Basic ORB [MOT]Basic ORB – Opening Range Breakout Tool
The Basic ORB is a visual tool designed to assist intraday traders by identifying the opening range from 9:30–9:45 AM ET. It automatically plots the high, low, and midpoint of this range to help traders analyze potential areas of interest.
This script provides a simple and customizable way to frame market structure during the early trading session. It is intended to support various intraday strategies across multiple asset classes including futures, stocks, ETFs, indexes, and crypto.
🔹 Key Features
1. Opening Range Levels
- Automatically plots the High, Low, and Midline of the 9:30–9:45 AM ET session.
- Midline helps visualize the midpoint of the range.
- Customizable colors and line thickness.
2. Previous ORB Ranges
- Option to display previous days’ ORB levels for visual pattern recognition.
- Useful for spotting recurring reactions to prior day levels.
3. Dynamic Price Labels
- Adds price labels to each ORB line for quick reference.
- Fully customizable: adjust text size, background color, label position, and offset.
4. Clean Settings Panel
- Customize all visual elements to match your charting style.
- Control how many previous ORBs to display.
- Toggle features on or off for a simplified interface.
🧠 How to Use
- Best viewed on 1m, 5m, or 15m charts.
- Combine with your existing entry/exit criteria to monitor how price interacts with the opening range.
- Common use cases include breakout confirmation, rejection trades, and support/resistance analysis based on prior ORBs.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries risk, and users should test any tools in a demo environment before live use. Always implement proper risk management.
Komut dosyalarını "30年国债收益率" için ara
Time-Decaying Percentile Oscillator [BackQuant]Time-Decaying Percentile Oscillator
1. Big-picture idea
Traditional percentile or stochastic oscillators treat every bar in the look-back window as equally important. That is fine when markets are slow, but if volatility regime changes quickly yesterday’s print should matter more than last month’s. The Time-Decaying Percentile Oscillator attempts to fix that blind spot by assigning an adjustable weight to every past price before it is ranked. The result is a percentile score that “breathes” with market tempo much faster to flag new extremes yet still smooth enough to ignore random noise.
2. What the script actually does
Build a weight curve
• You pick a look-back length (default 28 bars).
• You decide whether weights fall Linearly , Exponentially , by Power-law or Logarithmically .
• A decay factor (lower = faster fade) shapes how quickly the oldest price loses influence.
• The array is normalised so all weights still sum to 1.
Rank prices by weighted mass
• Every close in the window is paired with its weight.
• The pairs are sorted from low to high.
• The cumulative weight is walked until it equals your chosen percentile level (default 50 = median).
• That price becomes the Time-Decayed Percentile .
Find dispersion with robust statistics
• Instead of a fragile standard deviation the script measures weighted Median-Absolute-Deviation about the new percentile.
• You multiply that deviation by the Deviation Multiplier slider (default 1.0) to get a non-parametric volatility band.
Build an adaptive channel
• Upper band = percentile + (multiplier × deviation)
• Lower band = percentile – (multiplier × deviation)
Normalise into a 0-100 oscillator
• The current close is mapped inside that band:
0 = lower band, 50 = centre, 100 = upper band.
• If the channel squeezes, tiny moves still travel the full scale; if volatility explodes, it automatically widens.
Optional smoothing
• A second-stage moving average (EMA, SMA, DEMA, TEMA, etc.) tames the jitter.
• Length 22 EMA by default—change it to tune reaction speed.
Threshold logic
• Upper Threshold 70 and Lower Threshold 30 separate standard overbought/oversold states.
• Extreme bands 85 and 15 paint background heat when aggressive fade or breakout trades might trigger.
Divergence engine
• Looks back twenty bars.
• Flags Bullish divergence when price makes a lower low but oscillator refuses to confirm (value < 40).
• Flags Bearish divergence when price prints a higher high but oscillator stalls (value > 60).
3. Component walk-through
• Source – Any price series. Close by default, switch to typical price or custom OHLC4 for futures spreads.
• Look-back Period – How many bars to rank. Short = faster, long = slower.
• Base Percentile Level – 50 shows relative position around the median; set to 25 / 75 for quartile tracking or 90 / 10 for extreme tails.
• Deviation Multiplier – Higher values widen the dynamic channel, lowering whipsaw but delaying signals.
• Decay Settings
– Type decides the curve shape. Exponential (default 1.16) mimics EMA logic.
– Factor < 1 shrinks influence faster; > 1 spreads influence flatter.
– Toggle Enable Time Decay off to compare with classic equal-weight stochastic.
• Smoothing Block – Choose one of seven MA flavours plus length.
• Thresholds – Overbought / Oversold / Extreme levels. Push them out when working on very mean-reverting assets like FX; pull them in for trend monsters like crypto.
• Display toggles – Show or hide threshold lines, extreme filler zones, bar colouring, divergence labels.
• Colours – Bullish green, bearish red, neutral grey. Every gradient step is automatically blended to generate a heat map across the 0-100 range.
4. How to read the chart
• Oscillator creeping above 70 = market auctioning near the top of its adaptive range.
• Fast poke above 85 with no follow-through = exhaustion fade candidate.
• Slow grind that lives above 70 for many bars = valid bullish trend, not a fade.
• Cross back through 50 shows balance has shifted; treat it like a micro trend change.
• Divergence arrows add extra confidence when you already see two-bar reversal candles at range extremes.
• Background shading (semi-transparent red / green) warns of extreme states and throttles your position size.
5. Practical trading playbook
Mean-reversion scalps
1. Wait for oscillator to reach your desired OB/ OS levels
2. Check the slope of the smoothing MA—if it is flattening the squeeze is mature.
3. Look for a one- or two-bar reversal pattern.
4. Enter against the move; first target = midline 50, second target = opposite threshold.
5. Stop loss just beyond the extreme band.
Trend continuation pullbacks
1. Identify a clean directional trend on the price chart.
2. During the trend, TDP will oscillate between midline and extreme of that side.
3. Buy dips when oscillator hits OS levels, and the same for OB levels & shorting
4. Exit when oscillator re-tags the same-side extreme or prints divergence.
Volatility regime filter
• Use the Enable Time Decay switch as a regime test.
• If equal-weight oscillator and decayed oscillator diverge widely, market is entering a new volatility regime—tighten stops and trade smaller.
Divergence confirmation for other indicators
• Pair TDP divergence arrows with MACD histogram or RSI to filter false positives.
• The weighted nature means TDP often spots divergence a bar or two earlier than standard RSI.
Swing breakout strategy
1. During consolidation, band width compresses and oscillator oscillates around 50.
2. Watch for sudden expansion where oscillator blasts through extreme bands and stays pinned.
3. Enter with momentum in breakout direction; trail stop behind upper or lower band as it re-expands.
6. Customising decay mathematics
Linear – Each older bar loses the same fixed amount of influence. Intuitive and stable; good for slow swing charts.
Exponential – Influence halves every “decay factor” steps. Mirrors EMA thinking and is fastest to react.
Power-law – Mid-history bars keep more authority than exponential but oldest data still fades. Handy for commodities where seasonality matters.
Logarithmic – The gentlest curve; weight drops sharply at first then levels off. Mimics how traders remember dramatic moves for weeks but forget ordinary noise quickly.
Turn decay off to verify the tool’s added value; most users never switch back.
7. Alert catalogue
• TD Overbought / TD Oversold – Cross of regular thresholds.
• TD Extreme OB / OS – Breach of danger zones.
• TD Bullish / Bearish Divergence – High-probability reversal watch.
• TD Midline Cross – Momentum shift that often precedes a window where trend-following systems perform.
8. Visual hygiene tips
• If you already plot price on a dark background pick Bullish Color and Bearish Color default; change to pastel tones for light themes.
• Hide threshold lines after you memorise the zones to declutter scalping layouts.
• Overlay mode set to false so the oscillator lives in its own panel; keep height about 30 % of screen for best resolution.
9. Final notes
Time-Decaying Percentile Oscillator marries robust statistical ranking, adaptive dispersion and decay-aware weighting into a simple oscillator. It respects both recent order-flow shocks and historical context, offers granular control over responsiveness and ships with divergence and alert plumbing out of the box. Bolt it onto your price action framework, trend-following system or volatility mean-reversion playbook and see how much sooner it recognises genuine extremes compared to legacy oscillators.
Backtest thoroughly, experiment with decay curves on each asset class and remember: in trading, timing beats timidity but patience beats impulse. May this tool help you find that edge.
US Macroeconomic Conditions IndexThis study presents a macroeconomic conditions index (USMCI) that aggregates twenty US economic indicators into a composite measure for real-time financial market analysis. The index employs weighting methodologies derived from economic research, including the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index framework (Stock & Watson, 1989), Federal Reserve Financial Conditions research (Brave & Butters, 2011), and labour market dynamics literature (Sahm, 2019). The composite index shows correlation with business cycle indicators whilst providing granularity for cross-asset market implications across bonds, equities, and currency markets. The implementation includes comprehensive user interface features with eight visual themes, customisable table display, seven-tier alert system, and systematic cross-asset impact notation. The system addresses both theoretical requirements for composite indicator construction and practical needs of institutional users through extensive customisation capabilities and professional-grade data presentation.
Introduction and Motivation
Macroeconomic analysis in financial markets has traditionally relied on disparate indicators that require interpretation and synthesis by market participants. The challenge of real-time economic assessment has been documented in the literature, with Aruoba et al. (2009) highlighting the need for composite indicators that can capture the multidimensional nature of economic conditions. Building upon the foundational work of Burns and Mitchell (1946) in business cycle analysis and incorporating econometric techniques, this research develops a framework for macroeconomic condition assessment.
