Bitcoin Cycle [BigBeluga]Bitcoin Cycle Indicator is designed exclusively for analyzing Bitcoin’s long-term market cycles, working only on the 1D BTC chart . This indicator provides an in-depth view of potential cycle tops and bottoms, assisting traders in identifying key phases in Bitcoin’s market evolution.
🔵 Key Features:
Heatmap Cycle Phases: The indicator colors each cycle from blue to red , reflecting Bitcoin’s market cycle progression. Cooler colors (blue/green) signal potential accumulation or early growth phases, while warmer colors (yellow/red) indicate maturation and potential top regions.
All-Time High (ATH) and Future ATH Projection: Tracks the current ATH in real-time, while applying a linear regression model to project a possible new ATH in the future. This projection aims to provide insights into the next major cycle peak for long-term strategy.
Dashboard Overview: Displays the current ATH, potential new ATH, and the percentage distance between them. This helps users assess how far the current price is from the projected target.
Top & Bottom Cycle Signals: Red down arrows mark significant price peaks, potentially indicating cycle tops. Up arrows, numbered sequentially (inside each cycle), denote possible bottom signals for strategic DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) entries.
1D BTC Chart Only: Built solely for the 1D BTC timeframe. Switching to any other timeframe or asset will trigger a warning message: " BTC 1D Only ." This ensures accuracy in analyzing Bitcoin’s unique cyclical behavior.
🔵 When to Use:
Ideal for long-term Bitcoin investors and cycle analysts, the Bitcoin Cycle Indicator empowers users to:
Identify key accumulation and distribution phases.
Track Bitcoin’s cyclical highs and lows with visual heatmap cues.
Estimate future potential highs based on historical patterns.
Strategize long-term positions by monitoring cycle tops and possible accumulation zones.
By visualizing Bitcoin’s cycles with color-coded clarity and top/bottom markers, this indicator is an essential tool for any BTC analyst aiming to navigate market cycles effectively.
Komut dosyalarını "Cycle" için ara
Kondratieff Wave & Benner Business CyclesKondratieff Wave Theory
Description: The Kondratieff Wave, also known as K-Waves or Long Waves, is an economic theory that posits long-term cycles of approximately 40-60 years in capitalist economies. These cycles consist of four phases: Spring (expansion and recovery), Summer (prosperity and peak), Autumn (stagnation and recession), and Winter (depression and restructuring). The theory suggests that technological innovations and major economic shifts drive these waves, influencing periods of growth and decline over decades.
Creator Bio: Nikolai Dmitriyevich Kondratieff (1892–1938) was a Russian economist born in the Kostroma Governorate. He studied at the University of St. Petersburg and became a prominent figure in Soviet economics. Kondratieff developed his long-wave theory in the 1920s while analyzing historical economic data, publishing works like The Major Economic Cycles (1925). His ideas clashed with Soviet ideology, leading to his arrest in 1930 during Stalin’s purges. He was executed in 1938, but his work gained recognition posthumously, influencing modern economic cycle analysis.
Benner Cycle Theory
Description: The Benner Cycle, proposed by Samuel Benner, is a predictive model for business and commodity price cycles, focusing on shorter-term economic fluctuations. Benner identified recurring patterns in market peaks (highs), panics (crashes), and buying opportunities (lows), with cycles averaging 8-10 years for highs, 7-8 years for panics, and 8-9 years for buys. His theory, based on historical observations of U.S. markets, aimed to guide farmers and investors by forecasting periods of prosperity and distress.
Creator Bio: Samuel T. Benner (1830s–unknown) was an American farmer and businessman from Ohio, not a formally trained economist. After losing his fortune in the Panic of 1873, Benner turned to studying economic patterns. In 1875, he self-published Benner’s Prophecies of Future Ups and Downs in Prices, a book that charted cycles in pig iron prices and other commodities. His work gained a cult following among traders and remains studied for its empirical approach, despite Benner’s lack of academic credentials and limited biographical records.
Business Cycle Indicators (Normalized)This script aggregates and normalizes several key economic indicators to provide a comprehensive view of the business cycle and overall market conditions. By combining these indicators into a single, normalized average line, the script helps identify overarching trends and shifts in the economy, aiding in more informed trading and investment decisions.
Included Indicators:
Inverted National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI):
Symbol: FRED:NFCI
Measures financial stress in the markets. An inverted NFCI aligns higher values with positive financial conditions.
Inverted Net Percentage of Banks Tightening Lending Standards (DRTSCIS):
Symbol: FRED:DRTSCIS
Reflects changes in bank lending practices. Inverting this indicator means higher values indicate easing lending standards, which is generally positive for economic growth.
HYG Close Price (iShares High Yield Corporate Bond ETF):
Symbol: AMEX:HYG
Represents the performance of high-yield corporate bonds, providing insight into credit market conditions.
Inverted High-Yield Credit Spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2):
Symbol: FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2
Measures the spread between high-yield bonds and risk-free securities. A narrower (inverted) spread indicates better market conditions.
Manufacturing/Non-Manufacturing New Orders Ratio:
Symbols: ECONOMICS:USMNO (Manufacturing), ECONOMICS:USNMNO (Non-Manufacturing)
Compares manufacturing to non-manufacturing new orders to gauge shifts in economic activity.
US PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index):
Symbol: ECONOMICS:USBCOI
An indicator of the economic health of the manufacturing sector.
10-Year Inflation Breakeven (T10YIE):
Symbol: FRED:T10YIE
Represents market expectations of inflation over the next ten years.
Inverted 10-Year Real Yield (DFII10):
Symbol: FRED:DFII10
Reflects the real yield on 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). Inverted to align higher values with positive economic sentiment.
Copper/Gold Ratio:
Symbols: CAPITALCOM:COPPER (Copper), TVC:GOLD (Gold)
Compares the prices of copper and gold, often used as a barometer for global economic activity.
Features:
Normalized Indicators: Each indicator is normalized to a 0-100 scale to facilitate direct comparison, regardless of their original units or scales.
Normalized Average Line: Calculates and plots the average of all available normalized indicators, providing a single line that represents the combined economic signals.
Customizable Display:
Show Individual Indicators: Option to display individual normalized indicators for detailed analysis.
Show Normalized Average Line: Option to display the normalized average line for a consolidated view.
Dynamic Labeling: Displays the latest value of the normalized average directly on the chart for quick reference.
How to Use:
Adding the Script:
Apply the script to a chart in TradingView using a timeframe that aligns with the frequency of the economic data (daily or weekly recommended).
Customization:
Show Normalized Average Line: Enabled by default to display the combined indicator.
