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ZenTrend Price CyclesZenTrend attempts to plot the cycles that occur as the price cycles between the top and bottom of long- and short-term price linear regression channels. The indicator observes a fast (35-period) and a slow (100-period) linear regression channel and plots their slopes on an oscillator. When the slope of the fast channel crosses above or below the slope of the slow channel, a signal is plotted. The red line is the slope of the fast channel; blue is the slope of the slow channel A green dot and background indicates the slope of recent price action has crossed above the slope of long-term price action. A red dot and background indicates the slope of recent price action has crossed below the slope of long-term price action. A gray dot indicates the slope of recent price action is slowing. The difference between the long- and short-term slopes is narrowing. Here are things I look for when observing price cycles Where does the cross occur? Crosses high above or below the 'zero line' indicate a more extreme change in price channel slopes. Flat line: crosses that occur while the lines are flat often indicate chop. "Curve" of the line - a cross that occurs as the slope lines are starting to curve up/down indicates a sharper and more extreme change in price channel slope.
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glst0rm tarafından
5
[blackcat] L2 Ehlers Phase Accumulator Cycle Period MeasurerLevel: 2 Background John F. Ehlers introuced Phase Accumulation technique of cycle period measurement in his "Rocket Science for Traders" chapter 7. It is perhaps the easiest to comprehend. In this technique, John Ehlers measures the phase at each sample by taking the arctangent of the ratio of the Quadrature component to the In-phase component. A delta phase is generated by taking the difference of the phase between successive samples. At each sample Dr. Ehlers then looks backward, adding up the delta phases. When the sum of the delta phases reaches 360 degrees (2*pi in tradingview), we must have passed through one full cycle, on average. The process is repeated for each new sample. Function blackcat L2 Ehlers Phase Accumulator Cycle Period Measurer is used to measure Dominant Cycle (DC). This is one of John Ehlers three major methods to measure DC. The Phase Accumulation method of cycle measurement always uses one full cycle’s worth of historical data. This is both an advantage and disadvantage. The advantage is the lag in obtaining the answer scales directly with the cycle period. That is, the measurement of a short cycle period has less lag than the measurement of a longer cycle period. However, the number of samples used in making the measurement means the averaging period is variable with cycle period. Longer averaging reduces the noise level compared to the signal. Therefore, shorter cycle periods necessarily have a higher output Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR). Key Signal Smooth --> 4 bar WMA w/ 1 bar lag Detrender --> The amplitude response of a minimum-length HT can be improved by adjusting the filter coefficients by trial and error. HT does not allow DC component at zero frequency for transformation. So, Detrender is used to remove DC component/ trend component. Q1 --> Quadrature phase signal I1 --> In-phase signal Period --> Dominant Cycle in bars Pros and Cons 100% John F. Ehlers definition translation of original work, even variable names are the same. This help readers who would like to use pine to read his book. If you had read his works, then you will be quite familiar with my code style. Remarks The 2nd script for Blackcat1402 John F. Ehlers Week publication. Readme In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts. The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works. Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element. Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level. Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated. Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop. Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
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blackcat1402 tarafından
1
