Bollinger Volatility AnalyzerThe Bollinger Volatility Analyzer (BVA) is a powerful enhancement of the traditional Bollinger Bands indicator, tailored to help traders identify volatility cycles and catch potential breakouts with better precision and timing. It builds upon the foundational concept of Bollinger Bands—using a moving average and standard deviation bands—but adds crucial insights into market contraction and expansion, which can be instrumental in timing entries and exits.
Here's how it works and why it's useful
At its core, the indicator calculates a moving average (called the "basis") and plots two bands—one above and one below—based on a multiple of standard deviation. These bands expand during volatile periods and contract during quiet ones. The width between these bands, normalized as a percentage of the basis, gives us a sense of how compressed or expanded the market currently is. When the band width drops below a user-defined threshold (like 2%), the script highlights this with an orange triangle below the bar. This is the "squeeze" condition, signaling a potential buildup of market energy—a kind of calm before the storm.
What makes this version of Bollinger Bands particularly powerful is that it not only detects squeezes, but also tells you when price breaks out of that squeeze range. If price closes above the upper band after a squeeze, a green "Breakout ↑" label is shown; if it closes below the lower band, a red "Breakout ↓" appears. These breakout labels act as entry signals, suggesting that volatility is returning and a directional move has begun.
This indicator is especially useful in markets that tend to alternate between consolidation and breakout phases, such as forex, crypto, and even individual stocks. Traders who look for early signs of momentum—whether for swing trading, scalping, or position building—can benefit from this tool. During a quiet market phase, the indicator warns you that a move might be coming; when the move starts, it tells you the direction.
In fast-moving markets, BVA helps filter out noise by focusing only on high-probability conditions: quiet consolidation followed by a strong breakout. It’s not a complete system by itself—it works best when paired with volume confirmation or oscillators like RSI—but as a volatility trigger and directional guide, it’s a reliable component of a trading workflow.
Komut dosyalarını "Cycle" için ara
OTC Seasonal forecasting tool 2.0Seasonality Forecasting Tool – Advanced Seasonal Pattern Analysis (Inspired by Bernd Skorupinski Methodology)
📈 Description:
This script provides a structured way to analyze seasonal trends across financial markets, helping traders identify historical patterns that tend to repeat at specific times of the year. Inspired by Bernd Skorupinski’s institutional strategy, it has been refined with enhanced smoothing and customization options to improve adaptability across asset classes like commodities, forex, and indices.
👉 Core Functionality:
Analyzes historical price data over multiple lookback periods (5, 10, and 15 years) to calculate average seasonal performance.
Generates a smoothed seasonal curve that visually highlights periods of expected strength or weakness.
Allows users to customize lookback periods and adjust smoothing parameters, offering flexibility based on market type and volatility.
This tool is designed to be used as a contextual filter rather than a trade trigger—adding a layer of time-based confluence to enhance decision-making.
📊 Applied Example – Crude Oil Seasonality & Demand Zone Alignment
To demonstrate practical usage, here’s an example using Light Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) where seasonal tendencies and price structure aligned to create a high-probability setup.
Setup Steps:
1️⃣ Structural Context – Price Reaching a Demand Zone:
The market had been in a decline and approached a well-defined institutional demand area, which historically attracts buying interest.
2️⃣ Seasonality Analysis – Bullish Bias Identified:
The Seasonality Tool was applied using three distinct lookback windows:
5-year average 🟢
10-year average 🔴
15-year average 🔵
All three seasonal curves showed consistent upward trends during the late December to February period, historically signaling accumulation phases in crude oil markets.
3️⃣ Execution – Trade Setup:
With both:
Price action confirming a technical demand zone,
and seasonality indicating a strong historical bullish period,
a long position was taken targeting the next significant supply zone.
Result:
The trade unfolded as anticipated, with price rebounding strongly and delivering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:5.8—an outcome consistent with historical seasonal performance patterns.
⚙️ What Sets This Tool Apart:
Combines multi-timeframe seasonal data into a unified, easy-to-interpret visual output.
Includes custom smoothing algorithms to reduce noise, making the seasonal curves clearer and more reliable in fast-moving markets.
Offers flexibility to analyze not only commodities but also forex, indices, and other instruments influenced by recurring cycles (e.g., agricultural products, metals).
📌 Best Practices for Use:
Apply the tool alongside key technical zones (demand/supply) to find optimal trade timing.
Look for confluence across at least two of the seasonal curves (e.g., 5-year and 10-year averages agreeing on direction).
