Money Risk Management with Trade Tracking
Overview
The Money Risk Management with Trade Tracking indicator is a powerful tool designed for traders on TradingView to simplify trade simulation and risk management. Unlike the TradingView Strategy Tester, which can be complex for beginners, this indicator provides an intuitive, beginner-friendly interface to evaluate trading strategies in a realistic manner, mirroring real-world trading conditions.
Built on the foundation of open-source contributions from LuxAlgo and TCP, this indicator integrates external indicator signals, overlays take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) levels, and provides detailed money management analytics. It empowers traders to visualize potential profits, losses, and risk-reward ratios, making it easier to understand the financial outcomes of their strategies.
Key Features
Signal Integration: Seamlessly integrates with external long and short signals from other indicators, allowing traders to overlay TP/SL levels based on their preferred strategies.
Realistic Trade Simulation: Simulates trades as they would occur in real-world scenarios, accounting for initial capital, risk percentage, leverage, and compounding effects.
Money Management Dashboard: Displays critical metrics such as current capital, unrealized P&L, risk amount, potential profit, risk-reward ratio, and trade status in a customizable, beginner-friendly table.
TP/SL Visualization: Plots TP and SL levels on the chart with customizable styles (solid, dashed, dotted) and colors, along with optional labels for clarity.
Performance Tracking: Tracks total trades, win/loss counts, win rate, and profit factor, providing a clear overview of strategy performance.
Liquidation Risk Alerts: Warns traders if stop-loss levels risk liquidation based on leverage settings, enhancing risk awareness.
Benefits for Traders
Beginner-Friendly: Simplifies the complexities of the TradingView Strategy Tester, offering an intuitive interface for new traders to simulate and evaluate trades without confusion.
Real-World Insights: Helps traders understand the actual profit or loss potential of their strategies by factoring in capital, risk, and leverage, bridging the gap between theoretical backtesting and real-world execution.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Provides clear, real-time analytics on risk-reward ratios, unrealized P&L, and trade performance, enabling informed trading decisions.
Customizable and Flexible: Allows customization of TP/SL settings, table positions, colors, and sizes, catering to individual trader preferences.
Risk Management Focus: Encourages disciplined trading by highlighting risk amounts, potential profits, and liquidation risks, fostering better financial planning.
Why This Indicator Stands Out
Many traders struggle to translate backtested strategy results into real-world outcomes due to the abstract nature of percentage-based profitability metrics. This indicator addresses that challenge by providing a practical, user-friendly tool that simulates trades with real-world parameters like capital, leverage, and compounding. Its open-source nature ensures accessibility, while its integration with other indicators makes it versatile for various trading styles.
How to Use
Add to TradingView: Copy the Pine Script code into TradingView’s Pine Editor and add it to your chart.
Configure Inputs: Set your initial capital, risk percentage, leverage, and TP/SL values in the indicator settings. Select external long/short signal sources if integrating with other indicators.
Monitor Dashboards: Use the Money Management and Target Dashboard tables to track trade performance and risk metrics in real time.
Analyze Results: Review win rates, profit factors, and P&L to refine your trading strategy.
Credits
This indicator builds upon the open-source contributions of LuxAlgo and TCP , whose efforts in sharing their code have made this tool possible. Their dedication to the trading community is deeply appreciated.
Komut dosyalarını "backtest" için ara
Chaikin Momentum Scalper🎯 Overview
The Chaikin Momentum Scalper is a powerful trading strategy designed to identify momentum shifts in the market and ride the trend for maximum profits. This strategy is ideal for trading the USD/JPY currency pair on a 15-minute chart, making it perfect for high-frequency trading (HFT). Whether you’re starting with a small account of $1,000 or managing a larger portfolio, this strategy can scale to suit your needs.
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🔑 How the Strategy Works
Here’s how the Chaikin Momentum Scalper identifies trade opportunities:
1️⃣ Momentum Detection
The core of this strategy is the Chaikin Oscillator, a tool that measures the flow of money into or out of a market. It helps us understand whether buyers (bulls) or sellers (bears) are in control.
• When the indicator crosses above zero, it signals that buying momentum is picking up – a buying opportunity.
• When the indicator crosses below zero, it signals that selling momentum is increasing – a selling opportunity.
2️⃣ Trend Confirmation
We don’t just jump into trades based on momentum alone. We also use a 200-period simple moving average (SMA) to confirm the overall trend.
• If the price is above the SMA, it confirms an uptrend, so we look for buy trades.
• If the price is below the SMA, it confirms a downtrend, so we look for sell trades.
This way, we align our trades with the broader market direction for higher success rates.
3️⃣ Volatility & Risk Management
We use a tool called the Average True Range (ATR) to measure market volatility. This helps us:
• Set a stop-loss (where we’ll exit the trade if the market moves against us) at a safe distance from our entry point.
• Set a take-profit (where we’ll lock in profits) at a target that’s larger than the stop-loss, ensuring a good reward-to-risk ratio.
This approach adapts to the market’s behavior, tightening stops in calmer conditions and widening them when volatility increases.
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📈 Why This Strategy Works
✅ It combines momentum and trend-following principles, increasing the chances of trading in the right direction.
✅ It dynamically adjusts risk levels based on market volatility, keeping losses small and profits big.
✅ It’s scalable – perfect for both small accounts (like $1,000) and larger, corporate-sized portfolios.
✅ It has been deep-backtested on USD/JPY 15-minute charts, proving its consistency across different market conditions.
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📝 Important Notes
📌 This strategy is best used for USD/JPY on a 15-minute chart, making it great for high-frequency trading while you continue to build and refine your trading system.
📌 It’s designed to work on both small ($1,000+) and large accounts, so it can grow with you as your capital increases.
📌 While it has passed deep backtesting on this pair and timeframe, remember that no strategy is perfect. It’s crucial to test it yourself, start with a demo account, and apply proper risk management before trading real money.
🌟 Final Thoughts
The Chaikin Momentum Scalper is a solid, adaptable trading approach combining momentum, trend direction, and volatility awareness. If you’re looking for a strategy to kick-start your trading journey—or to add to your existing system—it offers a strong foundation.
MACD Volume Strategy (BBO + MACD State, Reversal Type)Overview
MACD Volume Strategy (BBO + MACD State, Reversal Type) is a momentum-based reversal system that combines MACD crossover logic with volume filtering to enhance signal accuracy and minimize noise. It aims to identify structural trend shifts and manage risk using predefined parameters.
※This strategy is for educational and research purposes only. All results are based on historical simulations and do not guarantee future performance.
Strategy Objectives
Identify early trend transitions with high probability
Filter entries using volume dynamics to validate momentum
Maintain continuous exposure using a reversal-style model
Apply a consistent 1:1.5 risk-to-reward ratio per trade
Key Features
Integrated MACD and volume oscillator filtering
Zero repainting (all signals confirmed on closed candles)
Automatic position flipping for seamless direction shifts
Stop-loss and take-profit based on recent structural highs/lows
Trading Rules
Long Entry Conditions
MACD crosses above the zero line (BBO Buy arrow)
Volume oscillator is positive (short EMA > long EMA)
MACD is above the signal line
Close any existing short and enter a new long
Short Entry Conditions
MACD crosses below the zero line (BBO Sell arrow)
Volume oscillator is positive
MACD is below the signal line
Close any existing long and enter a new short
Exit Rules
Take Profit (TP) = Entry ± (risk distance × 1.5)
Stop Loss (SL) = Recent swing low (for long) or high (for short)
Early Exit = Triggered when a reversal signal appears (flip logic)
Risk Management Parameters
Pair: ETH/USD
Timeframe: 10-minute
Starting Capital: $3,000
Commission: 0.02%
Slippage: 2 pip
Risk per Trade: 5% of account equity (adjusted for sustainable practice)
Total Trades: 312 (backtest on selected dataset)
※Risk parameters are fully configurable and should be adjusted to suit each trader's personal setup and broker conditions.
Parameters & Configurations
Volume Short Length: 6
Volume Long Length: 12
MACD Fast Length: 11
MACD Slow Length: 21
Signal Smoothing: 10
Oscillator MA Type: SMA
Signal Line MA Type: SMA
Visual Support
Green arrow = Long entry
Red arrow = Short entry
MACD lines, signal line, and histogram
SL/TP markers plotted directly on the chart
Strategic Advantages & Uniqueness
Volume filtering eliminates low-participation, weak signals
Structurally aligned SL/TP based on recent market pivots
No repainting — decisions are made only on closed candles
Always in the market due to the reversal-style framework
Inspirations & Attribution
This strategy is inspired by the excellent work of:
Bitcoinblockchainonline – “BBO_Roxana_Signals MACD + vol”
Leveraging MACD zero-line cross and volume oscillator for intuitive signal generation.
HasanRifat – “MACD Fake Filter ”
Introduced a signal filter using MACD wave height averaging to reduce false positives.
This strategy builds upon those ideas to create a more automated, risk-aware, and technically adaptive system.
Summary
MACD Volume Strategy is a clean, logic-first automated trading system built for precision-seeking traders. It avoids discretionary bias and provides consistent signal logic under backtested historical conditions.
100% mechanical — no discretionary input required
Designed for high-confidence entries
Can be extended with filters, alerts, or trailing stops
※Strategy performance depends on market context. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use with proper risk management and careful configuration.
Connors VIX Reversal III invented by Dave LandryThis strategy is based on trading signals derived from the behavior of the Volatility Index (VIX) relative to its 10-day moving average. The rules are split into buying and selling conditions:
Buy Conditions:
The VIX low must be above its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% above its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a buy signal is generated at the market's close.