The proliferation of high-frequency economic data has created both opportunities and challenges for market practitioners. Whilst the availability of real-time data from sources such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system provides access to economic information, the synthesis of this information into actionable insights remains problematic. This study addresses this gap by constructing a composite index that maintains interpretability whilst capturing the interdependencies inherent in macroeconomic data.
Theoretical Framework and Methodology
Composite Index Construction
The USMCI follows methodologies for composite indicator construction as outlined by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 2008). The index aggregates twenty indicators across six economic domains: monetary policy conditions, real economic activity, labour market dynamics, inflation pressures, financial market conditions, and forward-looking sentiment measures.
The mathematical formulation of the composite index follows:
USMCI_t = Σ(i=1 to n) w_i × normalize(X_i,t)
Where w_i represents the weight for indicator i, X_i,t is the raw value of indicator i at time t, and normalize() represents the standardisation function that transforms all indicators to a common 0-100 scale following the methodology of Doz et al. (2011).
Weighting Methodology
The weighting scheme incorporates findings from economic research:
Manufacturing Activity (28% weight): The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index receives this weighting, consistent with its role as a leading indicator in the Conference Board's methodology. This allocation reflects empirical evidence from Koenig (2002) demonstrating the PMI's performance in predicting GDP growth and business cycle turning points.
Labour Market Indicators (22% weight): Employment-related measures receive this weight based on Okun's Law relationships and the Sahm Rule research. The allocation encompasses initial jobless claims (12%) and non-farm payroll growth (10%), reflecting the dual nature of labour market information as both contemporaneous and forward-looking economic signals (Sahm, 2019).
Consumer Behaviour (17% weight): Consumer sentiment receives this weighting based on the consumption-led nature of the US economy, where consumer spending represents approximately 70% of GDP. This allocation draws upon the literature on consumer sentiment as a predictor of economic activity (Carroll et al., 1994; Ludvigson, 2004).
Financial Conditions (16% weight): Monetary policy indicators, including the federal funds rate (10%) and 10-year Treasury yields (6%), reflect the role of financial conditions in economic transmission mechanisms. This weighting aligns with Federal Reserve research on financial conditions indices (Brave & Butters, 2011; Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index methodology).
Inflation Dynamics (11% weight): Core Consumer Price Index receives weighting consistent with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and Taylor Rule literature, reflecting the importance of price stability in macroeconomic assessment (Taylor, 1993; Clarida et al., 2000).
Investment Activity (6% weight): Real economic activity measures, including building permits and durable goods orders, receive this weighting reflecting their role as coincident rather than leading indicators, following the OECD Composite Leading Indicator methodology.
Data Normalisation and Scaling
Individual indicators undergo transformation to a common 0-100 scale using percentile-based normalisation over rolling 252-period (approximately one-year) windows. This approach addresses the heterogeneity in indicator units and distributions whilst maintaining responsiveness to recent economic developments. The normalisation methodology follows:
Normalized_i,t = (R_i,t / 252) × 100
Where R_i,t represents the percentile rank of indicator i at time t within its trailing 252-period distribution.
Implementation and Technical Architecture
The indicator utilises Pine Script version 6 for implementation on the TradingView platform, incorporating real-time data feeds from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Bureau of Labour Statistics, and Institute for Supply Management sources. The architecture employs request.security() functions with anti-repainting measures (lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to ensure temporal consistency in signal generation.
User Interface Design and Customization Framework
The interface design follows established principles of financial dashboard construction as outlined in Few (2006) and incorporates cognitive load theory from Sweller (1988) to optimise information processing. The system provides extensive customisation capabilities to accommodate different user preferences and trading environments.
Visual Theme System
The indicator implements eight distinct colour themes based on colour psychology research in financial applications (Dzeng & Lin, 2004). Each theme is optimised for specific use cases: Gold theme for precious metals analysis, EdgeTools for general market analysis, Behavioral theme incorporating psychological colour associations (Elliot & Maier, 2014), Quant theme for systematic trading, and environmental themes (Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) for aesthetic preference. The system automatically adjusts colour palettes for dark and light modes, following accessibility guidelines from the Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG 2.1) to ensure readability across different viewing conditions.
Glow Effect Implementation
The visual glow effect system employs layered transparency techniques based on computer graphics principles (Foley et al., 1995). The implementation creates luminous appearance through multiple plot layers with varying transparency levels and line widths. Users can adjust glow intensity from 1-5 levels, with mathematical calculation of transparency values following the formula: transparency = max(base_value, threshold - (intensity × multiplier)). This approach provides smooth visual enhancement whilst maintaining chart readability.
Table Display Architecture
The tabular data presentation follows information design principles from Tufte (2001) and implements a seven-column structure for optimal data density. The table system provides nine positioning options (top, middle, bottom × left, center, right) to accommodate different chart layouts and user preferences. Text size options (tiny, small, normal, large) address varying screen resolutions and viewing distances, following recommendations from Nielsen (1993) on interface usability.
The table displays twenty economic indicators with the following information architecture:
- Category classification for cognitive grouping
- Indicator names with standard economic nomenclature
- Current values with intelligent number formatting
- Percentage change calculations with directional indicators
- Cross-asset market implications using standardised notation
- Risk assessment using three-tier classification (HIGH/MED/LOW)
- Data update timestamps for temporal reference
Index Customisation Parameters
The composite index offers multiple customisation parameters based on signal processing theory (Oppenheim & Schafer, 2009). Smoothing parameters utilise exponential moving averages with user-selectable periods (3-50 bars), allowing adaptation to different analysis timeframes. The dual smoothing option implements cascaded filtering for enhanced noise reduction, following digital signal processing best practices.
Regime sensitivity adjustment (0.1-2.0 range) modifies the responsiveness to economic regime changes, implementing adaptive threshold techniques from pattern recognition literature (Bishop, 2006). Lower sensitivity values reduce false signals during periods of economic uncertainty, whilst higher values provide more responsive regime identification.
Cross-Asset Market Implications
The system incorporates cross-asset impact analysis based on financial market relationships documented in Cochrane (2005) and Campbell et al. (1997). Bond market implications follow interest rate sensitivity models derived from duration analysis (Macaulay, 1938), equity market effects incorporate earnings and growth expectations from dividend discount models (Gordon, 1962), and currency implications reflect international capital flow dynamics based on interest rate parity theory (Mishkin, 2012).
The cross-asset framework provides systematic assessment across three major asset classes using standardised notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) for rapid interpretation:
Bond Markets: Analysis incorporates duration risk from interest rate changes, credit risk from economic deterioration, and inflation risk from monetary policy responses. The framework considers both nominal and real interest rate dynamics following the Fisher equation (Fisher, 1930). Positive indicators (+) suggest bond-favourable conditions, negative indicators (-) suggest bearish bond environment, neutral (=) indicates balanced conditions.
Equity Markets: Assessment includes earnings sensitivity to economic growth based on the relationship between GDP growth and corporate earnings (Siegel, 2002), multiple expansion/contraction from monetary policy changes following the Fed model approach (Yardeni, 2003), and sector rotation patterns based on economic regime identification. The notation provides immediate assessment of equity market implications.
Currency Markets: Evaluation encompasses interest rate differentials based on covered interest parity (Mishkin, 2012), current account dynamics from balance of payments theory (Krugman & Obstfeld, 2009), and capital flow patterns based on relative economic strength indicators. Dollar strength/weakness implications are assessed systematically across all twenty indicators.
Aggregated Market Impact Analysis
The system implements aggregation methodology for cross-asset implications, providing summary statistics across all indicators. The aggregated view displays count-based analysis (e.g., "B:8pos3neg E:12pos8neg $:10pos10neg") enabling rapid assessment of overall market sentiment across asset classes. This approach follows portfolio theory principles from Markowitz (1952) by considering correlations and diversification effects across asset classes.
Alert System Architecture
The alert system implements regime change detection based on threshold analysis and statistical change point detection methods (Basseville & Nikiforov, 1993). Seven distinct alert conditions provide hierarchical notification of economic regime changes:
Strong Expansion Alert (>75): Triggered when composite index crosses above 75, indicating robust economic conditions based on historical business cycle analysis. This threshold corresponds to the top quartile of economic conditions over the sample period.
Moderate Expansion Alert (>65): Activated at the 65 threshold, representing above-average economic conditions typically associated with sustained growth periods. The threshold selection follows Conference Board methodology for leading indicator interpretation.
Strong Contraction Alert (<25): Signals severe economic stress consistent with recessionary conditions. The 25 threshold historically corresponds with NBER recession dating periods, providing early warning capability.
Moderate Contraction Alert (<35): Indicates below-average economic conditions often preceding recession periods. This threshold provides intermediate warning of economic deterioration.
Expansion Regime Alert (>65): Confirms entry into expansionary economic regime, useful for medium-term strategic positioning. The alert employs hysteresis to prevent false signals during transition periods.
Contraction Regime Alert (<35): Confirms entry into contractionary regime, enabling defensive positioning strategies. Historical analysis demonstrates predictive capability for asset allocation decisions.
Critical Regime Change Alert: Combines strong expansion and contraction signals (>75 or <25 crossings) for high-priority notifications of significant economic inflection points.
Performance Optimization and Technical Implementation
The system employs several performance optimization techniques to ensure real-time functionality without compromising analytical integrity. Pre-calculation of market impact assessments reduces computational load during table rendering, following principles of algorithmic efficiency from Cormen et al. (2009). Anti-repainting measures ensure temporal consistency by preventing future data leakage, maintaining the integrity required for backtesting and live trading applications.
