Cryptolabs Global Liquidity Cycle Momentum IndicatorCryptolabs Global Liquidity Cycle Momentum Indicator (LMI-BTC)
This open-source indicator combines global central bank liquidity data with Bitcoin price movements to identify medium- to long-term market cycles and momentum phases. It is designed for traders who want to incorporate macroeconomic factors into their Bitcoin analysis.
How It Works
The script calculates a Liquidity Index using balance sheet data from four central banks (USA: ECONOMICS:USCBBS, Japan: FRED:JPNASSETS, China: ECONOMICS:CNCBBS, EU: FRED:ECBASSETSW), augmented by the Dollar Index (TVC:DXY) and Chinese 10-year bond yields (TVC:CN10Y). This index is:
- Logarithmically scaled (math.log) to better represent large values like central bank balances and Bitcoin prices.
- Normalized over a 50-period range to balance fluctuations between minimum and maximum values.
- Compared to prior-year values, with the number of bars dynamically adjusted based on the timeframe (e.g., 252 for 1D, 52 for 1W), to compute percentage changes.
The liquidity change is analyzed using a Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) (period: 24) to measure momentum trends. A Weighted Moving Average (WMA) (period: 10) acts as a signal line. The Bitcoin price is also plotted logarithmically to highlight parallels with liquidity cycles.
Usage
Traders can use the indicator to:
- Identify global liquidity cycles influencing Bitcoin price trends, such as expansive or restrictive monetary policies.
- Detect momentum phases: Values above 50 suggest overbought conditions, below -50 indicate oversold conditions.
- Anticipate trend reversals by observing CMO crossovers with the signal line.
It performs best on higher timeframes like daily (1D) or weekly (1W) charts. The visualization includes:
- CMO line (green > 50, red < -50, blue neutral), signal line (white), Bitcoin price (gray).
- Horizontal lines at 50, 0, and -50 for improved readability.
Originality
This indicator stands out from other momentum tools like RSI or basic price analysis due to:
- Unique Data Integration: Combines four central bank datasets, DXY, and CN10Y as macroeconomic proxies for Bitcoin.
- Dynamic Prior-Year Analysis: Calculates liquidity changes relative to historical values, adjustable by timeframe.
- Logarithmic Normalization: Enhances visibility of extreme values, critical for cryptocurrencies and macro data.
This combination offers a rare perspective on the interplay between global liquidity and Bitcoin, unavailable in other open-source scripts.
Settings
- CMO Period: Default 24, adjustable for faster/slower signals.
- Signal WMA: Default 10, for smoothing the CMO line.
- Normalization Window: Default 50 periods, customizable.
Users can modify these parameters in the Pine Editor to tailor the indicator to their strategy.
Note
This script is designed for medium- to long-term analysis, not scalping. For optimal results, combine it with additional analyses (e.g., on-chain data, support/resistance levels). It does not guarantee profits but supports informed decisions based on macroeconomic trends.
Data Sources
- Bitcoin: INDEX:BTCUSD
- Liquidity: ECONOMICS:USCBBS, FRED:JPNASSETS, ECONOMICS:CNCBBS, FRED:ECBASSETSW
- Additional: TVC:DXY, TVC:CN10Y
Komut dosyalarını "btc期权交割时间" için ara
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy [Skyrexio] Overview
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator (AC), Williams Fractals, Williams Alligator and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Combination of AO and AC is used for creating so-called trading zones to create the signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over. In some special cases strategy uses AO and AC combination to trail profit (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Both AC and AO shall print two consecutive increasing values. At the price candle close which corresponds to this condition algorithm opens the first long trade with 10% of capital.
4. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
5. If AO and AC both continue printing the rising values strategy opens the long trade on each candle close with 10% of capital while number of opened trades reaches 5.
6. If AO and AC both has printed 5 rising values in a row algorithm close all trades if candle's low below the low of the 5-th candle with rising AO and AC values in a row.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation).