Sell Conditions:
The VIX high must be below its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% below its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a sell signal is generated at the market's close.
Exit Conditions:
For long positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday below its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
For short positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday above its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
This strategy is primarily a mean-reversion strategy, where the market is expected to revert to a more normal state after the VIX exhibits extreme behavior (i.e., large deviations from its moving average).
About Dave Landry
Dave Landry is a well-known figure in the world of trading, particularly in technical analysis. He is an author, trader, and educator, best known for his work on swing trading strategies. Landry focuses on trend-following and momentum-based techniques, teaching traders how to capitalize on shorter-term price swings in the market. He has written books like "Dave Landry on Swing Trading" and "The Layman's Guide to Trading Stocks," which emphasize practical, actionable trading strategies.
About Connors Research
Connors Research is a financial research firm known for its quantitative research in financial markets. Founded by Larry Connors, the firm specializes in developing high-probability trading systems based on historical market behavior. Connors’ work is widely respected for its data-driven approach, including systems like the RSI(2) strategy, which focuses on short-term mean reversion. The firm also provides trading education and tools for institutional and retail traders alike, emphasizing strategies that can be backtested and quantified.
Risks of the Strategy
While this strategy may appear to offer promising opportunities to exploit extreme VIX movements, it carries several risks:
Market Volatility: The VIX itself is a measure of market volatility, meaning the strategy can be exposed to sudden and unpredictable market swings. This can result in whipsaws, where positions are opened and closed in rapid succession due to sharp reversals in the VIX.
Overfitting: Strategies based on specific conditions like the VIX closing 10% above or below its moving average can be subject to overfitting, meaning they work well in historical tests but may underperform in live markets. This is a common issue in quantitative trading systems that are not adaptable to changing market conditions .
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The core assumption behind this strategy is that markets will revert to their mean after extreme movements. However, during periods of sustained trends (e.g., market crashes or rallies), this assumption may break down, leading to prolonged drawdowns.
Liquidity and Slippage: Depending on the asset being traded (e.g., S&P 500 futures, ETFs), liquidity issues or slippage could occur when executing trades at market close, particularly in volatile conditions. This could increase costs or worsen trade execution.
Scientific Explanation of the Strategy
The VIX is often referred to as the "fear gauge" because it measures the market's expectations of volatility based on options prices. Research has shown that the VIX tends to spike during periods of market stress and revert to lower levels when conditions stabilize . Mean reversion strategies like this one assume that extreme VIX levels are unsustainable in the long run, which aligns with findings from academic literature on volatility and market behavior.
Studies have found that the VIX is inversely correlated with stock market returns, meaning that higher VIX levels often correspond to lower stock prices and vice versa . By using the VIX’s relationship with its 10-day moving average, this strategy aims to capture reversals in market sentiment. The 10% threshold is designed to identify moments when the VIX is significantly deviating from its norm, signaling a potential reversal.
However, academic research also highlights the limitations of relying on the VIX alone for trading signals. The VIX does not predict market direction, only volatility, meaning that it cannot indicate the magnitude of price movements . Furthermore, extreme VIX levels can persist longer than expected, particularly during financial crises.
In conclusion, while the strategy is grounded in well-established financial principles (e.g., mean reversion and the relationship between volatility and market performance), it carries inherent risks and should be used with caution. Backtesting and careful risk management are essential before applying this strategy in live markets.
Zero-lag TEMA Crosses Strategy[Pakun]Here's the adjusted strategy description in English, aligned with the house rules:
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### Strategy Name: Zero-lag TEMA Cross Strategy
**Purpose:** This strategy aims to identify entry and exit points in the market using Zero-lag Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA). It focuses on minimizing lag and improving the accuracy of trend-following signals.
### Uniqueness and Usefulness
**Uniqueness:** This strategy employs the less commonly used Zero-lag TEMA, compared to standard moving averages. This unique approach reduces lag and provides more timely signals.
**Usefulness:** This strategy is valuable for traders looking to capture trend reversals or continuations with reduced lag. It has the potential to enhance the profitability and accuracy of trades.
### Entry Conditions
**Long Entry:**
- **Condition:** A crossover occurs where the short-term Zero-lag TEMA surpasses the long-term Zero-lag TEMA.
- **Signal:** A buy signal is generated, indicating a potential uptrend.
**Short Entry:**
- **Condition:** A crossunder occurs where the short-term Zero-lag TEMA falls below the long-term Zero-lag TEMA.
- **Signal:** A sell signal is generated, indicating a potential downtrend.
### Exit Conditions
**Exit Strategy:**
- **Stop Loss:** Positions are closed if the price moves against the trade and hits the predefined stop loss level. The stop loss is set based on recent highs/lows.
- **Take Profit:** Positions are closed when the price reaches the profit target. The profit target is calculated as 1.5 times the distance between the entry price and the stop loss level.
### Risk Management
**Risk Management Rules:**
- This strategy incorporates a dynamic stop loss mechanism based on recent highs/lows over a specified period.
- The take profit level ensures a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.5 times the stop loss distance.
- These measures aim to manage risk and protect capital.
**Account Size:** ¥500,000
**Commissions and Slippage:** 94 pips per trade and 1 pip slippage
**Risk per Trade:** 1% of account equity
### Configurable Options
**Configurable Options:**
- Lookback Period: The number of bars to calculate recent highs/lows.
- Fast Period: Length of the short-term Zero-lag TEMA (69).
- Slow Period: Length of the long-term Zero-lag TEMA (130).
- Signal Display: Option to display buy/sell signals on the chart.
- Bar Color: Option to change bar colors based on trend direction.
### Adequate Sample Size
**Sample Size Justification:**
- To ensure the robustness and reliability of the strategy, it should be tested with a sufficiently long period of historical data.
- It is recommended to backtest across multiple market cycles to adapt to different market conditions.
- This strategy was backtested using 10 days of historical data, including 184 trades.
### Notes
**Additional Considerations:**
- This strategy is designed for educational purposes and should be thoroughly tested in a demo environment before live trading.
- Settings should be adjusted based on the asset being traded and current market conditions.
### Credits
**Acknowledgments:**
- The concept and implementation of Zero-lag TEMA are based on contributions from technical analysts and the trading community.
- Special thanks to John Doe for the TEMA concept.
- Thanks to Zero-lag TEMA Crosses .
- This strategy has been enhanced by adding new filtering algorithms and risk management rules to the original TEMA code.
### Clean Chart Description
**Chart Appearance:**
- This strategy provides a clean and informative chart by plotting Zero-lag TEMA lines and optional entry/exit signals.
- The display of signals and color bars can be toggled to declutter the chart, improving readability and analysis.
Chandelier Exit Strategy with 200 EMA FilterStrategy Name and Purpose
Chandelier Exit Strategy with 200EMA Filter
This strategy uses the Chandelier Exit indicator in combination with a 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to generate trend-based trading signals. The main purpose of this strategy is to help traders identify high-probability entry points by leveraging the Chandelier Exit for stop loss levels and the EMA for trend confirmation. This strategy aims to provide clear rules for entries and exits, improving overall trading discipline and performance.
Originality and Usefulness
This script integrates two powerful indicators to create a cohesive and effective trading strategy:
Chandelier Exit : This indicator is based on the Average True Range (ATR) and identifies potential stop loss levels. The Chandelier Exit helps manage risk by setting stop loss levels at a distance from the highest high or lowest low over a specified period, multiplied by the ATR. This ensures that the stop loss adapts to market volatility.
200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) : The EMA acts as a trend filter. By ensuring trades are only taken in the direction of the overall trend, the strategy improves the probability of success. For long entries, the close price must be above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish trend. For short entries, the close price must be below the 200 EMA, indicating a bearish trend.
Combining these indicators adds layers of confirmation and risk management, enhancing the strategy's effectiveness. The Chandelier Exit provides dynamic stop loss levels based on market volatility, while the EMA ensures trades align with the prevailing trend.
Entry Conditions
Long Entry
A buy signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
The close price is above the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bullish trend.
Short Entry
A sell signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
The close price is below the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bearish trend.
Exit Conditions
For long positions: The position is closed when a sell signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
For short positions: The position is closed when a buy signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
Risk Management
Account Size: 1,000,00 yen
Commission and Slippage: 17 pips commission and 1 pip slippage per trade
Risk per Trade: 10% of account equity
Stop Loss: For long trades, the stop loss is placed slightly below the candle that generated the buy signal. For short trades, the stop loss is placed slightly above the candle that generated the sell signal. The stop loss levels are dynamically adjusted based on the ATR.
Settings Options
ATR Period: Set the period for calculating the ATR to determine the Chandelier Exit levels.
ATR Multiplier: Set the multiplier for ATR to define the distance of stop loss levels from the highest high or lowest low.
Use Close Price for Extremums: Choose whether to use the close price for calculating the extremums.
EMA Period: Set the period for the EMA to adjust the trend filter sensitivity.
Show Buy/Sell Labels: Choose whether to display buy and sell labels on the chart for visual confirmation.
Highlight State: Choose whether to highlight the bullish or bearish state on the chart.
Sufficient Sample Size
The strategy has been backtested with a sufficient sample size to evaluate its performance accurately. This ensures that the strategy's results are statistically significant and reliable.
Notes
This strategy is based on historical data and does not guarantee future results.
Thoroughly backtest and validate results before using in live trading.
Market volatility and other external factors can affect performance and may not yield expected results.
Acknowledgment
This strategy uses the Chandelier Exit indicator. Special thanks to the original contributors for their work on the Chandelier Exit concept.