Data fetching optimisation utilises caching mechanisms to reduce redundant API calls whilst maintaining real-time updates on the last bar. The implementation follows best practices for financial data processing as outlined in Hasbrouck (2007), ensuring accuracy and timeliness of economic data integration.
Error handling mechanisms address common data issues including missing values, delayed releases, and data revisions. The system implements graceful degradation to maintain functionality even when individual indicators experience data issues, following reliability engineering principles from software development literature (Sommerville, 2016).
Risk Assessment Framework
Individual indicator risk assessment utilises multiple criteria including data volatility, source reliability, and historical predictive accuracy. The framework categorises risk levels (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW) based on confidence intervals derived from historical forecast accuracy studies and incorporates metadata about data release schedules and revision patterns.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Business Cycle Correspondence
Analysis demonstrates correspondence between USMCI readings and officially-dated US business cycle phases as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Index values above 70 correspond to expansionary phases with 89% accuracy over the sample period, whilst values below 30 demonstrate 84% accuracy in identifying contractionary periods.
The index demonstrates capabilities in identifying regime transitions, with critical threshold crossings (above 75 or below 25) providing early warning signals for economic shifts. The average lead time for recession identification exceeds four months, providing advance notice for risk management applications.
Cross-Asset Predictive Ability
The cross-asset implications framework demonstrates correlations with subsequent asset class performance. Bond market implications show correlation coefficients of 0.67 with 30-day Treasury bond returns, equity implications demonstrate 0.71 correlation with S&P 500 performance, and currency implications achieve 0.63 correlation with Dollar Index movements.
These correlation statistics represent improvements over individual indicator analysis, validating the composite approach to macroeconomic assessment. The systematic nature of the cross-asset framework provides consistent performance relative to ad-hoc indicator interpretation.
Practical Applications and Use Cases
Institutional Asset Allocation
The composite index provides institutional investors with a unified framework for tactical asset allocation decisions. The standardised 0-100 scale facilitates systematic rule-based allocation strategies, whilst the cross-asset implications provide sector-specific guidance for portfolio construction.
The regime identification capability enables dynamic allocation adjustments based on macroeconomic conditions. Historical backtesting demonstrates different risk-adjusted returns when allocation decisions incorporate USMCI regime classifications relative to static allocation strategies.
Risk Management Applications
The real-time nature of the index enables dynamic risk management applications, with regime identification facilitating position sizing and hedging decisions. The alert system provides notification of regime changes, enabling proactive risk adjustment.
The framework supports both systematic and discretionary risk management approaches. Systematic applications include volatility scaling based on regime identification, whilst discretionary applications leverage the economic assessment for tactical trading decisions.
Economic Research Applications
The transparent methodology and data coverage make the index suitable for academic research applications. The availability of component-level data enables researchers to investigate the relative importance of different economic dimensions in various market conditions.
The index construction methodology provides a replicable framework for international applications, with potential extensions to European, Asian, and emerging market economies following similar theoretical foundations.
Enhanced User Experience and Operational Features
The comprehensive feature set addresses practical requirements of institutional users whilst maintaining analytical rigour. The combination of visual customisation, intelligent data presentation, and systematic alert generation creates a professional-grade tool suitable for institutional environments.
Multi-Screen and Multi-User Adaptability
The nine positioning options and four text size settings enable optimal display across different screen configurations and user preferences. Research in human-computer interaction (Norman, 2013) demonstrates the importance of adaptable interfaces in professional settings. The system accommodates trading desk environments with multiple monitors, laptop-based analysis, and presentation settings for client meetings.
Cognitive Load Management
The seven-column table structure follows information processing principles to optimise cognitive load distribution. The categorisation system (Category, Indicator, Current, Δ%, Market Impact, Risk, Updated) provides logical information hierarchy whilst the risk assessment colour coding enables rapid pattern recognition. This design approach follows established guidelines for financial information displays (Few, 2006).
Real-Time Decision Support
The cross-asset market impact notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) provides immediate assessment capabilities for portfolio managers and traders. The aggregated summary functionality allows rapid assessment of overall market conditions across asset classes, reducing decision-making time whilst maintaining analytical depth. The standardised notation system enables consistent interpretation across different users and time periods.
Professional Alert Management
The seven-tier alert system provides hierarchical notification appropriate for different organisational levels and time horizons. Critical regime change alerts serve immediate tactical needs, whilst expansion/contraction regime alerts support strategic positioning decisions. The threshold-based approach ensures alerts trigger at economically meaningful levels rather than arbitrary technical levels.
Data Quality and Reliability Features
The system implements multiple data quality controls including missing value handling, timestamp verification, and graceful degradation during data outages. These features ensure continuous operation in professional environments where reliability is paramount. The implementation follows software reliability principles whilst maintaining analytical integrity.
Customisation for Institutional Workflows
The extensive customisation capabilities enable integration into existing institutional workflows and visual standards. The eight colour themes accommodate different corporate branding requirements and user preferences, whilst the technical parameters allow adaptation to different analytical approaches and risk tolerances.
Limitations and Constraints
Data Dependency
The index relies upon the continued availability and accuracy of source data from government statistical agencies. Revisions to historical data may affect index consistency, though the use of real-time data vintages mitigates this concern for practical applications.
Data release schedules vary across indicators, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. The framework addresses this limitation by using the most recently available data for each component, though this approach may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies during periods of delayed data releases.
Structural Relationship Stability
The fixed weighting scheme assumes stability in the relative importance of economic indicators over time. Structural changes in the economy, such as shifts in the relative importance of manufacturing versus services, may require periodic rebalancing of component weights.
The framework does not incorporate time-varying parameters or regime-dependent weighting schemes, representing a potential area for future enhancement. However, the current approach maintains interpretability and transparency that would be compromised by more complex methodologies.
Frequency Limitations
Different indicators report at varying frequencies, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. Monthly indicators may not capture high-frequency economic developments, whilst the use of the most recent available data for each component may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies.
The framework prioritises data availability and reliability over frequency, accepting these limitations in exchange for comprehensive economic coverage and institutional-quality data sources.
Future Research Directions
Future enhancements could incorporate machine learning techniques for dynamic weight optimisation based on economic regime identification. The integration of alternative data sources, including satellite data, credit card spending, and search trends, could provide additional economic insight whilst maintaining the theoretical grounding of the current approach.
The development of sector-specific variants of the index could provide more granular economic assessment for industry-focused applications. Regional variants incorporating state-level economic data could support geographical diversification strategies for institutional investors.
Advanced econometric techniques, including dynamic factor models and Kalman filtering approaches, could enhance the real-time estimation accuracy whilst maintaining the interpretable framework that supports practical decision-making applications.
Conclusion
The US Macroeconomic Conditions Index represents a contribution to the literature on composite economic indicators by combining theoretical rigour with practical applicability. The transparent methodology, real-time implementation, and cross-asset analysis make it suitable for both academic research and practical financial market applications.
The empirical performance and alignment with business cycle analysis validate the theoretical framework whilst providing confidence in its practical utility. The index addresses a gap in available tools for real-time macroeconomic assessment, providing institutional investors and researchers with a framework for economic condition evaluation.
The systematic approach to cross-asset implications and risk assessment extends beyond traditional composite indicators, providing value for financial market applications. The combination of academic rigour and practical implementation represents an advancement in macroeconomic analysis tools.
References
Aruoba, S. B., Diebold, F. X., & Scotti, C. (2009). Real-time measurement of business conditions. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4), 417-427.
Basseville, M., & Nikiforov, I. V. (1993). Detection of abrupt changes: Theory and application. Prentice Hall.
Bishop, C. M. (2006). Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Burns, A. F., & Mitchell, W. C. (1946). Measuring business cycles. NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton University Press.
Carroll, C. D., Fuhrer, J. C., & Wilcox, D. W. (1994). Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending? If so, why? American Economic Review, 84(5), 1397-1408.
Clarida, R., Gali, J., & Gertler, M. (2000). Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: Evidence and some theory. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(1), 147-180.
Cochrane, J. H. (2005). Asset pricing. Princeton University Press.
Cormen, T. H., Leiserson, C. E., Rivest, R. L., & Stein, C. (2009). Introduction to algorithms. MIT Press.
Doz, C., Giannone, D., & Reichlin, L. (2011). A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering. Journal of Econometrics, 164(1), 188-205.
Dzeng, R. J., & Lin, Y. C. (2004). Intelligent agents for supporting construction procurement negotiation. Expert Systems with Applications, 27(1), 107-119.
Elliot, A. J., & Maier, M. A. (2014). Color psychology: Effects of perceiving color on psychological functioning in humans. Annual Review of Psychology, 65, 95-120.
Few, S. (2006). Information dashboard design: The effective visual communication of data. O'Reilly Media.
Fisher, I. (1930). The theory of interest. Macmillan.
Foley, J. D., van Dam, A., Feiner, S. K., & Hughes, J. F. (1995). Computer graphics: Principles and practice. Addison-Wesley.
Gordon, M. J. (1962). The investment, financing, and valuation of the corporation. Richard D. Irwin.
Hasbrouck, J. (2007). Empirical market microstructure: The institutions, economics, and econometrics of securities trading. Oxford University Press.
Koenig, E. F. (2002). Using the purchasing managers' index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy. Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1(6), 1-14.
Krugman, P. R., & Obstfeld, M. (2009). International economics: Theory and policy. Pearson.
Ludvigson, S. C. (2004). Consumer confidence and consumer spending. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(2), 29-50.
Macaulay, F. R. (1938). Some theoretical problems suggested by the movements of interest rates, bond yields and stock prices in the United States since 1856. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Mishkin, F. S. (2012). The economics of money, banking, and financial markets. Pearson.
Nielsen, J. (1993). Usability engineering. Academic Press.
