Random State Machine Strategy📌 Random State Machine Strategy (Educational)
This strategy showcases a randomized entry model driven by a finite state machine, integrated with user-defined exit controls and a full-featured moving average filter.
🧠 Trade Entry Logic
Entries occur only when:
A random trigger occurs (~5% probability per bar)
The state machine accepts a new transition (sm.step())
Price is:
Above the selected MA for long entries
Below the selected MA for short entries
This ensures that entries are both stochastically driven and trend-aligned, avoiding frequent or arbitrary trades.
⚙️ How It Works
Randomized Triggers
A pseudo-random generator (seeded with time and volume) attempts to trigger state transitions.
Finite State Machine
Transitions are managed using the StateMachine from robbatt/lib_statemachine — credit to @robbatt for the modular FSM design.
Controlled Reset
The state machine resets every N bars (default: 100) if at least two transitions have occurred. This prevents stale or locked states.
Backtest Range
Define a specific test window using Start and End Date inputs.
Risk & Exits
Specify risk in points and a target risk/reward ratio. TP is auto-computed. Timed and MA-based exits can be toggled.
🧪 How to Use
Enable Long or Short trades
Choose your Moving Average type and length
Set Risk per trade and R/R ratio
Toggle TP/SL, timed exit, or MA cross exit
Adjust the State Reset Interval to suit your signal frequency
📘 Notes
Educational use only — not financial advice
Random logic is used to model structure, not predict movement
Thanks to @robbatt for the lib_statemachine integration
"N+credit最新动态" için komut dosyalarını ara
Smart Fib StrategySmart Fibonacci Strategy
This advanced trading strategy combines the power of adaptive SMA entries with Fibonacci-based exit levels to create a comprehensive trend-following system that self-optimizes based on historical market conditions. Credit goes to Julien_Eche who created the "Best SMA Finder" which received an Editors Pick award.
Strategy Overview
The Smart Fibonacci Strategy employs a two-pronged approach to trading:
1. Intelligent Entries: Uses a self-optimizing SMA (Simple Moving Average) to identify optimal entry points. The system automatically tests multiple SMA lengths against historical data to determine which period provides the most robust trading signals.
2. Fibonacci-Based Exits: Implements ATR-adjusted Fibonacci bands to establish precise exit targets, with risk-management options ranging from conservative to aggressive.
This dual methodology creates a balanced system that adapts to changing market conditions while providing clear visual reference points for trade management.
Key Features
- **Self-Optimizing Entries**: Automatically calculates the most profitable SMA length based on historical performance
- **Adjustable Risk Parameters**: Choose between low-risk and high-risk exit targets
- **Directional Flexibility**: Trade long-only, short-only, or both directions
- **Visualization Tools**: Customizable display of entry lines and exit bands
- **Performance Statistics**: Comprehensive stats table showing key metrics
- **Smoothing Option**: Reduces noise in the Fibonacci bands for cleaner signals
Trading Rules
Entry Signals
- **Long Entry**: When price crosses above the blue center line (optimal SMA)
- **Short Entry**: When price crosses below the blue center line (optimal SMA)
### Exit Levels
- **Low Risk Option**: Exit at the first Fibonacci band (1.618 * ATR)
- **High Risk Option**: Exit at the second Fibonacci band (2.618 * ATR)
Strategy Parameters
Display Settings
- Toggle visibility of the stats table and indicator components
Strategy Settings
- Select trading direction (long, short, or both)
- Choose exit method (low risk or high risk)
- Set minimum trades threshold for SMA optimization
SMA Settings
- Option to use auto-optimized or fixed-length SMA
- Customize SMA length when using fixed option
Fibonacci Settings
- Adjust ATR period and SMA basis for Fibonacci bands
- Enable/disable smoothing function
- Customize Fibonacci ratio multipliers
Appearance Settings
- Modify colors, line widths, and transparency
Optimization Methodology
The strategy employs a sophisticated optimization algorithm that:
1. Tests multiple SMA lengths against historical data
2. Evaluates performance based on trade count, profit factor, and win rate
3. Calculates a "robustness score" that balances profitability with statistical significance
4. Selects the SMA length with the highest robustness score
This ensures that the strategy's entry signals are continuously adapting to the most effective parameters for current market conditions.
Risk Management
Position sizing is fixed at $2,000 per trade, allowing for consistent exposure across all trading setups. The Fibonacci-based exit system provides two distinct risk management approaches:
- **Conservative Approach**: Using the first Fibonacci band for exits produces more frequent but smaller wins
- **Aggressive Approach**: Using the second Fibonacci band allows for larger potential gains at the cost of increased volatility
Ideal Usage
This strategy is best suited for:
- Trending markets with clear directional moves
- Timeframes from 4H to Daily for most balanced results
- Instruments with moderate volatility (stocks, forex, commodities)
Traders can further enhance performance by combining this strategy with broader market analysis to confirm the prevailing trend direction.
Anchored Probability Cone by TenozenFirst of all, credit to @nasu_is_gaji for the open source code of Log-Normal Price Forecast! He teaches me alot on how to use polylines and inverse normal distribution from his indicator, so check it out!
What is this indicator all about?
This indicator draws a probability cone that visualizes possible future price ranges with varying levels of statistical confidence using Inverse Normal Distribution , anchored to the start of a selected timeframe (4h, W, M, etc.)
Feutures:
Anchored Cone: Forecasts begin at the first bar of each chosen higher timeframe, offering a consistent point for analysis.
Drift & Volatility-Based Forecast: Uses log returns to estimate market volatility (smoothed using VWMA) and incorporates a trend angle that users can set manually.
Probabilistic Price Bands: Displays price ranges with 5 customizable confidence levels (e.g., 30%, 68%, 87%, 99%, 99,9%).
Dynamic Updating: Recalculates and redraws the cone at the start of each new anchor period.
How to use:
Choose the Anchored Timeframe (PineScript only be able to forecast 500 bars in the future, so if it doesn't plot, try adjusting to a lower anchored period).
You can set the Model Length, 100 sample is the default. The higher the sample size, the higher the bias towards the overall volatility. So better set the sample size in a balanced manner.
If the market is inside the 30% conifidence zone (gray color), most likely the market is sideways. If it's outside the 30% confidence zone, that means it would tend to trend and reach the other probability levels.
Always follow the trend, don't ever try to trade mean reversions if you don't know what you're doing, as mean reversion trades are riskier.
That's all guys! I hope this indicator helps! If there's any suggestions, I'm open for it! Thanks and goodluck on your trading journey!
Yield Curve Approximation
A yield curve is a graph that plots the yields (interest rates) of bonds with the same credit quality but different maturity dates. It helps investors understand the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates.
🔹 Types of Yield Curves
1️⃣ Normal Yield Curve – Upward-sloping, indicating economic expansion.
2️⃣ Inverted Yield Curve – Downward-sloping, often a recession warning.
3️⃣ Flat Yield Curve – Suggests economic uncertainty or transition.
The yield curve is widely used to predict economic conditions and interest rate movements. You can learn more about it here. Would you like insights on how traders use the yield curve for investment decisions?
How to Trade Using This?
✅ If the yield curve is steepening (green) → Favor growth stocks, commodities, and high-risk assets.
✅ If the yield curve is flattening or inverting (red) → Consider bonds, defensive sectors, or hedging strategies.
✅ Pair with economic news and interest rate decisions to refine predictions.
Market Warning Dashboard Enhanced📊 Market Warning Dashboard Enhanced
A powerful macro risk dashboard that tracks and visualizes early signs of market instability across multiple key indicators—presented in a clean, professional layout with a real-time thermometer-style danger gauge.
🔍 Included Macro Signals:
Yield Curve Inversion: 10Y-2Y and 10Y-3M spreads
Credit Spreads: High-yield (HYG) vs Investment Grade (LQD)
Volatility Structure: VIX/VXV ratio
Breadth Estimate: SPY vs 50-day MA (as a proxy)
🔥 Features:
Real-time Danger Score: 0 (Safe) to 100 (Extreme Risk)
Descriptive warnings for each signal
Color-coded thermometer gauge
Alert conditions for each macro risk
Background shifts on rising systemic risk
⚠️ This dashboard can save your portfolio by alerting you to macro trouble before it hits the headlines—ideal for swing traders, long-term investors, and anyone who doesn’t want to get blindsided by systemic risk.