Use in combination with other market analysis tools—such as valuation indicators, COT data, or smart money flow—for full confirmation.
Ultimate Gann Fan Suite with Multi-ArcsUltimate Gann Fan Suite with Multi-Arcs
This open-source indicator plots Gann Fan angles, arcs, and levels to analyze price and time relationships based on a user-selected pivot point.
What It Does:
- Draws Gann Fan angles (1x16 to 16x1) from a pivot, with optional mirrored lines.
- Plots a base Gann arc and multi-arcs scaled by Gann ratios.
- Displays a Square of 9 grid and Gann Square levels for price projections.
- Supports custom timeframes and price types for pivot selection.
How to Use:
- Pivot: Enable manual pivot picking and select a price type (e.g., Close, High).
- Timeframe: Choose a timeframe (e.g., Daily) for pivot data.
- Angles and Arcs: Show/hide specific Gann angles, arcs, or levels; adjust colors and line styles.
- Scaling: Set price scale (e.g., 9.0) and arc radius (e.g., 36) for visual clarity.
- Labels: Enable labels to identify angles and levels.
- Best for stocks, forex, or crypto on daily or weekly charts.
Notes:
- Ensure enough chart history for the selected timeframe.
- Use on assets with clear trends or cycles for best results.
- Adjust settings to balance chart readability.
VWAP SlicesVWAP Slices is a time-based analytical tool that helps traders evaluate market behavior across custom-defined periods. Instead of looking at VWAP, RSI, or MFI in isolation, this script allows users to select up to three specific time windows — for example, earnings weeks, Fed meetings, or major news cycles — and analyze how price interacted with volume, momentum, and money flow within each of those slices.
For each active period, the script calculates:
VWAP, based on HLC3 × Volume, giving a volume-weighted price anchor
Total traded volume
Number of bars (candles) in the period
RSI, computed using a custom-built relative strength algorithm from closing prices
MFI, calculated from HLC3 and volume to assess money flow direction and strength
These statistics are not simply shown independently — they are designed to be viewed in context with each other. For instance:
VWAP levels help identify fair value and possible accumulation/distribution zones within a time range.
RSI shows internal momentum strength, while MFI adds a volume-sensitive confirmation.
Comparing multiple periods side-by-side allows traders to see shifts in trend behavior and volume dynamics over time.
The script offers two visualization styles:
Labels placed on-chart near price, summarizing each period
A combined table showing all periods together for comparative analysis
Users can define:
Start and end dates of each period
Background color and visibility per period
Whether to display labels, a summary table, or both
It also computes aggregate metrics, including:
A volume-weighted combined VWAP across all selected periods
Average RSI and MFI, giving a broader sense of directional bias and money flow health
This tool is especially useful for:
Assessing how price and volume behaved around specific market events
Comparing accumulation vs distribution across different timeframes
Supporting thesis-driven trading by segmenting history into actionable chunks
This is not a mashup, but a purposeful framework for slicing market history into analytical blocks — combining price anchors with volume and momentum indicators to help traders better interpret price structure and trend context.
Mercury Venus Conjunction Sextiles 2019-2026How to Use It and What It Means Astrologically
How to Use the Script in TradingView
This Pine Script, called "Mercury Venus Aspects 2019–2026," is made to highlight the dates of Mercury-Venus conjunctions (0°) and sextiles (60°) from 2019 to 2026 on TradingView charts. Here's how to use it:
click “Add to Chart.” It will apply to any chart you have open—stocks, forex, crypto, etc.
Customize the Display
You can turn on/off the visibility of conjunctions and sextiles using checkboxes under "Inputs" in the settings.
You can also adjust the label size (small, normal, large, or huge) for better readability on your chart.
What You’ll See on the Chart
Conjunctions appear as blue shaded zones with labels like “C1,” “C2,” etc. These mark dates when Mercury and Venus are at the same degree.
Sextiles show up in orange with labels like “S1,” “S2,” marking when they’re about 60° apart.
Each event spans a 2-day window (one day before and after the exact aspect).
How to Use It Practically
You can overlay the script on market charts to look for any patterns between these planetary aspects and price movements.
You can also use it to plan personal or financial activities, since these aspects often affect communication, money, and relationships.
What to Keep in Mind
Dates are approximate and based on average planetary cycles (Mercury: ~88 days, Venus: ~225 days). For exact timing, use an ephemeris.