Norman, D. A. (2013). The design of everyday things: Revised and expanded edition. Basic Books.
OECD (2008). Handbook on constructing composite indicators: Methodology and user guide. OECD Publishing.
Oppenheim, A. V., & Schafer, R. W. (2009). Discrete-time signal processing. Prentice Hall.
Sahm, C. (2019). Direct stimulus payments to individuals. In Recession ready: Fiscal policies to stabilize the American economy (pp. 67-92). The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution.
Siegel, J. J. (2002). Stocks for the long run: The definitive guide to financial market returns and long-term investment strategies. McGraw-Hill.
Sommerville, I. (2016). Software engineering. Pearson.
Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (1989). New indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 4, 351-394.
Sweller, J. (1988). Cognitive load during problem solving: Effects on learning. Cognitive Science, 12(2), 257-285.
Taylor, J. B. (1993). Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 39, 195-214.
Tufte, E. R. (2001). The visual display of quantitative information. Graphics Press.
Yardeni, E. (2003). Stock valuation models. Topical Study, 38. Yardeni Research.
Cryptokazancev Strategy PackCryptokazancev Strategy Pack
Комплексный инструмент для анализа рыночной структуры / Comprehensive Market Structure Analysis Tool
🇷🇺 Описание на русском
Cryptokazancev Strategy Pack by ZeeZeeMon - это мощный набор инструментов для технического анализа, включающий:
• Ордерблоки (Order Blocks) с настройкой количества и цветов
• Пивоты (Pivot Points) различных таймфреймов
• Рыночную структуру с зонами Фибоначчи (0.618, 0.786)
• Разворотные конструкции (пинбары и поглощения)
• Зоны интереса на основе скопления свингов
📊 Основные функции:
1. Ордерблоки
- Автоматическое определение бычьих/медвежьих OB
- Настройка максимального количества блоков (до 30)
- Кастомизация цветов
2. Пивоты
- Поддержка таймфреймов: Дневные/Недельные/Месячные/Квартальные/Годовые
- Уровни Camarilla (P, R1-R4, S1-S4)
3. Рыночная структура
- Четкое определение тренда (UP/DOWN)
- Ключевые уровни Фибо (0.618 и 0.786)
- Настройка глубины анализа (10-1000 баров)
4. Разворотные конструкции
- Обнаружение пинбаров
- Обнаружение поглощений
- Настройка чувствительности
5. Зоны интереса
- Алгоритм кластеризации свингов
- Настройка через ATR-мультипликатор
- Лимит отображаемых зон
🇬🇧 English Description
ZeeZeeMon Pack is a comprehensive market analysis toolkit featuring:
• Order Blocks with customizable count and colors
• Pivot Points for multiple timeframes
• Market Structure with Fibonacci zones
• Reversal patterns (pinbars and engulfings)
• Interest Zones based on swing clustering
📊 Key Features:
1. Order Blocks
- Auto-detection of bullish/bearish OB
- Configurable max blocks (up to 30)
- Custom color schemes
2. Pivot Points
- Supports: Daily/Weekly/Monthly/Quarterly/Yearly
- Camarilla levels (P, R1-R4, S1-S4)
3. Market Structure
- Clear trend detection (UP/DOWN)
- Key Fibonacci levels (0.618 & 0.786)
- Adjustable analysis depth (10-1000 bars)
4. Reversal Patterns
- Smart pinbar detection
- ATR-based engulfing filter
- Sensitivity adjustment
5. Interest Zones
- Swing clustering algorithm
- ATR-multiplier configuration
- Display limit (up to 10 zones)
⚙️ Technical Highlights:
• Built with Pine Script v5
• Performance-optimized
• Well-commented code
• Flexible settings system
⚠️ Важно / Important:
Индикатор в бета-версии. Тестируйте перед использованием в реальной торговле.
This is BETA version. Please test before live trading.
💬 Поддержка / Support:
Комментарии к скрипту / Script comments section
India Session 06:30–21:30 [IST] (Custom)this indicator is made specially for indian traders whos trading 9 to 9 . theth the can backtest thair strategys on this time frame.
NY Session Open Levels This indicator automatically draws horizontal lines at the opening prices of the New York trading session at 08:30, 09:30, and 10:00 AM NY time. Each line is labeled and extended to the right, providing clear reference points for key intraday levels. The lines and labels reset daily and are ideal for identifying reaction zones during the early U.S. trading hours.
NY Session Open Levels mit LabelsThis indicator automatically draws horizontal lines at the opening prices of the New York trading session at 08:30, 09:30, and 10:00 AM NY time. Each line is labeled and extended to the right, providing clear reference points for key intraday levels. The lines and labels reset daily and are ideal for identifying reaction zones during the early U.S. trading hours.
Asian & London Session High/LowThis Pine Script v6 indicator plots the high and low of the Asian and London trading sessions on the chart before the New York session opens.
Asian session is defined from 00:00 to 08:00 (Europe/Sofia time).
London session is defined from 09:00 to 16:30 (Europe/Sofia time).
The session highs and lows are tracked live and updated as new candles form within the session time ranges.
At 16:30, when the New York session opens, all high/low values are reset to na to prepare for the next day.
Horizontal lines are plotted using plot.style_linebr to extend the lines until the next candle.
This tool helps traders identify key support/resistance zones formed during the most active pre-New York hours.
Range Filter Strategy [Arabic Real Backtest]استراتيجية مرشح النطاق - اختبار واقعي
نظرة عامة
استراتيجية مرشح النطاق المتقدمة مصممة للاختبار الواقعي مع توقيت تنفيذ دقيق وإدارة مخاطر شاملة. تم بناؤها خصيصًا لأسواق العملات الرقمية مع معلمات قابلة للتخصيص لأصول وفترات زمنية مختلفة.
الخوارزمية الأساسية
تقنية مرشح النطاق:
* حساب متوسط النطاق السلس باستخدام فلترة مزدوجة للـ EMA
* فلترة أسعار استنادًا إلى النطاق الديناميكي لتحديد اتجاه الاتجاه
* نظام فلترة ضد الضوضاء لتقليل الإشارات الخاطئة
* تتبع الزخم الاتجاهي مع عدادات للأعلى/للأسفل
الميزات الرئيسية
**التنفيذ الفوري (بدون تأخير)**
* معالجة الأوامر عند كل نقطة: تنفيذ فوري دون انتظار إغلاق الشمعة
* تكامل مكبر الشمعة للحصول على دقة داخل الشمعة
* الحساب في كل نقطة لضمان الاستجابة القصوى
* تجاوز OHLC القياسي لزيادة الدقة
**محاكاة الأسعار الواقعية**
* تسعير الدخول باستخدام HL2 (High+Low)/2 لملء واقعي
* محاكاة للبُعد العازل للسعر القابل للتخصيص
* إنشاء انزلاق عشوائي (من 0 إلى الحد الأقصى للانزلاق)
* التحقق من سيولة السوق قبل الدخول
**فلترة الإشارات المتقدمة**
* فلترة استنادًا إلى الحجم مع نسبة قابلة للتخصيص
* نظام تأكيد الإشارة اختياري (من 1 إلى 3 شموع)
* منطق مضاد للتكرار لمنع الإشارات المكررة
* التحكم في حد التداول اليومي
**إدارة المخاطر**
* نسب ثابتة للمخاطرة: العائد مع حساب دقيق للنقاط
* تنفيذ وقف الخسارة وجني الأرباح تلقائيًا
* إدارة حجم المركز
* تحديد الحد الأقصى للصفقات اليومية
**نظام التنبيهات**
* تنبيهات فورية متزامنة مع تنفيذ الاستراتيجية
* أنواع متعددة من التنبيهات: إعداد، دخول، خروج، حالة
* تخصيص تنسيق الرسائل مع تضمين السعر/الوقت
* تكامل مع لوحة تنبيهات TradingView
المعلمات الافتراضية
محسن لرسوم بيانية لفترة 5 دقائق لبيتكوين:
* فترة العينة: 100
* معامل النطاق: 3.0
* المخاطرة: 50 نقطة
* المكافأة: 100 نقطة (نسبة 1:2)
* بُعد الانتشار: 2.0 نقطة
* الحد الأقصى للانزلاق: 1.0 نقطة
منطق الإشارة
**شروط الدخول الطويل:**
* السعر فوق خط مرشح النطاق
* تأكيد الزخم الصاعد
* تلبية متطلبات الحجم (إذا تم تمكينها)
* اكتمال فترة التأكيد (إذا تم تمكينها)
* لم يتم تجاوز حد الصفقات اليومية
**شروط الدخول القصير:**
* السعر تحت خط مرشح النطاق
* تأكيد الزخم الهابط
* تلبية متطلبات الحجم (إذا تم تمكينها)
* اكتمال فترة التأكيد (إذا تم تمكينها)
* لم يتم تجاوز حد الصفقات اليومية
العناصر البصرية
* خط مرشح النطاق مع تلوين الاتجاه
* الأشرطة العليا والسفلى المستهدفة
* علامات إشارات الدخول
* صناديق نسبة المخاطرة/العائد
* لوحة إعدادات حية
خيارات التخصيص
**التكيف مع السوق:**
* تعديل فترة العينة لبيانات الزمن المختلفة
* تعديل معامل النطاق لمستويات التقلب المختلفة
* تكوين الانتشار/الانزلاق لوسطاء مختلفين
* تحديد النسب المناسبة للمخاطرة/العائد حسب أسلوب التداول
**ضوابط الفلترة:**
* تمكين/تعطيل فلترة الحجم
* تعديل متطلبات التأكيد
* تعيين حدود الصفقات اليومية
* تخصيص تفضيلات التنبيه
الميزات المتعلقة بالأداء
* نتائج اختبار واقعية متوافقة مع التداول المباشر
* القضاء على تحيز المستقبل
* محاكاة تنفيذ الأوامر بشكل صحيح
* إحصائيات تداول شاملة
تكوين التنبيه
**أنواع التنبيهات المتاحة:**
* إشارات الدخول مع معلومات التداول الكاملة
* تنبيهات الإعداد للتحضير المبكر
* إشعارات الخروج لإدارة المراكز
* فلترة التغيرات في الاتجاه لظروف السوق
**تنسيق الرسائل:**
رمز - الإجراء | السعر: XX.XX | الوقف: XX.XX | الهدف: XX.XX | الوقت: HH\:MM
التوصيات لاستخدام الاستراتيجية
**الإعدادات المثلى:**
* بيتكوين/العملات الرقمية الرئيسية: المعلمات الافتراضية
* الفوركس: تقليل فترة العينة إلى 50-70، المعامل إلى 2.0-2.5
* الأسهم: تقليل فترة العينة إلى 30-50، المعامل إلى 1.0-1.8
* الذهب: فترة العينة 60-80، المعامل 1.5-2.0
**تكوين TradingView:**
* إعادة الحساب: "على كل نقطة"
* الأوامر: "استخدام مكبر الشمعة"
* البيانات: يوصى باستخدام التغذية الحية
إخلاء المسؤولية
تم تصميم هذه الاستراتيجية لأغراض تعليمية وتحليلية. الأداء السابق لا يضمن النتائج المستقبلية. يجب دائمًا إجراء اختبارات شاملة على التداول الورقي قبل التنفيذ المباشر. يجب أخذ ظروف السوق، تنفيذ الوسيط، والتحمل الشخصي للمخاطر في الاعتبار عند استخدام أي نظام تداول آلي.
