trading plans rather than applying them mechanically.
The academic research demonstrates conclusively that institutional positioning contains genuine information about future price movements, particularly at extremes where commercial hedgers are maximally bearish or bullish relative to historical norms. This informational content is neither perfect nor deterministic but rather probabilistic, providing edge over many observations through identification of higher-probability configurations. Bessembinder and Chan's finding that commercial positioning explained modest but significant variance in future returns illustrates this probabilistic nature perfectly (Bessembinder and Chan, 1992). The effect is real and statistically significant, yet it explains perhaps ten to fifteen percent of return variance rather than most variance. Much of price movement remains unpredictable even with positioning intelligence.
The practical implication is that COT analysis works best as one component of a trading system rather than a standalone oracle. It provides the positioning dimension, revealing where the smart money has positioned and where the crowd has followed, but price action analysis provides the timing dimension. Fundamental analysis provides the catalyst dimension. Risk management provides the survival dimension. These components work together synergistically.
The indicator's design philosophy prioritizes transparency and education over black-box complexity, empowering traders to understand exactly what they are analyzing and why. Every calculation is documented and user-adjustable. The threshold markers, background coloring, tables, and clear signal states provide multiple reinforcing channels for conveying the same information.
This educational approach reflects a conviction that sustainable trading success comes from genuine understanding rather than mechanical system-following. Traders who understand why commercial positioning matters, how different trader categories behave, what positioning extremes signify, and where signals fit within probability distributions can adapt when market conditions change. Traders mechanically following black-box signals without comprehension abandon systems after normal losing streaks.
The research foundation supporting COT analysis comes primarily from commodity markets where commercial hedger informational advantages are most pronounced. Agricultural producers hedging crops know more about supply conditions than distant speculators. Energy companies hedging production know more about operating costs than financial traders. Metals miners hedging output know more about ore grades than index funds. Financial futures markets show weaker but still present effects.
The journey from reading this documentation to profitable trading based on COT analysis involves several stages that cannot be rushed. Initial reading and basic understanding represents the first stage. Historical study represents the second stage, reviewing past market cycles to observe how positioning extremes preceded major turning points. Paper trading or small-size real trading represents the third stage to experience the psychological challenges. Refinement based on results and personal psychology represents the fourth stage.
Markets will continue evolving. New participant categories will emerge. Regulatory structures will change. Technology will advance. Yet the fundamental dynamics driving COT analysis, that different market participants have different information, different motivations, and different forecasting abilities that manifest in their positioning, will persist as long as futures markets exist. While specific thresholds or optimal parameters may shift over time, the core logic remains sound and adaptable.
The trader equipped with this indicator, understanding of the theory and evidence behind COT analysis, realistic expectations about probability rather than certainty, discipline to maintain positions through adverse volatility, and patience to allow signals time to develop possesses genuine edge in markets. The edge is not enormous, markets cannot allow large persistent inefficiencies without arbitraging them away, but it is real, measurable, and exploitable by those willing to invest in learning and disciplined application.
REFERENCES
Bessembinder, H. (1992) Systematic risk, hedging pressure, and risk premiums in futures markets, Review of Financial Studies, 5(4), pp. 637-667.
Bessembinder, H. and Chan, K. (1992) The profitability of technical trading rules in the Asian stock markets, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 3(2-3), pp. 257-284.
Briese, S. (2008) The Commitments of Traders Bible: How to Profit from Insider Market Intelligence. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Chang, E.C. (1985) Returns to speculators and the theory of normal backwardation, Journal of Finance, 40(1), pp. 193-208.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (2009) Explanatory Notes: Disaggregated Commitments of Traders Report. Available at: www.cftc.gov (Accessed: 15 January 2025).
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (2020) Commitments of Traders: About the Report. Available at: www.cftc.gov (Accessed: 15 January 2025).
Irwin, S.H. and Sanders, D.R. (2012) Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets, Energy Economics, 34(1), pp. 256-269.
Kaufman, P.J. (2013) Trading Systems and Methods. 5th edn. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Ruan, Y. and Zhang, Y. (2018) Forecasting commodity futures prices using machine learning: Evidence from the Chinese commodity futures market, Applied Economics Letters, 25(12), pp. 845-849.
Sanders, D.R., Boris, K. and Manfredo, M. (2004) Hedgers, funds, and small speculators in the energy futures markets: an analysis of the CFTC's Commitments of Traders reports, Energy Economics, 26(3), pp. 425-445.
Schwager, J.D. (2012) Market Sense and Nonsense: How the Markets Really Work and How They Don't. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Tharp, V.K. (2008) Super Trader: Make Consistent Profits in Good and Bad Markets. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Wang, C. (2003) The behavior and performance of major types of futures traders, Journal of Futures Markets, 23(1), pp. 1-31.
Williams, L.R. and Noseworthy, M. (2009) The Right Stock at the Right Time: Prospering in the Coming Good Years. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
FURTHER READING
For traders seeking to deepen their understanding of COT analysis and futures market positioning beyond this documentation, the following resources provide valuable extensions:
Academic Journal Articles:
Fishe, R.P.H. and Smith, A. (2012) Do speculators drive commodity prices away from supply and demand fundamentals?, Journal of Commodity Markets, 1(1), pp. 1-16.
Haigh, M.S., Hranaiova, J. and Overdahl, J.A. (2007) Hedge funds, volatility, and liquidity provision in energy futures markets, Journal of Alternative Investments, 9(4), pp. 10-38.
Kocagil, A.E. (1997) Does futures speculation stabilize spot prices? Evidence from metals markets, Applied Financial Economics, 7(1), pp. 115-125.
Sanders, D.R. and Irwin, S.H. (2011) The impact of index funds in commodity futures markets: A systems approach, Journal of Alternative Investments, 14(1), pp. 40-49.
Books and Practitioner Resources:
Murphy, J.J. (1999) Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York: New York Institute of Finance.
Pring, M.J. (2002) Technical Analysis Explained: The Investor's Guide to Spotting Investment Trends and Turning Points. 4th edn. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Federal Reserve and Research Institution Publications:
Federal Reserve Banks regularly publish working papers examining commodity markets, futures positioning, and price discovery mechanisms. The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City maintain active research programs in this area.
Online Resources:
The CFTC website provides free access to current and historical COT reports, explanatory materials, and regulatory documentation.
Barchart offers enhanced COT data visualization and screening tools.
TradingView's community library contains numerous published scripts and educational materials exploring different approaches to positioning analysis.
Support Resistance with Order BlocksIndicator Description
Professional Price Level Detection for Smart Trading. Master the Markets with Precision Support/Resistance and Order Block Analysis . It provides traders with clear visual cues for potential reversal and breakout areas, combining both retail and institutional trading concepts into one powerful tool.
The Support & Resistance with Order Blocks indicator is a versatile Pine Script tool designed to empower traders with clear, actionable insights into key market levels. By combining advanced pivot-based support and resistance (S/R) detection with order block (OB) filtering, this indicator delivers clean, high-probability zones for entries, exits, and reversals. With customizable display options (boxes or lines) and intuitive settings, it’s perfect for traders of all styles—whether you’re scalping, swing trading, or investing long-term. Overlay it on your TradingView chart and elevate your trading strategy today!
________________________________________
Key Features
✅ Dynamic Support/Resistance - Auto-adjusting levels based on price action
✅ Smart Order Block Detection - Identifies institutional buying/selling zones
✅ Dual Display Modes - Choose between Boxes or Clean Lines for different chart styles
✅ Customizable Sensitivity - Adjust detection parameters for different markets
✅ Broken Level Markers - Clearly shows when key levels are breached
✅ Timeframe-Adaptive - Automatically adjusts for daily/weekly charts
1. Dynamic Support & Resistance Detection
Identifies critical S/R zones using pivot high/low calculations with adjustable look back periods.
Visualizes active S/R zones with distinct colors and labels ("Support" or "Resistance" for boxes, lines for cleaner charts).
Marks broken S/R levels as "Br S" (broken support) or "Br R" (broken resistance) when historical display is enabled, aiding in breakout and reversal analysis.
2. Smart Order Block Identification
Detects bullish and bearish order blocks based on significant price movements (default: ±0.3% over 5 candles).
Highlights institutional buying/selling zones with customizable colors, displayed as boxes or lines.
Filters out overlapping OB zones to keep your chart clutter-free.
3. Dual Display Options
Boxes or Lines: Choose to display S/R and OB as boxes for detailed zones or lines for a minimalist view.
Line Width Customization: Adjust line widths for S/R and OB (1–5 pixels) for optimal visibility.
Color Customization: Tailor colors for active/broken S/R and bullish/bearish OB zones.
4. Advanced Overlap Filtering
Ensures S/R zones don’t overlap with OB zones or other S/R levels, providing only the most relevant levels.
Limits the number of active zones (default: 10) to maintain chart clarity.
5. Historical S/R Visualization
Optionally display broken S/R levels with distinct colors and labels ("Br S" or "Br R") to track historical price reactions.
Broken levels are dynamically updated and removed (or retained) based on user settings.
6. Timeframe Adaptability
Automatically adjusts pivot detection for daily/weekly timeframes (40-candle look back) versus shorter timeframes (20-candle look back).
Works seamlessly across all asset classes (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes.
________________________________________
How It Works
• Support & Resistance:
Uses ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow to detect significant price pivots, with a user-defined look back (default: 5 candles post-pivot).
Plots S/R as boxes (with labels "Support" or "Resistance") or lines, extending to the current bar for real-time relevance.
Broken S/R levels are marked with adjusted colors and labels ("S" or "R" for boxes, "Br S" or "Br R" for lines when historical display is enabled).
• Order Blocks:
Identifies OB based on strong price movements over 4 candles, plotted as boxes or lines at the candle’s midpoint.
Validates OB to prevent overlap, ensuring only significant zones are displayed.
Removes OB zones when price breaks through, keeping the chart focused on active levels.
• Customization:
Toggle S/R and OB visibility, adjust detection sensitivity, and set maximum active zones (4–50).
Fine-tune line widths and colors for a personalized chart experience.
________________________________________
Why Use This Indicator?
• Precision Trading: Pinpoint high-probability entry/exit zones with filtered S/R and OB levels.
• Clean Charts: Overlap filtering and zone limits reduce clutter, focusing on key levels.
• Versatile Display: Switch between boxes for detailed zones or lines for simplicity, with adjustable line widths.
• Institutional Edge: Leverage OB detection to align with institutional activity for smarter trades.
• User-Friendly: Intuitive settings and clear visuals make it accessible for beginners and pros alike.
________________________________________
Settings Overview________________________________________
⚙ Input Parameters
Settings Overview
Display Options:
Display Type: Choose "Boxes" or "Lines" for S/R and OB visualization.
S/R Line Width: Set line thickness for S/R lines (1–5 pixels, default: 2).
OB Line Width: Set line thickness for OB lines (1–5 pixels, default: 2).
Order Block Options:
Show Order Block: Enable/disable OB display.
Bull/Bear OB Colors: Customise border and fill colors for bullish and bearish OB zones.
Support/Resistance Options:
Show S/R: Toggle active S/R zones.
Show Historical S/R: Display broken S/R levels, marked as "Br S" or "Br R" for lines.
Detection Period: Set candle lookback for pivot detection (4–50, default: 5).
Max Active Zones: Limit active S/R and OB zones (4–50, default: 10).
Colors: Customise active and broken S/R colors for clear differentiation.
________________________________________
How to Use
1. Add to Chart: Apply the indicator to your TradingView chart.
2. Customize Settings:
o Select "Boxes" or "Lines" for your preferred display style.
o Adjust line widths, colors, and detection parameters to suit your trading style.
o Enable "Show Historical S/R" to track broken levels with "Br S" and "Br R" labels.
3. Analyze Levels:
o Use support zones (green) for buy entries and resistance zones (red) for sell entries.
o Monitor OB zones for institutional activity, signaling potential reversals or continuations.
o Watch for "Br S" or "Br R" labels to identify breakout opportunities.
4. Combine with Other Tools: Pair with trend indicators, volume analysis, or price action for a robust strategy.
5. Monitor Breakouts: Trade breakouts when price breaches S/R or OB zones, with historical labels providing context.
________________________________________
Example Use Cases
• Swing Trading: Use S/R and OB zones to identify entry/exit points, with historical broken levels for context.
• Breakout Trading: Trade price breaks through S/R or OB, using "Br S" and "Br R" labels to confirm reversals.
• Scalping: Adjust detection period for faster S/R and OB identification on lower timeframes.
________________________________________
• Performance: Optimized for all timeframes, with best results on 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, or daily charts for swing trading.
• Compatibility: Works with any asset class and TradingView chart.
________________________________________
Get Started
Transform your trading with Support & Resistance with Order Blocks! Add it to your chart, customize it to your style, and trade with confidence. For questions or feedback, drop a comment on TradingView or message the author. Happy trading! 🚀
________________________________________
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and practice proper risk management before trading.
UM Dual MA with Price Bar Color change & Fill
Description
This is a dual moving average indicator with colored bars and moving averages. I wrote this indicator to keep myself on the right side of the market and trends. It plots two moving averages, (length and type of MA are user-defined) and colors the MAs green when trending higher or red when trending lower. The price bars are green when both MAs are green, red when both MAs are red, and orange when one MA is green and the other is red. The idea behind the indicator is to be extremely visual. If I am buying a red bar, I ask myself "why?" If I am selling a green bar, again, "why?"
Recommended Usage
Configure your tow favorite Moving averages. Consider long positions when one or both turn green. Scale into a position with a portion upon the first MA turning green, and then more when the second turns green. Consider scaling out when the bars are orange after an up move.