Show Individual Indicators: Enable this option in the script settings to display all individual normalized indicators.
Interpretation:
Normalized Scale (0-100): Higher values generally indicate stronger economic conditions, while lower values may suggest weakening conditions.
Trend Analysis: Use the normalized average line to identify trends and potential turning points in the business cycle.
Notes:
Data Availability: Ensure you have access to all the data sources used in the script. Some data feeds may require specific TradingView subscriptions.
Indicator Limitations: Economic indicators are subject to revisions and may not reflect real-time market conditions.
No Investment Advice: This script is a tool for analysis and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
RoC Momentum CycleRoC Momentum Cycles (RMC) is derived from RoC (Rate of Change) indicator.
Motivation behind RMC: Addressing RoC’s Shortcomings
While the Rate of Change (RoC) indicator is a valuable tool for assessing momentum, it has notable limitations that traders must be aware of. One of the primary challenges with the traditional RoC is its sensitivity to price fluctuations, which can lead to false signals in volatile markets. This often results in premature entries or exits, impacting trading performance.
By smoothing out the RoC calculations and focusing on more consistent signal generation (using SMA on smoothed RoC), RMC offers a more consistent representation of price trends.
Momentum Cycles
RMC helps visualize momentum cycles in a much better way compared to RoC.
Long Momentum Cycle : A cross-over of smoothed RoC (blue line) above averaged signal (orange line) below zero marks start of a new potential upside cycle which ends when the blue line comes back to zero line from above.
Short Momentum Cycle : A cross-under of blue line below orange line above zero marks beginning of a potential downside cycle which ends when the blue line comes back to zero from below.
Rotation Cycles GraphRotation Cycles Graph Indicator
Overview:
The Rotation Cycles Graph Indicator is designed to visualize rotation cycles in financial markets. It aims to provide insights into shifts between various market phases, including growth, weakening, recovery, and contraction, allowing traders to potentially identify changing market dynamics.
Key Components:
Z-Score Calculation:
The indicator employs Z-score calculation to normalize data and identify deviations from the mean. This is instrumental in understanding the current state of the market relative to its historical behavior.
Ehlers Loop Visualization:
The Ehlers Loop function generates a visual representation of rotation cycles. It utilizes x and y coordinates on the chart to represent market conditions. These coordinates determine the position and categorization of the market state.
Table Visualization:
At the bottom of the chart, a table categorizes market conditions based on x and y values. This table serves as a reference to understand the current market phase.
Customizable Parameters:
The indicator offers users the flexibility to adjust several parameters:
Length and Smoothness: Users can set the length and smoothness parameters for the Z-score calculation, allowing for customization based on the market's volatility.
Graph Settings: Parameters such as bar scale, graph position, and the length of the tail for visualization can be fine-tuned to suit individual preferences.
Understanding Coordinates:
The x and y coordinates plotted on the chart represent specific market conditions. Interpretation of these coordinates aids in recognizing shifts in market behavior.
This screenshot shows visual representation behind logic of X and Y and their rotation cycles
Here is an example how rotation marker moved from growing to weakening and to the contraction quad, during a big market crush:
Note:
This indicator is a visualization tool and should be used in conjunction with other analytical methods for comprehensive market analysis.
Understanding the context and nuances of market dynamics is essential for accurate interpretation of the Rotation Cycles Graph Indicator.
Big thanks to @PineCodersTASC for their indicator, what I used as a reference
Volatility Cycle IndicatorThe Volatility Cycle Indicator is a non-directional trading tool designed to measure market volatility and cycles based on the relationship between standard deviation and Average True Range (ATR). In the Chart GBPAUD 1H time frame you can clearly see when volatility is low, market is ranging and when volatility is high market is expanding.
This innovative approach normalizes the standard deviation of closing prices by ATR, providing a dynamic perspective on volatility. By analyzing the interaction between Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels, it also detects "squeeze" conditions, highlighting periods of reduced volatility, often preceding explosive price movements.
The indicator further features visual aids, including colored zones, plotted volatility cycles, and highlighted horizontal levels to interpret market conditions effectively. Alerts for key events, such as volatility crossing significant thresholds or entering a squeeze, make it an ideal tool for proactive trading.
Key Features:
Volatility Measurement:
Tracks the Volatility Cycle, normalized using standard deviation and ATR.
Helps identify periods of high and low volatility in the market.
Volatility Zones:
Colored zones represent varying levels of market volatility:
Blue Zone: Low volatility (0.5–0.75).
Orange Zone: Transition phase (0.75–1.0).
Green Zone: Moderate volatility (1.0–1.5).
Fuchsia Zone: High volatility (1.5–2.0).
Red Zone: Extreme volatility (>2.0).
Squeeze Detection:
Identifies when Bollinger Bands contract within Keltner Channels, signaling a volatility squeeze.
Alerts are triggered for potential breakout opportunities.
Visual Enhancements:
Dynamic coloring of the Volatility Cycle for clarity on its momentum and direction.
Plots multiple horizontal levels for actionable insights into market conditions.
Alerts:
Sends alerts when the Volatility Cycle crosses significant levels (e.g., 0.75) or when a squeeze condition is detected.
Non-Directional Nature:
The indicator does not predict the market's direction but rather highlights periods of potential movement, making it suitable for both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.
How to Trade with This Indicator:
Volatility Squeeze Breakout:
When the indicator identifies a squeeze (volatility compression), prepare for a breakout in either direction.
Use additional directional indicators or chart patterns to determine the likely breakout direction.
Crossing Volatility Levels:
Pay attention to when the Volatility Cycle crosses the 0.75 level:
Crossing above 0.75 indicates increasing volatility—ideal for trend-following strategies.
Crossing below 0.75 signals decreasing volatility—consider mean-reversion strategies.
Volatility Zones:
Enter positions as volatility transitions through key zones:
Low volatility (Blue Zone): Watch for breakout setups.
Extreme volatility (Red Zone): Be cautious of overextended moves or reversals.
Alerts for Proactive Trading:
Configure alerts for squeeze conditions and level crossings to stay updated without constant monitoring.
Best Practices:
Pair the Volatility Cycle Indicator with directional indicators such as moving averages, trendlines, or momentum oscillators to improve trade accuracy.
Use on multiple timeframes to align entries with broader market trends.
Combine with risk management techniques, such as ATR-based stop losses, to handle volatility spikes effectively.
Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component (YavuzAkbay)The Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component indicator in Pine Script™ is an advanced tool that helps traders isolate and analyze the cyclical deviations in asset prices from their underlying trend. This script calculates the cycle component of the price series using the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter, allowing traders to observe and interpret the short-term price movements around the long-term trend. By providing two views—Percentage and Price Difference—this indicator gives flexibility in how these cyclical movements are visualized and interpreted.