Only conjunctions and sextiles are shown. Oppositions, squares, and trines aren’t included because Mercury and Venus never get far enough apart (more than 75°).
This script is great for astrologers, traders, and enthusiasts who want to see Mercury-Venus aspects directly on their charts and explore their possible effects.
Astrological Meaning of Mercury-Venus Aspects
What Mercury and Venus Represent
Mercury rules communication, thinking, technology, travel, and trade. In global events (mundane astrology), it affects media, markets, and movement of information.
Venus is about love, beauty, money, and pleasure. It influences relationships, aesthetics, and finance. In the world stage, it’s linked to luxury, art, fashion, and economic balance.
When Mercury and Venus form aspects (like conjunctions or sextiles), their energies mix in helpful ways that can affect people and events.
Conjunction (0°) – Mercury and Venus Together
These two planets are in the same sign and degree, so their qualities merge.
For people:
Positive: Smooth communication, charm, creativity, and better relationships. Great for romance, art, and social interaction.
Negative: Too much focus on appearances, sweet talk, or pleasure can cloud judgment. Decisions may lack depth.
For the economy:
Positive: Boosts in media, entertainment, fashion, and tech. Good for trade, deals, and optimism in financial markets.
Negative: Risk of overspending or unrealistic expectations. May cause small market bubbles or misleading hype.
Sextile (60°) – Mercury and Venus in Harmony
These two planets are two signs apart, creating a smooth, supportive energy.
For people:
Positive: Easy conversations, creative teamwork, small financial wins, and pleasant social experiences.
Negative: Energy is mild, so opportunities might be missed if not acted on. People may avoid hard decisions.
For the economy:
Positive: Gradual improvements in areas like marketing, social media, hospitality, and design. Good for diplomacy.
Negative: Lack of strong initiative could limit bigger gains. Minor missteps are possible due to a laid-back attitude.
General Effects
These aspects are mostly beneficial. They support creativity, financial thinking, and social harmony.
Downsides: Conjunctions may lead to overindulgence or shallow choices, while sextiles may cause missed chances due to low energy.
These aspects rarely cause major economic shifts on their own but can amplify trends depending on other planetary influences (like Saturn or Uranus).
Zodiac Sign Influence
Fire signs (Aries, Leo, Sagittarius): Bold communication, energetic spending, gains in media or entertainment.
Earth signs (Taurus, Virgo, Capricorn): Practical results, stable finances, growth in real-world assets like property or food.
Air signs (Gemini, Libra, Aquarius): Intellectual growth, tech innovation, and social ideas flourish.
Water signs (Cancer, Scorpio, Pisces): Emotional depth in conversations, artistic growth, and financial sensitivity.
Mercury-Venus aspects are gentle but helpful. They combine logic (Mercury) with emotion and value (Venus). They’re good times for love, communication, and money—but their benefits depend on how we use the energy. This script lets you easily track these moments on a chart and explore how they might align with real-life trends or decisions.
Disclaimer: This script and its interpretations are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, trading, or professional astrological advice. Always conduct your own research and consult qualified professionals before making any financial or personal decisions. Use at your own discretion.
Window Seasonality IndicatorThis is a time window seasonal returns indicator. That is, it will provide the mean returns for a given time window based on a given number of lookbacks set by the user. The script finds matching time windows, e.g., 1st week of March going back 5 years or 9:00-10:00 window of every day going 50 days, and then calculates an average return for that window close price with respect to the close price in the immediately preceding time window, e.g. last week of February or 8:00-9:00 close price, respectively.
There are 4 input options:
1) Historical Periods to Average: Set the number of matching historical windows with which to calculate an average price. The max is 730 lookback windows. Note: for monthly or weekly windows, setting too large a number will cause the script to error out.
2) Use Open Price: calculates the seasonal returns using the open price rather than close price.
3) Show Bands: select from 1 Gaussian standard deviation or a nonparamateric ranked confidence interval. As a rough heuristic, the Gaussian band requires at least 30 lookback periods, and the ranked confidence interval requires 50 or more.
4) Upper Percentile: set the upper cutoff for ranked confidence interval.
5) Lower Percentile: set the lower cutoff for ranked confidence interval.
Please be aware, this indicator does not use rigorous statistical methodology and does not imply predictive power. You'll notice the range bands are very wide. Do not trade solely based on this indicator! Certain time windows, such as weekly and monthly, will make more sense applied to commodities, where annual cycles play a role in its supply and demand dynamics. Hourly windows are more useful in looking at equities markets. I like to look at equities with 1-hr windows to see if there is some pattern to overnight behavior or for market open and close.
