American Approximation: Barone-Adesi and Whaley [Loxx]American Approximation: Barone-Adesi and Whaley is an American Options pricing model. This indicator also includes numerical greeks. You can compare the output of the American Approximation to the Black-Scholes-Merton value on the output of the options panel.
An American option can be exercised at any time up to its expiration date. This added freedom complicates the valuation of American options relative to their European counterparts. With a few exceptions, it is not possible to find an exact formula for the value of American options. Several researchers have, however, come up with excellent closed-form approximations. These approximations have become especially popular because they execute quickly on computers compared to numerical techniques. At the end of the chapter, we look at closed-form solutions for perpetual American options.
The Barone-Adesi and Whaley Approximation
The quadratic approximation method by Barone-Adesi and Whaley (1987) can be used to price American call and put options on an underlying asset with cost-of-carry rate b. When b > r, the American call value is equal to the European call value and can then be found by using the generalized Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) formula. The model is fast and accurate for most practical input values.
American Call
C(S, C, T) = Cbsm(S, X, T) + A2 / (S/S*)^q2 ... when S < S*
C(S, C, T) = S - X ... when S >= S*
where Cbsm(S, X, T) is the general Black-Scholes-Merton call formula, and
A2 = S* / q2 * (1 - e^((b - r) * T)) * N(d1(S*)))
d1(S) = (log(S/X) + (b + v^2/2) * T) / (v * T^0.5)
q2 = (-(N-1) + ((N-1)^2 + 4M/K))^0.5) / 2
M = 2r/v^2
N = 2b/v^2
K = 1 - e^(-r*T)
American Put
P(S, C, T) = Pbsm(S, X, T) + A1 / (S/S**)^q1 ... when S < S**
P(S, C, T) = X - S .... when S >= S**
where Pbsm(S, X, T) is the generalized BSM put option formula, and
A1 = -S** / q1 * (1 - e^((b - r) * T)) * N(-d1(S**)))
q1 = (-(N-1) - ((N-1)^2 + 4M/K))^0.5) / 2
where S* is the critical commodity price for the call option that satisfies
S* - X = c(S*, X, T) + (1 - e^((b - r) * T) * N(d1(S*))) * S* * 1/q2
These equations can be solved by using a Newton-Raphson algorithm. The iterative procedure should continue until the relative absolute error falls within an acceptable tolerance level. See code for details on the Newton-Raphson algorithm.
Inputs
S = Stock price.
K = Strike price of option.
T = Time to expiration in years.
r = Risk-free rate
c = Cost of Carry
V = Variance of the underlying asset price
cnd1(x) = Cumulative Normal Distribution
cbnd3(x) = Cumulative Bivariate Normal Distribution
nd(x) = Standard Normal Density Function
convertingToCCRate(r, cmp) = Rate compounder
Numerical Greeks or Greeks by Finite Difference
Analytical Greeks are the standard approach to estimating Delta, Gamma etc... That is what we typically use when we can derive from closed form solutions. Normally, these are well-defined and available in text books. Previously, we relied on closed form solutions for the call or put formulae differentiated with respect to the Black Scholes parameters. When Greeks formulae are difficult to develop or tease out, we can alternatively employ numerical Greeks - sometimes referred to finite difference approximations. A key advantage of numerical Greeks relates to their estimation independent of deriving mathematical Greeks. This could be important when we examine American options where there may not technically exist an exact closed form solution that is straightforward to work with. (via VinegarHill FinanceLabs)
Things to know
Only works on the daily timeframe and for the current source price.
You can adjust the text size to fit the screen
Komut dosyalarını "algo" için ara
TradingView Alerts (Expo)█ Overview
The TradingView inbuilt alert feature inspires this alert tool.
TradingView Alerts (Expo) enables traders to set alerts on any indicator on TradingView, both public, protected, and invite-only scripts (if you are granted access). In this way, traders can set the alerts they want for any indicator they have access to. This feature is highly needed since many indicators on TradingView do not have the particular alert the trader looks for, this alert tool solves that problem and lets everyone create the alert they need. Many predefined conditions are included, such as "crossings," "turning up/down," "entering a channel," and much more.
█ TradingView alerts
TradingView alerts are a popular and convenient way of getting an immediate notification when the asset meets your set alert criteria. It helps traders to stay updated on the assets and timeframe they follow.
█ Alert table
Keep track of the average amount of alerts that have been triggered per day, per month, and per week. It helps traders to understand how frequently they can expect an alert to trigger.
█ Predefined alerts types
Crossing
The Crossing alert is triggered when the source input crosses (up or down) from the selected price or value.
Crossing Down / Crossing Up
The Crossing Down alert is triggered when the source input crosses down from the selected price or value.
The Crossing Up alert is triggered when the source input crosses up from the selected price or value.
Greater Than / Less Than
The Greater Than alert is triggered when the source input reaches the selected value or price.
The Less Than alert is triggered when the source input reaches the selected value or price.
Entering Channel / Exiting Channel
The Entering Channel alert is triggered when the source input enters the selected channel value.
The Exiting Channel alert is triggered when the source input exits the selected channel value.
Notice that this alert only works if you have selected "Channels."
Inside Channel / Outside Channel
The Inside Channel alert is triggered when the source input is within the selected Upper and Lower Channel boundaries.
The Outside Channel alert is triggered when the source input is outside the selected Upper and Lower Channel boundaries.
Notice that this alert only works if you have selected "Channels."
Moving Up / Moving Down
This alert is the same as "crossing up/down" within x-bars.
The Moving Up alert is triggered when the source input increases by a certain value within x-bars.
The Moving Down alert is triggered when the source input decreases by a certain value within x-bars.
Notice that you have to set the Number of Bars parameter!
The calculation starts from the last formed candlestick.
Moving Up % / Moving Down %
The Moving Up % alert is triggered when the source input increases by a certain percentage value within x-bars.
The Moving Down % alert is triggered when the source input decreases by a certain percentage value within x-bars.
Notice that you have to set the Number of Bars parameter!
The calculation starts from the last formed candlestick.
Turning Up / Turning Down
The Turning Up alert is triggered when the source input turns up.
The Turning Down alert is triggered when the source input turns down.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
CFB-Adaptive Velocity Histogram [Loxx]CFB-Adaptive Velocity Histogram is a velocity indicator with One-More-Moving-Average Adaptive Smoothing of input source value and Jurik's Composite-Fractal-Behavior-Adaptive Price-Trend-Period input with Dynamic Zones. All Juirk smoothing allows for both single and double Jurik smoothing passes. Velocity is adjusted to pips but there is no input value for the user. This indicator is tuned for Forex but can be used on any time series data.
What is Composite Fractal Behavior ( CFB )?
All around you mechanisms adjust themselves to their environment. From simple thermostats that react to air temperature to computer chips in modern cars that respond to changes in engine temperature, r.p.m.'s, torque, and throttle position. It was only a matter of time before fast desktop computers applied the mathematics of self-adjustment to systems that trade the financial markets.
Unlike basic systems with fixed formulas, an adaptive system adjusts its own equations. For example, start with a basic channel breakout system that uses the highest closing price of the last N bars as a threshold for detecting breakouts on the up side. An adaptive and improved version of this system would adjust N according to market conditions, such as momentum, price volatility or acceleration.
Since many systems are based directly or indirectly on cycles, another useful measure of market condition is the periodic length of a price chart's dominant cycle, (DC), that cycle with the greatest influence on price action.
The utility of this new DC measure was noted by author Murray Ruggiero in the January '96 issue of Futures Magazine. In it. Mr. Ruggiero used it to adaptive adjust the value of N in a channel breakout system. He then simulated trading 15 years of D-Mark futures in order to compare its performance to a similar system that had a fixed optimal value of N. The adaptive version produced 20% more profit!
This DC index utilized the popular MESA algorithm (a formulation by John Ehlers adapted from Burg's maximum entropy algorithm, MEM). Unfortunately, the DC approach is problematic when the market has no real dominant cycle momentum, because the mathematics will produce a value whether or not one actually exists! Therefore, we developed a proprietary indicator that does not presuppose the presence of market cycles. It's called CFB (Composite Fractal Behavior) and it works well whether or not the market is cyclic.
CFB examines price action for a particular fractal pattern, categorizes them by size, and then outputs a composite fractal size index. This index is smooth, timely and accurate
Essentially, CFB reveals the length of the market's trending action time frame. Long trending activity produces a large CFB index and short choppy action produces a small index value. Investors have found many applications for CFB which involve scaling other existing technical indicators adaptively, on a bar-to-bar basis.
What is Jurik Volty used in the Juirk Filter?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
3 signal variations w/ alerts
Divergences w/ alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
CFB-Adaptive, Williams %R w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]CFB-Adaptive, Williams %R w/ Dynamic Zones is a Jurik-Composite-Fractal-Behavior-Adaptive Williams % Range indicator with Dynamic Zones. These additions to the WPR calculation reduce noise and return a signal that is more viable than WPR alone.
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R , also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
What is Composite Fractal Behavior ( CFB )?
All around you mechanisms adjust themselves to their environment. From simple thermostats that react to air temperature to computer chips in modern cars that respond to changes in engine temperature, r.p.m.'s, torque, and throttle position. It was only a matter of time before fast desktop computers applied the mathematics of self-adjustment to systems that trade the financial markets.
Unlike basic systems with fixed formulas, an adaptive system adjusts its own equations. For example, start with a basic channel breakout system that uses the highest closing price of the last N bars as a threshold for detecting breakouts on the up side. An adaptive and improved version of this system would adjust N according to market conditions, such as momentum, price volatility or acceleration.
Since many systems are based directly or indirectly on cycles, another useful measure of market condition is the periodic length of a price chart's dominant cycle, (DC), that cycle with the greatest influence on price action.