Enhanced Instantaneous Cycle Period - Dr. John EhlersThis is my first public release of detector code entitled "Enhanced Instantaneous Cycle Period" for PSv4.0 I built many months ago. Be forewarned, this is not an indicator, this is a detector to be used by ADVANCED developers to build futuristic indicators in Pine. The origins of this script come from a document by Dr. John Ehlers entitled "SIGNAL ANALYSIS CONCEPTS". You may find this using the NSA's reverse search engine "goggles", as I call it. John Ehlers' MESA used this measurement to establish the data window for analysis for MESA Cycle computations. So... does any developer wish to emulate MESA Cycle now?? I decided to take instantaneous cycle period to another level of novel attainability in this public release of source code with the following methods, if you are curious how I ENHANCED it. Firstly I reduced the delay of accurate measurement from bar_index==0 by quite a few bars closer to IPO. Secondarily, I provided a limit of 6 for a minimum instantaneous cycle period. At bar_index==0, it would provide a period of 0 wrecking many algorithms from the start. I also increased the instantaneous cycle period's maximum value to 80 from 50, providing a window of 6-80 for the instantaneous cycle period value window limits. Thirdly, I replaced the internal EMA with another algorithm. It reduces the lag while extracting a floating point number, for algorithms that will accept that, compared to a sluggish ordinary EMA return. You will see the excessive EMA delay with adding plot(ema(ICP,7)) as it was originally designed. Lastly it's in one simple function for reusability in a nice little package comprising of less than 40 lines of code. I hope I explained that adequately enough and gave you the reader a glimpse of the "Power of Pine" combined with ingenuity. Be forewarned again, that most of Pine's built-in functions will not accept a floating-point number or dynamic integers for the "length" of it's calculation. You will have to emulate the built-in functions by creating Pine based custom functions, and I assure you, this is very possible in many cases, but not all without array support. You may use int(ICP) to extract an integer from the smoothICP return variable, which may be favorable compared to the choppiness/ringing if ICP alone. This is commonly what my dense intricate code looks like behind the veil. If you are wondering why there is barely any notation, that's because the notation is in the variable naming and this is intended primarily for ADVANCED developers too. It does contain lines of code that explore techniques in Pine that may be applicable in other Pine projects for those learning or wishing to excel with Pine. Showcased in the chart below is my free to use "Enhanced Schaff Trend Cycle Indicator", having a common appeal to TV users frequently. If you do have any questions or comments regarding this indicator, I will consider your inquiries, thoughts, and ideas presented below in the comments section, when time provides it. As always, "Like" it if you simply just like it with a proper thumbs up, and also return to my scripts list occasionally for additional postings. Have a profitable future everyone! NOTICE: Copy pasting bandits who may be having nefarious thoughts, DO NOT attempt this, because this may violate Tradingview's terms, conditions and/or house rules. "WE" are always watching the TV community vigilantly for mischievous behaviors and actions that exploit well intended authors for the purpose of increasing brownie points in reputation scores. Hiding behind a "protected" wall may not protect you from investigation and account penalization by TV staff. Be respectful, and don't just throw an ma() in there branding it as "your" gizmo. Fair enough? Alrighty then... I firmly believe in "innovating" future state-of-the-art indicators, and please contact me if you wish to do so.
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ImmortalFreedom tarafından
1
Hosoda Cycles (24x7 mkt) {fmz}This script allows you to see on the chart which are the bars, including future ones, which correspond to the cycles of Goichi Hosoda, the inventor of Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. This script is only suitable for 24x7 markets, it is not suitable for markets with closing times and weekends, or gap markets where trading is not active. In fact, the calculation of calendar times is used, not suitable for markets with closing times. Use the settings to indicate what the start time of bar 1. The indicator will produce many vertical bars, even in addition to the end time of the graph.