Clean Chart Explanation
The script is published with a clean chart to ensure that its output is readily identifiable and easy to understand. No other scripts are included on the chart, and any drawings or images used are specifically to illustrate how the script works.
FVG Positioning Average with 200EMA Auto Trading [Pakun]Description
Strategy Name and Purpose
FVG Positioning Average with 200EMA Auto Trading
This strategy uses Fair Value Gaps (FVG) combined with a 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Average True Range (ATR) to generate trend-based trading signals. It is designed to help traders identify high-probability entry points by leveraging the gaps between fair value prices and current market prices.
Originality and Usefulness
This script combines multiple indicators to create a cohesive trading strategy that is greater than the sum of its parts. While FVG is a powerful tool on its own, combining it with the EMA and ATR adds layers of confirmation and risk management, enhancing its effectiveness. Here’s how the components work together:
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identifies gaps in the market where price action has not fully filled, indicating potential reversal or continuation points.
200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Acts as a trend filter to ensure trades are taken in the direction of the overall trend, improving the probability of success.
Average True Range (ATR): Used to filter out insignificant gaps and set dynamic stop-loss levels based on market volatility, enhancing risk management.
Entry Conditions
Long Entry
The close price crosses above the downtrend FVG.
The close price, FVG up average, and down average are all above the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bullish trend.
Short Entry
The close price crosses below the uptrend FVG.
The close price, FVG up average, and down average are all below the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bearish trend.
Exit Conditions
For long positions, the stop loss is set at the recent low, and the take profit is set at a point with a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5.
For short positions, the stop loss is set at the recent high, and the take profit is set at a point with a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5.
Risk Management
Account Size: 1,000,000 yen
Commission and Slippage: 2 pips commission and 1 pip slippage per trade
Risk per Trade: 10% of account equity
The stop loss is based on the recent low or recent high, ensuring trades are exited when the market moves against the position.
Settings Options
FVG Lookback: Set the lookback period for calculating FVGs.
Lookback Type: Choose the type of lookback (Bar Count or FVG Count).
ATR Multiplier: Set the multiplier for ATR to filter significant gaps.
EMA Period: Set the period for the EMA to adjust the trend filter sensitivity.
Show FVGs on Chart: Choose whether to display FVGs on the chart for visual confirmation.
Bullish/Bearish Color: Set the color for bullish and bearish FVGs to distinguish them easily.
Show Gradient Areas: Choose whether to display gradient areas to highlight the zones of interest.
Sufficient Sample Size
The strategy has been backtested with 113 trades, providing a sufficient sample size to evaluate its performance.
Notes
This strategy is based on historical data and does not guarantee future results.
Thoroughly backtest and validate results before using in live trading.
Market volatility and other external factors can affect performance and may not yield expected results.
Acknowledgment
This strategy uses the FVG Positioning Average Strategy indicator. Thanks to for their contribution.
Clean Chart Explanation
The script is published with a clean chart to ensure that its output is readily identifiable and easy to understand. No other scripts are included on the chart, and any drawings or images used are specifically to illustrate how the script works.
VAWSI and Trend Persistance Reversal Strategy SL/TPThis is a completely revamped version of my "RSI and ATR Trend Reversal Strategy."
What's New?
The RSI has been replaced with an original indicator of mine, the "VAWSI," as I've elected to call it.
The standard RSI measures a change in an RMA to determine the strength of a movement.
The VAWSI performs very similarly, except it uses another original indicator of mine, the VAWMA.
VAWMA stands for "Volume (and) ATR Weight Moving Average." It takes an average of the volume and ATR and uses the ratio of each bar to weigh a moving average of the source.
It has the same formula as an RSI, but uses the VAWMA instead of an RMA.
Next we have the Trend Persistence indicator, which is an index on how long a trend has been persisting for. It is another original indicator. It takes the max deviation the source has from lowest/highest of a specified length. It then takes a cumulative measure of that amount, measures the change, then creates a strength index with that amount.
The VAWSI is a measure of an emerging trend, and the Trend Persistence indicator is a measure of how long a trend has persisted.
Finally, the 3rd main indicator, is a slight variation of an ATR. Rather than taking the max of source - low or high- source and source - source , it instead takes the max of high-low and the absolute value of source - the previous source. It then takes the absolute value of the change of this, and normalizes it with the source.
Inputs
Minimum SL/TP ensures that the Stop Loss and Take Profit still exist in untrendy markets. This is the minimum Amount that will always be applied.
VAWSI Weight is a divided by 100 multiplier for the VAWSI. So value of 200 means it is multiplied by 2. Think of it like a percentage.
Trend Persistence weight and ATR Weight are applied the same. Higher the number, the more impactful on the final calculation it is.
Combination Mult is an outright multiplier to the final calculation. So a 2.0 = * 2.0
Trend Persistence Smoothing Length is the length of the weighted moving average applied to the Trend Persistence Strength index.
Length Cycle Decimal is a replacement of length for the script.
Here we used BlackCat1402's Dynamic Length Calculation, which can be found on his page. With his permission we have implemented it into this script. Big shout out to them for not only creating, but allowing us to use it here.
The Length Cycle Decimal is used to calculate the dynamic length. Because TradingView only allows series int for their built-in library, a lot of the baseline indicators we use have to be manually recreated as functions in the following section.
The Strategy
As usual, we use Heiken Ashi values for calculations.
We begin by establishing the minimum SL/TP for use later.
Next we determine the amount of bars back since the last crossup or crossdown of our threshold line.
We then perform some normalization of our multipliers. We want a larger trend or larger VAWSI amount to narrow the threshold, so we have 1 divide them. This way, a higher reading outputs a smaller number and vice versa. We do this for both Trend Persistence, and the VAWSI.
The VAWSI we also normalize, where rather than it being a 0-100 reading of trend direction and strength, we absolute it so that as long as a trend is strong, regardless of direction, it will have a higher reading. With these normalized values, we add them together and simply subtract the ATR measurement rather than having 1 divide it.
Here you can see how the different measurements add up. A lower final number suggests imminent reversal, and a higher final number suggests an untrendy or choppy market.
ATR is in orange, the Trend Persistence is blue, the VAWSI is purple, and the final amount is green.
We take this final number and depending on the current trend direction, we multiply it by either the Highest or Lowest source since the last crossup or crossdown. We then take the highest or lowest of this calculation, and have it be our Stop Loss or Take Profit. This number cannot be higher/lower than the previous source to ensure a rapid spike doesn't immediately close your position on a still continuing trend. As well, the threshold cannot be higher/ lower than the the specified Stop Loss and Take Profit
Only after the source has fully crossed these lines do we consider it a crossup or crossdown. We confirm this with a barstate.isconfirmed to prevent repainting. Next, each time there is a crossup or crossdown we enter a long or a short respectively and plot accordingly.
I have the strategy configured to "process on order close" to ensure an accurate backtesting result. You could also set this to false and add a 1 bar delay to the "if crossup" and "if crossdown" lines under strategy so that it is calculated based on the open of the next bar.
Final Notes
The amounts have been preconfigured for performance on RIOT 5 Minute timeframe. Other timeframes are viable as well. With a few changes to the parameters, this strategy has backtested well on NVDA, AAPL, TSLA, and AMD. I recommend before altering settings to try other timeframes first.
This script does not seem to perform nearly as well in typically untrendy and choppy markets such as crypto and forex. With some setting changes, I have seen okay results with crypto, but overfitting could be the cause there.
Thank you very much, and please enjoy.
Smart Money Concepts Probability (Expo)█ Overview
The Smart Money Concept Probability (Expo) is an indicator developed to track the actions of institutional investors, commonly known as "smart money." This tool calculates the likelihood of smart money being actively engaged in buying or selling within the market, referred to as the "smart money order flow."
The indicator measures the probability of three key events: Change of Character ( CHoCH ), Shift in Market Structure ( SMS ), and Break of Structure ( BMS ). These probabilities are displayed as percentages alongside their respective levels, providing a straightforward and immediate understanding of the likelihood of smart money order flow.
Finally, the backtested results are shown in a table, which gives traders an understanding of the historical performance of the current order flow direction.
█ Calculations
The algorithm individually computes the likelihood of the events ( CHoCH , SMS , and BMS ). A positive score is assigned for events where the price successfully breaks through the level with the highest probability, and a negative score when the price fails to do so. By doing so, the algorithm determines the probability of each event occurring and calculates the total profitability derived from all the events.
█ Example
In this case, we have an 85% probability that the price will break above the upper range and make a new Break Of Structure and only a 16.36% probability that the price will break below the lower range and make a Change Of Character.
█ Settings
The Structure Period sets the pivot period to use when calculating the market structure.
The Structure Response sets how responsive the market structure should be. A low value returns a more responsive structure. A high value returns a less responsive structure.
█ How to use
This indicator is a perfect tool for anyone that wants to understand the probability of a Change of Character ( CHoCH ), Shift in Market Structure ( SMS ), and Break of Structure ( BMS )
The insights provided by this tool help traders gain an understanding of the smart money order flow direction, which can be used to determine the market trend.
█ Any Alert function call
An alert is sent when the price breaks the upper or lower range, and you can select what should be included in the alert. You can enable the following options:
Ticker ID
Timeframe
Probability percentage
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Dual Fibonacci Zone & Ranged Vol DCA Strategy - R3c0nTraderWhat does this do?
This is for educational purposes and allows one to backtest two Fibonacci Zones simultaneously. This also includes an option for Ranged Volume as a parameter.
