expected range STUDYThis is an indicator that measures how much price movement (low to high) we've seen in a set of 1 bar back, 2 bars back, 3 bars back, 5 bars back, 8 bars back using the Fibonacci sequence up to 89 bars back, and then measures how low or high within each range we are, sort of like giving a rating of 0 for sitting on the lower Bollinger Band and a rating of 100 for sitting on the higher Bollinger band. It combines all the data and weights the data by the historical strength of signal from each length of bands. It's been tuned to a 2 hour XBTUSD chart, but it could be used on other things and other timeframes too. Some tweaking would be needed, though. The final result works more like a trend following indictor than and indicator that tries to pick an exact trend reversal point. However, you're free to use it how you want. Frequently you get a nice red or green spike up showing you when the bottom or top is in, but sometimes those spikes are just the start of an extended down move or up move.
On the chart, a buy (long) signal is generated when the green line crosses up above the orange line. To make it extra clear the background is green when you should be long. A sell (short) signal is generated with the red line crosses up above the yellow line. The background will be red when you should be short. If the background is black, it's indicating a profit of over 53% was taken and it's waiting for another trade to start. Up to you to take profit or keep riding your trade.
For XBTUSD trades, a full take profit on any trade exceeding 53% gains works nice (on 1x leverage) and a stoploss of -7% works quite nicely too. One could use this on up to 2x leverage but I wouldn't recommend going much higher. Have fun. Trade carefully. Don't get rekt.
I will release the "expected range STRATEGY" to go along with this so you can do your own backtesting.
Disclaimer: I haven't tested the alerts, but they should work. Use at your own risk.
Komut dosyalarını "backtesting" için ara
Heiken-Ashi CandlesSimple script to view Heiken-Ashi candles below a normal candles chart.
Could also be useful for using HA calcs in strategy scripts on normal candles chart for proper backtesting.
I adapted this to v4 from original v2 script by @samtsui. If you like please remember to give him a Thumbs Up for his original version! ->
Golden Cross by -Westy-Quick Guide
- Yellow cross and green MA on top = Potential uptrend
- Yellow cross and red MA on top = Potential downtrend
A simple golden cross indicator of the green 50 and red 200 SMA with a yellow cross for ease of visibility and backtesting.
Generally, longer time frames more powerful signals but are less frequent. I typically use it on the 4 hour, daily and weekly.
Complete turtles strategy based on the donchian channelsDear Traders and investor,
I want to demonstrate scrypt of the iconic "trend following strategy" coded by my
The main idea was borrowed from the book "Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary". The strategy is based on the donchian channels and is one of the oldest and easiest strategy in the using. Also strategy include risk managment and trends filter which prevent false entries and high drawndowns. The results are based on the period from 2006 to present, but you can also change timeframe and period of backtesting.
Best regards,
Vlad
SimpleCrossOver_BotThis is a simple example of how you can compile your own strategy
This script contains the code for alerts and for backtesting.
In order to use the backtester, comment out the sections to be used for signals, and comment in the sections to be used on the back tester, and visa versa for using the script for alerts in order to automate your own bot.
Awesome Oscillator.MMouse_Lager_BCEAwesome Oscillator with added options for turning short trades on and off, as well as a start date for backtesting.
Pivot Reversal Strategy - TimeFramedThis is Pivot Reversal Strategy including the time frames for backtesting.
3 Duck's Trading System from Babypips.comThe 3 Duck's Trading System from Babypips.com
The 3 Duck's Trading System is the most popular and active trading system thread on the the babypips.com forum. It is a system that is mainly for beginners because it teaches you discipline, learning to cope with price moving against your position and learning to stay in a trade and keep profits running. For the thread and more info on the 3 Duck's Trading System click here
How does it work?
The system is a very simple enter/exit based on the 60 SMA of 3 different time frames: 4 hour, 1 hour and 5 minute.
The Rules, er, the Ducks! The Ducks must all be in a row for a trade to take place!
Duck 1 - To go long, price must be above the 60 SMA on the 4 hour chart.
Duck 2 - To go long, price must be above the 60 SMA on the 1 hour chart.
Duck 3 - To go long, price must cross above the 60 SMA on the 5 minute chart and the 60 SMA of the 5 minute chart must be below that of the 4 hour and 1 hour chart. (obviously the reverse for shorting)
YOU MUST USE THIS SYSTEM ONLY ON THE 5 MINUTE CHART.
I say this because I have already charted all of the Ducks into the 5 minute chart so you don't have to flip back and forth.
I have also added some inputs for profit targets, stop targets, trailing stops and times to trade for backtesting.
If you have any questions or comments, please let me know! If you see I messed up on something, please let me know!
Also a VERY special thanks to the babypips.com user Captain_Currency . He wrote this strategy 10 years ago (2007 was 10 years ago?!) and he is still active on the thread and posting results and offering help!
Adam Smith - MovingAvg CrossSimple Moving Average Cross script. Test on stocks and currency. For stocks test shorter time periods, meaning intra-day time periods such as 3min to 30min and so on to fit what is best. For currency, try longer periods with this model such as day to weeks depending on which currency.
NOTE: Take a look at your Max Drawdowns when testing. This will be the main indicator once you figure out your time period for backtesting. This will also let you know how much money to save and/or hold back in savings for down periods.
Trend v4.0 Another updateYet another update, default settings can be customized to your needs. Be aware that while this is similar to the other versions, this can only repaint an active bar, but that slows it down by one period. You are warned. Be that as it may, the basic idea is the same; trying to capture the really strong moves into overbought or oversold territory as defined by Relative Strength index. In RSI mode, you can see the smoothing has slowed it down a bit, but warrants backtesting.
First green bar go long, First red bar go short, first white bar possible trend exhaustion. Or use crossovers and such, play with the inputs OB/OS, RSI length, signal length, tick length, swing length, as I said customize to your tastes. I offer no surety as to its efficacy, but we all learn.
Trade Responsibly,
Shiroki
Aetherium Institutional Market Resonance EngineAetherium Institutional Market Resonance Engine (AIMRE)
A Three-Pillar Framework for Decoding Institutional Activity
🎓 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The Aetherium Institutional Market Resonance Engine (AIMRE) is a multi-faceted analysis system designed to move beyond conventional indicators and decode the market's underlying structure as dictated by institutional capital flow. Its philosophy is built on a singular premise: significant market moves are preceded by a convergence of context , location , and timing . Aetherium quantifies these three dimensions through a revolutionary three-pillar architecture.
This system is not a simple combination of indicators; it is an integrated engine where each pillar's analysis feeds into a central logic core. A signal is only generated when all three pillars achieve a state of resonance, indicating a high-probability alignment between market organization, key liquidity levels, and cyclical momentum.