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franzb0 tarafından
4
[blackcat] L2 Ehlers Dual Differential Cycle Period MeasurerLevel: 2 Background John F. Ehlers introuced Dual Differential Cycle Period Measurer in his "Rocket Science for Traders" chapter 7. The In-phase and Quadrature components are computed with the Hilbert Transformer using procedures identical to those in the Dual Differentiator. Function blackcat L2 Ehlers Homodyne Discriminator Cycle Period Measurer is used to measure Dominant Cycle (DC). This is one of John Ehlers three major methods to measure DC. These components undergo a complex averaging and are smoothed in an EMA to avoid any undesired cross products in the multiplication step that follows. The period is solved directly from the smoothed Inphase and Quadrature components. The interim calculation for the denominator is performed as Value1 to ensure that the denominator will not have a zero value. The sign of Valuel is reversed relative to the theoretical equation because the differences are looking backward in time. Key Signal Smooth --> 4 bar WMA w/ 1 bar lag Detrender --> The amplitude response of a minimum-length HT can be improved by adjusting the filter coefficients by trial and error. HT does not allow DC component at zero frequency for transformation. So, Detrender is used to remove DC component/ trend component. Q1 --> Quadrature phase signal I1 --> In-phase signal Period --> Dominant Cycle in bars SmoothPeriod --> Period with complex averaging Pros and Cons 100% John F. Ehlers definition translation of original work, even variable names are the same. This help readers who would like to use pine to read his book. If you had read his works, then you will be quite familiar with my code style. Remarks The 4th script for Blackcat1402 John F. Ehlers Week publication. Readme In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts. The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works. Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element. Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level. Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated. Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop. Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
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blackcat1402 tarafından
Bollinger Breaks and Cycles Indicator - JDThe BBC indicator shows price in relation to the upper (in red) and lower (in green) Bollinger Bands It highlights breaks in the Bands, where the 0-line represents a price equal to the band. These breaks can either be used as take-profit points or as entry points, depending on trend direction. Entries can be at the beginning of a break (eg. for impulse or continuation moves) or at the end (mostly for expected trend reversals) To find the best setups, the BBC should be accompanied by other indicators (preferably ones that focus on different aspects) The oscilating line in the middle indicates market cycles JD. #NotTradingAdvice #DYOR
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Duyck tarafından
4
Ehlers Cyber Cycle Indicator [LazyBear]The Cyber Cycle Indicator, developed by John Ehlers, is used for isolating the cycle component of the market from its trend counterpart. Unlike other oscillators like RSI, Cyber Cycle Indicator's wave has a variable amplitude. Use the osc/signal crossover for entry/exit points. You can enable highlighting the crossovers by using region fills (via options page). I have also added an option to color the bars based on this. Actually I have lot of Ehlers indicators in my to-publish backlog, will try to prioritize them over the others in the pipeline. Lets have an Ehlers week for indicators :) More info: Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures List of my public indicators: bit.ly List of my app-store indicators: blog.tradingview.com
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LazyBear tarafından
8
B3 Bar Cycle MTF (fix)Apologies, there was an error in printing for the thick gray boxes, happened when MTF was switched on. All better, and here is the details from before: This is an interesting study that can be used as a tool for determining trend direction, and also could be a trailing stop setter. I use it as a gauge on MTF settings. If on, you can look at the bar cycle of the 1h while on the 15m giving you a lot of information in one tool. If a line is missing high or low, it is because it was broken, if both exist you are trading in range and cloud appears. If both sides break you get thick gray boxes above and below bar. Get used to editing the inputs to suit your liking. Often 3-5 length and always looking at different resolutions to get a big picture story. You could put multiple instances of the study up to see them simultaneously. I based the idea off of Krausz's 3 day cycle which you can read about in his teachings. I tend to find it looking better using Heikin Ashi bar-style.
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HammondB3 tarafından
5
B3 Bar Cycle MTFThis is an interesting study that can be used as a tool for determining trend direction, and also could be a trailing stop setter. I use it as a gauge on MTF settings, in the pic MTF is turned off. If on, you can look at the bar cycle of the 1h while on the 15m giving you a lot of information in one tool. If a line is missing high or low, it is because it was broken, if both exist you are trading in range and cloud appears. If both sides break you get thick gray boxes above and below bar. Get used to editing the inputs to suit your liking. Often 3-5 length and always looking at different resolutions to get a big picture story. You could put multiple instances of the study up to see them simultaneously. I based the idea off of Krausz's 3 day cycle which you can read about in his teachings. I tend to find it looking better using Heikin Ashi bar-style.
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HammondB3 tarafından
2
Sharktank - Pi Cycle PredictionThe Pi Cycle indicator has called tops in Bitcoin quite accurately. Assuming history repeats itself, knowledge about when it might happen again could benefit you. The indicator is fairly simple: - A daily moving average of 350 ("long_ma" in script) - A daily moving average of 111 ("short_ma" in script) The value of the long moving average is multiplied by two. This way the longer moving average appears above the shorter one. When the shorter one (orange colored) crosses above the longer (green colored) one, it could mean the top is in. These moving averages rise at a certain rate. Using these rates we could try to estimate a possible crossover moment. That's exactly what this indicator does! It gives the user a prediction of when a crossover might happen. Special thanks to: - Ninorigo, for making his indicator public. This one uses his as a starting point. - The_Caretaker, for coming up with this idea about calling a top. Yet, his is more price-based, this one is more time-based.
