azLibConnectorThe AzLibConnector provides a comprehensive suite of functions for facilitating seamless communication and chaining of signal value streams between connectable indicators, signal filters, monitors, and strategies on TradingView. By adeptly integrating both positive and negative weights from Entry Long (EL), Exit Long (XL), Entry Short (ES), and Exit Short (XS) signals into a singular figure, it leverages the source input field of TradingView to efficiently connect indicators in a chain. This results in a streamlined strategy setup without the necessity for Pine Script coding. Emphasizing modularity and uniformity, this library enables users to easily combine indicators into a coherent system, facilitating strategy development and execution with flexibility.
█ LIBRARY USAGE
extract(srcConnector)
Extract signals (EL, XL, ES, XS) from incoming connector signal stream
Parameters:
srcConnector : (series float) Source Connector. The connector stream series to extract the signals from.
Returns: A tuple containing the extracted EL, XL, ES, XS signal values.
compose(signalEL, signalXL, signalES, signalXS)
Compose a connector output signal stream from given EL, XL, ES and XS signals to be used by other Azullian Strategy Builder blocks.
Parameters:
signalEL : (series float) Entry Long signal value.
signalXL : (series float) Exit Long signal value.
signalES : (series float) Entry Short signal value.
signalXS : (series float) Exit Short signal value.
Returns: (series float) A composed connector output signal stream.
█ USAGE OF CONNECTABLE INDICATORS
■ Connectable chaining mechanism
Connectable indicators can be connected directly to the monitor, signal filter or strategy , or they can be daisy chained to each other while the last indicator in the chain connects to the monitor, signal filter or strategy. When using a signal filter or monitor you can chain the filter to the strategy input to make your chain complete.
• Direct chaining: Connect an indicator directly to the monitor, signal filter or strategy through the provided inputs (→).
• Daisy chaining: Connect indicators using the indicator input (→). The first in a daisy chain should have a flow (⌥) set to 'Indicator only'. Subsequent indicators use 'Both' to pass the previous weight. The final indicator connects to the monitor, signal filter, or strategy.
■ Set up the signal filter with a connectable indicator and strategy
Let's connect the MACD to a connectable signal filter and a strategy :
1. Load all relevant indicators
• Load MACD / Connectable
• Load Signal filter / Connectable
• Load Strategy / Connectable
2. Signal Filter: Connect the MACD to the Signal Filter
• Open the signal filter settings
• Choose one of the five input dropdowns (1→, 2→, 3→, 4→, 5→) and choose : MACD / Connectable: Signal Connector
• Toggle the enable box before the connected input to enable the incoming signal
3. Signal Filter: Update the filter settings if needed
• The default filter mode for the trading direction is SWING, and is compatible with the default settings in the strategy and indicators.
4. Signal Filter: Update the weight threshold settings if needed
• All connectable indicators load by default with a score of 6 for each direction (EL, XL, ES, XS)
• By default, weight threshold is 'ABOVE' Threshold 1 (TH1) and Threshold 2 (TH2), both set at 5. This allows each occurrence to score, as the default score is 1 point above the threshold.
5. Strategy: Connect the strategy to the signal filter in the strategy settings
• Select a strategy input → and select the Signal filter: Signal connector
6. Strategy: Enable filter compatible directions
• As the default setting of the filter is SWING, we should also set the SM (Strategy mode) to SWING.
Now that everything is connected, you'll notice green spikes in the signal filter or signal monitor representing long signals, and red spikes indicating short signals. Trades will also appear on the chart, complemented by a performance overview. Your journey is just beginning: delve into different scoring mechanisms, merge diverse connectable indicators, and craft unique chains. Instantly test your results and discover the potential of your configurations. Dive deep and enjoy the process!
█ BENEFITS
• Adaptable Modular Design: Arrange indicators in diverse structures via direct or daisy chaining, allowing tailored configurations to align with your analysis approach.
• Streamlined Backtesting: Simplify the iterative process of testing and adjusting combinations, facilitating a smoother exploration of potential setups.
• Intuitive Interface: Navigate TradingView with added ease. Integrate desired indicators, adjust settings, and establish alerts without delving into complex code.
• Signal Weight Precision: Leverage granular weight allocation among signals, offering a deeper layer of customization in strategy formulation.
• Advanced Signal Filtering: Define entry and exit conditions with more clarity, granting an added layer of strategy precision.
• Clear Visual Feedback: Distinct visual signals and cues enhance the readability of charts, promoting informed decision-making.
• Standardized Defaults: Indicators are equipped with universally recognized preset settings, ensuring consistency in initial setups across different types like momentum or volatility.
• Reliability: Our indicators are meticulously developed to prevent repainting. We strictly adhere to TradingView's coding conventions, ensuring our code is both performant and clean.
█ COMPATIBLE INDICATORS
Each indicator that incorporates our open-source 'azLibConnector' library and adheres to our conventions can be effortlessly integrated and used as detailed above.
For clarity and recognition within the TradingView platform, we append the suffix ' / Connectable' to every compatible indicator.
█ COMMON MISTAKES
• Removing an indicator from a chain: Deleting a linked indicator and confirming the "remove study tree" alert will also remove all underlying indicators in the object tree. Before removing one, disconnect the adjacent indicators and move it to the object stack's bottom.
• Point systems: The azLibConnector provides 500 points for each direction (EL: Enter long, XL: Exit long, ES: Enter short, XS: Exit short) Remember this cap when devising a point structure.
• Flow misconfiguration: In daisy chains the first indicator should always have a flow (⌥) setting of 'indicator only' while other indicator should have a flow (⌥) setting of 'both'.
█ A NOTE OF GRATITUDE
Through years of exploring TradingView and Pine Script, we've drawn immense inspiration from the community's knowledge and innovation. Thank you for being a constant source of motivation and insight.
█ RISK DISCLAIMER
Azullian's content, tools, scripts, articles, and educational offerings are presented purely for educational and informational uses. Please be aware that past performance should not be considered a predictor of future results.
Komut dosyalarını "backtest" için ara
Risk Reward Optimiser [ChartPrime]█ CONCEPTS
In modern day strategy optimization there are few options when it comes to optimizing a risk reward ratio. Users frequently need to experiment and go through countless permutations in order to tweak, adjust and find optimal in their data.
Therefore we have created the Risk Reward Optimizer.
The Risk Reward Optimizer is a technical tool designed to provide traders with comprehensive insights into their trading strategies.
It offers a range of features and functionalities aimed at enhancing traders' decision-making process.
With a focus on comprehensive data, it is there to help traders quickly and efficiently locate Risk Reward optimums for inbuilt of custom strategies.
█ Internal and external Signals:
The script can optimize risk to reward ratio for any type of signals
You can utilize the following :
🔸Internal signals ➞ We have included a number of common indicators into the optimizer such as:
▫️ Aroon
▫️ AO (Awesome Oscillator)
▫️ RSI (Relative Strength Index)
▫️ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
▫️ SuperTrend
▫️ Stochastic RSI
▫️ Stochastic
▫️ Moving averages
All these indicators have 3 conditions to generate signals :
Crossover
High Than
Less Than
🔸External signal
▫️ by incorporating your own indicators into the analysis. This flexibility enables you to tailor your strategy to your preferences.
◽️ How to link your signal with the optimizer:
In order to be able to analysis your signal we need to read it and to do so we would need to PLOT your signal with a defined value
plot( YOUR LONG Condition ? 100 : 0 , display = display.data_window)
█ Customizable Risk to Reward Ratios:
This tool allows you to test seven different customizable risk to reward ratios , helping you determine the most suitable risk-reward balance for your trading strategy. This data-driven approach takes the guesswork out of setting stop-loss and take-profit levels.
█ Comprehensive Data Analysis:
The tool provides a table displaying key metrics, including:
Total trades
Wins
Losses
Profit factor
Win rate
Profit and loss (PNL)
This data is essential for refining your trading strategy.
🔸 It includes a tooltip for each risk to reward ratio which gives data for the:
Most Profitable Trade USD value
Most Profitable Trade % value
Most Profitable Trade Bar Index
Most Profitable Trade Time (When it occurred)
Position and size is adjustable
█ Visual insights with histograms:
Visualize your trading performance with histograms displaying each risk to reward ratio trade space, showing total trades, wins, losses, and the ratio of profitable trades.
This visual representation helps you understand the strengths and weaknesses of your strategy.
It offers tooltips for each RR ratio with the average win and loss percentages for further analysis.
█ Dynamic Highlighting:
A drop-down menu allows you to highlight the maximum values of critical metrics such as:
Profit factor
Win rate
PNL
for quick identification of successful setups.
█ Stop Loss Flexibility:
You can adjust stop-loss levels using three different calculation methods:
ATR
Pivot
VWAP
This allows you to align risk-reward ratios with your preferred risk tolerance.
█ Chart Integration:
Visualize your trades directly on your price chart, with each trade displayed in a distinct color for easy tracking.
When your take-profit (TP) level is reached , the tool labels the corresponding risk-reward ratio for that specific TP, simplifying trade management.
█ Detailed Tooltips:
Tooltips provide deeper insights into your trading performance. They include information about the most profitable trade, such as the time it occurred, the bar index, and the percentage gain. Histogram tooltips also offer average win and loss percentages for further analysis.
█ Settings:
█ Code:
In summary, the Risk Reward Optimizer is a data-driven tool that offers traders the ability to optimize their risk-reward ratios, refine their strategies, and gain a deeper understanding of their trading performance. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or investor, this tool can help you make informed decisions and improve your trading outcomes.
Volume ValueWhen VelocityTitle: Volume ValueWhen Velocity Trading Strategy
▶ Introduction:
The " Volume ValueWhen Velocity " trading strategy is designed to generate long position signals based on various technical conditions, including volume thresholds, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and price action relative to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). The strategy aims to identify potential buy opportunities when specific criteria are met, helping traders capitalize on potential bullish movements.
▶ How to use and conditions
★ Important : Only on Spot Binance BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Name: Volume ValueWhen Velocity
Operating mode: Long on Spot BINANCE BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Timeframe: Only one hour
Market: Crypto
currency: Bitcoin only
Signal type: Medium or short term
Entry: All sections in the Technical Indicators and Conditions section must be saved to enter (This is explained below)
Exit: Based on loss limit and profit limit It is removed in the settings section
Backtesting:
⁃ Exchange: BINANCE BINANCE:BTCUSDT
⁃ Pair: BTCUSDT
⁃ Timeframe:1h
⁃ Fee: 0.1%
- Initial Capital: 1,000 USDT
- Position sizing: 500 usdt
-Trading Range: 2022-07-01 11:30 ___ 2023-07-21 14:30
▶ Strategy Settings and Parameters:
1. `strategy(title='Volume ValueWhen Velocity', ...`: Sets the strategy title, initial capital, default quantity type, default quantity value, commission value, and trading currency.