Orange bars are either areas of consolidation or prior to major turns.
You can also look for MA crossovers.
The indicator works on any timeframe and any security. I use it on daily, hourly, 2 day charts.
Default settings
The defaults are the author's preferred settings:
- 8 period WMA and 16 period WMA.
- Bars are green when both MAs are trending higher, red when both MAs are trending lower, and orange when one MA is trending higher and the other is trending lower.
Moving average types, lengths, and colors are user-configurable. Bar colors are also user-configurable.
Alerts
Alerts can be set by right-clicking the indicator and selecting the dropdown:
- Bullish Trend Both MAs turning green
- Bearish Trend Both MAs turning red
- Mixed Trend, 1 green 1 red MA
Helpful Hints:
Look for bullish areas when both MAs turn green after a sustained downtrend
Look for bearish areas when both MAs turn red
Careful in areas of orange bars, this could be a consolidation or a warning to a potential trend direction change.
Switch up your timeframes, I toggle back and forth between 1 and 2 days.
Stretch your timeframe over a lower time frame; for example, I like the 8 and 16 daily WMA. With most securities I get 16 bars with pre and post market. This translates into 128 and 256 MAs on the hourly chart. This slows down moves and color transitions for better manageability.
Author's Subjective Observations
I like the 128/256 WMA on the hourly charts for leveraged and inverse ETFs such as SPXL/SPXS, TQQQ/SQQQ, TNA/TZA. Or even the volatility ETFs/ETNS: UVXY, VXX.
Here is a one-hour chart example:
I have noticed that as volatility increases, I should begin looking at higher timeframes. This seems counterintuitive, but higher volatility increases the level of noise or swings.
I question myself when I short a green bar or buy a red bar; "Why am I doing this?" The colors help me visually stay on the right side of trend. If I am going to speculate on a market turn, at least do it when the bars are orange (MA trends differ)
My last observation is a 2-day chart of leveraged ETFs with the 8 and 16 WMAs. I frequently trade SPXL, FNGA, and TNA. If you are really dissecting this indicator,
look at a few 2-day charts. 2-day charts seem to catch the major swings nicely up and down. They also weed out the daily sudden big swings such as a panic move from economic data
or tweets. When both the MAs turn red on a 2-day chart the same day or same bar, beware; this could be a rough ride or short opportunity. I found weekly charts too long for my style but good
to review for direction. Less decisions on longer charts equate to less brain damage for myself.
These are just my thoughts, of course you do you and what suits your style best! Happy Trading.
Aurora Flow Oscillator [QuantAlgo]The Aurora Flow Oscillator is an advanced momentum-based technical indicator designed to identify market direction, momentum shifts, and potential reversal zones using adaptive filtering techniques. It visualizes price momentum through a dynamic oscillator that quantifies trend strength and direction, helping traders and investors recognize momentum shifts and trading opportunities across various timeframes and asset class.
🟢 Technical Foundation
The Aurora Flow Oscillator employs a sophisticated mathematical approach with adaptive momentum filtering to analyze market conditions, including:
Price-Based Momentum Calculation: Calculates logarithmic price changes to measure the rate and magnitude of market movement
Adaptive Momentum Filtering: Applies an advanced filtering algorithm to smooth momentum calculations while preserving important signals
Acceleration Analysis: Incorporates momentum acceleration to identify shifts in market direction before they become obvious
Signal Normalization: Automatically scales the oscillator output to a range between -100 and 100 for consistent interpretation across different market conditions
The indicator processes price data through multiple filtering stages, applying mathematical principles including exponential smoothing with adaptive coefficients. This creates an oscillator that dynamically adjusts to market volatility while maintaining responsiveness to genuine trend changes.
🟢 Key Features & Signals
1. Momentum Flow and Extreme Zone Identification
The oscillator presents market momentum through an intuitive visual display that clearly indicates both direction and strength:
Above Zero: Indicates positive momentum and potential bullish conditions
Below Zero: Indicates negative momentum and potential bearish conditions
Slope Direction: The angle and direction of the oscillator provide immediate insight into momentum strength
Zero Line Crossings: Signal potential trend changes and new directional momentum
The indicator also identifies potential overbought and oversold market conditions through extreme zone markings:
Upper Zone (>50): Indicates strong bullish momentum that may be approaching exhaustion
Lower Zone (<-50): Indicates strong bearish momentum that may be approaching exhaustion
Extreme Boundaries (±95): Mark potentially unsustainable momentum levels where reversals become increasingly likely
These zones are displayed with gradient intensity that increases as the oscillator moves toward extremes, helping traders and investors:
→ Identify potential reversal zones
→ Determine appropriate entry and exit points
→ Gauge overall market sentiment strength
2. Customizable Trading Style Presets
The Aurora Flow Oscillator offers pre-configured settings for different trading approaches:
Default (80,150): Balanced configuration suitable for most trading and investing situations.
Scalping (5,80): Highly responsive settings for ultra-short-term trades. Generates frequent signals and catches quick price movements. Best for 1-15min charts when making many trades per day.
Day Trading (8,120): Optimized for intraday movements with faster response than default settings while maintaining reasonable signal quality. Ideal for 5-60min or 4h-12h timeframes.
Swing Trading (10,200): Designed for multi-day positions with stronger noise filtering. Focuses on capturing larger price swings while avoiding minor fluctuations. Works best on 1-4h and daily charts.
Position Trading (14,250): For longer-term position traders/investors seeking significant market trends. Reduces false signals by heavily filtering market noise. Ideal for daily or even weekly charts.
Trend Following (16,300): Maximum smoothing that prioritizes established directional movements over short-term fluctuations. Best used on daily and weekly charts, but can also be used for lower timeframe trading.
Countertrend (7,100): Tuned to detect potential reversals and exhaustion points in trends. More sensitive to momentum shifts than other presets. Effective on 15min-4h charts, as well as daily and weekly charts.
Each preset automatically adjusts internal parameters for optimal performance in the selected trading context, providing flexibility across different market approaches without requiring complex manual configuration.
🟢 Practical Usage Tips
1/ Trend Analysis and Interpretation
→ Direction Assessment: Evaluate the oscillator's position relative to zero to determine underlying momentum bias
→ Momentum Strength: Measure the oscillator's distance from zero within the -100 to +100 range to quantify momentum magnitude
→ Trend Consistency: Monitor the oscillator's path for sustained directional movement without frequent zero-line crossings
→ Reversal Detection: Watch for oscillator divergence from price and deceleration of movement when approaching extreme zones
2/ Signal Generation Strategies
Depending on your trading approach, multiple signal strategies can be employed:
Trend Following Signals:
Enter long positions when the oscillator crosses above zero
Enter short positions when the oscillator crosses below zero
Add to positions on pullbacks while maintaining the overall trend direction
Countertrend Signals:
Look for potential reversals when the oscillator reaches extreme zones (±95)
Enter contrary positions when momentum shows signs of exhaustion
Use oscillator divergence with price as additional confirmation
Momentum Shift Signals:
Enter positions when oscillator changes direction after establishing a trend
Exit positions when oscillator direction reverses against your position
Scale position size based on oscillator strength percentage
3/ Timeframe Optimization
The indicator can be effectively applied across different timeframes with these considerations:
Lower Timeframes (1-15min):
Use Scalping or Day Trading presets
Focus on quick momentum shifts and zero-line crossings
Be cautious of noise in extreme market conditions
Medium Timeframes (30min-4h):
Use Default or Swing Trading presets
Look for established trends and potential reversal zones
Combine with support/resistance analysis for entry/exit precision
Higher Timeframes (Daily+):
Use Position Trading or Trend Following presets
Focus on major trend identification and long-term positioning
Use extreme zones for position management rather than immediate reversals
🟢 Pro Tips
Price Momentum Period:
→ Lower values (5-7) increase sensitivity to minor price fluctuations but capture more market noise
→ Higher values (10-16) emphasize sustained momentum shifts at the cost of delayed response
→ Adjust based on your timeframe (lower for shorter timeframes, higher for longer timeframes)
Oscillator Filter Period:
→ Lower values (80-120) produce more frequent directional changes and earlier response to momentum shifts
→ Higher values (200-300) filter out shorter-term fluctuations to highlight dominant market cycles
→ Match to your typical holding period (shorter holding time = lower filter values)
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
→ Compare oscillator readings across different timeframes for confluence
→ Look for alignment between higher and lower timeframe signals
→ Use higher timeframe for trend direction, lower for earlier entries
Volatility-Adaptive Trading:
→ Use oscillator strength to adjust position sizing (stronger = larger)
→ Consider reducing exposure when oscillator reaches extreme zones
→ Implement tighter stops during periods of oscillator acceleration
Combination Strategies:
→ Pair with volume indicators for confirmation of momentum shifts
→ Use with support/resistance levels for strategic entry and exit points
→ Combine with volatility indicators for comprehensive market context
Correlation Heatmap█ OVERVIEW
This indicator creates a correlation matrix for a user-specified list of symbols based on their time-aligned weekly or monthly price returns. It calculates the Pearson correlation coefficient for each possible symbol pair, and it displays the results in a symmetric table with heatmap-colored cells. This format provides an intuitive view of the linear relationships between various symbols' price movements over a specific time range.
█ CONCEPTS
Correlation
Correlation typically refers to an observable statistical relationship between two datasets. In a financial time series context, it usually represents the extent to which sampled values from a pair of datasets, such as two series of price returns, vary jointly over time. More specifically, in this context, correlation describes the strength and direction of the relationship between the samples from both series.
If two separate time series tend to rise and fall together proportionally, they might be highly correlated. Likewise, if the series often vary in opposite directions, they might have a strong anticorrelation . If the two series do not exhibit a clear relationship, they might be uncorrelated .
Traders frequently analyze asset correlations to help optimize portfolios, assess market behaviors, identify potential risks, and support trading decisions. For instance, correlation often plays a key role in diversification . When two instruments exhibit a strong correlation in their returns, it might indicate that buying or selling both carries elevated unsystematic risk . Therefore, traders often aim to create balanced portfolios of relatively uncorrelated or anticorrelated assets to help promote investment diversity and potentially offset some of the risks.
When using correlation analysis to support investment decisions, it is crucial to understand the following caveats:
• Correlation does not imply causation . Two assets might vary jointly over an analyzed range, resulting in high correlation or anticorrelation in their returns, but that does not indicate that either instrument directly influences the other. Joint variability between assets might occur because of shared sensitivities to external factors, such as interest rates or global sentiment, or it might be entirely coincidental. In other words, correlation does not provide sufficient information to identify cause-and-effect relationships.
• Correlation does not predict the future relationship between two assets. It only reflects the estimated strength and direction of the relationship between the current analyzed samples. Financial time series are ever-changing. A strong trend between two assets can weaken or reverse in the future.
Correlation coefficient
A correlation coefficient is a numeric measure of correlation. Several coefficients exist, each quantifying different types of relationships between two datasets. The most common and widely known measure is the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient , also known as the Pearson correlation coefficient or Pearson's r . Usually, when the term "correlation coefficient" is used without context, it refers to this correlation measure.
The Pearson correlation coefficient quantifies the strength and direction of the linear relationship between two variables. In other words, it indicates how consistently variables' values move together or in opposite directions in a proportional, linear manner. Its formula is as follows:
𝑟(𝑥, 𝑦) = cov(𝑥, 𝑦) / (𝜎𝑥 * 𝜎𝑦)
Where:
• 𝑥 is the first variable, and 𝑦 is the second variable.
• cov(𝑥, 𝑦) is the covariance between 𝑥 and 𝑦.
• 𝜎𝑥 is the standard deviation of 𝑥.
• 𝜎𝑦 is the standard deviation of 𝑦.
In essence, the correlation coefficient measures the covariance between two variables, normalized by the product of their standard deviations. The coefficient's value ranges from -1 to 1, allowing a more straightforward interpretation of the relationship between two datasets than what covariance alone provides:
• A value of 1 indicates a perfect positive correlation over the analyzed sample. As one variable's value changes, the other variable's value changes proportionally in the same direction .
• A value of -1 indicates a perfect negative correlation (anticorrelation). As one variable's value increases, the other variable's value decreases proportionally.
• A value of 0 indicates no linear relationship between the variables over the analyzed sample.
Aligning returns across instruments
In a financial time series, each data point (i.e., bar) in a sample represents information collected in periodic intervals. For instance, on a "1D" chart, bars form at specific times as successive days elapse.
However, the times of the data points for a symbol's standard dataset depend on its active sessions , and sessions vary across instrument types. For example, the daily session for NYSE stocks is 09:30 - 16:00 UTC-4/-5 on weekdays, Forex instruments have 24-hour sessions that span from 17:00 UTC-4/-5 on one weekday to 17:00 on the next, and new daily sessions for cryptocurrencies start at 00:00 UTC every day because crypto markets are consistently open.
Therefore, comparing the standard datasets for different asset types to identify correlations presents a challenge. If two symbols' datasets have bars that form at unaligned times, their correlation coefficient does not accurately describe their relationship. When calculating correlations between the returns for two assets, both datasets must maintain consistent time alignment in their values and cover identical ranges for meaningful results.
To address the issue of time alignment across instruments, this indicator requests confirmed weekly or monthly data from spread tickers constructed from the chart's ticker and another specified ticker. The datasets for spreads are derived from lower-timeframe data to ensure the values from all symbols come from aligned points in time, allowing a fair comparison between different instrument types. Additionally, each spread ticker ID includes necessary modifiers, such as extended hours and adjustments.
