Hunt Bitcoin CoT Buy/Sell signalWhy Bother another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's.
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
Komut dosyalarını "accumulation" için ara
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Open Interest DeltaWhy Bother another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's.
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
Distribution_Accumulation_ChurningDay_StockUnderStressDistribution days is a term related to distribution stock in the sense that heavy institutional selling of shares is taking place. A distribution day, technically speaking, occurs when major market indexes fall 0.2% or more on volume that is higher than the previous trading day.
A follow-through day occurs during a market correction when a major index closes 1% or higher than the previous day, and in greater volume.
Churning day occurs when there is little price progress despite strong volume. It indicates a stock under stress.
You can use the script below in TradingView to plot these on the chart
RED CROSS on top of the bar - High volume Red (Distribution)
Black CROSS on bottom of bar - High Volume Green day (Accumulation/ Follow through)
Blue Bar with Black Cross. - High Volume green day but closed 55% below the day days range. (Churning action)
Blue Bar - Stock had a green day but closed in lower bounds(55% below the day days range) i.e under stress
Stan Weinstein 30-week Moving AverageStan Weinstein's book 'Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets' is without doubt one of the classics books traders read.
Weinstein said that at any one point in time, a stock (or an index) will be in one of four market "stages":
Stage 1 the Basing Area (also known as consolidation or accumulation phase)
Stage 2 the Advancing Stage
Stage 3 the Top Area (also known as the distribution phase), or
Stage 4 the Declining Stage
One of the concepts from the book that became classic is the definition of the four stages a stock can be in. These stages basically classify the different periods in the lifetime of a stock. An important thing to understand is that Weinstein uses weekly charts and identifies the current stage based on the direction on the 30 week moving average.
This script plots the 30 week moving average and the 150 day moving average.
Tape [LucF]█ OVERVIEW
This script prints an ersatz of a trading console's "tape" section to the right of your chart. It displays the time, price and volume of each update of the chart's feed. It also calculates volume delta for the bar. As it calculates from realtime information, it will not display information on historical bars.
█ FEATURES
Calculations
Each new line in the tape displays the last price/volume update from the TradingView feed that's building your chart. These updates do not necessarily correspond to ticks from the originating broker/exchange's matching engine. Multiple broker/exchange ticks are often aggregated in one chart update.
The script first determines if price has moved up or down since the last update. The polarity of the price change, in turn, determines the polarity of the volume for that specific update. If price does not move between consecutive updates, then the last known polarity is used. Using this method, we can calculate a running volume delta accumulation for the bar, which becomes the bar's final volume delta value when the bar closes (you can inspect values of elapsed realtime bars in the Data Window or the indicator's values). Note that these values will all reset if the script re-executes because of a change in inputs or a chart refresh.
While this method of calculating volume delta is not perfect, it is currently the most precise way of calculating volume delta available on TradingView at the moment. Calculating more precise results would require scripts to have access to bid/ask levels from any chart timeframe. Charts at seconds timeframes do use exchange/broker ticks when the feeds you are using allow for it, and this indicator will run on them, but tick data is not yet available from higher timeframes, for now. Also note that the method used in this script is far superior to the intrabar inspection technique used on historical bars in my other "Delta Volume" indicators. This is because volume delta here is calculated from many more realtime updates than the available intrabars in history.
Inputs
You can use the script's inputs to configure:
• The number of lines displayed in the tape.
• If new lines appear at the top or bottom.
• If you want to hide lines with low volume.
• The precision of volume values.
• The size of the text and the colors used to highlight either the tape's text or background.
• The position where you want the tape on your chart.
• Conditions triggering three different markers.
Display
Deltas are shown at the bottom of the tape. They are reset on each bar. Time delta displays the time elapsed since the beginning of the bar, on intraday timeframes only. Contrary to the price change display by TradingView at the top left of charts, which is calculated from the close of the previous bar, the price delta in the tape is calculated from the bar's open, because that's the information used in the calculation of volume delta. The time will become orange when volume delta's polarity diverges from that of the bar. The volume delta value represents the current, cumulative value for the bar. Its color reflects its polarity.
When new realtime bars appear on the chart, a ↻ symbol will appear before the volume value in tape lines.