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about the trading zones concept and its signals. To understand this we need to briefly introduce what is AO and AC. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO) , where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now let's discuss the trading zones concept and how it can create the signal. Zones are created by the combination of AO and AC. We can divide three zone types:
Greed zone: when the AO and AC both are rising
Red zone: when the AO and AC both are decreasing
Gray zone: when one of AO or AC is rising, the other is falling
Gray zone is considered as uncertainty. AC and AO are moving in the opposite direction. Strategy skip such price action to decrease the chance to stuck in the losing trade during potential sideways. Red zone is also not interesting for the algorithm because both indicators consider the trend as bearish, but strategy opens only long trades. It is waiting for the green zone to increase the chance to open trade in the direction of the potential uptrend. When we have 2 candles in a row in the green zone script executes a long trade with 10% of capital.
Two green zone candles in a row is considered by algorithm as a bullish trend, but now so strong, that's the reason why trade is going to be closed when the combination of Alligator and Fractals will consider the the trend change from bullish to bearish. If id did not happens, algorithm starts to count the green zone candles in a row. When we have 5 in a row script change the trade closing condition. Such situation is considered is a high probability strong bull market and all trades will be closed if candle's low will be lower than fifth green zone candle's low. This is used to increase probability to secure the profit. If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. Each trade uses 10% of capital.
Why we use trading zones signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC and AO values in the direction of the most likely main trend signaling that we have the high probability of the fastest bullish phase on the market. The main idea is to take part in such rapid moves and add trades if this move continues its acceleration according to indicators.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.49%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.33%
Net Profit: +4374.70 USDT (+43.75%)
Total Trades: 278 (39.57% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.203
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 668.16 USDT (-5.43%)
Average Profit per Trade: 15.74 USDT (+1.37%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Volume HighlightBar colouring: this indicator is simple but effective, it repaints higher than normal candles a certain colour (by default gold/yellow) it helps to know what are valuable areas to trade around for longs and shorts.
Changing the volume multiplier manually helps you to screen volume relevant to the timeframe you are trading on.
For example, some charts 1min the best filter/setting would be 12-35 multiplier where others like btc 1-4 hourly, the filter/setting might be 8-12.
The key is having only the highest/most relevant 3-4 volume candles showing as they often represent supports and resistances.
Excess Liquidity IndicatorExcess Liquidity Indicator
This script visualizes excess liquidity trends in relation to risk assets. It estimates excess liquidity by combining various macroeconomic factors such as WW M2 money supply, central bank balance sheets, and interest rates, oil, and the dollar index, and it substracts WW GDP. The tool helps traders analyze liquidity-driven market trends in a structured manner.
Note: This script is for research purposes only and does not provide financial advice.
I cannot point names cause I get banned but work is inspired by others...
Ultimate Volatility Scanner by NHBprod - Requested by Client!Hey Everyone!
I created another script to add to my growing library of strategies and indicators that I use for automated crypto and stock trading! This strategy is for BITCOIN but can be used on any stock or crypto. This was requested by a client so I thought I should create it and hopefully build off of it and build variants!
This script gets and compares the 14-day volatility using the ATR percentage for a list of cryptocurrencies and stocks. Cryptocurrencies are preloaded into the script, and the script will show you the TOP 5 coins in terms of volatility, and then compares it to the Bitcoin volatility as a reference. It updates these values once per day using daily timeframe data from TradingView. The coins are then sorted in descending order by their volatility.
If you don't want to use the preloaded set of coins, you have the option of inputting your own coins AND/OR stocks!
Let me know your thoughts.
STRAW Volume Spike IndicatorThis is basically a:
High-Volume Impulse Detector
The High-Volume Impulse Detector is a refined tool designed to highlight key moments of explosive volume surges in the market, specifically calibrated for assets like Bitcoin on the 15-minute timeframe. Unlike generic volume-based indicators, this script doesn’t just flag high volume—it intelligently adapts to market dynamics by incorporating a custom-moving average baseline and highlighting instances where volume exceeds a significant threshold relative to the average.
Key Features
✅ Adaptive Volume Benchmark – Uses a dynamic moving average to filter out noise and pinpoint meaningful volume spikes.