In this indicator, we use the following process to retrieve time-aligned returns for correlation calculations:
1. Request the current and previous prices from a spread representing the sum of the chart symbol and another symbol ( "chartSymbol + anotherSymbol" ).
2. Request the prices from another spread representing the difference between the two symbols ( "chartSymbol - anotherSymbol" ).
3. Calculate half of the difference between the values from both spreads ( 0.5 * (requestedSum - requestedDifference) ). The results represent the symbol's prices at times aligned with the sample points on the current chart.
4. Calculate the arithmetic return of the retrieved prices: (currentPrice - previousPrice) / previousPrice
5. Repeat steps 1-4 for each symbol requiring analysis.
It's crucial to note that because this process retrieves prices for a symbol at times consistent with periodic points on the current chart, the values can represent prices from before or after the closing time of the symbol's usual session.
Additionally, note that the maximum number of weeks or months in the correlation calculations depends on the chart's range and the largest time range common to all the requested symbols. To maximize the amount of data available for the calculations, we recommend setting the chart to use a daily or higher timeframe and specifying a chart symbol that covers a sufficient time range for your needs.
█ FEATURES
This indicator analyzes the correlations between several pairs of user-specified symbols to provide a structured, intuitive view of the relationships in their returns. Below are the indicator's key features:
Requesting a list of securities
The "Symbol list" text box in the indicator's "Settings/Inputs" tab accepts a comma-separated list of symbols or ticker identifiers with optional spaces (e.g., "XOM, MSFT, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD"). The indicator dynamically requests returns for each symbol in the list, then calculates the correlation between each pair of return series for its heatmap display.
Each item in the list must represent a valid symbol or ticker ID. If the list includes an invalid symbol, the script raises a runtime error.
To specify a broker/exchange for a symbol, include its name as a prefix with a colon in the "EXCHANGE:SYMBOL" format. If a symbol in the list does not specify an exchange prefix, the indicator selects the most commonly used exchange when requesting the data.
Note that the number of symbols allowed in the list depends on the user's plan. Users with non-professional plans can compare up to 20 symbols with this indicator, and users with professional plans can compare up to 32 symbols.
Timeframe and data length selection
The "Returns timeframe" input specifies whether the indicator uses weekly or monthly returns in its calculations. By default, its value is "1M", meaning the indicator analyzes monthly returns. Note that this script requires a chart timeframe lower than or equal to "1M". If the chart uses a higher timeframe, it causes a runtime error.
To customize the length of the data used in the correlation calculations, use the "Max periods" input. When enabled, the indicator limits the calculation window to the number of periods specified in the input field. Otherwise, it uses the chart's time range as the limit. The top-left corner of the table shows the number of confirmed weeks or months used in the calculations.
It's important to note that the number of confirmed periods in the correlation calculations is limited to the largest time range common to all the requested datasets, because a meaningful correlation matrix requires analyzing each symbol's returns under the same market conditions. Therefore, the correlation matrix can show different results for the same symbol pair if another listed symbol restricts the aligned data to a shorter time range.
Heatmap display
This indicator displays the correlations for each symbol pair in a heatmap-styled table representing a symmetric correlation matrix. Each row and column corresponds to a specific symbol, and the cells at their intersections correspond to symbol pairs . For example, the cell at the "AAPL" row and "MSFT" column shows the weekly or monthly correlation between those two symbols' returns. Likewise, the cell at the "MSFT" row and "AAPL" column shows the same value.
Note that the main diagonal cells in the display, where the row and column refer to the same symbol, all show a value of 1 because any series of non-na data is always perfectly correlated with itself.
The background of each correlation cell uses a gradient color based on the correlation value. By default, the gradient uses blue hues for positive correlation, orange hues for negative correlation, and white for no correlation. The intensity of each blue or orange hue corresponds to the strength of the measured correlation or anticorrelation. Users can customize the gradient's base colors using the inputs in the "Color gradient" section of the "Settings/Inputs" tab.
█ FOR Pine Script® CODERS
• This script uses the `getArrayFromString()` function from our ValueAtTime library to process the input list of symbols. The function splits the "string" value by its commas, then constructs an array of non-empty strings without leading or trailing whitespaces. Additionally, it uses the str.upper() function to convert each symbol's characters to uppercase.
• The script's `getAlignedReturns()` function requests time-aligned prices with two request.security() calls that use spread tickers based on the chart's symbol and another symbol. Then, it calculates the arithmetic return using the `changePercent()` function from the ta library. The `collectReturns()` function uses `getAlignedReturns()` within a loop and stores the data from each call within a matrix . The script calls the `arrayCorrelation()` function on pairs of rows from the returned matrix to calculate the correlation values.
• For consistency, the `getAlignedReturns()` function includes extended hours and dividend adjustment modifiers in its data requests. Additionally, it includes other settings inherited from the chart's context, such as "settlement-as-close" preferences.
• A Pine script can execute up to 40 or 64 unique `request.*()` function calls, depending on the user's plan. The maximum number of symbols this script compares is half the plan's limit, because `getAlignedReturns()` uses two request.security() calls.
• This script can use the request.security() function within a loop because all scripts in Pine v6 enable dynamic requests by default. Refer to the Dynamic requests section of the Other timeframes and data page to learn more about this feature, and see our v6 migration guide to learn what's new in Pine v6.
• The script's table uses two distinct color.from_gradient() calls in a switch structure to determine the cell colors for positive and negative correlation values. One call calculates the color for values from -1 to 0 based on the first and second input colors, and the other calculates the colors for values from 0 to 1 based on the second and third input colors.
Look first. Then leap.
ATR for Aggregated Bars (2 Bars)Range Bar ATR Indicator: Detailed Description and Usage Guide
This script is a custom indicator designed specifically for Range Bar charts , tailored to help traders understand and navigate market conditions by utilizing the Average True Range (ATR) concept. The indicator adapts the traditional ATR to work effectively with Range Bar charts, where bars have a fixed range rather than being time-based.
How It Works
1. ATR Calculation on Range Bars :
- Unlike time-based charts, Range Bar charts focus on price movement within a fixed range.
- The indicator calculates ATR by pairing consecutive bars, treating every two bars as a single unit . This pairing ensures that the ATR reflects price movement effectively on Range Bar charts.
2. Short and Long Period ATR Values :
- The script displays two ATR values :
- A short-period ATR , calculated over a smaller number of paired bars.
- A long-period ATR , calculated over a larger number of paired bars.
- These values provide a dynamic view of both recent and longer-term market volatility.
Why Use This Indicator?
The primary goal is to provide a meaningful adaptation of the ATR indicator for Range Bar charts, allowing traders to make informed decisions similar to using ATR on traditional time-based charts.
Key Applications
Determine a Better Custom Range :
- Analyze the ATR values to choose an optimal range size for Range Bar charts, ensuring better alignment with market conditions.
Assess Market Volatility :
- Rising volatility : When the short-period ATR value is higher than the long-period value, it signals increasing volatility.
- Decreasing volatility : When the short-period ATR value is lower, it indicates declining volatility.
Risk and Stop Loss Management :
- Use the higher ATR value (e.g., the long-period ATR) to calculate minimum stop loss levels. Multiply the ATR by 1.5 or 2 to set a safe buffer against market fluctuations.
How to Use It
1. Add the script to a Range Bar chart.
2. Configure the short and long ATR periods to suit your trading style and preferences.
3. Observe the displayed ATR values:
- Use these values to analyze market conditions and adapt your strategy accordingly.
4. Apply insights from the ATR values for:
- Determining custom Range Bar settings.
- Evaluating volatility trends.
- Setting effective risk parameters like stop loss levels.
Benefits
- Provides a tailored ATR tool for Range Bar charts, addressing the unique challenges of fixed-range trading.
- Offers both short-term and long-term perspectives on volatility.
- Enhances decision-making for range settings, volatility analysis, and risk management.
This indicator bridges the gap between traditional ATR indicators and the specific needs of Range Bar chart users, making it a versatile tool for traders.
EMA Volume [MacroGlide]EMA Volume is a versatile tool designed to track and analyze market volumes by calculating the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of total, bullish, and bearish volumes. This indicator helps traders visualize volume dynamics, identify buying and selling pressure, and make informed trading decisions based on volume activity.
Key Features:
• Volume EMAs: The indicator calculates the EMAs of total, bullish, and bearish volumes, allowing users to observe how volume trends evolve over time. This helps identify shifts in market sentiment and potential reversals.
• Separation of Bullish and Bearish Volumes: By separating bullish and bearish volumes, the indicator provides a clear view of buying versus selling activity. This distinction is valuable for understanding the market's underlying momentum and direction.
• Customizable Visuals: Users can customize the line style and color for each volume type, allowing them to tailor the display of the indicator to their personal preferences and enhance the visual interpretation of the data.
How to Use:
• Add the indicator to your chart and adjust the EMA settings and display parameters according to your needs.
• Use the difference between bullish and bearish volumes to assess current market sentiment and analyze potential trend changes.
• Monitor the EMA of total volume to identify overall volume trends that can serve as additional signals for entering or exiting positions.
Methodology:
The indicator calculates the EMAs for total, bullish, and bearish volumes based on the trading volumes associated with price increases or decreases. This tool helps evaluate the strength of buying and selling at different times, making it especially useful for volume and market dynamics analysis.
Originality and Usefulness:
EMA Volume stands out for its ability to separate buying and selling volumes and present them in a clear visual format, significantly simplifying the analysis of market activity and decision-making in trading.
Charts:
The indicator displays clean and clear charts, where each type of volume is represented by its own line and color, making visual interpretation easier. The charts focus solely on key information for analysis: EMAs of total, bullish, and bearish volumes. These features make the charts highly useful for quick analysis and trading decision-making.
Enjoy the game!
Forex Session Tracker [MacroGlide]Forex Session Tracker is a tool designed to track and visualize trading activity across the four key Forex market sessions: New York, London, Tokyo, and Sydney. The indicator helps traders see the time intervals of each session, their impact on price movements, and analyze volatility within these sessions.
Key Features:
• Session Visualization: The indicator highlights price ranges during the New York, London, Tokyo, and Sydney sessions using different colors, making data easier to visually interpret and analyze. Users can customize the color scheme for each session.
• Price Change Analysis: The indicator tracks the opening prices of each session and calculates the price changes by the session's close. This allows traders to assess market dynamics within each session and make informed trading decisions.
• Average Price Changes: The average price change for a specified number of sessions is calculated for each session, helping to identify trends and volatility levels.
• Time Zone Support: The indicator takes into account time zones, allowing users to adjust the display according to their location or use the market's time zone.
• Interactive Dashboard: The built-in dashboard shows the status of each session in real-time (active or inactive), recent price changes, and average changes, providing quick access to key information directly on the chart.
How to Use:
• Add the indicator to your chart and configure the displayed sessions according to your needs.
• Use color differentiation to easily identify active trading sessions and assess their impact on price movements.
• Monitor price changes in each session and analyze averages for a deeper understanding of market trends.
Methodology:
The indicator uses the time intervals of each trading session to calculate and display opening prices, price ranges, and price changes for the session. Based on this data, the Forex Session Tracker visualizes the session's high and low prices and calculates the average price change over the last several sessions. All data is displayed in real-time, considering the user's time zone settings or the market's time zone.
Originality and Usefulness:
Forex Session Tracker stands out for its ability to combine price change information from several key trading sessions into one indicator, providing traders with a simple and clear way to analyze market activity across different time zones.
Charts:
The indicator displays clean and clear charts, where each trading session is highlighted with its own color, making visual interpretation easier. The charts focus only on essential information for analysis: opening prices, session ranges, and price changes. The integrated dashboard provides quick access to key session metrics, such as activity status, recent price changes, and average values for the selected period. These features make the charts highly useful for rapid analysis and trading decision-making.
Enjoy the game!
Option Pair ZigzagOptions Pair Zigzag:
Though we can split the chart window and view multiple charts, this indicator is useful when we view options charts.
How this indicator works:
The indicator works in non-overlay mode.
The indicator will find other option pair symbol and load it’s chart in indicator window. It will also draw a zigzag on both the charts. It will also fetch the SPOT symbol and display SPOT Close price of latest candle.
Useful information:
A. Support resistance: Higher High (HH) and Lower Low (LL) markings can be treated as strong support and or resistance and LH, HL markings can be treated as weak support and or resistance.
B. Trend identification: Easy identification of trend based on trend lines and trend markings i.e. Higher High (HH), Lower Low (LL), Lower High (LH), Higher Low (HL)
C. Use of Rate of change (ROC )– Labels drawn on swing points are equipped with ROC% between swing points. ROC% between Call and Put option charts can be compared and used to identify strong and weak moves.
Example:
1. User loads a call option chart of ‘NIFTY240620C23500’ (NIFTY 50 INDEX OPTIONS 20 JUN 2024 CALL 23500)
2. Since user has selected CALL Option, Indicator rules/logic will find PUT Option symbol of same strike and expiry
3. PUT Option chart would then shown in the indicator window
4. Draw zigzag on both the charts
5. Plot labels on both the charts
6. Labels are equipped with a tooltip showing rate of change between 2 pivot points
Input Parameters:
Left bars – Parameter required for plotting zigzag
Right bars – Parameter required for plotting zigzag
Plot HHLL Labels – Enable/disable plotting of labels
Use cases:
Refer to chart snapshots:
1. Buy Call Option or Sell Put Option - How one can trade on formation of a consolidation range
2. Breakdown of Swing structure - One can observe Swing structure (Zigzag) formed on a SPOT chart and trade on break of swing structure
3. Triangle formation - Observe the patterns formed on the SPOT chart and trade either Call or Put options. Example snapshot shows trade based on triangle pattern
Chart Snapshot:
One can split chart window and load base symbol chart which will help to review bases symbol and options chart at the same time.