The utility of this new DC measure was noted by author Murray Ruggiero in the January '96 issue of Futures Magazine. In it. Mr. Ruggiero used it to adaptive adjust the value of N in a channel breakout system. He then simulated trading 15 years of D-Mark futures in order to compare its performance to a similar system that had a fixed optimal value of N. The adaptive version produced 20% more profit!
This DC index utilized the popular MESA algorithm (a formulation by John Ehlers adapted from Burg's maximum entropy algorithm, MEM). Unfortunately, the DC approach is problematic when the market has no real dominant cycle momentum, because the mathematics will produce a value whether or not one actually exists! Therefore, we developed a proprietary indicator that does not presuppose the presence of market cycles. It's called CFB (Composite Fractal Behavior) and it works well whether or not the market is cyclic.
CFB examines price action for a particular fractal pattern, categorizes them by size, and then outputs a composite fractal size index. This index is smooth, timely and accurate
Essentially, CFB reveals the length of the market's trending action time frame. Long trending activity produces a large CFB index and short choppy action produces a small index value. Investors have found many applications for CFB which involve scaling other existing technical indicators adaptively, on a bar-to-bar basis.
What is Jurik Volty used in the Juirk Filter?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
3 signal variations w/ alerts
Divergences w/ alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Intermediate Williams %R w/ Discontinued Signal Lines [Loxx]Intermediate Williams %R w/ Discontinued Signal Lines is a Williams %R indicator with advanced options:
-Williams %R smoothing, 30+ smoothing algos found here:
-Williams %R signal, 30+ smoothing algos found here:
-DSL lines with smoothing or fixed overbought/oversold boundaries, smoothing algos are EMA and FEMA
-33 Expanded Source Type inputs including Heiken-Ashi and Heiken-Ashi Better, found here:
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R, also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
Included:
-Toggle on/off bar coloring
-Toggle on/off signal line
OrdinaryLeastSquaresLibrary "OrdinaryLeastSquares"
One of the most common ways to estimate the coefficients for a linear regression is to use the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method.
This library implements OLS in pine. This implementation can be used to fit a linear regression of multiple independent variables onto one dependent variable,
as long as the assumptions behind OLS hold.
solve_xtx_inv(x, y) Solve a linear system of equations using the Ordinary Least Squares method.
This function returns both the estimated OLS solution and a matrix that essentially measures the model stability (linear dependence between the columns of 'x').
NOTE: The latter is an intermediate step when estimating the OLS solution but is useful when calculating the covariance matrix and is returned here to save computation time
so that this step doesn't have to be calculated again when things like standard errors should be calculated.
Parameters:
x : The matrix containing the independent variables. Each column is regarded by the algorithm as one independent variable. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
y : The matrix containing the dependent variable. This matrix can only contain one dependent variable and can therefore only contain one column. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
Returns: Returns both the estimated OLS solution and a matrix that essentially measures the model stability (xtx_inv is equal to (X'X)^-1).
solve(x, y) Solve a linear system of equations using the Ordinary Least Squares method.
Parameters:
x : The matrix containing the independent variables. Each column is regarded by the algorithm as one independent variable. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
y : The matrix containing the dependent variable. This matrix can only contain one dependent variable and can therefore only contain one column. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
Returns: Returns the estimated OLS solution.
standard_errors(x, y, beta_hat, xtx_inv) Calculate the standard errors.
Parameters:
x : The matrix containing the independent variables. Each column is regarded by the algorithm as one independent variable. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
y : The matrix containing the dependent variable. This matrix can only contain one dependent variable and can therefore only contain one column. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
beta_hat : The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) solution provided by solve_xtx_inv() or solve().
xtx_inv : This is (X'X)^-1, which means we take the transpose of the X matrix, multiply that the X matrix and then take the inverse of the result.
This essentially measures the linear dependence between the columns of the X matrix.
Returns: The standard errors.
estimate(x, beta_hat) Estimate the next step of a linear model.
Parameters:
x : The matrix containing the independent variables. Each column is regarded by the algorithm as one independent variable. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
beta_hat : The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) solution provided by solve_xtx_inv() or solve().
Returns: Returns the new estimate of Y based on the linear model.
Average Down [Zeiierman]AVERAGING DOWN
Averaging down is an investment strategy that involves buying additional contracts of an asset when the price drops. This way, the investor increases the size of their position at discounted prices. The averaging down strategy is highly debated among traders and investors because it can either lead to huge losses or great returns. Nevertheless, averaging down is often used and favored by long-term investors and contrarian traders. With careful/proper risk management, averaging down can cover losses and magnify the returns when the asset rebounds. However, the main concern for a trader is that it can be hard to identify the difference between a pullback or the start of a new trend.
HOW DOES IT WORK
Averaging down is a method to lower the average price at which the investor buys an asset. A lower average price can help investors come back to break even quicker and, if the price continues to rise, get an even bigger upside and thus increase the total profit from the trade. For example, We buy 100 shares at $60 per share, a total investment of $6000, and then the asset drops to $40 per share; in order to come back to break even, the price has to go up 50%. (($60/$40) - 1)*100 = 50%.
The power of Averaging down comes into play if the investor buys additional shares at a lower price, like another 100 shares at $40 per share; the total investment is ($6000+$4000 = $10000). The average price for the investment is now $50. (($60 x 100) + ($40 x 100))/200; in order to get back to break even, the price has to rise 25% ($50/$40)-1)*100 = 25%, and if the price continues up to $60 per share, the investor can secure a profit at 16%. So by averaging down, investors and traders can cover the losses easier and potentially have more profit to secure at the end.
THE AVERAGE DOWN TRADINGVIEW TOOL
This script/indicator/trading tool helps traders and investors to get the average price of their position. The tool works for Long and Short and displays the entry price, average price, and the PnL in points.
HOW TO USE
Use the tool to calculate the average price of your long or short position in any market and timeframe.
Get the current PnL for the investment and keep track of your entry prices.
APPLY TO CHART
When you apply the tool on the chart, you have to select five entry points, and within the setting panel, you can choose how many of these five entry points are active and how many contracts each entry has. Then, the tool will display your average price based on the entries and the number of contracts used at each price level.
LONG
Set your entries and the number of contracts at each price level. The indicator will then display all your long entries and at what price you will break even. The entry line changes color based on if the entry is in profit or loss.
SHORT
Set your entries and the number of contracts at each price level. The indicator will then display all your short entries and at what price you will break even. The entry line changes color based on if the entry is in profit or loss.
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Disclaimer
Copyright by Zeiierman.
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Example: Monte Carlo SimulationExperimental:
Example execution of Monte Carlo Simulation applied to the markets(this is my interpretation of the algo so inconsistencys may appear).
note:
the algorithm is very demanding so performance is limited.
RAT Moving Average Crossover StrategyThis is based on general moving average crossovers but some modifications made to generate buy sell signals.
Weis pip zigzag jayyWhat you see here is the Weis pip zigzag wave plotted directly on the price chart. This script is the companion to the Weis pip wave ( ) which is plotted in the lower panel of the displayed chart and can be used as an alternate way of plotting the same results. The Weis pip zigzag wave shows how far in terms of price a Weis wave has traveled through the duration of a Weis wave. The Weis pip zigzag wave is used in combination with the Weis cumulative volume wave. The two waves must be set to the same "wave size".
To use this script you must set the wave size. Using the traditional Weis method simply enter the desired wave size in the box "Select Weis Wave Size" In this example, it is set to 5. Each wave for each security and each timeframe requires its own wave size. Although not the traditional method a more automatic way to set wave size would be to use ATR. This is not the true Weis method but it does give you similar waves and, importantly, without the hassle described above. Once the Weis wave size is set then the pip wave will be shown.
I have put a pip zigzag of a 5 point Weis wave on the bar chart - that is a different script. I have added it to allow your eye to see what a Weis wave looks like. You will notice that the wave is not in straight lines connecting wave tops to bottoms this is a function of the limitations of Pinescript version 1. This script would need to be in version 4 to allow straight lines. There are too many calculations within this script to allow conversion to Pinescript version 4 or even Version 3. I am in the process of rewriting this script to reduce the number of calculations and streamline the algorithm.
The numbers plotted on the chart are calculated to be relative numbers. The script is limited to showing only three numbers vertically. Only the highest three values of a number are shown. For example, if the highest recent pip value is 12,345 only the first 3 numerals would be displayed ie 123. But suppose there is a recent value of 691. It would not be helpful to display 691 if the other wave size is shown as 123. To give the appropriate relative value the script will show a value of 7 instead of 691. This informs you of the relative magnitude of the values. This is done automatically within the script. There is likely no need to manually override the automatically calculated value. I will create a video that demonstrates the manual override method.
What is a Weis wave? David Weis has been recognized as a Wyckoff method analyst he has written two books one of which, Trades About to Happen, describes the evolution of the now popular Weis wave. The method employed by Weis is to identify waves of price action and to compare the strength of the waves on characteristics of wave strength. Chief among the characteristics of strength is the cumulative volume of the wave. There are other markers that Weis uses as well for example how the actual price difference between the start of the Weis wave from start to finish. Weis also uses time, particularly when using a Renko chart. Weis specifically uses candle or bar closes to define all wave action ie a line chart.
David Weis did a futures io video which is a popular source of information about his method.
This is the identical script with the identical settings but without the offending links. If you want to see the pip Weis method in practice then search Weis pip wave. If you want to see Weis chart in pdf then message me and I will give a link or the Weis pdf. Why would you want to see the Weis chart for May 27, 2020? Merely to confirm the veracity of my algorithm. You could compare my Weis chart here () from the same period to the David Weis chart from May 27. Both waves are for the ES!1 4 hour chart and both for a wave size of 5.
Price Action and 3 EMAs Momentum plus Sessions FilterThis indicator plots on the chart the parameters and signals of the Price Action and 3 EMAs Momentum plus Sessions Filter Algorithmic Strategy. The strategy trades based on time-series (absolute) and relative momentum of price close, highs, lows and 3 EMAs.
I am still learning PS and therefore I have only been able to write the indicator up to the Signal generation. I plan to expand the indicator to Entry Signals as well as the full Strategy.
