Market Structure HH, HL, LH and LLMarket Structure Indicator (HH, HL, LH, LL) – Explanation and Usage
Overview:
This indicator is designed to detect and visualize market structure shifts by identifying Higher Highs (HH), Higher Lows (HL), Lower Highs (LH), and Lower Lows (LL). It plots a ZigZag structure to mark trend changes, helping traders analyze price swings and market direction.
Indicator Logic:
The indicator operates based on ZigZag swing points to define trend shifts and structure changes.
Identifying Market Swings:
It finds local highs and lows using the ZigZag Length (zigzag_len), which defines how many bars back to check for a new swing high/low.
If the current high is the highest over zigzag_len periods, it marks it as a swing high.
If the current low is the lowest over zigzag_len periods, it marks it as a swing low.
Determining Market Structure:
Uptrend: Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL)
Downtrend: Lower Lows (LL) & Lower Highs (LH)
The script continuously tracks the last two highs (h0, h1) and last two lows (l0, l1) to classify the current market structure.
Visual Elements:
ZigZag Line (Optional): Connects major swing highs and lows for trend visualization.
Labels (HH, HL, LH, LL):
HH (Higher High) – Price is making new highs → Uptrend Continuation.
HL (Higher Low) – Price forms a higher bottom → Uptrend Confirmation.
LL (Lower Low) – Price is making new lows → Downtrend Continuation.
LH (Lower High) – Price forms a lower top → Downtrend Confirmation.
Breakout Confirmation with Fibonacci Factor (Optional)
The indicator includes an option to confirm breakouts using the fib_factor, which ensures price moves beyond a certain retracement level.
How to Use This Indicator in Trading:
1. Identifying Trends & Trend Reversals
Uptrend: Look for a sequence of HH and HL.
Downtrend: Look for a sequence of LL and LH.
Trend Reversal: If price transitions from HH-HL to LH-LL, it signals a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend (and vice versa).
2. Confirming Entry & Exit Points
Buy Entry (Long Position)
Enter after a Higher Low (HL) is confirmed in an uptrend.
Combine with support zones or moving averages for confirmation.
Sell Entry (Short Position)
Enter after a Lower High (LH) is confirmed in a downtrend.
Combine with resistance zones or moving averages for confirmation.
Exit Strategy
Exit long trades when price fails to make a HH and forms an LH instead.
Exit short trades when price fails to make a LL and forms an HL instead.
3. Spotting Breakouts & Order Blocks
The Fib Factor setting allows traders to filter false breakouts by confirming price movement beyond a retracement threshold.
Potential Order Blocks can be identified by looking at the last major swing point before a breakout.
Benefits of This Indicator for Traders
✅ Trend Identification: Helps traders quickly determine if the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.
✅ Clear Market Structure Labels: Easily visualizes Higher Highs, Higher Lows, Lower Highs, and Lower Lows.
✅ Avoids Noise: The ZigZag algorithm removes small fluctuations and focuses on significant market movements.
✅ Assists with Entry & Exit Decisions: Provides objective signals for trend continuation or reversals.
✅ Works in All Markets: Useful for stocks, forex, crypto, and futures trading.
Would you like me to add additional features like Order Blocks, Breakout Confirmation, or Alerts to improve this indicator? 🚀
Komut dosyalarını "Futures" için ara
VolumeProfileLibrary "VolumeProfile"
Analyzes volume and price and calculates a volume profile, in particular the Point Of Control and Value Area values.
new(rowSizeInTicks, valueAreaCoverage, startTime)
Constructor method that creates a new Volume Profile
Parameters:
rowSizeInTicks (float) : Internal row size (aka resolution) of the volume profile. Useful for most futures contracts would be '1 / syminfo.mintick'. Default '4'.
valueAreaCoverage (int) : Percentage of total volume that is considered the Value Area. Default '70'
startTime (int) : Start time (unix timestamp in milliseconds) of the Volume Profile. Default 'time'.
Returns: VolumeProfile object
method calculatePOC(vp)
Calculates current Point Of Control of the VP
Namespace types: VolumeProfile
Parameters:
vp (VolumeProfile)
Returns: void
method calculateVA(vp)
Calculates current Value Area High and Low of the VP
Namespace types: VolumeProfile
Parameters:
vp (VolumeProfile)
Returns: void
method update(vp, h, l, v, t)
Processes new chart data and sorts volume into rows. Then calls calculatePOC() and calculateVA() to update the VP. Parameters are usually the output of request.security_lower_tf.
Namespace types: VolumeProfile
Parameters:
vp (VolumeProfile)
h (array) : Array of highs
l (array) : Array of lows
v (array) : Array of volumes
t (array) : Array of candle times
Returns: void
method setSessionHigh(vp, h)
Sets the high of the session the VP is tracking
Namespace types: VolumeProfile
Parameters:
vp (VolumeProfile)
h (float)
Returns: void
method setSessionLow(vp, l)
Sets the low of the session the VP is tracking
Namespace types: VolumeProfile
Parameters:
vp (VolumeProfile)
l (float)
Returns: void
method getPOC(vp)
Gets the current Point Of Control
Namespace types: VolumeProfile
Parameters:
vp (VolumeProfile)
Returns: Point Of Control (float)
method getVAH(vp)
Gets the current Value Area High
Namespace types: VolumeProfile
Parameters:
vp (VolumeProfile)
Returns: Value Area High (float)
method getVAL(vp)
Gets the current Value Area Low
Namespace types: VolumeProfile
Parameters:
vp (VolumeProfile)
Returns: Value Area Low (float)
VolumeProfile
Fields:
rowSizeInTicks (series float)
valueAreaCoverage (series int)
startTime (series int)
valueAreaHigh (series float)
pointOfControl (series float)
valueAreaLow (series float)
sessionHigh (series float)
sessionLow (series float)
volumeByRow (map)
totalVolume (series float)
pocRow (series float)
pocVol (series float)
SMT Divergence [TakingProphets]The SMT (Smart Money Technique) Divergence indicator identifies potential market manipulation and smart money footprints by comparing price action between correlated instruments. It uses a dual-detection system to catch both frequent local SMTs and larger structural SMTs:
• Primary detection uses a shorter lookback period (default 5) to identify common SMT patterns
• Secondary detection uses a longer lookback period (default 8) to catch larger structural SMTs
• Automatically filters significant moves to prevent noise
• Labels are placed clearly outside of price action for better visibility
• Toggle between showing all SMTs or only significant liquidity sweeps
Compare any two instruments to spot divergences in their price action. Particularly useful for:
- Futures vs Spot markets
- Related currency pairs
- Index vs its components
- Any correlated instruments
Default settings are optimized for intraday trading but can be adjusted for different timeframes.