XAMD/AMDX ICT 01 [TradingFinder] SMC Quarterly Theory Cycles🔵 Introduction
The XAMD/AMDX strategy, combined with the Quarterly Theory, forms the foundation of a powerful market structure analysis. This indicator builds upon the principles of the Power of 3 strategy introduced by ICT, enhancing its application by incorporating an additional phase.
By extending the logic of Power of 3, the XAMD/AMDX tool provides a more detailed and comprehensive view of daily market behavior, offering traders greater precision in identifying key movements and opportunities
This approach divides the trading day into four distinct phases : Accumulation (19:00 - 01:00 EST), Manipulation (01:00 - 07:00 EST), Distribution (07:00 - 13:00 EST), and Continuation or Reversal (13:00 - 19:00 EST), collectively known as AMDX.
Each phase reflects a specific market behavior, providing a structured lens to interpret price action. Building on the fractal nature of time in financial markets, the Quarterly Theory introduces the Four Quarters Method, where a currency pair’s price range is divided into quarters.
These divisions, known as quarter points, highlight critical levels for analyzing and predicting market dynamics. Together, these principles allow traders to align their strategies with institutional trading patterns, offering deeper insights into market trends
🔵 How to Use
The AMDX framework provides a structured approach to understanding market behavior throughout the trading day. Each phase has its own characteristics and trading opportunities, allowing traders to align their strategies effectively. To get the most out of this tool, understanding the dynamics of each phase is essential.
🟣 Accumulation
During the Accumulation phase (19:00 - 01:00 EST), the market is typically quiet, with price movements confined to a narrow range. This phase is where institutional players accumulate their positions, setting the stage for future price movements.
Traders should use this time to study price patterns and prepare for the next phases. It’s a great opportunity to mark key support and resistance zones and set alerts for potential breakouts, as the low volatility makes immediate trading less attractive.
🟣 Manipulation
The Manipulation phase (01:00 - 07:00 EST) is often marked by sharp and deceptive price movements. Institutions create false breakouts to trigger stop-losses and trap retail traders into the wrong direction. Traders should remain cautious during this phase, focusing on identifying the areas of liquidity where these traps occur.
Watching for price reversals after these false moves can provide excellent entry opportunities, but patience and confirmation are crucial to avoid getting caught in the manipulation.
🟣 Distribution
The Distribution phase (07:00 - 13:00 EST) is where the day’s dominant trend typically emerges. Institutions execute large trades, resulting in significant price movements. This phase is ideal for trading with the trend, as the market provides clearer directional signals.
Traders should focus on identifying breakouts or strong momentum in the direction of the trend established during this period. This phase is also where traders can capitalize on setups identified earlier, aligning their entries with the market’s broader sentiment.
🟣 Continuation or Reversal
Finally, the Continuation or Reversal phase (13:00 - 19:00 EST) offers a critical juncture to assess the market’s direction. This phase can either reinforce the established trend or signal a reversal as institutions adjust their positions.
Traders should observe price behavior closely during this time, looking for patterns that confirm whether the trend is likely to continue or reverse. This phase is particularly useful for adjusting open positions or initiating new trades based on emerging signals.
🔵 Settings
Show or Hide Phases.
Adjust the session times for each phase :
Accumulation: 19:00-01:00 EST
Manipulation: 01:00-07:00 EST
Distribution: 07:00-13:00 EST
Continuation or Reversal: 13:00-19:00 EST
Modify Visualization : Customize how the indicator looks by changing settings like colors and transparency.
🔵 Conclusion
AMDX provides traders with a practical method to analyze daily market behavior by dividing the trading day into four key phases: Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, and Continuation or Reversal. Each phase highlights specific market dynamics, offering insights into how institutional activity shapes price movements.
From the quiet buildup in the Accumulation phase to the decisive trends of the Distribution phase, and the critical transitions in Continuation or Reversal, this approach equips traders with the tools to anticipate movements and make informed decisions.
By recognizing the significance of each phase, traders can avoid common traps during Manipulation, capitalize on clear trends during Distribution, and adapt to changes in the final phase of the day.
The structured visualization of market phases simplifies decision-making for traders of all levels. By incorporating these principles into your trading strategy, you can enhance your ability to align with market trends, optimize entry and exit points, and achieve more consistent results in your trading journey.