The strategy works best on EURUSD in the 15 minutes TF during London and New York sessions with 1 to 1 TP and SL of 30 pips with lots resulting in 3% risk of the account per trade. I have already written the full strategy in another language and platform and back tested it for ten years and it was profitable for 7 of the 10 years with average profit of 15% p.a which can be easily increased by increasing risk per trade. I have been trading it live in that platform for over two years and it is profitable.
Contributions from experienced PS coders in completing the Indicator as well as writing the Strategy and back testing it on Trading View will be appreciated.
STRATEGY AND INDICATOR PARAMETERS
Three periods of 12, 48 and 96 in the 15 min TF which are equivalent to 3, 12 and 24 hours i.e (15 min * period / 60 min) are the foundational inputs for all the parameters of the PA & 3 EMAs Momentum + SF Algo Strategy and its Indicator.
3 EMAs momentum parameters and conditions
• FastEMA = ema of 12 periods
• MedEMA = ema of 48 periods
• SlowEMA = ema of 96 periods
• All the EMAs analyse price close for up to 96 (15 min periods) equivalent to 24 hours
• There’s Upward EMA momentum if price close > FastEMA and FastEMA > MedEMA and MedEMA > SlowEMA
• There’s Downward EMA momentum if price close < FastEMA and FastEMA < MedEMA and MedEMA < SlowEMA
PA momentum parameters and conditions
• HH = Highest High of 48 periods from 1st closed bar before current bar
• LL = Lowest Low of 48 periods from 1st closed bar from current bar
• Previous HH = Highest High of 84 periods from 12th closed bar before current bar
• Previous LL = Lowest Low of 84 periods from 12th closed bar before current bar
• All the HH & LL and prevHH & prevLL are within the 96 periods from the 1st closed bar before current bar and therefore indicative of momentum during the past 24 hours
• There’s Upward PA momentum if price close > HH and HH > prevHH and LL > prevLL
• There’s Downward PA momentum if price close < LL and LL < prevLL and HH < prevHH
Signal conditions and Status (BuySignal, SellSignal or Neutral)
• The strategy generates Buy or Sell Signals if both 3 EMAs and PA momentum conditions are met for each direction and these occur during the London and New York sessions
• BuySignal if price close > FastEMA and FastEMA > MedEMA and MedEMA > SlowEMA and price close > HH and HH > prevHH and LL > prevLL and timeinrange (LDN&NY) else Neutral
• SellSignal if price close < FastEMA and FastEMA < MedEMA and MedEMA < SlowEMA and price close < LL and LL < prevLL and HH < prevHH and timeinrange (LDN&NY) else Neutral
Entry conditions and Status (EnterBuy, EnterSell or Neutral)(NOT CODED YET)
• ENTRY IS NOT AT THE SIGNAL BAR but at the current bar tick price retracement to FastEMA after the signal
• EnterBuy if current bar tick price <= FastEMA and current bar tick price > prevHH at the time of the Buy Signal
• EnterSell if current bar tick price >= FastEMA and current bar tick price > prevLL at the time of the Sell Signal
NAND PerceptronExperimental NAND Perceptron based upon Python template that aims to predict NAND Gate Outputs. A Perceptron is one of the foundational building blocks of nearly all advanced Neural Network layers and models for Algo trading and Machine Learning.
The goal behind this script was threefold:
To prove and demonstrate that an ACTUAL working neural net can be implemented in Pine, even if incomplete.
To pave the way for other traders and coders to iterate on this script and push the boundaries of Tradingview strategies and indicators.
To see if a self-contained neural network component for parameter optimization within Pinescript was hypothetically possible.
NOTE: This is a highly experimental proof of concept - this is NOT a ready-made template to include or integrate into existing strategies and indicators, yet (emphasis YET - neural networks have a lot of potential utility and potential when utilized and implemented properly).
Hardcoded NAND Gate outputs with Bias column (X0):
// NAND Gate + X0 Bias and Y-true
// X0 // X1 // X2 // Y
// 1 // 0 // 0 // 1
// 1 // 0 // 1 // 1
// 1 // 1 // 0 // 1
// 1 // 1 // 1 // 0
Column X0 is bias feature/input
Column X1 and X2 are the NAND Gate
Column Y is the y-true values for the NAND gate
yhat is the prediction at that timestep
F0,F1,F2,F3 are the Dot products of the Weights (W0,W1,W2) and the input features (X0,X1,X2)
Learning rate and activation function threshold are enabled by default as input parameters
Uncomment sections for more training iterations/epochs:
Loop optimizations would be amazing to have for a selectable length for training iterations/epochs but I'm not sure if it's possible in Pine with how this script is structured.
Error metrics and loss have not been implemented due to difficulty with script length and iterations vs epochs - I haven't been able to configure the input parameters to successfully predict the right values for all four y-true values for the NAND gate (only been able to get 3/4; If you're able to get all four predictions to be correct, let me know, please).
// //---- REFERENCE for final output
// A3 := 1, y0 true
// B3 := 1, y1 true
// C3 := 1, y2 true
// D3 := 0, y3 true
PLEASE READ: Source article/template and main code reference:
towardsdatascience.com
towardsdatascience.com
towardsdatascience.com
Baseline-C [ID: AC-P]The "AC-P" version of jiehonglim's NNFX Baseline script is my personal customized version of the NNFX Baseline concept as part of the NNFX Algorithm stack/structure for 1D Trend Trading for Forex. Everget's JMA implementation is used for the baseline smoothing method, with optional ATR bands at 1.0x and 1.5x from the baseline.
NNFX = No Nonsense Forex
Baseline = Component of the NNFX Algorithm that consists of a single moving average
Baseline ---> Meant to be used in conjunction with ATR/C1/C2/Vol Indicator/Exit Indicator as per NNFX Algorithm setup/structure. C1 is 1st Confirmation Indicator, C2 is 2nd Confirmation Indicator.
JMA (Jurik Moving Average) is used for the baseline and slow baseline.
A slow baseline option is included, but disabled by default.
The faint orange/purple lines are 1.0x/1.5x ATR from the Baseline, and are what I use as potential TP/SL targets or to evaluate when to stay out of a trade (chop/missed entry/exit/other/ATR breach), depending on the trade setup (in conjunction with C1/C2/Vol Indicator/Exit Indicator)
This script is heavily based upon jiehonglim's NNFX Baseline script for signaling, barcoloring, and ATR.
SSL Channel option included but disabled by default (Erwinbeckers SSL component)
POC (Point of Control) from Volume Profile is included/enabled by default for both the current timeframe and 12HR timeframe
03.freeman's InfoPanel Divergence Indicator was used a reference to replace the current/previous ATR information infopanel/info draw from jiehonglim's script. I'm not sure whether I like the previous way ATR info was displayed vs how I have it currently, but it's something that is completely optional:
Specifically: I am tuning this baseline/indicator for 1D trading as part of the NNFX system, for Forex.
DO NOT USE THIS INDICATOR WITHOUT PROPER TUNING/ADJUSTMENT for your timeframe and asset class.
Note about lack of alerts:
Alerts for baseline crosses (and other crosses) have been purposefully omitted for this version upon initial publication. While getting alerts for baseline crosses under certain conditions/filtered conditions that eliminate low-importance signals and crossover whipsaw would be great, it's something I'm still looking into.
SPECIFICALLY: There are entry, exit, take profit, and continuation signal components in relation to the Baseline to the rest of the NNFX Algorithm stack (ATR/C1/C2/Vol Indicator/Exit Indicator), including but limited to the "1 candle rule" and the "7 candle rule" as per NNFX.
Implementing alerts that are significant that also factor in these rules while reducing alert spam/false signals would be ideal, but it's also the HTF/Daily chart - visually, entry/exit/continuation signal alignment is easy to spot when trading 1D - alerts may be redundant/a pursuit in diminishing returns (for now).
//-------------------------------------------------------------------
// Acknowledgements/Reference:
// jiehonglim, NNFX Baseline Script - Moving Averages
//
// Fractured, Many Moving Averages
//
// everget, Jurik Moving Average/JMA
//
// 03.freeman, InfoPanel Divergence Indicator
//
// Ggqmna Volume stops
//
// Libertus RSI Divs
//
// ChrisMoody, CM_Price-Action-Bars-Price Patterns That Work
//
// Erwinbeckers SSL Channel
//
ATR Bands PRO + Sweep Label + Divergence [MASTER]🔰 ATR Bands PRO + Liquidity Sweep & Divergence (RSI/MACD)
## 🔰 ATR Bands PRO + Liquidity Sweep & Divergence
A powerful institutional-grade toolkit that combines advanced ATR band visualization, customizable stop bands, dynamic grid lines, real-time liquidity sweep detection, and built-in swing-point divergence signals (RSI/MACD) – all fully adjustable.
**Key Features:**
- **Multi-Timeframe ATR Bands:**
Visualize ATR-based bands from any higher timeframe, fully customizable in color, width, style, and extension.
- **Smart Stops & Grid:**
Add stop bands and dynamic ATR grid lines with user control over appearance and step.
- **Liquidity Sweep Detection:**
Instantly see “Bull Sweep” or “Bear Sweep” labels every time price touches high/low liquidity sweeps from your chosen timeframe.
- **Divergence Alerts (RSI/MACD):**
Detect bullish or bearish divergence at swing highs/lows (on the main timeframe) – complete with highly visible, color-customizable labels.
- **Professional, Non-Cluttered Visuals:**
All labels and lines are managed with smart array handling – zero repaint, zero overlay clutter.
**How to Use:**
1. Choose your ATR “base” timeframe and customize band/stop/grid appearance.
2. Pick the Liquidity Sweep timeframe (e.g., H1, H4, D1) for institutional swing levels.
3. Enable divergence detection (RSI or MACD) to reveal hidden reversal signals at market pivots.
4. Adjust label offsets and colors for maximum clarity on your chart.
**Perfect for:**
- Liquidity-driven scalping, swing, and positional strategies.