Buy Call Option or Sell Put Option
Breakdown of Swing structure
Triangle formation
[blackcat] L2 Twisted Pair IndicatorOn the grand stage of the financial market, every trader is looking for a partner who can lead them to dance the tango well. The "Twisted Pair" indicator is that partner who dances gracefully in the market fluctuations. It weaves the rhythm of the market with two lines, helping traders to find the rhythm in the market's dance floor.
Imagine when the market is as calm as water, the "Twisted Pair" is like two ribbons tightly intertwined. They almost overlap on the chart, as if whispering: "Now, let's enjoy these quiet dance steps." This is the market consolidation period, the price fluctuation is not significant, traders can relax and slowly savor every detail of the market.
Now, let's describe the market logic of this code in natural language:
- **HJ_1**: This is the foundation of the market dance steps, by calculating the average price and trading volume, setting the tone for the market rhythm.
- **HJ_2** and **HJ_3**: These two lines are the arms of the dance partner, they help traders identify the long-term trend of the market through smoothing.
- **HJ_4**: This is a magnifying glass for market sentiment, it reveals the tension and excitement of the market by calculating the short-term deviation of the price.
- **A7** and **A9**: These two lines are the guide to the dance steps, they separate when the market volatility increases, guiding the traders in the right direction.
- **WATCH**: This is the signal light of the dance, when the two lines overlap, the market is calm; when they separate, the market is active.
The "Twisted Pair" indicator is like a carefully choreographed dance, it allows traders to find their own rhythm in the market dance floor, whether in a calm slow dance or a passionate tango. Remember, the market is always changing, and the "Twisted Pair" is the perfect dance partner that can lead you to dance out brilliant steps.
The script of this "Twisted Pair" uses three different types of moving averages: EMA (Exponential Moving Average), DEMA (Double EMA), and TEMA (Triple EMA). These types can be selected by the user through exchange input.
Here are the main functions of this code:
1. Defined the DEMA and TEMA functions: These two functions are used to calculate the corresponding moving averages. EMA is the exponential moving average, which is a special type of moving average that gives more weight to recent data. In the first paragraph, ema1 is the EMA of "length", and ema2 is the EMA of ema1. DEMA is 2 times of ema1 minus ema2.
2. Let users choose to use EMA, DEMA or TEMA: This part of the code provides an option for users to choose which type of moving average they want to use.
3. Defined an algorithm called "Twisted Pair algorithm": This part of the code defines a complex algorithm to calculate a value called "HJ". This algorithm involves various complex calculations and applications of EMA, DEMA, TEMA.
4. Plotting charts: The following code is used to plot charts on Tradingview. It uses the plot function to draw lines, the plotcandle function to draw candle (K-line) charts, and yellow and red to represent different conditions.
5. Specify colors: The last two lines of code use yellow and red K-line charts to represent the conditions of HJ_7. If the conditions of HJ_7 are met, the color of the K-line chart will change to the corresponding color.
[CP]Pivot Boss Multi Timeframe CPR Inception with MACD and EMAINTRODUCTION:
This indicator combines multi-timeframe CPR bands with MACD Momentum and EMA trend, all projected on the candlestick chart through a novel visualization.
If you have seen my other indicators on TradingView, you would know that I use floor pivots a lot and “Secrets of a Pivot Boss” is my favorite book. While using floor pivots, time and again I have noticed an interesting price behavior,
Trending moves in price typically start from around the Central Pivot Range (CPR). The CPR could be from ANY timeframe. These moves can easily be caught using simple momentum and trend indicators like MACD and EMA crossovers.
Yes, it is that simple. Follow along to understand how to use this indicator.
INDICATOR SETTINGS:
RANGEBOUND MACD AND EMA MARKINGS:
TradingView limits the max number of labels that can be shown on a chart to 500. Therefore, if you go far back enough, you won't see any markings for the MACD or EMA setups. If you are looking to test the efficacy of this indicator in the past, change the start and end dates to your desired timeframe and then select the ‘Mark MACD and EMA Setups in Range?’ option.
MULTI TIMEFRAME CENTRAL PIVOT RANGE:
Here you can select CPRs and their bands from which timeframes are shown on the chart. I will share my favorite settings later in this description.
CPR CONFIGURATION:
Show CPR Labels: CPRs markings can carry labels, so that you don’t confuse between which line is what. Use this setting to toggle them On/Off.
Show Next Time Period Pivots: Check this option if you want to see the CPR of the next time period. This is typically done to figure out the ’Two Day CPR Relationship’ . Read the book, “Secrets of a Pivot Boss”, to understand more.
EMA TREND:
Show EMA on the Chart: EMAs will be plotted on the chart. Standard stuff.
Mark EMA Crossovers on Chart: EMA crossovers will be marked on the chart in diamond shapes. If you are using EMA crossovers, I recommend setting this option to True.
Rest of the EMA settings are fairly obvious.
MACD MOMENTUM:
Projecting MACD parameters directly on the candlesticks is surely going to give you a new perspective about price action and MACD.
Also, in order to better understand the MACD projections on the chart, you can add a standard MACD indicator on the chart with default settings to figure out what my indicator is actually showing you.
Marking MACD Crossovers on Chart: Marks the MACD signal crossovers on the chart. This visualization was a game changer for me.
Show MACD Histogram on Chart: Projects the complete MACD Histogram in a novel fashion (Try it!). You will be able to visually see the ebbs and flow of momentum in the charts.
Mark MACD Histogram Peaks on Chart: Marks only the MACD peaks instead of the complete histogram. Peaks are a great way to enter an ongoing trend and to play an intraday rangebound market.
Rest of the settings are just the standard settings that you will find in a typical MACD indicator.
ALERTS:
Not shown in the settings panel, but I have added alerts for EMA and MACD Crossovers so that you don’t have to sit in front of the charts or constantly check the price all day long.
If you don’t know how to set alerts in TradingView, then please Google it.
INDICATOR USAGE EXAMPLES:
This indicator can be used in intraday as well as in higher timeframes.
There are quite a few variations possible, I personally prefer to use the EMA crossovers in intraday (5m) and MACD on Daily timeframes.
This is just a matter of personal preference, some people might prefer using EMAs only or MACD only in all timeframes.
Here are my personal settings for the intraday 5-minute timeframe:
Turn on all the CPR pivots starting from Yearly all the way to Daily. You can turn on 6 hourly and 4 hourly as well if you want.
Hourly CPR is mostly used when the price is in a strong trend and you missed the entry and don’t know when to enter. Price will typically experience pullbacks towards the Hourly CPR, before resuming in the direction of the trend. That is your chance to hop onto the bandwagon.
For Intraday, I keep the Bands off. Just a personal preference here.
You can turn ON the Show CPR Labels , if you want.
Turn ON both the options in the EMA TREND section. You would want to see the EMA crossovers marked on the chart as well as the EMAs themselves, as the distance between the two EMAs will give you an idea about the strength of the trend.
Keep rest of the settings in the EMA section as default (you can change the colors if you wish). I keep the same EMAs as the ones kept in the MACD indicator. I like to keep things simple.
In the MACD MOMENTUM section, turn ON Mark MACD Histogram Peaks on Chart and all the other options turned OFF. Leave the other settings as default. By the way, these are the default settings of the standard MACD Indicator.
You can set up EMA Bullcross and Bearcross alarms if you like.
Before checking out the examples, remember one super simple rule:
SOME OF THE BEST TRENDING MOVES IN THE MARKET, BE IT INTRADAY OR OTHERWISE, ORIGINATE IN THE VICINITY OF A LARGER TIMEFRAME PIVOT/CPR.
Look for price settling above/below a pivot, and then a move away from the pivot in any direction is typically a trending move.
You can use hourly pivots or MACD Histogram peaks marked on the chart to enter an existing trend, or add to your positions.
Let’s have a look at a few recent intraday examples from the Crypto, Indian, and US equity markets.
I have added my comments in the charts to make you easily understand what is going on.
Understand that both, moving average crossover and MACD, will give out a lot of signals (chop) every day. But almost 70% of them are going to be fake signals. It is the signals that you get when the price is near a Pivot, that tend to convert into gorgeous trending moves that last.
BTC 5m Charts
NIFTY Futures 5m Charts (good intraday trends are hard to find here, as the market is very efficient)
TSLA 5m Charts
Some important points for using this indicator in higher timeframes:
For higher timeframes, my personal preference is to go with the MACD indicator. I personally find MACD to be lethal on daily and weekly timeframes, if you know how to use it well.
The default settings of the indicator are the settings I use for both, Daily and Weekly, timeframes. Additionally, I turn off the CPR labels.
In theory large trending moves still have a big probability to start near an important pivot level, however, in larger timeframes, trending moves can start from anywhere. They need not start in the vicinity of any important pivot (but they often do!).
Weekly pivots can act as great pullback levels when the price is in strong momentum, when trading on the daily timeframe.
Quarterly Pivots act as great pullback levels when the price is in strong momentum, when trading on the weekly timeframe.
BTC Weekly Chart
BTC Daily Chart
Nifty Weekly Chart
Nifty Daily Chart
NASDAQ Weekly Chart
NASDAQ Daily Chart
FINAL WORDS:
Please understand that I have Cherry Picked the examples to showcase the capability of the indicator and its usage.
DO NOT conflate the accuracy of examples with the accuracy of this indicator.
Biggest catch is the fact that this indicator, like every other indicator out there, will have whipsaws. Some I have also marked in the example charts.
You need to come up with your own technique to avoid whipsaws, one technique I have shared here…… big moves typically start near pivots.
Work on avoiding whipsaws and finding you own edge in the markets.
If you really want to learn how to use Pivots, read the book ’Secrets of a Pivot Boss’ . This book can change your life.
[Autoview][BackTest]Dual MA Ribbons R0.12 by JustUncleLThis is an implementation of a strategy based on two MA Ribbons, a Fast Ribbon and a Slow Ribbon. This strategy can be used on Normal candlestick charts or Renko charts (if you are familiar with them).
The strategy revolves around a pair of scripts: One to generate alerts signals for Autoview and one for Backtesting, to tune your settings.
The risk management options are performed within the script to set SL(StopLoss), TP(TargetProfit), TSL(Trailing Stop Loss) and TTP (Trailing Target Profit). The only requirement for Autoview is to Buy and Sell as directed by this script, no complicated syntax is required.
The Dual Ribbons are designed to capture the inferred behavior of traders and investors by using two groups of averages:
> Traders MA Ribbon: Lower MA and Upper MA (Aqua=Uptrend, Blue=downtrend, Gray=Neutral), with center line Avg MA (Orange dotted line).
> Investors MAs Ribbon: Lower MA and Upper MA (Green=Uptrend, Red=downtrend, Gray=Neutral), with center line Avg MA (Fuchsia dotted line).
> Anchor time frame (0=current). This is the time frame that the MAs are calculated for. This way 60m MA Ribbons can be viewed on a 15 min chart to establish tighter Stop Loss conditions.
Trade Management options:
Option to specify Backtest start and end time.
Trailing Stop, with Activate Level (as % of price) and Trailing Stop (as % of price)
Target Profit Level, (as % of price)
Stop Loss Level, (as % of price)
BUY green triangles and SELL dark red triangles
Trade Order closed colour coded Label:
>> Dark Red = Stop Loss Hit
>> Green = Target Profit Hit
>> Purple = Trailing Stop Hit
>> Orange = Opposite (Sell) Order Close
Trade Management Indication:
Trailing Stop Activate Price = Blue dotted line
Trailing Stop Price = Fuschia solid stepping line
Target Profit Price = Lime '+' line
Stop Loss Price = Red '+' line
Dealing With Renko Charts:
If you choose to use Renko charts, make sure you have enabled the "IS This a RENKO Chart" option, (I have not so far found a way to Detect the type of chart that is running).
If you want non-repainting Renko charts you MUST use TRADITIONAL Renko Bricks. This type of brick is fixed and will not change size.
Also use Renko bricks with WICKS DISABLED. Wicks are not part of Renko, the whole idea of using Renko bricks is not to see the wick noise.
Set you chart Time Frame to the lowest possible one that will build enough bricks to give a reasonable history, start at 1min TimeFrame. Renko bricks are not dependent on time, they represent a movement in price. But the chart candlestick data is used to create the bricks, so lower TF gives more accurate Brick creation.
You want to size your bricks to 2/1000 of the pair price, so for ETHBTC the price is say 0.0805 then your Renko Brick size should be about 2*0.0805/1000 = 0.0002 (round up).
You may find there is some slippage in value, but this can be accounted for in the Backtest by setting your commission a bit higher, for Binance for example I use 0.2%
Special thanks goes to @CryptoRox for providing the initial Risk management Framework in his "How to automate this strategy for free using a chrome extension" example.
Punjis Dynamic Daily EMA/SMA 5,9,21,50,100 LevelsPunjis Dynamic Daily EMA/SMA 5,9,21,50,100 Levels
Overview:
This indicator displays daily timeframe moving averages as horizontal lines extending to the right of your chart, regardless of what timeframe you're currently viewing. It includes six key moving averages: EMA 5, EMA 9, EMA 21, SMA 50, SMA 100, and SMA 200.