What This Script Does
This indicator focuses exclusively on the cycle component of the price, which is the deviation of the current price from the long-term trend calculated by the HP filter. This deviation (or "cycle") is what traders analyze for mean-reversion opportunities and overbought/oversold conditions. The script allows users to see this deviation in two ways:
Percentage Difference: Shows the deviation as a percentage of the trend, giving a normalized view of the price’s distance from its trend component.
Price Difference: Shows the deviation in absolute price terms, reflecting how many price units the price is above or below the trend.
How It Works
Trend Component Calculation with the HP Filter: Using the HP filter, the script isolates the trend component of the price. The smoothness of this trend is controlled by the smoothness parameter (λ), which can be adjusted by the user. A higher λ value results in a smoother trend, while a lower λ value makes it more responsive to short-term changes.
Cycle Component Calculation: Percentage Deviation (cycle_pct) calculated as the difference between the current price and the trend, divided by the trend, and then multiplied by 100. This metric shows how far the price deviates from the trend in relative terms. Price Difference (cycle_price) simply the difference between the current price and the trend component, displaying the deviation in absolute price units.
Conditional Plotting: The user can choose to view the cycle component as either a percentage or a price difference by selecting the Display Mode input. The indicator will plot the chosen mode in a separate pane, helping traders focus on the preferred measure of deviation.
How to Use This Indicator
Identify Overbought/Oversold Conditions: When the cycle component deviates significantly from the zero line (shown with a dashed horizontal line), it may indicate overbought or oversold conditions. For instance, a high positive cycle component suggests the price may be overbought relative to the trend, while a large negative cycle suggests potential oversold conditions.
Mean-Reversion Strategy: In mean-reverting markets, traders can use this indicator to spot potential reversal points. For example, if the cycle component shows an extreme deviation from zero, it could signal that the price is likely to revert to the trend. This can help traders with entry and exit points when the asset is expected to correct back toward its trend.
Trend Strength and Cycle Analysis: By comparing the magnitude and duration of deviations, traders can gauge the strength of cycles and assess if a new trend might be forming. If the cycle component remains consistently positive or negative, it may indicate a persistent market bias, even as prices fluctuate around the trend.
Percentage vs. Price Difference Views: Use the Percentage Difference mode to standardize deviations and compare across assets or different timeframes. This is especially helpful when analyzing assets with varying price levels. Use the Price Difference mode when an absolute deviation (price units) is more intuitive for spotting overbought/oversold levels based on the asset’s actual price.
Using with Hodrick-Prescott: You can also use Hodrick-Prescott, another indicator that I have adapted to the Tradingview platform, to see the trend on the chart, and you can also use this indicator to see how far the price is deviating from the trend. This gives you a multifaceted perspective on your trades.
Practical Tips for Traders
Set the Smoothness Parameter (λ): Adjust the λ parameter to match your trading timeframe and asset characteristics. Lower values make the trend more sensitive, which might suit short-term trading, while higher values smooth out the trend for long-term analysis.
Cycle Component as Confirmation: Combine this indicator with other momentum or trend indicators for confirmation of overbought/oversold signals. For example, use the cycle component with RSI or MACD to validate the likelihood of mean-reversion.
Observe Divergences: Divergences between price movements and the cycle component can indicate potential reversals. If the price hits a new high, but the cycle component shows a smaller deviation than previous highs, it could signal a weakening trend.
Cycle finder v1.0Watch this Morgan Stanley'(MS)'s almost perfect cycle!
This is Cycle finder v1.0.
This helps you to find cycle of your favorite stocks, commodities, forex and anything in real time.
Originally developed from scratch for tradingview.
How to use(in setting panel):
- Set up to 5 different cycle term.
- Set go back bars. *1
- Shift bars as you want to make use of cycle.
*1: This indicator compares X bar to X - (go back amount) bar to find cycle. Default: 2
*2: It won’t work if there is not enough history.
*3: This may contains some bugs since I'm still working in progress to improve.
Please give it try for 1 week free.
Message me or reply to here to unlock your experience!
//—————— Japanese below
このモルガンスタンレー(MS)のほとんど完璧なサイクルをご覧ください。
Cycle finder v1.0. をご紹介します。
Tradingview のために１から開発された、このインディケーターは
あなたのお気に入りの株、先物、FXなどのサイクルをリアルタイムに見つけるお手伝いをします。
使い方 (設定パネル):
- ５個までサイクルの期間を設定できます。
- 参照のバー数を設定 *1
- サイクルは左右にシフトできます。
*1: このインディケーターは、サイクルを見つけるために
Xバーと、X - 参照バー数を比べます。 デフォルトでは２です。
*2: チャートの履歴が少ない場合には、動きません。
*3: ブラッシュアップ中のため、バグを含む可能性があります。
ぜひ１週間無料でお試しください。
プライベートメッセージか、ここにご返信ください。
LRI Momentum Cycles [AlgoAlpha]Discover the LRI Momentum Cycles indicator by AlgoAlpha, a cutting-edge tool designed to identify market momentum shifts using trend normalization and linear regression analysis. This advanced indicator helps traders detect bullish and bearish cycles with enhanced accuracy, making it ideal for swing traders and intraday enthusiasts alike.
Key Features :
🎨 Customizable Appearance : Set personalized colors for bullish and bearish trends to match your charting style.
🔧 Dynamic Trend Analysis : Tracks market momentum using a unique trend normalization algorithm.
📊 Linear Regression Insight : Calculates real-time trend direction using linear regression for better precision.
🔔 Alert Notifications : Receive alerts when the market switches from bearish to bullish or vice versa.
How to Use :
🛠 Add the Indicator : Favorite and apply the indicator to your TradingView chart. Adjust the lookback period, linear regression source, and regression length to fit your strategy.
📊 Market Analysis : Watch for color changes on the trend line. Green signals bullish momentum, while red indicates bearish cycles. Use these shifts to time entries and exits.
🔔 Set Alerts : Enable notifications for momentum shifts, ensuring you never miss critical market moves.
How It Works :
The LRI Momentum Cycles indicator calculates trend direction by applying linear regression on a user-defined price source over a specified period. It compares historical trend values, detecting bullish or bearish momentum through a dynamic scoring system. This score is normalized to ensure consistent readings, regardless of market conditions. The indicator visually represents trends using gradient-colored plots and fills to highlight changes in momentum. Alerts trigger when the momentum state changes, providing actionable trading signals.