- Spotting liquidity grabs, institutional sweeps, and “trap” price action.
- Fast visual confirmation of potential reversal zones using built-in divergence signals.
- Traders who demand high-performance, flexible visuals without chart clutter.
---
**Credit:**
Original logic inspired by RunStrat, AlgoAlpha, and custom adaptations by MILO888.
---
*For educational and professional use. Test on your own symbol/timeframe before live trading. Enjoy an edge!*
Wavelet Filter with Adaptive Upsampling [BackQuant]Wavelet Filter with Adaptive Upsampling
The Wavelet Filter with Adaptive Upsampling is an advanced filtering and signal reconstruction tool designed to enhance the analysis of financial time series data. It combines wavelet transforms with adaptive upsampling techniques to filter and reconstruct price data, making it ideal for capturing subtle market movements and enhancing trend detection. This system uses high-pass and low-pass filters to decompose the price series into different frequency components, applying adaptive thresholding to eliminate noise and preserve relevant signal information.
Shout out to Loxx for the Least Squares fitting of trigonometric series and Quinn and Fernandes algorithm for finding frequency
www.tradingview.com
Key Features
1. Frequency Decomposition with High-Pass and Low-Pass Filters:
The indicator decomposes the input time series using high-pass and low-pass filters to separate the high-frequency (detail) and low-frequency (trend) components of the data. This decomposition allows for a more accurate analysis of underlying trends, while mitigating the impact of noise.
2. Soft Thresholding for Noise Reduction:
A soft thresholding function is applied to the high-frequency component, allowing for the reduction of noise while retaining significant market signals. This function adjusts the coefficients of the high-frequency data, removing small fluctuations and leaving only the essential price movements.
3. Adaptive Upsampling Process:
The upsampling process in this script can be customized using different methods: sinusoidal upsampling, advanced upsampling, and simple upsampling. Each method serves a unique purpose:
Sinusoidal Upsample uses a sine wave to interpolate between data points, providing a smooth transition.
Advanced Upsample utilizes a Quinn-Fernandes algorithm to estimate frequency and apply more sophisticated interpolation techniques, adapting to the market’s cyclical behavior.
Simple Upsample linearly interpolates between data points, providing a basic upsampling technique for less complex analysis.
4. Reconstruction of Filtered Signal:
The indicator reconstructs the filtered signal by summing the high and low-frequency components after upsampling. This allows for a detailed yet smooth representation of the original time series, which can be used for analyzing underlying trends in the market.
5. Visualization of Reconstructed Data:
The reconstructed series is plotted, showing how the upsampling and filtering process enhances the clarity of the price movements. Additionally, the script provides the option to visualize the log returns of the reconstructed series as a histogram, with positive returns shown in green and negative returns in red.
6. Cumulative Series and Trend Detection:
A cumulative series is plotted to visualize the compounded effect of the filtered and reconstructed data. This feature helps traders track the overall performance of the asset over time, identifying whether the asset is following a sustained upward or downward trend.
7. Adaptive Thresholding and Noise Estimation:
The system estimates the noise level in the high-frequency component and applies an adaptive thresholding process based on the standard deviation of the downsampled data. This ensures that only significant price movements are retained, further refining the trend analysis.
8. Customizable Parameters for Flexibility:
Users can customize the following parameters to adjust the behavior of the indicator:
Frequency and Phase Shift: Control the periodicity of the wavelet transformation and the phase of the upsampling function.
Upsample Factor: Adjust the level of interpolation applied during the upsampling process.
Smoothing Period: Determine the length of time used to smooth the signal, helping to filter out short-term fluctuations.
References
Enhancing Cross-Sectional Currency Strategies with Context-Aware Learning to Rank
arxiv.org
Daubechies Wavelet - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
Quinn Fernandes Fourier Transform of Filtered Price by Loxx
Note on Usage for Mean-Reversion Strategy
This indicator is primarily designed for trend-following strategies. However, by taking the inverse of the signals, it can be adapted for mean-reversion strategies. This involves buying underperforming assets and selling outperforming ones. Caution: This method may not work effectively with highly correlated assets, as the price movements between correlated assets tend to mirror each other, limiting the effectiveness of mean-reversion strategies.
Final Thoughts
The Wavelet Filter with Adaptive Upsampling is a powerful tool for traders seeking to improve their understanding of market trends and noise. By using advanced wavelet decomposition and adaptive upsampling, this system offers a clearer, more refined picture of price movements, enhancing trend-following strategies. It’s particularly useful for detecting subtle shifts in market momentum and reconstructing price data in a way that removes noise, providing more accurate insights into market conditions.
Zero Lag Trend Strategy (MTF) [AlgoAlpha]# Zero Lag Trend Strategy (MTF) - Complete Guide
## Overview
The Zero Lag Trend Strategy is a sophisticated trading system that combines zero-lag exponential moving averages with volatility bands and EMA-based entry/exit filtering. This strategy is designed to capture trending movements while minimizing false signals through multiple confirmation layers.
## Core Components
### 1. Zero Lag EMA (ZLEMA)
- **Purpose**: Primary trend identification with reduced lag
- **Calculation**: Uses a modified EMA that compensates for inherent lag by incorporating price momentum
- **Formula**: `EMA(price + (price - price ), length)` where lag = (length-1)/2
- **Default Length**: 70 periods (adjustable)
### 2. Volatility Bands
- **Purpose**: Define trend strength and entry/exit zones
- **Calculation**: Based on ATR (Average True Range) multiplied by a user-defined multiplier
- **Upper Band**: ZLEMA + (ATR * multiplier)
- **Lower Band**: ZLEMA - (ATR * multiplier)
- **Default Multiplier**: 1.2 (adjustable)
### 3. EMA Filter/Exit System
- **Purpose**: Entry filtering and exit signal generation
- **Default Length**: 9 periods (fully customizable)
- **Color**: Blue line on chart
- **Function**: Prevents counter-trend entries and provides clean exit signals
## Entry Logic
### Long Entry Conditions
1. **Primary Signal**: Price crosses above the upper volatility band (strong bullish momentum)
2. **Additional Entries**: Price crosses above ZLEMA while already in an uptrend (if enabled)
3. **EMA Filter**: Price must be above the EMA filter line
4. **Confirmation**: All conditions must align simultaneously
### Short Entry Conditions
1. **Primary Signal**: Price crosses below the lower volatility band (strong bearish momentum)
2. **Additional Entries**: Price crosses below ZLEMA while already in a downtrend (if enabled)
3. **EMA Filter**: Price must be below the EMA filter line
4. **Confirmation**: All conditions must align simultaneously
## Exit Logic
**Simple and Clean**: Positions are closed when price crosses the EMA filter line in the opposite direction:
- **Long Exit**: Price crosses below the EMA filter
- **Short Exit**: Price crosses above the EMA filter
## Multi-Timeframe Analysis
The strategy includes a real-time table showing trend direction across 5 different timeframes:
- Default timeframes: 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D (all customizable)
- Color-coded signals: Green for bullish, Red for bearish
- Helps confirm overall market direction before taking trades
## Key Parameters
### Main Calculations
- **Length (70)**: Zero-lag EMA calculation period
- **Band Multiplier (1.2)**: Controls volatility band width
### Strategy Settings
- **Enable Additional Trend Entries**: Allow multiple entries during strong trends
- **EMA Exit Length (9)**: Period for the entry filter and exit EMA
### Timeframes
- **5 customizable timeframes** for multi-timeframe trend analysis
### Appearance
- **Bullish Color**: Default green (#00ffbb)
- **Bearish Color**: Default red (#ff1100)
## Visual Elements
### Chart Display
- **ZLEMA Line**: Color-coded trend line (green/red based on trend direction)
- **Volatility Bands**: Dynamic upper/lower bands that appear based on trend
- **EMA Filter**: Blue line for entry filtering and exits
- **Entry Signals**:
- Large arrows (▲▼) for primary trend signals
- Small arrows for additional trend entries
- Tiny letters (L/S) for actual strategy entries
### Information Table
- **Position**: Top-right corner
- **Content**: Real-time trend status across all configured timeframes
- **Updates**: Continuously updated with current market conditions
## Strategy Advantages
### Trend Following Excellence
- Captures strong trending moves with reduced whipsaws
- Multiple confirmation layers prevent false entries
- Dynamic bands adapt to market volatility
### Risk Management
- Clear, objective exit rules
- EMA filter prevents counter-trend trades
- Multi-timeframe confirmation reduces bad trades
### Flexibility
- Fully customizable parameters
- Works across different timeframes and instruments
- Optional additional trend entries for maximum profit potential
### Visual Clarity
- Clean, professional chart display
- Easy-to-read signals and trends
- Comprehensive multi-timeframe overview
## Best Practices
### Parameter Optimization
- **Length**: Higher values (50-100) for longer-term trends, lower values (20-50) for shorter-term
- **Band Multiplier**: Higher values (1.5-2.0) reduce signals but increase quality
- **EMA Length**: Shorter periods (5-13) for quick exits, longer periods (20-50) for trend riding
### Market Conditions
- **Trending Markets**: Enable additional trend entries for maximum profit
- **Choppy Markets**: Use higher band multiplier and longer EMA for fewer, higher-quality signals
- **Different Timeframes**: Adjust all parameters proportionally when changing chart timeframes
### Multi-Timeframe Usage
- Align trades with higher timeframe trends
- Use lower timeframes for precise entry timing
- Avoid trades when timeframes show conflicting signals
## Risk Considerations
- Like all trend-following strategies, may struggle in ranging/choppy markets
- EMA exit system prioritizes trend continuation over quick profit-taking
- Multiple timeframe analysis requires careful interpretation
- Backtesting recommended before live trading with any parameter changes
## Conclusion
The Zero Lag Trend Strategy provides a comprehensive approach to trend trading with built-in risk management and multi-timeframe analysis. Its combination of advanced technical indicators, clear entry/exit rules, and customizable parameters makes it suitable for both novice and experienced traders seeking to capture trending market movements.