↬ Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Settings:
1. long_stoploss_value and long_stoploss_percentage : Define the stop-loss percentage for long positions.
2. long_takeprofit_value and long_takeprofit_percentage : Define the take-profit percentage for long positions.
↬ ValueWhen Occurrence Parameters:
1. occurrence_ValueWhen_1 and occurrence_ValueWhen_2 : Control the occurrences of value events.
2. `distance_value`: Specifies the minimum distance between occurrences of ValueWhen 1 and ValueWhen 2.
↬ RSI Settings:
1. rsi_over_sold and rsi_length : Define the oversold level and RSI length for RSI calculations.
↬ Volume Thresholds:
1. volume_threshold1 , volume_threshold2 , and volume_threshold3 : Set the volume thresholds for multiple volume conditions.
↬ ATR (Average True Range) Settings:
1. atr_small and atr_big : Specify the periods used to calculate the Average True Range.
▶ Date Range for Back-Testing:
1. start_date, end_date, start_month, end_month, start_year, and end_year : Define the date range for back-testing the strategy.
▶ Technical Indicators and Conditions:
1. rsi: Calculates the Relative Strength Index (RSI) based on the defined RSI length and the closing prices.
2. was_over_sold: Checks if the RSI was oversold in the last 10 bars.
3. getVolume and getVolume2 : Custom functions to retrieve volume data for specific bars.
4. firstCandleColor : Evaluates the color of the first candle based on different timeframes.
5. sma : Calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the closing price over 13 periods.
6. numCandles : Counts the number of candles since the close price crossed above the SMA.
7. atr1 : Checks if the ATR_small is less than ATR_big for the specified security and timeframe.
8. prevClose, prevCloseBarsAgo, and prevCloseChange : ValueWhen functions to calculate the change in the close price between specific occurrences.
9. atrval: A condition based on the ATR_value3.
▶ Buy Signal Condition:
Condition: A combination of multiple volume conditions.
buy_signal: The final buy signal condition that considers various technical conditions and their interactions.
▶ Long Strategy Execution:
1. The strategy will enter a long position (buy) when the buy_signal condition is met and within the specified date range.
2. A stop-loss and take-profit will be set for the long position to manage risk and potential profits.
▶ Conclusion:
The " Volume ValueWhen Velocity " trading strategy is designed to identify long position opportunities based on a combination of volume conditions, RSI, and price action. The strategy aims to capitalize on potential bullish movements and utilizes a stop-loss and take-profit mechanism to manage risk and optimize potential returns. Traders can use this strategy as a starting point for their own trading systems or further customize it to suit their preferences and risk appetite. It is crucial to thoroughly back-test and validate any trading strategy before deploying it in live markets.
↯ Disclaimer:
Risk Management is crucial, so adjust stop loss to your comfort level. A tight stop loss can help minimise potential losses. Use at your own risk.
How you or we can improve? Source code is open so share your ideas!
Leave a comment and smash the boost button!
Yesterday's High v.17.07Yesterday’s High Breakout it is a trading system based on the analysis of yesterday's highs, it works in trend-following mode therefore it opens a long position at the breakout of yesterday's highs even if they occur several times in one day.
There are several methods for exiting a trade, each with its own unique strategy. The first method involves setting Take-Profit and Stop-Loss percentages, while the second utilizes a trailing-stop with a specified offset value. The third method calls for a conditional exit when the candle closes below a reference EMA.
Additionally, operational filters can be applied based on the volatility of the currency pair, such as calculating the percentage change from the opening or incorporating a gap to the previous day's high levels. These filters help to anticipate or delay entry into the market, mitigating the risk of false breakouts.
In the specific case of INJ, a 12% Take-Profit and a 1.5% Stop-Loss were set, with an activated trailing-stop percentage, TRL 1 and OFF 0.5.
To postpone entry and avoid false breakouts, a 1% gap was added to the price of yesterday's highs.
Name: Yesterday's High Breakout - Trend Follower Strategy
Author: @tumiza999
Category: Trend Follower, Breakout of Yesterday's High.
Operating mode: Spot or Futures (only long).
Trade duration: Intraday.
Timeframe: 30M, 1H, 2H, 4H
Market: Crypto
Suggested usage: Short-term trading, when the market is in trend and it is showing high volatility.
Entry: When there is a breakout of Yesterday's High.
Exit: Profit target or Trailing stop, Stop loss or Crossunder EMA.
Configuration:
- Gap to anticipate or postpone the entry before or after the identified level
- Rate of Change for Entry Condition
- Take Profit, Stop Loss and Trailing Stop
- EMA length
Backtesting:
⁃ Exchange: BINANCE
⁃ Pair: INJUSDT
⁃ Timeframe: 4H
- Treshold: 1
- Gap%: 1
- SL: 1.5
- TP:12
- TRL: 1
- OFF-TRL: 0.5
⁃ Fee: 0.075%
⁃ Slippage: 1
- Initial Capital: 10000 USDT
- Position sizing: 10% of Equity
- Start : 2018-07-26 (Out Of Sample from 2022-12-23)
- Bar magnifier: on
Credits: LucF for Pine Coders (f_security function to avoid repainting using security)
Disclaimer: Risk Management is crucial, so adjust stop loss to your comfort level. A tight stop loss can help minimise potential losses. Use at your own risk.
How you or we can improve? Source code is open so share your ideas!
Leave a comment and smash the boost button!
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Probability Envelopes (PBE)Introduction
In the world of trading, technical analysis is vital for making informed decisions about the future direction of an asset's price. One such tool is the use of indicators, mathematical calculations that can help traders predict market trends. This article delves into an innovative indicator called the Probability Envelopes Indicator, which offers valuable insights into the potential price levels an asset may reach based on historical data. This in-depth look explores the statistical foundations of the indicator, highlighting its key components and benefits.
Section 1: Calculating Price Movements with Log Returns and Percentages
The Probability Envelopes Indicator provides the option to use either log returns or percentage changes when calculating price movements. Each method has its advantages:
Log Returns: These are calculated as the natural logarithm of the ratio of the current price to the previous price. Log returns are considered more stable and less sensitive to extreme price fluctuations.
Percentage Changes: These are calculated as the percentage difference between the current price and the previous price. They are simpler to interpret and easier to understand for most traders.
Section 2: Understanding Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation
The Probability Envelopes Indicator utilizes various statistical measures to analyze historical price movements:
Mean: This is the average of a set of numbers. In the context of this indicator, it represents the average price movement for bullish (green) and bearish (red) scenarios.
Variance: This measure represents the dispersion of data points in a dataset. A higher variance indicates a greater spread of data points from the mean. Variance is calculated as the average of the squared differences from the mean.
Standard Deviation: This is the square root of the variance. It is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a dataset. In the context of this indicator, standard deviations are used to calculate the width of the bands around the expected mean.
Section 3: Analyzing Historical Price Movements and Probabilities
The Probability Envelopes Indicator examines historical price movements and calculates probabilities based on their frequency:
The indicator first identifies and categorizes price movements into bullish (green) and bearish (red) scenarios.
It then calculates the probability of each price movement occurring by dividing the frequency of the movement by the total number of occurrences in each category (bullish or bearish).
The expected green and red movements are calculated by multiplying the probabilities by their respective price movements and summing the results.
The total expected movement, or weighted average, is calculated by combining the expected green and red movements and dividing by the total number of occurrences.
Section 4: Constructing the Probability Envelopes
The Probability Envelopes Indicator utilizes the calculated statistics to construct its bands:
The expected mean is calculated using the total expected movement and applied to the current open price.
An exponential moving average (EMA) is used to smooth the expected mean, with the smoothing length determining the degree of responsiveness.
The upper and lower bands are calculated by adding and subtracting the mean green and red movements, respectively, along with their standard deviations multiplied by a user-defined multiplier.
Section 5: Benefits of the Probability Envelopes Indicator
The Probability Envelopes Indicator offers numerous advantages to traders:
Enhanced Decision-Making: By providing probability-based estimations of future price levels, the indicator can help traders make more informed decisions and potentially improve their trading strategies.
Versatility: The indicator is applicable to various financial instruments, such as stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies, making it a valuable tool for traders in different markets.
Customization: The indicator's parameters, including the use of log returns, multiplier values, and smoothing length, can be adjusted according to the user's preferences and trading style. This flexibility allows traders to fine-tune the Probability Envelopes Indicator to better suit their needs and goals.
Risk Management: The Probability Envelopes Indicator can be used as a component of a risk management strategy by providing insight into potential price movements. By identifying potential areas of support and resistance, traders can set stop-loss and take-profit levels more effectively.
Visualization: The graphical representation of the indicator, with its clear upper and lower bands, makes it easy for traders to quickly assess the market and potential price levels.
Section 6: Integrating the Probability Envelopes Indicator into Your Trading Strategy
When incorporating the Probability Envelopes Indicator into your trading strategy, consider the following tips:
Confirmation Signals: Use the indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as trend lines, moving averages, or oscillators, to confirm the strength and direction of the market trend.
Timeframes: Experiment with different timeframes to find the optimal settings for your trading strategy. Keep in mind that shorter timeframes may generate more frequent signals but may also increase the likelihood of false signals.
Risk Management: Always establish a proper risk management strategy that includes setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, as well as managing your position sizes.
Backtesting: Test the Probability Envelopes Indicator on historical data to evaluate its effectiveness and fine-tune its parameters to optimize your trading strategy.
Section 7: Cons and Limitations of the Probability Envelopes Indicator
While the Probability Envelopes Indicator offers several advantages to traders, it is essential to be aware of its potential cons and limitations. Understanding these can help you make better-informed decisions when incorporating the indicator into your trading strategy.
Lagging Nature: The Probability Envelopes Indicator is primarily based on historical data and price movements. As a result, it may be less responsive to real-time changes in market conditions, and the predicted price levels may not always accurately reflect the market's current state. This lagging nature can lead to late entry and exit signals.
False Signals: As with any technical analysis tool, the Probability Envelopes Indicator can generate false signals. These occur when the indicator suggests a potential price movement, but the market does not follow through. It is crucial to use other technical analysis tools to confirm the signals and minimize the impact of false signals on your trading decisions.