Key Features:
Clean Chart Design: Unlike traditional moving average lines that clutter your chart with curves across all candles, this indicator uses horizontal lines that extend only from the current price level to the right edge of your screen
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: View daily moving averages on any intraday timeframe (1min, 5min, 15min, etc.) without switching charts
Fully Customizable:
Toggle each moving average on/off independently
Adjust the period length for each MA
Customize colors for each line
Master toggle to show/hide all lines at once
Reduced Visual Noise: Horizontal lines keep your price action clean and easy to read while still providing critical support/resistance levels
Professional Layout: Perfect for traders who need to monitor multiple key levels without obscuring candlestick patterns and chart analysis
Benefits of Horizontal Lines:
Cleaner Charts: Traditional MAs draw lines through every candle, creating visual clutter. Horizontal lines only show current values, keeping your chart clean
Focus on Current Levels: What matters most is where the MAs are NOW relative to price - horizontal lines highlight this instantly
Better Price Action Visibility: See candlestick patterns, volume, and support/resistance levels clearly without MA lines crossing through them
Quick Reference: Instantly identify if price is above or below key moving averages without following curved lines across the chart
Professional Appearance: Clean, minimalist design preferred by institutional traders and technical analysts
Use Cases:
Day traders monitoring higher timeframe levels on intraday charts
Swing traders tracking daily moving averages as dynamic support/resistance
Multi-timeframe analysis without chart switching
Identifying trend direction and potential reversal zones
Clean workspace for pattern recognition and price action trading
Luxy Super-Duper SuperTrend Predictor Engine and Buy/Sell signalA professional trend-following grading system that analyzes historical trend
patterns to provide statistical duration estimates using advanced similarity
matching and k-nearest neighbors analysis. Combines adaptive Supertrend with
intelligent duration statistics, multi-timeframe confluence, volume confirmation,
and quality scoring to identify high-probability setups with data-driven
target ranges across all timeframes.
Note: All duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical data, not guarantees of future performance.
WHAT MAKES THIS DIFFERENT
Unlike traditional SuperTrend indicators that only tell you trend direction, this system answers the critical question: "What is the typical duration for trends like this?"
The Statistical Analysis Engine:
• Analyzes your chart's last 15+ completed SuperTrend trends (bullish and bearish separately)
• Uses k-nearest neighbors similarity matching to find historically similar setups
• Calculates statistical duration estimates based on current market conditions
• Learns from estimation errors and adapts over time (Advanced mode)
• Displays visual duration analysis box showing median, average, and range estimates
• Tracks Statistical accuracy with backtest statistics
Complete Trading System:
• Statistical trend duration analysis with three intelligence levels
• Adaptive Supertrend with dynamic ATR-based bands
• Multi-timeframe confluence analysis (6 timeframes: 5M to 1W)
• Volume confirmation with spike detection and momentum tracking
• Quality scoring system (0-70 points) rating each setup
• One-click preset optimization for all trading styles
• Anti-repaint guarantee on all signals and duration estimates
METHODOLOGY CREDITS
This indicator's approach is inspired by proven trading methodologies from respected market educators:
• Mark Minervini - Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) and pullback entry techniques
• William O'Neil - Volume confirmation principles and institutional buying patterns (CANSLIM methodology)
• Dan Zanger - Volatility expansion entries and momentum breakout strategies
Important: These are educational references only. This indicator does not guarantee any specific trading results. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management.
KEY FEATURES
1. TREND DURATION ANALYSIS SYSTEM - The Core Innovation
The statistical analysis engine is what sets this indicator apart from standard SuperTrend systems. It doesn't just identify trend changes - it provides statistical analysis of potential duration.
How It Works:
Step 1: Historical Tracking
• Automatically records every completed SuperTrend trend (duration in bars)
• Maintains separate databases for bullish trends and bearish trends
• Stores up to 15 most recent trends of each type
• Captures market conditions at each trend flip: volume ratio, ATR ratio, quality score, price distance from SuperTrend, proximity to support/resistance
Step 2: Similarity Matching (k-Nearest Neighbors)
• When new trend begins, system compares current conditions to ALL historical flips
• Calculates similarity score based on:
- Volume similarity (30% weight) - Is volume behaving similarly?
- Volatility similarity (30% weight) - Is ATR/volatility similar?
- Quality similarity (20% weight) - Is setup strength comparable?
- Distance similarity (10% weight) - Is price distance from ST similar?
- Support/Resistance proximity (10% weight) - Similar structural context?
• Selects the 15 MOST SIMILAR historical trends (not just all trends)
• This is like asking: "When conditions looked like this before, how long did trends last?"
Step 3: Statistical Analysis
• Calculates median duration (most common outcome)
• Calculates average duration (mean of similar trends)
• Determines realistic range (min to max of similar trends)
• Applies exponential weighting (recent trends weighted more heavily)
• Outputs confidence-weighted statistical estimate
Step 4: Advanced Intelligence (Advanced Mode Only)
The Advanced mode applies five sophisticated multipliers to refine estimates:
A) Market Structure Multiplier (±30%):
• Detects nearby support/resistance levels using pivot detection
• If flip occurs NEAR a key level: Estimate adjusted -30% (expect bounce/rejection)
• If flip occurs in open space: Estimate adjusted +30% (clear path for continuation)
• Uses configurable lookback period and ATR-based proximity threshold
B) Asset Type Multiplier (±40%):
• Adjusts duration estimates based on asset volatility characteristics
• Small Cap / Biotech: +40% (explosive, extended moves)
• Tech Growth: +20% (momentum-driven, longer trends)
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: 0% (baseline, steady trends)
• Dividend / Value: -20% (slower, grinding trends)
• Cyclical: Variable based on macro regime
• Crypto / High Volatility: +30% (parabolic potential)
C) Flip Strength Multiplier (±20%):
• Analyzes the QUALITY of the trend flip itself
• Strong flip (high volume + expanding ATR + quality score 60+): +20%
• Weak flip (low volume + contracting ATR + quality score under 40): -20%
• Logic: Historical data shows that powerful flips tend to be followed by longer trends
D) Error Learning Multiplier (±15%):
• Tracks Statistical accuracy over last 10 completed trends
• Calculates error ratio: (estimated duration / Actual Duration)
• If system consistently over-estimates: Apply -15% correction
• If system consistently under-estimates: Apply +15% correction
• Learns and adapts to current market regime
E) Regime Detection Multiplier (±20%):
• Analyzes last 3 trends of SAME TYPE (bull-to-bull or bear-to-bear)
• Compares recent trend durations to historical average
• If recent trends 20%+ longer than average: +20% adjustment (trending regime detected)
• If recent trends 20%+ shorter than average: -20% adjustment (choppy regime detected)
• Detects whether market is in trending or mean-reversion mode
Three analysis modes:
SIMPLE MODE - Basic Statistics
• Uses raw median of similar trends only
• No multipliers, no adjustments
• Best for: Beginners, clean trending markets
• Fastest calculations, minimal complexity
STANDARD MODE - Full Statistical Analysis
• Similarity matching with k-nearest neighbors
• Exponential weighting of recent trends
• Median, average, and range calculations
• Best for: Most traders, general market conditions
• Balance of accuracy and simplicity
ADVANCED MODE - Statistics + Intelligence
• Everything in Standard mode PLUS
• All 5 advanced multipliers (structure, asset type, flip strength, learning, regime)
• Highest Statistical accuracy in testing
• Best for: Experienced traders, volatile/complex markets
• Maximum intelligence, most adaptive
Visual Duration Analysis Box:
When a new trend begins (SuperTrend flip), a box appears on your chart showing:
• Analysis Mode (Simple / Standard / Advanced)
• Number of historical trends analyzed
• Median expected duration (most likely outcome)
• Average expected duration (mean of similar trends)
• Range (minimum to maximum from similar trends)
• Advanced multipliers breakdown (Advanced mode only)
• Backtest accuracy statistics (if available)
The box extends from the flip bar to the estimated endpoint based on historical data, giving you a visual target for trend duration. Box updates in real-time as trend progresses.
Backtest & Accuracy Tracking:
• System backtests its own duration estimates using historical data
• Shows accuracy metrics: how well duration estimates matched actual durations
• Tracks last 10 completed duration estimates separately
• Displays statistics in dashboard and duration analysis boxes
• Helps you understand statistical reliability on your specific symbol/timeframe
Anti-Repaint Guarantee:
• duration analysis boxes only appear AFTER bar close (barstate.isconfirmed)
• Historical duration estimates never disappear or change
• What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen real-time
• No future data leakage, no lookahead bias
2. INTELLIGENT PRESET CONFIGURATIONS - One-Click Optimization
Unlike indicators that require tedious parameter tweaking, this system includes professionally optimized presets for every trading style. Select your approach from the dropdown and ALL parameters auto-configure.
"AUTO (DETECT FROM TF)" - RECOMMENDED
The smartest option: automatically selects optimal settings based on your chart timeframe.
• 1m-5m charts → Scalping preset (ATR: 7, Mult: 2.0)
• 15m-1h charts → Day Trading preset (ATR: 10, Mult: 2.5)
• 2h-4h-D charts → Swing Trading preset (ATR: 14, Mult: 3.0)
• W-M charts → Position Trading preset (ATR: 21, Mult: 4.0)
Benefits:
• Zero configuration - works immediately
• Always matched to your timeframe
• Switch timeframe = automatic adjustment
• Perfect for traders who use multiple timeframes
"SCALPING (1-5M)" - Ultra-Fast Signals
Optimized for: 1-5 minute charts, high-frequency trading, quick profits
Target holding period: Minutes to 1-2 hours maximum
Best markets: High-volume stocks, major crypto pairs, active futures
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 7, Multiplier 2.0 (very sensitive)
• Volume: MA 10, High 1.8x, Spike 3.0x (catches quick surges)
• Volume Momentum: AUTO-DISABLED (too restrictive for fast scalping)
• Quality minimum: 40 points (accepts more setups)
• Duration Analysis: Uses last 15 trends with heavy recent weighting
Trading Logic:
Speed over precision. Short ATR period and low multiplier create highly responsive SuperTrend. Volume momentum filter disabled to avoid missing fast moves. Quality threshold relaxed to catch more opportunities in rapid market conditions.
Signals per session: 5-15 typically
Hold time: Minutes to couple hours
Best for: Active traders with fast execution
"DAY TRADING (15M-1H)" - Balanced Approach
Optimized for: 15-minute to 1-hour charts, intraday moves, session-based trading
Target holding period: 30 minutes to 8 hours (within trading day)
Best markets: Large-cap stocks, major indices, established crypto
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 10, Multiplier 2.5 (balanced)
• Volume: MA 20, High 1.5x, Spike 2.5x (standard detection)
• Volume Momentum: 5/20 periods (confirms intraday strength)
• Quality minimum: 50 points (good setups preferred)
• Duration Analysis: Balanced weighting of recent vs historical
Trading Logic:
The most balanced configuration. ATR 10 with multiplier 2.5 provides steady trend following that avoids noise while catching meaningful moves. Volume momentum confirms institutional participation without being overly restrictive.
Signals per session: 2-5 typically
Hold time: 30 minutes to full day
Best for: Part-time and full-time active traders
"SWING TRADING (4H-D)" - Trend Stability
Optimized for: 4-hour to Daily charts, multi-day holds, trend continuation
Target holding period: 2-15 days typically
Best markets: Growth stocks, sector ETFs, trending crypto, commodity futures
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 14, Multiplier 3.0 (stable)
• Volume: MA 30, High 1.3x, Spike 2.2x (accumulation focus)
• Volume Momentum: 10/30 periods (trend stability)
• Quality minimum: 60 points (high-quality setups only)
• Duration Analysis: Favors consistent historical patterns
Trading Logic:
Designed for substantial trend moves while filtering short-term noise. Higher ATR period and multiplier create stable SuperTrend that won't flip on minor corrections. Stricter quality requirements ensure only strongest setups generate signals.
Signals per week: 2-5 typically
Hold time: Days to couple weeks
Best for: Part-time traders, swing style
"POSITION TRADING (D-W)" - Long-Term Trends
Optimized for: Daily to Weekly charts, major trend changes, portfolio allocation
Target holding period: Weeks to months
Best markets: Blue-chip stocks, major indices, established cryptocurrencies
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 21, Multiplier 4.0 (very stable)
• Volume: MA 50, High 1.2x, Spike 2.0x (long-term accumulation)
• Volume Momentum: 20/50 periods (major trend confirmation)
• Quality minimum: 70 points (excellent setups only)
• Duration Analysis: Heavy emphasis on multi-year historical data
Trading Logic:
Conservative approach focusing on major trend changes. Extended ATR period and high multiplier create SuperTrend that only flips on significant reversals. Very strict quality filters ensure signals represent genuine long-term opportunities.