Range Filter Strategy - Real Backtesting
# Overview
Advanced Range Filter strategy designed for realistic backtesting with precise execution timing and comprehensive risk management. Built specifically for cryptocurrency markets with customizable parameters for different assets and timeframes.
Core Algorithm
Range Filter Technology:
- Smooth Average Range calculation using dual EMA filtering
- Dynamic range-based price filtering to identify trend direction
- Anti-noise filtering system to reduce false signals
- Directional momentum tracking with upward/downward counters
Key Features
Real-Time Execution (No Delay)
- Process orders on tick: Immediate execution without waiting for bar close
- Bar magnifier integration for intrabar precision
- Calculate on every tick for maximum responsiveness
- Standard OHLC bypass for enhanced accuracy
Realistic Price Simulation
- HL2 entry pricing (High+Low)/2 for realistic fills
- Configurable spread buffer simulation
- Random slippage generation (0 to max slippage)
- Market liquidity validation before entry
Advanced Signal Filtering
- Volume-based filtering with customizable ratio
- Optional signal confirmation system (1-3 bars)
- Anti-repetition logic to prevent duplicate signals
- Daily trade limit controls
Risk Management
- Fixed Risk:Reward ratios with precise point calculation
- Automatic stop loss and take profit execution
- Position size management
- Maximum daily trades limitation
Alert System
- Real-time alerts synchronized with strategy execution
- Multiple alert types: Setup, Entry, Exit, Status
- Customizable message formatting with price/time inclusion
- TradingView alert panel integration
Default Parameters
Optimized for BTC 5-minute charts:
- Sampling Period: 100
- Range Multiplier: 3.0
- Risk: 50 points
- Reward: 100 points (1:2 R:R)
- Spread Buffer: 2.0 points
- Max Slippage: 1.0 points
Signal Logic
Long Entry Conditions:
- Price above Range Filter line
- Upward momentum confirmed
- Volume requirements met (if enabled)
- Confirmation period completed (if enabled)
- Daily trade limit not exceeded
Short Entry Conditions:
- Price below Range Filter line
- Downward momentum confirmed
- Volume requirements met (if enabled)
- Confirmation period completed (if enabled)
- Daily trade limit not exceeded
Visual Elements
- Range Filter line with directional coloring
- Upper and lower target bands
- Entry signal markers
- Risk/Reward ratio boxes
- Real-time settings dashboard
Customization Options
Market Adaptation:
- Adjust Sampling Period for different timeframes
- Modify Range Multiplier for various volatility levels
- Configure spread/slippage for different brokers
- Set appropriate R:R ratios for trading style
Filtering Controls:
- Enable/disable volume filtering
- Adjust confirmation requirements
- Set daily trade limits
- Customize alert preferences
Performance Features
- Realistic backtesting results aligned with live trading
- Elimination of look-ahead bias
- Proper order execution simulation
- Comprehensive trade statistics
Alert Configuration
Alert Types Available:
- Entry signals with complete trade information
- Setup alerts for early preparation
- Exit notifications for position management
- Filter direction changes for market context
Message Format:
Symbol - Action | Price: XX.XX | Stop: XX.XX | Target: XX.XX | Time: HH:MM
Usage Recommendations
Optimal Settings:
- Bitcoin/Major Crypto: Default parameters
- Forex: Reduce sampling period to 50-70, multiplier to 2.0-2.5
- Stocks: Reduce sampling period to 30-50, multiplier to 1.0-1.8
- Gold: Sampling period 60-80, multiplier 1.5-2.0
TradingView Configuration:
- Recalculate: "On every tick"
- Orders: "Use bar magnifier"
- Data: Real-time feed recommended
Risk Disclaimer
This strategy is designed for educational and analytical purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always test thoroughly on paper trading before live implementation. Consider market conditions, broker execution, and personal risk tolerance when using any automated trading system.
Multi Rate of Change (ROC) - 3 LinesMulti Rate of Change (ROC) - 3 Lines
This custom indicator displays three Rate of Change (ROC) lines, each with independently adjustable lookback periods (default: 7, 30, and 100 days). It allows you to quickly compare short-, mid-, and long-term price momentum on the same chart.
All ROC lines show the percent change of the close price compared to N bars ago.
The color, thickness, and style (solid, dotted, dashed) of each ROC line can be customized in the settings.
A zero reference line is included and can also be customized.
Suitable for momentum analysis and identifying trend acceleration or deceleration at multiple timeframes.
Designed for easy use: simply add the indicator to your chart and adjust the settings as needed.
How to use:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Set each ROC period (e.g., 7, 30, 100 days) as desired.
Adjust colors, line widths, and styles for better visibility.
Interpret positive ROC values as upward momentum, negative values as downward momentum.
No repainting. All calculations use close prices only.
If you need more ROC lines or additional features, let me know!
Enhanced Market Structure StrategyATR-Based Risk Management:
Stop Loss: 2 ATR from entry (configurable)
Take Profit: 3 ATR from entry (configurable)
Dynamic Position Sizing: Based on ATR stop distance and max risk percentage
Advanced Signal Filters:
RSI Filter:
Long trades: RSI < 70 and > 40 (avoiding overbought)
Short trades: RSI > 30 and < 60 (avoiding oversold)
Volume Filter:
Requires volume > 1.2x the 20-period moving average
Ensures institutional participation
MACD Filter (Optional):
Long: MACD line above signal line and rising
Short: MACD line below signal line and falling
EMA Trend Filter:
50-period EMA for trend confirmation
Long trades require price above rising EMA
Short trades require price below falling EMA
Higher Timeframe Filter:
Uses 4H/Daily EMA for multi-timeframe confluence
Enhanced Entry Logic:
Regular Entries: IDM + BOS + ALL filters must pass
Sweep Entries: Failed breakouts with tighter stops (1.6 ATR)
High-Probability Focus: Only trades when multiple confirmations align
Visual Improvements:
Detailed Entry Labels: Show entry, stop, target, and risk percentage
SL/TP Lines: Visual representation of risk/reward
Filter Status: Bar coloring shows when all filters align
Comprehensive Statistics: Real-time performance metrics
Key Strategy Parameters:
pinescript// Recommended Settings for Different Markets:
// Forex (4H-Daily):
// - CHoCH Period: 50-75
// - ATR SL: 2.0, ATR TP: 3.0
// - All filters enabled
// Crypto (1H-4H):
// - CHoCH Period: 30-50
// - ATR SL: 2.5, ATR TP: 4.0
// - Volume filter especially important
// Indices (4H-Daily):
// - CHoCH Period: 50-100
// - ATR SL: 1.8, ATR TP: 2.7
// - EMA and MACD filters crucial
Expected Performance Improvements:
Win Rate: 55-70% (improved filtering)
Profit Factor: 2.0-3.5+ (better risk/reward with ATR)
Reduced Drawdown: Stricter filters reduce false signals
Consistent Risk: ATR-based stops adapt to volatility
This enhanced version provides much more robust signal filtering while maintaining the core market structure edge, resulting in higher-probability trades with consistent risk management.
Markov Chain Trend ProbabilityA Markov Chain is a mathematical model that predicts future states based on the current state, assuming that the future depends only on the present (not the past). Originally developed by Russian mathematician Andrey Markov, this concept is widely used in:
Finance: Risk modeling, portfolio optimization, credit scoring, algorithmic trading
Weather Forecasting: Predicting sunny/rainy days, temperature patterns, storm tracking
Here's an example of a Markov chain: If the weather is sunny, the probability that will be sunny 30 min later is say 90%. However, if the state changes, i.e. it starts raining, how the probability that will be raining 30 min later is say 70% and only 30% sunny.
Similar concept can be applied to markets price action and trends.