Roman's Ranges(GOLD FUTURES)This indicator provides the user with Gold Future's previous day’s range and how long it took for the price to reach its first extreme for the day. This information is used to predict the most probable daily direction trend and estimate how long you should expect to hold your winning trade. The distance and time are based on the market open candle (6:30 am). It measures from the retracement wick of the candle to the last 5m close of the day’s first extreme low or high point. It also includes that distance in pts.
Previous market data does not guarantee future results, however, you can leverage the knowledge of the previous day’s ranges to set reasonable take profit levels and when your target is not met automatically, you know how long it took on the previous day to reach the day’s first low/high. If you are nearing that amount of time and your trade is not as profitable as expected, it is easier to get out with less profits using this estimated time rather than hoping the market closes in your favor.
Markets go through cycles and it can be difficult to trade them all if you have a fault expectation how how far the price is expected to move. Price tends to deviate slowly from the average ranges slightly day after day, but you can expect an average range to prevail throughout the week +/- 3 points. It can be very easy to be stuck on 5-point take-profit levels that you don’t pay attention to the average range being twice or three times that distance. The same can be said for the opposite scenario with having higher profit expectations than reasonably possible.
This indicator and my statements are not financial advice. This is meant for educational purposes only.
Seasonality v1.33.Seasonality v1.33 - Seasonal Indicator for Trading Trends
Seasonality v1.33 is a tailored indicator designed to analyze seasonal trends in historical price movements, assisting traders in making informed decisions. In its beta version, Seasonality v1.33 allows users to select up to two specific months and compare price changes for these months across several years, helping to identify potential seasonal patterns.
Indicator Features
Identifying Seasonal Trends: By choosing up to two months and a range of years, Seasonality v1.33 offers a visual representation of average price changes and highlights potential positive or negative trends. This supports traders in spotting recurring seasonal price movements that may be influenced by yearly cycles or market conditions.
Historical Comparison Across Multiple Years: The indicator displays the percentage price changes for the selected months over up to 10 years, allowing traders to observe consistency in price fluctuations across different years.
Visual Presentation: A color-coded table shows the dominant trend, either positive or negative, and highlights monthly trends for easy reference. The table size and position can be customized, allowing integration into each user’s preferred chart layout.
How to Use
Month and Year Selection: In the current beta version, traders can select two specific months and a range of years to check for potential seasonal effects.
Trend Summary: The table provides both individual yearly data and an overall trend signal for the selected months, giving a quick overview of prevailing tendencies.
Customizable Display: The table’s position and text size are adjustable to fit seamlessly into the user’s charting interface.
Limitations and Considerations
Data Dependency: The accuracy of analysis relies on the availability of historical price data, which may vary depending on the market or asset.
No Guarantee of Future Trends: While past trends provide insights, they do not guarantee future results. This indicator serves as a supportive tool but should be complemented by thorough analysis and sound risk management.
Feedback and Suggestions
The Seasonality v1.33 indicator is available in beta for free use and testing until the end of the month. Your feedback is highly valued! Comments and suggestions will help us improve future versions and tailor them to the needs of traders.
New York Midnight Indicator█ OVERVIEW
This script provides a visual tool for traders to track the New York Midnight (NY Midnight), a significant time marker for those who rely on New York’s financial markets. The script calculates the exact moment of midnight in New York and places a vertical line on the chart at this time, helping traders identify when a new trading day begins according to the New York time zone. The indicator also marks the midnight point with a lime-colored downward triangle to enhance visibility on the chart. It is specifically useful for traders who want to synchronize their strategies with New York’s trading hours, especially in global markets.
The script is flexible, allowing traders to adjust the UTC offset to accommodate different time zones. This is critical for those trading in different regions but still using New York as the main time reference.
█ CONCEPTS
New York Midnight: For many traders, especially those following the Forex and US stock markets, midnight in New York signifies the start of a new trading day. This point is essential for technical analysis as it often aligns with daily opening ranges, trend shifts, and volume spikes.
UTC Offset: The script includes a user-input parameter (utcOffset) to adjust the calculated time for New York midnight, ensuring that it accounts for time zone differences. This allows it to be used effectively regardless of the user’s local time zone, offering flexibility to global traders.
█ METHODOLOGY
UTC Offset Adjustment: The script starts by asking the trader to input their UTC offset (e.g., UTC -5 for New York without daylight saving time). This offset is added to the current chart time to align it with New York’s local time.