Markers
There are three types of markers you can choose to display:
• Marker 1 on volume bumps. A bump is defined as two consecutive and increasing/decreasing plus/minus delta volume values,
when no divergence between the polarity of delta volume and the bar occurs on the second bar.
• Marker 2 on volume delta for the bar exceeding a limit of your choice when there is no divergence between the polarity of delta volume and the bar. These trigger at the bar's close.
• Marker 3 on tape lines with volume exceeding a threshold. These trigger in realtime. Be sure to set a threshold high enough so that it doesn't generate too many alerts.
These markers will only display briefly under the bar, but another marker appears next to the relevant line in the tape.
The marker conditions are used to trigger alerts configured on the script. Alert messages will mention the marker(s) that triggered the specific alert event, along with the relevant volume value that triggered the marker. If more than one marker triggers a single alert, they will overprint under the bar, which can make it difficult to distinguish them.
For more detailed on-chart analysis of realtime volume delta, see my Delta Volume Realtime Action .
█ NOTES FOR CODERS
This script showcases two new Pine features:
• Tables, which allow Pine programmers to display tabular information in fixed locations of the chart. The tape uses this feature.
See the Pine User Manual's page on Tables for more information.
• varip -type variables which we can use to save values between realtime updates.
See the " Using `varip` variables " publication by PineCoders for more information.
All in one [Liubam]Hey tradingviewers!
This is an All in one Indicator for those who can't add too many indicators on your charts. Inspired by ©LonesomeTheBlue "Indicators all in one" script. I found a lot of very interesting scripts on the public library and I decided to make a tool with some of the greatest IMO, adding some modifications to improve the indicators. With this tool you can plot 1 of 6 different indicators by selecting it from a drop-down list (on the indicator settings).
All the credit goes to it's respective owners (taggeds).
THIS INDICATOR INCLUDES:
1. Classic RSI with some OB/OS tools:
The relative strength index (RSI) is a popular momentum indicator displayed as an oscillator (a line graph that moves between two extremes) that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions, in other words it shows signals about bullish and bearish price momentum. I added some visual improvements to help you finding the OB/OS zones.
2. Classic CCI with some OB/OS tools.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based oscillator used as market indicator to help determine market movements that may indicate buying or selling. Added some vistual improvements to the chart.
3. ADX and DMI oscillator with the keylevel coded by @console:
The Average Directional Index (ADX) is non-directional indicator used by some traders to determine the strength of a trend. When the ADX line is rising (Above the keylevel) trend strength is increasing, and the price moves in the direction of the trend whether up or down. Otherwise, low ADX (Below the keylevel) is usually a sign of accumulation or distribution (Range). Non-trending doesn't mean the price isn't moving. It may not be, but the price could also be making a trend change or is too volatile for a clear direction to be present.
Suggested settings of the keylevel is 23-25.... REMEMBER: The trend may be your friend.
4. MFI
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical oscillator for identifying overbought or oversold signals in an asset. Unlike conventional oscillators such as the RSI, the Money Flow Index incorporates both price and volume data, as opposed to just price. It can also be used to spot divergences which warn of a trend change in price.
5. Stochastic:
A stochastic oscillator is range-bound, meaning it is always between 0 and 100. This makes it a useful indicator of overbought and oversold conditions. Traditionally, readings over 80 are considered in the overbought range, and readings under 20 are considered oversold. However, these are not always indicative of impending reversal; very strong trends can maintain overbought or oversold conditions for an extended period. Instead, traders should look to changes in the stochastic oscillator for clues about future trend shifts. I added some features for this popular indicator to show the stochastic crosses.
6. The famous Squeeze momentum Indicator made by @Lazybear:
This is derivate of John Carter's "TTM Squeeze" volatility indicator and its very strong when using with trending indicator such a ADX. Black line (or no-line) on the midline show that the market just entered a squeeze ( Bollinger Bands are with in Keltner Channel). This signifies low volatility , market preparing itself for an explosive move (up or down). Gray line signify "Squeeze release". Mr.Carter suggests waiting till the gray line after a blackline, and taking a position in the direction of the momentum (for ex., if momentum value is above zero, go long). Exit the position when the momentum changes.
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This script is source code protected, but you can add to your favorite list to use it. Also you can add twice to use 2 different indicators at the same time (E.g. Squeeze Momentum Indicator + ADX)
An additional indicator I made (MA Hunterz + InfoPanel) is needed to not miss good entry points.