Time-Based Fair Value Gaps (FVG) with Inversions (iFVG)Overview
The Time-Based Fair Value Gaps (FVG) with Inversions (iFVG) (ICT/SMT) indicator is a specialized tool designed for traders using Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodologies. Inspired by LuxAlgo's Fair Value Gap indicator, this script introduces significant enhancements by integrating ICT principles, focusing on precise time-based FVG detection, inversion tracking, and retest signals tailored for institutional trading strategies. Unlike LuxAlgo’s general FVG approach, this indicator filters FVGs within customizable 10-minute windows aligned with ICT’s macro timeframes and incorporates ICT-specific concepts like mitigation, liquidity grabs, and session-based gap prioritization.
This tool is optimized for 1–5 minute charts, though probably best for 1 minute charts, identifying bullish and bearish FVGs, tracking their mitigation into inverted FVGs (iFVGs) as key support/resistance zones, and generating retest signals with customizable “Close” or “Wick” confirmation. Features like ATR-based filtering, optional FVG labels, mitigation removal, and session-specific FVG detection (e.g., first FVG in AM/PM sessions) make it a powerful tool for ICT traders.
Originality and Improvements
While inspired by LuxAlgo’s FVG indicator (credit to LuxAlgo for their foundational work), this script significantly extends the original concept by:
1. Time-Based FVG Detection: Unlike LuxAlgo’s continuous FVG identification, this script filters FVGs within user-defined 10-minute windows each hour (:00–:10, :10–:20, etc.), aligning with ICT’s emphasis on specific periods of institutional activity, such as hourly opens/closes or kill zones (e.g., New York 7:00–11:00 AM EST). This ensures FVGs are relevant to high-probability ICT setups.
2. Session-Specific First FVG Option: A unique feature allows traders to display only the first FVG in ICT-defined AM (9:30–10:00 AM EST) or PM (1:30–2:00 PM EST) sessions, reflecting ICT’s focus on initial market imbalances during key liquidity events.
3. ICT-Driven Mitigation and Inversion Logic: The script tracks FVG mitigation (when price closes through a gap) and converts mitigated FVGs into iFVGs, which serve as ICT-style support/resistance zones. This aligns with ICT’s view that mitigated gaps become critical reversal points, unlike LuxAlgo’s simpler gap display.
4. Customizable Retest Signals: Retest signals for iFVGs are configurable for “Close” (conservative, requiring candle body confirmation) or “Wick” (faster, using highs/lows), catering to ICT traders’ need for precise entry timing during liquidity grabs or Judas swings.
5. ATR Filtering and Mitigation Removal: An optional ATR filter ensures only significant FVGs are displayed, reducing noise, while mitigation removal declutters the chart by removing filled gaps, aligning with ICT’s principle that mitigated gaps lose relevance unless inverted.
6. Timezone and Timeframe Safeguards: A timezone offset setting aligns FVG detection with EST for ICT’s New York-centric strategies, and a timeframe warning alerts users to avoid ≥1-hour charts, ensuring accuracy in time-based filtering.
These enhancements make the script a distinct tool that builds on LuxAlgo’s foundation while offering ICT traders a tailored, high-precision solution.
How It Works
FVG Detection
FVGs are identified when a candle’s low is higher than the high of two candles prior (bullish FVG) or a candle’s high is lower than the low of two candles prior (bearish FVG). Detection is restricted to:
• User-selected 10-minute windows (e.g., :00–:10, :50–:60) to capture ICT-relevant periods like hourly transitions.
• AM/PM session first FVGs (if enabled), focusing on 9:30–10:00 AM or 1:30–2:00 PM EST for key market opens.
An optional ATR filter (default: 0.25× ATR) ensures only gaps larger than the threshold are displayed, prioritizing significant imbalances.
Mitigation and Inversion
When price closes through an FVG (e.g., below a bullish FVG’s bottom), the FVG is mitigated and becomes an iFVG, plotted as a support/resistance zone. iFVGs are critical in ICT for identifying reversal points where institutional orders accumulate.
Retest Signals
The script generates signals when price retests an iFVG:
• Close: Triggers when the candle body confirms the retest (conservative, lower noise).
• Wick: Triggers when the candle’s high/low touches the iFVG (faster, higher sensitivity). Signals are visualized with triangular markers (▲ for bullish, ▼ for bearish) and can trigger alerts.
Visualization
• FVGs: Displayed as colored boxes (green for bullish, red for bearish) with optional “Bull FVG”/“Bear FVG” labels.
• iFVGs: Shown as extended boxes with dashed midlines, limited to the user-defined number of recent zones (default: 5).
• Mitigation Removal: Mitigated FVGs/iFVGs are removed (if enabled) to keep the chart clean.
How to Use
Recommended Settings
• Timeframe: Use 1–5 minute charts for precision, avoiding ≥1-hour timeframes (a warning label appears if misconfigured).
• Time Windows: Enable :00–:10 and :50–:60 for hourly open/close FVGs, or use the “Show only 1st presented FVG” option for AM/PM session focus.
• ATR Filter: Keep enabled (multiplier 0.25–0.5) for significant gaps; disable on 1-minute charts for more FVGs during volatility.
• Signal Preference: Use “Close” for conservative entries, “Wick” for aggressive setups.
• Timezone Offset: Set to -5 for EST (or -4 for EDT) to align with ICT’s New York session.
Trading Strategy
1. Macro Timeframes: Focus on New York (7:00–11:00 AM EST) or London (2:00–5:00 AM EST) kill zones for high institutional activity.
2. FVG Entries: Trade bullish FVGs as support in uptrends or bearish FVGs as resistance in downtrends, especially in :00–:10 or :50–:60 windows.
3. iFVG Retests: Enter on retest signals (▲/▼) during liquidity grabs or Judas swings, using “Close” for confirmation or “Wick” for speed.
4. Session FVGs: Use the “Show only 1st presented FVG” option to target the first gap in AM/PM sessions, often tied to ICT’s market maker algorithms.
5. Risk Management: Combine with ICT concepts like order blocks or breaker blocks for confluence, and set stops beyond FVG/iFVG boundaries.
Alerts
Set alerts for:
• “Bullish FVG Detected”/“Bearish FVG Detected”: New FVGs in selected windows.
• “Bullish Signal”/“Bearish Signal”: iFVG retest confirmations.
Settings Description
• Show Last (1–100, default: 5): Number of recent iFVGs to display. Lower values reduce clutter.
• Show only 1st presented FVG : Limits FVGs to the first in 9:30–10:00 AM or 1:30–2:00 PM EST sessions (overrides time window checkboxes).
• Time Window Checkboxes: Enable/disable FVG detection in 10-minute windows (:00–:10, :10–:20, etc.). All enabled by default.
• Signal Preference: “Close” (default) or “Wick” for iFVG retest signals.
• Use ATR Filter: Enables ATR-based size filtering (default: true).
• ATR Multiplier (0–∞, default: 0.25): Sets FVG size threshold (higher values = larger gaps).
• Remove Mitigated FVGs: Removes filled FVGs/iFVGs (default: true).
• Show FVG Labels: Displays “Bull FVG”/“Bear FVG” labels (default: true).
• Timezone Offset (-12 to 12, default: -5): Aligns time windows with EST.
• Colors: Customize bullish (green), bearish (red), and midline (gray) colors.
Why Use This Indicator?
This indicator empowers ICT traders with a tool that goes beyond generic FVG detection, offering precise, time-filtered gaps and inversion tracking aligned with institutional trading principles. By focusing on ICT’s macro timeframes, session-specific imbalances, and customizable signal logic, it provides a clear edge for scalping, swing trading, or reversal setups in high-liquidity markets.