Pre-requisites:
First off, this is a Long only strategy as I wrote it with DCA in mind. It cannot be used for shorting. Shorting defeats the purpose of a DCA bot which has a goal that is Long a position not Short a position. If you want to short, there are plenty of free scripts out there that do this.
You must have some base knowledge or experience with Fibonacci trading, understanding what is ADX, +DI (and -DI), etc.
You can use this script without a 3Commas account and see how 3Commas DCA Bot would perform. However, I highly recommend inexperienced uses get a free account and going through the tutorials, FAQ's and knowledgebase. This would give you a base understanding of the settings you will see in this strategy and why you will need to know them. Only then should you try testing this strategy with a paper bot.
Background
After I had created and released "Fibonacci Zone DCA Strategy", I began expanding and testing other ideas.
The first idea was to add Ranged Volume to the Fibonacci Zone DCA strategy which I wanted for providing further confirmation before entering a trade. The second idea was to add a second Fibonacci Zone that was just as configurable as the first Fibonacci Zone. I managed to add both and they can be easily enabled or disabled via the strategy settings menu.
Things Got Real Interesting
Things got real interesting when I started testing strategies with two Fibonacci zones. Here's a quick list of what I found I was able to do:
Mix and match exit strategies. I could set the Fib-1 zone strategy to exit with a take profit % and separately set the Fib-2 zone strategy to exit when the price crosses the top-high fib border
Trade the trend. A common phrase amongst traders is "the Trend is your friend" and with the help of an additional Fib Zone, I was able to trade the trend more often by using two different Fib Zone strategies which if configured properly can shorten time to re-deploy capital, increase number of closed trades, and in some cases increase net profit.
Trade both bull market uptrends and bear market downtrends in the same strategy. I found I could configure one Fib Zone strategy to be really good in uptrends and another Fib Zone strategy to be really good in downtrends. In some cases, with both Fib Zone strategies enabled together in a single strategy I got better results than if the strategies were backtested separately.
There are many other trade strategies I am finding with this. One could be to trade a convergence or divergence of the two different Fib Zones. This could possibly be achieved by setting one strategy to have different Fibonacci length.
Credits:
Thank you "EvoCrypto" for granting me permission to use "Ranged Volume" to create this strategy
Thank you "eykpunter" for granting me permission to use "Fibonacci Zones" to create this strategy
Thank you "junyou0424" for granting me permission to use "DCA Bot with SuperTrend Emulator" which I used for adding bot inputs, calculations, and strategy
Crypto Scannner for Traffic Lights StrategyI allways try to make trading easier. Developing Scripts for a quick backtest and improvement of a strategy, getting alerts for entry and exit a position. Loading data to a spreadsheet is also important and takes time.
In this case finding good parameters in different markets or assets to enter in a position, is a bit exhausting. It is something you have to do everyday, and sometimes in different moments of the day.
So I manage to develop a Screener, to take a quick look at specific hours, and tell if I have a buy or sell condition in an specific asset. Obviously this is not an alert to make a trade instantaneusly, but this help you filter a lot of information in matters of seconds. Then open those specific charts and make a better analisys.
A few weeks ago, I published a scrpipt called "Traffic Lights Strategy", that uses 4 emas to get a buy or a sell condition.
It is easy to understand and use, but if you don´t want to missed some opportunities, and don't want to be look at the screen in all the time looking for them, I have here a simple solution.
This script works plotting 2 labels. The first one plots all the assets in which the condition is true (fastema > medema > slowema > filterema or fastema < medema < slowema < filterema)
The second one plots the assets were the condition is true only if happened up to 5 candles back, so you can be in time to enter a trade.
You can take the script and customize it for a different strategy or assets. I coded like this because I backtested this strategy in this specific assets, and statistics suggest that it might be profitable.
I hope this works for you. In other time I'll try to code a script for the others strategies I published.
Excitement - Crypto Surfer v1For those of us who need more excitement in our crypto journey besides just HODL, here’s a simple crypto robot that trades on the hourly (1H) candles. I call it the Crypto Surfer because it uses the 20 and 40 EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) to decide when to enter and exit; price tends to “surf” above these EMAs when it is bullish, and “sink” below these EMAs when it is bearish. An additional 160 SMA (Simple Moving Average) with slope-angle detection, was added as a bull / bear filter to reduce the sting of drawdowns, by filtering-out long trades in a prolonged bear market.
USER NOTES:
- This script will buy $10,000 USD worth of crypto-currency per trade.
- It will only open one trade at a time.
- It has been backtested on all the high market cap coins such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance Coin, Polkadot, Cardano.
- It should be run on the Hourly (H1) chart.
- In general, this moving average strategy *should be* profitable for 80% to 90% of the coins out there
- The 160 SMA filter with slope angle detection is designed to stop you from going long in a bear market.
- It is recommended you copy this script and modify it to suit your preferred coin during backtesting, before running live.
- Trading is inherently risky (exciting), and I shall not be liable for any losses you incur, even if these losses are due to sampling bias.
Nico's SPX Dynamic ChannelsTest of dynamic channels and some statistics made by hand.
This indicator was done specifically for the S&P500 index.
As you can see, below the 125 EMA there's a lot more volatility than in the upside. I've made some kind of a dynamic linear regression of the lows and the highs.
I've chosen the MA that best fits the SPX, and then calculated in Excel the percental mean and SDs of most important peaks and valleys that I've chosen in comparison to the 125 MA. This lead to the green, orange and red zones. BUT, I've calculated the peaks and valleys separately, as I assumed that a bear market and crashes have way more volatility than bull markets. That's why the difference between the upper and the lower channels.
The neutral blue zone is composed by an upper EMA of the highs and lower EMA of the lows. No MA in this script uses the close price as a source.
This MA makes sense because it represents a semester of trading, for this particular asset.
Backtest results
It's also interesting to try it here too, as it has a little bit more of data:
SPCFD:SPX
As it's not a trading system, I have no batting average nor ratios for this.
Still, the measures of the peaks and valleys are very accurate and repeat themselves over and over again. The results were:
3rd resistance: 12.88%
2nd resistance: 10.12%
1st resistance: 7.36%
1st support: -6.42%
2nd support: -14.8%
3rd support: -23.18%
All referred to the mean, which is the 125 EMA zone.
After the 1950's works like magic, but not before. You will see that it doesn't work in the great depression and it's crash.
How to use this indicator
Green = First grade support/resistance .
Orange = Second grade support/resistance . Caution.
Red = Third grade support/resistance . High chances of mean reversal.
Blue zone = This is the neutral zone, where the prices are not cheap nor expensive.
Often in a trending market, the price will have the blue zone as it's main support and when trending the price will stick to the green MA.
When the price touches the orange MA, the most probable is that it will return to the green MA.
If the price touches the red zone, there's a high chance that this is a big turning point and it will reverse to the mean (green or blue zone).
Imagine you've bought each time the price touched the red support, check that and you'll start liking this indicator. I think it is a great entry point for investors. The red resistance is good too, but of course it works for a short period of time.
I've backtested this indicator since the beginning of the dataset and it works like magic, but ONLY for the SPX index (spot price).
Leave a comment or some coins if you like it!!!
(I've posted it before like an analysis, not as a script, my bad)
Fractal Adaptive Entry IndicatorThis entry indicator was inspired by John Ehle'rs "Fractal Adaptive Moving Average"
It's a very sensitive entry indicator that must be paired with a long-term trend detector in order to filter false positives.
Warning I have not backtested this indicator and will not make any claims to its performance.
Visually, it looks promising, however, backtesting and statistical analysis takes time.
Happy trading
<3
Uhl MA System - Strategy AnalysisThe Uhl MA crossover system was specifically designed to provide an adaptive MA crossover system that didn't committed the same errors of more classical MA systems. This crossover system is based on a fast and a slow moving average, with the slow moving average being the corrected moving average (CMA) originally proposed by Andreas Uhl, and the fast moving average being the corrected trend step (CTS) which is also based on the corrected moving average design.
For more information see :
In this post, the performances of this system are analyzed on various markets.
Setup And Rules
The analysis is solely based on the indicator signals, therefore no spread is applied. Constant position sizing is used. The strategy will be backtested on the 15 minute time-frame. The mult setting is discarded, the default setting used for length is 100.
Here are the rules of our strategy :
long: CTS crossover CMA
short: CTS crossunder CMA
Results And Data
EURUSD:
Net Profit: $ 0.08
Total number of trades: 99
Profitability: 35.35 %
Profit Factor: 1.834
Max Drawdown: $ 0.01
EURUSD behaved pretty well, and was most of time showing long term trends without exhibiting particularly tricky structures, the moving averages still did cross during ranging phases, since march 9 we can see a downtrend with more pronounced cyclical variations (retracements) that could potentially lead to loosing trades.
BTCUSD:
Net Profit: $ 4371.57
Total number of trades: 94
Profitability: 32.98 %
Profit Factor: 1.749
Max Drawdown: $ 1409.96
The strategy didn't started well, producing its largest drawdown after only a few trades, the strategy still managed to recover. BTCUSD exhibited a strong downtrend, the strategy profited from that to recover, signals still occurred on ranging phases, and where mostly caused by a short term volatile move, unfortunately the CMA can converge toward ranging/flat price zones where false signals might occur at higher frequency.
AMD:
Net Profit: $ 16.09
Total number of trades: 95
Profitability: 29.47 %
Profit Factor: 1.288
Max Drawdown: $ 20.11
On AMD the strategy started relatively well with a raising balance, then the balance quickly fallen, this downtrend in the balance lasted quite some time (almost 48 trades), the strategy finally recovered in Nov 2019 and the balance made a new highest high at the end of February. AMD had numerous trends during the backtesting period, yet results are poor.