✅ Impulse Confirmation – Only highlights volume bars that exceed the 50% threshold above the baseline, ensuring signals capture real liquidity shifts.
✅ Smart Color Coding – Differentiates high-impact bullish and bearish volume with distinct visual cues for easy market structure identification.
✅ Designed for Order Block Traders – Helps validate liquidity-driven price movements essential for refining order block and break-of-structure strategies.
Unlike conventional volume overlays, this tool helps traders connect volume surges to key structural shifts, making it an ideal companion for those navigating momentum shifts, market inefficiencies, and institutional footprints.
⚡ Best used on BTC 15m for tracking aggressive volume-driven moves in real-time.
SASDv2rSensitive Altcoin Season Detector V2
This Pine Script™ code, titled "SASDv2r" (Sensitive Altcoin Season Detector version 2 revised), is designed for cryptocurrency trading analysis on the TradingView platform and tailored for those interested in tracking when altcoins might be outperforming Bitcoin, potentially indicating a market shift towards altcoins.
Feel free to use and modify. If you made it better, please let me know. Intention was to help the community with a tool for retail traders have no access to advanced, MV indicators. Solution uses classic TA only.
Use it witl TOTAL3/BTC indicator.
Please check: it gave signal just before last alt season % rose more than 250%.
Market Cap Data Fetching: The script fetches market capitalization data for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and all other altcoins (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) using request.security function.
Altcoin to Bitcoin Ratio: It calculates the ratio of total market cap of altcoins to Bitcoin's market cap (altToBtcRatio), which is central to identifying an "altcoin season."
Moving Averages: Several moving averages are computed for different time frames (50-day SMA, 200-day SMA, 20-day SMA, and 10-day EMA) to analyze trends in the altcoin to Bitcoin ratio.
Momentum Indicators: The script uses RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to gauge momentum and potential reversal points in the market.
Custom Indicators: It includes Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) and a custom momentum indicator (altMomentum and altMomentumAvg) to provide additional insights into market movements.
Volatility Measurement: Bollinger Bands are calculated to assess volatility in the altcoin to Bitcoin ratio, which helps identify periods of high or low market activity.
Visual Analysis: Various plots are added to the chart for visual interpretation, including the altcoin to Bitcoin ratio, different moving averages, and Bollinger Bands.
Alt Season Detection: The script defines conditions for detecting when an "altcoin season" might be starting, based on crossovers of moving averages, RSI levels, MACD signals, and other custom criteria.
Performance Tracking: After signaling an alt season, the script evaluates the performance over the next 30 days by checking if there's been an increase in the altcoin to Bitcoin ratio, adding labels for positive or negative trends.(this one is in progress). Logic still gives false signals and aim is to identify failed signals.
Visual Signals: Labels are placed on the chart to visually indicate the beginning of a potential alt season or the performance outcome after a signal, aiding traders in making informed decisions.
RSI Bands with Volume and EMAThis script is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify key market signals using RSI bands, volume, and multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). It overlays the following on the chart:
RSI Bands: The script calculates and plots two bands based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicating overbought and oversold levels. These bands act as dynamic support and resistance zones:
Resistance Band (Upper Band): Plotted when the RSI exceeds the overbought level, typically indicating a potential sell signal.
Support Band (Lower Band): Plotted when the RSI falls below the oversold level, typically indicating a potential buy signal.
Midline: The average of the upper and lower bands, acting as a neutral reference.
Buy/Sell Labels: Labels are dynamically added to the chart when price reaches the overbought or oversold levels.
A "Buy" label appears when the price reaches the oversold (lower) band.
A "Sell" label appears when the price reaches the overbought (upper) band.
Volume Indicator: The script visualizes trading volume as histograms, with red or green bars representing decreasing or increasing volume, respectively. The volume height is visually reduced for better clarity and comparison.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): The script calculates and plots four key EMAs (12, 26, 50, and 200) to highlight short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends:
EMA 12: Blue
EMA 26: Orange
EMA 50: Purple
EMA 200: Green
The combined use of RSI, volume, and EMAs offers traders a multi-faceted view of the market, assisting in making informed decisions about potential price reversals, trends, and volume analysis. The script is particularly useful for identifying entry and exit points on charts like BTC/USDT, although it can be applied to any asset.