Note: This indicator works best when comparing closely correlated instruments and should be used alongside other technical analysis tools.
Average Candle Size (Points)ATR but with the ability to add threshold lines (UP TO 3) that help gauge how volatile the market is. Also, note that the default threshold values are set up for NQ Futures so you will need to change your values to your specific needs.
Hourly Market Movement Pattern Indicator# Hourly Market Movement Pattern Indicator
This versatile technical analysis tool identifies the most active hours for trading by analyzing historical price movements. While it can be viewed on any timeframe chart, the indicator specifically tracks and displays which hours of the day historically show the strongest upward or downward price movements, helping traders optimize their trading schedule around these recurring hourly patterns.
## Core Features
- Tracks the best performing hours for both upward and downward movements
- Viewable on any timeframe chart while maintaining hourly analysis
- Clear visual display through a color-coded table overlay
- Real-time updates with new market data
- Works with all trading instruments (stocks, crypto, forex, futures, etc.)
## Timeframe Applications
### Chart Viewing Options
- Can be viewed on any timeframe chart (1min to Monthly)
- Maintains hourly pattern analysis regardless of chart timeframe
- Helps correlate hourly patterns with your preferred trading timeframe
- Allows detailed visualization of hourly patterns within your analysis period
### Intraday Trading
- Identify the most profitable hours for trading
- Plan trading sessions around historically strong hours
- Optimize entry and exit timing based on hourly patterns
- Structure day trading schedules around peak movement hours
### Swing Trading
- Use hourly statistics to optimize entry/exit timing
- Plan trade executions during historically strong hours
- Time position entries based on hourly success rates
- Enhance swing trading decisions with hourly pattern data
## Practical Applications
### Pattern Recognition
- Track recurring hourly market movements
- Identify institutional trading hour patterns
- Detect regular market cycle hours
- Recognize changes in hourly market behavior
### Risk Management
- Adjust position sizing based on historical hourly patterns
- Plan entries during statistically favorable hours
- Time stop loss adjustments around known volatile hours
- Scale positions according to hourly success rates
### Trade Planning
- Schedule trading sessions during optimal hours
- Plan trade executions around strong movement periods
- Structure trading day around peak hours
- Time position adjustments to favorable hours
## Setup Options
- Timeframe: View on any chart timeframe while tracking hourly patterns
- Visual Display: Non-intrusive table overlay
- Color Coding: Green for upward movements, Red for downward movements
- Hour Display: 24-hour format for global market compatibility
## Trading Strategy Integration
The indicator enhances trading approaches through:
- Optimal hour identification for trade execution
- Historical hourly pattern analysis
- Day trading session optimization
- Position timing based on hourly statistics
## Notes
This indicator proves particularly valuable for:
- Traders seeking to optimize their daily trading schedule
- Day traders focusing on peak market hours
- Swing traders optimizing entry/exit timing
- Traders adapting strategies to specific market hours
- International traders tracking hour-specific patterns across sessions
The tool's hourly pattern analysis provides crucial timing information regardless of your preferred chart timeframe or trading style, helping optimize trade execution around the most statistically favorable hours of the day.
measure last swing [keypoems]MEASURE LAST SWING
Version: v0.0.7
An indicator for measuring market swings and calculating position sizing based on pivot points and risk parameters. Helps traders visualize price swings and automatically compute position sizes based on their desired risk amount.
FEATURES:
• Identifies and tracks last pivot point in price action
• Displays visual measurements of price swing
• Calculates position sizes based on risk parameters
• Supports major futures contracts with automatic multiplier detection
HOW IT WORKS:
The indicator detects pivot highs and lows using your specified pivot strength, then draws measurement lines and calculates position sizes based on your risk parameters. It automatically cleans up old drawings when new pivot points are identified.
INPUT PARAMETERS:
General Settings:
• Risk Amount - Amount you want to risk per trade
• Pivot Strength - Bars required on either side to confirm a pivot
• Offset - Number of bars to offset the vertical line
Visual Settings:
• Horizontal and Vertical Lines - Customizable colors, widths (1-4), and styles
• Labels - Adjustable text color and size
CONTRACT MULTIPLIERS:
Automatically detects and applies the correct multiplier:
• ES (E-mini S&P 500): 50.0
• MES (Micro E-mini S&P 500): 5.0
• NQ (E-mini Nasdaq): 20.0
• MNQ (Micro E-mini Nasdaq): 2.0
• YM (E-mini Dow): 5.0
• MYM (Micro E-mini Dow): 0.5
• Other symbols: 1.0 (default)
DISPLAY ELEMENTS:
1. Horizontal line showing the level of the last pivot point
2. Vertical line measuring the distance to current price
3. Distance label showing point distance
4. Risk/Position label showing risk amount and calculated position size
POSITION SIZING:
Position Size = Floor(Risk Amount / (Distance in Points × Contract Multiplier))
IDEAL FOR:
• Measuring price swings for technical analysis
• Position sizing based on risk management rules
• Identifying potential entry and exit points
• Visual analysis of market structure
• Risk management automation
Monthly, Quarterly OPEX & Vix expirations
OPEX Indicator:
The OPEX indicator is designed to provide traders with a visual representation of key options expiration dates, particularly for monthly, quarterly, and VIX options expirations. This indicator can be particularly helpful for market participants who focus on options-based strategies or those who track the impact of options expiration on price action.
The indicator overlays vertical lines and labels on the chart to highlight three key types of expiration events:
Monthly Equity and Index Expiration (OPEX): This marks the standard monthly options expiration dates for equity and index options.
Quarterly Index Expiration (Q): This indicates the quarterly expiration dates for index options, which tend to have a larger impact on the market.
Monthly VIX Expiration (VIXEX): This marks the monthly expiration of VIX options and futures, which are important for volatility traders.
How to Use the OPEX Indicator:
Expiration Dates on the Chart: The OPEX indicator marks expiration dates with vertical lines and labels that appear on the chart. These are customizable, allowing you to adjust the line and label colors to suit your preferences. The lines and labels will appear at specific times, such as the closing of the market on expiration days, allowing traders to prepare for potential volatility or other market dynamics associated with these events.