AAPL:
Net Profit: $ -28.17
Total number of trades: 89
Profitability: 28.09 %
Profit Factor: 0.894
Max Drawdown: $ 63.21
AAPL show the poorest results so far, with a stationary balance around the initial capital (in short the evolution of the balance is not showing any particular trend and oscillate around the initial capital value).
AAPL had some significant retracements in its up-trend, which triggered some trades (of course), and the ranging period from Jan 24 to Feb 13 heavily damaged the strategy performance, generating 6 significant loosing trades. AAPL show the worst results so far, mostly due by ranging phases.
Conclusions
The Uhl MA crossover system strategy has been tested and based on the results don't show particularly interesting performances, and might even be outperformed by simpler MA systems that prove to be more robust against ranging markets. The total number of executed trades are on average 94, and the profitability is on average 31%. The strategy might prove more interesting if we can correct the behavior of the CMA, who sometimes converged toward ranging/flat markets.
DAKELAX-XRPUSDT Bollinger Band Strategy for TradebotlerDAKELAX-XRPUSDT is a Tradebotler strategy designed to run on XRPUSDT for binance, it's a simple reverse to mean strategy and when backtested on may-aug 2019 on H1 timeframe it performs pretty well in backtest as well as running live.
In order to get started install the Tradebotler extension and connect the strategy with Binance or other crypto exchanges of your choice such as Kraken, Bitstamp, Bitmex, Bittrex, Polyneux etc, etc.
London Breakout PRO – By Maa Sharda Trading📈 London Breakout PRO (MAA SHARDA TRADING) – Indicator Description for TradingView
Introducing: London Breakout PRO – The Advanced Breakout Tool for Gold & Forex!
Unlock the real power of London session trading with this next-generation indicator.
Specially designed for serious traders, this tool combines classic London Breakout logic with EMA Trend Confirmation and an optional Volume Filter to eliminate fake breakouts and boost your accuracy.
How It Works:
Session Box: Automatically marks the first session candle (default: 1H for London Open).
Breakout Signal: Gives only one clean BUY/SELL signal each day – only when the candle breaks out above/below the session box.
Trend Filter: Signals fire only when price is above (BUY) or below (SELL) the EMA 20, ensuring you always trade with the trend.
Volume Confirmation: (Optional) Signals only if breakout happens with volume higher than the last 10 candles’ average, so you avoid low-liquidity fakeouts.
Ultra-Clean Chart: No repainting, no clutter, just pure breakout action.
Key Features:
✅ Works on any timeframe (M15, M30, H1 best for Gold/XAUUSD & FX)
✅ Fully customizable session start time and box duration
✅ One breakout signal per day – no overtrading, no noise
✅ Trend & volume filters for high-probability setups
✅ Easy visual backtesting – perfect for serious traders and strategy builders
Recommended Settings for GOLD (XAUUSD):
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1) – best accuracy & lowest noise
Session Start (IST): 11:30 AM (London Open)
Box Length: 1 Candle (1 Hour)
EMA Length: 20
Volume Filter: On (for strong confirmations)
How To Use:
Wait for London session box to form at your set time.
Trade only when price closes above (BUY) or below (SELL) the box and EMA 20 & volume filters are satisfied.
Place SL at the opposite side of the box. Target 1:1 or let profits run with trailing stop.
Avoid trading during high-impact news events for even better results.
Pro Tip:
Backtest on H1 and combine with major support/resistance for the highest win-rate. Use with proper risk management for best results!
Disclaimer:
Trading involves risk. This indicator is for educational purposes only. Test thoroughly before live trading.
#LondonBreakout #XAUUSD #BreakoutStrategy #EMAConfirmation #VolumeFilter #TradingView #ForexIndicator #IntradayTrading
Contrarian Market Structure BreakMarket Structure Break application was inspired and adapted from Market Structure Oscillator indicator developed by Lux Algo. So much credit to their work.
This indicator pairs nicely with the Contrarian 100 MA and can be located here:
Indicator Description: Contrarian Market Structure BreakOverview
The "Contrarian Market Structure Break" indicator is a versatile tool tailored for traders seeking to identify potential reversal opportunities by analyzing market structure across multiple timeframes. Built on Institutional Concepts of Structure (ICT), this indicator detects Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) patterns across short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term swings, plotting them with customizable lines and labels. It generates contrarian buy and sell signals when price breaks key swing levels, with a unique "Blue Dot Tracker" to monitor consecutive buy signals for trend confirmation. Optimized for the daily timeframe, this indicator is adaptable to other timeframes with proper testing, making it ideal for traders of forex, stocks, or cryptocurrencies.
How It Works
The indicator combines three key components to provide a comprehensive view of market dynamics: Multi-Timeframe Market Structure Analysis: It identifies swing highs and lows across short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term periods, plotting BOS (continuation) and CHoCH (reversal) events with customizable line styles and labels.
Contrarian Signal Generation: Buy and sell signals are triggered when the price crosses below swing lows (buy) or above swing highs (sell), indicating potential reversals in overextended markets.
Blue Dot Tracker: A unique feature that counts consecutive buy signals ("blue dots") and highlights a "Hold Investment" state with a yellow background when three or more buy signals occur, suggesting a potential trend continuation.
Signals are visualized as small circles below (buy) or above (sell) price bars, and a table in the bottom-right corner displays the blue dot count and recommended action (Hold or Flip Investment), enhancing decision-making clarity.
Mathematical Concepts Swing Detection: The indicator identifies swing highs and lows by comparing price patterns over three bars, ensuring robust detection of pivot points. A swing high occurs when the middle bar’s high is higher than the surrounding bars, and a swing low occurs when the middle bar’s low is lower.
Market Structure Logic: BOS is detected when the price breaks a prior swing high (bullish) or low (bearish) in the direction of the current trend, while CHoCH signals a potential reversal when the price breaks a swing level against the trend. These are calculated across three timeframes for a multi-dimensional perspective.
Blue Dot Tracker: This feature counts consecutive buy signals and tracks the entry price. If three or more buy signals occur without a sell signal, the indicator enters a "Hold Investment" state, marked by a yellow background, until the price exceeds the entry price or a sell signal occurs.
Entry and Exit Rules Buy Signal (Blue Dot Below Bar): Triggered when the closing price crosses below a swing low on either the intermediate-term or long-term timeframe, suggesting an oversold condition and potential reversal upward. Short-term signals can be enabled but are disabled by default to reduce noise.
Sell Signal (White Dot Above Bar): Triggered when the closing price crosses above a swing high on either the intermediate-term or long-term timeframe, indicating an overbought condition and potential reversal downward.
Blue Dot Tracker Logic: After a buy signal, the indicator increments a blue dot counter and records the entry price. If three or more consecutive buy signals occur (blueDotCount ≥ 3), the indicator enters a "Hold Investment" state, highlighted with a yellow background, suggesting a potential trend continuation. The "Hold Investment" state ends when the price exceeds the entry price or a sell signal occurs, resetting the counter.
Exit Rules: Traders can exit buy positions when a sell signal appears, the price exceeds the entry price during a "Hold Investment" state, or based on additional confirmation from BOS/CHoCH patterns or other technical analysis tools. Always use proper risk management.
Recommended Usage
The indicator is optimized for the daily timeframe, where it effectively captures significant reversal and continuation patterns in trending or ranging markets. It can be adapted to other timeframes (e.g., 1H, 4H, 15M) with careful testing of settings, particularly enabling/disabling short-term structure analysis to suit market conditions. Backtesting is recommended to optimize performance for your chosen asset and timeframe.
Customization Options Market Structure Display: Toggle short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term structures on or off, with customizable line styles (solid, dashed, dotted) and colors for bullish and bearish breaks.
Labels: Enable or disable BOS/CHoCH labels for each timeframe to reduce chart clutter.
Signal Visibility: Hide buy/sell signals if desired for a cleaner chart.
Blue Dot Tracker: Monitor the blue dot count and action (Hold or Flip Investment) via the table display, which is fully customizable in terms of position and appearance.
Why Use This Indicator?
The "Contrarian Market Structure Break" indicator offers a robust framework for identifying high-probability reversal and continuation setups using ICT principles. Its multi-timeframe analysis, clear signal visualization, and innovative Blue Dot Tracker provide traders with actionable insights into market dynamics. Whether you're a swing trader or a day trader, this indicator’s flexibility and intuitive design make it a valuable addition to your trading arsenal.
Note for TradingView Moderators
This script complies with TradingView's House Rules by providing an educational and transparent description without performance claims or guarantees. It is designed to assist traders in technical analysis and should be used alongside proper risk management and personal research. The code is original, well-documented, and includes customizable inputs and clear visual outputs to enhance the user experience.
Tips for Users:
Backtest thoroughly on your chosen asset and timeframe to validate signal reliability. Combine with other indicators or price action analysis for confirmation of entries and exits. Adjust timeframe settings and enable/disable short-term structures to match market volatility and your trading style.
Hope the "Contrarian Market Structure Break" indicator enhances your trading strategy and helps you navigate the markets with confidence! Happy trading!
Aetherium Institutional Market Resonance EngineAetherium Institutional Market Resonance Engine (AIMRE)
A Three-Pillar Framework for Decoding Institutional Activity
🎓 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The Aetherium Institutional Market Resonance Engine (AIMRE) is a multi-faceted analysis system designed to move beyond conventional indicators and decode the market's underlying structure as dictated by institutional capital flow. Its philosophy is built on a singular premise: significant market moves are preceded by a convergence of context , location , and timing . Aetherium quantifies these three dimensions through a revolutionary three-pillar architecture.