Current Hour Calculation: Once the UTC offset is applied, the script calculates the New York Hour by taking the chart’s current hour and adjusting it with the offset. This ensures that the displayed hour matches New York’s local time, regardless of the trader's location.
Vertical Line at Midnight: When the current New York hour equals 00:00 (midnight), the script plots a black vertical line on the chart. This line serves as a visual reference for the exact moment when New York's trading day begins, allowing traders to align their strategies accordingly.
Downward Triangle Plot: In addition to the vertical line, the script also adds a lime-colored downward triangle at the same bar location to further highlight the midnight point. This is useful for traders who prefer shape markers to visualize significant time events.
█ HOW TO USE
Identifying Daily Resets: The script makes it easy for traders to track when New York’s trading day resets. This is especially useful in Forex markets, where daily cycles and time zone-based volatility play an important role in price movement and volume spikes.
Time Zone Flexibility: By adjusting the UTC offset parameter, traders across the globe can synchronize their charts with New York time. This is critical for international traders who want to execute trades based on New York market patterns but reside in different time zones.
Strategic Time Marking: The vertical line and shape markers at midnight allow traders to quickly see when a new trading day starts, helping them identify patterns like the daily range, key support/resistance levels, or even potential reversals around this time.
Session-Based Analysis: Traders who work with session-based strategies (e.g., trading the Asian, European, or US sessions) can use this marker to better time their entries or exits relative to the start of the New York session.
█ METHOD VARIANTS
This script can be modified or extended in various ways to better suit specific trading strategies:
Highlighting Other Session Starts: It could be adapted to plot lines for other key session starts (e.g., London open, Tokyo open).
Multiple Time Zones: For traders who monitor several markets, the script could be extended to display midnight markers for multiple time zones.
Custom Line Styles: Users could modify the line color, thickness, or style to better match their chart aesthetic or preferences.
Seasonal Tendency (fadi)Seasonal tendency refers to the patterns in stock market performance that tend to repeat at certain times of the year. These patterns can be influenced by various factors such as economic cycles, investor behavior, and historical trends. For example, the stock market often performs better during certain months like November to April, a phenomenon known as the “best six months” strategy. Conversely, months like September are historically weaker.
These tendencies can help investors and traders make more informed decisions by anticipating potential market movements based on historical data. However, it’s important to remember that past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
This indicator calculates the average daily move patterns over the specified number of years and then removes any outliers.
Settings
Number of years : The number of years to use in the calculation. The number needs to be large enough to create a pattern, but not so large that it may distort the price move.
Seasonality line color : The plotted line color.
Border : Show or hide the border and the color to use.
Grid : Show or hide the grid and the color to use.
Outlier Factor : The Outlier Factor is used to identify unusual price moves that are not typical and neutralize them to avoid skewing the predictions. It is the amount of deviation calculated using the total median price move.
Advanced Awesome Oscillator [CryptoSea]Advanced AO Analysis Indicator
The Advanced AO Analysis indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to evaluate the Awesome Oscillator (AO) in search of regular and hidden divergences that signal potential price reversals. By tracking the intensity and duration of the AO's movements, this indicator aids traders in pinpointing critical points in price action.
Key Features
Divergence Detection: Identifies both regular and hidden bullish and bearish divergences, providing early signs of potential market reversals.
Customizable Lookback Periods: Allows users to set specific lookback windows to define the strength and relevance of detected divergences.
Adaptive Oscillator Display: Features customizable display options for the AO, enabling users to view data in different modes suited to their analysis needs.
Alert System: Includes configurable alerts to notify users of potential divergence formations, helping traders respond promptly.
How it Works
AO Calculation: Computes the AO as the difference between short-term and long-term moving averages of the midpoints of bars, highlighting momentum shifts.
Pivot Point Analysis: Utilizes advanced algorithms to find low and high pivot points based on the oscillator values, crucial for spotting trend reversals.
Range Validation: Verifies that divergences occur within a predefined range from pivot points, ensuring their validity and strength.
Visualisation: Plots AO values and potential divergences directly on the chart, aiding in quick visual analysis.
Application
Strategic Decision-Making: Assists traders in making informed decisions by providing detailed analysis of AO movements and divergence.
Trend Confirmation: Reinforces trading strategies by confirming potential reversals with pivot point detection and divergence analysis.
Behavioural Insight: Offers insights into market dynamics and sentiment by analyzing the depth and duration of AO cycles above and below zero.