Golden & Death Cross with Re-Activation [By Oberlunar]🎄 Merry Christmas to All Traders! 🎄
Let me introduce you to a practical and customizable classic tool: the Golden & Death Cross with Re-Activation. This script is designed to help you navigate the markets with precision and adaptability.
Why Is This Script Important?
1. Customizable Moving Averages
You can choose from SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, or RMA for both moving averages. This flexibility allows you to tailor the strategy to fit different markets and trading styles.
2. Smart Signal Handling
The script generates Golden Cross (LONG) and Death Cross (SHORT) signals while deactivating them automatically when the moving averages start to converge, avoiding unnecessary noise.
3. Reactivation Based on Distance Threshold
With the treshold parameter, signals are reactivated only when the moving averages move apart sufficiently, ensuring that the signals remain meaningful and not just random market noise.
What Are These Moving Averages?
SMA (Simple Moving Average),
EMA (Exponential Moving Average),
WMA (Weighted Moving Average),
HMA (Hull Moving Average),
RMA (Relative Moving Average)
Community Input
We invite you to test this script on various markets (forex, stocks, crypto) and share your insights:
Which moving average combination works best for EUR/USD?
How about BTC/USD?
Does the treshold make a noticeable difference?
Let us know in the comments!
Example Settings
MA 1 Type: HMA, Length: 21
MA 2 Type: HMA, Length: 200
Reactivation Threshold: 0.5
Experiment with it, and let us know your findings.
Wishing you a calm holiday season and a profitable new year ahead! 🎁
🎄 Merry Christmas and Happy Trading! 🎄
Relative StrengthThis strategy employs a custom "strength" function to assess the relative strength of a user-defined source (e.g., closing price, moving average) compared to its historical performance over various timeframes (8, 34, 20, 50, and 200 periods). The strength is calculated as a percentage change from an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for shorter timeframes and a Simple Moving Average (SMA) for longer timeframes. Weights are then assigned to each timeframe based on a logarithmic scale, and a weighted average strength is computed.
Key Features:
Strength Calculation:
Calculates the relative strength of the source using EMAs and SMAs over various timeframes.
Assigns weights to each timeframe based on a logarithmic scale, emphasizing shorter timeframes.
Calculates a weighted average strength for a comprehensive view.
Visualizations:
Plots the calculated strength as a line, colored green for positive strength and red for negative strength.
Fills the background area below the line with green for positive strength and red for negative strength, enhancing visualization.
Comparative Analysis:
Optionally displays the strength of Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) for comparison with the main source strength.
Backtesting:
Allows users to specify a start and end time for backtesting the strategy's performance.
Trading Signals:
Generates buy signals when the strength turns positive from negative and vice versa for sell signals.
Entry and exit are conditional on the backtesting time range.
Basic buy and sell signal plots are commented out (can be uncommented for visual representation).
Risk Management:
Closes all open positions and cancels pending orders outside the backtesting time range.
Disclaimer:
Backtesting results do not guarantee future performance. This strategy is for educational purposes only and should be thoroughly tested and refined before risking capital.
Additional Notes:
- The strategy uses a custom "strength" function that can be further customized to explore different timeframes and weighting schemes.
- Consider incorporating additional technical indicators or filters to refine the entry and exit signals.
- Backtesting with different parameters and market conditions is crucial for evaluating the strategy's robustness.
Crypto Price Volatility Range# Cryptocurrency Price Volatility Range Indicator
This TradingView indicator is a visualization tool for tracking historical volatility across multiple major cryptocurrencies.