This system is not a simple combination of indicators; it is an integrated engine where each pillar's analysis feeds into a central logic core. A signal is only generated when all three pillars achieve a state of resonance, indicating a high-probability alignment between market organization, key liquidity levels, and cyclical momentum.
⚡ THE THREE-PILLAR ARCHITECTURE
1. 🌌 PILLAR I: THE COHERENCE ENGINE (THE 'CONTEXT')
Purpose: To measure the degree of organization within the market. This pillar answers the question: " Is the market acting with a unified purpose, or is it chaotic and random? "
Conceptual Framework: Institutional campaigns (accumulation or distribution) create a non-random, organized market environment. Retail-driven or directionless markets are characterized by "noise" and chaos. The Coherence Engine acts as a filter to ensure we only engage when institutional players are actively steering the market.
Formulaic Concept:
Coherence = f(Dominance, Synchronization)
Dominance Factor: Calculates the absolute difference between smoothed buying pressure (volume-weighted bullish candles) and smoothed selling pressure (volume-weighted bearish candles), normalized by total pressure. A high value signifies a clear winner between buyers and sellers.
Synchronization Factor: Measures the correlation between the streams of buying and selling pressure over the analysis window. A high positive correlation indicates synchronized, directional activity, while a negative correlation suggests choppy, conflicting action.
The final Coherence score (0-100) represents the percentage of market organization. A high score is a prerequisite for any signal, filtering out unpredictable market conditions.
2. 💎 PILLAR II: HARMONIC LIQUIDITY MATRIX (THE 'LOCATION')
Purpose: To identify and map high-impact institutional footprints. This pillar answers the question: " Where have institutions previously committed significant capital? "
Conceptual Framework: Large institutional orders leave indelible marks on the market in the form of anomalous volume spikes at specific price levels. These are not random occurrences but are areas of intense historical interest. The Harmonic Liquidity Matrix finds these footprints and consolidates them into actionable support and resistance zones called "Harmonic Nodes."
Algorithmic Process:
Footprint Identification: The engine scans the historical lookback period for candles where volume > average_volume * Institutional_Volume_Filter. This identifies statistically significant volume events.
Node Creation: A raw node is created at the mean price of the identified candle.
Dynamic Clustering: The engine uses an ATR-based proximity algorithm. If a new footprint is identified within Node_Clustering_Distance (ATR) of an existing Harmonic Node, it is merged. The node's price is volume-weighted, and its magnitude is increased. This prevents chart clutter and consolidates nearby institutional orders into a single, more significant level.
Node Decay: Nodes that are older than the Institutional_Liquidity_Scanback period are automatically removed from the chart, ensuring the analysis remains relevant to recent market dynamics.
3. 🌊 PILLAR III: CYCLICAL RESONANCE MATRIX (THE 'TIMING')
Purpose: To identify the market's dominant rhythm and its current phase. This pillar answers the question: " Is the market's immediate energy flowing up or down? "
Conceptual Framework: Markets move in waves and cycles of varying lengths. Trading in harmony with the current cyclical phase dramatically increases the probability of success. Aetherium employs a simplified wavelet analysis concept to decompose price action into short, medium, and long-term cycles.
Algorithmic Process:
Cycle Decomposition: The engine calculates three oscillators based on the difference between pairs of Exponential Moving Averages (e.g., EMA8-EMA13 for short cycle, EMA21-EMA34 for medium cycle).
Energy Measurement: The 'energy' of each cycle is determined by its recent volatility (standard deviation). The cycle with the highest energy is designated as the "Dominant Cycle."
Phase Analysis: The engine determines if the dominant cycles are in a bullish phase (rising from a trough) or a bearish phase (falling from a peak).
Cycle Sync: The highest conviction timing signals occur when multiple cycles (e.g., short and medium) are synchronized in the same direction, indicating broad-based momentum.
🔧 COMPREHENSIVE INPUT SYSTEM
Pillar I: Market Coherence Engine
Coherence Analysis Window (10-50, Default: 21): The lookback period for the Coherence Engine.
Lower Values (10-15): Highly responsive to rapid shifts in market control. Ideal for scalping but can be sensitive to noise.
Balanced (20-30): Excellent for day trading, capturing the ebb and flow of institutional sessions.
Higher Values (35-50): Smoother, more stable reading. Best for swing trading and identifying long-term institutional campaigns.
Coherence Activation Level (50-90%, Default: 70%): The minimum market organization required to enable signal generation.
Strict (80-90%): Only allows signals in extremely clear, powerful trends. Fewer, but potentially higher quality signals.
Standard (65-75%): A robust filter that effectively removes choppy conditions while capturing most valid institutional moves.
Lenient (50-60%): Allows signals in less-organized markets. Can be useful in ranging markets but may increase false signals.
Pillar II: Harmonic Liquidity Matrix
Institutional Liquidity Scanback (100-400, Default: 200): How far back the engine looks for institutional footprints.
Short (100-150): Focuses on recent institutional activity, providing highly relevant, immediate levels.
Long (300-400): Identifies major, long-term structural levels. These nodes are often extremely powerful but may be less frequent.
Institutional Volume Filter (1.3-3.0, Default: 1.8): The multiplier for detecting a volume spike.
High (2.5-3.0): Only registers climactic, undeniable institutional volume. Fewer, but more significant nodes.
Low (1.3-1.7): More sensitive, identifying smaller but still relevant institutional interest.
Node Clustering Distance (0.2-0.8 ATR, Default: 0.4): The ATR-based distance for merging nearby nodes.
High (0.6-0.8): Creates wider, more consolidated zones of liquidity.
Low (0.2-0.3): Creates more numerous, precise, and distinct levels.
Pillar III: Cyclical Resonance Matrix
Cycle Resonance Analysis (30-100, Default: 50): The lookback for determining cycle energy and dominance.
Short (30-40): Tunes the engine to faster, shorter-term market rhythms. Best for scalping.
Long (70-100): Aligns the timing component with the larger primary trend. Best for swing trading.
Institutional Signal Architecture
Signal Quality Mode (Professional, Elite, Supreme): Controls the strictness of the three-pillar confluence.
Professional: Loosest setting. May generate signals if two of the three pillars are in strong alignment. Increases signal frequency.
Elite: Balanced setting. Requires a clear, unambiguous resonance of all three pillars. The recommended default.
Supreme: Most stringent. Requires perfect alignment of all three pillars, with each pillar exhibiting exceptionally strong readings (e.g., coherence > 85%). The highest conviction signals.
Signal Spacing Control (5-25, Default: 10): The minimum bars between signals to prevent clutter and redundant alerts.
🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM
The visual architecture of Aetherium is designed not merely for aesthetics, but to provide an intuitive, at-a-glance understanding of the complex data being processed.
Harmonic Liquidity Nodes: The core visual element. Displayed as multi-layered, semi-transparent horizontal boxes.
Magnitude Visualization: The height and opacity of a node's "glow" are proportional to its volume magnitude. More significant nodes appear brighter and larger, instantly drawing the eye to key levels.
Color Coding: Standard nodes are blue/purple, while exceptionally high-magnitude nodes are highlighted in an accent color to denote critical importance.
🌌 Quantum Resonance Field: A dynamic background gradient that visualizes the overall market environment.
Color: Shifts from cool blues/purples (low coherence) to energetic greens/cyans (high coherence and organization), providing instant context.
Intensity: The brightness and opacity of the field are influenced by total market energy (a composite of coherence, momentum, and volume), making powerful market states visually apparent.
💎 Crystalline Lattice Matrix: A geometric web of lines projected from a central moving average.
Mathematical Basis: Levels are projected using multiples of the Golden Ratio (Phi ≈ 1.618) and the ATR. This visualizes the natural harmonic and fractal structure of the market. It is not arbitrary but is based on mathematical principles of market geometry.
🧠 Synaptic Flow Network: A dynamic particle system visualizing the engine's "thought process."
Node Density & Activation: The number of particles and their brightness/color are tied directly to the Market Coherence score. In high-coherence states, the network becomes a dense, bright, and organized web. In chaotic states, it becomes sparse and dim.
⚡ Institutional Energy Waves: Flowing sine waves that visualize market volatility and rhythm.
Amplitude & Speed: The height and speed of the waves are directly influenced by the ATR and volume, providing a feel for market energy.
📊 INSTITUTIONAL CONTROL MATRIX (DASHBOARD)
The dashboard is the central command console, providing a real-time, quantitative summary of each pillar's status.
Header: Displays the script title and version.
Coherence Engine Section:
State: Displays a qualitative assessment of market organization: ◉ PHASE LOCK (High Coherence), ◎ ORGANIZING (Moderate Coherence), or ○ CHAOTIC (Low Coherence). Color-coded for immediate recognition.
Power: Shows the precise Coherence percentage and a directional arrow (↗ or ↘) indicating if organization is increasing or decreasing.
Liquidity Matrix Section:
Nodes: Displays the total number of active Harmonic Liquidity Nodes currently being tracked.
Target: Shows the price level of the nearest significant Harmonic Node to the current price, representing the most immediate institutional level of interest.
Cycle Matrix Section:
Cycle: Identifies the currently dominant market cycle (e.g., "MID ") based on cycle energy.
Sync: Indicates the alignment of the cyclical forces: ▲ BULLISH , ▼ BEARISH , or ◆ DIVERGENT . This is the core timing confirmation.