Pi Cycle Bitcoin Top and Bottom (Daily)Pi Cycle Bitcoin Top and Bottom (Daily)
This indicator combines the renowned Pi Cycle Top and Pi Cycle Bottom indicators into one comprehensive tool designed to identify Bitcoin's market cycle tops and bottoms with precision.
Pi Cycle Top
The Pi Cycle Top indicator uses the 111-day moving average (111DMA) and a multiple of the 350-day moving average (350DMA x 2). Historically, this indicator has identified Bitcoin’s price cycle peaks with an accuracy of up to 3 days.
📈 When the 111DMA crosses above the 350DMA x 2, it signals a market cycle top.
Pi Cycle Bottom
The Pi Cycle Bottom indicator utilizes the 150-day exponential moving average (150EMA) and a multiple of the 471-day simple moving average (471SMA x 0.745). Over past cycles, this combination has effectively pinpointed Bitcoin’s market bottoms with the same level of accuracy.
📉 When the 150EMA crosses below the 471SMA x 0.745, it signals a market cycle bottom.
Parabola
As an additional feature, the indicator identifies moments when the 150EMA crosses back above the 471SMA x 0.745, suggesting a potential parabolic price movement.
Features
Precision: Both indicators have historically aligned with major market turning points.
Customizable settings: Adjust the short and long moving averages to fit your analysis needs.
Alerts: Real-time alerts can be enabled for identifying market tops and bottoms.
Clear visualization: Optional moving average lines and signal markers make it easy to track market trends.
Full credits to Philip Swift, PositiveCrypto, Tondy, BilzerianCandle.
Cycles 90mThe cycles are separated by vertical lines. The first cycle (Q1) is marked with a red line because it is a manipulative cycle where you should not open positions. Other cycles are green (Q2, Q3, Q4).
You can add the time of the current candle, its size and position on the chart in the settings
The time is highlighted in red in the timeframes 9:30-9:40, 10:00-10:10, 11:00-11:30, 15:30-15:40, 16:00-16:10, 17:00-17:10, 17:30-17:40, as price movements are most often expected during these timeframes.
The cycle lines automatically disappear if you open a timeframe above M15
Prime, E & PI Superiority CyclesIf you have been studying the markets long enough you will probably have noticed a certain pattern. Whichever trade entry/exit logic you try to use, it will go through phases of working really well and phases where it doesn't work at all. This is the markets way of ensuring anyone who sticks to an oversimplified, one-dimensional strategy will not profit. Superiority cycles are a method I devised by which code interrogates the nature of where price has been pivoting in relation to three key structures, the Prime Frame, E Frame and Pi Frame which are plotted as horizontal lines at these values:
* Use script on 1 minute chart ONLY
prime numbers up to 100: 2.0,3.0,5.0,7.0,11.0,13.0,17.0,19.0,23.0,27.0,29.0,31.0,37.0,41.0,43.0,47.0,53.0,59.0,61.0,67.0,71.0,73.0,79.0,83.0,89.0,97.0
multiples of e up to 100: 2.71828, 5.43656, 8.15484, 10.87312, 13.5914, 16.30968, 19.02796, 21.74624, 24.46452, 27.1828, 29.90108, 32.61936, 35.33764,
38.05592, 40.7742, 43.49248, 46.21076, 48.92904, 51.64732, 54.3656, 57.08388, 59.80216, 62.52044, 65.23872, 67.957, 70.67528, 73.39356000000001, 76.11184,
78.83012, 81.5484, 84.26668000000001, 86.98496, 89.70324, 92.42152, 95.13980000000001, 97.85808
multiples of pi up to 100: 3.14159, 6.28318, 9.424769999999999, 12.56636, 15.70795, 18.849539999999998, 21.99113, 25.13272, 28.27431, 31.4159, 34.55749,
37.699079999999995, 40.840669999999996, 43.98226, 47.12385, 50.26544, 53.40703, 56.54862, 59.69021, 62.8318, 65.97339, 69.11498, 72.25657, 75.39815999999999,
78.53975, 81.68133999999999, 84.82293, 87.96452, 91.10611, 94.2477, 97.38929
These values are iterated up the chart as seen below:
The script sums the distance of pivots to each of the respective frames (olive lines for Prime Frame, green lines for E Frame and maroon lines for Pi Frame) and determines which frame price has been reacting to in the least significant way. The worst performing frame is the next frame we target reversals at. The table in the bottom right will light up a color that corresponds to the frame color we should target.
Here is an example of Prime Superiority, where we prioritize trading from prime levels:
The table and the background color are both olive which means target prime levels. In an ideal world strong moves should start and finish where the white flags are placed i.e. in this case $17k and $19k. The reason these levels are 17,000 and 19,000 and not just 17 and 19 like in the original prime number sequence is due to the scaling code in the get_scale_func() which allows the code to operate on all assets.
This is E Superiority where we would hope to see major reversals at green lines:
This is Pi Superiority where we would hope to see major reversals at maroon lines:
And finally I would like to show you a market moving from one superiority to another. This can be observed by the bgcolor which tells us what the superiority was at every historical minute
Pi Frame Superiority into E Frame Superiority example:
Prime Frame Superiority into E Frame Superiority example:
Prime Frame Superiority into Pi Frame Superiority example:
By rotating the analysis we use to enter trades in this way we hope to hide our strategy better from market makers and artificial intelligence, and overall make greater profits.
Bitcoin Pi Cycle TrackerThe Bitcoin Pi Cycle Tracker is based on the widely recognized Pi Cycle Top Indicator, a concept used to identify potential market cycle tops in Bitcoin's price. This implementation combines the 111-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 350-day SMA (multiplied by 2) to detect key crossover points. When the 111-day SMA crosses above the 350-day SMA x2, it signals a potential market peak.
Key Features:
Plots the 111-day SMA (blue) and the 350-day SMA x2 (red) for clear visualization.
Displays visual markers and vertical lines at crossover points to highlight key moments.
Sends alerts for crossovers, helping traders stay ahead of market movements.
This tool is an implementation of the Pi Cycle concept originally popularized by Bitcoin market analysts. Use it to analyze historical price cycles and prepare for significant market events. Please note that while the Pi Cycle Indicator has been historically effective, it should be used alongside other tools for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Bitcoin Cycle Master [InvestorUnknown]The "Bitcoin Cycle Master" indicator is designed for in-depth, long-term analysis of Bitcoin's price cycles, using several key metrics to track market behavior and forecast potential price tops and bottoms. The indicator integrates multiple moving averages and on-chain metrics, offering a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s historical and projected performance. Each of its components plays a crucial role in identifying critical cycle points:
Top Cap: This is a multiple of the Average Cap, which is calculated as the cumulative sum of Bitcoin’s price (price has a longer history than Market Cap) divided by its age in days. Top Cap serves as an upper boundary for speculative price peaks, multiplied by a factor of 35.