CISD Levels by HAZEDCISD Levels by HAZED - Advanced Market Structure Analysis
📊 Overview
The CISD Levels indicator is a sophisticated market structure analysis tool that automatically identifies and plots critical support and resistance levels based on Change in State Direction (CISD) methodology. This indicator helps traders visualize key market turning points and potential breakout/breakdown levels with precision.
🎯 What are CISD Levels?
CISD (Change in State Direction) levels represent significant price points where market sentiment shifts from bullish to bearish or vice versa. These levels are dynamically calculated based on:
Market structure breaks (higher highs/lower lows)
Pullback patterns and trend continuations
Real-time price action analysis
Dynamic level updates as market conditions evolve
✨ Key Features
🔥 Smart Level Detection
Automatically identifies bullish (+CISD) and bearish (-CISD) levels
Real-time updates as market structure evolves
Intelligent pullback detection algorithm
🎨 Full Customization
Colors: Customize bullish/bearish level colors
Line Styles: Choose from solid, dotted, or dashed lines
Text Labels: Fully customizable text, size, and font options
Transparency: Adjustable line transparency (0-100%)
Extensions: Control how far lines extend into the future
📈 Historical Analysis
Show All Levels: Option to display historical CISD levels
Max Levels Control: Limit the number of historical levels shown (1-50)
Level Management: Automatic cleanup of old levels
🚨 Smart Alerts
Bullish Alerts: Get notified when price breaks above +CISD levels
Bearish Alerts: Get notified when price breaks below -CISD levels
Alert Frequency: Choose between "Once Per Bar" or "Once Per Bar Close"
📊 Statistics Table
Market State: Current bullish/bearish market condition
Active Levels: Count of currently active CISD levels
Latest Levels: Display of most recent +CISD and -CISD values
Positioning: 5 different table positions available
🛠️ How to Use
For Swing Traders:
Use CISD levels as key support/resistance zones
Enter positions on level breaks with proper risk management
Set stop losses below/above opposite CISD levels
For Day Traders:
Watch for price reactions at CISD levels
Use levels for entry/exit timing
Combine with volume analysis for confirmation
For Position Traders:
Identify major market structure changes
Use higher timeframe CISD levels for strategic entries
Monitor level breaks for trend continuation signals
⚙️ Settings Guide
CISD Level Settings
Bullish/Bearish Colors: Customize level appearance
Custom Text: Add your own labels to levels
Alert Setup: Enable notifications for level breaks
Historical Levels: Choose to show past levels for context
Appearance Customization
Line Width: 1-5 pixel thickness options
Line Style: Solid, dotted, or dashed
Extension Bars: Control future projection (1-50 bars)
Text Options: Size, font, and bold formatting
Statistics Table
Enable/Disable: Toggle table visibility
Position: 5 placement options on chart
Real-time Data: Live market state and level information
🎯 Best Practices
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Use CISD levels across different timeframes for confluence
Risk Management: Always use proper position sizing and stop losses
Confirmation: Combine with volume, momentum, or other indicators
Market Context: Consider overall market conditions and news events
Backtesting: Test the levels on historical data before live trading
📋 Technical Specifications
Overlay: True (plots directly on price chart)
Max Lines: 500 (handles multiple historical levels)
Max Labels: 500 (supports extensive labeling)
Real-time Updates: Dynamic level calculation and alerts
Performance: Optimized code for smooth chart operation
🚀 Why Choose CISD Levels?
Precision: Advanced algorithm for accurate level identification
Flexibility: Extensive customization options for any trading style
Reliability: Proven market structure analysis methodology
User-Friendly: Intuitive settings with helpful tooltips
Professional: Clean, professional appearance on any chart
📞 Support & Updates
This indicator is actively maintained and updated. For questions, suggestions, or feature requests, feel free to reach out through TradingView messaging.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Auto Fractal [theUltimator5]This indicator is what I call the Auto Fractal. It is a unique algorithm that looks back in time, finds a segment on the chart that closest matches the recent price action, then projects the price forwards. It effectively finds chart patterns and shows you what the price did the last time the same/similar chart pattern was observed.
Creating an algorithm to match abstract curves to other abstract curves and provide a confidence score was the fundamental problem that needed to be solved in order to create this indicator, which curve matches with surprising accuracy.
The most effective method to "curve match" that I found is the Pearson Coefficient, set by a segment length and a lookback period. After the highest coefficient curve is located, the curve then gets scaled and offset to match the current price.
The past segment is drawn over the current price (orange line), giving a visualization of the two curves and how closely they match each other. The indicator then projects the price forwards in time based on the price action of the chart from the historical segment (dashed fuchsia line).
A bounding box also gets drawn around the historical segment to give you a clear visual of where the price is getting pulled from for proper analysis and ease of use.
The Pearson Coefficient % is shown in a table in the top right-hand corner of the chart and can be toggled off if desired. The values range from -100% (perfectly inverse correlation) to +100% (perfectly correlated) with 0 meaning no correlation whatsoever. The closer to +100% the value is, the better the segment match.
As with most/all of my indicators, user interface and simplicity was at the top of my priority list. I designed this to be easily readable and intuitive to both novice and veteran traders, without cluttering the chart.
Note:
This indicator is extremely heavy in terms of memory usage due to nested for loops, and takes several seconds to initially load the chart overlay. If the lookback period is increased too high (>600) then the indicator may time out and fail to load anything. If nothing loads on the chart, try reducing the lookback length and wait up to 10 seconds for lines to appear.
Dynamic Range Filter with Trend Candlesticks (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Dynamic Range Filter with Trend Candlesticks (Zeiierman) is a volatility-responsive trend engine that adapts in real-time to market structure, offering a clean and intelligent visualization of directional bias. It blends dynamic range calculation with customizable smoothing techniques and layered trend confirmation logic, making it ideal for traders who rely on clear trend direction, structural range analysis, and momentum-based candlestick signals.
By measuring scaled volatility over configurable lengths and applying advanced moving average techniques, this indicator filters out market noise while preserving true directional intent. Complementing this, a dual-trend system (range-based and candle-based) enhances clarity and responsiveness, particularly during shifting market conditions.
█ How It Works
⚪ Scaled Volatility Band Calculation
At the core lies a volatility engine that constructs adaptive range bands around price using smoothed high/low calculations. The bands are dynamically adjusted using:
High/Low Smoothing – Applies a moving average to the raw high and low data before calculating the range.
Scaled Range Volatility – A 2.618 multiplier scales the distance between smoothed highs and lows, forming a responsive volatility envelope.
Band Multiplier – Controls how wide the upper/lower range bands extend from the mean.
This filtering process minimizes false signals and highlights only structurally meaningful moves.
⚪ Multi-Type Smoothing Engine
Users can choose from a wide array of smoothing algorithms for trend construction, including:
HMA (default), SMA, EMA, RMA
KAMA – Adapts to market volatility using efficiency ratios.
VIDYA – Momentum-sensitive smoothing using CMO logic.
FRAMA – Dynamically adjusts to fractal dimension in price.
Super Smoother – Ideal for eliminating aliasing in range signals.
This provides the trader with fine-tuned control over reactivity vs. smoothness.
⚪ Trend Detection (Dual Engine)
The indicator includes two independent trend tracking systems:
Main Trend Filter – Based on adaptive volatility band shifts.
Candle Trend Filter – A second-tier confirmation using smoothed candle data, ideal for directional candles and confirmation entries.
█ How to Use
⚪ Trend Confirmation
Use the Trend Line and colored candlesticks for high-probability entries in the trend direction. The more trend layers that align, the higher the confidence.
⚪ Reversal Zones
When the price reaches the outer bands or fails to break them, look for candle color shifts or a crossover in the range to anticipate possible reversals or consolidations.
█ Settings
Scaled Volatility Length – Controls the lookback used to stabilize the base volatility band.
MA Type & Length – Choose and fine-tune the smoothing method (HMA, EMA, KAMA, etc.)
High/Low Smoother – Pre-smoothing for structural high/low banding.
Band Multiplier – Adjusts the width of the dynamic bands.
Trend Length (Candles) – Length used for candle-based trend confirmation.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
ErrorFunctionsLibrary "ErrorFunctions"
A collection of functions used to approximate the area beneath a Gaussian curve.
Because an ERF (Error Function) is an integral, there is no closed-form solution to calculating the area beneath the curve. Meaning all ERFs are approximations; precisely wrong, but mostly accurate. How close you need to get to the actual area depends entirely on your use case, with more precision being less efficient.
The internal precision of floats in Pine Script is 1e-16 (16 decimals, aka. double precision). This library adapts well known algorithms designed to efficiently reach double precision. Single precision alternates are also included. All of them were made free to use, modify, and distribute by their original authors.
HASTINGS
Adaptation of a single precision ERF by Cecil Hastings Jr, published through Princeton University in 1955. It was later documented by Abramowitz and Stegun as equation 7.1.26 in their 1972 Handbook of Mathematical Functions. Fast, efficient, and ideal when precision beyond a few decimals is unnecessary.
GILES
Adaptation of a single precision Inverse ERF by Michael Giles, published through the University of Oxford in 2012. It reverses the ERF, estimating an X coordinate from an area. It too is fast, efficient, and ideal when precision beyond a few decimals is unnecessary.
LIBC
Adaptation of the double precision ERF & ERFC in the standard C library (aka. libc). It is also the same ERF & ERFC that SciPy uses. While not quite as efficient as the Hastings approximation, it's still very fast and fully maximizes Pines precision.
BOOST
Adaptation of the double precision Inverse ERF & Inverse ERFC in the Boost Math C++ library. SciPy uses these as well. These reverse the ERF & ERFC, estimating an X coordinate from an area. It too isn't quite as efficient as the Giles approximation, but still fast and fully maximizes Pines precision.