LinReg Heikin Ashi CandlesLinear Regression Heikin Ashi Candles will dramatically change how the candlesticks on your chart will appear. This script creates Heikin Ashi candles from the existing candlesticks and then applies wickless Linear Regression candles as an overlay. The result is an ultra smoothed 'Renko-like' chart that remains time-based and responsive.
Key Features:
Heikin Ashi Base: Provides a smoother representation of price trends by filtering out noise.
Linear Regression Candles on Heikin Ashi: Plots Linear Regression lines as candles on the Heikin Ashi chart, potentially highlighting the immediate trend direction and momentum within the smoothed data. Wicks are intentionally removed for a clearer focus on the linear progression.
Tillson T3 Moving Averages: Includes fast and slow T3 Moving Averages with customizable length and alpha. These smoothed moving averages can help identify trend direction and potential crossover signals. Users can toggle their visibility.
Volatility Bands: Integrates Volatility Bands based on Average True Range (ATR) with customizable length, ATR type (RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA), and inner/outer multipliers. These bands help gauge price volatility and potential reversal zones. Users can toggle the visibility of the basis line.
Customizable Colors: Allows users to customize the colors of the Linear Regression Heikin Ashi bullish and bearish candles.
How to Use:
This is an overlay on your chart so you'll need to 'hide' the existing candlesticks on your chart.
This indicator can be used on any timeframe from seconds to days to quickly identify market trend, gauge volatility, and potentially find entry/exit points. Consider looking for confluence between the candle color/direction, T3 MA crossovers, and price interaction with the Volatility Bands.
Note: This indicator plots Linear Regression directly on Heikin Ashi candles, removing wicks for a focus on the linear trend within the smoothed data. Adjust the input parameters to suit your trading style and the specific market conditions.
HUGE CREDIT to ugurvu who originally created the Linear Regression Candles indicator that my indicator pulls code from.
Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence - Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence Indicator
Advanced Divergence Detection for Traders. Unleash the power of divergence trading with this cutting-edge indicator that combines price and volume analysis to spot high-probability reversal signals.
🧠 What Is It?
The Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence Indicator is designed to identify bullish and bearish divergences between the price trend and the On Balance Volume (OBV) trend. Divergence occurs when the price of an asset and a technical indicator (in this case, OBV) move in opposite directions, signaling a potential reversal. This indicator uses linear regression slopes to calculate the trends of both price and OBV over a specified lookback period, detecting when these two metrics are diverging. When a divergence is detected, it highlights potential reversal points with visually striking aurora bands, orbs, and labels, making it easy for traders to spot key signals.
⚙️ Inputs & How to Use Them
The indicator is highly customizable, with inputs grouped under "⚡ DAFE Aurora Settings" for clarity. Here’s how each input works:
Lookback Period: Determines how many bars are used to calculate the price and OBV slopes. Higher values detect longer-term trends (e.g., 20 for 1H charts), while lower values are more responsive to short-term movements.
Price Slope Threshold: Sets the minimum slope value for the price to be considered in an uptrend or downtrend. A value of 0 allows all slopes to be considered, while higher values filter for stronger trends.
OBV Slope Threshold: Similar to the price slope threshold but for OBV. Helps filter out weak volume trends.
Aurora Band Width: Adjusts the width of the visual bands that highlight divergence areas. Wider bands make the indicator more visible but may clutter the chart.
Divergence Sensitivity: Scales the strength of the divergence signals. Higher values make the indicator more sensitive to smaller divergences.
Minimum Strength: Filters out weak signals by only showing divergences above this strength level. A default of 0.3 is recommended for beginners.
Signal Cooldown (Bars): Prevents multiple signals from appearing too close together. Default is 5 bars, reducing chart clutter and helping traders focus on significant signals.
These inputs allow traders to fine-tune the indicator to match their trading style and timeframe.
🚀 What Makes It Unique?
This indicator stands out with its innovative features:
Price-Volume Divergence: Combines price trend (slope) and OBV trend for more reliable signals than price-only divergences.
Aurora Bands: Dynamic visual bands that highlight divergence zones, making it easier to spot potential reversals at a glance.
Interactive Dashboard: Displays real-time information on trend direction, volume flow, signal type, strength, and recommended actions (e.g., "Consider Buying" or "Consider Selling").
Signal Cooldown: Ensures only the most significant divergences are shown, reducing noise and improving usability.
Alerts: Built-in alerts for both bullish and bearish divergences, allowing traders to stay informed even when not actively monitoring the chart.
Beginner Guide: Explains the indicator’s visuals (e.g., aqua orbs for bullish signals, fuchsia orbs for bearish signals), making it accessible for new users.
🎯 Why It Works
The indicator’s effectiveness lies in its use of price-volume divergence, a well-established concept in technical analysis. When the price trend and OBV trend diverge, it often signals a potential reversal because the underlying volume support (or lack thereof) is not aligning with the price action. For example:
Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price is making lower lows, but the OBV is making higher lows, indicating weakening selling pressure and potential upward reversal.
Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price is making higher highs, but the OBV is making lower highs, suggesting weakening buying pressure and potential downward reversal.
The use of linear regression ensures smooth and accurate trend calculations over the specified lookback period. The divergence strength is then normalized and filtered based on user-defined thresholds, ensuring only high-quality signals are displayed. Additionally, the cooldown period prevents signal overload, allowing traders to focus on the most significant opportunities.
🧬 Indicator Recommendation
Best For: Traders looking to identify potential trend reversals in any market, especially those where volume data is reliable (e.g., stocks, futures, forex).
Timeframes: Suitable for all timeframes. Adjust the lookback period accordingly—smaller values for shorter timeframes (e.g., 1H), larger for longer ones (e.g., 4H or daily).
Pair With: Support and resistance levels, trend lines, other oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for confirmation, and volume profile tools for deeper analysis.
Tips:
Look for divergences at key support/resistance levels for higher-probability setups.
Pay attention to signal strength; higher strength divergences are often more reliable.
Use the dashboard to quickly assess market conditions before entering a trade.
Set up alerts to catch divergences even when not actively watching the chart.
🧾 Credit & Acknowledgement
This indicator builds upon the classic concept of price-volume divergence, enhancing it with modern visualization techniques, advanced filtering, and user-friendly features. It is designed to provide traders with a powerful yet intuitive tool for spotting reversals.
📌 Final Thoughts
The Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence Indicator is more than just a divergence tool; it’s a comprehensive trading assistant that combines advanced calculations, intuitive visualizations, and actionable insights. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, this indicator can help you spot high-probability reversal points with confidence.
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
-Dskyz
Dskyz (DAFE) Turning Point Indicator - Dskyz (DAFE) Turning Point Indicator — Smart Reversal Signals
Inspired by the intelligent logic of a pervious indicator I saw. This script represents a next-generation reversal detection system—completely re-engineered with cutting-edge filters, adaptive logic, and intelligent dashboards.
The Dskyz (DAFE) Turning Point Indicator
🧠 What Is It?
is designed to identify key market reversal zones with extraordinary accuracy by combining trend direction, volatility confirmation, price action patterns, and smart filtering layers—all visualized in a highly interactive and informative chart overlay.
This isn’t just a signal generator—it’s a decision-making assistant.
⚙️ Inputs & How to Use Them
All input fields are grouped for ease-of-use and explanation:
🔸 Reversal Logic Settings
Source: The price source used for signal generation (default: hlcc4). Can be changed to any standard price formula (open, close, hl2, etc.).
ATR Period: Used for determining volatility and dynamic trailing stop logic.
Supertrend Factor / Period: Calculates directional movement to detect trending vs choppy zones.
Reversal Sensitivity Thresholds: Internal logic filters minor pullbacks from true reversals.
🔸 Filters
Trend Filter: Enables trend-only signals (optional).
Volume Spike Filter: Confirms reversals with significant volume activity.
Volatility Zone Coloring: Visually highlights high-volatility areas to avoid late entries or fakeouts.
Custom High/Low Detection: Smart local top/bottom scanning to reinforce accuracy.