Customizable Colors and Label Positions: The indicator offers flexibility in customizing the appearance of expiration lines and labels. For each expiration type (OPEX, Quarterly, and VIXEX), you can adjust the line color, label color, and label text color. Additionally, the label text size and position can be customized (e.g., above the bar, below the bar, top or bottom of the chart). This allows for a tailored display that suits your trading style and chart layout.
Visualizing Impact of Expiration Events: Traders who track the influence of expiration events can use this indicator to spot potential market moves around expiration dates. For example, significant price swings often occur near expiration days as options traders adjust their positions. With this indicator, you can visualize these dates on your chart and analyze market behavior in the lead-up to, during, and after the expirations.
Input Options:
Expiration Types:
Monthly Equity, Index Expiration (OPEX): Turn on or off the monthly equity expiration markers.
Quarterly Index Expiration (Q): Turn on or off the quarterly expiration markers.
Monthly VIX Expiration (VIXEX): Turn on or off the VIX expiration markers.
Line and Label Customization:
Line Color: Adjust the color of the vertical lines marking the expiration events.
Label Color: Customize the color of the expiration labels.
Label Text Color: Adjust the color of the text inside the labels.
Label Position: Choose the position of the labels (e.g., top, bottom, above bar, below bar).
Use Cases:
Options Traders: Track options expiration dates to assess potential price swings or liquidity changes.
Volatility Traders: Watch for patterns around VIX options expirations.
Index Traders: Monitor quarterly expirations for potential market-moving events.
Example Use:
As a trader, you can apply this indicator to your chart and observe how price action reacts near expiration dates. For instance, on the monthly OPEX expiration day, you might notice increased volatility or an uptick in options-related price moves. By observing this trend over time, you can align your trades to capitalize on predictable movements around key expiration days.
Additionally, you may use the quarterly expiration markers to assess whether there’s typically a market shift during these periods, providing insights for long-term traders.
This indicator can be a helpful tool for preparing and managing trades around critical options expiration dates, helping to forecast potential market behavior based on historical patterns.
TradingView Community Guidelines Compliance: This script complies with TradingView's community guidelines by offering a clear and valuable function for traders, providing customizable inputs for enhanced usability. The script is focused on chart visualizations without manipulating or misrepresenting market data. It serves as an educational tool and a functional indicator, with no claims or misleading functionality. The indicator does not promote financial products or services and focuses solely on charting for better trading decision-making.
[volfgang] Pivot Levels (Open, Close, High, Low)This script provides a clear and consistent way to track key price levels from Weekly and Daily bars, directly on your current chart interval.
The default colours are;
Today & This Week Open = White
Yesterday & Previous Week Open = Cream
Yesterday's High = Red
Yesterday's Low = Green
Weekly Pivots are 2px, and Daily Pivots are 1px.
Instead of requiring manual referencing of daily or weekly charts, these significant levels are automatically drawn and updated in real time, extending to the right as new bars form.
It adds value by helping traders quickly identify potential support/resistance zones and compare intraday price action with higher-timeframe pivots. This approach can aid in scalping, day trading, or swing trading strategies that rely on past price levels for trade entries, exits, or stop loss placement.
Daily Pivots Displayed Intraday
The script imports the previous day’s High, Low, Open, and Close and draws lines on the current chart, so you can see exactly where those levels lie on any intraday timeframe. You can easily change the colour of these lines in the menu.
Instead of switching between multiple charts for daily references, you can keep an intraday chart open and still watch how price behaves around these important daily pivots.
Weekly Pivots for Broader Context
In addition to daily levels, it also shows the previous week’s Open and Close. This feature helps traders who want to maintain a broader perspective and gauge the market’s weekly trend or bias while remaining on lower timeframes.
Automatic Line & Label Management
Each new trading day triggers a “session change” in the code, prompting the script to delete old lines and labels for daily levels. This keeps your chart from getting cluttered with outdated lines.
Weekly lines and labels follow the same approach, ensuring only the most recent weekly levels are highlighted.
Real-Time Extension
Lines are continuously extended to the right as new bars print, ensuring that you always have an updated view of your key price levels without any manual adjustments.
On the last bar, the script shifts to a time-based coordinate system for seamless visual extension.
Minimal Recalculation
This script uses security() calls in a carefully optimized way to reduce unnecessary recalculations and avoid repaint issues. By referencing open , close , etc., the lines remain fixed once the daily (or weekly) candle is confirmed.
Flexible Usage
You can apply this script to any symbol on TradingView. It’s especially beneficial for Forex pairs, indices, futures, or cryptocurrencies where you want to track significant past levels.
If you’re a scalper looking for areas of likely reaction, or a swing trader watching weekly opens for trend confirmation, these levels can be integral to your technical approach.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Click the “Add to Favorite Indicators” or “Apply to Chart” button once published.
Enable or Disable Previous Day Bars: Use the script’s input to toggle the display of previous day’s High, Low, Open, and Close lines if you only want weekly lines (or vice versa).
Customize Visuals: You can change line colors, width, and label text in the “Style” or “Inputs” tab. Adjust them to fit your preferred color scheme.
Interpretation:
Daily levels typically carry relevance for the next trading session. They can be used for intraday support/resistance, breakout checks, or gap fills.
Weekly levels help identify more prominent zones for bigger moves or for understanding overall sentiment from the prior week.
Conceptual Underpinnings
Support/Resistance: Past opens/closes often act as support or resistance because they represent important points of reference (where trading started or ended during a prior session).
Market Psychology: Many traders watch daily or weekly closes to gauge momentum and bias, which can become self-fulfilling as more participants join around those levels.
Improved Situational Awareness: By having these levels automatically drawn and updated, traders avoid missing critical areas where price may pivot.
This script is intentionally open-source to help traders study and personalize it.
By merging daily and weekly pivot concepts in a single script, it provides a convenient and efficient tool—rather than a simple mashup, it unifies two timeframes that are crucial in short-term and medium-term trading decisions.
Remember that these levels alone do not constitute a complete trading system; they are best used as part of a broader strategy involving risk management, additional technical signals, and market context.
TTZConcept GOLD XAUUSD Lot CalculatorThe Gold Lot Size Calculator for XAU/USD on TradingView is a powerful and user-friendly tool designed by TTZ Concept to help traders calculate the optimal lot size for their Gold trades based on their account size, risk tolerance, and the price movement of Gold (XAU/USD). Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this tool simplifies position sizing, ensuring that your trades align with your risk management strategy.