The Advanced AO Analysis indicator equips traders with a powerful analytical tool for studying the Awesome Oscillator in-depth, enhancing their ability to spot and act on divergence-based trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency markets.
TASC 2023.12 Growth and Value Switching System█ OVERVIEW
This script implements a rotation system for trading value and growth ETFs, as developed by Markos Katsanos and detailed in the article titled 'Growth Or Value?' in TASC's December 2023 edition of Traders' Tips . The purpose of this script is to demonstrate how short-term momentum can be employed to track market trends and provide clarity on when to switch between value and growth.
█ CONCEPTS
The central concept of the presented rotation strategy is based on the observation that the stock market undergoes cycles favoring either growth or value stocks. Consequently, the script introduces a momentum trading system that is designed to switch between value and growth equities based on prevailing market conditions. Specifically tailored for long-term index investors, the system focuses on trading Vanguard's value and growth ETFs ( VTV and VUG ) on a weekly timeframe.
To identify the ETF likely to outperform, the script uses a custom relative strength indicator applied to both VTV and VUG in comparison with an index ( SPY ). To minimize risk and drawdowns during bear markets, when both value and growth experience downtrends, the script employs the author's custom volume flow indicator (VFI) and blocks trades when its reading indicates money outflow . Positions are closed if the relative strength of the current open trade ETF falls below that of the other ETF for two consecutive weeks and is also below its moving average. Additionally, the script implements a stop-loss when the ETF is trading below its 40-week moving average, but only during bear markets.
The script plots the relative strengths of the value and growth equities along with the signals triggered by the aforementioned rules. Information about the current readings of the relative strength and volume flow indicators, along with the current open position, is displayed in a table.
█ CALCULATIONS
The script uses the request.security() function to gather price data for both equities and the reference index. Custom relative strength and volume flow indicators are calculated based on the formulas presented in the original article. By default, the script employs the same parameters for these indicators as proposed in the original article for VTV and VUG on a weekly timeframe.
Correlational cyclesCorrelation is a statistical measure that expresses the extent to which two variables are linearly related (meaning they change together at a constant rate). It's a common tool for describing simple relationships without making a statement about cause and effect.
This script allows the user to input a multiplier to reverse the symbol input. This enables the user to look at a correlation measure between VIX and QQQ and the same time.. And get a better of understanding of what is not alligning and what is. the peaks in correlations usually signal a coming volatile period.
Stable Coin Dominance RSIThe Stable Coin Dominance RSI evaluates the relative dominance of stable coins within the crypto ecosystem as compared to the total market cap. As stable coin dominance rises, it suggests that market participants are exiting out of crypto assets and into dollar pegged stable coins. The opposite is true inversely; as stable coin dominance diminishes, it suggests that market participants are divesting out of stable coins and into crypto assets.
Stable coin dominance can be expressed as a percentage of the total market cap as follows: Stable Coins / Total Crypto. The Stable Coin Dominance RSI indicator uses this percentage and converts it into an oscillator using the formula for the relative strength index.
The calculation for the indicator is: RSI
The users can select from USDT and USDC, two most dominant stable tokens by market cap, and compare their relative dominance against Bitcoin and the alt market.
The Stable Coin Dominance RSI may be useful on larger timeframes when attempting to identify the market’s appetite for risk along with oversold and undersold readings which may indicate pivots or turn arounds along market extremes.
The limitation of the indicator lies in the fact that stable coins continue to make up a growing percentage of the total market cap over time and thus comparisons to earlier cycles will not be a perfect apples-to-apples evaluation. This being said, the smoothing function of the RSI’s look back helps to moderate these comparative differences.
Trend IdentifierTrend Identifier for 1D BTC.USD
It smoothens a closely following moving average into a polynomial like plot.
And assumes 4 stage cycles based on the first and second derivatives.
Green: Bull / Exponential Rise
Yellow: Distribution
Red: Bear / Exponential Drop
Blue: Accumulation
Red --> Blue --> Green: indicates the start of a bull market
Green --> Yellow --> Red: indicates the start of a bear market
Green --> Yellow: Start of a distribution phase, take profits
Red --> Blue: Start of a accumulation phase, DCA
10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread by zdmreLong-term bond yield reflects inflation. Short-term bond yields are tools used to predict Fed's interest rate policy. Spread between the two represents four cycles of an economy.
1. Growth
Short-term yield rises as interest rates rise. Spread narrows.
2. Slow growth
Central bank raises interest rates faster and short-term yield exceeds long-term yield. Spread turns negative.