## Features
- Real-time volatility tracking for 14 major cryptocurrencies
- Customizable period and standard deviation multiplier
- Individual color coding for each currency pair
- Optional labels showing current volatility values in percentage
## Supported Cryptocurrencies
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Avalanche (AVAX)
- Dogecoin (DOGE)
- Hype (HYPE)
- Ripple (XRP)
- Binance Coin (BNB)
- Cardano (ADA)
- Tron (TRX)
- Chainlink (LINK)
- Shiba Inu (SHIB)
- Toncoin (TON)
- Sui (SUI)
- Stellar (XLM)
## Settings
- **Period**: Timeframe for volatility calculation (default: 20)
- **Standard Deviation Multiplier**: Multiplier for standard deviation (default: 1.0)
- **Show Labels**: Toggle label display on/off
## Calculation Method
The indicator calculates volatility using the following method:
1. Calculate daily logarithmic returns
2. Compute standard deviation over the specified period
3. Annualize (multiply by √252)
4. Convert to percentage (×100)
## Usage
1. Add the indicator to your TradingView chart
2. Adjust parameters as needed
3. Monitor volatility lines for each cryptocurrency
4. Enable labels to see precise current volatility values
## Notes
- This indicator displays in a separate window, not as an overlay
- Volatility values are annualized
- Data for each currency pair is sourced from USD pairs
Bitcoin Exponential Profit Strategy### Strategy Description:
The **Bitcoin Trading Strategy** is an **Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossover strategy** designed to identify bullish trends for Bitcoin.
1. **Indicators**:
- **Fast EMA (default 9 periods)**: Represents the short-term trend.
- **Slow EMA (default 21 periods)**: Represents the longer-term trend.
2. **Entry Condition**:
- A **bullish crossover** occurs when the Fast EMA crosses above the Slow EMA.
- The strategy enters a **long position** with a user-defined order size (default 0.01 BTC).
3. **Exit Conditions**:
- **Take Profit**: Closes the position when the profit target is reached (default $100).
- **Stop Loss**: Closes the position when the price drops below the stop loss level (default $50).
- **Bearish Crossunder**: Closes the position when the Fast EMA crosses below the Slow EMA.
4. **Visual Signals**:
- **BUY signals**: Displayed when a bullish crossover occurs.
- **SELL signals**: Displayed when a bearish crossunder occurs.
This strategy is optimized for trend-following behavior, ensuring positions are aligned with upward-moving trends while managing risk through clear stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Pivot Highs/Lows with Bar CountsWhat does the indicator do?
This indicator adds labels to a chart at swing (a.k.a., "pivot") highs and lows. Each label may contain a date, the closing price at the swing, the number of bars since the last swing in the same direction, and the number of bars from the last swing in the opposite direction. A table is also added to the chart that shows the average, min, and max number of bars between swings.
OK, but how do I use it?
Many markets -- especially sideways-moving ones -- commonly cycle between swing highs and lows at regular time intervals. By measuring the number of bars between highs and lows -- both same-sided swings (i.e., H-H and L-L) and opposite-sided swings (i.e., H-L and L-H) -- you can then project the averages of those bar counts from the last high or low swing to make predictions about where the next swing high or low should occur. Note that this indicator does not make the projection for you. You have to determine which swing you want to project from and then use the bar counts from the indicator to draw a line, place a label, etc.
Example: Chart of BTC/USD
The indicator shows pivot highs and lows with bar counts, and it displays a table of stats on those pivots.
If you focus on the center section of the chart, you can see that prices were moving in a sideways channel with very regular highs and lows. This indicator counts the bars between these pivots, and you could have used those counts to predict when the next high or low may have occurred.
The bar counts do not work as well on the more recent section of the chart because there are no regularly time swings.
Highest Volume FuturesScript tracks the volume of futures contracts which are not expired for the current and next year. Provides a label at the real-time bar and when a different contract has higher volume in the last bar of the timeframe input as long as it is different from the current ticker. It should display on continuous and lower volume contract charts.
Intended to be used with a higher timeframe input.
Currently supports ES, MES, NQ, MNQ, RTY, M2K, YM, MYM, BTC, MBT, CL, MCL, GC, MGC, E7 and J7. If you'd like to add your own, then include the syminfo.root of your ticker and the appropriate month codes for that contract in the validMonthCodes switch list.