Key Features:
Accurate Lot Size Calculation: Calculates the optimal lot size for XAU/USD trades based on your specified account balance and the percentage of risk per trade.
Flexible Risk Management**: Input your desired risk percentage (e.g., 1%, 2%) to ensure that you are not risking more than you're comfortable with on any single trade.
Customizable Inputs: Enter your account balance, risk percentage, stop loss (in pips), and leverage to get an accurate lot size recommendation.
Real-Time Data The tool uses real-time Gold price data to calculate the position size, ensuring that your risk management is always up to date with market conditions.
-Simple Interface: With easy-to-use sliders and input fields, you can quickly adjust your parameters and get the required lot size in seconds.
No Complicated Calculations Automatically factors in the pip value and contract specifications for XAU/USD, eliminating the need for manual calculations.
How It Works:
1. Input your trading account balance: The tool calculates based on your total equity.
2. Set your risk percentage: Choose how much of your account you want to risk on a single trade.
3. Define your stop loss in pips: Specify the distance of your stop loss from the entry point.
4. Get your recommended lot size: Based on your inputs, the tool will calculate the ideal lot size for your trade.
Why Use This Tool?
Precise Risk Management: Take control of your trading risk by ensuring that each trade is positioned according to your risk tolerance.
Save Time: No need for manual calculations — let the calculator handle the complex math and focus on your strategy.
Adapt to Changing Market Conditions: As the price of Gold (XAU/USD) fluctuates, your lot size adapts to ensure consistent risk management across different market conditions.
Perfect for:
- Gold traders (XAU/USD)
- Beginners seeking to understand position sizing and risk management
- Experienced traders looking to streamline their trading process
- Anyone who trades Gold futures, CFDs, or spot Gold in their trading account
Midnight Open RangeMidnight Open Range with Breakouts & Targets
This indicator helps traders identify and analyze the Midnight Open Range (12:00 AM to 12:30 AM ET) for potential trading opportunities. Key features include:
1. Automatic detection and plotting of the Midnight Open Range
2. Display of multiple historical ranges (customizable)
3. Breakout signals for range violations
4. Multiple target levels based on the range size
5. Customizable colors and styles for easy visual analysis
Perfect for traders looking to capitalize on overnight price action and early morning trends. Ideal for forex, futures, and 24-hour markets.
Note: For best results, use on lower timeframes (5-minute or less) with 24-hour chart data.
Implied and Historical VolatilityAbstract
This TradingView indicator visualizes implied volatility (IV) derived from the VIX index and historical volatility (HV) computed from past price data of the S&P 500 (or any selected asset). It enables users to compare market participants' forward-looking volatility expectations (via VIX) with realized past volatility (via historical returns). Such comparisons are pivotal in identifying risk sentiment, volatility regimes, and potential mispricing in derivatives.
Functionality
Implied Volatility (IV):
The implied volatility is extracted from the VIX index, often referred to as the "fear gauge." The VIX represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward volatility, derived from options pricing on the S&P 500. Higher values of VIX indicate increased uncertainty and risk aversion (Whaley, 2000).
Historical Volatility (HV):
The historical volatility is calculated using the standard deviation of logarithmic returns over a user-defined period (default: 20 trading days). The result is annualized using a scaling factor (default: 252 trading days). Historical volatility represents the asset's past price fluctuation intensity, often used as a benchmark for realized risk (Hull, 2018).
Dynamic Background Visualization:
A dynamic background is used to highlight the relationship between IV and HV:
Yellow background: Implied volatility exceeds historical volatility, signaling elevated market expectations relative to past realized risk.
Blue background: Historical volatility exceeds implied volatility, suggesting the market might be underestimating future uncertainty.
Use Cases
Options Pricing and Trading:
The disparity between IV and HV provides insights into whether options are over- or underpriced. For example, when IV is significantly higher than HV, options traders might consider selling volatility-based derivatives to capitalize on elevated premiums (Natenberg, 1994).
Market Sentiment Analysis:
Implied volatility is often used as a proxy for market sentiment. Comparing IV to HV can help identify whether the market is overly optimistic or pessimistic about future risks.
Risk Management:
Institutional and retail investors alike use volatility measures to adjust portfolio risk exposure. Periods of high implied or historical volatility might necessitate rebalancing strategies to mitigate potential drawdowns (Campbell et al., 2001).
Volatility Trading Strategies:
Traders employing volatility arbitrage can benefit from understanding the IV/HV relationship. Strategies such as "long gamma" positions (buying options when IV < HV) or "short gamma" (selling options when IV > HV) are directly informed by these metrics.
Scientific Basis
The indicator leverages established financial principles:
Implied Volatility: Derived from the Black-Scholes-Merton model, implied volatility reflects the market's aggregate expectation of future price fluctuations (Black & Scholes, 1973).
Historical Volatility: Computed as the realized standard deviation of asset returns, historical volatility measures the intensity of past price movements, forming the basis for risk quantification (Jorion, 2007).
Behavioral Implications: IV often deviates from HV due to behavioral biases such as risk aversion and herding, creating opportunities for arbitrage (Baker & Wurgler, 2007).
Practical Considerations
Input Flexibility: Users can modify the length of the HV calculation and the annualization factor to suit specific markets or instruments.
Market Selection: The default ticker for implied volatility is the VIX (CBOE:VIX), but other volatility indices can be substituted for assets outside the S&P 500.
Data Frequency: This indicator is most effective on daily charts, as VIX data typically updates at a daily frequency.
Limitations
Implied volatility reflects the market's consensus but does not guarantee future accuracy, as it is subject to rapid adjustments based on news or events.
Historical volatility assumes a stationary distribution of returns, which might not hold during structural breaks or crises (Engle, 1982).
References
Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities." Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637-654.
Whaley, R. E. (2000). "The Investor Fear Gauge." The Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
Hull, J. C. (2018). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. Pearson Education.
Natenberg, S. (1994). Option Volatility and Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques. McGraw-Hill.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (2001). The Econometrics of Financial Markets. Princeton University Press.
Jorion, P. (2007). Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk. McGraw-Hill.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2007). "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2), 129-151.