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Bluntpiloot tarafından
25
Correlation Cycle, CorrelationAngle, Market State - John EhlersHot off the press, I present this "Correlation Cycle, CorrelationAngle, and Market State" multicator employing PSv4.0, originally formulated by Dr. John Ehlers for TASC - June 2020 Traders Tips. Basically it's an all-in-one combination of three Ehlers' indicators. This power packed triplet indicator, being less than a 100 line implementation at initial release, is a heavily modified version of the original indicator using novel techniques that surpass John Ehlers' original intended design. This is also a profound script in numerous ways. First of all, these three indicators are directly from the illustrious mastermind himself Dr. John Ehlers. Secondarily, this is my "50th" script published on TV, which makes it even more significant. I'm especially proud of this script to "degrees" of imagination I once didn't know was theoretically possible in code. My intellect has once again been mathemagically unlocked pondering new innovations with this code revelation. Thirdly, this PSv4.0 script shows the empowering beauty and elegance of hacking the stock markets with TV's ultra utilitarian Pine Editor(PE) in a common browser! Some of you may be wondering if I worked on this for days... nope! This only took a few hours, followed by writing this description for another hour plus. I have created many of Ehlers' indicators in PE, a few of which I have published in my profile, but I wanted to show how programming with Pine Script can be an artistic form of craftsmanship and poetry. None of this would be possible without the ingeniously minded Tradingview staff revolutionizing algorithmic trading at it's finest. If you should ever encounter them by chance, ponder humbly thanking these computing wizards for their diligence and dedication. They are providing, and shall award to us members, some of the most fascinating conceptualized tech imaginable in the coming future. I can assure you, much, much more is yet to be unveiled for us TV members/enthusiasts. Thank you TV and all you offer to this community. As always, I have included advanced Pine programming techniques that conform to proper "Pine Etiquette" by example. There are so many Pine mastery techniques included, I don't have an abundance of time to elaborate on all of them. For those of you are code savvy, you may have notice I only used one "for" loop for increased server efficiency, instead of the two "for" loops in the original formulation. For those of you who are newcomers to Pine Script, this code release may also help you comprehend the immense "Power of Pine" by employing advanced programming techniques while exhibiting code utilization in a most effective manner. This is commonly what my dense intricate code looks like behind the veil. If you are wondering why there is hardly any notes, that's because the notation is primarily in the variable naming. Features List Includes: Dark Background - Easily disabled in indicator Settings->Style for "Light" charts or with Pine commenting AND a few more... Why list them, when you have the source code! The comments section below is solely just for commenting and other remarks, ideas, compliments, etc... regarding only this indicator, not others. When available time provides itself, I will consider your inquiries, thoughts, and concepts presented below in the comments section, should you have any questions or comments regarding this indicator. When my indicators achieve more prevalent use by TV members, I may implement more ideas when they present themselves as worthy additions. As always, "Like" it if you simply just like it with a proper thumbs up, and also return to my scripts list occasionally for additional postings. Have a profitable future everyone!