⚡ THE THREE-PILLAR ARCHITECTURE
1. 🌌 PILLAR I: THE COHERENCE ENGINE (THE 'CONTEXT')
Purpose: To measure the degree of organization within the market. This pillar answers the question: " Is the market acting with a unified purpose, or is it chaotic and random? "
Conceptual Framework: Institutional campaigns (accumulation or distribution) create a non-random, organized market environment. Retail-driven or directionless markets are characterized by "noise" and chaos. The Coherence Engine acts as a filter to ensure we only engage when institutional players are actively steering the market.
Formulaic Concept:
Coherence = f(Dominance, Synchronization)
Dominance Factor: Calculates the absolute difference between smoothed buying pressure (volume-weighted bullish candles) and smoothed selling pressure (volume-weighted bearish candles), normalized by total pressure. A high value signifies a clear winner between buyers and sellers.
Synchronization Factor: Measures the correlation between the streams of buying and selling pressure over the analysis window. A high positive correlation indicates synchronized, directional activity, while a negative correlation suggests choppy, conflicting action.
The final Coherence score (0-100) represents the percentage of market organization. A high score is a prerequisite for any signal, filtering out unpredictable market conditions.
2. 💎 PILLAR II: HARMONIC LIQUIDITY MATRIX (THE 'LOCATION')
Purpose: To identify and map high-impact institutional footprints. This pillar answers the question: " Where have institutions previously committed significant capital? "
Conceptual Framework: Large institutional orders leave indelible marks on the market in the form of anomalous volume spikes at specific price levels. These are not random occurrences but are areas of intense historical interest. The Harmonic Liquidity Matrix finds these footprints and consolidates them into actionable support and resistance zones called "Harmonic Nodes."
Algorithmic Process:
Footprint Identification: The engine scans the historical lookback period for candles where volume > average_volume * Institutional_Volume_Filter. This identifies statistically significant volume events.
Node Creation: A raw node is created at the mean price of the identified candle.
Dynamic Clustering: The engine uses an ATR-based proximity algorithm. If a new footprint is identified within Node_Clustering_Distance (ATR) of an existing Harmonic Node, it is merged. The node's price is volume-weighted, and its magnitude is increased. This prevents chart clutter and consolidates nearby institutional orders into a single, more significant level.
Node Decay: Nodes that are older than the Institutional_Liquidity_Scanback period are automatically removed from the chart, ensuring the analysis remains relevant to recent market dynamics.
3. 🌊 PILLAR III: CYCLICAL RESONANCE MATRIX (THE 'TIMING')
Purpose: To identify the market's dominant rhythm and its current phase. This pillar answers the question: " Is the market's immediate energy flowing up or down? "
Conceptual Framework: Markets move in waves and cycles of varying lengths. Trading in harmony with the current cyclical phase dramatically increases the probability of success. Aetherium employs a simplified wavelet analysis concept to decompose price action into short, medium, and long-term cycles.
Algorithmic Process:
Cycle Decomposition: The engine calculates three oscillators based on the difference between pairs of Exponential Moving Averages (e.g., EMA8-EMA13 for short cycle, EMA21-EMA34 for medium cycle).
Energy Measurement: The 'energy' of each cycle is determined by its recent volatility (standard deviation). The cycle with the highest energy is designated as the "Dominant Cycle."
Phase Analysis: The engine determines if the dominant cycles are in a bullish phase (rising from a trough) or a bearish phase (falling from a peak).
Cycle Sync: The highest conviction timing signals occur when multiple cycles (e.g., short and medium) are synchronized in the same direction, indicating broad-based momentum.
🔧 COMPREHENSIVE INPUT SYSTEM
Pillar I: Market Coherence Engine
Coherence Analysis Window (10-50, Default: 21): The lookback period for the Coherence Engine.
Lower Values (10-15): Highly responsive to rapid shifts in market control. Ideal for scalping but can be sensitive to noise.
Balanced (20-30): Excellent for day trading, capturing the ebb and flow of institutional sessions.
Higher Values (35-50): Smoother, more stable reading. Best for swing trading and identifying long-term institutional campaigns.
Coherence Activation Level (50-90%, Default: 70%): The minimum market organization required to enable signal generation.
Strict (80-90%): Only allows signals in extremely clear, powerful trends. Fewer, but potentially higher quality signals.
Standard (65-75%): A robust filter that effectively removes choppy conditions while capturing most valid institutional moves.
Lenient (50-60%): Allows signals in less-organized markets. Can be useful in ranging markets but may increase false signals.
Pillar II: Harmonic Liquidity Matrix
Institutional Liquidity Scanback (100-400, Default: 200): How far back the engine looks for institutional footprints.
Short (100-150): Focuses on recent institutional activity, providing highly relevant, immediate levels.
Long (300-400): Identifies major, long-term structural levels. These nodes are often extremely powerful but may be less frequent.
Institutional Volume Filter (1.3-3.0, Default: 1.8): The multiplier for detecting a volume spike.
High (2.5-3.0): Only registers climactic, undeniable institutional volume. Fewer, but more significant nodes.
Low (1.3-1.7): More sensitive, identifying smaller but still relevant institutional interest.
Node Clustering Distance (0.2-0.8 ATR, Default: 0.4): The ATR-based distance for merging nearby nodes.
High (0.6-0.8): Creates wider, more consolidated zones of liquidity.
Low (0.2-0.3): Creates more numerous, precise, and distinct levels.
Pillar III: Cyclical Resonance Matrix
Cycle Resonance Analysis (30-100, Default: 50): The lookback for determining cycle energy and dominance.
Short (30-40): Tunes the engine to faster, shorter-term market rhythms. Best for scalping.
Long (70-100): Aligns the timing component with the larger primary trend. Best for swing trading.
Institutional Signal Architecture
Signal Quality Mode (Professional, Elite, Supreme): Controls the strictness of the three-pillar confluence.
Professional: Loosest setting. May generate signals if two of the three pillars are in strong alignment. Increases signal frequency.
Elite: Balanced setting. Requires a clear, unambiguous resonance of all three pillars. The recommended default.
Supreme: Most stringent. Requires perfect alignment of all three pillars, with each pillar exhibiting exceptionally strong readings (e.g., coherence > 85%). The highest conviction signals.
Signal Spacing Control (5-25, Default: 10): The minimum bars between signals to prevent clutter and redundant alerts.
🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM
The visual architecture of Aetherium is designed not merely for aesthetics, but to provide an intuitive, at-a-glance understanding of the complex data being processed.
Harmonic Liquidity Nodes: The core visual element. Displayed as multi-layered, semi-transparent horizontal boxes.
Magnitude Visualization: The height and opacity of a node's "glow" are proportional to its volume magnitude. More significant nodes appear brighter and larger, instantly drawing the eye to key levels.