Your valuable comment and feedback is much appreciated...
And remember indicators can be really helpfull but always use Price Action.
Average Dollar VolumeDollar volume is simply the volume traded multiplied times the cost of the stock.
Dollar volume is an extremely important metric for finding stocks with enough liquidity for market makers to position themselves in. Market Liquidity is defined as market's feature whereby an individual or firm can quickly purchase or sell an asset without causing a drastic change in the asset's price. The key concept you want to understand is that these big instructions with billions of dollars need liquidity in a stock in order to even think about buying it, and therefore these institutions will demand a large dollar volume. A good dollar volume amount, that represents a pretty liquid name, is typically above 100 million $ average. Why are institutions important? Simple because they are the ones who make stocks move, and I mean really move. If you want to see large growth from a stock in a short amount of time, you need institutions wielding billions of dollars to be fighting one another to buy more shares. Institutions are the ones who make or break a stock, this is why we call them market makers.
My script calculates average dollar volume using four averages: the 50, the 30, the 20, and the 10 period. I use multiple averages in order to provide the accurate and up to date information to you. It then selects the minimum of these averages and divides this value by 1 million and displays this number to you.
TL;DR? If you want monster moves from your stocks, you need to pick names with average high liquidity(dollar volume >= $100 million). The number presented to you is in millions of whatever currency the name is traded in.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Money Flow Indicator This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
Indicator plots Money Flow Indicator (Chaikin). This indicator looks
to improve on Larry William's Accumulation Distribution formula that
compared the closing price with the opening price. In the early 1970's,
opening prices for stocks stopped being transmitted by the exchanges.
This made it difficult to calculate Williams' formula. The Chaikin
Oscillator uses the average price of the bar calculated as follows
(High + Low) /2 instead of the Open.
The indicator subtracts a 10 period exponential moving average of the
AccumDist function from a 3 period exponential moving average of the
AccumDist function.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Volume BuzzProvides the volume run rate/buzz rate which measures volume traded compared to the past one hundred days, from marketsmith and tc2000 respectively, in the top corner. Make sure to hide the other plot so you don't have to see it :)
hlma_v2.0trend indicator, based on new high's and low's mixed with sma high's and low's.
green area is strong bullish trend, red area is strong bearish trend, middle area is range of uncertainty/accumulation/distribution.
Key SR Levels. I am the original creator of this indicator for tradingview, it can be used separately now, it is a PVSRA indicator, where it marks the key points of support and resistance.
Market makers pull the market above the key level for distribution in bearish and pull below the key level for accumulation in bullish
Mainly used for
We have Whole level: main resistance ended in 000
We have a Key level ending in 250
We have half level finished in 500
And we have a Key level ending in 750.
Enjoy the indicator, share with friends. If it happens to be dented, pull until the graph stretches.
Note. This indicator works only for Forex, it can make a difference in pairs with Japanese Yen.
[blackcat] L2 Ehlers Rocket RSI IndicatorLevel: 2
Background
John F. Ehlers introuced Rocket RSI Indicator in May, 2018.
Function
In “RocketRSI—A Solid Propellant For Your Rocket Science Trading” in May, 2018, John Ehlers introduces a new take on the classic RSI indicator originally developed by J. Welles Wilder. Ehlers begins by introducing a new version of the RSI based on a simple accumulation of up and down closes rather than averages. To this he applies a Fisher transform. He tells us that the resultant output is statistically significant spikes that indicate cyclic turning points with precision.
With this indicator, overbought and oversold conditions are clear:
## Oversold Entry Condition: Indicator crosses value (RocketRSI crosses over -2.00)
## Overbought Exit Condition: Indicator crosses value (RocketRSI crosses under 2.00)
Note the used “crosses under 2.00” for the exit condition, rather than “crosses above 2.00.” This lets the winning positions ride further, and resulted in a better overall return in backtesting.
Key Signal
RocketRSI --> Ehlers Rocket RSI Indicator fast line
Trigger --> Ehlers Rocket RSI Indicator slow line
Pros and Cons
100% John F. Ehlers definition translation, even variable names are the same. This help readers who would like to use pine to read his book.
Remarks
The 90th script for Blackcat1402 John F. Ehlers Week publication.