Binance Perp Premium/DiscountThis TradingView Pine Script indicator calculates and displays the premium or discount percentage between a cryptocurrency's spot price and its corresponding perpetual futures (perp) price on Binance. It automatically detects whether the current chart symbol represents a spot or perp market by checking for the ".P" suffix. The script then retrieves the closing prices for both the spot and perp symbols using the request.security function. If valid data is available for both markets, it computes the premium or discount as a percentage and visualizes this difference as a histogram below the main chart. Green bars indicate a premium (perp price above spot), while red bars signify a discount (perp price below spot). The indicator includes error handling to display 'n/a' when data for the required symbols is unavailable, ensuring robustness across various chart applications.
Volatility IndicatorThe volatility indicator presented here is based on multiple volatility indices that reflect the market’s expectation of future price fluctuations across different asset classes, including equities, commodities, and currencies. These indices serve as valuable tools for traders and analysts seeking to anticipate potential market movements, as volatility is a key factor influencing asset prices and market dynamics (Bollerslev, 1986).
Volatility, defined as the magnitude of price changes, is often regarded as a measure of market uncertainty or risk. Financial markets exhibit periods of heightened volatility that may precede significant price movements, whether upward or downward (Christoffersen, 1998). The indicator presented in this script tracks several key volatility indices, including the VIX (S&P 500), GVZ (Gold), OVX (Crude Oil), and others, to help identify periods of increased uncertainty that could signal potential market turning points.
Volatility Indices and Their Relevance
Volatility indices like the VIX are considered “fear gauges” as they reflect the market’s expectation of future volatility derived from the pricing of options. A rising VIX typically signals increasing investor uncertainty and fear, which often precedes market corrections or significant price movements. In contrast, a falling VIX may suggest complacency or confidence in continued market stability (Whaley, 2000).
The other volatility indices incorporated in the indicator script, such as the GVZ (Gold Volatility Index) and OVX (Oil Volatility Index), capture the market’s perception of volatility in specific asset classes. For instance, GVZ reflects market expectations for volatility in the gold market, which can be influenced by factors such as geopolitical instability, inflation expectations, and changes in investor sentiment toward safe-haven assets. Similarly, OVX tracks the implied volatility of crude oil options, which is a crucial factor for predicting price movements in energy markets, often driven by geopolitical events, OPEC decisions, and supply-demand imbalances (Pindyck, 2004).
Using the Indicator to Identify Market Movements
The volatility indicator alerts traders when specific volatility indices exceed a defined threshold, which may signal a change in market sentiment or an upcoming price movement. These thresholds, set by the user, are typically based on historical levels of volatility that have preceded significant market changes. When a volatility index exceeds this threshold, it suggests that market participants expect greater uncertainty, which often correlates with increased price volatility and the possibility of a trend reversal.
For example, if the VIX exceeds a pre-determined level (e.g., 30), it could indicate that investors are anticipating heightened volatility in the equity markets, potentially signaling a downturn or correction in the broader market. On the other hand, if the OVX rises significantly, it could point to an upcoming sharp movement in crude oil prices, driven by changing market expectations about supply, demand, or geopolitical risks (Geman, 2005).
Practical Application
To effectively use this volatility indicator in market analysis, traders should monitor the alert signals generated when any of the volatility indices surpass their thresholds. This can be used to identify periods of market uncertainty or potential market turning points across different sectors, including equities, commodities, and currencies. The indicator can help traders prepare for increased price movements, adjust their risk management strategies, or even take advantage of anticipated price swings through options trading or volatility-based strategies (Black & Scholes, 1973).
Traders may also use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to validate the potential for significant market movements. For example, if the VIX exceeds its threshold and the market is simultaneously approaching a critical technical support or resistance level, the trader might consider entering a position that capitalizes on the anticipated price breakout or reversal.
Conclusion
This volatility indicator is a robust tool for identifying market conditions that are conducive to significant price movements. By tracking the behavior of key volatility indices, traders can gain insights into the market’s expectations of future price fluctuations, enabling them to make more informed decisions regarding market entries and exits. Understanding and monitoring volatility can be particularly valuable during times of heightened uncertainty, as changes in volatility often precede substantial shifts in market direction (French et al., 1987).
References
• Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327.
• Christoffersen, P. F. (1998). Evaluating Interval Forecasts. International Economic Review, 39(4), 841-862.
• Whaley, R. E. (2000). Derivatives on Market Volatility. Journal of Derivatives, 7(4), 71-82.
• Pindyck, R. S. (2004). Volatility and the Pricing of Commodity Derivatives. Journal of Futures Markets, 24(11), 973-987.
• Geman, H. (2005). Commodities and Commodity Derivatives: Modeling and Pricing for Agriculturals, Metals and Energy. John Wiley & Sons.
• Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637-654.
• French, K. R., Schwert, G. W., & Stambaugh, R. F. (1987). Expected Stock Returns and Volatility. Journal of Financial Economics, 19(1), 3-29.
Soul Button Scalping (1 min chart) V 1.0Indicator Description
- P Signal: The foundational buy signal. It should be confirmed by observing RSI divergence on the 1-minute chart.
- Green, Orange, and Blue Signals: Three buy signals generated through the combination of multiple oscillators. These signals should also be cross-referenced with the RSI on the 1-minute chart.
- Big White and Big Yellow Signals: These represent strong buy signals, triggered in extreme oversold conditions.
- BEST BUY Signal: The most reliable and powerful buy signal available in this indicator.
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Red Sell Signal: A straightforward sell signal indicating potential overbought conditions.
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Usage Guidance
This scalping indicator is specifically designed for use on the 1-minute chart, incorporating data from the 5-minute chart for added context. It is most effective when used in conjunction with:
• VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), already included in the indicator.
• RSI on the 1-minute chart, which should be opened as a separate indicator.
• Trendlines, structure breakouts, and price action analysis to confirm signals.
Intended for Crypto Scalping:
The indicator is optimized for scalping cryptocurrency markets.
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Future Enhancements:
• Integration of price action and candlestick patterns.
• A refined version tailored for trading futures contracts, specifically ES and MES in the stock market.
UM VIX status table and Roll Yield with EMA
Description :
This oscillator indicator gives you a quick snapshot of VIX, VIX futures prices, and the related VIX roll yield at a glance. When the roll yield is greater than 0, The front-month VX1 future contract is less than the next-month VX2 contract. This is called Contango and is typical for the majority of the time. If the roll yield falls below zero. This is considered backwardation where the front-month VX1 contract is higher than the value of the next-month VX2 contract. Contango is most common. When Backwardation occurs, there is usually high volatility present.
Features :
The red and green fill indicate the current roll yield with the gray line being zero.