Color Coding: Standard nodes are blue/purple, while exceptionally high-magnitude nodes are highlighted in an accent color to denote critical importance.
🌌 Quantum Resonance Field: A dynamic background gradient that visualizes the overall market environment.
Color: Shifts from cool blues/purples (low coherence) to energetic greens/cyans (high coherence and organization), providing instant context.
Intensity: The brightness and opacity of the field are influenced by total market energy (a composite of coherence, momentum, and volume), making powerful market states visually apparent.
💎 Crystalline Lattice Matrix: A geometric web of lines projected from a central moving average.
Mathematical Basis: Levels are projected using multiples of the Golden Ratio (Phi ≈ 1.618) and the ATR. This visualizes the natural harmonic and fractal structure of the market. It is not arbitrary but is based on mathematical principles of market geometry.
🧠 Synaptic Flow Network: A dynamic particle system visualizing the engine's "thought process."
Node Density & Activation: The number of particles and their brightness/color are tied directly to the Market Coherence score. In high-coherence states, the network becomes a dense, bright, and organized web. In chaotic states, it becomes sparse and dim.
⚡ Institutional Energy Waves: Flowing sine waves that visualize market volatility and rhythm.
Amplitude & Speed: The height and speed of the waves are directly influenced by the ATR and volume, providing a feel for market energy.
📊 INSTITUTIONAL CONTROL MATRIX (DASHBOARD)
The dashboard is the central command console, providing a real-time, quantitative summary of each pillar's status.
Header: Displays the script title and version.
Coherence Engine Section:
State: Displays a qualitative assessment of market organization: ◉ PHASE LOCK (High Coherence), ◎ ORGANIZING (Moderate Coherence), or ○ CHAOTIC (Low Coherence). Color-coded for immediate recognition.
Power: Shows the precise Coherence percentage and a directional arrow (↗ or ↘) indicating if organization is increasing or decreasing.
Liquidity Matrix Section:
Nodes: Displays the total number of active Harmonic Liquidity Nodes currently being tracked.
Target: Shows the price level of the nearest significant Harmonic Node to the current price, representing the most immediate institutional level of interest.
Cycle Matrix Section:
Cycle: Identifies the currently dominant market cycle (e.g., "MID ") based on cycle energy.
Sync: Indicates the alignment of the cyclical forces: ▲ BULLISH , ▼ BEARISH , or ◆ DIVERGENT . This is the core timing confirmation.
Signal Status Section:
A unified status bar that provides the final verdict of the engine. It will display "QUANTUM SCAN" during neutral periods, or announce the tier and direction of an active signal (e.g., "◉ TIER 1 BUY ◉" ), highlighted with the appropriate color.
🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
Aetherium's signal logic is built on the principle of strict, non-negotiable confluence.
Condition 1: Context (Coherence Filter): The Market Coherence must be above the Coherence Activation Level. No signals can be generated in a chaotic market.
Condition 2: Location (Liquidity Node Interaction): Price must be actively interacting with a significant Harmonic Liquidity Node.
For a Buy Signal: Price must be rejecting the Node from below (testing it as support).
For a Sell Signal: Price must be rejecting the Node from above (testing it as resistance).
Condition 3: Timing (Cycle Alignment): The Cyclical Resonance Matrix must confirm that the dominant cycles are synchronized with the intended trade direction.
Signal Tiering: The Signal Quality Mode input determines how strictly these three conditions must be met. 'Supreme' mode, for example, might require not only that the conditions are met, but that the Market Coherence is exceptionally high and the interaction with the Node is accompanied by a significant volume spike.
Signal Spacing: A final filter ensures that signals are spaced by a minimum number of bars, preventing over-alerting in a single move.
🚀 ADVANCED TRADING STRATEGIES
The Primary Confluence Strategy: The intended use of the system. Wait for a Tier 1 (Elite/Supreme) or Tier 2 (Professional/Elite) signal to appear on the chart. This represents the alignment of all three pillars. Enter after the signal bar closes, with a stop-loss placed logically on the other side of the Harmonic Node that triggered the signal.
The Coherence Context Strategy: Use the Coherence Engine as a standalone market filter. When Coherence is high (>70%), favor trend-following strategies. When Coherence is low (<50%), avoid new directional trades or favor range-bound strategies. A sharp drop in Coherence during a trend can be an early warning of a trend's exhaustion.
Node-to-Node Trading: In a high-coherence environment, use the Harmonic Liquidity Nodes as both entry points and profit targets. For example, after a BUY signal is generated at one Node, the next Node above it becomes a logical first profit target.
⚖️ RESPONSIBLE USAGE AND LIMITATIONS
Decision Support, Not a Crystal Ball: Aetherium is an advanced decision-support tool. It is designed to identify high-probability conditions based on a model of institutional behavior. It does not predict the future.
Risk Management is Paramount: No indicator can replace a sound risk management plan. Always use appropriate position sizing and stop-losses. The signals provided are probabilistic, not certainties.
Past Performance Disclaimer: The market models used in this script are based on historical data. While robust, there is no guarantee that these patterns will persist in the future. Market conditions can and do change.
Not a "Set and Forget" System: The indicator performs best when its user understands the concepts behind the three pillars. Use the dashboard and visual cues to build a comprehensive view of the market before acting on a signal.
Backtesting is Essential: Before applying this tool to live trading, it is crucial to backtest and forward-test it on your preferred instruments and timeframes to understand its unique behavior and characteristics.
🔮 CONCLUSION
The Aetherium Institutional Market Resonance Engine represents a paradigm shift from single-variable analysis to a holistic, multi-pillar framework. By quantifying the abstract concepts of market context, location, and timing into a unified, logical system, it provides traders with an unprecedented lens into the mechanics of institutional market operations.
It is not merely an indicator, but a complete analytical engine designed to foster a deeper understanding of market dynamics. By focusing on the core principles of institutional order flow, Aetherium empowers traders to filter out market noise, identify key structural levels, and time their entries in harmony with the market's underlying rhythm.
"In all chaos there is a cosmos, in all disorder a secret order." - Carl Jung
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with confluence. Trade with Aetherium.
MTF Dashboard 9 Timeframes + Signals📊 MTF Dashboard — Multi-Timeframe Market Signal Matrix
Overview
The MTF Dashboard is an open-source Pine Script tool that enables traders to monitor key trend and momentum indicators across nine timeframes simultaneously—ranging from 1 minute to monthly—within a single unified view. This script is designed to support both discretionary and rules-based traders by improving efficiency in multi-timeframe analysis.