🔸 Visual & Dashboard Options
Signal Labels: Toggle signal labels on the chart.
Color Theme: Choose your visual theme for easier visibility.
Dashboard Toggle: Activate a compact dashboard summarizing strategy health (win rate, drawdown, trend state, volatility).
🧩 Functions Used
ta.supertrend(): Determines trend direction for signal confirmation and filtering.
ta.atr(): Calculates real-time volatility to determine trailing stop exits and visual zones.
ta.rsi() (internally optimized): Helps filter overbought/oversold conditions.
Local High/Low Scanner: Tracks recent pivots using a custom dynamic lookback.
Signal Engine: Consolidates multiple confirmation layers before plotting.
🚀 What Makes It Unique?
Unlike traditional reversal indicators, this one combines:
Multi-factor signal validation: No single indicator makes the call—volume, trend, price action, and volatility all contribute.
Adaptive filtering: The indicator evolves with the market—less noise, smarter signals.
Visual volatility heatmap zones: Avoid entering during uncertainty or manipulation spikes.
Interactive trend dashboard: Immediate insight into the strength and condition of the current market phase.
Highly customizable: Turn features on/off to match your trading style—scalping, swing, or trend-following.
Precision timing: Uses optimized versions of RSI and ATR that adjust automatically with price context.
🧬 Recommended for:
Commodity: Futures, Forex, Crypto
Timeframes: 1m to 1h for active traders. 4h+ for swing trades.
Pair With: Support/resistance zones, Fibonacci levels, and smart money concepts for additional confluence.
🎯 Why It Works
- Traditional reversal signals suffer from lag and noise. This system filters both by:
- Using multi-source confirmation, not just price movement.
-Tracking volatility directly, not assuming static markets.
-Detecting exhaustion, not just divergence.
-Keeping your screen clean, with only the most relevant data shown.
🧾 Credit & Acknowledgement
🧠 Original Concept Inspiration: This project was deeply inspired by the work of Enes_Yetkin_ and their approach to reversal detection. This version expands on the concept with additional technical layers, updated visuals, and real-time adaptability.
📌 Final Thoughts
This is more than a reversal tool. It's a market condition interpreter, entry/exit planner, and risk assistant all in one. Every aspect is engineered to give you an edge—especially when timing means everything.
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
-Dskyz
Daily Borders with Weekday Labels[fitfatq]Indicator Overview
This indicator displays daily vertical border lines and the previous day’s weekday label on intraday charts (i.e., charts with a timeframe lower than Daily). It draws a vertical line at the start of each new trading day and places a label displaying the previous day’s weekday (e.g., Monday) at the horizontal midpoint between the previous and the current day. Users can customize various visual aspects such as the separator line style and width, label style, text color, and text size. Additionally, the indicator offers an option to fix the label’s Y coordinate at a specified price level to prevent it from being overlapped by candlesticks.
Parameter Details
Use Fixed Weekday Label Y Coordinate
Type: Boolean
Default: false
Description: When enabled, the weekday label’s vertical position will be fixed at a specified price level (see next parameter). Otherwise, the label’s Y position is determined dynamically (typically based on the current bar’s low minus 3 ticks).
Fixed Weekday Label Y Coordinate (price)
Type: Float
Default: 130.0
Description:
This parameter sets the fixed price level at which the weekday label will be displayed if the "Use Fixed Weekday Label Y Coordinate" option is enabled. Please input a value that corresponds to your chart’s price scale (e.g., 130.50). Note: In charts with high price levels (for example, stocks trading at 3000 or above), it is recommended to set this value to 3000 or above. The higher the value, the closer the label will appear to the candlesticks.
Separator Line Style
Type: String (Options: "Solid", "Dotted", "Dashed")
Default: "Dotted"
Description: Specifies the style of the vertical separator line drawn at the start of each new day. "Solid" displays a continuous line, "Dotted" shows a dotted line, and "Dashed" provides a dashed line.
Separator Line Width
Type: Integer
Default: 1
Description: Determines the thickness of the separator line. A higher number results in a thicker line; the minimum value is 1.
Label Style
Type: String (Options: "None", "Label Up", "Label Down", "Label Left", "Label Right", "Label Center")
Default: "None"
Description: Sets the built-in style for the weekday label. "None" means no background or border (plain text only), while other options apply predefined visual effects.
Text Color
Type: Color
Default: Black
Description: Determines the text color of the weekday label.
Label Text Size
Type: String (Options: "Tiny", "Small", "Normal", "Large", "Huge")
Default: "Normal"
Description: Specifies the text size of the weekday label. Adjust according to preference to ensure the label is readable.
Usage Summary
How It Works:
The indicator detects the start of a new trading day using a change in the daily timeframe (via ta.change(time("D"))). When a new day begins, it draws a vertical separator line at the first bar of that day. If previous day data is available, the indicator calculates the horizontal midpoint between the start of the previous day and the current day and displays the previous day’s weekday label at that position. If the fixed Y coordinate option is enabled, the label is drawn at the specified price level; otherwise, it is positioned relative to the current bar’s low.
Customization:
Users can adjust all visual aspects, including the line style and width as well as the label style, text color, and text size. The fixed Y coordinate option allows the label’s vertical position to remain constant, which helps prevent overlapping with price bars.
Chart Requirement:
This indicator only operates on intraday charts (timeframes lower than Daily) and will not display on Daily or higher timeframe charts.
License
This indicator is released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. Please credit the original author (fitfatq) when using or sharing this script.
Market Push Meter - CoffeeStyleMarket Push Meter - CoffeeKiller Indicator Guide
Welcome traders! This guide will walk you through the Market Push Meter indicator, a sophisticated volume analysis tool developed by CoffeeKiller with the help and assistance of FindBetterTrades that measures and visualizes the ongoing battle between buyers and sellers through volume pressure analysis.
🔔 **Warning: This Is Not a Standard Volume Indicator** 🔔 This indicator analyzes volume pressure in a unique way, combining directional volume with price action to identify market imbalances between buyers and sellers. All credit for the core logic for this indicator goes to FindBetterTrades and his/hers Volume Pressure Histogram (Normalized) (this is my adaptation and style added to that core logic, thus the CoffeeStyle name was added).
Core Concept: Volume Pressure Analysis
The foundation of this indicator lies in measuring the imbalance between buying and selling volume, providing insights into which market participants are exerting more pressure on price movements.