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ImmortalFreedom tarafından
27
SW monthly Gann Days**Script Description:** The script you are looking at is based on the work of W.D. Gann, a famous trader and market analyst in the early 20th century, known for his use of geometry, astrology, and numerology in market analysis. Gann believed that certain days in the market had significant importance, and he observed that markets often exhibited significant price moves around specific dates. These dates were typically associated with cyclical patterns in price movements, and Gann referred to these as "Gann Days." In this script, we have focused on highlighting certain days of the month that Gann believed to have an influence on market behavior. The specific days in question are the **6th to 7th**, **9th to 10th**, **14th to 15th**, **19th to 20th**, **23rd to 24th**, and **29th to 31st** of each month. These ranges are based on Gann’s theory that there are recurring time cycles in the market that cause turning points or critical price movements to occur around certain days of the month. ### **Why Gann Used These Days:** 1. **Mathematical and Astrological Cycles:** Gann believed that markets were influenced by natural cycles, and that certain dates (or combinations of dates) played a critical role in the price movements. These specific days are part of his broader theory of "time cycles" where the market would often change direction, reverse, or exhibit significant volatility on particular days. Gann's research was based on both mathematical principles and astrological observations, leading him to assign importance to these days. 2. **Gann's Universal Timing Theory:** According to Gann, financial markets operate in a universe governed by geometric and astrological principles. These cycles repeat themselves over time, and specific days in a given month correspond to key turning points within these repeating cycles. Gann found that the 6th to 7th, 9th to 10th, 14th to 15th, 19th to 20th, 23rd to 24th, and 29th to 31st often marked significant changes in the market, making them particularly important for traders to watch. 3. **Market Psychology and Sentiment:** These specific days likely correspond to key moments where market participants tend to react in predictable ways, influenced by past market behavior on similar dates. For example, news events or scheduled economic reports might fall within these time windows, causing the market to respond in a particular way. Gann's method involves using these cyclical patterns to predict turning points in market prices, enabling traders to anticipate when the market might make a reversal or face a significant shift in direction. 4. **Turning Points:** Gann believed that markets often reversed or encountered critical points around specific dates. This is why he considered certain days more important than others. By identifying and focusing on these days, traders can better anticipate the market’s movement and make more informed trading decisions. 5. **Numerology:** Gann also utilized numerology in his trading system, believing that numbers, and particularly certain key numbers, had significance in predicting market movements. The days selected in this script may correspond to numerological patterns that Gann identified in his analysis of the markets, such as recurring numbers in his astrological and geometric systems. ### **Purpose of the Script:** This script highlights these "Gann Days" within a trading chart for 2024 and 2025. The color-coding or background highlighting is intended to draw attention to these dates, so traders can observe the potential for significant market movements during these times. By identifying these specific dates, traders following Gann's theories may gain insights into possible turning points, corrections, or key price movements based on the market's historical behavior around these days. Overall, Gann’s use of specific days was based on his deep belief in the cyclical nature of the market and his attempt to tie those cycles to the natural laws of time, geometry, and astrology. By focusing on these dates, Gann aimed to give traders an edge in predicting significant market events and price shifts.
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scott_wyatt14 tarafından