Time_dif() =>
date = ta.valuewhen(bar_index == 0, time, 0)
sec_r = math.floor(date / 1000)
min_r = math.floor(sec_r / 60)
h_r = math.floor(min_r / 60)
d_r = math.floor(h_r / 24)
// Launch of BTC
start = timestamp(2009, 1, 3, 00, 00)
sec_rb = math.floor(start / 1000)
min_rb = math.floor(sec_rb / 60)
h_rb = math.floor(min_rb / 60)
d_rb = math.floor(h_rb / 24)
difference = d_r - d_rb
AverageCap() =>
ta.cum(btc_price) / (Time_dif() + btc_age)
TopCap() =>
// To calculate Top Cap, it is first necessary to calculate Average Cap, which is the cumulative sum of Market Cap divided by the age of the market in days.
// This creates a constant time-based moving average of market cap.
// Once Average cap is calculated, those values are multiplied by 35. The result is Top Cap.
// For AverageCap the BTC price was used instead of the MC because it has more history
// (the result should have minimal if any deviation since MC would have to be divided by Supply)
AverageCap() * 35
Delta Top: Defined as the difference between the Realized Cap and the Average Cap, this metric is further multiplied by a factor of 7. Delta Top provides a historically reliable signal for Bitcoin market cycle tops.
DeltaTop() =>
// Delta Cap = Realized Cap - Average Cap
// Average Cap is explained in the Top Cap section above.
// Once Delta Cap is calculated, its values over time are then multiplied by 7. The result is Delta Top.
(RealizedPrice() - AverageCap()) * 7
Terminal Price: Derived from Coin Days Destroyed, Terminal Price normalizes Bitcoin’s historical price behavior by its finite supply (21 million bitcoins), offering an adjusted price forecast as all bitcoins approach being mined. The original formula for Terminal Price didn’t produce expected results, hence the calculation was adjusted slightly.
CVDD() =>
// CVDD stands for Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed.
// Coin Days Destroyed is a term used for bitcoin to identify a value of sorts to UTXO’s (unspent transaction outputs). They can be thought of as coins moving between wallets.
(MCR - TV) / 21000000
TerminalPrice() =>
// Theory:
// Before Terminal price is calculated, it is first necessary to calculate Transferred Price.
// Transferred price takes the sum of > Coin Days Destroyed and divides it by the existing supply of bitcoin and the time it has been in circulation.
// The value of Transferred Price is then multiplied by 21. Remember that there can only ever be 21 million bitcoin mined.
// This creates a 'terminal' value as the supply is all mined, a kind of reverse supply adjustment.
// Instead of heavily weighting later behavior, it normalizes historical behavior to today. By normalizing by 21, a terminal value is created
// Unfortunately the theoretical calculation didn't produce results it should, in pinescript.
// Therefore the calculation was slightly adjusted/improvised
TransferredPrice = CVDD() / (Supply * math.log(btc_age))
tp = TransferredPrice * 210000000 * 3
Realized Price: Calculated as the Market Cap Realized divided by the current supply of Bitcoin, this metric shows the average value of Bitcoin based on the price at which coins last moved, giving a market consensus price for long-term holders.
CVDD (Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed): This on-chain metric analyzes Bitcoin’s UTXOs (unspent transaction outputs) and the velocity of coins moving between wallets. It highlights key market dynamics during prolonged accumulation or distribution phases.
Balanced Price: The Balanced Price is the difference between the Realized Price and the Terminal Price, adjusted by Bitcoin's supply constraints. This metric provides a useful signal for identifying oversold market conditions during bear markets.
BalancedPrice() =>
// It is calculated by subtracting Transferred Price from Realized Price
RealizedPrice() - (TerminalPrice() / (21 * 3))
Each component can be toggled individually, allowing users to focus on specific aspects of Bitcoin’s price cycle and derive meaningful insights from its long-term behavior. The combination of these models provides a well-rounded view of both speculative peaks and long-term value trends.
Important consideration:
Top Cap did historically provide reliable signals for cycle peaks, however it may not be a relevant indication of peaks in the future.
90min cyclesI did this little script to help me with the cycle I hope it will help some of you too !
For default, I have made 90 min cycle, but you can change it easily on the settings if you prefer an other time interval because it is really subjectif.
By default the cycle will begin at midnight from YOUR local time, but this can be a little annoying when you want for example to make it begin at midnght from NY or London without changing the UTC of your chart (if you still want to have your hour displayed normally).
I couldn't find an indicator to help me do that so I added a little setting which allow you to move the start hour of your cycle (so you will have to do some math to move it accordingly to what you want but that's okay ;) ).
That way you can choose the interval you like AND when it begin !
♒Hurst Cycle Channel Oscillator v4.0 by IRUNTV
Hurst Cycle Channel Oscillator v4.0 by IRUNTV W/ Advanced Divergence
Short Title: HCCO_v4_IRUNTV
📜 Script Description
//Disclaimer//
* What could be considered a clone of Hurst Cycle Channel Oscillator v1.0 by Cryptorhythms with arguably some improvements, since the original was locked i opted to creating my own version with much more flexibility in mind. I also used the original Hurst Cycle Channels by Lazybear as foundation for some of my primary logic and intentionally made it visually identical to the already popular Cryptorhythms version.
// End Disclaimer //
Unlock deeper market insights with the Hurst Cycle Channel Oscillator v4.0 by IRUNTV , a sophisticated oscillator meticulously designed to visualize cyclical price movements and pinpoint potential turning points through an advanced divergence detection engine. This indicator is rooted in the foundational principles of J.M. Hurst's cycle theory, offering a nuanced view of market dynamics by illustrating how current price interacts with dynamic, Hurst-style cycle channels.
At its core, the Hurst Cycle Channel Oscillator v4.0 transforms complex cycle analysis into an intuitive oscillator format. It aims to go beyond simple overbought or oversold conditions, highlighting the inherent rhythm of the market. This can empower you to anticipate shifts in momentum and identify higher-probability trading setups with greater confidence.
This v4.0 features a significantly enhanced divergence engine capable of identifying both Regular and Hidden bullish/bearish divergences with improved accuracy and extensive user customization.
📊 What It Displays & How It Works
Main Oscillator (-F - White Line): This is your primary plot. It represents the normalized position of the selected Source price (default: close) within a dynamically calculated medium-term Hurst-style channel.
Values typically range from 0 (price at channel bottom) to 1 (price at channel top).
Values above 1.0 suggest price has broken robustly above the medium-term channel (potentially overbought or indicating strong bullish momentum).