Complex Statistical Concepts: The Probability Envelopes Indicator relies on complex statistical concepts and calculations, which may be challenging to grasp for some traders, particularly beginners. This complexity can lead to misunderstandings and misuse of the indicator if not adequately understood.
Overemphasis on Past Data: While historical data can be informative, relying too heavily on past performance to predict future movements can be limiting. Market conditions can change rapidly, and relying solely on past data may not provide an accurate representation of the current market environment.
No Guarantees: The Probability Envelopes Indicator, like all technical analysis tools, cannot guarantee success. It is essential to approach trading with realistic expectations and understand that no indicator or strategy can provide foolproof results.
To overcome these limitations, it is crucial to combine the Probability Envelopes Indicator with other technical analysis tools and utilize a comprehensive risk management strategy. By doing so, you can better understand the market and increase your chances of success in the ever-changing financial markets.
Section 8: Probability Envelopes Indicator vs. Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands and the Probability Envelopes Indicator are both technical analysis tools designed to identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as potential trend reversals. However, they differ in their underlying concepts, calculations, and applications. This section will provide a deep dive into the differences between these two indicators and how they can complement each other in a trading strategy.
Underlying Concepts and Calculations:
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands are based on a simple moving average (SMA) of the price data, with upper and lower bands plotted at a specified number of standard deviations away from the SMA.
The distance between the bands widens during periods of increased price volatility and narrows during periods of low volatility, indicating potential trend reversals or breakouts.
The standard settings for Bollinger Bands typically involve a 20-period SMA and a 2 standard deviation distance for the upper and lower bands.
Probability Envelopes Indicator:
The Probability Envelopes Indicator calculates the expected price movements based on historical data and probabilities, utilizing mean and standard deviation calculations for both upward and downward price movements.
It generates upper and lower bands based on the calculated expected mean movement and the standard deviation of historical price changes, multiplied by a user-defined multiplier.
The Probability Envelopes Indicator also allows users to choose between using log returns or percentage changes for the calculations, adding flexibility to the indicator.
Key Differences:
Calculation Method: Bollinger Bands are based on a simple moving average and standard deviations, while the Probability Envelopes Indicator uses statistical probability calculations derived from historical price changes.
Flexibility: The Probability Envelopes Indicator allows users to choose between log returns or percentage changes and adjust the multiplier, offering more customization options compared to Bollinger Bands.
Risk Management: Bollinger Bands primarily focus on volatility, while the Probability Envelopes Indicator incorporates probability calculations to provide additional insights into potential price movements, which can be helpful for risk management purposes.
Complementary Use:
Using both Bollinger Bands and the Probability Envelopes Indicator in your trading strategy can offer valuable insights into market conditions and potential price levels.
Bollinger Bands can provide insights into market volatility and potential breakouts or trend reversals based on the widening or narrowing of the bands.
The Probability Envelopes Indicator can offer additional information on the expected price movements based on historical data and probabilities, which can be helpful in anticipating potential support and resistance levels.
Combining these two indicators can help traders to better understand market dynamics and increase their chances of identifying profitable trading opportunities.
In conclusion, while both Bollinger Bands and the Probability Envelopes Indicator aim to identify potential support and resistance levels, they differ significantly in their underlying concepts, calculations, and applications. By understanding these differences and incorporating both tools into your trading strategy, you can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market and make more informed trading decisions.
In conclusion, the Probability Envelopes Indicator is a powerful and versatile technical analysis tool that offers unique insights into expected price movements based on historical data and probability calculations. It provides traders with the ability to identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as potential trend reversals. When compared to Bollinger Bands, the Probability Envelopes Indicator offers more customization options and incorporates probability-based calculations for a different perspective on market dynamics.
Although the Probability Envelopes Indicator has its limitations and potential cons, such as the reliance on historical data and the assumption that past performance is indicative of future results, it remains a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit. By using the Probability Envelopes Indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as Bollinger Bands, traders can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market and make more informed trading decisions.
Ultimately, the success of any trading strategy relies on the ability to interpret and apply multiple indicators effectively. The Probability Envelopes Indicator serves as a unique and valuable tool in this regard, providing traders with a deeper understanding of the market and its potential price movements. By utilizing this indicator in combination with other tools and techniques, traders can increase their chances of success and optimize their trading strategies.
PineScript v4 - Forex Pin-Bar Trading StrategyPineScript v4, forex trading robot based on the commonly used bullish / bearish pin-bar piercing the moving averages strategy.
I coded this robot to stress-test the PineScript v4 language to see how advanced it is, and whether I could port a forex trading strategy from MT4 to TradingView.
In my opinion, PineScript v4 is still not a professional coding language; for example you cannot use IF-statements to modify the contents of global variables; this makes complex robot behaviour difficult to implement. In addition, it is unclear if the programmer can use nested IF-ELSE, or nested FOR within IF.
The sequence of program execution is also unclear, and although complex order entry and exit appears to function properly, I am not completely comfortable with it.
Recommended Chart Settings:
Asset Class: Forex
Time Frame: H1
Long Entry Conditions:
a) Moving Average up trend, fast crosses above slow
b) Presence of a Bullish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces either Moving Average
d) Moving Averages must be sloping up, angle threshold (optional)
Short Entry Conditions:
a) Moving Average down trend, fast crosses below slow
b) Presence of a Bearish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces either Moving Average
d) Moving Averages must be sloping down, angle threshold (optional)
Exit Conditions:
a) Stoploss level is hit
b) Takeprofit level is hit
c) Moving Averages cross-back (optional)
Default Robot Settings:
Equity Risk (%): 3 //how much account balance to risk per trade
Stop Loss (x*ATR, Float): 2.1 //stoploss = x * ATR, you can change x
Risk : Reward (1 : x*SL, Float): 3.1 //takeprofit = x * stop_loss_distance, you can change x
Fast MA (Period): 20 //fast moving average period
Slow MA (Period): 50 //slow moving average period
ATR (Period): 14 //average true range period
Use MA Slope (Boolean): true //toggle the requirement of the moving average slope
Bull Slope Angle (Deg): 1 //angle above which, moving average is considered to be sloping up
Bear Slope Angle (Deg): -1 //angle below which, moving average is considered to be sloping down
Exit When MA Re-Cross (Boolean): true //toggle, close trade if moving average crosses back
Cancel Entry After X Bars (Period): 3 //cancel the order after x bars not triggered, you can change x
Backtest Results (2019 to 2020, H1, Default Settings):
EURJPY - 111% profit, 2.631 profit factor, 16.43% drawdown
EURUSD - 103% profit, 2.899 profit factor, 14.95% drawdown
EURAUD - 76.75% profit, 1.8 profit factor, 17.99% drawdown
NZDUSD - 64.62% profit, 1.727 profit factor, 19.14% drawdown
GBPUSD - 58.73% profit, 1.663 profit factor, 15.44% downdown
AUDJPY - 48.71% profit, 1.635 profit factor, 11.81% drawdown
USDCHF - 30.72% profit, 1.36 profit factor, 22.63% drawdown
AUDUSD - 8.54% profit, 1.092 profit factor, 19.86% drawdown
EURGBP - 0.03% profit, 1.0 profit factor, 29.66% drawdown
USDJPY - 1.96% loss, 0.972 profit factor, 28.37% drawdown
USDCAD - 6.36% loss, 0.891 profit factor, 21.14% drawdown
GBPJPY - 28.27% loss, 0.461 profit factor, 39.13% drawdown
To reduce the possibility of curve-fitting, this robot was backtested on 12 popular forex currencies, as shown above. The robot was profitable on 8 out of 12 currencies, breakeven on 1, and made a loss on 3.
The default robot settings could be over-fitting for the EUR, as we can see out-sized performance for the EUR pairs, with the exception of the EURGBP. We can see that GBPJPY made the largest loss, so these two pairs could be related.
Risk Warning:
This is a forex trading strategy that involves high risk of equity loss, and backtest performance will not equal future results. You agree to use this script at your own risk.
Bollinger Bands BAT/USDT 30minThis is ready to use Bollinger Band strategy that was backtested on the data from the previous year 2019.
The main purpose of this strategy is to determine trades with the highest probability of success, to keep a consistent portfolio growth throughout the year. This strategy cherry-picks the most reliable points of entry on a particular timeframe (30m) for the particular asset (BAT/USDT). The backtest shows a great result of 78.95% profitability with the maximum drawdown of -4.02%. This is one of my strategies out of the group of automated strategies that helps to grow my portfolio steadily.
You are welcome to change inputs and backtest the following strategy. Any comments or ideas would be appreciated.
If you are happy with existing results and would like to automate the strategy, which can be done through alerts, then you need to convert it to study and add alerts in the code.
Let me know if you are interested in that and I will create a study based on this strategy.
Pivot Squeeze StrategyStrategy based on Pivot Squeeze Oscillator Indicator for backtesting.
Features:
- Pivot Lookback adjustment
- Trade Both Directions, Long Trades Only, Short Trades Only
- Use Pivot Divergence Breakout logic, Pivot Divergence MA Cross Zero logic, or Pivot Divergence MA Cross Slow MA logic
- Adjustments for Breakout Threshold
- Risk Management (Stop Loss/Take Profit/etc)
- Visual Information
- Backtesting Period customization
National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)This is one of the most important macro indicators in my trading arsenal due to its reliability across different market regimes. I'm excited to share this with the TradingView community because this Federal Reserve data is not only completely free but extraordinarily useful for portfolio management and risk assessment.
**Important Disclaimers**: Be aware that some NFCI components are updated only monthly but carry significant weighting in the composite index. Additionally, the Fed occasionally revises historical NFCI data, so historical backtests should be interpreted with some caution. Nevertheless, this remains a crucial leading indicator for financial stress conditions.
---
## What is the National Financial Conditions Index?
The National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) is a comprehensive measure of financial stress and liquidity conditions developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. This indicator synthesizes over 100 financial market variables into a single, interpretable metric that captures the overall state of financial conditions in the United States (Brave & Butters, 2011).
**Key Principle**: When the NFCI is positive, financial conditions are tighter than average; when negative, conditions are looser than average. Values above +1.0 historically coincide with financial crises, while values below -1.0 often signal bubble-like conditions.
## Scientific Foundation & Research
The NFCI methodology is grounded in extensive academic research:
### Core Research Foundation
- **Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011)**. "Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach." *Economic Perspectives*, 35(1), 22-43.
- **Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010)**. "Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis." *US Monetary Policy Forum Report*, No. 23.