✅ Key Features
🔄 Multi-Timeframe Coverage
1m, 5m, 15m, 30m, 1H, 4H, 1D, 1W, 1M supported
Toggle individual timeframes on/off as per your trading style
📈 Built-in Technical Indicators
Trend Detection: Based on moving average (EMA) crossovers
Momentum Evaluation: Using Relative Strength Index (RSI)
MACD Status: Displays histogram trend
Volume Confirmation: Compares current volume to average
Confluence Rating: Optional logic combining indicator signals
🎨 Custom Dashboard Appearance
Supports light/dark chart modes
Adjustable panel positioning (Top/Bottom/Center Left/Right)
Multiple text size options
Color settings for bullish, bearish, and neutral signals
🔔 Optional Alerts
Alert conditions for confluence setups or trend changes (user must configure manually)
Use Cases
Identify trend alignment across short, medium, and long timeframes
Confirm entry or exit signals with high-confidence confluence
Detect early shifts in trend direction using EMA, RSI, MACD divergence
Quickly assess overall market sentiment in one glance
Limitations:
This script does not provide financial advice or guaranteed signals
Not intended for automatic trading or strategy backtesting
Users should interpret dashboard signals in the context of price structure and risk management
How to Use:
Add the script to your chart from your favorites
Open the settings panel:
Enable only the timeframes you want to analyze
Customize colors, position, and table layout
Optionally, right-click the script to configure alerts based on confluence or indicator changes
Technical Notes
EMA settings can be adjusted to match your trading system
Designed for visual clarity and performance with multiple timeframes enabled
Credits
This tool was developed to help the TradingView community simplify MTF analysis. Inspired by institutional-grade dashboards and adapted for manual charting use by retail traders.
Tags
#multi-timeframe #EMA #RSI #MACD #volume #confluence #dashboard #trend #momentum #open-source #pine-script #tradingview
License
Published as open-source under the TradingView community sharing model. Users are encouraged to modify, improve, and credit respectfully.
My Custom IndicatorThis script implements a simple yet effective RSI-based trading strategy. It uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to generate buy and exit signals based on overbought and oversold conditions.
How It Works:
Buy Entry: When RSI crosses above 30 (indicating recovery from an oversold state).
Exit: When RSI crosses below 70 (potential reversal from an overbought state).
Plots the RSI line and key thresholds (30/70) directly on the chart.
Designed for backtesting with TradingView’s strategy function.
Features:
Fully automated entry and exit logic
Customizable RSI settings (just edit the code)
Visual RSI plot and threshold lines
Works on any asset or timeframe
This strategy is suitable for trend-following or mean-reversion setups, and is best used in combination with other filters (like moving averages or price action patterns) for improved accuracy
X HL QA market structure tool designed to frame price action within a defined context of prior session dynamics. It accomplishes this by anchoring a set of reference levels to the high, low, and open prices of a user-specified higher timeframe (e.g., 4H, 1D, etc.) and projecting those levels onto the current chart for ongoing analysis.
At its core, the indicator establishes a reference range—derived from the previous completed instance of the selected timeframe—and overlays this on the current timeframe. This range serves as a foundational structure for price interpretation in the current session.
Building upon this framework, the script constructs a set of symmetrical quadrants (or deviation zones) both inside and outside of the prior range. These include:
The midpoint (EQ) of the prior range
Levels at ±0.25x, ±0.75x, ±1.0x, ±1.5x, and ±2.0x the range height
These levels act as contextual zones that traders can use to interpret price behavior—whether it's consolidating within the prior range, approaching fair value (EQ), or expanding into directional continuation or reversal zones beyond the range.
The script operates in both real-time and historical contexts. On live bars, it dynamically updates the key levels to provide an evolving view of current price positioning. Simultaneously, it supports the display of historical levels for past sessions, enabling robust backtesting and comparative analysis of price behavior relative to previous quadrant structures.
Ultimately, this tool serves as a positional map, helping traders assess where price is trading relative to significant levels from the prior session, offering insights into potential support/resistance, overextension, or mean reversion scenarios.
Key Technical Features
Multi-Timeframe Support:
request.security() is used to pull data from a user-defined higher timeframe regardless of the current chart interval.
Visual Flexibility:
Toggle between "line" and "channel" mode.
Line color, width, and visibility are all user-controlled.
Anchoring Options:
Deviation levels can be calculated from either the previous period's open or its EQ (midpoint), giving flexibility depending on analytical preference.
Efficient Labeling:
Labels are only rendered on the last bar and are automatically cleared and redrawn to prevent duplication.
Label style, size, text color, and background color are all user-configurable.
Trading Application
This indicator is especially suited for:
1. Mean Reversion Strategies
When price moves beyond +1.0 or +1.5 deviations from the EQ or open, it may signal overextension and a potential snap back to the midpoint or range.
2. Breakout Confirmation
Sustained price action beyond ±1.0 levels may indicate trend strength or continuation beyond historical balance zones.
3. Contextual Range Awareness
EQ and Open provide structure from which traders can judge whether price is in a state of balance or imbalance.
Labels offer at-a-glance interpretation of key levels across any chosen timeframe.
4. Fractal and Multi-Session Analysis
Analysts can layer daily, weekly, and monthly versions of this indicator to observe confluence or divergence of higher timeframe structure.
Dynamic Volatility Channel (DVC) - Smooth
The indicator's adaptability comes from a unique blend of well-known concepts:
The Adaptive Engine (ADX): The indicator uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) in the background to analyze the strength of the trend. This acts as the "brain", telling the channel whether the market is trending strongly or moving sideways.
Hybrid Volatility: This is the core of the indicator. The width of the channel is determined by a weighted mix of two volatility measures:
In trending markets (high ADX), the channel gives more weight to the Average True Range (ATR).
In ranging markets (low ADX), the channel gives more weight to Standard Deviation.
Smooth Centerline (HMA): The channel is centered around a Hull Moving Average (HMA), which is known for its smoothness and reduced lag compared to other moving averages.
Advanced Smoothing Layers: This version includes dedicated smoothing for both the volatility components (ATR and StDev) and the logic that switches between regimes. This ensures the channel expands, contracts, and adapts in a very fluid manner, eliminating sudden jumps and reducing market noise.
Mean Reversion: In ranging markets (indicated by a flatter channel), the outer bands can act as dynamic support and resistance levels. Look for opportunities to sell near the upper band and buy near the lower band, always waiting for price action confirmation like reversal candles.
Trend Following: In strong trends (indicated by a steeply sloped channel), the centerline (HMA) often serves as a dynamic level of support (in an uptrend) or resistance (in a downtrend). Pullbacks to the centerline can present opportunities to join the trend. A "band ride," where price action consistently pushes against the upper or lower band, signals a very strong trend.
Volatility Analysis: A "squeeze," where the bands come very close together, indicates low volatility and can foreshadow a significant price breakout. A sudden expansion of the bands signals an increase in volatility and the potential start of a new, powerful move.