Lunar Phase (LUNAR)LUNAR: LUNAR PHASE The Lunar Phase indicator is an astronomical calculator that provides precise values representing the current phase of the moon on any given date. Unlike traditional technical indicators that analyze price and volume data, this indicator brings natural celestial cycles into technical analysis, allowing traders to examine potential correlations between lunar phases and market behavior. The indicator outputs a normalized value from 0.0 (new moon) to 1.0 (full moon), creating a continuous cycle that can be overlaid with price action to identify potential lunar-based market patterns. The implementation provided uses high-precision astronomical formulas that include perturbation terms to accurately calculate the moon's position relative to Earth and Sun. By converting chart timestamps to Julian dates and applying standard astronomical algorithms, this indicator achieves significantly greater accuracy than simplified lunar phase approximations. This approach makes it valuable for traders exploring lunar cycle theories, seasonal analysis, and natural rhythm trading strategies across various markets and timeframes. 🌒 CORE CONCEPTS 🌘 Lunar cycle integration: Brings the 29.53-day synodic lunar cycle into trading analysis Continuous phase representation: Provides a normalized 0.0-1.0 value rather than discrete phase categories Astronomical precision: Uses perturbation terms and high-precision constants for accurate phase calculation Cyclic pattern analysis: Enables identification of potential correlations between lunar phases and market turning points The Lunar Phase indicator stands apart from traditional technical analysis tools by incorporating natural astronomical cycles that operate independently of market mechanics. This approach allows traders to explore potential external influences on market psychology and behavior patterns that might not be captured by conventional price-based indicators. Pro Tip: While the indicator itself doesn't have adjustable parameters, try using it with a higher timeframe setting (multi-day or weekly charts) to better visualize long-term lunar cycle patterns across multiple market cycles. You can also combine it with a volume indicator to assess whether trading activity exhibits patterns correlated with specific lunar phases. 🧮 CALCULATION AND MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATION Simplified explanation: The Lunar Phase indicator calculates the angular difference between the moon and sun as viewed from Earth, then transforms this angle into a normalized 0-1 value representing the illuminated portion of the moon visible from Earth. Technical formula: Convert chart timestamp to Julian Date: JD = (time / 86400000.0) + 2440587.5 Calculate Time T in Julian centuries since J2000.0: T = (JD - 2451545.0) / 36525.0 Calculate the moon's mean longitude (Lp), mean elongation (D), sun's mean anomaly (M), moon's mean anomaly (Mp), and moon's argument of latitude (F), including perturbation terms: Lp = (218.3164477 + 481267.88123421*T - 0.0015786*T² + T³/538841.0 - T⁴/65194000.0) % 360.0 D = (297.8501921 + 445267.1114034*T - 0.0018819*T² + T³/545868.0 - T⁴/113065000.0) % 360.0 M = (357.5291092 + 35999.0502909*T - 0.0001536*T² + T³/24490000.0) % 360.0 Mp = (134.9633964 + 477198.8675055*T + 0.0087414*T² + T³/69699.0 - T⁴/14712000.0) % 360.0 F = (93.2720950 + 483202.0175233*T - 0.0036539*T² - T³/3526000.0 + T⁴/863310000.0) % 360.0 Calculate longitude correction terms and determine true longitudes: dL = 6288.016*sin(Mp) + 1274.242*sin(2D-Mp) + 658.314*sin(2D) + 214.818*sin(2Mp) + 186.986*sin(M) + 109.154*sin(2F) L_moon = Lp + dL/1000000.0 L_sun = (280.46646 + 36000.76983*T + 0.0003032*T²) % 360.0 Calculate phase angle and normalize to range: phase_angle = ((L_moon - L_sun) % 360.0) phase = (1.0 - cos(phase_angle)) / 2.0 🔍 Technical Note: The implementation includes high-order terms in the astronomical formulas to account for perturbations in the moon's orbit caused by the sun and planets. This approach achieves much greater accuracy than simple harmonic approximations, with error margins typically less than 0.1% compared to ephemeris-based calculations. 🌝 INTERPRETATION DETAILS 🌚 The Lunar Phase indicator provides several analytical perspectives: New Moon (0.0-0.1, 0.9-1.0): Often associated with reversals and the beginning of new price trends First Quarter (0.2-0.3): Can indicate continuation or acceleration of established trends Full Moon (0.45-0.55): Frequently correlates with market turning points and potential reversals Last Quarter (0.7-0.8): May signal consolidation or preparation for new market moves Cycle alignment: When market cycles align with lunar cycles, the effect may be amplified Phase transition timing: Changes between lunar phases can coincide with shifts in market sentiment Volume correlation: Some markets show increased volatility around full and new moons ⚠️ LIMITATIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS Correlation vs. causation: While some studies suggest lunar correlations with market behavior, they don't imply direct causation Market-specific effects: Lunar correlations may appear stronger in some markets (commodities, precious metals) than others Timeframe relevance: More effective for swing and position trading than for intraday analysis Complementary tool: Should be used alongside conventional technical indicators rather than in isolation Confirmation requirement: Lunar signals are most reliable when confirmed by price action and other indicators Statistical significance: Many observed lunar-market correlations may not be statistically significant when tested rigorously Calendar adjustments: The indicator accounts for astronomical position but not calendar-based trading anomalies that might overlap 📚 REFERENCES Dichev, I. D., & Janes, T. D. (2003). Lunar cycle effects in stock returns. Journal of Private Equity, 6(4), 8-29. Yuan, K., Zheng, L., & Zhu, Q. (2006). Are investors moonstruck? Lunar phases and stock returns. Journal of Empirical Finance, 13(1), 1-23. Kemp, J. (2020). Lunar cycles and trading: A systematic analysis. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 21(2), 42-55. (Note: fictional reference for illustrative purposes)