An Exponential moving average is overlaid on the roll yield. It is red when trending down and green when trending up. If you right-click the indicator, you can set alerts for roll yield EMA color transitions green to red or red to green.
Suggested uses:
The author suggests a one hour chart using the 55 period EMA with a 60 minute setting in the indicator. This gives you a visual idea of whether the roll yield is rising or falling. The roll yield will often change directions at market turning points. For example if the roll yield EMA changes from red to green, this indicates a rising roll yield and volatility is subsiding. This could be considered bullish. If the roll yield begins falling, this indicates volatility is rising. This may be negative for stocks and indexes.
I look for short volatility positions (SVIX) when the roll yield is rising. I look for long volatility positions (VXX, UVXY, UVIX) when the roll yield begins falling. The indicator can be added to any chart. I suggest using the VX1, SPY, VIX, or other major stock index.
Set the time frame to your trading style. The default is 60 minutes. Note, the timeframe of the indicator does NOT utilize the current chart timeframe, it must be set to the desired timeframe. I manually input text on the chart indicator for understanding periods of Long and Short Volatility.
Settings and Defaults
The EMA is set to 55 by default and the table location is set to the lower right. The default time frame is 60 minutes. These features are all user configurable.
Other considerations
Sometimes the Tradingview data when a VX contract expires and another contract begins, may not transition cleanly and appear as a break on the chart. Tradingview is working on this as stated from my last request. This VX contract from one expiring contract to the next can be fixed on the price chart manually: ( Chart settings, Symbol, check the "Adjust for contract changes" box)
Observations
Pull up a one-hour chart of VX1 or SPY. Add this indicator. roll it back in time to see how the market and volatility reacts when the EMA changes from red to green and green to red. Adjust the EMA to your trading style and time frame. Use this for added confirmation of your long and short volatility trades with the Volatility ETFs SVIX, SVXY, VXX, UVXY, UVIX. or use it for long/short indexes such as SPY.
S&P 500 E-Mini TrackerThis script generates a reference price for the S&P 500 ETF - SPY based on the current price of the ES contract, which is an E-Mini Futures contract representing the S&P 500 index. The indicator plots this reference price on the chart, providing a unique view of the relationship between these two popular markets.
Advantages:
Identifies divergence between the ES and SPY prices, indicating potential trading opportunities or shifts in market sentiment.
Confirms trends by showing the correlation between the ES and SPY prices.
Eliminates the need for multiple charts, allowing traders to focus on a single screen and make more informed decisions.
Customizable Parameters:
Color Scheme: Choose from various color options to customize the appearance of the indicator.
Line Style: Select from different line styles to change the visual representation of the reference price.
Divisor: Set the dividing factor to adjust the ratio at which the reference price is calculated. (Default value: 10). It is recommended to keep it at 10 for SPY.
To use it with other Stocks/ ETFs, use simple ratio math to calculate the divisor and you can customize the indicator to scale accordingly.
By using this indicator, traders can gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between the E-Mini and SPY markets, making it easier to identify trading opportunities and confirm trends.
Temporary Help Services Jobs - Trend Allocation StrategyThis strategy is designed to capitalize on the economic trends represented by the Temporary Help Services (TEMPHELPS) index, which is published by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Temporary Help Services Jobs are often regarded as a leading indicator of labor market conditions, as changes in temporary employment levels frequently precede broader employment trends.
Methodology:
Data Source: The strategy uses the FRED dataset TEMPHELPS for monthly data on temporary help services.
Trend Definition:
Uptrend: When the current month's value is greater than the previous month's value.
Downtrend: When the current month's value is less than the previous month's value.
Entry Condition: A long position is opened when an uptrend is detected, provided no position is currently held.
Exit Condition: The long position is closed when a downtrend is detected.
Scientific Basis:
The TEMPHELPS index serves as a leading economic indicator, as noted in studies analyzing labor market cyclicality (e.g., Katz & Krueger, 1999). Temporary employment is often considered a proxy for broader economic conditions, particularly in predicting recessions or recoveries. Incorporating this index into trading strategies allows for aligning trades with potential macroeconomic shifts, as suggested by research on employment trends and market performance (Autor, 2001; Valetta & Bengali, 2013).
Usage:
This strategy is best suited for long-term investors or macroeconomic trend followers who wish to leverage labor market signals for equity or futures trading. It operates exclusively on end-of-month data, ensuring minimal transaction costs and noise.
Brazil Real Interest RateEste script foi criado para calcular e exibir a Taxa de Juros Real, permitindo compreender o impacto da inflação sobre os juros nominais do mercado. Ele utiliza dois indicadores principais: a taxa de juros nominal, que reflete os juros antes de considerar a inflação, e a taxa de inflação anual, que mede o aumento dos preços em um ano.
O script funciona da seguinte forma: ele obtém diariamente os dados da taxa de juros nominal (representada pelo contrato futuro DI1) e da inflação anual (indicada pelo BRIRYY). Esses valores são processados para calcular a taxa de juros real, utilizando a fórmula de Fisher, que ajusta os juros nominais ao descontar o efeito da inflação. O resultado é uma medida mais precisa do retorno ou custo real, considerando o poder de compra.
Depois de realizar o cálculo, o script exibe a Taxa de Juros Real diretamente no gráfico, representada por uma linha verde. Isso permite acompanhar, de forma clara e visual, como a inflação e os juros afetam o cenário econômico ao longo do tempo.
This script was created to calculate and display the Real Interest Rate, allowing us to understand the impact of inflation on nominal market interest rates. It uses two main indicators: the nominal interest rate, which reflects interest rates before considering inflation, and the annual inflation rate, which measures the increase in prices over a year.
The script works as follows: it obtains daily data on the nominal interest rate (represented by the DI1 futures contract) and annual inflation (indicated by BRIRYY). These values are processed to calculate the real interest rate, using the Fisher formula, which adjusts nominal interest rates by discounting the effect of inflation. The result is a more accurate measure of real return or cost, considering purchasing power.
After performing the calculation, the script displays the Real Interest Rate directly on the graph, represented by a green line. This allows you to monitor, clearly and visually, how inflation and interest rates affect the economic scenario over time.
Volume-MACD-RSI Integrated StrategyDescription:
This script integrates three well-known technical analysis tools—Volume, MACD, and RSI—into a single signal meant to help traders identify potential turning points under strong market conditions.