All core parameters are fully customizable to suit your trading style and preferred assets:
You can adjust the lengths for the HMA, ATR, StDev, and the ADX filter.
You can change the multipliers for the ATR and Standard Deviation components.
Crucially, you can control the Volatility Smoothing Length and Logic Smoothing Length to find the perfect balance between responsiveness and smoothness.
Disclaimer: This indicator is provided for educational and analytical purposes only. It is not financial advice, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and backtesting before risking capital in a live market.
Volatility & Momentum Nexus (VMN)Volatility & Momentum Nexus (VMN)
This indicator was designed to solve a common trader's problem: chart clutter from dozens of indicators that often contradict each other. The Volatility & Momentum Nexus ( VMN ) is not just another indicator; it's a complete analysis system that synthesizes four essential market pillars into a single, clean, and intuitive visual signal.
The goal of VMN is to identify high-probability moments where a period of accumulation (low volatility) is about to erupt into an explosive move, confirmed by trend, momentum, and volume.
VMN analyzes the real-time confluence of four critical elements:
The Trend (The Main Filter): A 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sets the overall context. The indicator will only look for buy signals above this line (in an uptrend) and sell signals below it (in a downtrend). The line's color changes for quick visualization.
Volatility (Energy Accumulation): Using Bollinger Bands Width (BBW), the indicator identifies "Squeeze" periods—when the price contracts and builds up energy. These zones are marked with a yellow background on the chart, signaling that a major move is imminent.
Momentum (The Trigger): An RSI (Relative Strength Index) acts as the trigger. A signal is only validated if momentum confirms the direction of the breakout (e.g., RSI > 55 for a buy), ensuring we enter the market with force.
Volume (The Final Confirmation): No breakout move is credible without volume. VMN checks if the volume at the time of the signal is significantly higher than its recent average, adding a vital layer of confirmation.
Green Arrow (Buy Signal): Appears ONLY when ALL the following conditions are met simultaneously:
Price is above the 100 EMA (Bullish Trend).
The chart is exiting a Squeeze zone (yellow background on the previous bar).
Price breaks above the upper Bollinger Band.
RSI is above the buy threshold (default 55).
Volume is above average.
Red Arrow (Sell Signal): Appears ONLY when all the opposite conditions are met.
Do not treat signals as blind commands to trade. They are high-probability confirmations.
Look for signals near key Support/Resistance levels for an even higher success rate.
Always set a Stop Loss (e.g., below the low of the signal candle or below the lower Bollinger Band for a buy).
All parameters (EMA, RSI, Bollinger Bands lengths, thresholds, etc.) can be customized from the settings menu to adapt the indicator to any financial asset or timeframe.
Disclaimer: This indicator is a tool for educational and analytical purposes. It does not constitute and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Trading involves significant risk. Always perform your own analysis and backtesting before risking real capital.
KST Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
KST Strategy leverages Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator in conjunction with the Williams Alligator and Moving average to obtain the high probability setups. KST is used for for having the high probability to enter in the direction of a current trend when momentum is rising, Alligator is used as a short term trend filter, while Moving average approximates the long term trend and allows trades only in its direction. Also strategy has the additional optional filter on Choppiness Index which does not allow trades if market is choppy, above the user-specified threshold. Strategy has the user specified take profit and stop-loss numbers, but multiplied by Average True Range (ATR) value on the moment when trade is open. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
ATR based stop-loss and take profit. Instead of fixed take profit and stop-loss percentage strategy utilizes user chosen numbers multiplied by ATR for its calculation.
Configurable Trading Periods. Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Optional Choppiness Index filter. Strategy allows to choose if it will use the filter trades with Choppiness Index and set up its threshold.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Close price is above the Alligator's jaw line
Close price is above the filtering Moving average
KST line of Know Sure Thing indicator shall cross over its signal line (details in justification of methodology)
If the Choppiness Index filter is enabled its value shall be less than user defined threshold
When the long trade is executed algorithm defines the stop-loss level as the low minus user defined number, multiplied by ATR at the trade open candle. Also it defines take profit with close price plus user defined number, multiplied by ATR at the trade open candle. While trade is in progress, if high price on any candle above the calculated take profit level or low price is below the calculated stop loss level, trade is closed.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.5, number of ATRs to calculate stop-loss level)
ATR Take Profit (by default = 3.5, number of ATRs to calculate take profit level)
Filter MA Type (by default = Least Squares MA, type of moving average which is used for filter MA)
Filter MA Length (by default = 200, length for filter MA calculation)
Enable Choppiness Index Filter (by default = true, setting to choose the optional filtering using Choppiness index)
Choppiness Index Threshold (by default = 50, Choppiness Index threshold, its value shall be below it to allow trades execution)
Choppiness Index Length (by default = 14, length used in Choppiness index calculation)
KST ROC Length #1 (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST ROC Length #2 (by default = 15, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST ROC Length #3 (by default = 20, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST ROC Length #4 (by default = 30, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST SMA Length #1 (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST SMA Length #2 (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST SMA Length #3 (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST SMA Length #4 (by default = 15, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST Signal Line Length (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is KST, Williams Alligator, Moving Average, ATR and Choppiness Index.
The KST (Know Sure Thing) is a momentum oscillator developed by Martin Pring. It combines multiple Rate of Change (ROC) values, smoothed over different timeframes, to identify trend direction and momentum strength. First of all, what is ROC? ROC (Rate of Change) is a momentum indicator that measures the percentage change in price between the current price and the price a set number of periods ago.
ROC = 100 * (Current Price - Price N Periods Ago) / Price N Periods Ago
In our case N is the KST ROC Length inputs from settings, here we will calculate 4 different ROCs to obtain KST value:
KST = ROC1_smooth × 1 + ROC2_smooth × 2 + ROC3_smooth × 3 + ROC4_smooth × 4
ROC1 = ROC(close, KST ROC Length #1), smoothed by KST SMA Length #1,
ROC2 = ROC(close, KST ROC Length #2), smoothed by KST SMA Length #2,
ROC3 = ROC(close, KST ROC Length #3), smoothed by KST SMA Length #3,
ROC4 = ROC(close, KST ROC Length #4), smoothed by KST SMA Length #4
Also for this indicator the signal line is calculated:
Signal = SMA(KST, KST Signal Line Length)
When the KST line rises, it indicates increasing momentum and suggests that an upward trend may be developing. Conversely, when the KST line declines, it reflects weakening momentum and a potential downward trend. A crossover of the KST line above its signal line is considered a buy signal, while a crossover below the signal line is viewed as a sell signal. If the KST stays above zero, it indicates overall bullish momentum; if it remains below zero, it points to bearish momentum. The KST indicator smooths momentum across multiple timeframes, helping to reduce noise and provide clearer signals for medium- to long-term trends.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
The next indicator is Moving Average. It has a lot of different types which can be chosen to filter trades and the Least Squares MA is used by default settings. Let's briefly explain what is it.
The Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) — also known as Linear Regression Moving Average — is a trend-following indicator that uses the least squares method to fit a straight line to the price data over a given period, then plots the value of that line at the most recent point. It draws the best-fitting straight line through the past N prices (using linear regression), and then takes the endpoint of that line as the value of the moving average for that bar. The LSMA aims to reduce lag and highlight the current trend more accurately than traditional moving averages like SMA or EMA.
Key Features:
It reacts faster to price changes than most moving averages.
It is smoother and less noisy than short-term EMAs.
It can be used to identify trend direction, momentum, and potential reversal points.
ATR (Average True Range) is a volatility indicator that measures how much an asset typically moves during a given period. It was introduced by J. Welles Wilder and is widely used to assess market volatility, not direction.
To calculate it first of all we need to get True Range (TR), this is the greatest value among:
High - Low
abs(High - Previous Close)
abs(Low - Previous Close)
ATR = MA(TR, n) , where n is number of periods for moving average, in our case equals 14.
ATR shows how much an asset moves on average per candle/bar. A higher ATR means more volatility; a lower ATR means a calmer market.
The Choppiness Index is a technical indicator that quantifies whether the market is trending or choppy (sideways). It doesn't indicate trend direction — only the strength or weakness of a trend. Higher Choppiness Index usually approximates the sideways market, while its low value tells us that there is a high probability of a trend.
Choppiness Index = 100 × log10(ΣATR(n) / (MaxHigh(n) - MinLow(n))) / log10(n)
where:
ΣATR(n) = sum of the Average True Range over n periods
MaxHigh(n) = highest high over n periods
MinLow(n) = lowest low over n periods
log10 = base-10 logarithm
Now let's understand how these indicators work in conjunction and why they were chosen for this strategy. KST indicator approximates current momentum, when it is rising and KST line crosses over the signal line there is high probability that short term trend is reversing to the upside and strategy allows to take part in this potential move. Alligator's jaw (blue) line is used as an approximation of a short term trend, taking trades only above it we want to avoid trading against trend to increase probability that long trade is going to be winning.
Almost the same for Moving Average, but it approximates the long term trend, this is just the additional filter. If we trade in the direction of the long term trend we increase probability that higher risk to reward trade will hit the take profit. Choppiness index is the optional filter, but if it turned on it is used for approximating if now market is in sideways or in trend. On the range bounded market the potential moves are restricted. We want to decrease probability opening trades in such condition avoiding trades if this index is above threshold value.
When trade is open script sets the stop loss and take profit targets. ATR approximates the current volatility, so we can make a decision when to exit a trade based on current market condition, it can increase the probability that strategy will avoid the excessive stop loss hits, but anyway user can setup how many ATRs to use as a stop loss and take profit target. As was said in the Methodology stop loss level is obtained by subtracting number of ATRs from trade opening candle low, while take profit by adding to this candle's close.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2025.05.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 60%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.53%
Maximum Single Profit: +8.35%
Net Profit: +5175.20 USDT (+51.75%)
Total Trades: 120 (56.67% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.747
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1039.89 USDT (-9.1%)
Average Profit per Trade: 43.13 USDT (+0.6%)
Average Trade Duration: 27 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 1h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrexio commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation.
Ticker Pulse Meter + Fear EKG StrategyDescription
The Ticker Pulse Meter + Fear EKG Strategy is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential entry and exit points for long positions based on price action relative to historical ranges. It combines two proprietary indicators: the Ticker Pulse Meter (TPM), which measures price positioning within short- and long-term ranges, and the Fear EKG, a VIX-inspired oscillator that detects extreme market conditions. The strategy is non-repainting, ensuring signals are generated only on confirmed bars to avoid false positives. Visual enhancements, such as optional moving averages and Bollinger Bands, provide additional context but are not core to the strategy's logic. This script is suitable for traders seeking a systematic approach to capturing momentum and mean-reversion opportunities.
How It Works
The strategy evaluates price action using two key metrics:
Ticker Pulse Meter (TPM): Measures the current price's position within short- and long-term price ranges to identify momentum or overextension.
Fear EKG: Detects extreme selling pressure (akin to "irrational selling") by analyzing price behavior relative to historical lows, inspired by volatility-based oscillators.
Entry signals are generated when specific conditions align, indicating potential buying opportunities. Exits are triggered based on predefined thresholds or partial position closures to manage risk. The strategy supports customizable lookback periods, thresholds, and exit percentages, allowing flexibility across different markets and timeframes. Visual cues, such as entry/exit dots and a position table, enhance usability, while optional overlays like moving averages and Bollinger Bands provide additional chart context.
Calculation Overview
Price Range Calculations:
Short-Term Range: Uses the lowest low (min_price_short) and highest high (max_price_short) over a user-defined short lookback period (lookback_short, default 50 bars).
Long-Term Range: Uses the lowest low (min_price_long) and highest high (max_price_long) over a user-defined long lookback period (lookback_long, default 200 bars).
Percentage Metrics:
pct_above_short: Percentage of the current close above the short-term range.
pct_above_long: Percentage of the current close above the long-term range.
Combined metrics (pct_above_long_above_short, pct_below_long_below_short) normalize price action for signal generation.
Signal Generation:
Long Entry (TPM): Triggered when pct_above_long_above_short crosses above a user-defined threshold (entryThresholdhigh, default 20) and pct_below_long_below_short is below a low threshold (entryThresholdlow, default 40).
Long Entry (Fear EKG): Triggered when pct_below_long_below_short crosses under an extreme threshold (orangeEntryThreshold, default 95), indicating potential oversold conditions.
Long Exit: Triggered when pct_above_long_above_short crosses under a profit-taking level (profitTake, default 95). Partial exits are supported via a user-defined percentage (exitAmt, default 50%).
Non-Repainting Logic: Signals are calculated using data from the previous bar ( ) and only plotted on confirmed bars (barstate.isconfirmed), ensuring reliability.
Visual Enhancements:
Optional moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, or SMMA) and Bollinger Bands can be enabled for trend context.
A position table displays real-time metrics, including open positions, Fear EKG, and Ticker Pulse values.
Background highlights mark periods of high selling pressure.
Entry Rules
Long Entry:
TPM Signal: Occurs when the price shows strength relative to both short- and long-term ranges, as defined by pct_above_long_above_short crossing above entryThresholdhigh and pct_below_long_below_short below entryThresholdlow.