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
Golden Ratio Multiplier (x1.6; x2; x3)The script displays three multipliers (x1.618; x2; x3) of the Golden Ratio (starting with MA at 350 days) to identify the following levels of support:
the multiplier x1.618 is an accumulation high (green line)
the multiplier x2 is a support that identify a low bull high (red line)
the multiplier x3 is a support that identify an upper bull high (blu line)
Note: the orange line is the SMA at 350 days.
Discount RatioA basic script to help visualize when pricing is at a premium or discount compared to (by default) yearly averages. Works well for a long term Bitcoin accumulation strategy.
DMI-ADX HistogramThe Average Direction Index (ADX) coupled with the Direction Movement Index (DMI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, is a popular indicator that measures trend direction and strength.
The AX line (blue) is used to show the strength of the current trend. It does not tell you the trend direction. The under laid histogram shows relative movements of the price with green showing positive momentum and red showing negative momentum. Use these ADX and DMI together to find trend strength and direction.
- ADX line below 20 indicates that the underlying is in accumulation/distribution.
- ADX line above 20 mean that the underlying is trending with over 60 being very strong.
*When the ADX line is below 20 it is likely to see many reversal signals on the DMI Histogram. It is best to use the DMI signals when the ADX line is above 20 or higher. This is also a good level to play around with.
Motivation
Normally the direction movements are plotted as lines with the DI+ being green and the DI- being red. When the DI+ (green) crosses over DI- (red) this may indicate a buy signal, and vice versa. I found this visual representation made it difficult to see signals as well as lacked the ability to easy see the relative strength of other moves.
I have also noticed that the histogram values will periodically cross the ADX line, but not for very long periods. This could be a useful signal to explore further in the future.
In this image the top indicator is using the normal DI+/- lines, where the bottom indicator is using an absolute histogram.
Low volatility Buy w/ TP & SL (Coinrule)The compression of volatility usually leads to expansion. When the breakout comes, it can ignite strong trends. One way to catch a coin trading in an accumulation area is to spot three moving averages with values close to each other. The strategy uses a combination of Moving Averages to spot the best time to buy a coin before its breakout.
Buy Condition
The MA200 is greater than the MA100
The MA50 is greater than the MA100
According to backtesting results, the 1-hour time frame is the best to run this strategy.
Sell Condition
Take Profit: the price increases 8% from the entry price
Stop Loss: the price drops 4% from the entry price
The strategy has a profitability of 40-60% (depending on the market conditions). Having a ratio of two between Take profit and Stop Loss helps keeping the strategy profitable in the long term.
Relative Momentum Index (RMI) OscillatorThe Relative Momentum Index (RMI) is a sibling to the RSI. Where the RSI measures trend based on the average (RMA) of gains and draws over a length of time , the RMI measures based on the SUM of gains and draws . Myself and many others have found that the RMI oscillates better than the RSI does.
I paired the RMI with the oscillation method the Fisher Transformation uses to oscillate the value from -1.0 to 1.0 instead of the Stochastic way of 0 to 100. This way you can enable the Fisher transform, if desired. But I also just prefer the appearance of that.
Some options and features I have coded in-
RMI Length: This is the length of the Relative Momentum Index itself. Like the length of RSI, default 14
Oscillation Length: This is your oscillation length, like a Stochastic. If you put the length at 1 it will turn the indicator into the straight up RMI indicator. (If you select to use the Fisher Transform, the overbought/oversold lines will not show nicely)
Source Pre-Smoothing: The option of smoothing out the source, ie close, before you even run it through the RMI, oscillation, and/or transform
Oscillator Post-Smoothing: The option of smoothing the output of the script
Trailing MA: If desired, you can check the box to Use a Trailing Signal, and enter the length of lookback for a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the RMI Osc value
Use Fill Colors on MA: If enabled, it will fill the area between the RMI Osc and the trailing MA. I chose to use colors that are similar to some educational ideas I have published, whereby nearing the bottom of the oscillation you get Green to signal Accumulation, and near the top you get Red to signal Distribution. Following red is Black, where you typically get late signal sellers that Capitulate and sell stops trigger. Blue is where traders tend to Chase price up.
The most primitive way of using this indicator would be sell when the value exceeds the overbought/top line and buy when it falls below the oversold/bottom line. You can find ways to use the fill colors, or MA crossovers, rising lows or rising highs, etc. for signals.