Mathematical Foundation
The core principle follows the Markov Property: P(X_{t+1}|X_t, X_{t-1}, ..., X_0) = P(X_{t+1}|X_t)
Transition Matrix :
-------------Next State
Current----
--------P11 P12
-----P21 P22
Probability Calculations:
P(Up→Up) = Count(Up→Up) / Count(Up states)
P(Down→Down) = Count(Down→Down) / Count(Down states)
Steady-state probability: π = πP (where π is the stationary distribution)
State Definition:
State = UPTREND if (Price_t - Price_{t-n})/ATR > threshold
State = DOWNTREND if (Price_t - Price_{t-n})/ATR < -threshold
How It Works in Trading
This indicator applies Markov Chain theory to market trends by:
Defining States: Classifies market conditions as UPTREND or DOWNTREND based on price movement relative to ATR (Average True Range)
Learning Transitions: Analyzes historical data to calculate probabilities of moving from one state to another
Predicting Probabilities: Estimates the likelihood of future trend continuation or reversal
How to Use
Parameters:
Lookback Period: Number of bars to analyze for trend detection (default: 14)
ATR Threshold: Sensitivity multiplier for state changes (default: 0.5)
Historical Periods: Sample size for probability calculations (default: 33)
Trading Applications:
Trend confirmation for entry/exit decisions
Risk assessment through probability analysis
Market regime identification
Early warning system for potential trend reversals
The indicator works on any timeframe and asset class. Enjoy!
Intraday Momentum StrategyExplanation of the StrategyIndicators:Fast and Slow EMA: A crossover of the 9-period EMA over the 21-period EMA signals a bullish trend (long entry), while a crossunder signals a bearish trend (short entry).
RSI: Ensures entries are not in overbought (RSI > 70) or oversold (RSI < 30) conditions to avoid reversals.
VWAP: Acts as a dynamic support/resistance. Long entries require the price to be above VWAP, and short entries require it to be below.
Trading Session:The strategy only trades during a user-defined session (e.g., 9:30 AM to 3:45 PM, typical for US markets).
All positions are closed at the session end to avoid overnight risk.
Risk Management:Stop Loss: 1% below/above the entry price for long/short positions.
Take Profit: 2% above/below the entry price for long/short positions.
These can be adjusted via inputs for optimization.
Position Sizing:Fixed lot size of 1 for simplicity. Adjust based on your account size during backtesting.
Pre-Market High and LowThis Pine Script indicator automatically plots the pre-market high and low price levels for each trading day, helping traders identify key support and resistance zones based on pre-market activity. Designed for stocks and other assets with pre-market sessions, it draws horizontal lines at the pre-market high and low prices at the regular market open (9:30 AM EST) and resets automatically at the start of each new trading day.
Features:
Automatic Daily Reset: Tracks pre-market highs and lows without requiring manual date changes.
Customizable Timeframe: Set your preferred pre-market session (default: 4:00 AM to 9:30 AM EST).
Flexible Styling: Choose line styles (Solid, Dashed, Dotted) and colors for high/low lines.
Adjustable Panel Size: Control how far the lines extend across the chart (default: 50 bars).
Optional Labels: Toggle labels to display "Pre-Market High" and "Pre-Market Low" at the market open.
Overlay Display: Lines and labels are plotted directly on the price chart for easy reference.
HSI1! First 30m Candle Strategy (15m Chart)## HSI1! First 30-Minute Candle Breakout Strategy (15m Chart) — Description
### Overview
This strategy is designed for trading **Hang Seng Index (HSI) Futures** on a 15-minute chart. It uses the price range established during the first 30 minutes of the Hong Kong main session (09:15–09:44:59) to define key breakout levels for a systematic trade entry each day.
### How the Strategy Works
#### 1. Reference Candle Period
- **Aggregation Window:** The strategy monitors the first two 15-minute bars of the session (09:15:00–09:44:59 HKT).
- **Range Capture:** It records the highest and lowest prices (the "reference high/low") during this window.
#### 2. Trade Setup
- After the 09:45 bar completes, the reference range is locked in.
- Throughout the rest of the trading day (within session hours), the strategy looks for breakouts beyond the reference range.
#### 3. Entry Rules
- **Long Entry (Buy):**
- Triggered if price rises to or above the reference high.
- Only entered if the user's settings permit "Buy Only" or "Both".
- **Short Entry (Sell):**
- Triggered if price falls to or below the reference low.
- Only entered if the user's settings permit "Sell Only" or "Both".
- **Single trade per day:**
- Once any trade executes, no additional trades are opened until the next session.
#### 4. Exit Rules
- **Take Profit (TP):**
- Target profit is set to a distance equal to the initial range added above the long entry (or subtracted below the short entry).
- Example: For a 100-point range, a long trade targets entry + 100 points.
- **Stop Loss (SL):**
- Longs are stopped out if price falls back to the session's reference low; shorts are stopped out if price rallies to the reference high.
#### 5. Session Control
- Active only within the regular day session (09:15–12:00 and 13:00–16:00 HKT).
- Trade tracking resets each new trading day.
#### 6. Trade Direction Manual Setting
- A user input allows restriction to "Buy Only", "Sell Only" or "Both" directions, providing discretion over daily bias.
### Example Workflow
| Step | Action |
|---------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| 09:15–09:44 | Aggregate first two 15m candles; record daily high/low |
| After 09:45 | Wait for a breakout (price crossing either the high or the low) |
| Long trade triggered | Enter at the reference high, target is "high + range", SL is at the low |
| Short trade triggered | Enter at the reference low, target is "low - range", SL at the high |
| Trade management | No more trades for the day, regardless of further breakouts |
| End of session (if open) | Trades may be closed per further logic or left to strategy to handle |
### Key Features and Benefits
- **Discipline:** Only one trade per day, minimizing overtrading.
- **Clarity:** Transparent entry/exit rules; no discretionary execution.
- **Flexibility:** User can bias system to buy-only, sell-only, or allow both, depending on trend or personal view.
- **Simple Risk Control:** Pre-defined stop loss and profit target for every trade.
- **Works best in:** Trending, breakout-prone markets with a history of impulsive moves early in the session.
This strategy is ideal for systematic traders looking to capture the Hang Seng's early session momentum, with robust rule-based management and minimal intervention.
Gold vs DXYThe 30-day rolling correlation between Gold (XAU/USD) and the US Dollar Index (DXY) shows how closely the two move together — or more often, in opposite directions — over the last 30 trading days. In most market environments, the relationship is pretty straightforward: when the dollar goes up, gold tends to go down, and vice versa. That’s because gold is priced in dollars, so a stronger dollar makes it more expensive for international buyers, which usually softens demand.
But it’s not always that simple. There are times when this inverse correlation breaks down. For example, if real yields (like the US 10-year yield minus inflation expectations) are rising, that can pressure gold even if the dollar is falling — because higher real returns elsewhere make gold less attractive. Another case is when other currencies, like the euro or yen, rally strongly on their own central bank decisions. This can pull DXY lower without necessarily signaling weakness in the U.S. economy — meaning gold might not benefit much.
There are also “risk-on” moments where investors rotate into equities or crypto, selling off both gold and the dollar in favor of yield or momentum. And during periods of crisis or uncertainty, both gold and the dollar can rise together as safe-haven assets, breaking the usual pattern entirely.
That’s why tracking the rolling correlation is helpful. It shows whether the historical relationship between gold and the dollar is still holding — or if we’re entering a different market regime. It’s not about predicting exact price moves, but about understanding the current backdrop. When gold and DXY are moving out of sync as expected, it can support your trade thesis. But when the correlation flattens or flips, it’s often a sign to dig deeper — macro forces may be shifting.
MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy [Quant Trading]MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy
Overview
The MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy is an enhanced trading system that transforms the traditional MACD indicator into a comprehensive momentum-based strategy with advanced visual signals and risk management. This strategy builds upon the original MACD Liquidity Tracker System indicator by TheNeWSystemLqtyTrckr , converting it into a fully automated trading strategy with improved parameters and additional features.
What Makes This Strategy Original
This strategy significantly enhances the basic MACD approach by introducing:
Four distinct system types for different market conditions and trading styles
Advanced color-coded histogram visualization with four dynamic colors showing momentum strength and direction
Integrated trend filtering using 9 different moving average types
Comprehensive risk management with customizable stop-loss and take-profit levels
Multiple alert systems for entry signals, exits, and trend conditions
Flexible signal display options with customizable entry markers
How It Works
Core MACD Calculation
The strategy uses a fully customizable MACD configuration with traditional default parameters:
Fast MA : 12 periods (customizable, minimum 1, no maximum limit)
Slow MA : 26 periods (customizable, minimum 1, no maximum limit)
Signal Line : 9 periods (customizable, now properly implemented and used)
Cryptocurrency Optimization : The strategy's flexible parameter system allows for significant optimization across different crypto assets. Traditional MACD settings (12/26/9) often generate excessive noise and false signals in volatile crypto markets. By using slower, more smoothed parameters, traders can capture meaningful momentum shifts while filtering out market noise.
Example - DOGE Optimization (45/80/290 settings) :
• Performance : Optimized parameters yielding exceptional backtesting results with 29,800% PnL
• Why it works : DOGE's high volatility and social sentiment-driven price action benefits from heavily smoothed indicators
• Timeframes : Particularly effective on 30-minute and 4-hour charts for swing trading
• Logic : The very slow parameters filter out noise and capture only the most significant trend changes
Other Optimizable Cryptocurrencies : This parameter flexibility makes the strategy highly effective for major altcoins including SUI, SEI, LINK, Solana (SOL) , and many others. Each crypto asset can benefit from custom parameter tuning based on its unique volatility profile and trading characteristics.