While these algorithms are not exported directly, they are available through their exported counterparts.
- - -
ERROR FUNCTIONS
erf(x, precise)
An Error Function estimates the theoretical error of a measurement.
Parameters:
x (float) : (float) Upper limit of the integration.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between -1 and 1.
erfc(x, precise)
A Complementary Error Function estimates the difference between a theoretical error and infinity.
Parameters:
x (float) : (float) Lower limit of the integration.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between 0 and 2.
erfinv(x, precise)
An Inverse Error Function reverses the erf() by estimating the original measurement from the theoretical error.
Parameters:
x (float) : (float) Theoretical error.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between 0 and ± infinity.
erfcinv(x, precise)
An Inverse Complementary Error Function reverses the erfc() by estimating the original measurement from the difference between the theoretical error and infinity.
Parameters:
x (float) : (float) Difference between the theoretical error and infinity.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between 0 and ± infinity.
- - -
DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS
pdf(x, m, s)
A Probability Density Function estimates the probability density . For clarity, density is not a probability .
Parameters:
x (float) : (float) X coordinate for which a density will be estimated.
m (float) : (float) Mean
s (float) : (float) Sigma
Returns: (float) Between 0 and ∞.
cdf(z, precise)
A Cumulative Distribution Function estimates the area under a Gaussian curve between negative infinity and the Z Score.
Parameters:
z (float) : (float) Z Score.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between 0 and 1.
cdfinv(a, precise)
An Inverse Cumulative Distribution Function reverses the cdf() by estimating the Z Score from an area.
Parameters:
a (float) : (float) Area between 0 and 1.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between -∞ and +∞
cdfab(z1, z2, precise)
A Cumulative Distribution Function from A to B estimates the area under a Gaussian curve between two Z Scores (A and B).
Parameters:
z1 (float) : (float) First Z Score.
z2 (float) : (float) Second Z Score.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between 0 and 1.
ttt(z, precise)
A Two-Tailed Test estimates the area under a Gaussian curve between symmetrical ± Z scores and ± infinity.
Parameters:
z (float) : (float) One of the symmetrical Z Scores.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between 0 and 1.
tttinv(a, precise)
An Inverse Two-Tailed Test reverses the ttt() by estimating the absolute Z Score from an area.
Parameters:
a (float) : (float) Area between 0 and 1.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between 0 and ∞.
ott(z, precise)
A One-Tailed Test estimates the area under a Gaussian curve between an absolute Z Score and infinity.
Parameters:
z (float) : (float) Z Score.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between 0 and 1.
ottinv(a, precise)
An Inverse One-Tailed Test Reverses the ott() by estimating the Z Score from a an area.
Parameters:
a (float) : (float) Area between 0 and 1.
precise (bool) : Double precision (true) or single precision (false).
Returns: (float) Between 0 and ∞.
Vector Candles [v6 Optimized + EMA]
Vector Candles represent an innovative technical analysis approach that transforms traditional candlestick charting by integrating volume dynamics, color-coded momentum, and multi-dimensional market insights. Unlike standard candlesticks that merely display price movement, Vector Candles encode additional market information through sophisticated color and volume algorithms.
Key Features:
-Dynamic Volume-Based Coloring: Candles change color based on trading volume intensity
-Volume Categories:
High Volume (Lime/Red): Significant market activity (200%+- Vol of Previous 10 Candles)
Above Average Volume (Blue/Fuchsia): Moderate market momentum (150%+- Vol of Previous 10 Candles).
Normal Volume (Gray Scales): Standard market conditions.
Stopping Volume Candles - Typically Pinbar/Doji candles. Stops volume in the current direction of delivery & can help forecast impending reversals or end to the current trend.
-Integrated EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Option:
-Customizable EMA Length (Default: 50 periods) (I use 33)
Configurable EMA Source (e.g., close price)
Optional EMA Overlay for Trend Confirmation
Solar Cycle (SOLAR)SOLAR: SOLAR CYCLE
🔍 OVERVIEW AND PURPOSE
The Solar Cycle indicator is an astronomical calculator that provides precise values representing the seasonal position of the Sun throughout the year. This indicator maps the Sun's position in the ecliptic to a normalized value ranging from -1.0 (winter solstice) through 0.0 (equinoxes) to +1.0 (summer solstice), creating a continuous cycle that represents the seasonal progression throughout the year.
The implementation uses high-precision astronomical formulas that include orbital elements and perturbation terms to accurately calculate the Sun's position. By converting chart timestamps to Julian dates and applying standard astronomical algorithms, this indicator achieves significantly greater accuracy than simplified seasonal approximations. This makes it valuable for traders exploring seasonal patterns, agricultural commodities trading, and natural cycle-based trading strategies.
🧩 CORE CONCEPTS
Seasonal cycle integration: Maps the annual solar cycle (365.242 days) to a continuous wave
Continuous phase representation: Provides a normalized -1.0 to +1.0 value
Astronomical precision: Uses perturbation terms and high-precision constants for accurate solar position
Key points detection: Identifies solstices (±1.0) and equinoxes (0.0) automatically
The Solar Cycle indicator differs from traditional seasonal analysis tools by incorporating precise astronomical calculations rather than using simple calendar-based approximations. This approach allows traders to identify exact seasonal turning points and transitions with high accuracy.
⚙️ COMMON SETTINGS AND PARAMETERS
Pro Tip: While the indicator itself doesn't have adjustable parameters, it's most effective when used on higher timeframes (daily or weekly charts) to visualize seasonal patterns. Consider combining it with commodity price data to analyze seasonal correlations.
🧮 CALCULATION AND MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATION
Simplified explanation:
The Solar Cycle indicator calculates the Sun's ecliptic longitude and transforms it into a sine wave that peaks at the summer solstice and troughs at the winter solstice, with equinoxes at the zero crossings.
Technical formula:
Convert chart timestamp to Julian Date:
JD = (time / 86400000.0) + 2440587.5
Calculate Time T in Julian centuries since J2000.0:
T = (JD - 2451545.0) / 36525.0
Calculate the Sun's mean longitude (L0) and mean anomaly (M), including perturbation terms:
L0 = (280.46646 + 36000.76983T + 0.0003032T²) % 360
M = (357.52911 + 35999.05029T - 0.0001537T² - 0.00000025T³) % 360
Calculate the equation of center (C):
C = (1.914602 - 0.004817T - 0.000014*T²)sin(M) +
(0.019993 - 0.000101T)sin(2M) +
0.000289sin(3M)
Calculate the Sun's true longitude and convert to seasonal value:
λ = L0 + C
seasonal = sin(λ)
🔍 Technical Note: The implementation includes terms for the equation of center to account for the Earth's elliptical orbit. This provides more accurate timing of solstices and equinoxes compared to simple harmonic approximations.
📈 INTERPRETATION DETAILS
The Solar Cycle indicator provides several analytical perspectives:
Summer Solstice (+1.0): Maximum solar elevation, longest day
Winter Solstice (-1.0): Minimum solar elevation, shortest day
Vernal Equinox (0.0 crossing up): Day and night equal length, spring begins
Autumnal Equinox (0.0 crossing down): Day and night equal length, autumn begins
Transition rates: Steepest near equinoxes, flattest near solstices
Cycle alignment: Market cycles that align with seasonal patterns may show stronger trends
Confirmation points: Solstices and equinoxes often mark important seasonal turning points
⚠️ LIMITATIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS
Geographic relevance: Solar cycle timing is most relevant for temperate latitudes
Market specificity: Seasonal effects vary significantly across different markets
Timeframe compatibility: Most effective for longer-term analysis (weekly/monthly)
Complementary tool: Should be used alongside price action and other indicators
Lead/lag effects: Market reactions to seasonal changes may precede or follow astronomical events
Statistical significance: Seasonal patterns should be verified across multiple years
Global markets: Consider opposite seasonality in Southern Hemisphere markets
📚 REFERENCES
Meeus, J. (1998). Astronomical Algorithms (2nd ed.). Willmann-Bell.
Hirshleifer, D., & Shumway, T. (2003). Good day sunshine: Stock returns and the weather. Journal of Finance, 58(3), 1009-1032.
Hong, H., & Yu, J. (2009). Gone fishin': Seasonality in trading activity and asset prices. Journal of Financial Markets, 12(4), 672-702.
Bouman, S., & Jacobsen, B. (2002). The Halloween indicator, 'Sell in May and go away': Another puzzle. American Economic Review, 92(5), 1618-1635.
Bober XM v2.0# ₿ober XM v2.0 Trading Bot Documentation
**Developer's Note**: While our previous Bot 1.3.1 was removed due to guideline violations, this setback only fueled our determination to create something even better. Rising from this challenge, Bober XM 2.0 emerges not just as an update, but as a complete reimagining with multi-timeframe analysis, enhanced filters, and superior adaptability. This adversity pushed us to innovate further and deliver a strategy that's smarter, more agile, and more powerful than ever before. Challenges create opportunity - welcome to Cryptobeat's finest work yet.
## !!!!You need to tune it for your own pair and timeframe and retune it periodicaly!!!!!
## Overview
The ₿ober XM v2.0 is an advanced dual-channel trading bot with multi-timeframe analysis capabilities. It integrates multiple technical indicators, customizable risk management, and advanced order execution via webhook for automated trading. The bot's distinctive feature is its separate channel systems for long and short positions, allowing for asymmetric trade strategies that adapt to different market conditions across multiple timeframes.