Volume Pressure Columns: Buying vs Selling Force
- Positive Green Columns: Net buying pressure
- Negative Red Columns: Net selling pressure
- Color intensity varies based on pressure strength
- Special coloring for new high/low boundaries
Marker Lines: Dynamic Support/Resistance
- High Marker Line (Magenta): Tracks the highest point reached during buying phases
- Low Marker Line (Cyan): Tracks the lowest point reached during selling phases
- Creates visual boundaries showing pressure extremes
Peak Detection System:
- Triangular markers identify significant local maxima and minima
- Background highlighting shows important pressure peaks
- Helps identify potential reversal points and pressure exhaustion
Reference Lines:
- Overbought Level: Threshold for extreme selling pressure
- Oversold Level: Threshold for extreme buying pressure
- Used to identify potential reversal zones
Core Components
1. Volume Pressure Calculation
- Separation of up-volume and down-volume
- Calculation of net volume pressure
- Smoothing for consistent visualization
- Normalization against total volume for percentage scaling
2. Boundary Tracking System
- Automatic detection of highest values in buying phases
- Automatic detection of lowest values in selling phases
- Step-line visualization of boundaries
- Color-coded for easy identification
3. Peak Detection System
- Identification of local maxima and minima
- Background highlighting of significant peaks
- Triangle markers for peak visualization
- Zero-line cross detection for trend changes
4. Threshold Settings
- Extreme threshold multiplier for identifying significant pressure
- Overbought/oversold levels for potential reversals
- Dynamic color coding based on pressure intensity
- Alert conditions for key pressure levels
Main Features
Volume Analysis Settings
- Customizable volume MA length
- Signal smoothing for clearer readings
- Optional log scale for handling wide range variations
- Adjustable threshold multiplier for sensitivity
Visual Elements
- Color-coded columns showing pressure direction and strength
- Dynamic marker lines for pressure boundaries
- Peak triangles for significant turning points
- Background highlighting for peak identification
- Overbought/oversold reference lines
Signal Generation
- Zero-line crosses for trend change signals
- Boundary breaks for pressure strength
- Peak formation for potential reversals
- Color changes for pressure direction and intensity
- Alert conditions for extreme pressure levels
Customization Options
- Volume analysis parameters
- Marker line visibility and colors
- Peak marker display options
- Log scale toggle for handling various markets
- Overbought/oversold threshold adjustments
Trading Applications
1. Trend Identification
- Volume pressure crossing above zero: buying pressure emerging
- Volume pressure crossing below zero: selling pressure emerging
- Column color: indicates pressure direction
- Column height: indicates pressure strength
- Signal line: confirms overall trend direction
2. Reversal Detection
- Peak triangles after extended trend: potential exhaustion
- Background highlighting: significant reversal points
- Volume pressure approaching marker lines: potential trend change
- Color shifts from bright to muted: decreasing pressure
- Readings beyond overbought/oversold levels: potential reversal zones
3. Pressure Analysis
- Breaking above previous high boundary: accelerating buying pressure
- Breaking below previous low boundary: accelerating selling pressure
- Special coloring (magenta/cyan): boundary breaks indicating strength
- Extreme readings: potential climactic buying/selling
4. Market Structure Assessment
- Consecutive higher peaks: strengthening buying structure
- Consecutive lower troughs: strengthening selling structure
- Peak comparisons: relative strength of pressure phases
- Boundary line steps: market structure levels
Optimization Guide
1. Volume Analysis Settings
- Volume MA Length: Default 25 provides balanced signals
- Lower values (10-15): More responsive, potentially noisier
- Higher values (30-50): Smoother, fewer false signals
- Signal Smoothing Length: Default 8 provides good balance
- Lower values: More responsive to pressure changes
- Higher values: Smoother trend identification
2. Threshold Settings
- Extreme Threshold Multiplier: Default 20.0
- Lower values: More signals, potentially more noise
- Higher values: Fewer signals, but more significant
- Overbought/Oversold Levels: Defaults at 20/-20
- Adjust based on instrument volatility
- Wider settings for more volatile instruments
3. Visual Customization
- Marker Line Colors: Adjust for visibility on your chart
- Peak Marker Color: Default yellow provides good contrast
- Enable/disable background highlights based on preference
- Consider log scale for instruments with wide volume ranges
4. Alert Settings
- Configure alerts for high buying pressure
- Configure alerts for high selling pressure
- Set additional alerts for zero-line crosses
- Consider timeframe when setting alert sensitivity
Best Practices
1. Signal Confirmation
- Wait for zero-line crosses to confirm pressure changes
- Look for peak formations to identify potential reversals
- Check for boundary breaks to confirm strong pressure
- Use with price action for entry/exit precision
- Consider extreme threshold crossings as significant signals
2. Timeframe Selection
- Lower timeframes: more signals, potential noise
- Higher timeframes: cleaner signals, less frequent
- Multiple timeframes: confirm signals across time horizons
- Match to your trading style and holding period
3. Market Context
- Strong buying phase: positive columns breaking above marker line
- Strong selling phase: negative columns breaking below marker line
- Columns approaching zero: potential pressure shift
- Columns beyond overbought/oversold: extreme conditions, potential reversal
4. Combining with Other Indicators
- Use with trend indicators for confirmation
- Pair with price action oscillators for divergence detection
- Combine with traditional volume indicators for validation
- Consider support/resistance levels with boundary lines
Advanced Trading Strategies
1. Boundary Break Strategy
- Enter long when volume pressure breaks above previous high marker line
- Enter short when volume pressure breaks below previous low marker line
- Use zero-line as initial stop-loss reference
- Take profits at formation of opposing peaks
2. Peak Trading Strategy
- Identify significant peaks with triangular markers
- Look for consecutive lower peaks in buying phases for shorting opportunities
- Look for consecutive higher troughs in selling phases for buying opportunities
- Use zero-line crosses as confirmation
3. Extreme Reading Strategy
- Look for volume pressure beyond overbought/oversold levels
- Watch for color changes and peak formations
- Enter counter-trend positions after confirmed peaks
- Use tight stops due to extreme market conditions
4. Volume Color Strategy
- Enter long when columns turn bright green (increasing buying pressure)
- Enter short when columns turn bright red (increasing selling pressure)
- Exit when color intensity fades (decreasing pressure)
- Use marker lines as dynamic support/resistance
Practical Analysis Examples
Bullish Market Scenario
- Volume pressure crosses above zero line
- Green columns grow in height and intensity
- High marker line forms steps upward
- Peak triangles appear at local maxima
- Background highlights appear at significant buying pressure peaks
Bearish Market Scenario
- Volume pressure crosses below zero line
- Red columns grow in depth and intensity
- Low marker line forms steps downward
- Peak triangles appear at local minima
- Background highlights appear at significant selling pressure troughs
Consolidation Scenario
- Volume pressure oscillates around zero line
- Column colors alternate frequently
- Marker lines remain relatively flat
- Few or no new peak highlights appear
- Pressure values remain small
Understanding Market Dynamics Through Market Push Meter
At its core, this indicator provides a unique lens to visualize market pressure through volume analysis:
1. Volume Imbalance: By separating and comparing buying volume (up candles) from selling volume (down candles), the indicator provides insights into which side is exerting more pressure in the market.
2. Normalized Pressure: The indicator normalizes volume pressure as a percentage of total volume, making it more comparable across different market conditions and instruments.
3. Dynamic Boundaries: The marker lines create a visual representation of the "high water marks" of pressure in both directions, helping to identify when markets are making new pressure extremes.
4. Exhaustion Signals: The peak detection system highlights moments where pressure has reached a local maximum or minimum, often precursors to reversals or consolidations.
Remember:
- Combine signals from volume pressure, marker lines, and peak formations
- Use appropriate timeframe settings for your trading style
- Customize the indicator to match your visual preferences and market
- Consider overall market conditions and correlate with price action
This indicator works best when:
- Used as part of a comprehensive trading system
- Combined with proper risk management
- Applied with an understanding of current market conditions
- Signals are confirmed by price action and other indicators
DISCLAIMER: This indicator and its signals are intended solely for educational and informational purposes. They do not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with financial professionals before making trading decisions.
PumpC Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Stretch RangePumpC ORB Stretch
The PumpC ORB Stretch is a volatility-based indicator that helps traders identify potential breakout zones by analyzing how price typically behaves around the open. This tool is inspired by concepts introduced by Toby Crabel in his well-known book “Day Trading with Short-Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout.”
Rather than predicting market direction, this indicator highlights areas where price is likely to expand based on recent volatility. It is designed for traders who prefer dynamic, data-driven breakout levels over static support and resistance zones.
What Is the "Stretch"?
In Toby Crabel’s framework, the Stretch is the average of the smaller of two price moves:
The distance from the open to the high of the bar
The distance from the open to the low of the bar
This smaller value captures the “quiet side” of the candle and reflects recent price compression. Averaged over multiple periods (commonly 10 daily bars), it creates a baseline to assess how far price may move away from the open under typical market conditions.
How the Indicator Works
The PumpC ORB Stretch follows this process:
Uses a higher timeframe (such as daily) to calculate the open, high, and low.
For each bar, measures the smaller of the two distances: open to high or open to low.
Applies a moving average to the result over a user-defined number of bars (default is 10).
Multiplies the average stretch by customizable levels (e.g., 0.382, 1.0, 2.0).
Plots breakout levels above and below the open of the selected timeframe.
The result is a set of adaptive levels that expand or contract with market volatility.
Customization Options
Stretch Timeframe: Choose the timeframe used for stretch calculation (default: Daily).
Stretch Length: Set the number of bars to include in the moving average.