- **Kliesen, K. L., Owyang, M. T., & Vermann, E. K. (2012)**. "Disentangling diverse measures: A survey of financial stress indexes." *Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review*, 94(5), 369-397.
### Methodological Validation
The NFCI employs Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to extract common factors from financial market data, following the methodology established by **English, W. B., Tsatsaronis, K., & Zoli, E. (2005)** in "Assessing the predictive power of measures of financial conditions for macroeconomic variables." The index has been validated through extensive academic research (Koop & Korobilis, 2014).
## NFCI Components Explained
This indicator provides access to all five official NFCI variants:
### 1. **Main NFCI**
The primary composite index incorporating all financial market sectors. This serves as the main signal for portfolio allocation decisions.
### 2. **Adjusted NFCI (ANFCI)**
Removes the influence of credit market disruptions to focus on non-credit financial stress. Particularly useful during banking crises when credit markets may be impaired but other financial conditions remain stable.
### 3. **Credit Sub-Index**
Isolates credit market conditions including corporate bond spreads, commercial paper rates, and bank lending standards. Important for assessing corporate financing stress.
### 4. **Leverage Sub-Index**
Measures systemic leverage through margin requirements, dealer financing, and institutional leverage metrics. Useful for identifying leverage-driven market stress.
### 5. **Risk Sub-Index**
Captures market-based risk measures including volatility, correlation, and tail risk indicators. Provides indication of risk appetite shifts.
## Practical Trading Applications
### Portfolio Allocation Framework
Based on the academic research, the NFCI can be used for portfolio positioning:
**Risk-On Positioning (NFCI declining):**
- Consider increasing equity exposure
- Reduce defensive positions
- Evaluate growth-oriented sectors
**Risk-Off Positioning (NFCI rising):**
- Consider reducing equity exposure
- Increase defensive positioning
- Favor large-cap, dividend-paying stocks
### Academic Validation
According to **Oet, M. V., Eiben, R., Bianco, T., Gramlich, D., & Ong, S. J. (2011)** in "The financial stress index: Identification of systemic risk conditions," financial conditions indices like the NFCI provide early warning capabilities for systemic risk conditions.
**Illing, M., & Liu, Y. (2006)** demonstrated in "Measuring financial stress in a developed country: An application to Canada" that composite financial stress measures can be useful for predicting economic downturns.
## Advanced Features of This Implementation
### Dynamic Background Coloring
- **Green backgrounds**: Risk-On conditions - potentially favorable for equity investment
- **Red backgrounds**: Risk-Off conditions - time for defensive positioning
- **Intensity varies**: Based on deviation from trend for nuanced risk assessment
### Professional Dashboard
Real-time analytics table showing:
- Current NFCI level and interpretation (TIGHT/LOOSE/NEUTRAL)
- Individual sub-index readings
- Change analysis
- Portfolio guidance (Risk On/Risk Off)
### Alert System
Professional-grade alerts for:
- Risk regime changes
- Extreme stress conditions (NFCI > 1.0)
- Bubble risk warnings (NFCI < -1.0)
- Major trend reversals
## Optimal Usage Guidelines
### Best Timeframes
- **Daily charts**: Recommended for intermediate-term positioning
- **Weekly charts**: Suitable for longer-term portfolio allocation
- **Intraday**: Less effective due to weekly update frequency
### Complementary Indicators
For enhanced analysis, combine NFCI signals with:
- **VIX levels**: Confirm stress readings
- **Credit spreads**: Validate credit sub-index signals
- **Moving averages**: Determine overall market trend context
- **Economic surprise indices**: Gauge fundamental backdrop
### Position Sizing Considerations
- **Extreme readings** (|NFCI| > 1.0): Consider higher conviction positioning
- **Moderate readings** (|NFCI| 0.3-1.0): Standard position sizing
- **Neutral readings** (|NFCI| < 0.3): Consider reduced conviction
## Important Limitations & Considerations
### Data Frequency Issues
**Critical Warning**: While the main NFCI updates weekly (typically Wednesdays), some underlying components update monthly. Corporate bond indices and commercial paper rates, which carry significant weight, may cause delayed reactions to current market conditions.
**Component Update Schedule:**
- **Weekly Updates**: Main NFCI composite, most equity volatility measures
- **Monthly Updates**: Corporate bond spreads, commercial paper rates
- **Quarterly Updates**: Banking sector surveys
- **Impact**: Significant portion of index weight may lag current conditions
### Historical Revisions
The Federal Reserve occasionally revises NFCI historical data as new information becomes available or methodologies are refined. This means backtesting results should be interpreted cautiously, and the indicator works best for forward-looking analysis rather than precise historical replication.
### Market Regime Dependency
The NFCI effectiveness may vary across different market regimes. During extended sideways markets or regime transitions, signals may be less reliable. Consider combining with trend-following indicators for optimal results.
**Bottom Line**: Use NFCI for medium-term portfolio positioning guidance. Trust the directional signals while remaining aware of data revision risks and update frequency limitations. This indicator is particularly valuable during periods of financial stress when reliable guidance is most needed.
---
**Data Source**: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
**Update Frequency**: Weekly (typically Wednesdays)
**Historical Coverage**: 1973-present
**Cost**: Free (public Fed data)
*This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before making investment decisions.*
## References
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. *Economic Perspectives*, 35(1), 22-43.
English, W. B., Tsatsaronis, K., & Zoli, E. (2005). Assessing the predictive power of measures of financial conditions for macroeconomic variables. *BIS Papers*, 22, 228-252.
Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010). Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis. *US Monetary Policy Forum Report*, No. 23.
Illing, M., & Liu, Y. (2006). Measuring financial stress in a developed country: An application to Canada. *Bank of Canada Working Paper*, 2006-02.
Kliesen, K. L., Owyang, M. T., & Vermann, E. K. (2012). Disentangling diverse measures: A survey of financial stress indexes. *Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review*, 94(5), 369-397.
Koop, G., & Korobilis, D. (2014). A new index of financial conditions. *European Economic Review*, 71, 101-116.
Oet, M. V., Eiben, R., Bianco, T., Gramlich, D., & Ong, S. J. (2011). The financial stress index: Identification of systemic risk conditions. *Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Working Paper*, 11-30.
Divergence Strategy [Trendoscope®]🎲 Overview
The Divergence Strategy is a sophisticated TradingView strategy that enhances the Divergence Screener by adding automated trade signal generation, risk management, and trade visualization. It leverages the screener’s robust divergence detection to identify bullish, bearish, regular, and hidden divergences, then executes trades with precise entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels. Designed for traders seeking automated trading solutions, this strategy offers customizable trade parameters and visual feedback to optimize performance across various markets and timeframes.
For core divergence detection features, including oscillator options, trend detection methods, zigzag pivot analysis, and visualization, refer to the Divergence Screener documentation. This description focuses on the strategy-specific enhancements for automated trading and risk management.
🎲 Strategy Features
🎯Automated Trade Signal Generation
Trade Direction Control : Restrict trades to long-only or short-only to align with market bias or strategy goals, preventing conflicting orders.
Divergence Type Selection : Choose to trade regular divergences (bullish/bearish), hidden divergences, or both, targeting reversals or trend continuations.
Entry Type Options :
Cautious : Enters conservatively at pivot points and exits quickly to minimize risk exposure.
Confident : Enters aggressively at the latest price and holds longer to capture larger moves.
Mixed : Combines conservative entries with delayed exits for a balanced approach.
Market vs. Stop Orders: Opt for market orders for instant execution or stop orders for precise price entry.
🎯 Enhanced Risk Management
Risk/Reward Ratio : Define a risk-reward ratio (default: 2.0) to set profit targets relative to stop-loss levels, ensuring consistent trade sizing.
Bracket Orders : Trades include entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels calculated from divergence pivot points, tailored to the entry type and risk-reward settings.
Stop-Loss Placement : Stops are strategically set (e.g., at recent pivot or last price point) based on entry type, balancing risk and trade validity.
Order Cancellation : Optionally cancel pending orders when a divergence is broken (e.g., price moves past the pivot in the wrong direction), reducing invalid trades. This feature is toggleable for flexibility.
🎯 Trade Visualization
Target and Stop Boxes : Displays take-profit (lime) and stop-loss (orange) levels as boxes on the price chart, extending 10 bars forward for clear visibility.
Dynamic Trade Updates : Trade visualizations are added, updated, or removed as trades are executed, canceled, or invalidated, ensuring accurate feedback.
Overlay Integration : Trade levels overlay the price chart, complementing the screener’s oscillator-based divergence lines and labels.
🎯 Strategy Default Configuration
Capital and Sizing : Set initial capital (default: $1,000,000) and position size (default: 20% of equity) for realistic backtesting.
Pyramiding : Allows up to 4 concurrent trades, enabling multiple divergence-based entries in trending markets.
Commission and Margin : Accounts for commission (default: 0.01%) and margin (100% for long/short) to reflect trading costs.
Performance Optimization : Processes up to 5,000 bars dynamically, balancing historical analysis and real-time execution.
🎲 Inputs and Configuration
🎯Trade Settings
Direction : Select Long or Short (default: Long).
Divergence : Trade Regular, Hidden, or Both divergence types (default: Both).
Entry/Exit Type : Choose Cautious, Confident, or Mixed (default: Cautious).
Risk/Reward : Set the risk-reward ratio for profit targets (default: 2.0).
Use Market Order : Enable market orders for immediate entry (default: false, uses limit orders).
Cancel On Break : Cancel pending orders when divergence is broken (default: true).
🎯Inherited Settings
The strategy inherits all inputs from the Divergence Screener, including:
Oscillator Settings : Oscillator type (e.g., RSI, CCI), length, and external oscillator option.
Trend Settings : Trend detection method (Zigzag, MA Difference, External), MA type, and length.
Zigzag Settings : Zigzag length (fixed repaint = true).
🎲 Entry/Exit Types for Divergence Scenarios
The Divergence Strategy offers three Entry/Exit Type options—Cautious, Confident, and Mixed—which determine how trades are entered and exited based on divergence pivot points. This section explains how these settings apply to different divergence scenarios, with placeholders for screenshots to illustrate each case.
The divergence pattern forms after 3 pivots. The stop and entry levels are formed on one of these levels based on Entry/Exit types.
🎯Bullish Divergence (Reversal)
A bullish divergence occurs when price forms a lower low, but the oscillator forms a higher low, signaling a potential upward reversal.
💎 Cautious:
Entry : At the pivot high point for a conservative entry.
Exit : Stop-loss at the last pivot point (previous low that is higher than the current pivot low); take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks below the pivot (if Cancel On Break is enabled).