Fear EKG Signal: Triggered by extreme selling pressure, when pct_below_long_below_short crosses under orangeEntryThreshold. This signal is optional and can be toggled via enable_yellow_signals.
Entries are executed only on confirmed bars to prevent repainting.
Exit Rules
Long Exit: Triggered when pct_above_long_above_short crosses under profitTake.
Partial exits are supported, with the strategy closing a user-defined percentage of the position (exitAmt) up to four times per position (exit_count limit).
Exits can be disabled or adjusted via enable_short_signal and exitPercentage settings.
Inputs
Backtest Start Date: Defines the start of the backtesting period (default: Jan 1, 2017).
Lookback Periods: Short (lookback_short, default 50) and long (lookback_long, default 200) periods for range calculations.
Resolution: Timeframe for price data (default: Daily).
Entry/Exit Thresholds:
entryThresholdhigh (default 20): Threshold for TPM entry.
entryThresholdlow (default 40): Secondary condition for TPM entry.
orangeEntryThreshold (default 95): Threshold for Fear EKG entry.
profitTake (default 95): Exit threshold.
exitAmt (default 50%): Percentage of position to exit.
Visual Options: Toggle for moving averages and Bollinger Bands, with customizable types and lengths.
Notes
The strategy is designed to work across various timeframes and assets, with data sourced from user-selected resolutions (i_res).
Alerts are included for long entry and exit signals, facilitating integration with TradingView's alert system.
The script avoids repainting by using confirmed bar data and shifted calculations ( ).
Visual elements (e.g., SMA, Bollinger Bands) are inspired by standard Pine Script practices and are optional, not integral to the core logic.
Usage
Apply the script to a chart, adjust input settings to suit your trading style, and use the visual cues (entry/exit dots, position table) to monitor signals. Enable alerts for real-time notifications.
Designed to work best on Daily timeframe.
Rifle SHORT Rifle Short Indicator
Provides buy/sell signals on DOW symbols including YM, MYM, and US30. Algorithm monitors price action for a drop of price of X points within N minutes. On achieving this drop, the algorithm waits for the price action to drop below one of three levels. Levels end in 23/43/73. For example, 42223 or 42273. Once dropping below the level the algorithm is considered setup if the RSI is below 30. Once setup, it will remain setup until the RSI exceeds 30 or a buy signal is triggered. A buy signal triggers when setup and the following conditions are achieved: price action rises above the level, change in RSI indicates an end/exhaustion of the price drop, and the bar has positive upward momentum.
After signal entry a customizable stop loss and take profit are plotted on the chart adjusting to price action. It will signal exit accordingly.
Requirements for use:
1) 30 second chart
2) Dow symbol
The script has a matching indicator for the LONG entry. Both indicators rely on common code within the RifleShooterLib library.
Additionally, the BackTesterLib library is used to provide backtesting statistics and presentation.
LANZ Strategy 1.0 [Backtest]🔷 LANZ Strategy 1.0 — Time-Based Session Trading with Smart Reversal Logic and Risk-Controlled Limit Orders
This backtest version of LANZ Strategy 1.0 brings precision to session-based trading by using directional confirmation, pre-defined risk parameters, and limit orders that execute overnight. Designed for the 1-hour timeframe, it allows traders to evaluate the system with configurable SL, TP, and risk settings in a fully automated environment.
🧠 Core Strategy Logic:
1. Directional Confirmation at 18:00 NY:
At 18:00 NY, the system compares the 08:00 open vs the 18:00 close:
If the direction matches the previous day, the signal is reversed.
If the direction differs, the current day's trend is kept.
This logic is designed to avoid momentum exhaustion and capture corrective reversals.
2. Entry Level Definition:
Based on the confirmed direction:
For BUY, the Low of the day is used as Entry Point (EP).
For SELL, the High of the day becomes EP.
The system plots a Stop Loss and Take Profit based on user-defined pip inputs (default: SL = 18 pips, TP = 54 pips → RR 1:3).
3. Time-Limited Entry Execution (LIMIT Orders):
Orders are sent after 18:00 NY and can be triggered anytime between 18:00 and 08:00 NY.
If EP is not touched before 08:00, the order is automatically cancelled.
4. Manual Close Feature:
If the trade is still open at the configured hour (default 09:00 NY), the system closes all positions, simulating realistic intraday exit scenarios.
5. Lot Size Calculation Based on Risk:
Lot size is dynamically calculated using the account size, risk percentage, and SL distance.
This ensures consistent risk exposure regardless of market volatility.
⚙️ Step-by-Step Flow:
08:00 NY → Captures the open of the day.
18:00 NY → Confirms direction and defines EP, SL, and TP.
After 18:00 NY → If conditions are met, a LIMIT order is placed at EP.
Between 18:00–08:00 NY → If price touches EP, the trade is executed.
At 08:00 NY → If EP wasn’t touched, the order is cancelled.
At Configured Manual Close Time (default 09:00 NY) → All open positions are force-closed if still active.
🧪 Backtest Settings:
Timeframe: 1-hour only
Order Type: strategy.entry() with limit=
SL/TP Configurable: Yes, in pips
Risk Input: % of capital per trade
Manual Close Time: Fully adjustable (default 09:00 NY)
👨💻 Credits:
Developed by LANZ
Strategy logic and trading concept built with clarity and precision.
Code structure and documentation by Kairos, your AI trading assistant.
Designed for high-confidence execution and clean backtesting performance.
Rifle LONG Rifle Shooter Long Indicator
Provides buy/sell signals on DOW symbols including YM, MYM, and US30. Algorithm monitors price action for a drop of price of X points within N minutes. On achieving this drop, the algorithm waits for the price action to drop below one of three levels. Levels end in 23/43/73. For example, 42223 or 42273. Once dropping below the level the algorithm is considered setup if the RSI is below 30. Once setup, it will remain setup until the RSI exceeds 30 or a buy signal is triggered. A buy signal triggers when setup and the following conditions are achieved: 1) price action rises above the level, change in RSI indicates an end/exhaustion of the price drop, and the bar has positive upward momentum.
After signal entry a customizable stop loss and take profit are plotted on the chart adjusting to price action. It will signal exit accordingly.
Requirements for use:
1) 30 second chart
2) Dow symbol
The script has a matching indicator for the SHORT entry. Both indicators rely on common cod within the RifleShooterLib library.
Additionally, the BackTesterLib library is used to provide backtesting statistics and presentation.
Quantum Reversal# 🧠 Quantum Reversal
## **Quantitative Mean Reversion Framework**
This algorithmic trading system employs **statistical mean reversion theory** combined with **adaptive volatility modeling** to capitalize on Bitcoin's inherent price oscillations around its statistical mean. The strategy integrates multiple technical indicators through a **multi-layered signal processing architecture**.