Breakout Levels: Enable or disable individual levels and define multipliers.
Color Settings: Customize colors for each range level for easy visual distinction.
Plot Style: Circular markers are used to reduce chart clutter and improve readability.
How to Use It
Use plotted levels to anticipate possible breakouts from the open.
Adjust stretch length to reflect short-term or longer-term volatility trends.
Combine this tool with momentum indicators, volume, or price action for confirmation.
Use levels to help guide stop placement or profit targets in breakout strategies.
Important Notes
This script is based on an interpretation of Crabel’s concepts and is not affiliated with Crabel Capital or the original author.
The indicator does not predict direction; it is a tool for context and structure.
It is recommended that users test and validate this tool in a simulated environment before applying it to live trading.
This indicator is intended for educational purposes only.
Licensing and Attribution
This script is built entirely in Pine Script v5 and follows TradingView’s open-source standards. It does not include any third-party or proprietary code. If you modify or share it, please credit the original idea and follow all TradingView script publishing rules.
Geometric Momentum Breakout with Monte CarloOverview
This experimental indicator uses geometric trendline analysis combined with momentum and Monte Carlo simulation techniques to help visualize potential breakout areas. It calculates support, resistance, and an aggregated trendline using a custom Geo library (by kaigouthro). The indicator also tracks breakout signals in a way that a new buy signal is triggered only after a sell signal (and vice versa), ensuring no repeated signals in the same direction.
Important:
This script is provided for educational purposes only. It is experimental and should not be used for live trading without proper testing and validation.
Key Features
Trendline Calculation:
Uses the Geo library to compute support and resistance trendlines based on historical high and low prices. The midpoint of these trendlines forms an aggregated trendline.
Momentum Analysis:
Computes the Rate of Change (ROC) to determine momentum. Breakout conditions are met only if the price and momentum exceed a user-defined threshold.
Monte Carlo Simulation:
Simulates future price movements to estimate the probability of bullish or bearish breakouts over a specified horizon.
Signal Tracking:
A persistent variable ensures that once a buy (or sell) signal is triggered, it won’t repeat until the opposite signal occurs.
Geometric Enhancements:
Calculates an aggregated trend angle and channel width (distance between support and resistance), and draws a perpendicular “breakout zone” line.
Table Display:
A built-in table displays key metrics including:
Bullish probability
Bearish probability
Aggregated trend angle (in degrees)
Channel width
Alerts:
Configurable alerts notify when a new buy or sell breakout signal occurs.
Inputs
Resistance Lookback & Support Lookback:
Number of bars to look back for determining resistance and support points.
Momentum Length & Threshold:
Period for ROC calculation and the minimum percentage change required for a breakout confirmation.
Monte Carlo Simulation Parameters:
Simulation Horizon: Number of future bars to simulate.
Simulation Iterations: Number of simulation runs.
Table Position & Text Size:
Customize where the table is displayed on the chart and the size of the text.
How to Use
Add the Script to Your Chart:
Copy the code into the Pine Script editor on TradingView and add it to your chart.
Adjust Settings:
Customize the inputs (e.g., lookback periods, momentum threshold, simulation parameters) to fit your analysis or educational requirements.
Interpret Signals:
A buy signal is plotted as a green triangle below the bar when conditions are met and the state transitions from neutral or sell.
A sell signal is plotted as a red triangle above the bar when conditions are met and the state transitions from neutral or buy.
Alerts are triggered only on the bar where a new signal is generated.
Examine the Table:
The table displays key metrics (breakout probabilities, aggregated trend angle, and channel width) to help evaluate current market conditions.
Disclaimer
This indicator is experimental and provided for educational purposes only. It is not intended as a trading signal or financial advice. Use this script at your own risk, and always perform your own research and testing before using any experimental tools in live trading.
Credit
This indicator uses the Geo library by kaigouthro. Special thanks to Cryptonerds and @Hazzantazzan for their contributions and insights.
OPEX & VIX Expiry Markers (Past, Present, Future)Expiry Date Indicator for Options & Index Traders
Track Key Expiration Dates Automatically
For traders focused on options, indices, and expiration-based strategies, staying aware of key expiration dates is essential. This TradingView indicator automatically plots OPEX, VIX Expiry, and Quarterly Expirations on your charts—helping you plan trades more effectively without manual tracking.
Features:
✔ OPEX Expiration Markers – Highlights the third Friday of each month, when equity and index options expire.
✔ VIX Expiration Tracking – Marks Wednesday VIX expirations, useful for volatility-based trades.
✔ Quarterly Expiration Highlights – Identifies major market expiration cycles for better trade management.
✔ Live Countdown to Next OPEX – Displays how many days remain until the next expiration.
✔ Works on Any Timeframe – Past, present, and future expiration dates update dynamically.
✔ Customizable Settings – Enable or disable specific features based on your trading style.
Ideal for Traders Who Use:
📈 SPX / SPY / NDX / VIX Options Strategies
📅 Iron Condors, Credit Spreads, and Expiration-Based Trades
This tool helps traders stay ahead of expiration cycles, ensuring they never miss an important date. Simple, effective, and built for seamless integration into your trading workflow.
This keeps it professional and to the point without overhyping it. Let me know if you'd like any further refinements! 🚀
Mark Minervini Buy Signal# Mark Minervini Buy Signal Indicator
This indicator implements Mark Minervini's "Stage 2 Uptrend" buy criteria from his SEPA (Specific Entry Point Analysis) methodology as described in his books "Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard" and "Think & Trade Like a Champion". The script identifies potential buy setups based on Minervini's technical criteria for stocks showing strong momentum characteristics.
## How It Works
The indicator evaluates various technical conditions to identify stocks in a Stage 2 uptrend according to Minervini's methodology:
1. **Moving Average Alignment**
- 150-day MA above 200-day MA (confirming overall uptrend)
- 200-day MA trending up (compared to 20 days ago)
- 50-day MA above both 150-day and 200-day MAs (showing recent strength)
- Price above all major moving averages (50, 150, 200-day MAs)
2. **Price Relative to 52-Week Range**
- Price at least 25% above 52-week low (showing strong recovery)
- Price within 75-95% of 52-week high (room for further upside)
3. **Relative Strength**
- Stock ranks in the top 30% based on 100-day price performance
- This implements Minervini's emphasis on buying only strong performers
4. **Volume Criteria**
- Volume above its 50-day moving average (showing increasing interest)
## How to Use This Indicator
When all conditions are met, the indicator displays a green triangle below the price bar and colors the background green. These signals identify potential candidates for further analysis. According to Minervini's methodology, you should:
1. Use this as a screening tool to identify potential candidates
2. Perform additional chart analysis to identify specific entry points
3. Look for decreased volatility and proper bases or consolidation patterns
4. Consider broader market conditions and sector strength before entering
## Sources and Credit
This indicator is based on Mark Minervini's trading methodology as outlined in:
1. Minervini, Mark. "Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard: How to Achieve Super Performance in Stocks in Any Market" (2013)
2. Minervini, Mark. "Think & Trade Like a Champion: The Secrets, Rules & Blunt Truths of a Stock Market Wizard" (2016)
3. Minervini, Mark. "Mindset Secrets for Winning: How to Bring Personal Power to Everything You Do" (2019)
4. Interviews and workshops where Minervini has described his SEPA methodology
The specific criteria implemented are derived from Minervini's "Stage Analysis" framework, particularly focusing on Stage 2 uptrends which he considers optimal for buying opportunities.
## Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for informational purposes only. It attempts to reproduce Minervini's published criteria but should be used as part of a complete trading strategy with proper risk management. Minervini's complete methodology includes additional subjective elements that cannot be fully automated.
High-Impact News Events with ALERTHigh-Impact News Events with ALERT
This indicator is builds upon the original by adding alert capabilities, allowing traders to receive notifications before and after economic events to manage risk effectively.
This indicator is updated version of the Live Economic Calendar by @toodegrees ( ) which allows user to set alert for the news events.
Key Features
Customizable Alert Selection: Users can choose which impact levels to restrict (High, Medium, Low).