Behavior : Enters after confirmation and exits quickly to limit downside risk.
💎Confident:
Entry : At the last pivot low, (previous low which is higher than the current pivot low) for an aggressive entry.
Exit : Stop-loss at recent pivot low, which is the lowest point; take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks below the pivot. (lazy exit)
Behavior : Enters early to capture trend continuation, holding longer for gains.
💎Mixed:
Entry : At the pivot high point (conservative).
Exit : Stop-loss at the recent pivot point that has resulted in lower low (lazy exit). Canceled if price breaks below the pivot.
Behavior : Balances entry caution with extended holding for trend continuation.
🎯Bearish Divergence (Reversal)
A bearish divergence occurs when price forms a higher high, but the oscillator forms a lower high, indicating a potential downward reversal.
💎Cautious:
Entry : At the pivot low point (lower high) for a conservative short entry.
Exit : Stop-loss at the previous pivot high point (previous high); take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks above the pivot (if Cancel On Break is enabled).
Behavior : Enters conservatively and exits quickly to minimize risk.
💎Confident:
Entry : At the last price point (previous high) for an aggressive short entry.
Exit : Stop-loss at the pivot point; take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks above the pivot.
Behavior : Enters early to maximize trend continuation, holding longer.
💎Mixed:
Entry : At the previous piot high point (conservative).
Exit : Stop-loss at the last price point (delayed exit). Canceled if price breaks above the pivot.
Behavior : Combines conservative entry with extended holding for downtrend gains.
🎯Bullish Hidden Divergence (Continuation)
A bullish hidden divergence occurs when price forms a higher low, but the oscillator forms a lower low, suggesting uptrend continuation. In case of Hidden bullish divergence, b]Entry is always on the previous pivot high (unless it is a market order)
💎Cautious:
Exit : Stop-loss at the recent pivot low point (higher than previous pivot low); take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks below the pivot (if Cancel On Break is enabled).
Behavior : Enters after confirmation and exits quickly to limit downside risk.
💎Confident:
Exit : Stop-loss at previous pivot low, which is the lowest point; take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks below the pivot. (lazy exit)
Behavior : Enters early to capture trend continuation, holding longer for gains.
🎯Bearish Hidden Divergence (Continuation)
A bearish hidden divergence occurs when price forms a lower high, but the oscillator forms a higher high, suggesting downtrend continuation. In case of Hidden Bearish divergence, b]Entry is always on the previous pivot low (unless it is a market order)
💎Cautious:
Exit : Stop-loss at the latest pivot high point (which is a lower high); take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks above the pivot (if Cancel On Break is enabled).
Behavior : Enters conservatively and exits quickly to minimize risk.
💎Confident/Mixed:
Exit : Stop-loss at the previous pivot high point; take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks above the pivot.
Behavior : Uses the late exit point to hold longer.
🎲 Usage Instructions
🎯Add to Chart:
Add the Divergence Strategy to your TradingView chart.
The oscillator and divergence signals appear in a separate pane, with trade levels (target/stop boxes) overlaid on the price chart.
🎯Configure Settings:
Adjust trade settings (direction, divergence type, entry type, risk-reward, market orders, cancel on break).
Modify inherited Divergence Screener settings (oscillator, trend method, zigzag length) as needed.
Enable/disable alerts for divergence notifications.
🎯Interpret Signals:
Long Trades: Triggered on bullish or bullish hidden divergences (if allowed), shown with green/lime lines and labels.
Short Trades: Triggered on bearish or bearish hidden divergences (if allowed), shown with red/orange lines and labels.
Monitor lime (target) and orange (stop) boxes for trade levels.
Review strategy performance metrics (e.g., profit/loss, win rate) in the strategy tester.
🎯Backtest and Optimize:
Use TradingView’s strategy tester to evaluate performance on historical data.
Fine-tune risk-reward, entry type, position sizing, and cancellation settings to suit your market and timeframe.
For questions, suggestions, or support, contact Trendoscope via TradingView or official support channels. Stay tuned for updates and enhancements to the Divergence Strategy!
Faytterro Bands Breakout📌 Faytterro Bands Breakout 📌
This indicator was created as a strategy showcase for another script: Faytterro Bands
It’s meant to demonstrate a simple breakout strategy based on Faytterro Bands logic and includes performance tracking.
❓ What Is It?
This script is a visual breakout strategy based on a custom moving average and dynamic deviation bands, similar in concept to Bollinger Bands but with unique smoothing (centered regression) and performance features.
🔍 What Does It Do?
Detects breakouts above or below the Faytterro Band.
Plots visual trade entries and exits.
Labels each trade with percentage return.
Draws profit/loss lines for every trade.
Shows cumulative performance (compounded return).
Displays key metrics in the top-right corner:
Total Return
Win Rate
Total Trades
Number of Wins / Losses
🛠 How Does It Work?
Bullish Breakout: When price crosses above the upper band and stays above the midline.
Bearish Breakout: When price crosses below the lower band and stays below the midline.
Each trade is held until breakout invalidation, not a fixed TP/SL.
Trades are compounded, i.e., profits stack up realistically over time.
📈 Best Use Cases:
For traders who want to experiment with breakout strategies.
For visual learners who want to study past breakouts with performance metrics.
As a template to develop your own logic on top of Faytterro Bands.
⚠ Notes:
This is a strategy-like visual indicator, not an automated backtest.
It doesn't use strategy.* commands, so you can still use alerts and visuals.
You can tweak the logic to create your own backtest-ready strategy.
Unlike the original Faytterro Bands, this script does not repaint and is fully stable on closed candles.
AltCoin Index Correlation🧠 AltCoin Index Correlation — Strategy Overview
AltCoin Index Correlation is a dynamic EMA-based trading strategy designed primarily for altcoins, but also adaptable to stocks and indices, thanks to its flexible reference index system.
🧭 Strategy Philosophy
The core idea behind this strategy is simple yet powerful:
Price action becomes more meaningful when it aligns with broader market context.
This script analyzes the correlation between the asset’s trend and a reference index trend, using dual EMA (Exponential Moving Average) crossovers for both.
When both the altcoin and the reference index (e.g. Altcoin Dominance, BTC Dominance, Total Market Cap, or even indices like the NASDAQ 100 or S&P 500) are aligned in trend direction, the script considers it a high-confidence setup.
It also includes:
Optional inverse correlation logic (for contrarian setups)
Custom leverage settings (e.g., 1x, 1.8x, etc.)
A dynamic scale-out mechanism during weakening trends
Date filtering for controlled backtests
A live performance dashboard with equity, PnL, win rate, drawdown, APR, and more
⚙️ Default Settings & Backtest Results
Timeframe tested: 1H
Test date: May 20, 2025
Sample: 100 high-cap altcoins
Reference index: CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D (Altcoin Dominance)
Leverage: 1.8x (180% of capital used)
📊 With default settings:
Win rate: ~80%
Higher profits, due to increased exposure
Best suited for confident trend followers with higher risk tolerance
📉 With fixed capital or 1x leverage:
Win rate improves to ~90%
Lower returns, but greater capital preservation
Ideal for conservative or risk-managed trading styles
🔄 Versatility
While tailored for altcoins, this strategy supports traditional markets as well:
Easily switch the reference index to OANDA:NAS100USD or S&P 500 for stock correlation trading
Adjust EMA lengths and leverage to match the asset class and volatility profile
🧩 Suggested Use
Best used on trending markets (not sideways)
Ideal for 1H timeframes, but adjustable
Suitable for traders who want a rules-based, macro-aware entry/exit system
Try it out, customize it to your style, try different settings and share your results with the community!
Feedback is welcome — and improvements are always in progress.
🚀 ### Check my profile for other juicy hints and original strategies. ### 🚀
NYBREAKOUT by FliuxStrategy Concept
This strategy captures high-probability breakout moves by defining a tight 30-minute range during low-volatility hours and trading the first clear break beyond that range with a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
Key Benefits
Simplicity: Clear, time-based range and mechanical entries/exits.
Defined R:R: Automatic 2:1 target ensures consistent risk management.
Time-filtered: Trades only the initial breakout of a calm, pre-session range.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Paste the Pine Script into TradingView’s Pine Editor, then click Add to Chart.
Backtest: Open Strategy Tester to review net profit, drawdown, win rate, and profit factor.
Optimize: Adjust stop-loss offset, R:R ratio, or session window parameters to suit different instruments or volatility regimes.
[blackcat] L3 Adaptive Trend SeekerOVERVIEW
The indicator is designed to help traders identify dynamic trends in various markets efficiently. It employs advanced calculations including Dynamic Moving Averages (DMAs) and multiple moving averages to filter out noise and provide clear buy/sell signals 📈✨. By utilizing innovative algorithms that adapt to changing market conditions, this tool enables users to make informed decisions across different timeframes and asset classes.
This versatile indicator serves both novice and experienced traders seeking reliable ways to navigate volatile environments. Its primary objective is to simplify complex trend analysis into actionable insights, making it an indispensable addition to any trader’s arsenal ⚙️🎯.
FEATURES
Customizable Dynamic Moving Average: Calculates an adaptive moving average tailored to specific needs using customizable coefficients.
Trend Identification: Utilizes multi-period moving averages (e.g., short-term, medium-term, long-term) to discern prevailing trends accurately.
Crossover Alerts: Provides visual cues via labels when significant crossover events occur between key indicators.
Adjusted MA Plots: Displays steplines colored according to the current trend direction (green for bullish, red for bearish).
Historical Price Analysis: Analyzes historical highs and lows over specified periods, ensuring robust trend identification.
Conditional Signals: Generates bullish/bearish conditions based on predefined rules enhancing decision-making efficiency.
HOW TO USE
Script Installation:
Copy the provided code and add it under Indicators > Add Custom Indicator within TradingView.
Choose an appropriate name and enable it on your desired charts.
Parameter Configuration:
Adjust the is_trend_seeker_active flag to activate/deactivate the core functionality as needed.
Modify other parameters such as smoothing factors if more customized behavior is required.
Interpreting Trends:
Observe the steppled lines representing the long-term/trend-adjusted moving averages:
Green indicates a bullish trend where prices are above the dynamically calculated threshold.
Red signifies a bearish environment with prices below respective levels.
Pay attention to labels marked "B" (for Bullish Crossover) and "S" (for Bearish Crossover).
Signal Integration:
Incorporate these generated signals within broader strategies involving support/resistance zones, volume data, and complementary indicators for stronger validity.
Use crossover alerts responsibly by validating them against recent market movements before execution.