Values below 0.0 suggest price has broken robustly below the medium-term channel (potentially oversold or indicating strong bearish momentum).
Signal Line (H F - Yellow Line): This line represents the normalized position of the short-term cycle's median within the same medium-term Hurst-style channel. It acts as a dynamic signal line, providing context to the Main Oscillator's movements.
Secondary Oscillator (L F - Aqua Line): Offers a longer-term or smoothed perspective, by default an EMA of the H F Signal Line. Its calculation method and length are configurable.
Dynamic Channels (Internal Calculation): The oscillator values are derived from channels constructed using Running Moving Averages (RMA) of price and Average True Range (ATR) for dynamic width. These calculations incorporate Hurst's concepts of half-span cycle lengths and forward displacement, aiming for a more adaptive and responsive market analysis.
Key Visual Cues:
Divergence Markers (R / H): Clearly marked on the oscillator.
R ( Regular Divergence ): Signals potential trend exhaustion and upcoming reversals.
Bullish (Green R): Price forms Lower Lows (LL) while the Main Oscillator (-F) forms Higher Lows (HL).
Bearish (Red R): Price forms Higher Highs (HH) while the Main Oscillator (-F) forms Lower Highs (LH).
H ( Hidden Divergence ): Signals potential trend continuations, often appearing during corrections.
Bullish (Green H): Price forms Higher Lows (HL) while the Main Oscillator (-F) forms Lower Lows (LL).
Bearish (Red H): Price forms Lower Highs (LH) while the Main Oscillator (-F) forms Higher Highs (HH).
Divergence Lines: Lines are automatically drawn on the oscillator connecting the two pivot points that form a confirmed divergence, providing clear visual confirmation of the pattern. A configurable maximum number of lines are displayed to maintain chart clarity.
Background Shading: The oscillator pane's background is dynamically colored to offer an at-a-glance indication of prevailing market sentiment or conditions:
Green Zones: Typically indicate bullish conditions or oscillator strength (e.g., above the mid-level or signal line).
Red Zones: Typically indicate bearish conditions or oscillator weakness.
(The script includes logic for granular shading based on user-configurable overbought/oversold warning levels and the 0.5 mid-level).
Reference Levels: Horizontal lines are plotted at 0.0, 0.5, and 1.0, along with user-configurable "Warning Levels" (defaulting to 0.2 and 0.8) to help define critical zones of interest and potential price reactions.
💡 How to Use It - Potential Strategies
The Hurst Cycle Channel Oscillator v4.0 is a versatile tool. Here are some ways it can be incorporated into your trading analysis:
Divergence Trading (Primary Use):
Regular Divergences (R): Identify these as leading indicators that an existing trend might be losing momentum and could be approaching a reversal. Always seek confirmation from other technical analysis tools or price action.
Hidden Divergences (H): These often occur during pullbacks or consolidations within an established trend, potentially signaling an opportune moment to enter in the direction of the primary trend.
Oscillator / Signal Line Crosses:
When the Main Oscillator (-F) crosses above the Signal Line (H F): Potential bullish signal or strengthening momentum.
When the Main Oscillator (-F) crosses below the Signal Line (H F): Potential bearish signal or weakening momentum.
Overbought / Oversold (OB/OS) Conditions:
Extreme Levels: osc_F > 1.0 (extreme overbought) or osc_F < 0.0 (extreme oversold) can highlight unsustainable price extensions, often preceding periods of consolidation or potential reversals.
Warning Levels: Utilize the configurable levels (e.g., 0.8 and 0.2 by default) as earlier indications of potential overbought or oversold conditions, allowing for proactive adjustments.
Mid-Level (0.5) Dynamics:
osc_F crossing above 0.5 can suggest a shift towards a more bullish market bias.
osc_F crossing below 0.5 can suggest a shift towards a more bearish market bias. The 0.5 level often acts as a dynamic support/resistance within the oscillator's range.
Trend Confirmation & Strength: The color of the background shading can serve as a quick visual guide to the dominant short-term market sentiment as interpreted by the oscillator's position and behavior.
⚙️ Key Features & Customization (by IRUNTV)
Adjustable Cycle Parameters: Fully customize the Short Term Cycle Length, Medium Term Cycle Length, and their respective Multipliers to tailor the indicator's responsiveness to different assets, volatility, and timeframes.
Customizable Source: Select your preferred input source (close, hl2, hlc3, etc.) for the core calculations.
Comprehensive Plot Customization: Toggle the visibility and personalize the colors and line styles for all major plotted elements (oscillators, signal lines, divergence markers) through an intuitive "Plot Visibility & Style" settings group.
Advanced Divergence Engine Settings:
Div Pivot Left/Right Lookback: Fine-tune the sensitivity of pivot point detection for divergences.
Max Bars Between Div Pivots: Define the maximum historical window for identifying valid divergence formations.
Max Stored Pivots for Divs: Optimize performance by managing the memory used for storing historical pivot data, while still enabling detection of relevant long-term divergences.
Max Div Lines to Show: Maintain chart clarity by controlling the number of concurrently displayed divergence lines.
Built-in Alerts: Stay informed with comprehensive, configurable alerts for:
Main Oscillator / Signal Line crosses.
All four identified types of Divergences (Regular Bullish/Bearish, Hidden Bullish/Bearish).
Oscillator crossing into user-defined Overbought/Oversold warning levels.
Oscillator breaching the extreme 0.0 or 1.0 channel boundaries.
⚠️ Disclaimer
The "Hurst Cycle Channel Oscillator v4.0 by IRUNTV" is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All users should conduct their own thorough research, backtesting, and due diligence before making any trading or investment decisions. Use this tool responsibly and as part of a comprehensive trading strategy. IRUNTV assumes no liability for any trading or investment decisions made based on this indicator.
Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) [AlgoAlpha]Introducing the Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle by AlgoAlpha: Elevate Your Trading Strategies 🚀
Discover precision and adaptability with the Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle 🎯, meticulously crafted for traders seeking an edge in the markets. This advanced tool integrates sophisticated algorithms to offer clear insights and real-time analytics 📈.
Key Features:
⚙️Adaptive Signal Processing: Utilizes evolving calculations to adjust to market changes, offering highly responsive signals.
🔍Enhanced MACD Analysis: Innovates on the traditional MACD, providing new insights into market dynamics through an adaptive lens.
🎨Customizable Visual Experience: Features customizable up and down colors for tailored chart analysis.
🔔Real-Time Alerts: Stay informed with instant alerts on indicator changes.