Signals per month: 1-2 typically
Hold time: Weeks to months
Best for: Long-term investors, set-and-forget approach
"CUSTOM" - Advanced Configuration
Purpose: Complete manual control for experienced traders
Use when: You understand the parameters and want specific optimization
Best for: Testing new approaches, unusual market conditions, specific instruments
Full control over:
• All SuperTrend parameters
• Volume thresholds and momentum periods
• Quality scoring weights
• analysis mode and multipliers
• Advanced features tuning
Preset Comparison Quick Reference:
Chart Timeframe: Scalping (1M-5M) | Day Trading (15M-1H) | Swing (4H-D) | Position (D-W)
Signals Frequency: Very High | High | Medium | Low
Hold Duration: Minutes | Hours | Days | Weeks-Months
Quality Threshold: 40 pts | 50 pts | 60 pts | 70 pts
ATR Sensitivity: Highest | Medium | Lower | Lowest
Time Investment: Highest | High | Medium | Lowest
Experience Level: Expert | Advanced | Intermediate | Beginner+
3. QUALITY SCORING SYSTEM (0-70 Points)
Every signal is rated in real-time across three dimensions:
Volume Confirmation (0-30 points):
• Volume Spike (2.5x+ average): 30 points
• High Volume (1.5x+ average): 20 points
• Above Average (1.0x+ average): 10 points
• Below Average: 0 points
Volatility Assessment (0-30 points):
• Expanding ATR (1.2x+ average): 30 points
• Rising ATR (1.0-1.2x average): 15 points
• Contracting/Stable ATR: 0 points
Volume Momentum (0-10 points):
• Strong Momentum (1.2x+ ratio): 10 points
• Rising Momentum (1.0-1.2x ratio): 5 points
• Weak/Neutral Momentum: 0 points
Score Interpretation:
60-70 points - EXCELLENT:
• All factors aligned
• High conviction setup
• Maximum position size (within risk limits)
• Primary trading opportunities
45-59 points - STRONG:
• Multiple confirmations present
• Above-average setup quality
• Standard position size
• Good trading opportunities
30-44 points - GOOD:
• Basic confirmations met
• Acceptable setup quality
• Reduced position size
• Wait for additional confirmation or trade smaller
Below 30 points - WEAK:
• Minimal confirmations
• Low probability setup
• Consider passing
• Only for aggressive traders in strong trends
Only signals meeting your minimum quality threshold (configurable per preset) generate alerts and labels.
4. MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS
The system can simultaneously analyze trend alignment across 6 timeframes (optional feature):
Timeframes analyzed:
• 5-minute (scalping context)
• 15-minute (intraday momentum)
• 1-hour (day trading bias)
• 4-hour (swing context)
• Daily (primary trend)
• Weekly (macro trend)
Confluence Interpretation:
• 5-6/6 aligned - Very strong multi-timeframe agreement (highest confidence)
• 3-4/6 aligned - Moderate agreement (standard setup)
• 1-2/6 aligned - Weak agreement (caution advised)
Dashboard shows real-time alignment count with color-coding. Higher confluence typically correlates with longer, stronger trends.
5. VOLUME MOMENTUM FILTER - Institutional Money Flow
Unlike traditional volume indicators that just measure size, Volume Momentum tracks the RATE OF CHANGE in volume:
How it works:
• Compares short-term volume average (fast period) to long-term average (slow period)
• Ratio above 1.0 = Volume accelerating (money flowing IN)
• Ratio above 1.2 = Strong acceleration (institutional participation likely)
• Ratio below 0.8 = Volume decelerating (money flowing OUT)
Why it matters:
• Confirms trend with actual money flow, not just price
• Leading indicator (volume often leads price)
• Catches accumulation/distribution before breakouts
• More intuitive than complex mathematical filters
Integration with signals:
• Optional filter - can be enabled/disabled per preset
• When enabled: Only signals with rising volume momentum fire
• AUTO-DISABLED in Scalping mode (too restrictive for fast trading)
• Configurable fast/slow periods per trading style
6. ADAPTIVE SUPERTREND MULTIPLIER
Traditional SuperTrend uses fixed ATR multiplier. This system dynamically adjusts the multiplier (0.8x to 1.2x base) based on:
• Trend Strength: Price correlation over lookback period
• Volume Weight: Current volume relative to average
Benefits:
• Tighter bands in calm markets (less premature exits)
• Wider bands in volatile conditions (avoids whipsaws)
• Better adaptation to biotech, small-cap, and crypto volatility
• Optional - can be disabled for classic constant multiplier
7. VISUAL GRADIENT RIBBON
26-layer exponential gradient fill between price and SuperTrend line provides instant visual trend strength assessment:
Color System:
• Green shades - Bullish trend + volume confirmation (strongest)
• Blue shades - Bullish trend, normal volume
• Orange shades - Bearish trend + volume confirmation
• Red shades - Bearish trend (weakest)
Opacity varies based on:
• Distance from SuperTrend (farther = more opaque)
• Volume intensity (higher volume = stronger color)
The ribbon provides at-a-glance trend strength without cluttering your chart. Can be toggled on/off.
8. INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
Two-tier alert architecture for flexibility:
Automatic Alerts:
• Fire automatically on BUY and SELL signals
• Include full context: quality score, volume state, volume momentum
• One alert per bar close (alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)
• Message format: "BUY: Supertrend bullish + Quality: 65/70 | Volume: HIGH | Vol Momentum: STRONG (1.35x)"
Customizable Alert Conditions:
• Appear in TradingView's "Create Alert" dialog
• Three options: BUY Signal Only, SELL Signal Only, ANY Signal (BUY or SELL)
• Use TradingView placeholders: {{ticker}}, {{interval}}, {{close}}, {{time}}
• Fully customizable message templates
All alerts use barstate.isconfirmed - Zero repaint guarantee.
9. ANTI-REPAINT ARCHITECTURE
Every component guaranteed non-repainting:
• Entry signals: Only appear after bar close
• duration analysis boxes: Created only on confirmed SuperTrend flips
• Informative labels: Wait for bar confirmation
• Alerts: Fire once per closed bar
• Multi-timeframe data: Uses lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off
What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen in real-time. No disappearing signals, no changed duration estimates.
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR
QUICK START - 3 Steps to Trading:
Step 1: Select Your Trading Style
Open indicator settings → "Quick Setup" section → Trading Style Preset dropdown
Options:
• Auto (Detect from TF) - RECOMMENDED: Automatically configures based on your chart timeframe
• Scalping (1-5m) - For 1-5 minute charts, ultra-fast signals
• Day Trading (15m-1h) - For 15m-1h charts, balanced approach
• Swing Trading (4h-D) - For 4h-Daily charts, trend stability
• Position Trading (D-W) - For Daily-Weekly charts, long-term trends
• Custom - Manual configuration (advanced users only)
Choose "Auto" and you're done - all parameters optimize automatically.
Step 2: Understand the Signals
BUY Signal (Green Triangle Below Price):
• SuperTrend flipped bullish
• Quality score meets minimum threshold (varies by preset)
• Volume confirmation present (if filter enabled)
• Volume momentum rising (if filter enabled)
• duration analysis box shows expected trend duration
SELL Signal (Red Triangle Above Price):
• SuperTrend flipped bearish
• Quality score meets minimum threshold
• Volume confirmation present (if filter enabled)
• Volume momentum rising (if filter enabled)
• duration analysis box shows expected trend duration
Duration Analysis Box:
• Appears at SuperTrend flip (start of new trend)
• Shows median, average, and range duration estimates
• Extends to estimated endpoint based on historical data visually
• Updates mode-specific intelligence (Simple/Standard/Advanced)
Step 3: Use the Dashboard for Context
Dashboard (top-right corner) shows real-time metrics:
• Row 1 - Quality Score: Current setup rating (0-70)
• Row 2 - SuperTrend: Direction and current level
• Row 3 - Volume: Status (Spike/High/Normal/Low) with color
• Row 4 - Volatility: State (Expanding/Rising/Stable/Contracting)
• Row 5 - Volume Momentum: Ratio and trend
• Row 6 - Duration Statistics: Accuracy metrics and track record
Every cell has detailed tooltip - hover for full explanations.
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION BY QUALITY SCORE:
Excellent Setup (60-70 points):
• Quality Score: 60-70
• Volume: Spike or High
• Volatility: Expanding
• Volume Momentum: Strong (1.2x+)
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 5-6/6
• Action: Primary trade - maximum position size (within risk limits)
• Statistical reliability: Highest - duration estimates most accurate
Strong Setup (45-59 points):
• Quality Score: 45-59
• Volume: High or Above Average
• Volatility: Rising
• Volume Momentum: Rising (1.0-1.2x)
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 3-4/6
• Action: Standard trade - normal position size
• Statistical reliability: Good - duration estimates reliable
Good Setup (30-44 points):
• Quality Score: 30-44
• Volume: Above Average
• Volatility: Stable or Rising
• Volume Momentum: Neutral to Rising
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 3-4/6
• Action: Cautious trade - reduced position size, wait for additional confirmation
• Statistical reliability: Moderate - duration estimates less certain
Weak Setup (Below 30 points):
• Quality Score: Below 30
• Volume: Low or Normal
• Volatility: Contracting or Stable
• Volume Momentum: Weak
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 1-2/6
• Action: Pass or wait for improvement
• Statistical reliability: Low - duration estimates unreliable
USING duration analysis boxES FOR TRADE MANAGEMENT:
Entry Timing:
• Enter on SuperTrend flip (signal bar close)
• duration analysis box appears simultaneously
• Note the median duration - this is your expected hold time
Profit Targets:
• Conservative: Use MEDIAN duration as profit target (50% probability)
• Moderate: Use AVERAGE duration (mean of similar trends)
• Aggressive: Aim for MAX duration from range (best historical outcome)
Position Management:
• Scale out at median duration (take partial profits)
• Trail stop as trend extends beyond median
• Full exit at average duration or SuperTrend flip (whichever comes first)
• Re-evaluate if trend exceeds estimated range
analysis mode Selection:
• Simple: Clean trending markets, beginners, minimal complexity
• Standard: Most markets, most traders (recommended default)
• Advanced: Volatile markets, complex instruments, experienced traders seeking highest accuracy
Asset Type Configuration (Advanced Mode):
If using Advanced analysis mode, configure Asset Type for optimal accuracy:
• Small Cap: Stocks under $2B market cap, low liquidity
• Biotech / Speculative: Clinical-stage pharma, penny stocks, high-risk
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: S&P 500, mega-cap tech, stable large companies
• Tech Growth: High-growth tech (TSLA, NVDA, growth SaaS)
• Dividend / Value: Dividend aristocrats, value stocks, utilities
• Cyclical: Energy, materials, industrials (macro-driven)
• Crypto / High Volatility: Bitcoin, altcoins, highly volatile assets
Correct asset type selection improves Statistical accuracy by 15-20%.
RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES:
1. Stop Loss Placement:
Long positions:
• Place stop below recent swing low OR
• Place stop below SuperTrend level (whichever is tighter)
• Use 1-2 ATR distance as guideline
• Recommended: SuperTrend level (built-in volatility adjustment)
Short positions:
• Place stop above recent swing high OR
• Place stop above SuperTrend level (whichever is tighter)
• Use 1-2 ATR distance as guideline
• Recommended: SuperTrend level
2. Position Sizing by Quality Score:
• Excellent (60-70): Maximum position size (2% risk per trade)
• Strong (45-59): Standard position size (1.5% risk per trade)
• Good (30-44): Reduced position size (1% risk per trade)
• Weak (Below 30): Pass or micro position (0.5% risk - learning trades only)
3. Exit Strategy Options:
Option A - Statistical Duration-Based Exit:
• Exit at median estimated duration (conservative)
• Exit at average estimated duration (moderate)
• Trail stop beyond average duration (aggressive)
Option B - Signal-Based Exit:
• Exit on opposite signal (SELL after BUY, or vice versa)
• Exit on SuperTrend flip (trend reversal)
• Exit if quality score drops below 30 mid-trend
Option C - Hybrid (Recommended):
• Take 50% profit at median estimated duration
• Trail stop on remaining 50% using SuperTrend as trailing level
• Full exit on SuperTrend flip or quality collapse
4. Trade Filtering:
For higher win-rate (fewer trades, better quality):
• Increase minimum quality score (try 60 for swing, 50 for day trading)
• Enable volume momentum filter (ensure institutional participation)
• Require higher MTF confluence (5-6/6 alignment)
• Use Advanced analysis mode with appropriate asset type
For more opportunities (more trades, lower quality threshold):
• Decrease minimum quality score (40 for day trading, 35 for scalping)
• Disable volume momentum filter
• Lower MTF confluence requirement
• Use Simple or Standard analysis mode
SETTINGS OVERVIEW
Quick Setup Section:
• Trading Style Preset: Auto / Scalping / Day Trading / Swing / Position / Custom
Dashboard & Display:
• Show Dashboard (ON/OFF)
• Dashboard Position (9 options: Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
• Text Size (Auto/Tiny/Small/Normal/Large/Huge)
• Show Ribbon Fill (ON/OFF)
• Show SuperTrend Line (ON/OFF)
• Bullish Color (default: Green)
• Bearish Color (default: Red)
• Show Entry Labels - BUY/SELL signals (ON/OFF)
• Show Info Labels - Volume events (ON/OFF)
• Label Size (Auto/Tiny/Small/Normal/Large/Huge)
Supertrend Configuration:
• ATR Length (default varies by preset: 7-21)
• ATR Multiplier Base (default varies by preset: 2.0-4.0)
• Use Adaptive Multiplier (ON/OFF) - Dynamic 0.8x-1.2x adjustment
• Smoothing Factor (0.0-0.5) - EMA smoothing applied to bands
• Neutral Bars After Flip (0-10) - Hide ST immediately after flip
Volume Momentum:
• Enable Volume Momentum Filter (ON/OFF)
• Fast Period (default varies by preset: 3-20)
• Slow Period (default varies by preset: 10-50)
Volume Analysis:
• Volume MA Length (default varies by preset: 10-50)
• High Volume Threshold (default: 1.5x)
• Spike Threshold (default: 2.5x)
• Low Volume Threshold (default: 0.7x)
Quality Filters:
• Minimum Quality Score (0-70, varies by preset)
• Require Volume Confirmation (ON/OFF)
Trend Duration Analysis:
• Show Duration Analysis (ON/OFF) - Display duration analysis boxes
• analysis mode - Simple / Standard / Advanced
• Asset Type - 7 options (Small Cap, Biotech, Blue Chip, Tech Growth, Dividend, Cyclical, Crypto)
• Use Exponential Weighting (ON/OFF) - Recent trends weighted more
• Decay Factor (0.5-0.99) - How much more recent trends matter
• Structure Lookback (3-30) - Pivot detection period for support/resistance
• Proximity Threshold (xATR) - How close to level qualifies as "near"
• Enable Error Learning (ON/OFF) - System learns from estimation errors
• Memory Depth (3-20) - How many past errors to remember
Box Visual Settings:
• duration analysis box Border Color
• duration analysis box Background Color
• duration analysis box Text Color
• duration analysis box Border Width
• duration analysis box Transparency
Multi-Timeframe (Optional Feature):
• Enable MTF Confluence (ON/OFF)
• Minimum Alignment Required (0-6)
• Individual timeframe enable/disable toggles
• Custom timeframe selection options
All preset configurations override manual inputs except when "Custom" is selected.