Setting Up Alerts:
Configure alert notifications through TradingView’s interface corresponding to crucial crossover events ensuring timely responses.
Backtesting & Optimization:
Conduct extensive backtests applying diverse datasets spanning varied assets/types verifying robustness amidst differing conditions.
Refine parameters iteratively improving overall effectiveness and minimizing false positives/negatives.
EXAMPLE SCENARIOS
Swing Trading: Employ the stepline crossovers coupled with momentum oscillators like RSI to capitalize on intermediate trend reversals.
Day Trading: Leverage rapid adjustments offered by short-medium term MAs aligning entries/exits alongside intraday volatility metrics.
LIMITATIONS
The performance hinges upon accurate inputs; hence regular recalibration aligning shifting dynamics proves essential.
Excessive reliance solely on this indicator might lead to missed opportunities especially during sideways/choppy phases necessitating additional filters.
Always consider combining outputs with fundamental analyses ensuring holistic perspectives while managing risks effectively.
NOTES
Educational Resources: Delve deeper into principles behind dynamic moving averages and their significance in technical analysis bolstering comprehension.
Risk Management: Maintain stringent risk management protocols integrating stop-loss/profit targets safeguarding capital preservation.
Continuous Learning: Stay updated exploring evolving financial landscapes incorporating new methodologies enhancing script utility and relevance.
THANKS
Thanks to all contributors who have played vital roles refining and optimizing this script. Your valuable feedback drives continual enhancements paving way towards superior trading experiences!
Happy charting, and here's wishing you successful ventures ahead! 🌐💰!
Missing Candle AnalyzerMissing Candle Analyzer: Purpose and Importance
Overview The Missing Candle Analyzer is a Pine Script tool developed to detect and analyze gaps in candlestick data, specifically for cryptocurrency trading. In cryptocurrency markets, it is not uncommon to observe missing candles—time periods where no price data is recorded. These gaps can occur due to low liquidity, exchange downtime, or data feed issues.
Purpose The primary purpose of this tool is to identify missing candles in a given timeframe and provide detailed statistics about these gaps. Missing candles can introduce significant errors in trading strategies, particularly those relying on continuous price data for technical analysis, backtesting, or automated trading. By detecting and quantifying these gaps, traders can: Assess the reliability of the price data. Adjust their strategies to account for incomplete data. Avoid potential miscalculations in indicators or trade signals that assume continuous candlestick data.
Why It Matters In cryptocurrency trading, where volatility is high and trading decisions are often made in real-time, missing candles can lead to: Inaccurate Technical Indicators : Indicators like moving averages, RSI, or MACD may produce misleading signals if candles are missing. Faulty Backtesting : Historical data with gaps can skew backtest results, leading to over-optimistic or unreliable strategy performance. Execution Errors : Automated trading systems may misinterpret gaps, resulting in unintended trades or missed opportunities.
By using the Missing Candle Analyzer, traders gain visibility into the integrity of their data, enabling them to make informed decisions and refine their strategies to handle such anomalies.
Functionality
The script performs the following tasks: Gap Detection : Identifies time gaps between candles that exceed the expected timeframe duration (with a configurable multiplier for tolerance). Statistics Calculation : Tracks total candles, missing candles, missing percentage, and the largest gap duration. Visualization : Displays a table with analysis results and optional markers on the chart to highlight gaps. User Customization : Allows users to adjust font size, table position, and whether to show gap markers.
Conclusion The Missing Candle Analyzer is a critical tool for cryptocurrency traders who need to ensure the accuracy and completeness of their price data. By highlighting missing candles and providing actionable insights, it helps traders mitigate risks and build more robust trading strategies. This tool is especially valuable in the volatile and often unpredictable cryptocurrency market, where data integrity can directly impact trading outcomes.
Triangle Breakout Strategy with TP/SL, EMA Filter📌 Triangle Breakout Strategy with TP/SL, EMA Filters, and Backtest – Explained.
✅ 1. Pattern Detection – Triangle Breakout
The script scans for triangle patterns by detecting local pivot highs and pivot lows.
It uses two recent highs and two recent lows to draw converging trendlines (upper and lower boundaries of the triangle).
If the price breaks above the upper trendline, a bullish breakout signal is generated.
🎯 2. TP (Take Profit) & SL (Stop Loss)
When a bullish breakout is detected:
A buy order is placed using strategy.entry.
TP and SL levels are calculated relative to the current close price:
TP = 3% above the entry price
SL = 1.5% below the entry price
These are defined using strategy.exit.
📊 3. EMA Filter
An optional filter checks if:
Price is above both EMA 20 and EMA 50
Only if this condition is met, the strategy allows a long entry.
You can toggle the filter on or off with useEMAFilter.
📈 4. Backtesting with Strategy Tester
This script uses strategy() instead of indicator() to enable TradingView’s built-in backtest engine.
Every buy entry and exit (based on TP or SL) is recorded.
📌 5. Visuals
EMA 20 and EMA 50 lines are plotted on the chart.
A label is shown when a breakout is detected: "Breakout Up"
Results (profit, win rate, drawdown, etc.) can be viewed in the Strategy Tester panel.
[blackcat] L2 FiboKAMA Adaptive TrendOVERVIEW
The L2 FiboKAMA Adaptive Trend indicator leverages advanced technical analysis techniques by integrating Fibonacci principles with the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA). This combination creates a dynamic and responsive tool designed to adapt seamlessly to changing market conditions. By providing clear buy and sell signals based on adaptive momentum, this indicator helps traders identify potential entry and exit points effectively. Its intuitive design and robust features make it a valuable addition to any trader’s arsenal 📊💹.
According to the principle of Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA), it is a type of moving average line specifically designed for markets with high volatility. Unlike traditional moving averages, KAMA can automatically adjust its period based on market conditions to improve accuracy and responsiveness. This makes it particularly useful for capturing market trends and reducing false signals in varying market environments.
The use of Fibonacci magic numbers (3, 8, 13) enhances the performance and accuracy of KAMA. These numbers have special mathematical properties that align well with the changing trends of KAMA moving averages. Combining them with KAMA can significantly boost its effectiveness, making it a popular choice among traders seeking reliable signals.
This fusion not only smoothens price fluctuations but also ensures quick responses to market changes, offering dependable entry and exit points. Thanks to the flexibility and precision of KAMA combined with Fibonacci magic numbers, traders can better manage risks and aim for higher returns.
FEATURES
Enhanced Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA): Incorporates Fibonacci principles for improved adaptability:
Source Price: Allows customization of the price series used for calculation (default: HLCC4).
Fast Length: Determines the period for quicker adjustments to recent price changes.
Slow Length: Sets the period for smoother transitions over longer-term trends.
Dynamic Lines:
KAMA Line: A yellow line representing the primary adaptive moving average, which adapts quickly to new trends.
Trigger Line: A fuchsia line serving as a reference point for detecting crossovers and generating signals.
Visual Cues:
Buy Signals: Green 'B' labels indicating potential buying opportunities.
Sell Signals: Red 'S' labels signaling possible selling points.
Fill Areas: Colored regions between the KAMA and Trigger lines to visually represent trend directions and strength.
Alert Functionality: Generates real-time alerts for both buy and sell signals, ensuring timely notifications for actionable insights 🔔.
Customizable Parameters: Offers flexibility through adjustable inputs, allowing users to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies and preferences.
HOW TO USE
Adding the Indicator:
Open your TradingView chart and navigate to the indicators list.
Select L2 FiboKAMA Adaptive Trend and add it to your chart.
Configuring Parameters:
Adjust the Source Price to choose the desired price series (e.g., close, open, high, low).
Set the Fast Length to define how quickly the indicator responds to recent price movements.
Configure the Slow Length to determine the smoothness of long-term trend adaptations.
Interpreting Signals:
Monitor the chart for green 'B' labels indicating buy signals and red 'S' labels for sell signals.
Observe the colored fill areas between the KAMA and Trigger lines to gauge trend strength and direction.
Setting Up Alerts:
Enable alerts within the indicator settings to receive notifications whenever buy or sell signals are triggered.
Customize alert messages and frequencies according to your trading plan.
Combining with Other Tools:
Integrate this indicator with additional technical analysis tools and fundamental research for comprehensive decision-making.
Confirm signals using other indicators like RSI, MACD, or Bollinger Bands for increased reliability.
Optimizing Performance:
Backtest the indicator across various assets and timeframes to understand its behavior under different market conditions.
Fine-tune parameters based on historical performance and current market dynamics.
Integrating Magic Numbers:
Understand the basic principles of KAMA to find suitable entry points for Fibonacci magic numbers.
Utilize the efficiency ratio to measure market volatility and adjust moving average parameters accordingly.
Apply Fibonacci magic numbers (3, 8, 13) to enhance the responsiveness and accuracy of KAMA.
LIMITATIONS
Market Volatility: May produce false signals during periods of extreme volatility or sideways movement.
Parameter Sensitivity: Requires careful tuning of fast and slow lengths to balance responsiveness and stability.
Asset-Specific Behavior: Effectiveness can vary significantly across different financial instruments and time horizons.
Complementary Analysis: Should be used alongside other analytical methods to enhance accuracy and reduce risk.
NOTES
Historical Data: Ensure adequate historical data availability for precise calculations and backtesting.
Demo Testing: Thoroughly test the indicator on demo accounts before deploying it in live trading environments.
Continuous Learning: Stay updated with market trends and continuously refine your strategy incorporating feedback from the indicator's performance.
Risk Management: Always implement proper risk management practices regardless of the signals provided by the indicator.
ADVANCED USAGE TIPS
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Apply the indicator across multiple timeframes to gain deeper insights into underlying trends.
Divergence Strategy: Look for divergences between price action and the KAMA line to spot potential reversals early.
Volume Integration: Combine volume analysis with the indicator to confirm the strength of identified trends.
Custom Scripting: Modify the script to include additional filters or conditions tailored to your unique trading approach.
IMPROVING KAMA PERFORMANCE
Increase Length: Extend the KAMA length to consider more historical data, reducing the impact of short-term price fluctuations.
Adjust Fast and Slow Lengths: Make KAMA smoother by increasing the fast length and decreasing the slow length.
Use Smoothing Factor: Apply a smoothing factor to control the level of smoothness; typical values range from 0 to 1.
Combine with Other Indicators: Pair KAMA with other smoothing indicators like EMA or SMA for more reliable signals.
Filter Noise: Use filters or other technical analysis tools to eliminate price noise, enhancing KAMA's effectiveness.