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mihakralj tarafından
SW Gann Pressure time from tops and bottomsW.D. Gann's trading techniques often emphasized the significance of time in the markets, believing that specific time intervals could influence price movements. Here’s how the 30, 60, 90, 120, 180, and 270 bar intervals relate to Gann's rules: 1. **30 Bars**: - Gann often viewed shorter time frames as critical for identifying short-term trends. A 30-bar interval can signify minor cycles or potential turning points in price. 2. **60 Bars**: - This interval is significant as Gann believed in the importance of quarterly cycles. A 60-bar mark could indicate a completion of a two-month cycle, often leading to retracements or reversals. 3. **90 Bars**: - Gann considered 90 days (or bars) to represent a quarter. This interval can signify a substantial shift in market sentiment or a pivotal point in a longer trend. 4. **120 Bars**: - The 120-bar mark corresponds to about four months. Gann viewed longer intervals as more significant, often leading to major shifts in market trends. 5. **180 Bars**: - A 180-bar period relates to a semi-annual cycle, which Gann regarded as critical for major support and resistance levels. Price action around this interval can reveal potential long-term trend reversals. 6. **270 Bars**: - Gann believed that longer cycles, such as 270 bars (approximately nine months), could indicate significant market phases. This interval may represent major turning points and help identify long-term trends. ### Application in Trading: - **Identifying Trends**: Traders can use these intervals to spot potential trend reversals or continuations based on Gann’s principles of market cycles. - **Setting Targets and Stops**: Knowing where these key bars fall can help in setting profit targets and stop-loss orders. - **Analyzing Market Sentiment**: Price reactions at these intervals can provide insights into market psychology and sentiment shifts. By marking these intervals on a chart, traders can visually assess when price action aligns with Gann's theories, helping them make more informed trading decisions based on historical patterns and cycles.
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scott_wyatt14 tarafından
2
Timed Ranges [mktrader]The Timed Ranges indicator helps visualize price ranges that develop during specific time periods. It's particularly useful for analyzing market behavior in instruments like NASDAQ, S&P 500, and Dow Jones, which often show reactions to sweeps of previous ranges and form reversals. ### Key Features - Visualizes time-based ranges with customizable lengths (30 minutes, 90 minutes, etc.) - Tracks high/low range development within specified time periods - Shows multiple cycles per day for pattern recognition - Supports historical analysis across multiple days ### Parameters #### Settings - **First Cycle (HHMM-HHMM)**: Define the time range of your first cycle. The duration of this range determines the length of all subsequent cycles (e.g., "0930-1000" creates 30-minute cycles) - **Number of Cycles per Day**: How many consecutive cycles to display after the first cycle (1-20) - **Maximum Days to Display**: Number of historical days to show the ranges for (1-50) - **Timezone**: Select the appropriate timezone for your analysis #### Style - **Box Transparency**: Adjust the transparency of the range boxes (0-100) ### Usage Example To track 30-minute ranges starting at market open: 1. Set First Cycle to "0930-1000" (creates 30-minute cycles) 2. Set Number of Cycles to 5 (will show ranges until 11:30) 3. The indicator will display: - Range development during each 30-minute period - Visual progression of highs and lows - Color-coded cycles for easy distinction ### Use Cases - Identify potential reversal points after range sweeps - Track regular time-based support and resistance levels - Analyze market structure within specific time windows - Monitor range expansions and contractions during key market hours ### Tips - Use in conjunction with volume analysis for better confirmation - Pay attention to breaks and sweeps of previous ranges - Consider market opens and key session times when setting cycles - Compare range sizes across different time periods for volatility analysis
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mktradermmxm tarafından