---
## ⚡ **Core Technical Architecture**
### 📊 **Statistical Foundation**
- **Bollinger Band Mean Reversion Model**: Utilizes 20-period moving average with 2.2 standard deviation bands for volatility-adjusted entry signals
- **Adaptive Volatility Threshold**: Dynamic standard deviation multiplier accounts for Bitcoin's heteroscedastic volatility patterns
- **Price Action Confluence**: Entry triggered when price breaches lower volatility band, indicating statistical oversold conditions
### 🔬 **Momentum Analysis Layer**
- **RSI Oscillator Integration**: 14-period Relative Strength Index with modified oversold threshold at 45
- **Signal Smoothing Algorithm**: 5-period simple moving average applied to RSI reduces noise and false signals
- **Momentum Divergence Detection**: Captures mean reversion opportunities when momentum indicators show oversold readings
### ⚙️ **Entry Logic Architecture**
```
Entry Condition = (Price ≤ Lower_BB) OR (Smoothed_RSI < 45)
```
- **Dual-Condition Framework**: Either statistical price deviation OR momentum oversold condition triggers entry
- **Boolean Logic Gate**: OR-based entry system increases signal frequency while maintaining statistical validity
- **Position Sizing**: Fixed 10% equity allocation per trade for consistent risk exposure
### 🎯 **Exit Strategy Optimization**
- **Profit-Lock Mechanism**: Positions only closed when showing positive unrealized P&L
- **Trend Continuation Logic**: Allows winning trades to run until momentum exhaustion
- **Dynamic Exit Timing**: No fixed profit targets - exits based on profitability state rather than arbitrary levels
---
## 📈 **Statistical Properties**
### **Risk Management Framework**
- **Long-Only Exposure**: Eliminates short-squeeze risk inherent in cryptocurrency markets
- **Mean Reversion Bias**: Exploits Bitcoin's tendency to revert to statistical mean after extreme moves
- **Position Management**: Single position limit prevents over-leveraging
### **Signal Processing Characteristics**
- **Noise Reduction**: SMA smoothing on RSI eliminates high-frequency oscillations
- **Volatility Adaptation**: Bollinger Bands automatically adjust to changing market volatility
- **Multi-Timeframe Coherence**: Indicators operate on consistent timeframe for signal alignment
---
## 🔧 **Parameter Configuration**
| Technical Parameter | Value | Statistical Significance |
|-------------------|-------|-------------------------|
| Bollinger Period | 20 | Standard statistical lookback for volatility calculation |
| Std Dev Multiplier | 2.2 | Optimized for Bitcoin's volatility distribution (95.4% confidence interval) |
| RSI Period | 14 | Traditional momentum oscillator period |
| RSI Threshold | 45 | Modified oversold level accounting for Bitcoin's momentum characteristics |
| Smoothing Period | 5 | Noise reduction filter for momentum signals |
---
## 📊 **Algorithmic Advantages**
✅ **Statistical Edge**: Exploits documented mean reversion tendency in Bitcoin markets
✅ **Volatility Adaptation**: Dynamic bands adjust to changing market conditions
✅ **Signal Confluence**: Multiple indicator confirmation reduces false positives
✅ **Momentum Integration**: RSI smoothing improves signal quality and timing
✅ **Risk-Controlled Exposure**: Systematic position sizing and long-only bias
---
## 🔬 **Mathematical Foundation**
The strategy leverages **Bollinger Band theory** (developed by John Bollinger) which assumes that prices tend to revert to the mean after extreme deviations. The RSI component adds **momentum confirmation** to the statistical price deviation signal.
**Statistical Basis:**
- Mean reversion follows the principle that extreme price deviations from the moving average are temporary
- The 2.2 standard deviation multiplier captures approximately 97.2% of price movements under normal distribution
- RSI momentum smoothing reduces noise inherent in oscillator calculations
---
## ⚠️ **Risk Considerations**
This algorithm is designed for traders with understanding of **quantitative finance principles** and **cryptocurrency market dynamics**. The strategy assumes mean-reverting behavior which may not persist during trending market phases. Proper risk management and position sizing are essential.
---
## 🎯 **Implementation Notes**
- **Market Regime Awareness**: Most effective in ranging/consolidating markets
- **Volatility Sensitivity**: Performance may vary during extreme volatility events
- **Backtesting Recommended**: Historical performance analysis advised before live implementation
- **Capital Allocation**: 10% per trade sizing assumes diversified portfolio approach
---
**Engineered for quantitative traders seeking systematic mean reversion exposure in Bitcoin markets through statistically-grounded technical analysis.**
LMAsLibrary "LMAs"
Credits
Thank you to @QuantraSystems for dynamic calculations.
Introduction
This lightweight library offers dynamic implementations of popular moving averages that adapt their length automatically as new bars are added to the chart.
Each function is built on a dynamic length formula:
len = math.min(maxLength, bar_index + 1)
This approach ensures that calculations begin as early as the first bar, allowing for smoother initialization and more consistent behavior across all timeframes. It’s especially useful in custom scripts that run from bar 0 or when historical data is limited.
Usage
You can use this library as a drop-in replacement for standard moving averages. It provides more flexibility and stability in live or backtesting environments where fixed-length indicators may delay or fail to initialize properly.
Why Use This?
• Works from the very first bar
• Avoids na values during early bars
• Great for real-time indicators, strategies, and bar-replay
• Clean and efficient code with dynamic behavior
How to Use
Import the library into your script and call any of the included functions just like you would with their native counterparts.
Summary
A lightweight Pine Script™ library offering dynamic moving averages that work seamlessly from the very first bar. Ideal for strategies and indicators requiring robust initialization and adaptive behavior.
SMA(sourceData, maxLength)
Dynamic SMA
Parameters:
sourceData (float)
maxLength (int)
EMA(src, length)
Dynamic EMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
DEMA(src, length)
Dynamic DEMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
TEMA(src, length)
Dynamic TEMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
WMA(src, length)
Dynamic WMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
HMA(src, length)
Dynamic HMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
VWMA(src, volsrc, length)
Dynamic VWMA
Parameters:
src (float)
volsrc (float)
length (int)
SMMA(src, length)
Dynamic SMMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
LSMA(src, length, offset)
Dynamic LSMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
offset (int)
RMA(src, length)
Dynamic RMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
ALMA(src, length, offset_sigma, sigma)
Dynamic ALMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
offset_sigma (float)
sigma (float)
ZLSMA(src, length)
Dynamic ZLSMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
FRAMA(src, length)
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
KAMA(src, length)
Dynamic KAMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
JMA(src, length, phase)
Dynamic JMA
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
phase (float)
T3(src, length, volumeFactor)
Dynamic T3
Parameters:
src (float)
length (int)
volumeFactor (float)