Express Generator StrategyExpress Generator Strategy
Pine Script™ v6
The Express Generator Strategy is an algorithmic trading system that harnesses confluence from multiple technical indicators to optimize trade entries and dynamic risk management. Developed in Pine Script v6, it is designed to operate within a user-defined backtesting period—ensuring that trades are executed only during chosen historical windows for targeted analysis.
How It Works:
- Entry Conditions:
The strategy relies on a dual confirmation approach:- A moving average crossover system where a fast (default 9-period SMA) crossing above or below a slower (default 21-period SMA) average signals a potential trend reversal.
- MACD confirmation; trades are only initiated when the MACD line crosses its signal line in the direction of the moving average signal.
- An RSI filter refines these signals by preventing entries when the market might be overextended—ensuring that long entries only occur when the RSI is below an overbought level (default 70) and short entries when above an oversold level (default 30).
- Risk Management & Dynamic Position Sizing:
The strategy takes a calculated approach to risk by enabling the adjustment of position sizes using:- A pre-defined percentage of equity risk per trade (default 1%, adjustable between 0.5% to 3%).
- A stop-loss set in pips (default 100 pips, with customizable ranges), which is then adjusted by market volatility measured through the ATR.
- Trailing stops (default 50 pips) to help protect profits as the market moves favorably.
This combination of volatility-adjusted risk and equity-based position sizing aims to harmonize trade exposure with prevailing market conditions.
- Backtest Period Flexibility:
Users can define the start and end dates for backtesting (e.g., January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2025). This ensures that the strategy only opens trades within the intended analysis window. Moreover, if the strategy is still holding a position outside this period, it automatically closes all trades to prevent unwanted exposure.
- Visual Insights:
For clarity, the strategy plots the fast (blue) and slow (red) moving averages directly on the chart, allowing for visual confirmation of crossovers and trend shifts.
By integrating multiple technical indicators with robust risk management and adaptable position sizing, the Express Generator Strategy provides a comprehensive framework for capturing trending moves while prudently managing downside risk. It’s ideally suited for traders looking to combine systematic entries with a disciplined and dynamic risk approach.
EMA & MA Crossover StrategyGuys, you asked, we did. Strategy for crossing moving averages .
The Moving Average Crossover trading strategy is possibly the most popular
trading strategy in the world of trading. First of them were written in the
middle of XX century, when commodities trading strategies became popular.
This strategy is a good example of so-called traditional strategies.
Traditional strategies are always long or short. That means they are never
out of the market. The concept of having a strategy that is always long or
short may be scary, particularly in today’s market where you don’t know what
is going to happen as far as risk on any one market. But a lot of traders
believe that the concept is still valid, especially for those of traders who
do their own research or their own discretionary trading.
This version uses crossover of moving average and its exponential moving average.
Strategy parameters:
Take Profit % - when it receives the opposite signal
Stop Loss % - when it receives the opposite signal
Current Backtest:
Account: 1000$
Trading size: 0.01
Commission: 0.05%
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
DCA StrategyThis strategy makes it easy for you to backtest and automate the DCA strategy based on 2 triggers:
Day of the week
Every X candles
This way you can set up your DCA strategy the way you like and automate on any exchange or even a DEX, which offers an API.
The strategy is auto selling on the last candle, otherwise you won't see any performance numbers because all positions will still be open (non conclusive).
Settings
Start Date & End Date
Use those dates to help you with your backtest period. It also helps when automating, to start at a specific time to mimic what you have already done on your own portfolio and thus be in sync in TV as well.
Capital to invest per trade
Set how capital to use per DCA buy signal. Hover over the tooltip to understand, which currency is used.
Close All on last candle
When backtesting, you must close open positions, otherwise the Strategy Tester won't show you any numbers. This is why the strategy automatically closes all positions on the last candle for your convenience (ON per default).
BUT, when automating, you cannot have this checked because it would sell all of your asset on every candle open. So turn this OFF when automating.
Use Day of Week Mode
This checkbox switches between the "Day of Week" mode or the "Every X Candles" mode.
Day of Week
Opens a long position at the start of the weekday you have set it to.
Hover over the tooltip to understand, which number to use for the day of the week you need.
Every X Candles
Opens a long position after every x candles. Always at the start of every such candle.
On the daily chart, this number represents "1 day", on the 1h chart, it's "1 hour" and so on.
Properties
Initial Capital
DCA has a special quirk and that is that it invests more and more and more funds the longer it runs. But TradingView takes the Initial Capital number to calculate Net Profit, thus the Initial Capital number has to grow with every additional dollar (money) that is being invested over time, otherwise the Net Profit number will be wrong.
Sadly PineScript does not allow to set the Initial Capital number dynamically. So you have to set it manually.
To that end, this strategy shows a Label on the last candle, which shows the Invested Capital. You must take that number and put it into the Initial Capital input and click Ok .
If you don't do this, your Net Profit Number will be totally wrong!
The label must show green .
If it shows red it means you need to change the Initial Capital number before looking at the performance numbers.
After every timeframe or settings change, you must adapt the Initial Capital, otherwise you will get wrong numbers.
Follow Line Strategy Version 2.5 (React HTF)Follow Line Strategy v2.5 (React HTF) - TradingView Script Usage
This strategy utilizes a "Follow Line" concept based on Bollinger Bands and ATR to identify potential trading opportunities. It includes advanced features like optional working hours filtering, higher timeframe (HTF) trend confirmation, and improved trend-following entry/exit logic. Version 2.5 introduces reactivity to HTF trend changes for more adaptive trading.
Key Features:
Follow Line: The core of the strategy. It dynamically adjusts based on price breakouts beyond Bollinger Bands, using either the low/high or ATR-adjusted levels.
Bollinger Bands: Uses a standard Bollinger Bands setup to identify overbought/oversold conditions.
ATR Filter: Optionally uses the Average True Range (ATR) to adjust the Follow Line offset, providing a more dynamic and volatility-adjusted entry point.
Optional Trading Session Filter: Allows you to restrict trading to specific hours of the day.
Higher Timeframe (HTF) Confirmation: A significant feature that allows you to confirm trade signals with the trend on a higher timeframe. This can help to filter out false signals and improve the overall win rate.
HTF Selection Method: Choose between Auto and Manual HTF selection:
Auto: The script automatically determines the appropriate HTF based on the current chart timeframe (e.g., 1min -> 15min, 5min -> 4h, 1h -> 1D, Daily -> Monthly).
Manual: Allows you to select a specific HTF using the Manual Higher Timeframe input.
Trend-Following Entries/Exits: The strategy aims to enter trades in the direction of the established trend, using the Follow Line to define the trend.
Reactive HTF Trend Changes: v2.5 exits positions not only based on the trade timeframe (TTF) trend changing, but also when the higher timeframe trend reverses against the position. This makes the strategy more responsive to larger market movements.
Alerts: Provides buy and sell alerts for convenient trading signal notifications.
Visualizations: Plots the Follow Line for both the trade timeframe and the higher timeframe (optional), making it easy to understand the strategy's logic.
How to Use:
Add to Chart: Add the "Follow Line Strategy Version 2.5 (React HTF)" script to your TradingView chart.
Configure Settings: Customize the strategy's settings to match your trading style and preferences. Here's a breakdown of the key settings:
Indicator Settings:
ATR Period: The period used to calculate the ATR. A smaller period is more sensitive to recent price changes.
Bollinger Bands Period: The period used for the Bollinger Bands calculation. A longer period results in smoother bands.
Bollinger Bands Deviation: The number of standard deviations from the moving average that the Bollinger Bands are plotted. Higher deviations create wider bands.
Use ATR for Follow Line Offset?: Enable to use ATR to calculate the Follow Line offset. Disable to use the simple high/low.
Show Trade Signals on Chart?: Enable to show BUY/SELL labels on the chart.
Time Filter:
Use Trading Session Filter?: Enable to restrict trading to specific hours of the day.
Trading Session: The trading session to use (e.g., 0930-1600 for regular US stock market hours). Use 0000-2400 for all hours.
Higher Timeframe Confirmation:
Enable HTF Confirmation?: Enable to use the HTF trend to filter trade signals. If enabled, only trades in the direction of the HTF trend will be taken.
HTF Selection Method: Choose between "Auto" and "Manual" HTF selection.
Manual Higher Timeframe: If "Manual" is selected, choose the specific HTF (e.g., 240 for 4 hours, D for daily).
Show HTF Follow Line?: Enable to plot the HTF Follow Line on the chart.
Understanding the Signals:
Buy Signal: The price breaks above the upper Bollinger Band, and the HTF (if enabled) confirms the uptrend.
Sell Signal: The price breaks below the lower Bollinger Band, and the HTF (if enabled) confirms the downtrend.
Exit Long: The trade timeframe trend changes to downtrend or the higher timeframe trend changes to downtrend.
Exit Short: The trade timeframe trend changes to uptrend or the higher timeframe trend changes to uptrend.
Alerts:
The script includes alert conditions for buy and sell signals. To set up alerts, click the "Alerts" button in TradingView and select the desired alert condition from the script. The alert message provides the ticker and interval.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to backtest the strategy on different assets and timeframes.
Experiment with different settings to optimize the strategy for your specific trading style and risk tolerance. Pay close attention to the ATR Period, Bollinger Bands settings, and the HTF confirmation options.
Tips and Considerations:
HTF Confirmation: The HTF confirmation can significantly improve the strategy's performance by filtering out false signals. However, it can also reduce the number of trades.
Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders and position sizing, when trading any strategy.
Market Conditions: The strategy may perform differently in different market conditions. It's important to backtest and optimize the strategy for the specific markets you are trading.
Customization: Feel free to modify the script to suit your specific needs. For example, you could add additional filters or entry/exit conditions.
Pyramiding: The pyramiding = 0 setting prevents multiple entries in the same direction, ensuring the strategy doesn't compound losses. You can adjust this value if you prefer to pyramid into winning positions, but be cautious.
Lookahead: The lookahead = barmerge.lookahead_off setting ensures that the HTF data is calculated based on the current bar's closed data, preventing potential future peeking bias.
Trend Determination: The logic for determining the HTF trend and reacting to changes is critical. Carefully review the f_calculateHTFData function and the conditions for exiting positions to ensure you understand how the strategy responds to different market scenarios.
Disclaimer:
This script is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and you should not trade based solely on the signals generated by this script. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this script.
Dow Theory Trend StrategyDow Theory Trend Strategy (Pine Script)
Overview
This Pine Script implements a trading strategy based on the core principles of Dow Theory. It visually identifies trends (uptrend, downtrend) by analyzing pivot highs and lows and executes trades when the trend direction changes. This script is an improved version that features refined trend determination logic and strategy implementation.