Quick Guide to Using the Adaptive STC Indicator
1. 🔧 Adding the Indicator: Search for "Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) " within TradingView's Indicators & Strategies and apply it to your chart. Customize the settings according to your trading style for optimum results.
2.👀 Market Analysis: Monitor the STC and Histogram values closely. The indicator's color gradients provide a visual representation of momentum shifts, helping you to identify trends more clearly.
3. 🚨 Set Alerts: Enable alerts for specific conditions like significant moves up or down, or when the histogram crosses zero. This feature ensures you never miss a potential trading opportunity.
How It Works:
The Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle by AlgoAlpha introduces a dynamic approach to market analysis, refining traditional indicators through adaptive logic to align with fluctuating market conditions. Here's a concise overview of its operation:
🔄 Adaptive MACD Adjustment: The foundation of the indicator is an enhanced MACD calculation, which dynamically adjusts its parameters based on real-time market trends and momentum. This algorithmic adjustment aims to ensure the MACD's responsiveness to market changes, adapting its sensitivity to offer timely insights .
🌟 Integration of Schaff Trend Cycle (STC): After adjusting the MACD, the indicator calculates STC values to provide a smoothed representation of market trends. By normalizing and smoothing the MACD values on a scale from 0 to 100, the STC method helps in identifying market phases with a clear visualization. The smoothing process is designed to mitigate noise and focus on significant market movements .
📊 Visualization and Alerts: To aid in the interpretation of these insights, the Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle employs color gradients and customizable visual settings to indicate momentum shifts. These visual cues, combined with alert functionalities, are structured to assist traders in monitoring market developments, enabling them to make informed decisions based on the presented data .
🛠️The Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle thus merges adaptive MACD adjustments with STC methodology, supported by visual and alert features, to create a tool aimed at enhancing market analysis. By focusing on adaptability and current market conditions, it provides a nuanced view of market trends, intended to support traders in their decision-making processes without promising predictive accuracy or reliability .
Buying/Selling Pressure Cycle (PreCy)No lag estimation of the buying/selling pressure for each candle.
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WHY PreCY?
How much bearish pressure is there behind a group of bullish candles ?
Is this bearish pressure increasing?
When might it overcome the bullish pressure?
Those were my questions when I started this indicator. It lead me through the rabbit hole, where I discovered some secrets about the market. So I pushed deeper, and developped it a lot more, in order to understand what is really happening "behind the scene".
There are now 3 ways to read this indicator. It might look complicated at first, but the reward is to be able to anticipate and understand a lot more.
You can show/hide all the plots in the settings. So you can choose the way you prefer to use it.
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FIRST WAY TO READ PreCy : The SIGNAL line
Go in the settings of PreCy, in "DISPLAY", uncheck "The pivot lines of the SIGNAL" and "The CYCLE areas". Make sure "The SIGNAL line" is checked.
The SIGNAL shows an estimation of the buying/selling pressure of each candle, going from 100 (100% bullish candle) to -100 (100% bearish candle). A doji would be shown close to zero.
Formula: Estimated % of buying pressure - Estimated % of selling pressure
It is a very choppy line in general, but its colors help make sense of it.
When this choppiness alternates between the extremes, then there is not much pressure on each candle, and it's very unpredictable.
When the pressure increases, the SIGNAL's amplitude changes. It "compresses", meaning there is some interest in the market. It can compress by alternating above and below zero, or it can stay above zero (bullish), or below zero (bearish) for a while.
When the SIGNAL becomes linear (in opposition to choppy), there is a lot of pressure, and it is directional. The participants agree for a move in a chosen direction.
The trajectory of the SIGNAL can help anticipate when a move is going to happen (directional increase of pressure), or stop (returning to zero) and possibly reverse (crossing zero).
Advanced uses:
The SIGNAL can make more sense on a specific timeframe, that would be aligned with the frequency of the orders at that moment. So it is a good idea to switch between timeframes until it gets less choppy, and more directional.
It is interesting to follow any regular progression of the SIGNAL, as it can reveal the intentions of the market makers to go in a certain direction discretely. There can be almost no volume and no move in the price action, yet the SIGNAL gets linear and moves away from one extreme, slowly crosses the zeroline, and pushes to the other extreme at the same time as the amplitude of the price action increases drastically.
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SECOND WAY TO READ PreCy : The PIVOTS of the SIGNAL line
Go in the settings of PreCy, in "DISPLAY", and uncheck "The CYCLE areas". Make sure "The SIGNAL line" and "The pivot lines of the SIGNAL" are checked.
The PIVOTS help make sense of the apparent chaos of the SIGNAL. They can reveal the overall direction of the choppy moves.
Especially when the 2 PIVOTS lines are parallel and oriented.
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THIRD WAY TO READ PreCy : The CYCLE
Go in the settings of PreCy, in "DISPLAY", and uncheck "The SIGNAL line" and "The pivot lines of the SIGNAL". Make sure "The CYCLE areas" is checked.
The CYCLE is a Moving Average of the SIGNAL in relation to each candle's size.
Formula: 6 periods Moving Average of the SIGNAL * (body of the current candle / 200 periods Moving Average of the candle's bodies)
The result goes from 200 to -200.
The CYCLE shows longer term indications of the pressures of the market.
Analysing the trajectory of the CYCLE can help predict the direction of the price.
When the CYCLE goes above or below the gray low intensity zone, it signals some interest in the move.
When the CYCLE stays above 100 or below -100, it is a sign of strength in the move.
When it stayed out of the gray low intensity zone, then returns inside it, it is a strong signal of a probable change of behavior.
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ALERTS
In the settings, you can pick the alerts you're interested in.
To activate them, right click on the chart (or alt+a), choose "Add alert on Buying/Selling Pressure Cycle (PreCy)" then "Any alert()", then "Create".
Feel free to activate them on different timeframes. The alerts show which timeframe they are from (ex: "TF:15" for the 15 minutes TF).
I have added a lot more conditions to my PreCy, taken from FREMA Trend, for ex. You can do the same with your favorite scripts, to make PreCy more accurate for your style.
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Borrowed scripts:
To estimate the buying and selling pressures, PreCy uses the wicks calculations of "Volume net histogram" by RafaelZioni
To filter the alerts, PreCy uses the calculations of "Amplitude" by Koholintian:
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DO NOT BASE YOUR TRADING DECISIONS ON 1 SINGLE INDICATOR'S SIGNALS.
Always confirm your ideas by other means, like price action and indicators of a different nature.
GKD-C Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope Oscillator is a Confirmation module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
What is Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System"?
The Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System is a trading system built on the philosophy of the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) algorithmic trading.
What is an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy?