3. Recession
High interest rates lead to more defaults. Inflation caps consumption. Central bank lowers interest rate to stimulate the economy and short-term yield falls. Spread widens.
4. Recovery
Central bank continues easing. Spread remains wide and yield curve remains steep.
0 = Recession Risk
2.6 = Recovery Plan
DYOR
Financial Astrology Neptune DeclinationWe don't know much about the impact of Neptune declination in the financial markets but if we infer the effect of Neptune traveling toward the zero declination we can assume that the effects of illusion, inflation, scams and economic bubble could growth during the next decade giving raise to the super bubble of the blockchain industry. Only future data will give us a hint of interpretation of Neptune declination cycles, perhaps in a decade, PineScript and web clients have evolved enough so we can load 100 years of declination data to analyse the behaviour in major US indexes that provide enough years of data for a more deep study.
Note: The Neptune declination indicator is based on an ephemeris array that covers years 2010 to 2030, prior or after this years the speed is not available, this daily ephemeris are based on UTC time so in order to align properly with the price bars times you should set UTC as your chart timezone.
Financial Astrology Moon LongitudeMoon energy represent the masses, crowds, public places, children and emotions. The transit of the Moon through the zodiacal signs will color the crowd emotional responses that fluctuate based on the elemental qualities of the signs: fire (energetic and impulsive), earth (rigid, static, patient), water (assimilation, transformation, humor fluctuations), air (expansion, fervent, germination).
The daily average speed of the Moon is 13 degrees, for this reason the emotional elemental energy is transforming in average every 2 days and few hours, this mood fluctuations produces the short term instinctive and emotional actions performed by traders that forget the precise mathematical / statistical approach in favor of irrational and emotional impulses.
Based on statistical buy/sell frequency analysis we discovered that for BTC-USD, the Moon is usually bullish in zodiac signs: Aries, Libra, Scorpio, Aquarius and Pisces, the most relevant bullish sign is "Aquarius", from 206 observations in all the BTC-USD price history where Moon was in this sign the 60% of those days the price increased compared to the previous day. The bearish zodiac signs for BTC-USD are: Taurus, Cancer, Leo, Sagittarius and Capricorn, the most relevant bearish sign is "Capricorn".
Interestingly this zodiac sign locations tends to fluctuate during some periods of time and from the last 10 observations of the Moon transiting through Aries we noted that 7 of the 10 observations coincide with a dip, sometimes the Moon in Aries indicate the reversal of the short term trend, this is kind of expected considering that when Moon approaches Taurus the fall becomes more likely due to the fact that Moon in Taurus is a bearish signal.
With this indicator there is unlimited possibilities to explore across different markets and complementing with Moon phases this may be the perfect financial astrology indicator for those intraday traders that keep positions only for few hours.
We encourage you to analyze the Moon zodiac sign cycles in different markets and share with us your observations, leave us a comment with your research outcomes. Happy trading!
Note: The Moon longitude indicator is based on an ephemeris array that covers years 2010 to 2030, prior or after this years the longitude is not available, this daily ephemeris are based on UTC time so in order to align properly with the price bars times you should set UTC as your chart reference timezone.
Turnover Cycle MATurnover Cycle indicator
Turnover Cycle indicates how many days the market capitalization will be completed traded once.
The MA and EMA based on the Turnover Cycle would help you to observe the average market holding shares' price position.
If you buy the share when the price is lower than the average market holding shares' price position, that will dramatically increase your chances of returns.
!!!!! Due to the financial data has a limited period, the latest 500 bars is the true value.
Please don't refer to any value on the bar before 500.
Please enjoy.
Moon CyclesInformative Script for astrological seasonal changes
Equinoxes and Solstices
Full,New,Growing and waning lunar phases
Lunar Maturation counter
Trend coloring from one of my oscillators to give script something more than vanilla calculations and labels
Labels can be customized
Plotting set to absolute
First version is placeholder and will be updated with eclipse tracking,background coloration
Script is for seasonal and lunar study,Its not generating signals
The decay and lunar calculations borrowed from MQL
Hurst Cycle Channel Clone %BA %B of lazy bears Hurst Cycle Channel Clone
Remember to thank him for his great scripts.
With this you can easily see when the close is above,below or in the short or medium cycle channel.
Wyckoff Trend Tracking Price CyclesWyckoff Trend Tracking Price Cycles 该指标为您揭示市场动态运行的区间及价格运行的方位，让市场变化了然于胸。