Core Concept: Dow Theory
The script uses a fundamental Dow Theory concept for trend identification:
Uptrend: Characterized by a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Downtrend: Characterized by a series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
How it Works
Pivot Point Detection:
It uses the built-in ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions to identify significant swing points (potential highs and lows) in the price action.
The pivotLookback input determines the number of bars to the left and right required to confirm a pivot. Note that this introduces a natural lag (equal to pivotLookback bars) before a pivot is confirmed.
Improved Trend Determination:
The script stores the last two confirmed pivot highs and the last two confirmed pivot lows.
An Uptrend (trendDirection = 1) is confirmed only when the latest pivot high is higher than the previous one (HH) AND the latest pivot low is higher than the previous one (HL).
A Downtrend (trendDirection = -1) is confirmed only when the latest pivot high is lower than the previous one (LH) AND the latest pivot low is lower than the previous one (LL).
Key Improvement: If neither a clear uptrend nor a clear downtrend is confirmed based on the latest pivots, the script maintains the previous trend state (trendDirection := trendDirection ). This differs from simpler implementations that might switch to a neutral/range state (e.g., trendDirection = 0) more frequently. This approach aims for smoother trend following, acknowledging that trends often persist through periods without immediate new HH/HL or LH/LL confirmations.
Trend Change Detection:
The script monitors changes in the trendDirection variable.
changedToUp becomes true when the trend shifts to an Uptrend (from Downtrend or initial state).
changedToDown becomes true when the trend shifts to a Downtrend (from Uptrend or initial state).
Visualizations
Background Color: The chart background is colored to reflect the currently identified trend:
Blue: Uptrend (trendDirection == 1)
Red: Downtrend (trendDirection == -1)
Gray: Initial state or undetermined (trendDirection == 0)
Pivot Points (Optional): Small triangles (shape.triangledown/shape.triangleup) can be displayed above pivot highs and below pivot lows if showPivotPoints is enabled.
Trend Change Signals (Optional): Labels ("▲ UP" / "▼ DOWN") can be displayed when a trend change is confirmed (changedToUp / changedToDown) if showTrendChange is enabled. These visually mark the potential entry points for the strategy.
Strategy Logic
Entry Conditions:
Enters a long position (strategy.long) using strategy.entry("L", ...) when changedToUp becomes true.
Enters a short position (strategy.short) using strategy.entry("S", ...) when changedToDown becomes true.
Position Management: The script uses strategy.entry(), which automatically handles position reversal. If the strategy is long and a short signal occurs, strategy.entry() will close the long position and open a new short one (and vice-versa).
Inputs
pivotLookback: The number of bars on each side to confirm a pivot high/low. Higher values mean pivots are confirmed later but may be more significant.
showPivotPoints: Toggle visibility of pivot point markers.
showTrendChange: Toggle visibility of the trend change labels ("▲ UP" / "▼ DOWN").
Key Improvements from Original
Smoother Trend Logic: The trend state persists unless a confirmed reversal pattern (opposite HH/HL or LH/LL) occurs, reducing potential whipsaws in choppy markets compared to logic that frequently resets to neutral.
Strategy Implementation: Converted from a pure indicator to a strategy capable of executing backtests and potentially live trades based on the Dow Theory trend changes.
Disclaimer
Dow Theory signals are inherently lagging due to the nature of pivot confirmation.
The effectiveness of the strategy depends heavily on the market conditions and the chosen pivotLookback setting.
This script serves as a basic template. Always perform thorough backtesting and implement proper risk management (e.g., stop-loss, take-profit, position sizing) before considering any live trading.
Momentum Volume Divergence (MVD) EnhancedMomentum Volume Divergence (MVD) Enhanced is a powerful indicator that detects price-momentum divergences and momentum suppression for reversal trading. Optimized for XRP on 1D charts, it features dynamic lookbacks, ATR-adjusted thresholds, and SMA confirmation. Signals include strong divergences (triangles) and suppression warnings (crosses). Includes a detailed user guide—try it out and share your feedback!
Setup: Add to XRP 1D chart with defaults (mom_length_base=8, vol_length_base=10). Signals: Red triangle (sell), Green triangle (buy), Orange cross (bear warning), Yellow cross (bull warning). Confirm with 5-day SMA crossovers. See full guide for details!
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves risk—use at your discretion.
Momentum Volume Divergence (MVD) Enhanced Indicator User Guide
Version: Pine Script v6
Designed for: TradingView
Recommended Use: XRP on 1-day (1D) chart
Date: March 18, 2025
Author: Herschel with assistance from Grok 3 (xAI)
Overview
The Momentum Volume Divergence (MVD) Enhanced indicator is a powerful tool for identifying price-momentum divergences and momentum suppression patterns on XRP’s 1-day (1D) chart. Plotted below the price chart, it provides clear visual signals to help traders spot potential reversals and trend shifts.
Purpose
Detect divergences between price and momentum for buy/sell opportunities.
Highlight momentum suppression as warnings of fading trends.
Offer actionable trading signals with intuitive markers.
Indicator Components
Main Plot
Volume-Weighted Momentum (vw_mom): Blue line showing momentum adjusted by volume.
Above 0 = bullish momentum.
Below 0 = bearish momentum.
Zero Line: Gray dashed line at 0, separating bullish/bearish zones.
Key Signals
Strong Bearish Divergence:
Marker: Red triangle at the top.
Meaning: Price makes a higher high, but momentum weakens, confirmed by a drop below the 5-day SMA.
Action: Potential sell/short signal.
Strong Bullish Divergence:
Marker: Green triangle at the bottom.
Meaning: Price makes a lower low, but momentum strengthens, confirmed by a rise above the 5-day SMA.
Action: Potential buy/long signal.
Bearish Suppression:
Marker: Orange cross at the top + red background.
Meaning: Strong bullish momentum with low volume in a volume downtrend, suggesting fading strength.
Action: Warning to avoid longs or exit early.
Bullish Suppression:
Marker: Yellow cross at the bottom + green background.
Meaning: Strong bearish momentum with low volume in a volume uptrend, suggesting fading weakness.
Action: Warning to avoid shorts or exit early.
Debug Plots (Optional)
Volume Ratio: Gray line (volume vs. its MA) vs. yellow line (threshold).
Momentum Threshold: Purple lines (positive/negative momentum cutoffs).
Smoothed Momentum: Orange line (raw momentum).
Confirmation SMA: Purple line (price trend confirmation).
Labels
Text labels (e.g., "Bear Div," "Bull Supp") mark detected patterns.
How to Use the Indicator
Step-by-Step Trading Process
1. Monitor the Chart
Load your XRP 1D chart with the indicator applied.
Observe the blue vw_mom line and signal markers.
2. Spot a Signal
Primary Signals: Look for red triangles (strong_bear) or green triangles (strong_bull).
Warnings: Note orange crosses (suppression_bear) or yellow crosses (suppression_bull).
3. Confirm the Signal
For Strong Bullish Divergence (Buy):
Green triangle appears.
Price closes above the 5-day SMA (purple line) and a recent swing high.
Optional: Volume ratio (gray line) exceeds the threshold (yellow line).
For Strong Bearish Divergence (Sell):
Red triangle appears.
Price closes below the 5-day SMA and a recent swing low.
Optional: Volume ratio (gray line) falls below the threshold (yellow line).
4. Enter the Trade
Long:
Buy at the close of the signal bar.
Stop loss: Below the recent swing low or 2 × ATR(14) below entry.
Short:
Sell/short at the close of the signal bar.
Stop loss: Above the recent swing high or 2 × ATR(14) above entry.
5. Manage the Trade
Take Profit:
Aim for a 2:1 or 3:1 risk-reward ratio (e.g., risk $0.05, target $0.10-$0.15).
Or exit when an opposite suppression signal appears (e.g., orange cross for longs).
Trailing Stop:
Move stop to breakeven after a 1:1 RR move.
Trail using the 5-day SMA or 2 × ATR(14).
Early Exit:
Exit if a suppression signal appears against your position (e.g., suppression_bull while short).
6. Filter Out Noise
Avoid trades if a suppression signal precedes a divergence within 2-3 days.
Optional: Add a 50-day SMA on the price chart:
Longs only if price > 50-SMA.
Shorts only if price < 50-SMA.
Example Trades (XRP 1D)
Bullish Trade
Signal: Green triangle (strong_bull) at $0.55.
Confirmation: Price closes above 5-SMA and $0.57 high.
Entry: Buy at $0.58.
Stop Loss: $0.53 (recent low).
Take Profit: $0.63 (2:1 RR) or exit on suppression_bear.
Outcome: Price hits $0.64, exit at $0.63 for profit.
Bearish Trade
Signal: Red triangle (strong_bear) at $0.70.
Confirmation: Price closes below 5-SMA and $0.68 low.
Entry: Short at $0.67.
Stop Loss: $0.71 (recent high).
Take Profit: $0.62 (2:1 RR) or exit on suppression_bull.
Outcome: Price drops to $0.61, exit at $0.62 for profit.
Tips for Success
Combine with Price Levels:
Use support/resistance zones (e.g., weekly pivots) to confirm entries.
Monitor Volume:
Rising volume (gray line above yellow) strengthens signals.
Adjust Sensitivity:
Too many signals? Increase div_strength_threshold to 0.7.
Too few signals? Decrease to 0.3.
Backtest:
Review 20-30 past signals on XRP 1D to assess performance.
Avoid Choppy Markets:
Skip signals during low volatility (tight price ranges).
Troubleshooting
No Signals:
Lower div_strength_threshold to 0.3 or mom_threshold_base to 0.2.
Check if XRP’s volatility is unusually low.
False Signals:
Increase sma_confirm_length to 7 or add a 50-SMA filter.
Indicator Not Loading:
Ensure the script compiles without errors.
Customization (Optional)
Change Colors: Edit color.* values (e.g., color.red to color.purple).
Add Alerts: Use TradingView’s alert menu for "Strong Bearish Divergence Confirmed," etc.
Test Other Assets: Experiment with BTC or ETH, adjusting inputs as needed.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Use at your own discretion.
Setup: Use on XRP 1D with defaults (mom_length_base=8, vol_length_base=10). Signals: Red triangle (sell), Green triangle (buy), Orange cross (bear warning), Yellow cross (bull warning). Confirm with 5-day SMA cross. Stop: 2x ATR(14). Profit: 2:1 RR or suppression exit. Full guide available separately!