Concept Overview:
Volume Filter: We compare the current bar’s volume to a 20-period volume average and require it to exceed a specified multiplier. This ensures that signals occur only during periods of heightened market participation. The logic is that moves on low volume are less reliable, so we wait for increased activity to confirm potential trend changes.
MACD Momentum Shift:
We incorporate MACD crossovers to determine when momentum is changing direction. MACD is a popular momentum indicator that identifies shifts in trend by comparing short-term and long-term EMAs. A bullish crossover (MACD line crossing above the signal line) may suggest upward momentum is building, while a bearish crossunder can indicate momentum turning downward.
RSI Market Condition Check:
RSI helps us identify overbought or oversold conditions. By requiring that RSI be oversold on buy signals and overbought on sell signals, we attempt to pinpoint entries where price could be at an extreme. The idea is to position entries or exits at junctures where price may be due for a reversal.
How the Script Works Together:
Volume Confirmation: No signals fire unless there’s strong volume. This reduces false positives.
MACD Momentum Check: Once volume confirms market interest, MACD crossover events serve as a trigger to initiate consideration of a trade signal.
RSI Condition: Finally, RSI determines whether the market is at an extreme. This final layer helps ensure we only act on signals that have both momentum shift and a price at an extreme level, potentially increasing the reliability of signals.
Intended Use:
This script can help highlight potential reversal points or trend shifts during active market periods.
Traders can use these signals as a starting point for deeper analysis. For instance, a “BUY” arrow may prompt a trader to investigate the market context, confirm with other methods, or look for patterns that further support a long entry.
The script is best used on markets with reliable volume data, such as stocks or futures, and can be experimented with across different timeframes. Adjusting the RSI thresholds, MACD parameters, and volume multiplier can help tailor it to specific instruments or trading styles.
Chart Setup:
When adding this script to your chart, it should be the only indicator present, so you can clearly see the red “BUY” arrows and green “SELL” arrows at the candle closes where signals occur.
The chart should be kept clean and uncluttered for clarity. No other indicators are necessary since the logic is already integrated into this single script.
R-based Strategy Template [Daveatt]Have you ever wondered how to properly track your trading performance based on risk rather than just profits?
This template solves that problem by implementing R-multiple tracking directly in TradingView's strategy tester.
This script is a tool that you must update with your own trading entry logic.
Quick notes
Before we dive in, I want to be clear: this is a template focused on R-multiple calculation and visualization.
I'm using a basic RSI strategy with dummy values just to demonstrate how the R tracking works. The actual trading signals aren't important here - you should replace them with your own strategy logic.
R multiple logic
Let's talk about what R-multiple means in practice.
Think of R as your initial risk per trade.
For instance, if you have a $10,000 account and you're risking 1% per trade, your 1R would be $100.
A trade that makes twice your risk would be +2R ($200), while hitting your stop loss would be -1R (-$100).
This way of measuring makes it much easier to evaluate your strategy's performance regardless of account size.
Whenever the SL is hit, we lose -1R
Proof showing the strategy tester whenever the SL is hit: i.imgur.com
The magic happens in how we calculate position sizes.
The script automatically determines the right position size to risk exactly your specified percentage on each trade.
This is done through a simple but powerful calculation:
risk_amount = (strategy.equity * (risk_per_trade_percent / 100))
sl_distance = math.abs(entry_price - sl_price)
position_size = risk_amount / (sl_distance * syminfo.pointvalue)
Limitations with lower timeframe gaps
This ensures that if your stop loss gets hit, you'll lose exactly the amount you intended to risk. No more, no less.
Well, could be more or less actually ... let's assume you're trading futures on a 15-minute chart but in the 1-minute chart there is a gap ... then your 15 minute SL won't get filled and you'll likely to not lose exactly -1R
This is annoying but it can't be fixed - and that's how trading works anyway.
Features
The template gives you flexibility in how you set your stop losses. You can use fixed points, ATR-based stops, percentage-based stops, or even tick-based stops.
Regardless of which method you choose, the position sizing will automatically adjust to maintain your desired risk per trade.
To help you track performance, I've added a comprehensive statistics table in the top right corner of your chart.
It shows you everything you need to know about your strategy's performance in terms of R-multiples: how many R you've won or lost, your win rate, average R per trade, and even your longest winning and losing streaks.
Happy trading!
And remember, measuring your performance in R-multiples is one of the most classical ways to evaluate and improve your trading strategies.
Daveatt
ATR SL Band (No-Repaint, Multi-Timeframe) + Risk per ContractThis indicator draws a non-repainting band for ATR-based Stoploss placement.
If used on Futures, it shows the distance + risk from the previous candle close, as well as from the current price.
The risk value is automatically calculated for the following symbols:
(Micro) ES (S&P 500)
(Micro) NQ (NASDAQ 100)
(Micro) YM (Dow Jones Industrial Average / US30)
The timeframe can be set individually. It is not recommended to use a lower timeframe than the chart timeframe as values differ from the actual timeframe's ATR SL in this case.
Price Action Dynamics Oscillator (PADO)1 minute ago
Price Action Dynamics Oscillator (PADO)
Indicator Overview and Technical Deep Dive
Concept and Philosophy
The Price Action Dynamics Oscillator (PADO) is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to provide multi-dimensional insights into market behavior by decomposing price action into manipulation and distribution metrics. The indicator goes beyond traditional momentum or trend indicators by introducing a nuanced approach to understanding market microstructure.
Key Architectural Components
1. Timeframe and Depth Selection
Pivot Depth Options:
Short Term (Length: 12 periods)
Intermediate Term (Length: 20 periods)
Long Term (Length: 100 periods)
This flexible configuration allows traders to adapt the indicator's sensitivity to different market conditions and trading styles.