ADVANCED FEATURES
1. Scalpel Mode (Optional)
Advanced pullback entry system that waits for healthy retracements within established trends before signaling entry:
• Monitors price distance from SuperTrend levels
• Requires pullback to configurable range (default: 30-50%)
• Ensures trend remains intact before entry signal
• Reduces whipsaw and false breakouts
• Inspired by Mark Minervini's VCP pullback entries
Best for: Swing traders and day traders seeking precision entries
Scalpers: Consider disabling for faster entries
2. Error Learning System (Advanced analysis mode Only)
The system learns from its own estimation errors:
• Tracks last 10-20 completed duration estimates (configurable memory depth)
• Calculates error ratio for each: estimated duration / Actual Duration
• If system consistently over-estimates: Applies negative correction (-15%)
• If system consistently under-estimates: Applies positive correction (+15%)
• Adapts to current market regime automatically
This self-correction mechanism improves accuracy over time as the system gathers more data on your specific symbol and timeframe.
3. Regime Detection (Advanced analysis mode Only)
Automatically detects whether market is in trending or choppy regime:
• Compares last 3 trends to historical average
• Recent trends 20%+ longer → Trending regime (+20% to estimates)
• Recent trends 20%+ shorter → Choppy regime (-20% to estimates)
• Applied separately to bullish and bearish trends
Helps duration estimates adapt to changing market conditions without manual intervention.
4. Exponential Weighting
Option to weight recent trends more heavily than distant history:
• Default decay factor: 0.9
• Recent trends get higher weight in statistical calculations
• Older trends gradually decay in importance
• Rationale: Recent market behavior more relevant than old data
• Can be disabled for equal weighting
5. Backtest Statistics
System backtests its own duration estimates using historical data:
• Walks through past trends chronologically
• Calculates what duration estimate WOULD have been at each flip
• Compares to actual duration that occurred
• Displays accuracy metrics in duration analysis boxes and dashboard
• Helps assess statistical reliability on your specific chart
Note: Backtest uses only data available AT THE TIME of each historical flip (no lookahead bias).
TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
• Pine Script Version: v6
• Indicator Type: Overlay (draws on price chart)
• Max Boxes: 500 (for duration analysis box storage)
• Max Bars Back: 5000 (for comprehensive historical analysis)
• Security Calls: 1 (for MTF if enabled - optimized)
• Repainting: NO - All signals and duration estimates confirmed on bar close
• Lookahead Bias: NO - All HTF data properly offset, all duration estimates use only historical data
• Real-time Updates: YES - Dashboard and quality scores update live
• Alert Capable: YES - Both automatic alerts and customizable alert conditions
• Multi-Symbol: Works on stocks, crypto, forex, futures, indices
Performance Optimization:
• Conditional calculations (duration analysis can be disabled to reduce load)
• Efficient array management (circular buffers for trend storage)
• Streamlined gradient rendering (26 layers, can be toggled off)
• Smart label cooldown system (prevents label spam)
• Optimized similarity matching (analyzes only relevant trends)
Data Requirements:
• Minimum 50-100 bars for initial duration analysis (builds historical database)
• Optimal: 500+ bars for robust statistical analysis
• Longer history = more accurate duration estimates
• Works on any timeframe from 1 minute to monthly
KNOWN LIMITATIONS
• Trending Markets Only: Performs best in clear trends. May generate false signals in choppy/sideways markets (use quality score filtering and regime detection to mitigate)
• Lagging Nature: Like all trend-following systems, signals occur AFTER trend establishment, not at exact tops/bottoms. Use duration analysis boxes to set realistic profit targets.
• Initial Learning Period: Duration analysis system requires 10-15 completed trends to build reliable historical database. Early duration estimates less accurate (first few weeks on new symbol/timeframe).
• Visual Load: 26-layer gradient ribbon may slow performance on older devices. Disable ribbon if experiencing lag.
• Statistical accuracy Variables: Duration estimates are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Accuracy varies by:
- Market regime (trending vs choppy)
- Asset volatility characteristics
- Quality of historical pattern matches
- Timeframe traded (higher TF = more reliable)
• Not Best Suitable For:
- Ultra-short-term scalping (sub-1-minute charts)
- Mean-reversion strategies (designed for trend-following)
- Range-bound trading (requires trending conditions)
- News-driven spikes (estimates based on technical patterns, not fundamentals)
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
Q: Does this indicator repaint?
A: Absolutely not. All signals, duration analysis boxes, labels, and alerts use barstate.isconfirmed checks. They only appear after the bar closes. What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen in real-time. Zero repaint guarantee.
Q: How accurate are the trend duration estimates?
A: Accuracy varies by mode, market conditions, and historical data quality:
• Simple mode: 60-70% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
• Standard mode: 70-80% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
• Advanced mode: 75-85% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
Best accuracy achieved on:
• Higher timeframes (4H, Daily, Weekly)
• Trending markets (not choppy/sideways)
• Assets with consistent behavior (Blue Chip, Large Cap)
• After 20+ historical trends analyzed (builds robust database)
Remember: All duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical patterns, not guarantees.
Q: Which analysis mode should I use?
A:
• Simple: Beginners, clean trending markets, want minimal complexity
• Standard: Most traders, general market conditions (RECOMMENDED DEFAULT)
• Advanced: Experienced traders, volatile/complex markets (biotech, small-cap, crypto), seeking maximum accuracy
Advanced mode requires correct Asset Type configuration for optimal results.
Q: What's the difference between the trading style presets?
A: Each preset optimizes ALL parameters for a specific trading approach:
• Scalping: Ultra-sensitive (ATR 7, Mult 2.0), more signals, shorter holds
• Day Trading: Balanced (ATR 10, Mult 2.5), moderate signals, intraday holds
• Swing Trading: Stable (ATR 14, Mult 3.0), fewer signals, multi-day holds
• Position Trading: Very stable (ATR 21, Mult 4.0), rare signals, week/month holds
Auto mode automatically selects based on your chart timeframe.
Q: Should I use Auto mode or manually select a preset?
A: Auto mode is recommended for most traders. It automatically matches settings to your timeframe and re-optimizes if you switch charts. Only use manual preset selection if:
• You want scalping settings on a 15m chart (overriding auto-detection)
• You want swing settings on a 1h chart (more conservative than auto would give)
• You're testing different approaches on same timeframe
Q: Can I use this for scalping and day trading?
A: Absolutely! The preset system is specifically designed for all trading styles:
• Select "Scalping (1-5m)" for 1-5 minute charts
• Select "Day Trading (15m-1h)" for 15m-1h charts
• Or use "Auto" mode and it configures automatically
Volume momentum filter is auto-disabled in Scalping mode for faster signals.
Q: What is Volume Momentum and why does it matter?
A: Volume Momentum compares short-term volume (fast MA) to long-term volume (slow MA). It answers: "Is money flowing into this asset faster now than historically?"
Why it matters:
• Volume often leads price (early warning system)
• Confirms institutional participation (smart money)
• No lag like price-based indicators
• More intuitive than complex mathematical filters
When the ratio is above 1.2, you have strong evidence that institutions are accumulating (bullish) or distributing (bearish).
Q: How do I set up alerts?
A: Two options:
Option 1 - Automatic Alerts:
1. Right-click on chart → Add Alert
2. Condition: Select this indicator
3. Choose "Any alert() function call"
4. Configure notification method (app, email, webhook)
5. You'll receive detailed alerts on every BUY and SELL signal
Option 2 - Customizable Alert Conditions:
1. Right-click on chart → Add Alert
2. Condition: Select this indicator
3. You'll see three options in dropdown:
- "BUY Signal" (long signals only)
- "SELL Signal" (short signals only)
- "ANY Signal" (both BUY and SELL)
4. Choose desired option and customize message template
5. Uses TradingView placeholders: {{ticker}}, {{close}}, {{time}}, etc.
All alerts fire only on confirmed bar close (no repaint).
Q: What is Scalpel Mode and should I use it?
A: Scalpel Mode waits for healthy pullbacks within established trends before signaling entry. It reduces whipsaws and improves entry timing.
Recommended ON for:
• Swing traders (want precision entries on pullbacks)
• Day traders (willing to wait for better prices)
• Risk-averse traders (prefer fewer but higher-quality entries)
Recommended OFF for:
• Scalpers (need immediate entries, can't wait for pullbacks)
• Momentum traders (want to enter on breakout, not pullback)
• Aggressive traders (prefer more opportunities over precision)
Q: Why do some duration estimates show wider ranges than others?
A: Range width reflects historical trend variability:
• Narrow range: Similar historical trends had consistent durations (high confidence)
• Wide range: Similar historical trends had varying durations (lower confidence)
Wide ranges often occur:
• Early in analysis (fewer historical trends to learn from)
• In volatile/choppy markets (inconsistent trend behavior)
• On lower timeframes (more noise, less consistency)
The median and average still provide useful targets even when range is wide.
Q: Can I customize the dashboard position and appearance?
A: Yes! Dashboard settings include:
• Position: 9 options (Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
• Text Size: Auto, Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge
• Show/Hide: Toggle entire dashboard on/off
Choose position that doesn't overlap important price action on your specific chart.
Q: Which timeframe should I trade on?
A: Depends on your trading style and time availability:
• 1-5 minute: Active scalping, requires constant monitoring
• 15m-1h: Day trading, check few times per session
• 4h-Daily: Swing trading, check once or twice daily
• Daily-Weekly: Position trading, check weekly
General principle: Higher timeframes produce:
• Fewer signals (less frequent)
• Higher quality setups (stronger confirmations)
• More reliable duration estimates (better statistical data)
• Less noise (clearer trends)
Start with Daily chart if new to trading. Move to lower timeframes as you gain experience.
Q: Does this work on all markets (stocks, crypto, forex)?
A: Yes, it works on all markets with trending characteristics:
Excellent for:
• Stocks (especially growth and momentum names)
• Crypto (BTC, ETH, major altcoins)
• Futures (indices, commodities)
• Forex majors (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.)
Best results on:
• Trending markets (not range-bound)
• Liquid instruments (tight spreads, good fills)
• Volatile assets (clear trend development)
Less effective on:
• Range-bound/sideways markets
• Ultra-low volatility instruments
• Illiquid small-caps (use caution)
Configure Asset Type (in Advanced analysis mode) to match your instrument for best accuracy.
Q: How many signals should I expect per day/week?
A: Highly variable based on:
By Timeframe:
• 1-5 minute: 5-15 signals per session
• 15m-1h: 2-5 signals per day
• 4h-Daily: 2-5 signals per week
• Daily-Weekly: 1-2 signals per month
By Market Volatility:
• High volatility = more SuperTrend flips = more signals
• Low volatility = fewer flips = fewer signals
By Quality Filter:
• Higher threshold (60-70) = fewer but better signals
• Lower threshold (30-40) = more signals, lower quality
By Volume Momentum Filter:
• Enabled = Fewer signals (only volume-confirmed)
• Disabled = More signals (all SuperTrend flips)
Adjust quality threshold and filters to match your desired signal frequency.
Q: What's the difference between entry labels and info labels?
A:
Entry Labels (BUY/SELL):
• Your primary trading signals
• Based on SuperTrend flip + all confirmations (quality, volume, momentum)
• Include quality score and confirmation icons
• These are actionable entry points
Info Labels (Volume Spike):
• Additional market context
• Show volume events that may support or contradict trend
• 8-bar cooldown to prevent spam
• NOT necessarily entry points - contextual information only
Control separately: Can show entry labels without info labels (recommended for clean charts).
Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?
A: Absolutely! This works well with:
• RSI: For divergences and overbought/oversold conditions
• Support/Resistance: Confluence with key levels
• Fibonacci Retracements: Pullback targets in Scalpel Mode
• Price Action Patterns: Flags, pennants, cup-and-handle
• MACD: Additional momentum confirmation
• Bollinger Bands: Volatility context
This indicator provides trend direction and duration estimates - complement with other tools for entry refinement and additional confluence.
Q: Why did I get a low-quality signal? Can I filter them out?
A: Yes! Increase the Minimum Quality Score in settings.
If you're seeing signals with quality below your preference:
• Day Trading: Set minimum to 50
• Swing Trading: Set minimum to 60
• Position Trading: Set minimum to 70
Only signals meeting the threshold will appear. This reduces frequency but improves win-rate.
Q: How do I interpret the MTF Confluence count?
A: Shows how many of 6 timeframes agree with current trend:
• 6/6 aligned: Perfect agreement (extremely rare, highest confidence)
• 5/6 aligned: Very strong alignment (high confidence)
• 4/6 aligned: Good alignment (standard quality setup)
• 3/6 aligned: Moderate alignment (acceptable)
• 2/6 aligned: Weak alignment (caution)
• 1/6 aligned: Very weak (likely counter-trend)
Higher confluence typically correlates with longer, stronger trends. However, MTF analysis is optional - you can disable it and rely solely on quality scoring.