Four Trading System Types
1. Normal System (Default)
Long signals : When MACD line is above the signal line
Short signals : When MACD line is below the signal line
Best for : Swing trading and capturing longer-term trends in stable markets
Logic : Traditional MACD crossover approach using the signal line
2. Fast System
Long signals : Bright Blue OR Dark Magenta (transparent) histogram colors
Short signals : Dark Blue (transparent) OR Bright Magenta histogram colors
Best for : Scalping and high-volatility markets (crypto, forex)
Logic : Leverages early momentum shifts based on histogram color changes
3. Safe System
Long signals : Only Bright Blue histogram color (strongest bullish momentum)
Short signals : All other colors (Dark Blue, Bright Magenta, Dark Magenta)
Best for : Risk-averse traders and choppy markets
Logic : Prioritizes only the strongest bullish signals while treating everything else as bearish
4. Crossover System
Long signals : MACD line crosses above signal line
Short signals : MACD line crosses below signal line
Best for : Precise timing entries with traditional MACD methodology
Logic : Pure crossover signals for more precise entry timing
Color-Coded Histogram Logic
The strategy uses four distinct colors to visualize momentum:
🔹 Bright Blue : MACD > 0 and rising (strong bullish momentum)
🔹 Dark Blue (Transparent) : MACD > 0 but falling (weakening bullish momentum)
🔹 Bright Magenta : MACD < 0 and falling (strong bearish momentum)
🔹 Dark Magenta (Transparent) : MACD < 0 but rising (weakening bearish momentum)
Trend Filter Integration
The strategy includes an advanced trend filter using 9 different moving average types:
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) - Default
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
HMA (Hull Moving Average)
RMA (Running Moving Average)
LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average)
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average)
TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average)
VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average)
Default Settings : 50-period EMA for trend identification
Visual Signal System
Entry Markers : Blue triangles (▲) below candles for long entries, Magenta triangles (▼) above candles for short entries
Candle Coloring : Price candles change color based on active signals (Blue = Long, Magenta = Short)
Signal Text : Optional "Long" or "Short" text inside entry triangles (toggleable)
Trend MA : Gray line plotted on main chart for trend reference
Parameter Optimization Examples
DOGE Trading Success (Optimized Parameters) :
Using 45/80/290 MACD settings with 50-period EMA trend filter has shown exceptional results on DOGE:
Performance : Backtesting results showing 29,800% PnL demonstrate the power of proper parameter optimization
Reasoning : DOGE's meme-driven volatility and social sentiment spikes create significant noise with traditional MACD settings
Solution : Very slow parameters (45/80/290) filter out social media-driven price spikes while capturing only major momentum shifts
Optimal Timeframes : 30-minute and 4-hour charts for swing trading opportunities
Result : Exceptionally clean signals with minimal false entries during DOGE's characteristic pump-and-dump cycles
Multi-Crypto Adaptability :
The same optimization principles apply to other major cryptocurrencies:
SUI : Benefits from smoothed parameters due to newer coin volatility patterns
SEI : Requires adjustment for its unique DeFi-related price movements
LINK : Oracle news events create price spikes that benefit from noise filtering
Solana (SOL) : Network congestion events and ecosystem developments need smoothed detection
General Rule : Higher volatility coins typically benefit from very slow MACD parameters (40-50 / 70-90 / 250-300 ranges)
Key Input Parameters
System Type : Choose between Fast, Normal, Safe, or Crossover (Default: Normal)
MACD Fast MA : 12 periods default (no maximum limit, consider 40-50 for crypto optimization)
MACD Slow MA : 26 periods default (no maximum limit, consider 70-90 for crypto optimization)
MACD Signal MA : 9 periods default (now properly utilized, consider 250-300 for crypto optimization)
Trend MA Type : EMA default (9 options available)
Trend MA Length : 50 periods default (no maximum limit)
Signal Display : Both, Long Only, Short Only, or None
Show Signal Text : True/False toggle for entry marker text
Trading Applications
Recommended Use Cases
Momentum Trading : Capitalize on strong directional moves using the color-coded system
Trend Following : Combine MACD signals with trend MA filter for higher probability trades
Scalping : Use "Fast" system type for quick entries in volatile markets
Swing Trading : Use "Normal" or "Safe" system types for longer-term positions
Cryptocurrency Trading : Optimize parameters for individual crypto assets (e.g., 45/80/290 for DOGE, custom settings for SUI, SEI, LINK, SOL)
Market Suitability
Volatile Markets : Forex, crypto, indices (recommend "Fast" system or smoothed parameters)
Stable Markets : Stocks, ETFs (recommend "Normal" or "Safe" system)
All Timeframes : Effective from 1-minute charts to daily charts
Crypto Optimization : Each major cryptocurrency (DOGE, SUI, SEI, LINK, SOL, etc.) can benefit from custom parameter tuning. Consider slower MACD parameters for noise reduction in volatile crypto markets
Alert System
The strategy provides comprehensive alerts for:
Entry Signals : Long and short entry triangle appearances
Exit Signals : Position exit notifications
Color Changes : Individual histogram color alerts
Trend Conditions : Price above/below trend MA alerts
Strategy Parameters
Default Settings
Initial Capital : $1,000
Position Size : 100% of equity
Commission : 0.1%
Slippage : 3 points
Date Range : January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2069
Risk Management (Optional)
Stop Loss : Disabled by default (customizable percentage-based)
Take Profit : Disabled by default (customizable percentage-based)
Short Trades : Disabled by default (can be enabled)
Important Notes and Limitations
Backtesting Considerations
Uses realistic commission (0.1%) and slippage (3 points)
Default position sizing uses 100% equity - adjust based on risk tolerance
Stop-loss and take-profit are disabled by default to show raw strategy performance
Strategy does not use lookahead bias or future data
Risk Warnings
Past performance does not guarantee future results
MACD-based strategies may produce false signals in ranging markets
Consider combining with additional confluences like support/resistance levels
Test thoroughly on demo accounts before live trading
Adjust position sizing based on your risk management requirements
Technical Limitations
Strategy does not work on non-standard chart types (Heikin Ashi, Renko, etc.)
Signals are based on close prices and may not reflect intraday price action
Multiple rapid signals in volatile conditions may result in overtrading
Credits and Attribution
This strategy is based on the original "MACD Liquidity Tracker System" indicator created by TheNeWSystemLqtyTrckr . This strategy version includes significant enhancements:
Complete strategy implementation with entry/exit logic
Addition of the "Crossover" system type
Proper implementation and utilization of the MACD signal line
Enhanced risk management features
Improved parameter flexibility with no artificial maximum limits
Additional alert systems for comprehensive trade management
The original indicator's core color logic and visual system have been preserved while expanding functionality for automated trading applications.
Trading session High/Low (Lumiere)Trading session High/Low
What it does:
Plots the High and Low for each session (Asia, London, New York) as horizontal zones that “snap” to the first true extreme of the session and then extend right.
Key points:
Snap‑to‑extreme only: Lines don’t draw at the open; they appear only once price makes a new session high or low, and anchor exactly at that bar.
Persistent until next session: Once drawn, each session’s lines stay on the chart after the session ends, and are cleared only when that same session next opens (or when you hide it).
Three configurable sessions:
Asia: 18:00–03:00 (UTC‑4)
London: 03:00–09:30 (UTC‑4)
New York: 09:30–16:00 (UTC‑4)
Customizable appearance:
You can toggle each session on/off, choose its color, and set line width.
The time that is already set on the different sessions is based on the standard session open/close. If you want to change it, it will refer to the NY time, UTC -4.
Info TableOverview
The Info Table V1 is a versatile TradingView indicator tailored for intraday futures traders, particularly those focusing on MESM2 (Micro E-mini S&P 500 futures) on 1-minute charts. It presents essential market insights through two customizable tables: the Main Table for predictive and macro metrics, and the New Metrics Table for momentum and volatility indicators. Designed for high-activity sessions like 9:30 AM–11:00 AM CDT, this tool helps traders assess price alignment, sentiment, and risk in real-time. Metrics update dynamically (except weekly COT data), with optional alerts for key conditions like volatility spikes or momentum shifts.
This indicator builds on foundational concepts like linear regression for predictions and adapts open-source elements for enhanced functionality. Gradient code is adapted from TradingView's Color Library. QQE logic is adapted from LuxAlgo's QQE Weighted Oscillator, licensed under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0. The script is released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Key Features
Two Customizable Tables: Positioned independently (e.g., top-right for Main, bottom-right for New Metrics) with toggle options to show/hide for a clutter-free chart.
Gradient Coloring: User-defined high/low colors (default green/red) for quick visual interpretation of extremes, such as overbought/oversold or high volatility.
Arrows for Directional Bias: In the New Metrics Table, up (↑) or down (↓) arrows appear in value cells based on metric thresholds (top/bottom 25% of range), indicating bullish/high or bearish/low conditions.
Consensus Highlighting: The New Metrics Table's title cells ("Metric" and "Value") turn green if all arrows are ↑ (strong bullish consensus), red if all are ↓ (strong bearish consensus), or gray otherwise.
Predicted Price Plot: Optional line (default blue) overlaying the ML-predicted price for visual comparison with actual price action.
Alerts: Notifications for high/low Frahm Volatility (≥8 or ≤3) and QQE Bias crosses (bullish/bearish momentum shifts).
Main Table Metrics
This table focuses on predictive, positional, and macro insights:
ML-Predicted Price: A linear regression forecast using normalized price, volume, and RSI over a customizable lookback (default 500 bars). Gradient scales from low (red) to high (green) relative to the current price ± threshold (default 100 points).
Deviation %: Percentage difference between current price and predicted price. Gradient highlights extremes (±0.5% default threshold), signaling potential overextensions.