Signal Status Section:
A unified status bar that provides the final verdict of the engine. It will display "QUANTUM SCAN" during neutral periods, or announce the tier and direction of an active signal (e.g., "◉ TIER 1 BUY ◉" ), highlighted with the appropriate color.
🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
Aetherium's signal logic is built on the principle of strict, non-negotiable confluence.
Condition 1: Context (Coherence Filter): The Market Coherence must be above the Coherence Activation Level. No signals can be generated in a chaotic market.
Condition 2: Location (Liquidity Node Interaction): Price must be actively interacting with a significant Harmonic Liquidity Node.
For a Buy Signal: Price must be rejecting the Node from below (testing it as support).
For a Sell Signal: Price must be rejecting the Node from above (testing it as resistance).
Condition 3: Timing (Cycle Alignment): The Cyclical Resonance Matrix must confirm that the dominant cycles are synchronized with the intended trade direction.
Signal Tiering: The Signal Quality Mode input determines how strictly these three conditions must be met. 'Supreme' mode, for example, might require not only that the conditions are met, but that the Market Coherence is exceptionally high and the interaction with the Node is accompanied by a significant volume spike.
Signal Spacing: A final filter ensures that signals are spaced by a minimum number of bars, preventing over-alerting in a single move.
🚀 ADVANCED TRADING STRATEGIES
The Primary Confluence Strategy: The intended use of the system. Wait for a Tier 1 (Elite/Supreme) or Tier 2 (Professional/Elite) signal to appear on the chart. This represents the alignment of all three pillars. Enter after the signal bar closes, with a stop-loss placed logically on the other side of the Harmonic Node that triggered the signal.
The Coherence Context Strategy: Use the Coherence Engine as a standalone market filter. When Coherence is high (>70%), favor trend-following strategies. When Coherence is low (<50%), avoid new directional trades or favor range-bound strategies. A sharp drop in Coherence during a trend can be an early warning of a trend's exhaustion.
Node-to-Node Trading: In a high-coherence environment, use the Harmonic Liquidity Nodes as both entry points and profit targets. For example, after a BUY signal is generated at one Node, the next Node above it becomes a logical first profit target.
⚖️ RESPONSIBLE USAGE AND LIMITATIONS
Decision Support, Not a Crystal Ball: Aetherium is an advanced decision-support tool. It is designed to identify high-probability conditions based on a model of institutional behavior. It does not predict the future.
Risk Management is Paramount: No indicator can replace a sound risk management plan. Always use appropriate position sizing and stop-losses. The signals provided are probabilistic, not certainties.
Past Performance Disclaimer: The market models used in this script are based on historical data. While robust, there is no guarantee that these patterns will persist in the future. Market conditions can and do change.
Not a "Set and Forget" System: The indicator performs best when its user understands the concepts behind the three pillars. Use the dashboard and visual cues to build a comprehensive view of the market before acting on a signal.
Backtesting is Essential: Before applying this tool to live trading, it is crucial to backtest and forward-test it on your preferred instruments and timeframes to understand its unique behavior and characteristics.
🔮 CONCLUSION
The Aetherium Institutional Market Resonance Engine represents a paradigm shift from single-variable analysis to a holistic, multi-pillar framework. By quantifying the abstract concepts of market context, location, and timing into a unified, logical system, it provides traders with an unprecedented lens into the mechanics of institutional market operations.
It is not merely an indicator, but a complete analytical engine designed to foster a deeper understanding of market dynamics. By focusing on the core principles of institutional order flow, Aetherium empowers traders to filter out market noise, identify key structural levels, and time their entries in harmony with the market's underlying rhythm.
"In all chaos there is a cosmos, in all disorder a secret order." - Carl Jung
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with confluence. Trade with Aetherium.
Ticker Pulse Meter + Fear EKG StrategyDescription
The Ticker Pulse Meter + Fear EKG Strategy is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential entry and exit points for long positions based on price action relative to historical ranges. It combines two proprietary indicators: the Ticker Pulse Meter (TPM), which measures price positioning within short- and long-term ranges, and the Fear EKG, a VIX-inspired oscillator that detects extreme market conditions. The strategy is non-repainting, ensuring signals are generated only on confirmed bars to avoid false positives. Visual enhancements, such as optional moving averages and Bollinger Bands, provide additional context but are not core to the strategy's logic. This script is suitable for traders seeking a systematic approach to capturing momentum and mean-reversion opportunities.
How It Works
The strategy evaluates price action using two key metrics:
Ticker Pulse Meter (TPM): Measures the current price's position within short- and long-term price ranges to identify momentum or overextension.
Fear EKG: Detects extreme selling pressure (akin to "irrational selling") by analyzing price behavior relative to historical lows, inspired by volatility-based oscillators.
Entry signals are generated when specific conditions align, indicating potential buying opportunities. Exits are triggered based on predefined thresholds or partial position closures to manage risk. The strategy supports customizable lookback periods, thresholds, and exit percentages, allowing flexibility across different markets and timeframes. Visual cues, such as entry/exit dots and a position table, enhance usability, while optional overlays like moving averages and Bollinger Bands provide additional chart context.
Calculation Overview
Price Range Calculations:
Short-Term Range: Uses the lowest low (min_price_short) and highest high (max_price_short) over a user-defined short lookback period (lookback_short, default 50 bars).
Long-Term Range: Uses the lowest low (min_price_long) and highest high (max_price_long) over a user-defined long lookback period (lookback_long, default 200 bars).
Percentage Metrics:
pct_above_short: Percentage of the current close above the short-term range.
pct_above_long: Percentage of the current close above the long-term range.
Combined metrics (pct_above_long_above_short, pct_below_long_below_short) normalize price action for signal generation.
Signal Generation:
Long Entry (TPM): Triggered when pct_above_long_above_short crosses above a user-defined threshold (entryThresholdhigh, default 20) and pct_below_long_below_short is below a low threshold (entryThresholdlow, default 40).
Long Entry (Fear EKG): Triggered when pct_below_long_below_short crosses under an extreme threshold (orangeEntryThreshold, default 95), indicating potential oversold conditions.
Long Exit: Triggered when pct_above_long_above_short crosses under a profit-taking level (profitTake, default 95). Partial exits are supported via a user-defined percentage (exitAmt, default 50%).
Non-Repainting Logic: Signals are calculated using data from the previous bar ( ) and only plotted on confirmed bars (barstate.isconfirmed), ensuring reliability.
Visual Enhancements:
Optional moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, or SMMA) and Bollinger Bands can be enabled for trend context.
A position table displays real-time metrics, including open positions, Fear EKG, and Ticker Pulse values.
Background highlights mark periods of high selling pressure.
Entry Rules
Long Entry:
TPM Signal: Occurs when the price shows strength relative to both short- and long-term ranges, as defined by pct_above_long_above_short crossing above entryThresholdhigh and pct_below_long_below_short below entryThresholdlow.
Fear EKG Signal: Triggered by extreme selling pressure, when pct_below_long_below_short crosses under orangeEntryThreshold. This signal is optional and can be toggled via enable_yellow_signals.
Entries are executed only on confirmed bars to prevent repainting.
Exit Rules
Long Exit: Triggered when pct_above_long_above_short crosses under profitTake.
Partial exits are supported, with the strategy closing a user-defined percentage of the position (exitAmt) up to four times per position (exit_count limit).
Exits can be disabled or adjusted via enable_short_signal and exitPercentage settings.
Inputs
Backtest Start Date: Defines the start of the backtesting period (default: Jan 1, 2017).
Lookback Periods: Short (lookback_short, default 50) and long (lookback_long, default 200) periods for range calculations.
Resolution: Timeframe for price data (default: Daily).
Entry/Exit Thresholds:
entryThresholdhigh (default 20): Threshold for TPM entry.
entryThresholdlow (default 40): Secondary condition for TPM entry.
orangeEntryThreshold (default 95): Threshold for Fear EKG entry.
profitTake (default 95): Exit threshold.
exitAmt (default 50%): Percentage of position to exit.
Visual Options: Toggle for moving averages and Bollinger Bands, with customizable types and lengths.
Notes
The strategy is designed to work across various timeframes and assets, with data sourced from user-selected resolutions (i_res).
Alerts are included for long entry and exit signals, facilitating integration with TradingView's alert system.
The script avoids repainting by using confirmed bar data and shifted calculations ( ).
Visual elements (e.g., SMA, Bollinger Bands) are inspired by standard Pine Script practices and are optional, not integral to the core logic.
Usage
Apply the script to a chart, adjust input settings to suit your trading style, and use the visual cues (entry/exit dots, position table) to monitor signals. Enable alerts for real-time notifications.
Designed to work best on Daily timeframe.
(Mustang Algo) Stochastic RSI + Triple EMAStochastic RSI + Triple EMA (StochTEMA)
Overview
The Stochastic RSI + Triple EMA indicator combines the Stochastic RSI oscillator with a Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) overlay to generate clear buy and sell signals on the price chart. By measuring RSI overbought/oversold conditions and confirming trend direction with TEMA, this tool helps traders identify high-probability entries and exits while filtering out noise in choppy markets.
Key Features
Stochastic RSI Calculation
Computes a standard RSI over a user-defined period (default 50).
Applies a Stochastic oscillator to the RSI values over a second user-defined period (default 50).
Smooths the %K line by taking an SMA over a third input (default 3), and %D is an SMA of %K over another input (default 3).
Defines oversold when both %K and %D are below 20, and overbought when both are above 80.
Triple EMA (TEMA)
Calculates three successive EMAs on the closing price with the same length (default 9).
Combines them using TEMA = 3×(EMA1 – EMA2) + EMA3, producing a fast-reacting trend line.