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v1.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data between modules. Data is passed between each module as described below:
GKD-B => GKD-V => GKD-C(1) => GKD-C(2) => GKD-C(Continuation) => GKD-E => GKD-BT
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Strategy with 1-3 take profits, trailing stop loss, multiple types of PnL volatility, and 2 backtesting styles
Baseline: Hull Moving Average as shown on chart
Volatility/Volume: Waddah Attar as shown on chart
Confirmation 1: Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope Oscillator as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
Continuation: Fisher Transform
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD protocol chain.
Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
█ Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope Oscillator
What is Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope Oscillator?
Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope Oscillator is an oscillator that solves for the Linear Regression slope and turns it into an oscillator. This is a very simple calculation and uses one of Ehler's first implementations of his cycle period calculations. The output slope value is smoothed after calculation and before being drawn. This is a sort of momentum indicator and has a rich history with Forex traders around the world.
What is the Cycle Period?
The spectral content of the data are measured in a bank of contiguous filters as described in "Measuring Cycle Periods" in the March 2008 issue of Stocks & Commodities Magazine. The filter having the strongest output is selected as the current dominant cycle period. The cycle period is measured as the number of bars contained in one full cycle period.
What is Linear Regression?
In statistics, linear regression is a linear approach for modeling the relationship between a scalar response and one or more explanatory variables. The case of one explanatory variable is called simple linear regression ; for more than one, the process is called multiple linear regression.
Requirements
Inputs
Confirmation 1 and Solo Confirmation: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Outputs
Confirmation 2 and Solo Confirmation: GKD-E Exit indicator
Confirmation 1: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Continuation: GKD-E Exit indicator
Additional features will be added in future releases.
Price/Time CyclesThis is a script for laying out cycles of price & time that are square (though you can adjust the ratios)
There is an "Auto-cycle" option also
You may have to adjust the ratios of both time & price in different ways to get the right settings but you can experiment
Limit the amount of price lines you are displaying otherwise you may get some errors in the information plotted
(the script says max 10 but really there is no true maximum set & you will get missing information as it begins to plot too many lines... I'll try to define this in the future)
Remember you can put down multiple cycles & change the styling.
FOR LINE STYLE- please use this syntax:
Solid Line = sol
Dotted Line = dot
Dashed Line = dsh
(I'll try to setup options for that in the future)
You can lay cycles into the past using the horizontal offset tool but there is a limit of setting the info back beyond 5000 bars, also, generally this process is a bit funny
The script can only put vertical lines up to 500 bars into the future. So, although cycles of 500 bars or more can be used, the future bar will not be plotted until it is within 500 bars of the current bar. In other words, doing very long-term analysis or trying to lay higher timeframe bar counts onto smaller timeframes might not work & may be a buggy process
Pi Cycle MACD Inverse OscillatorPi Cycle MACD Inverse Oscillator with Gradient and Days Since Last Top
This indicator is ideal for Bitcoin traders seeking a robust tool to visualize long-term and short-term trends with enhanced clarity and actionable insights.
This script combines the concept of the Pi Cycle indicator with a unique MACD-based inverse oscillator to analyze Bitcoin market trends. It introduces several features to help traders understand market conditions better:
Inverse Oscillator:
- Oscillator ranges between 1 and -1.
- A value of 1 indicates the two moving averages (350 MA and 111 MA) are equal.
- A value of -1 indicates the maximum observed distance between the moving averages during the selected lookback period.
- The oscillator dynamically adjusts to price changes using a configurable scaling factor.
Gradient Visualization:
The oscillator line transitions smoothly from green (closer to -1) to yellow (at 0) and red (closer to 1).
The color gradient provides a quick visual cue for market momentum.
Days Since Last Pi Cycle Top:
Calculates and displays the number of days since the last "Pi Cycle Top" (defined as a crossover between the two moving averages).
The label updates dynamically and appears only on the most recent bar.
Conditional Fill:
Highlights the area between 0 and 1 with a green gradient when the price is above the long moving average.
Enhances visual understanding of the oscillator's position relative to key thresholds.
Inputs:
- Long Moving Average (350 default): Determines the primary trend.
- Short Moving Average (111 default): Measures shorter-term momentum.
- Oscillator Lookback Period (100 default): Defines the range for normalizing the oscillator.
- Price Scaling Factor (0.01 default): Adjusts the normalization to account for large price fluctuations.
How to Use:
- Use the oscillator to identify potential reversal points and trend momentum.
- Look for transitions in the gradient color and the position relative to 0.
- Monitor the "Days Since Last Top" label for insights into the market's cycle timing.
- Utilize the conditional fill to quickly assess when the market is in a favorable position above the long moving average.
Seasonality and Presidential cycleAn incredibly useful indicator that shows seasonality and presidential cycles by indices, stocks and industries. Just type in a ticker and trade according to seasonal patterns
Blue line - seasonality excluding presidential cycles
Green line - seasonality taking into account presidential cycles
*Seasonal patterns over the last 10 years
This indicator uses the request.seed() function.
Requests data from a GitHub repository maintained by our team and returns it as a series.
Pine Seeds is a service to import custom data and access it via TradingView.
Use TradingView as frontend and use a GitHub repository as backend.
github.com
...
Rus: Невероятно полезный индикатор, который показывает сезонность и президентские циклы по индексам, акциям и отраслям. Просто вбейте тикер и торгуйте согласно сезонным паттернам
Синяя линия - сезонность без учета президентских циклов
Зеленая линия - сезонность с учетом президентских циклов
*Сезонные паттерны за последние 10 лет
Pi Cycle Indicators Comparison IndicatorThere are now 3 Pi Cycle Indicators that I am aware of; the original, improved**, and bottom.
This indicator attempts to provide all three indicators in a dingle, easy to view script.
I coded this script to displace the moving averages above and below the price bars for easy viewing. This was accomplished by placing a scaling factor (/# or *#) at the end of the ta.sma or ta.ema functions.
A vertical arrow, purposely posing as a short vertical line, marks the crossing of the long and short MAs for each indicator. These are color coded to match their respective indicators and the long and short MAs are similarly color coded for easy differentiation.
The red colored MAs and arrows above the price line are the Improved Pi-Cycle Top Indicator.
The green colored MAs and arrows below the price line are the Original Pi-Cycle Top Indicator.
The blue colored MAs and arrows below the green lines and price line are the Pi-Cycle Bottom Indicator.
One last feature of the chart is the use of the location function to enable easy comparison of the crossings of each indicator to the indicator itself and to the price. This can be accomplished simply by moving the chart up and down.
**{I should note that while researching this I found that BitcoinMamo turns out to have beat me to the punch on the Improved Indicator Long.Short and Multiplier numbers. He should therefor get the credit for that}