Here's a comparison of this indicator to the Stochastic RSI, using similar values-
Here's showing the indicator on intraday values at defaults with some pre- and post-smoothing-
Same thing, but with Fisher Transform enabled-
And an example of the fill bands in action-
Please feel free to use any part of this code as desired.
Price Divergence AccumulatePrice divergence is a good indicator to detect a trend change.
But only check the divergence value is not enough, the time range of how long the trend continues also needs to be measured.
This indicator accumulated Price Divergence until it turns from plus to minus or minus to plus.
From this Accumulated Price Divergence
1. The upper-level (long term) trend should be supported by the lower-level (short term) trend.
if the peaks of the lower-level trend become lower and lower, it is indicating the upper-level trend might get an adjustment.
2. At the beginning of the upper-level trend
The 1st lower-level trend peak might exceed the upper-level trend. But often we see it will be corrected and 2nd lower-level trend will be underneath the upper-level trend.
VVOscillator [nb]Multiple volume oscillators in one.
Description:
As Warren Guppet once said, be “fearful when others are buying less, and greedy when others are selling less.”
Divergences are the main point of usage of all bundled indicators.
OBV Oscillator, remade. The formula has been changed to smooth out the way OBV is calculated during a trending move
OBV Oscillator, original OBV formula.
Price Volume Trend Oscillator. Similar to OBV, except price is taken into account as well.
Price Volume Trend Oscillator, log.
Accumulation/Distribution. (close - low) - (high - close) / (high - low), then multiplied by volume
Chaikin Money Flow . Very similar to accum/dist except it was already made into an oscillator.
OBV just by itself. Change style to line for easier interpretation.
Experimental function that utilizes a part of CCI
This is the unedited "Variable Volume Oscillator v1" released for free use. In the time since I've created it, I've realized it's something I'd like to share because I like it and hope you will too.
Relative Strength of Volume Indicators by DGTThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) , developed by J. Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
• Traditionally the RSI is considered overbought when above 70 and may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price, and oversold or undervalued condition when below 30. During strong trends, the RSI may remain in overbought or oversold for extended periods.
• Signals can be generated by looking for divergences and failure swings. If underlying prices make a new high or low that isn't confirmed by the RSI, this divergence can signal a price reversal. If the RSI makes a lower high and then follows with a downside move below a previous low, a Top Swing Failure has occurred. If the RSI makes a higher low and then follows with an upside move above a previous high, a Bottom Swing Failure has occurred
• RSI can also be used to identify the general trend. In an uptrend or bull market, the RSI tends to remain in the 40 to 90 range with the 40-50 zone acting as support. During a downtrend or bear market the RSI tends to stay between the 10 to 60 range with the 50-60 zone acting as resistance
This study aim to implement Relative Strength concept on most common Volume indicators, such as
• Accumulation Distribution is a volume based indicator designed to measure underlying supply and demand
• Elder's Force Index (EFI) measures the power behind a price movement using price and volume
• Money Flow Index (MFI) measures buying and selling pressure through analyzing both price and volume (used as it is)
• On Balance Volume (OBV) , created by Joe Granville, is a momentum indicator that measures positive and negative volume flow
• Price Volume Trend (PVT) is a momentum based indicator used to measure money flow
Plotting will be performed for regular RSI and RSI of Volume indicator (RSI(VOLX)) selected from the dialog box, where the possibility to apply smoothing is provided as option. Additionally, labels can be added optionally to display the value and name of selected volume indicator
Secondly, ability to present Volume Histogram within the same study along with its Moving Average or Volume Oscillator based on selection
Finally, Volume Based Colored Bars , a study of Kıvanç Özbilgiç is added to emphasis volume changes on top of the bars
Nothing excessively new, the study combines RSI with;
- RSI concept applied to some of the common Volume indicators presented with a highlighted over/under valued threshold area, optional labeling and smoothing,
- added Volume data with additional information and
- colored bars based on volume
Thanks @Vishant_Meshram for the inspiration 🙏
Disclaimer:
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
Indicator: Price Speed/Acceleration [xQT5]This is method of analizing impulse and change price speed from a book of "Trading Systems and Methods" (Wiley Trading) 6th Edition by Perry J. Kaufman.
I just added personal name, moving average and accumulation for better reading the market.
Enjoy it!
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