Q: Is this suitable for beginners?
A: Yes, but requires foundational knowledge:
You should understand:
• Basic trend-following concepts (higher highs, higher lows)
• Risk management principles (position sizing, stop losses)
• How to read candlestick charts
• What volume and volatility mean
Beginner-friendly features:
• Auto preset mode (zero configuration)
• Quality scoring (tells you signal strength)
• Dashboard tooltips (hover for explanations)
• duration analysis boxes (visual profit targets)
Recommended for beginners:
1. Start with "Auto" or "Swing Trading" preset on Daily chart
2. Use Standard Analysis Mode (not Advanced)
3. Set minimum quality to 60 (fewer but better signals)
4. Paper trade first for 2-4 weeks
5. Study methodology references (Minervini, O'Neil, Zanger)
Q: What is the Asset Type setting and why does it matter?
A: Asset Type (in Advanced analysis mode) adjusts duration estimates based on volatility characteristics:
• Small Cap: Explosive moves, extended trends (+30-40%)
• Biotech / Speculative: Parabolic potential, news-driven (+40%)
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: Baseline, steady trends (0% adjustment)
• Tech Growth: Momentum-driven, longer trends (+20%)
• Dividend / Value: Slower, grinding trends (-20%)
• Cyclical: Macro-driven, variable (±10%)
• Crypto / High Volatility: Parabolic potential (+30%)
Correct configuration improves Statistical accuracy by 15-20%. Using Blue Chip settings on a biotech stock may underestimate trend length (you'll exit too early).
Q: Can I backtest this indicator?
A: Yes! TradingView's Strategy Tester works with this indicator's signals.
To backtest:
1. Note the entry conditions (SuperTrend flip + quality threshold + filters)
2. Create a strategy script using same logic
3. Run Strategy Tester on historical data
Additionally, the indicator includes BUILT-IN duration estimate validation:
• System backtests its own duration estimates
• Shows accuracy metrics in dashboard and duration analysis boxes
• Helps assess reliability on your specific symbol/timeframe
Q: Why does Volume Momentum auto-disable in Scalping mode?
A: Scalping requires ultra-fast entries to catch quick moves. Volume Momentum filter adds friction by requiring volume confirmation before signaling, which can cause missed opportunities in rapid scalping.
Scalping preset is optimized for speed and frequency - the filter is counterproductive for that style. It remains enabled for Day Trading, Swing Trading, and Position Trading presets where patience improves results.
You can manually enable it in Custom mode if desired.
Q: How much historical data do I need for accurate duration estimates?
A:
Minimum: 50-100 bars (indicator will function but duration estimates less reliable)
Recommended: 500+ bars (robust statistical database)
Optimal: 1000+ bars (maximum Statistical accuracy)
More history = more completed trends = better pattern matching = more accurate duration estimates.
New symbols or newly-switched timeframes will have lower Statistical accuracy initially. Allow 2-4 weeks for the system to build historical database.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
No Guarantee of Profit:
This indicator is an educational tool and does not guarantee any specific trading results. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical patterns and are not guarantees of future performance.
Past Performance:
Historical backtest results and Statistical accuracy statistics do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions change constantly. What worked historically may not work in current or future markets.
Not Financial Advice:
This indicator provides technical analysis signals and statistical duration estimates only. It is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Warning:
Trading stocks, options, futures, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. You can lose all of your invested capital. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Only risk capital you can lose without affecting your lifestyle.
Testing Required:
Always test this indicator on a demo account or with paper trading before risking real capital. Understand how it works in different market conditions. Verify Statistical accuracy on your specific instruments and timeframes before trusting it with real money.
User Responsibility:
You are solely responsible for your trading decisions. The developer assumes no liability for trading losses, incorrect duration estimates, software errors, or any other damages incurred while using this indicator.
Statistical Estimation Limitations:
Trend Duration estimates are statistical estimates based on historical pattern matching. They are NOT guarantees. Actual trend durations may differ significantly from duration estimates due to unforeseen news events, market regime changes, or lack of historical precedent for current conditions.
CREDITS & ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Methodology Inspiration:
• Mark Minervini - Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) concepts and pullback entry techniques
• William O'Neil - Volume analysis principles and CANSLIM institutional buying patterns
• Dan Zanger - Momentum breakout strategies and volatility expansion entries
Technical Components:
• SuperTrend calculation - Classic ATR-based trend indicator (public domain)
• Statistical analysis - Standard median, average, range calculations
• k-Nearest Neighbors - Classic machine learning similarity matching concept
• Multi-timeframe analysis - Standard request.security implementation in Pine Script
For questions, feedback, or support, please comment below or send a private message.
Happy Trading!
Twiggs Go Money Flow Enhanced [KingThies]█ OVERVIEW
The Twiggs Money Flow (TMF) is a volume-weighted momentum oscillator that
measures buying and sellistng pressure by analyzing where price closes within
each bar's true range. It's an enhanced version of Chaikin Money Flow that
uses Wilder's smoothing method, providing better trend persistence and
smoother signals.
The indicator oscillates around a zero listne:
Values above zero indicate accumulation (buying pressure)
Values below zero indicate distribution (sellistng pressure)
TMF was developed by Colistn Twiggs as an improvement over traditional money
flow indicators by incorporating true range calculations and Wilder's
exponential moving average.
█ CONCEPTS
True Range Boundaries
TMF calculates a modified true range for each bar by comparing the current
bar's high and low with the previous close:
True Range High = maximum of (previous close, current high)
True Range Low = minimum of (previous close, current low)
This accounts for overnight gaps and ensures price continuity between bars.
Average Daily Value (ADV)
The ADV represents the portion of volume attributable to buying versus sellistng:
ADV = Volume × ((Close - TR Low) - (TR High - Close)) / True Range
When price closes near the high of the true range, ADV is positive and large.
When price closes near the low, ADV is negative and large.
A close in the middle produces values near zero.
Wilder's Moving Average
Unlistke simple moving averages, Wilder's smoothing method gives more weight
to recent values while maintaining memory of historical data:
WMA = (Previous WMA × (Period - 1) + Current Value) / Period
This creates smoother trends that are less prone to whipsaws than standard
moving averages.
Final Calculation
TMF = Wilder's MA(ADV, Period) / Wilder's MA(Volume, Period)
By dividing smoothed ADV by smoothed volume, TMF normalistzes the reading and
makes it comparable across different securities and timeframes.
█ HOW TO USE
Zero listne Crossovers
The most straightforward trading signals:
A cross above zero suggests buyers are gaining control.
Consider this a bullistsh signal, especially when confirmed by price action.
A cross below zero suggests sellers are gaining control.
Consider this a bearish signal.
The longer TMF remains above or below zero, the stronger the trend.
Extreme Values
Strong positive or negative readings indicate intense buying or sellistng pressure:
Sustained high positive values (above +0.4) suggest strong accumulation
but may also indicate overbought conditions.
Sustained low negative values (below -0.4) suggest strong distribution
but may also indicate oversold conditions.
These extremes work best when used in conjunction with price levels and
support/resistance zones.
Divergences
Divergences between price and TMF often signal potential reversals:
Bearish divergence: Price makes a higher high but TMF makes a
lower high — suggests buying pressure is weakening despite rising prices.
Bullistsh divergence: Price makes a lower low but TMF makes a
higher low — suggests sellistng pressure is weakening despite fallistng prices.
Trend Confirmation
Use TMF to confirm the strength of existing trends:
In an uptrend, TMF should remain mostly positive with occasional dips below zero.
In a downtrend, TMF should remain mostly negative with occasional rises above zero.
If TMF contradicts the price trend, consider the trend weak or potentially ending.
█ FEATURES
Period (default: 21)
The lookback length for Wilder's moving average calculation:
Shorter periods (10–15) make TMF more responsive to recent changes but
increase noise and false signals.
Longer periods (30–50) create smoother readings but lag price action more
significantly.
The default 21-period setting balances responsiveness with relistabilistty.
Consider adjusting the period based on your trading timeframe and the
volatilistty of the security you're analyzing.
█ LIMITATIONS
TMF is a lagging indicator due to its smoothing method. Signals may occur
after optimal entry or exit points.
In low-volume or illistquid markets, TMF can produce erratic readings that
may not reflect true buying or sellistng pressure.
Ranging or choppy markets often generate frequent zero-listne crosses that
can lead to whipsaws.
listke all volume-based indicators, TMF's relistabilistty depends on accurate
volume data.
For securities with unrelistable volume reporting, consider using
price-based momentum indicators instead.
█ NOTES
This indicator uses area-style plotting in the original version to visualistze
the magnitude of buying and sellistng pressure. The filled area makes it easy
to see at a glance whether the market is in accumulation or distribution mode.
TMF works on any timeframe but tends to be most relistable on daily charts
where volume data is most accurate and meaningful.
█ CREDITS
Original indicator developed by
LazyBear .
Based on the Twiggs Money Flow concept from Incredible Charts:
Incredible Charts – Twiggs Money Flow .
Tristan's Multi-Indicator Reversal StrategyMulti-Indicator Reversal Strategy - Buy Low, Sell High
A comprehensive reversal detection system that combines multiple proven technical indicators to identify high-probability entry points for catching reversals at market extremes.
📊 Strategy Overview
This strategy is designed for traders who want to buy at lows and sell at highs by detecting when stocks are overextended and ready to reverse. It works by requiring multiple technical indicators to align before generating a signal, significantly reducing false entries.
Best Used On:
Timeframe: 1-hour charts (also works on 15min, 30min, 4hour)
Session: NY Trading Session (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET)
Assets: Stocks, ETFs, Crypto (particularly volatile tech stocks like ZM, TSLA, AAPL)
Trading Style: Swing trading, Intraday reversals
🔧 Technical Components
The strategy combines FIVE powerful technical indicators:
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
3. Williams %R
4. Bollinger Bands
5. Volume Analysis
6. Divergence Detection (Optional)
🎨 Visual Signals
Entry Signals:
🟢 Green Triangle (below candle) = BUY LONG signal
🔴 Red Triangle (above candle) = SELL SHORT signal
Exit Signals:
🟣 Purple Label = Position closed (shows "x2", "x3" if multiple entries)
Additional Indicators:
💎 Aqua Diamond = Bullish divergence detected
💎 Fuchsia Diamond = Bearish divergence detected
🔵 Blue Background = NY Session active
🟡 Yellow Bar Tint = Volume spike detected
⚪ Small Circles = Near-signal conditions (2+ indicators aligned)
Live Counter:
Top corner shows: "Bull: X/4" and "Bear: X/4"
Indicates how many indicators currently align
⚙️ How to Use This Strategy
For Beginners (More Signals):
Set "Min Indicators Aligned" to 2
Turn OFF "Require Divergence"
Turn OFF "Require Volume Spike"
Turn OFF "Require Reversal Candle Pattern"
Keep "Allow Multiple Entries" OFF
This gives you more frequent signals to learn from.
For Advanced Traders (High Probability):
Set "Min Indicators Aligned" to 3 or 4
Turn ON "Require Divergence"
Turn ON "Require Volume Spike"
Turn ON "Require Reversal Candle Pattern"
Adjust stop loss to your risk tolerance
This filters for only the highest-quality setups.
Recommended Settings for 1-Hour Charts:
Min Indicators Aligned: 3
Stop Loss: 2.5%
Take Profit: 5.0%
RSI Length: 14
Williams %R Length: 14
Volume Multiplier: 1.5x
Session: NY only (for stocks)
BUY SIGNAL generated when:
2-4 indicators show oversold/bullish conditions:
RSI < 30 and turning up
MACD crossing bullish or histogram positive
Williams %R < -80 and turning up
Price at/below lower Bollinger Band
Optional confirmations (if enabled):
Bullish divergence detected
Volume spike present
Bullish reversal candle pattern
Session filter: Signals only during NY trading hours
SELL SIGNAL Generated When:
2-4 indicators show overbought/bearish conditions:
RSI > 70 and turning down
MACD crossing bearish or histogram negative
Williams %R > -20 and turning down
Price at/above upper Bollinger Band
Optional confirmations (if enabled):
Bearish divergence detected
Volume spike present
Bearish reversal candle pattern
🛡️ Risk Management Features
Automatic Stop Loss: Protects capital (default 2.5%)
Take Profit Target: Locks in gains (default 5.0%)
Pyramiding Control: Toggle to prevent position stacking
Session Filter: Avoids overnight risk and low-liquidity periods
Position Flipping: Automatically reverses when opposite signal appears
💡 Best Practices
✅ DO:
Wait for candle close before entering (built into strategy)
Use on volatile assets with clear trends
Combine with your own analysis and risk management
Backtest on your specific assets and timeframes
Start with paper trading to learn the signals
Adjust indicator requirements based on market conditions
❌ DON'T:
Use on very low timeframes (<5 min) without adjustment
Ignore the session filter on stocks
Use maximum leverage - these are reversal trades
Trade during major news events or earnings
Expect 100% win rate - focus on risk/reward ratio
📊 Performance Notes
This strategy prioritizes quality over quantity. With default settings, you may see:
2-5 signals per week on 1-hour charts
Higher win rate with stricter settings (3-4 indicators aligned)
Best performance during trending markets with clear reversals
Reduced performance in choppy, sideways markets
Tip: Adjust "Min Indicators Aligned" based on market conditions:
Trending markets: Use 3-4 (fewer but stronger signals)
Range-bound markets: Use 2 (more signals, but watch for false breakouts)