### Key Features
- **Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: Analyze price data across multiple timeframes simultaneously
- **Dual Channel System**: Separate parameter sets for long and short positions
- **Advanced Entry Filters**: RSI, Volatility, Volume, Bollinger Bands, and KEMAD filters
- **Machine Learning Moving Average**: Adaptive prediction-based channels
- **Multiple Entry Strategies**: Breakout, Pullback, and Mean Reversion modes
- **Risk Management**: Customizable stop-loss, take-profit, and trailing stop settings
- **Webhook Integration**: Compatible with external trading bots and platforms
### Strategy Components
| Component | Description |
|---------|-------------|
| **Dual Channel Trading** | Uses either Keltner Channels or Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA) with separate settings for long and short positions |
| **MLMA Implementation** | Machine learning algorithm that predicts future price movements and creates adaptive bands |
| **Pivot Point SuperTrend** | Trend identification and confirmation system based on pivot points |
| **Three Entry Strategies** | Choose between Breakout, Pullback, or Mean Reversion approaches |
| **Advanced Filter System** | Multiple customizable filters with multi-timeframe support to avoid false signals |
| **Custom Exit Logic** | Exits based on OBV crossover of its moving average combined with pivot trend changes |
### Note for Novice Users
This is a fully featured real trading bot and can be tweaked for any ticker — SOL is just an example. It follows this structure:
1. **Indicator** – gives the initial signal
2. **Entry strategy** – decides when to open a trade
3. **Exit strategy** – defines when to close it
4. **Trend confirmation** – ensures the trade follows the market direction
5. **Filters** – cuts out noise and avoids weak setups
6. **Risk management** – controls losses and protects your capital
To tune it for a different pair, you'll need to start from scratch:
1. Select the timeframe (candle size)
2. Turn off all filters and trend entry/exit confirmations
3. Choose a channel type, channel source and entry strategy
4. Adjust risk parameters
5. Tune long and short settings for the channel
6. Fine-tune the Pivot Point Supertrend and Main Exit condition OBV
This will generate a lot of signals and activity on the chart. Your next task is to find the right combination of filters and settings to reduce noise and tune it for profitability.
### Default Strategy values
Default values are tuned for: Symbol BITGET:SOLUSDT.P 5min candle
Filters are off by default: Try to play with it to understand how it works
## Configuration Guide
### General Settings
| Setting | Description | Default Value |
|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Long Positions** | Enable or disable long trades | Enabled |
| **Short Positions** | Enable or disable short trades | Enabled |
| **Risk/Reward Area** | Visual display of stop-loss and take-profit zones | Enabled |
| **Long Entry Source** | Price data used for long entry signals | hl2 (High+Low/2) |
| **Short Entry Source** | Price data used for short entry signals | hl2 (High+Low/2) |
The bot allows you to trade long positions, short positions, or both simultaneously. Each direction has its own set of parameters, allowing for fine-tuned strategies that recognize the asymmetric nature of market movements.
### Multi-Timeframe Settings
1. **Enable Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: Toggle 'Enable Multi-Timeframe Analysis' in the Multi-Timeframe Settings section
2. **Configure Timeframes**: Set appropriate higher timeframes based on your trading style:
- Timeframe 1: Default is now 15 minutes (intraday confirmation)
- Timeframe 2: Default is 4 hours (trend direction)
3. **Select Sources per Indicator**: For each indicator (RSI, KEMAD, Volume, etc.), choose:
- The desired timeframe (current, mtf1, or mtf2)
- The appropriate price type (open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4)
### Entry Strategies
- **Breakout**: Enter when price breaks above/below the channel
- **Pullback**: Enter when price pulls back to the channel
- **Mean Reversion**: Enter when price is extended from the channel
You can enable different strategies for long and short positions.
### Core Components
### Risk Management
- **Position Size**: Control risk with percentage-based position sizing
- **Stop Loss Options**:
- Fixed: Set a specific price or percentage from entry
- ATR-based: Dynamic stop-loss based on market volatility
- Swing: Uses recent swing high/low points
- **Take Profit**: Multiple targets with percentage allocation
- **Trailing Stop**: Dynamic stop that follows price movement
## Advanced Usage Strategies
### Moving Average Type Selection Guide
- **SMA**: More stable in choppy markets, good for higher timeframes
- **EMA/WMA**: More responsive to recent price changes, better for entry signals
- **VWMA**: Adds volume weighting for stronger trends, use with Volume filter
- **HMA**: Balance between responsiveness and noise reduction, good for volatile markets
### Multi-Timeframe Strategy Approaches
- **Trend Confirmation**: Use higher timeframe RSI (mtf2) for overall trend, current timeframe for entries
- **Entry Precision**: Use KEMAD on current timeframe with volume filter on mtf1
- **False Signal Reduction**: Apply RSI filter on mtf1 with strict KEMAD settings
### Market Condition Optimization
| Market Condition | Recommended Settings |
|------------------|----------------------|
| **Trending** | Use Breakout strategy with KEMAD filter on higher timeframe |
| **Ranging** | Use Mean Reversion with strict RSI filter (mtf1) |
| **Volatile** | Increase ATR multipliers, use HMA for moving averages |
| **Low Volatility** | Decrease noise parameters, use pullback strategy |
## Webhook Integration
The strategy features a professional webhook system that allows direct connectivity to your exchange or trading platform of choice through third-party services like 3commas, Alertatron, or Autoview.
The webhook payload includes all necessary parameters for automated execution:
- Entry price and direction
- Stop loss and take profit levels
- Position size
- Custom identifier for webhook routing
## Performance Optimization Tips
1. **Start with Defaults**: Begin with the default settings for your timeframe before customizing
2. **Adjust One Component at a Time**: Make incremental changes and test the impact
3. **Match MA Types to Market Conditions**: Use appropriate moving average types based on the Market Condition Optimization table
4. **Timeframe Synergy**: Create logical relationships between timeframes (e.g., 5min chart with 15min and 4h higher timeframes)
5. **Periodic Retuning**: Markets evolve - regularly review and adjust parameters
## Common Setups
### Crypto Trend-Following
- MLMA with EMA or HMA
- Higher RSI thresholds (75/25)
- KEMAD filter on mtf1
- Breakout entry strategy
### Stock Swing Trading
- MLMA with SMA for stability
- Volume filter with higher threshold
- KEMAD with increased filter order
- Pullback entry strategy
### Forex Scalping
- MLMA with WMA and lower noise parameter
- RSI filter on current timeframe
- Use highest timeframe for trend direction only
- Mean Reversion strategy
## Webhook Configuration
- **Benefits**:
- Automated trade execution without manual intervention
- Immediate response to market conditions
- Consistent execution of your strategy
- **Implementation Notes**:
- Requires proper webhook configuration on your exchange or platform
- Test thoroughly with small position sizes before full deployment
- Consider latency between signal generation and execution
### Backtesting Period
Define a specific historical period to evaluate the bot's performance:
| Setting | Description | Default Value |
|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Start Date** | Beginning of backtest period | January 1, 2025 |
| **End Date** | End of backtest period | December 31, 2026 |
- **Best Practice**: Test across different market conditions (bull markets, bear markets, sideways markets)
- **Limitation**: Past performance doesn't guarantee future results
## Entry and Exit Strategies
### Dual-Channel System
A key innovation of the Bober XM is its dual-channel approach:
- **Independent Parameters**: Each trade direction has its own channel settings
- **Asymmetric Trading**: Recognizes that markets often behave differently in uptrends versus downtrends
- **Optimized Performance**: Fine-tune settings for both bullish and bearish conditions
This approach allows the bot to adapt to the natural asymmetry of markets, where uptrends often develop gradually while downtrends can be sharp and sudden.