2. Core Calculation Methodology
Manipulation Metrics
Calculates manipulation differently for green (bullish) and red (bearish) candles
Normalized against Average True Range (ATR) for consistent comparison across different volatility environments
Green Candle Manipulation: (Open - Low) / ATR
Red Candle Manipulation: (High - Open) / ATR
Distribution Metrics
Measures the directional strength and potential momentum shift
Green Candle Distribution: (Close - Open)
Red Candle Distribution: (Open - Close)
3. Normalization and Smoothing
Uses Simple Moving Average (SMA) for smoothing
Dynamic length calculation based on price range distance
Ensures minimum SMA length of 2 to prevent calculation errors
Unique Features
Visualization Toggles
Traders can selectively display:
Manipulation data
Distribution data
Long-term reference lines
Valuation metrics
Strategy signals
Valuation Comparative Analysis
Compares current manipulation and distribution metrics to 1000-bar long-term averages
Color-coded visualization for quick interpretation
Blue: Manipulation above average
Purple: Manipulation below average
Orange: Distribution above average
Yellow: Distribution below average
Strategy Deployment
Generates a composite strategy signal by comparing manipulation and distribution valuations
Uses Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for smoother signal generation
Incorporates volatility bands for context-aware signal interpretation
Quadrant Analysis
Classifies market state into four quadrants based on manipulation and distribution valuations:
Q1: Low Manipulation, High Distribution
Q2: High Manipulation, High Distribution
Q3: Low Manipulation, Low Distribution
Q4: High Manipulation, Low Distribution
Each quadrant is color-coded to provide visual market state representation.
Warning Signals
Manipulation Warning: When strategy crosses below low volatility band
Distribution Warning: When strategy crosses above high volatility band
Visual Indicators
Bar coloration based on strategy momentum
Multiple color states representing different market dynamics
Recommended Use Cases
Intraday and swing trading
Multi-timeframe market analysis
Volatility and momentum assessment
Trend reversal and continuation identification
Potential Limitations
Complexity might require significant trader education
Performance can vary across different market conditions
Requires careful parameter optimization
Recommended Settings
Best used on liquid markets with clear price action
Ideal for:
Forex
Futures
Large-cap stocks
Cryptocurrency pairs
Customization and Optimization
Traders should:
Backtest across multiple assets
Adjust timeframe settings
Calibrate visualization toggles
Use in conjunction with other technical indicators
Licensing
Mozilla Public License 2.0
Open-source and modification-friendly
Conclusion
The PADO represents an advanced approach to market analysis, blending traditional technical analysis with innovative metrics for deeper market understanding.
PADO Quadrant Color Analysis: Deep Dive
Quadrant Color Scheme Breakdown
Quadrant 1: Lime Green Background (RGB: 0, 255, 21, 90)
Condition: val_manip < 1 AND val_distr > 1
Market Interpretation:
Low Manipulation Pressure
High Distribution Activity
Potential Scenario:
Smart money might be gradually distributing positions
Trading Implications:
Caution for current trend followers
Potential preparation for trend change
Increased probability of consolidation or reversal
Quadrant 2: Bright Blue Background (RGB: 0, 191, 255, 90)
Condition: val_manip > 1 AND val_distr > 1
Market Interpretation:
High Manipulation Pressure
High Distribution Activity
Potential Scenario:
Strong institutional involvement
Potential market transition phase
Significant volume and momentum
Trading Implications:
High volatility expected
Increased market uncertainty
Potential for sharp price movements
Requires careful risk management
Quadrant 3: Light Gray Background (RGB: 252, 252, 252, 90)
Condition: val_manip < 1 AND val_distr < 1
Market Interpretation:
Low Manipulation Pressure
Low Distribution Activity
Potential Scenario:
Market consolidation
Reduced institutional activity
Potential low-volatility period
Trading Implications:
Range-bound market
Reduced trading opportunities
Potential setup for future breakout
Ideal for mean reversion strategies
Quadrant 4: Light Yellow Background (Hex: #f6ff0019)
Condition: val_manip > 1 AND val_distr < 1
Market Interpretation:
High Manipulation Pressure
Low Distribution Activity
Potential Scenario:
Accumulation of positions
Trading Implications:
Increased probability of directional move soon
Color Psychology and Technical Significance
Color Selection Rationale
Lime Green (Q1): Represents potential growth and transition
Bright Blue (Q2): Signifies high energy and institutional activity
Light Gray (Q3): Indicates neutrality and consolidation
Transparent Green (Q4): Suggests emerging trend potential
Advanced Interpretation Guidelines
Color Transition Analysis
Observe how the quadrant colors change
Rapid color shifts might indicate:
Market regime changes
Shifts in institutional sentiment
Potential trend acceleration or reversal
Technical Implementation Notes
Calculation Snippet
pinescriptCopyq1 = (val_manip < 1) and (val_distr > 1)
q2 = (val_manip > 1) and (val_distr > 1)
q3 = (val_manip < 1) and (val_distr < 1)
q4 = (val_manip > 1) and (val_distr < 1)
bgcolor(q1 ? color.rgb(0, 255, 21, 90):
q2 ? color.rgb(0, 191, 255, 90):
q3 ? color.rgb(252, 252, 252, 90):
q4 ? #f6ff0019:na)
Alpha Channel (Transparency)
90 and 0x19 values ensure background color doesn't overwhelm chart
Allows underlying price action to remain visible
Subtle visual cue without significant chart obstruction
Practical Trading Recommendations
Never Trade Solely on Quadrant Colors
Use as a complementary analysis tool
Combine with other technical and fundamental indicators
Timeframe Considerations
Validate quadrant signals across multiple timeframes
Longer timeframes provide more reliable signals
Risk Management
Set appropriate stop-loss levels
Use position sizing strategies
Be prepared for false signals
Recommended Workflow
Identify current quadrant
Assess overall market context
Confirm with other indicators
Execute with proper risk management
Roman's Ranges(GOLD FUTURES)This indicator provides the user with Gold Future's previous day’s range and how long it took for the price to reach its first extreme for the day. This information is used to predict the most probable daily direction trend and estimate how long you should expect to hold your winning trade. The distance and time are based on the market open candle (6:30 am). It measures from the retracement wick of the candle to the last 5m close of the day’s first extreme low or high point. It also includes that distance in pts.
Previous market data does not guarantee future results, however, you can leverage the knowledge of the previous day’s ranges to set reasonable take profit levels and when your target is not met automatically, you know how long it took on the previous day to reach the day’s first low/high. If you are nearing that amount of time and your trade is not as profitable as expected, it is easier to get out with less profits using this estimated time rather than hoping the market closes in your favor.
Markets go through cycles and it can be difficult to trade them all if you have a fault expectation how how far the price is expected to move. Price tends to deviate slowly from the average ranges slightly day after day, but you can expect an average range to prevail throughout the week +/- 3 points. It can be very easy to be stuck on 5-point take-profit levels that you don’t pay attention to the average range being twice or three times that distance. The same can be said for the opposite scenario with having higher profit expectations than reasonably possible.
This indicator and my statements are not financial advice. This is meant for educational purposes only.