Cryptocurrency SentimentOverview
This script focuses on calculating and visualizing the sentiment difference between LONG positions and SHORT positions for a selected cryptocurrency pair on the Bitfinex exchange. It provides a clean and clear visual representation of the sentiment, helping traders analyze market behavior.
Key Features
Dynamic Symbol Selection:
The script automatically detects the cryptocurrency symbol from the chart (syminfo.basecurrency) and dynamically constructs the LONGS and SHORTS ticker symbols.
Works seamlessly for pairs like BTCUSD, ETHUSD, and others available on Bitfinex.
Sentiment Calculation:
The sentiment difference is calculated as:
Sentiment Difference=−1×(100− SHORTS/LONGS ×100)
LONGS : The total number of long positions.
SHORTS : The total number of short positions.
If SHORTS is 0, the value is safely skipped to avoid division errors.
Color Coding:
The script visually highlights the sentiment difference:
Green Line: Indicates that LONG positions are dominant (bullish sentiment).
Red Line: Indicates that SHORT positions are dominant (bearish sentiment).
Zero Reference Line:
A gray horizontal line at 0 helps users quickly identify the transition between bullish (above zero) and bearish (below zero) sentiment.
How It Works
Fetching Data:
The script uses request.security to fetch LONGS and SHORTS data at the current chart timeframe (timeframe.period) for the dynamically generated Bitfinex tickers.
Handling Data:
Missing or invalid data (NaN) is filtered out to prevent errors.
Extreme spikes or irregular values are safely avoided.
Visualization:
The sentiment difference is plotted with dynamic color coding:
Green when LONGS > SHORTS (bullish sentiment).
Red when SHORTS > LONGS (bearish sentiment).
Benefits
Market Sentiment Insight: Helps traders quickly identify if the market is leaning towards bullish or bearish sentiment based on actual LONG and SHORT position data.
Dynamic and Adaptive: Automatically adjusts to the selected cryptocurrency symbol on the chart.
Clean Visualization: Focuses solely on sentiment difference with color-coded signals, making it easy to interpret.
Best Use Cases
Trend Confirmation: Use the sentiment difference to confirm trends during bullish or bearish moves.
Market Reversals: Identify potential reversals when sentiment shifts from positive (green) to negative (red) or vice versa.
Sentiment Monitoring: Monitor the overall market bias for cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, XRP, etc., in real-time.
Sample Chart Output
Above Zero → Green Line: Bullish sentiment dominates.
Below Zero → Red Line: Bearish sentiment dominates.
Zero Line → Transition point for shifts in sentiment.
Smart DCA Strategy (Public)INSPIRATION
While Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is a popular and stress-free investment approach, I noticed an opportunity for enhancement. Standard DCA involves buying consistently, regardless of market conditions, which can sometimes mean missing out on optimal investment opportunities. This led me to develop the Smart DCA Strategy – a 'set and forget' method like traditional DCA, but with an intelligent twist to boost its effectiveness.
The goal was to build something more profitable than a standard DCA strategy so it was equally important that this indicator could backtest its own results in an A/B test manner against the regular DCA strategy.
WHY IS IT SMART?
The key to this strategy is its dynamic approach: buying aggressively when the market shows signs of being oversold, and sitting on the sidelines when it's not. This approach aims to optimize entry points, enhancing the potential for better returns while maintaining the simplicity and low stress of DCA.
WHAT THIS STRATEGY IS, AND IS NOT
This is an investment style strategy. It is designed to improve upon the common standard DCA investment strategy. It is therefore NOT a day trading strategy. Feel free to experiment with various timeframes, but it was designed to be used on a daily timeframe and that's how I recommend it to be used.
You may also go months without any buy signals during bull markets, but remember that is exactly the point of the strategy - to keep your buying power on the sidelines until the markets have significantly pulled back. You need to be patient and trust in the historical backtesting you have performed.
HOW IT WORKS
The Smart DCA Strategy leverages a creative approach to using Moving Averages to identify the most opportune moments to buy. A trigger occurs when a daily candle, in its entirety including the high wick, closes below the threshold line or box plotted on the chart. The indicator is designed to facilitate both backtesting and live trading.