Bullish trend is identified when price > TEMA and TEMA is rising; bearish trend when price < TEMA and TEMA is falling; neutral/flat when TEMA change is minimal.
Signal Logic
Strong Buy: Previous bar’s Stoch RSI was oversold (both %K and %D < 20), %K crosses above %D, and TEMA is in a bullish trend.
Medium Buy: %K crosses above %D (without requiring oversold), TEMA is bullish, and previous %K < 50.
Weak Buy: Previous bar’s %K and %D were oversold, %K crosses above %D, TEMA is flat or bullish (not bearish).
Strong Sell: Previous bar’s Stoch RSI was overbought (both %K and %D > 80), %K crosses below %D, and TEMA is bearish.
Medium Sell: %K crosses below %D (without requiring overbought), TEMA is bearish, and previous %K > 50.
Weak Sell: Previous bar’s %K and %D were overbought, %K crosses below %D, TEMA is flat or bearish (not bullish).
Visual Elements on Chart
TEMA Line: Plotted in cyan (#00BCD4) with a medium-thick line for clear trend visualization.
Buy/Sell Markers:
BUY STRONG: Lime label below the candle
BUY MEDIUM: Green triangle below the candle
BUY WEAK: Semi-transparent green circle below the candle
SELL STRONG: Red label above the candle
SELL MEDIUM: Orange triangle above the candle
SELL WEAK: Semi-transparent orange circle above the candle
Candle & Background Coloring: When a strong buy or sell signal occurs, the candle body is tinted (semi-transparent lime/red) and the chart background briefly flashes light green (buy) or light red (sell).
Dynamic Support/Resistance:
On a strong buy signal, a green dot is plotted under that bar’s low as a temporary support marker.
On a strong sell signal, a red dot is plotted above that bar’s high as a temporary resistance marker.
Alerts
Strong Buy Alert: Triggered when Stoch RSI is oversold, %K crosses above %D, and TEMA is bullish.
Strong Sell Alert: Triggered when Stoch RSI is overbought, %K crosses below %D, and TEMA is bearish.
General Buy Alert: Triggered on any bullish crossover (%K > %D) when TEMA is not bearish.
General Sell Alert: Triggered on any bearish crossover (%K < %D) when TEMA is not bullish.
Inputs
Stochastic RSI Settings (group “Stochastic RSI”):
K (smoothK): Period length for smoothing the %K line (default 3, minimum 1)
D (smoothD): Period length for smoothing the %D line (default 3, minimum 1)
RSI Length (lengthRSI): Number of bars used for the RSI calculation (default 50, minimum 1)
Stochastic Length (lengthStoch): Number of bars for the Stochastic oscillator applied to RSI (default 50, minimum 1)
RSI Source (src): Price source for the RSI (default = close)
TEMA Settings (group “Triple EMA”):
TEMA Length (lengthTEMA): Number of bars used for each of the three EMAs (default 9, minimum 1)
How to Use
Add the Script
Copy and paste the indicator code into TradingView’s Pine Editor (version 6).
Save the script and add it to your chart as “Stochastic RSI + Triple EMA (StochTEMA).”
Adjust Inputs
Choose shorter lengths for lower timeframes (e.g., intraday scalping) and longer lengths for higher timeframes (e.g., swing trading).
Fine-tune the Stochastic RSI parameters (K, D, RSI Length, Stochastic Length) to suit the volatility of the instrument.
Modify TEMA Length if you prefer a faster or slower moving average response.
Interpret Signals
Primary Entries/Exits: Focus on “BUY STRONG” and “SELL STRONG” signals, as they require both oversold/overbought conditions and a confirming TEMA trend.
Confirmation Signals: Use “BUY MEDIUM”/“BUY WEAK” to confirm or add to an existing position when the market is trending. Similarly, “SELL MEDIUM”/“SELL WEAK” can be used to scale out or confirm bearish momentum.
Support/Resistance Dots: These help identify recent swing lows (green dots) and swing highs (red dots) that were tagged by strong signals—useful to place stop-loss or profit-target orders.
Set Alerts
Open the Alerts menu (bell icon) in TradingView, choose this script, and select the desired alert condition (e.g., “BUY Signal Strong”).
Configure notifications (popup, email, webhook) according to your trading workflow.
Notes & Best Practices
Filtering False Signals: By combining Stoch RSI crossovers with TEMA trend confirmation, most false breakouts during choppy price action are filtered out.
Timeframe Selection: This indicator works on all timeframes, but shorter timeframes may generate frequent signals—consider higher-timeframe confirmation when trading lower timeframes.
Risk Management: Always use proper position sizing and stop-loss placement. An “oversold” or “overbought” reading can remain extended for some time in strong trends.
Backtesting/Optimization: Before live trading, backtest different parameter combinations on historical data to find the optimal balance between sensitivity and reliability for your chosen instrument.
No Guarantee of Profits: As with any technical indicator, past performance does not guarantee future results. Use in conjunction with other forms of analysis (volume, price patterns, fundamentals).
Author: Your Name or Username
Version: 1.0 (Pine Script v6)
Published: June 2025
Feel free to customize input values and visual preferences. If you find bugs or have suggestions for improvements, open an issue or leave a comment below. Trade responsibly!
Volatility Bias ModelVolatility Bias Model
Overview
Volatility Bias Model is a purely mathematical, non-indicator-based trading system that detects directional probability shifts during high volatility market phases. Rather than relying on classic tools like RSI or moving averages, this strategy uses raw price behavior and clustering logic to determine potential breakout direction based on recent market bias.
How It Works
Over a defined lookback window (default 10 bars), the strategy counts how many candles closed in the same direction (i.e., bullish or bearish).
Simultaneously, it calculates the price range during that window.
If volatility is above a minimum threshold and a clear directional bias is detected (e.g., >60% of closes are bullish), a trade is opened in the direction of that bias.
This approach assumes that when high volatility is coupled with directional closing consistency, the market is probabilistically more likely to continue in that direction.
ATR-based stop-loss and take-profit levels are applied, and trades auto-exit after 20 bars if targets are not hit.
Key Features
- 100% non-indicator-based logic
- Statistically-driven directional bias detection
- Works across all timeframes (1H, 4H, 1D)
- ATR-based risk management
- No pyramiding, slippage and commissions included
- Compatible with real-world backtesting conditions
Realism & Assumptions
To make this strategy more aligned with actual trading environments, it includes 0.05% commission per trade and a 1-point slippage on every entry and exit.
Additionally, position sizing is set at 10% of a $10,000 starting capital, and no pyramiding is allowed.
These assumptions help avoid unrealistic backtest results and make the performance metrics more representative of live conditions.
Parameter Explanation
Bias Window (10 bars): Number of past candles used to evaluate directional closings
Bias Threshold (0.60): Required ratio of same-direction candles to consider a bias valid
Minimum Range (1.5%): Ensures the market is volatile enough to avoid noise
ATR Length (14): Used to dynamically define stop-loss and target zones
Risk-Reward Ratio (2.0): Take-profit is set at twice the stop-loss distance
Max Holding Bars (20): Trades are closed automatically after 20 bars to prevent stagnation
Originality Note
Unlike common strategies based on oscillators or moving averages, this script is built on pure statistical inference. It models the market as a probabilistic process and identifies directional intent based on historical closing behavior, filtered by volatility. This makes it a non-linear, adaptive model grounded in real-world price structure — not traditional technical indicators.
Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational and experimental purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and test thoroughly before applying with real capital.
SuperTrade ST1 StrategyOverview
The SuperTrade ST1 Strategy is a long-only trend-following strategy that combines a Supertrend indicator with a 200-period EMA filter to isolate high-probability bullish trade setups. It is designed to operate in trending markets, using volatility-based exits with a strict 1:4 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio, meaning that each trade targets a profit 4× the size of its predefined risk.
This strategy is ideal for traders looking to align with medium- to long-term trends, while maintaining disciplined risk control and minimal trade frequency.
How It Works
This strategy leverages three key components:
Supertrend Indicator
A trend-following indicator based on Average True Range (ATR).
Identifies bullish/bearish trend direction by plotting a trailing stop line that moves with price volatility.
200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Filter
Trades are only taken when the price is above the EMA, ensuring participation only during confirmed uptrends.
Helps filter out counter-trend entries during market pullbacks or ranges.
ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit
Each trade uses the ATR to calculate volatility-adjusted exit levels.
Stop Loss: 1× ATR below entry.
Take Profit: 4× ATR above entry (1:4 R:R).
This asymmetry ensures that even with a lower win rate, the strategy can remain profitable.
Entry Conditions
A long trade is triggered when:
Supertrend flips from bearish to bullish (trend reversal).
Price closes above the Supertrend line.
Price is above the 200 EMA (bullish market bias).
Exit Logic
Once a long position is entered:
Stop loss is set 1 ATR below entry.
Take profit is set 4 ATR above entry.
The strategy automatically exits the position on either target.
Backtest Settings
This strategy is configured for realistic backtesting, including:
$10,000 account size
2% equity risk per trade
0.1% commission
1 tick slippage
These settings aim to simulate real-world conditions and avoid overly optimistic results.
How to Use
Apply the script to any timeframe, though higher timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily) often yield more reliable signals.
Works best in clearly trending markets (especially in crypto, stocks, indices).
Can be paired with alerts for live trading or analysis.
Important Notes
This version is long-only by design. No short positions are executed.
Ideal for swing traders or position traders seeking asymmetric returns.
Users can modify the ATR period, Supertrend factor, or EMA filter length based on asset behavior.