User-Defined Restriction Timing: Set alerts to X minutes before or after the event.
Real-Time Economic Event Detection: Fetches live news data from Forex Factory.
Multi-Event Support: Detects and processes multiple news events dynamically.
Automatic Trading Restriction: user can use this script to stop trades in news events.
Visual Markers:
Vertical dashed lines indicate the start and end of restriction periods.
Background color changes during restricted trading times.
Alerts notify traders during the news events.
How It Works
The user selects which news impact levels should restrict trading.
The script retrieves real-time economic event data from Forex Factory.
Trading can be restricted for X minutes before and after each event.
The script highlights restricted periods with a background color.
Alerts notify traders all time during the news events is active as per the defined time to prevent unexpected volatility exposure.
Customization Options
Choose which news impact levels (High, Medium, Low) should trigger trading restrictions.
Define time limits before and after each news event for restriction.
Enable or disable alerts for restricted trading periods.
How to Use
Apply the indicator to any TradingView chart.
Configure the news event impact levels you want to restrict.
Set the pre- and post-event restriction durations as needed.
The indicator will automatically apply restrictions, plot visual markers, and trigger alerts accordingly.
Limitations
This script relies on Forex Factory data and may have occasional update delays.
TradingView does not support external API connections, so data is updated through internal methods.
The indicator does not execute trades automatically; it only provides visual alerts and restriction signals.
Reference & Credit
This script is based on the Live Economic Calendar by @toodegrees ( ), adding enhanced pre- and post-event alerting capabilities to help traders prepare for market-moving news.
Disclaimer
This script is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Users should verify economic data independently and exercise caution when trading around news events. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Global Liquidity IndexThis custom indicator provides a composite measure of global liquidity by combining key central bank balance sheet data with additional liquidity proxies. The script aggregates asset data from major economies—including the United States, Japan, China, and the Eurozone—converting non-USD values into U.S. dollars using real-time exchange rates. It then subtracts selected liability measures (such as reverse repurchase agreements and other adjustments) to approximate net central bank liquidity.
Key features include:
• Multi-Regional Coverage:
Incorporates data from the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Chinese central bank proxies, and the European Central Bank, allowing you to gauge liquidity across major global markets.
• Dynamic Currency Conversion:
Uses live exchange rates (JPY/USD, CNY/USD, EUR/USD) to ensure that all regional figures are consistently expressed in U.S. dollars.
• Customizable Weighting:
Assign adjustable weights to each region’s data, so you can reflect economic size or your own view of their relative importance.
• Additional Liquidity Proxies:
Optionally integrates measures for global money supply and global credit/repo activity (or other proxies of your choice) with user-defined scaling factors.
• User-Friendly Configuration:
All key parameters—including weights and scaling factors—are available as inputs, making the indicator flexible and easy to tailor to your analysis needs.
This indicator is designed for traders and analysts seeking a broad view of global monetary conditions. Whether you’re tracking shifts in central bank policies or assessing global market liquidity, the Global Liquidity Index provides an insightful, customizable tool to help you visualize and interpret liquidity trends over time.
FACTOR MONITORThe Factor Monitor is a comprehensive designed to track relative strength and standard deviation movements across multiple market segments and investment factors. The indicator calculates and displays normalized percentage moves and their statistical significance (measured in standard deviations) across daily, 5-day, and 20-day periods, providing a multi-timeframe view of market dynamics.
Key Features:
Real-time tracking of relative performance between various ETF pairs (e.g., QQQ vs SPY, IWM vs SPY)
Standard deviation scoring system that identifies statistically significant moves
Color-coded visualization (green/red) for quick interpretation of relative strength
Multiple timeframe analysis (1-day, 5-day, and 20-day moves)
Monitoring of key market segments:
Style factors (Value, Growth, Momentum)
Market cap segments (Large, Mid, Small)
Sector relative strength
Risk factors (High Beta vs Low Volatility)
Credit conditions (High Yield vs Investment Grade)
The tool is particularly valuable for:
Identifying significant factor rotations in the market
Assessing market breadth through relative strength comparisons
Spotting potential trend changes through statistical deviation analysis
Monitoring sector leadership and market regime shifts
Quantifying the magnitude of market moves relative to historical norms
Smart Money Breakouts [iskess 01-02 11:05]This is an big update to the excellent Smart Money Breakout Script published in Oct 2023 by ChartPrime who, to my knowledge, was the original author.
FULL CREDIT GOES TO CHARTPRIME FOR THIS ORIGINAL WORK.
Per the moderator's rules, you will find below a meaningful, detailed self-contained description that does not rely on delegation to the open source code or links to other content. You will find in the description details on what the script does, how it does that, how to use it, and how it is original.
The "Smart Money Breakouts" indicator is designed to identify breakouts based on changes in character (CHOCH) or breaks of structure (BOS) patterns, facilitating automated trading with user-defined Take Profit (TP) level.
The indicator incorporates essential elements such as volume analysis and a data table to assist traders in optimizing their strategies.
🔸Breakout Detection:
The indicator scans price movements for "Change in Character" (CHOCH) and "Break of Structure" (BOS) patterns, signaling potential breakout opportunities in the market.
🔸User-Defined TP/SL :
Traders can customize the Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) through the indicator settings, with these levels dynamically calculated based on the Average True Range (ATR). This allows for precise risk management and profit targets that adapt to market volatility. Traders can also select the lookback period for the TP/SL calculations.
🔸Volume Analysis and Trade Direction Specific Analysis:
The indicator includes a volume checker that provides valuable insights into the strength of the breakout, taking into account trade direction.
🔸If the volume label is red and the trade is long, it suggests a higher likelihood of hitting the Stop Loss (SL).
🔸If the volume label is green and the trade is long, it indicates a higher probability of hitting the Take Profit (TP).
🔸For short trades, a red volume label suggests a higher likelihood of hitting TP, while a green label suggests a higher likelihood of hitting SL.
🔸A yellow volume label suggests that the volume is inconclusive, neither favoring bullish nor bearish movements.
🔸Data Table:
The indicator features a data table that keeps track of the number of winning and losing trades for specific timeframes or configurations. It also shows the percentage of profits vs losses, and the overall profit/loss for the selected lookback period.
This table serves as a valuable tool for traders to analyze performance and discover optimal settings and timeframes.
The "Smart Money Breakouts" indicator provides traders with a comprehensive solution for breakout trading, combining technical analysis of changes in character and breaks of structure, volume insights, and performance tracking while dynamically adjusting TP and SL levels based on market volatility through the ATR.
This version of the script is a "significant improvement" from Chart Prime's original work in the following ways:
- A selectable range of candles for the profit/loss calculations to look back on.
- An updated table that includes the percentage of wins/losses, and and overall P&L during the selected lookback range.
- The user can now select only Long trades, Short trades, or both.
- The percentage gain/loss is now indicated for every trade on the chart.
- The user can now select a different multiplier for Stop Loss or Take Profit thresholds.
Economic RegimeThis indicator, "Economic Regime" , provides a comprehensive analysis of market conditions by combining multiple asset classes and financial metrics. It uses normalized scores and trend analysis to classify the current economic regime into one of four categories: Goldilocks, Reflation, Inflation, or Deflation. The classification is based on inputs like S&P 500 performance, bond yields, commodity prices, volatility indices, and sector ETFs. Additionally, it plots key financial spreads, including the yield spread (10Y-2Y) and credit spread (HYG-LQD), to offer deeper insights into liquidity and market sentiment. The background color dynamically reflects the identified economic regime, facilitating quick visual interpretation.
Kernel Regression Envelope with SMI OscillatorThis script combines the predictive capabilities of the **Nadaraya-Watson estimator**, implemented by the esteemed jdehorty (credit to him for his excellent work on the `KernelFunctions` library and the original Nadaraya-Watson Envelope indicator), with the confirmation strength of the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** to create a dynamic trend reversal strategy. The core idea is to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions using the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and then confirm these signals with the SMI before entering a trade.