HOW TO USE
Settings:
The input parameters for tuning have been intentionally simplified in an effort to prevent users falling into the overfitting trap.
The main control is the Buying strictness scale setting. Setting this to a lower value will provide more buying days (less strict) while higher values mean less buying days (more strict). In my testing I've found level 9 to provide good all round results.
Validation days is a setting to prevent triggering entries until the asset has spent a given number of days (candles) in the overbought state. Increasing this makes entries stricter. I've found 0 to give the best results across most assets.
In the backtest settings you can also configure how much to buy for each day an entry triggers. Blind buy size is the amount you would buy every day in a standard DCA strategy. Smart buy size is the amount you would buy each day a Smart DCA entry is triggered.
You can also experiment with backtesting your strategy over different historical datasets by using the Start date and End date settings. The results table will not calculate for any trades outside what you've set in the date range settings.
Backtesting:
When backtesting you should use the results table on the top right to tune and optimise the results of your strategy. As with all backtests, be careful to avoid overfitting the parameters. It's better to have a setup which works well across many currencies and historical periods than a setup which is excellent on one dataset but bad on most others. This gives a much higher probability that it will be effective when you move to live trading.
The results table provides a clear visual representation as to which strategy, standard or smart, is more profitable for the given dataset. You will notice the columns are dynamically coloured red and green. Their colour changes based on which strategy is more profitable in the A/B style backtest - green wins, red loses. The key metrics to focus on are GOA (Gain on Account) and Avg Cost.
Live Trading:
After you've finished backtesting you can proceed with configuring your alerts for live trading.
But first, you need to estimate the amount you should buy on each Smart DCA entry. We can use the Total invested row in the results table to calculate this. Assuming we're looking to trade on
BTCUSD
Decide how much USD you would spend each day to buy BTC if you were using a standard DCA strategy. Lets say that is $5 per day
Enter that USD amount in the Blind buy size settings box
Check the Blind Buy column in the results table. If we set the backtest date range to the last 10 years, we would expect the amount spent on blind buys over 10 years to be $18,250 given $5 each day
Next we need to tweak the value of the Smart buy size parameter in setting to get it as close as we can to the Total Invested amount for Blind Buy
By following this approach it means we will invest roughly the same amount into our Smart DCA strategy as we would have into a standard DCA strategy over any given time period.
After you have calculated the Smart buy size, you can go ahead and set up alerts on Smart DCA buy triggers.
BOT AUTOMATION
In an effort to maintain the 'set and forget' stress-free benefits of a standard DCA strategy, I have set my personal Smart DCA Strategy up to be automated. The bot runs on AWS and I have a fully functional project for the bot on my GitHub account. Just reach out if you would like me to point you towards it. You can also hook this into any other 3rd party trade automation system of your choice using the pre-configured alerts within the indicator.
PLANNED FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS
Currently this is purely an accumulation strategy. It does not have any sell signals right now but I have ideas on how I will build upon it to incorporate an algorithm for selling. The strategy should gradually offload profits in bull markets which generates more USD which gives more buying power to rinse and repeat the same process in the next cycle only with a bigger starting capital. Watch this space!
MARKETS
Crypto:
This strategy has been specifically built to work on the crypto markets. It has been developed, backtested and tuned against crypto markets and I personally only run it on crypto markets to accumulate more of the coins I believe in for the long term. In the section below I will provide some backtest results from some of the top crypto assets.
Stocks:
I've found it is generally more profitable than a standard DCA strategy on the majority of stocks, however the results proved to be a lot more impressive on crypto. This is mainly due to the volatility and cycles found in crypto markets. The strategy makes its profits from capitalising on pullbacks in price. Good stocks on the other hand tend to move up and to the right with less significant pullbacks, therefore giving this strategy less opportunity to flourish.
Forex:
As this is an accumulation style investment strategy, I do not recommend that you use it to trade Forex.
For more info about this strategy including backtest results, please see the full description on the invite only version of this strategy named "Smart DCA Strategy"