### Channel Types
#### 1. Keltner Channels
Traditional volatility-based channels using EMA and ATR:
| Setting | Long Default | Short Default |
|---------|--------------|---------------|
| **EMA Length** | 37 | 20 |
| **ATR Length** | 13 | 17 |
| **Multiplier** | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| **Source** | low | high |
- **Strengths**:
- Reliable in trending markets
- Less prone to whipsaws than Bollinger Bands
- Clear visual representation of volatility
- **Weaknesses**:
- Can lag during rapid market changes
- Less effective in choppy, non-trending markets
#### 2. Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA)
Advanced predictive model using kernel regression (RBF kernel):
| Setting | Description | Options |
|---------|-------------|--------|
| **Source MA** | Price data used for MA calculations | Any price source (low/high/close/etc.) |
| **Moving Average Type** | Type of MA algorithm for calculations | SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, RMA, HMA |
| **Trend Source** | Price data used for trend determination | Any price source (close default) |
| **Window Size** | Historical window for MLMA calculations | 5+ (default: 16) |
| **Forecast Length** | Number of bars to forecast ahead | 1+ (default: 3) |
| **Noise Parameter** | Controls smoothness of prediction | 0.01+ (default: ~0.43) |
| **Band Multiplier** | Multiplier for channel width | 0.1+ (default: 0.5-0.6) |
- **Strengths**:
- Predictive rather than reactive
- Adapts quickly to changing market conditions
- Better at identifying trend reversals early
- **Weaknesses**:
- More computationally intensive
- Requires careful parameter tuning
- Can be sensitive to input data quality
### Entry Strategies
| Strategy | Description | Ideal Market Conditions |
|----------|-------------|-------------------------|
| **Breakout** | Enters when price breaks through channel bands, indicating strong momentum | High volatility, emerging trends |
| **Pullback** | Enters when price retraces to the middle band after testing extremes | Established trends with regular pullbacks |
| **Mean Reversion** | Enters at channel extremes, betting on a return to the mean | Range-bound or oscillating markets |
#### Breakout Strategy (Default)
- **Implementation**: Enters long when price crosses above the upper band, short when price crosses below the lower band
- **Strengths**: Captures strong momentum moves, performs well in trending markets
- **Weaknesses**: Can lead to late entries, higher risk of false breakouts
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Increase channel multiplier for fewer but more reliable signals
- Combine with volume confirmation for better accuracy
#### Pullback Strategy
- **Implementation**: Enters long when price pulls back to middle band during uptrend, short during downtrend pullbacks
- **Strengths**: Better entry prices, lower risk, higher probability setups
- **Weaknesses**: Misses some strong moves, requires clear trend identification
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Use with trend filters to confirm overall direction
- Adjust middle band calculation for market volatility
#### Mean Reversion Strategy
- **Implementation**: Enters long at lower band, short at upper band, expecting price to revert to the mean
- **Strengths**: Excellent entry prices, works well in ranging markets
- **Weaknesses**: Dangerous in strong trends, can lead to fighting the trend
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Implement strong trend filters to avoid counter-trend trades
- Use smaller position sizes due to higher risk nature
### Confirmation Indicators
#### Pivot Point SuperTrend
Combines pivot points with ATR-based SuperTrend for trend confirmation:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Pivot Period** | 25 |
| **ATR Factor** | 2.2 |
| **ATR Period** | 41 |
- **Function**: Identifies significant market turning points and confirms trend direction
- **Implementation**: Requires price to respect the SuperTrend line for trade confirmation
#### Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Provides additional confirmation layer for entries:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Period** | 15 |
| **Source** | ohlc4 (average of Open, High, Low, Close) |
- **Function**: Confirms trend direction and filters out low-quality signals
- **Implementation**: Price must be above WMA for longs, below for shorts
### Exit Strategies
#### On-Balance Volume (OBV) Based Exits
Uses volume flow to identify potential reversals:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Source** | ohlc4 |
| **MA Type** | HMA (Options: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, VWMA, HMA) |
| **Period** | 22 |
- **Function**: Identifies divergences between price and volume to exit before reversals
- **Implementation**: Exits when OBV crosses its moving average in the opposite direction
- **Customizable MA Type**: Different MA types provide varying sensitivity to OBV changes:
- **SMA**: Traditional simple average, equal weight to all periods
- **EMA**: More weight to recent data, responds faster to price changes
- **WMA**: Weighted by recency, smoother than EMA
- **RMA**: Similar to EMA but smoother, reduces noise
- **VWMA**: Factors in volume, helpful for OBV confirmation
- **HMA**: Reduces lag while maintaining smoothness (default)
#### ADX Exit Confirmation
Uses Average Directional Index to confirm trend exhaustion:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **ADX Threshold** | 35 |
| **ADX Smoothing** | 60 |
| **DI Length** | 60 |
- **Function**: Confirms trend weakness before exiting positions
- **Implementation**: Requires ADX to drop below threshold or DI lines to cross
## Filter System
### RSI Filter
- **Function**: Controls entries based on momentum conditions
- **Parameters**:
- Period: 15 (default)
- Overbought level: 71
- Oversold level: 23
- Multi-timeframe support: Current, MTF1 (15min), or MTF2 (4h)
- Customizable price source (open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4)
- **Implementation**: Blocks long entries when RSI > overbought, short entries when RSI < oversold
### Volatility Filter
- **Function**: Prevents trading during excessive market volatility
- **Parameters**:
- Measure: ATR (Average True Range)
- Period: Customizable (default varies by timeframe)
- Threshold: Adjustable multiplier
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Blocks trades when current volatility exceeds threshold × average volatility
### Volume Filter
- **Function**: Ensures adequate market liquidity for trades
- **Parameters**:
- Threshold: 0.4× average (default)
- Measurement period: 5 (default)
- Moving average type: Customizable (HMA default)
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Requires current volume to exceed threshold × average volume
### Bollinger Bands Filter
- **Function**: Controls entries based on price relative to statistical boundaries
- **Parameters**:
- Period: Customizable
- Standard deviation multiplier: Adjustable
- Moving average type: Customizable
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Can require price to be within bands or breaking out of bands depending on strategy
### KEMAD Filter (Kalman EMA Distance)
- **Function**: Advanced trend confirmation using Kalman filter algorithm
- **Parameters**:
- Process Noise: 0.35 (controls smoothness)
- Measurement Noise: 24 (controls reactivity)
- Filter Order: 6 (higher = more smoothing)
- ATR Length: 8 (for bandwidth calculation)
- Upper Multiplier: 2.0 (for long signals)
- Lower Multiplier: 2.7 (for short signals)
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable visual indicators
- **Implementation**: Generates signals based on price position relative to Kalman-filtered EMA bands
## Risk Management System
### Position Sizing
Automatically calculates position size based on account equity and risk parameters:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Risk % of Equity** | 50% |
- **Implementation**:
- Position size = (Account equity × Risk %) ÷ (Entry price × Stop loss distance)
- Adjusts automatically based on volatility and stop placement
- **Best Practices**:
- Start with lower risk percentages (1-2%) until strategy is proven
- Consider reducing risk during high volatility periods
### Stop-Loss Methods
Multiple stop-loss calculation methods with separate configurations for long and short positions:
| Method | Description | Configuration |
|--------|-------------|---------------|
| **ATR-Based** | Dynamic stops based on volatility | ATR Period: 14, Multiplier: 2.0 |
| **Percentage** | Fixed percentage from entry | Long: 1.5%, Short: 1.5% |
| **PIP-Based** | Fixed currency unit distance | 10.0 pips |
- **Implementation Notes**:
- ATR-based stops adapt to changing market volatility
- Percentage stops maintain consistent risk exposure
- PIP-based stops provide precise control in stable markets
### Trailing Stops
Locks in profits by adjusting stop-loss levels as price moves favorably:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Stop-Loss %** | 1.5% |
| **Activation Threshold** | 2.1% |
| **Trailing Distance** | 1.4% |
- **Implementation**:
- Initial stop remains fixed until profit reaches activation threshold
- Once activated, stop follows price at specified distance
- Locks in profit while allowing room for normal price fluctuations
### Risk-Reward Parameters
Defines the relationship between risk and potential reward:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Risk-Reward Ratio** | 1.4 |
| **Take Profit %** | 2.4% |
| **Stop-Loss %** | 1.5% |
- **Implementation**:
- Take profit distance = Stop loss distance × Risk-reward ratio
- Higher ratios require fewer winning trades for profitability
- Lower ratios increase win rate but reduce average profit
### Filter Combinations
The strategy allows for simultaneous application of multiple filters:
- **Recommended Combinations**:
- Trending markets: RSI + KEMAD filters
- Ranging markets: Bollinger Bands + Volatility filters
- All markets: Volume filter as minimum requirement
- **Performance Impact**:
- Each additional filter reduces the number of trades
- Quality of remaining trades typically improves
- Optimal combination depends on market conditions and timeframe
### Multi-Timeframe Filter Applications
| Filter Type | Current Timeframe | MTF1 (15min) | MTF2 (4h) |
|-------------|-------------------|-------------|------------|
| RSI | Quick entries/exits | Intraday trend | Overall trend |
| Volume | Immediate liquidity | Sustained support | Market participation |
| Volatility | Entry timing | Short-term risk | Regime changes |
| KEMAD | Precise signals | Trend confirmation | Major reversals |
## Visual Indicators and Chart Analysis
The bot provides comprehensive visual feedback on the chart:
- **Channel Bands**: Keltner or MLMA bands showing potential support/resistance
- **Pivot SuperTrend**: Colored line showing trend direction and potential reversal points
- **Entry/Exit Markers**: Annotations showing actual trade entries and exits
- **Risk/Reward Zones**: Visual representation of stop-loss and take-profit levels
These visual elements allow for:
- Real-time strategy assessment
- Post-trade analysis and optimization
- Educational understanding of the strategy logic
## Implementation Guide
### TradingView Setup
1. Load the script in TradingView Pine Editor
2. Apply to your preferred chart and timeframe
3. Adjust parameters based on your trading preferences
4. Enable alerts for webhook integration
### Webhook Integration
1. Configure webhook URL in TradingView alerts
2. Set up receiving endpoint on your trading platform
3. Define message format matching the bot's output
4. Test with small position sizes before full deployment
### Optimization Process
1. Backtest across different market conditions
2. Identify parameter sensitivity through multiple tests
3. Focus on risk management parameters first
4. Fine-tune entry/exit conditions based on performance metrics
5. Validate with out-of-sample testing
## Performance Considerations
### Strengths
- Adaptability to different market conditions through dual channels
- Multiple layers of confirmation reducing false signals
- Comprehensive risk management protecting capital
- Machine learning integration for predictive edge
### Limitations
- Complex parameter set requiring careful optimization
- Potential over-optimization risk with so many variables
- Computational intensity of MLMA calculations
- Dependency on proper webhook configuration for execution
### Best Practices
- Start with conservative risk settings (1-2% of equity)
- Test thoroughly in demo environment before live trading
- Monitor performance regularly and adjust parameters
- Consider market regime changes when evaluating results
## Conclusion
The ₿ober XM v2.0 represents a significant evolution in trading strategy design, combining traditional technical analysis with machine learning elements and multi-timeframe analysis. The core strength of this system lies in its adaptability and recognition of market asymmetry.
### Market Asymmetry and Adaptive Approach
The strategy acknowledges a fundamental truth about markets: bullish and bearish phases behave differently and should be treated as distinct environments. The dual-channel system with separate parameters for long and short positions directly addresses this asymmetry, allowing for optimized performance regardless of market direction.
### Targeted Backtesting Philosophy
It's counterproductive to run backtests over excessively long periods. Markets evolve continuously, and strategies that worked in previous market regimes may be ineffective in current conditions. Instead:
- Test specific market phases separately (bull markets, bear markets, range-bound periods)
- Regularly re-optimize parameters as market conditions change
- Focus on recent performance with higher weight than historical results
- Test across multiple timeframes to ensure robustness
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis as a Game-Changer
The integration of multi-timeframe analysis fundamentally transforms the strategy's effectiveness:
- **Increased Safety**: Higher timeframe confirmations reduce false signals and improve trade quality
- **Context Awareness**: Decisions made with awareness of larger trends reduce adverse entries
- **Adaptable Precision**: Apply strict filters on lower timeframes while maintaining awareness of broader conditions
- **Reduced Noise**: Higher timeframe data naturally filters market noise that can trigger poor entries
The ₿ober XM v2.0 provides traders with a framework that acknowledges market complexity while offering practical tools to navigate it. With proper setup, realistic expectations, and attention to changing market conditions, it delivers a sophisticated approach to systematic trading that can be continuously refined and optimized.