**Understanding the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope:**
The Nadaraya-Watson estimator is a non-parametric regression technique that essentially calculates a weighted average of past price data to estimate the current underlying trend. Unlike simple moving averages that give equal weight to all past data within a defined period, the Nadaraya-Watson estimator uses a **kernel function** (in this case, the Rational Quadratic Kernel) to assign weights. The key parameters influencing this estimation are:
* **Lookback Window (h):** This determines how many historical bars are considered for the estimation. A larger window results in a smoother estimation, while a smaller window makes it more reactive to recent price changes.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** This parameter controls the influence of different time frames in the estimation. Lower values emphasize longer-term price action, while higher values make the estimator more sensitive to shorter-term movements.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** This allows you to exclude the potentially volatile initial bars of a chart from the calculation, leading to a more stable estimation.
The script calculates the Nadaraya-Watson estimation for the closing price (`yhat_close`), as well as the highs (`yhat_high`) and lows (`yhat_low`). The `yhat_close` is then used as the central trend line.
**Dynamic Envelope Bands with ATR:**
To identify potential entry and exit points around the Nadaraya-Watson estimation, the script uses **Average True Range (ATR)** to create dynamic envelope bands. ATR measures the volatility of the price. By multiplying the ATR by different factors (`nearFactor` and `farFactor`), we create multiple bands:
* **Near Bands:** These are closer to the Nadaraya-Watson estimation and are intended to identify potential immediate overbought or oversold zones.
* **Far Bands:** These are further away and can act as potential take-profit or stop-loss levels, representing more extreme price extensions.
The script calculates both near and far upper and lower bands, as well as an average between the near and far bands. This provides a nuanced view of potential support and resistance levels around the estimated trend.
**Confirming Reversals with the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI):**
While the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies potential overextended conditions, the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** is used to confirm a potential trend reversal. The SMI, unlike a traditional stochastic oscillator, oscillates around a zero line. It measures the location of the current closing price relative to the median of the high/low range over a specified period.
The script calculates the SMI on a **higher timeframe** (defined by the "Timeframe" input) to gain a broader perspective on the market momentum. This helps to filter out potential whipsaws and false signals that might occur on the current chart's timeframe. The SMI calculation involves:
* **%K Length:** The lookback period for calculating the highest high and lowest low.
* **%D Length:** The period for smoothing the relative range.
* **EMA Length:** The period for smoothing the SMI itself.
The script uses a double EMA for smoothing within the SMI calculation for added smoothness.
**How the Indicators Work Together in the Strategy:**
The strategy enters a long position when:
1. The closing price crosses below the **near lower band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential oversold condition.
2. The SMI crosses above its EMA, indicating positive momentum.
3. The SMI value is below -50, further supporting the oversold idea on the higher timeframe.
Conversely, the strategy enters a short position when:
1. The closing price crosses above the **near upper band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential overbought condition.
2. The SMI crosses below its EMA, indicating negative momentum.
3. The SMI value is above 50, further supporting the overbought idea on the higher timeframe.
Trades are closed when the price crosses the **far band** in the opposite direction of the trade. A stop-loss is also implemented based on a fixed value.
**In essence:** The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies areas where the price might be deviating significantly from its estimated trend. The SMI, calculated on a higher timeframe, then acts as a confirmation signal, suggesting that the momentum is shifting in the direction of a potential reversal. The ATR-based bands provide dynamic entry and exit points based on the current volatility.
**How to Use the Script:**
1. **Apply the script to your chart.**
2. **Adjust the "Kernel Settings":**
* **Lookback Window (h):** Experiment with different values to find the smoothness that best suits the asset and timeframe you are trading. Lower values make the envelope more reactive, while higher values make it smoother.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** Adjust to control the influence of different timeframes on the Nadaraya-Watson estimation.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** Increase this value if you want to exclude the initial, potentially volatile, bars from the calculation.
* **Stoploss:** Set your desired stop-loss value.
3. **Adjust the "SMI" settings:**
* **%K Length, %D Length, EMA Length:** These parameters control the sensitivity and smoothness of the SMI. Experiment to find settings that work well for your trading style.
* **Timeframe:** Select the higher timeframe you want to use for SMI confirmation.
4. **Adjust the "ATR Length" and "Near/Far ATR Factor":** These settings control the width and sensitivity of the envelope bands. Smaller ATR lengths make the bands more reactive to recent volatility.
5. **Customize the "Color Settings"** to your preference.
6. **Observe the plots:**
* The **Nadaraya-Watson Estimation (yhat)** line represents the estimated underlying trend.
* The **near and far upper and lower bands** visualize potential overbought and oversold zones based on the ATR.
* The **fill areas** highlight the regions between the near and far bands.
7. **Look for entry signals:** A long entry is considered when the price touches or crosses below the lower near band and the SMI confirms upward momentum. A short entry is considered when the price touches or crosses above the upper near band and the SMI confirms downward momentum.
8. **Manage your trades:** The script provides exit signals when the price crosses the far band. The fixed stop-loss will also close trades if the price moves against your position.
**Justification for Combining Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and SMI:**
The combination of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and the SMI provides a more robust approach to identifying potential trend reversals compared to using either indicator in isolation. The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope excels at identifying potential areas where the price is overextended relative to its recent history. However, relying solely on the envelope can lead to false signals, especially in choppy or volatile markets. By incorporating the SMI as a confirmation tool, we add a momentum filter that helps to validate the potential reversals signaled by the envelope. The higher timeframe SMI further helps to filter out noise and focus on more significant shifts in momentum. The ATR-based bands add a dynamic element to the entry and exit points, adapting to the current market volatility. This mashup aims to leverage the strengths of each indicator to create a more reliable trading strategy.
Dynamic Volatility Heatmap (ATR)How the Script Works
Dynamic Thresholds:
atrLow and atrHigh are calculated as percentiles (20% and 80% by default) of ATR values over the last double the ATR period (28 days if ATR is 14).
This creates thresholds that adapt to recent market conditions.
Background Heatmap:
Green: ATR is below the low threshold, indicating calm markets (options are cheap).
Red: ATR is above the high threshold, signaling elevated volatility (options are expensive).
Yellow: ATR is within the normal range, showing neutral market conditions.
Overlay Lines:
]Dynamic lines for atrLow and atrHigh help visualize thresholds on the chart.
Interpretation for Trading
Green Zone (Low ATR):
Interpretation: The market is calm, and options are likely underpriced.
Trade Setup: Favor buying options (e.g., long straddles or long calls/puts) to profit from potential volatility increases.
Red Zone (High ATR):
Interpretation: The market is volatile, and options are likely overpriced.
Trade Setup: Favor selling options (e.g., credit spreads or iron condors) to benefit from volatility decay.
Yellow Zone (Neutral ATR):
Interpretation: Volatility is within typical levels, offering no strong signal.
Trade Setup: Combine with other indicators, such as gamma levels or Bollinger Bands, for confirmation.
5. Enhancing with Other Indicators
Combine with Bollinger Bands:
Overlay Bollinger Bands to identify price extremes and align them with volatility heatmap signals.
Tomas' Financial Conditions Z Score"The indicator is a composite z-score comprised of the following four components (equally-weighted):
Credit spreads - ICE BofA High Yield Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2) and ICE BofA Corporate Index Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLC0A0CM)
Volatility indexes - VIX (S&P 500 implied volatility) and MOVE (US Treasury bond implied volatility)
I've got it set to a 160-day lookback period, which I think is roughly the best setting after some tinkering.
When the z-score is above zero, it throws a red signal - and when the z-score is below zero, it throws a green signal.
This indicator is a follow-on from the "traffic light financial conditions indicator" that I wrote a thread about a couple of months ago.
I moved on from that previous indicator because it is based on the Federal Reserve's NFCI, which is regularly revised, but I didn't take that into account at the time.
So not a great real-time indicator, if the signal can be subsequently revised in the opposite direction weeks later.
This new indicator is based on real-time market data, so there's no revisions, and it also updates daily, as opposed to weekly for the NFCI"