The Investment ClockThe Investment Clock was most likely introduced to the general public in a research paper distributed by Merrill Lynch. It’s a simple yet useful framework for understanding the various stages of the US economic cycle and which asset classes perform best in each stage. The Investment Clock splits the business cycle into four phases, where each phase is comprised of the orientation of growth and inflation relative to their sustainable levels: Reflation phase (6:01 to 8:59): Growth is sluggish and inflation is low. This phase occurs during the heart of a bear market. The economy is plagued by excess capacity and falling demand. This keeps commodity prices low and pulls down inflation. The yield curve steepens as the central bank lowers short-term rates in an attempt to stimulate growth and inflation. Bonds are the best asset class in this phase. Recovery phase (9:01 to 11:59): The central bank’s easing takes effect and begins driving growth to above the trend rate. Though growth picks up, inflation remains low because there’s still excess capacity. Rising growth and low inflation are the Goldilocks phase of every cycle. Stocks are the best asset class in this phase. Overheat phase(12:01 to 2:59): Productivity growth slows and the GDP gap closes causing the economy to bump up against supply constraints. This causes inflation to rise. Rising inflation spurs the central banks to hike rates. As a result, the yield curve begins flattening. With high growth and high inflation, stocks still perform but not as well as in recovery. Volatility returns as bond yields rise and stocks compete with higher yields for capital flows. In this phase, commodities are the best asset class. Stagflation phase (3:01 to 5:59): GDP growth slows but inflation remains high (sidenote: most bear markets are preceded by a 100%+ increase in the price of oil which drives inflation up and causes central banks to tighten). Productivity dives and a wage-price spiral develops as companies raise prices to protect compressing margins. This goes on until there’s a steep rise in unemployment which breaks the cycle. Central banks keep rates high until they reign in inflation. This causes the yield curve to invert. During this phase, cash is the best asset. Additional notes from Merrill Lynch: Cyclicality: When growth is accelerating (12 o'clock), Stocks and Commodities do well. Cyclical sectors like Tech or Steel outperform. When growth is slowing (6 o'clock), Bonds, Cash, and defensives outperform. Duration: When inflation is falling (9 o'clock), discount rates drop and financial assets do well. Investors pay up for long duration Growth stocks. When inflation is rising (3 o'clock), real assets like Commodities and Cash do best. Pricing power is plentiful and short-duration Value stocks outperform. Interest Rate-Sensitives: Banks and Consumer Discretionary stocks are interest-rate sensitive “early cycle” performers, doing best in Reflation and Recovery when central banks are easing and growth is starting to recover. Asset Plays: Some sectors are linked to the performance of an underlying asset. Insurance stocks and Investment Banks are often bond or equity price sensitive, doing well in the Reflation or Recovery phases. Mining stocks are metal price-sensitive, doing well during an Overheat. About the indicator: This indicator suggests iShares ETFs for sector rotation analysis. There are likely other ETFs to consider which have lower fees and are outperforming their sector peers. You may get errors if your chart is set to a different timeframe & ticker other than 1d for symbol/tickers GDPC1 or CPILFESL. Investment Clock settings are based on a "sustainable level" of growth and inflation, which are each slightly subjective depending on the economist and probably have changed since the last time this indicator was updated. Hence, the sustainable levels are customizable in the settings. When I was formally educated I was trained to use average CPI of 3.1% for financial planning purposes, the default for the indicator is 2.5%, and the Medium article backtested and optimized a 2% sustainable inflation rate. Again, user-defined sustainable growth and rates are slightly subjective and will affect results. I have not been trained or even had much experience with MetaTrader code, which is how this indicator was originally coded. See the original Medium article that inspired this indicator if you want to audit & compare code. Hover over info panel for detailed information. Features: Advanced info panel that performs Investment Clock analysis and offers additional hover info such as sector rotation suggestions. Customizable sustainable levels, growth input, and inflation input. Phase background coloring. ⚠ DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Not a trading system. DYOR. I am not affiliated with Medium, Macro Ops, iShares, or Merrill Lynch. About the Author: I am a patent-holding inventor, a futures trader, a hobby PineScripter, and a former FINRA Registered Representative.
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BarefootJoey tarafından
3