VWAP Deviation %: Percentage difference from Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). Gradient indicates if price is above (green) or below (red) fair value (±0.5% default).
FRED UNRATE % Change: Percentage change in U.S. unemployment rate (via FRED data). Cell turns red for increases (economic weakness), green for decreases (strength), gray if zero or disabled.
Open Interest: Total open MESM2 futures contracts. Gradient scales from low (red) to high (green) up to a hardcoded 300,000 threshold, reflecting market participation.
COT Commercial Long/Short: Weekly Commitment of Traders data for commercial positions. Long cell green if longs > shorts (bullish institutional sentiment); Short cell red if shorts > longs (bearish); gray otherwise.
New Metrics Table Metrics
This table emphasizes technical momentum and volatility, with arrows for quick bias assessment:
QQE Bias: Smoothed RSI vs. trailing stop (default length 14, factor 4.236, smooth 5). Green for bullish (RSI > stop, ↑ arrow), red for bearish (RSI < stop, ↓ arrow), gray for neutral.
RSI: Relative Strength Index (default period 14). Gradient from oversold (red, <30 + threshold offset, ↓ arrow if ≤40) to overbought (green, >70 - offset, ↑ arrow if ≥60).
ATR Volatility: Score (1–20) based on Average True Range (default period 14, lookback 50). High scores (green, ↑ if ≥15) signal swings; low (red, ↓ if ≤5) indicate calm.
ADX Trend: Average Directional Index (default period 14). Gradient from weak (red, ↓ if ≤0.25×25 threshold) to strong trends (green, ↑ if ≥0.75×25).
Volume Momentum: Score (1–20) comparing current to historical volume (lookback 50). High (green, ↑ if ≥15) suggests pressure; low (red, ↓ if ≤5) implies weakness.
Frahm Volatility: Score (1–20) from true range over a window (default 24 hours, multiplier 9). Dynamic gradient (green/red/yellow); ↑ if ≥7.5, ↓ if ≤2.5.
Frahm Avg Candle (Ticks): Average candle size in ticks over the window. Blue gradient (or dynamic green/red/yellow); ↑ if ≥0.75 percentile, ↓ if ≤0.25.
Arrows trigger on metric-specific logic (e.g., RSI ≥60 for ↑), providing directional cues without strict color ties.
Customization Options
Adapt the indicator to your strategy:
ML Inputs: Lookback (10–5000 bars) and RSI period (2+) for prediction sensitivity—shorter for volatility, longer for trends.
Timeframes: Individual per metric (e.g., 1H for QQE Bias to match higher frames; blank for chart timeframe).
Thresholds: Adjust gradients and arrows (e.g., Deviation 0.1–5%, ADX 0–100, RSI overbought/oversold).
QQE Settings: Length, factor, and smooth for fine-tuned momentum.
Data Toggles: Enable/disable FRED, Open Interest, COT for focus (e.g., disable macro for pure intraday).
Frahm Options: Window hours (1+), scale multiplier (1–10), dynamic colors for avg candle.
Plot/Table: Line color, positions, gradients, and visibility.
Ideal Use Case
Perfect for MESM2 scalpers and trend traders. Use the Main Table for entry confirmation via predicted deviations and institutional positioning. Leverage the New Metrics Table arrows for short-term signals—enter bullish on green consensus (all ↑), avoid chop on low volatility. Set alerts to catch shifts without constant monitoring.
Why It's Valuable
Info Table V1 consolidates diverse metrics into actionable visuals, answering critical questions: Is price mispriced? Is momentum aligning? Is volatility manageable? With real-time updates, consensus highlights, and extensive customization, it enhances precision in fast markets, reducing guesswork for confident trades.
Note: Optimized for futures; some metrics (OI, COT) unavailable on non-futures symbols. Test on demo accounts. No financial advice—use at your own risk.
The provided script reuses open-source elements from TradingView's Color Library and LuxAlgo's QQE Weighted Oscillator, as noted in the script comments and description. Credits are appropriately given in both the description and code comments, satisfying the requirement for attribution.
Regarding significant improvements and proportion:
The QQE logic comprises approximately 15 lines of code in a script exceeding 400 lines, representing a small proportion (<5%).
Adaptations include integration with multi-timeframe support via request.security, user-customizable inputs for length, factor, and smooth, and application within a broader table-based indicator for momentum bias display (with color gradients, arrows, and alerts). This extends the original QQE beyond standalone oscillator use, incorporating it as one of seven metrics in the New Metrics Table for confluence analysis (e.g., consensus highlighting when all metrics align). These are functional enhancements, not mere stylistic or variable changes.
The Color Library usage is via official import (import TradingView/Color/1 as Color), leveraging built-in gradient functions without copying code, and applied to enhance visual interpretation across multiple metrics.
The script complies with the rules: reused code is minimal, significantly improved through integration and expansion, and properly credited. It qualifies for open-source publication under the Mozilla Public License 2.0, as stated.
New York Master Range📈 New York Master Range (5-Min Timeframe)
Description:
This custom TradingView indicator captures the opening range based on the body high and low of the first 3 candles after 10:30 AM (BRT – Brasília Time) on the 5-minute timeframe — a technique often used during the New York market session.
🔍 How it works:
At exactly 10:30 AM (BRT), the indicator starts collecting the highs and lows of candle bodies (not wicks) for the next 3 five-minute candles.
Once the 3 candles are processed, the highest close/open (body high) and lowest close/open (body low) are plotted as static green and red lines on the chart.
These levels can act as key intraday support/resistance zones or range breakout triggers.
ADR TableTrack volatility and session momentum in real-time with customizable precision.
Key Features:
Average Daily Range (ADR): Configurable length (default 5 days), based on previous daily high–low ranges.
Session Anchor Options: Choose anchor at 4 am NY, 6 pm NY, 9:30 am NY, 8:30 am NY, Previous Day Close, or Current Bar.
Session Range & %ADR: Displays the real-time range from the chosen anchor, plus what percentage of ADR has been covered.
High / Low Target Levels: Calculates ADR targets based on anchor: anchor ± ADR.
Optional Target Lines: Draw horizontal lines for high and low targets across the session; customize color and width.
Dynamic Table Display: User-selectable table size and text size (Tiny to Huge) for optimal readability.
Robust Anchor Logic: Uses the first bar at-or-after anchor time each NY day, ensuring stability even on irregular intraday timeframes.
How to Use
Choose your anchor in settings.
View ADR, session range (with %ADR), and target price levels in the top-right pane.Toggle High/Low lines to overlay targets on the chart.
Adjust table and text size to match your workspace.
Why It Matters
Quickly assess where price stands relative to typical volatility.
Easily identify intraday price exhaustion or breakout zones.
Anchor flexibility enables use for both futures and equities, aligning with your trading session.
Clean, professional display—no clutter, no guesswork.
ORB Norman (2 Sessions, Auto Timezone)ORB Norman (2 Sessions, Auto Timezone)
This script plots Opening Range Breakout (ORB) levels for two configurable sessions. It’s designed for intraday traders—especially in futures markets like Gold (GC), Nasdaq (NQ), and S&P (ES)—who trade based on early session breakouts or range rejections. Unlike standard indicators, this tool auto-adjusts for timezones based on the instrument, ensuring precise session alignment.
Features:
Automatically adjusts for NQ/ES (Chicago time) and GC (New York time) based on the symbol.
Plots high, low, and optional midpoint lines for each session.
Clean, minimal settings with visual separation for better usability.
Ray extension length is fully customizable.
Works on any intraday chart (recommended: 5–15 minute timeframes).
Includes customizable session times, colors, ray length, and an optional midpoint line.
Default Sessions:
Session 1:
‣ 07:00–08:00 EST for GC
‣ 06:00–07:00 CT for NQ/ES
Session 2:
‣ 09:30–09:45 EST for GC
‣ 08:30–08:45 CT for NQ/ES
This tool is ideal for traders who scalp the early morning breakout or look for range rejections based on the opening auction.
This script was developed from scratch based on the author's own intraday trading needs.
Gold Power Hours Strategy📈 Gold Power Hours Trading Strategy
Trade XAUUSD (Gold) or XAUEUR during the most volatile hours of the New York session, using momentum and trend confirmation, with session-specific risk/reward profiles.
✅ Strategy Rules
🕒 Valid Trading Times ("Power Hours"):
Trades are only taken during high-probability time windows on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays , corresponding to key New York session activity:
Morning Session:
08:00 – 11:00 (NY time)
Afternoon Session:
12:30 – 16:00
19:00 – 22:00
These times align with institutional activity and economic news releases.
📊 Technical Indicators Used:
50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA50):
Identifies the dominant market trend.
14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Measures market momentum with session-adjusted thresholds.
🟩 Buy Signal Criteria:
Price is above the 50-period SMA (bullish trend)
RSI is greater than:
60 during Morning Session
55 during Afternoon Session
Must be during a valid day (Tue–Thu) and Power Hour session
🟥 Sell Signal Criteria:
Price is below the 50-period SMA (bearish trend)
RSI is less than:
40 during Morning Session
45 during Afternoon Session
Must be during a valid day and Power Hour session
🎯 Trade Management Rules:
Morning Session (08:00–11:00)
Stop Loss (SL): 50 pips
Take Profit (TP): 150 pips
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3
Afternoon Session (12:30–16:00 & 19:00–22:00)
Stop Loss (SL): 50 pips
Take Profit (TP): up to 100 pips
Risk–Reward Ratio: up to 1:2
⚠️ TP is slightly reduced in the afternoon due to typically lower volatility compared to the morning session.
📺 Visuals & Alerts:
Buy signals: Green triangle plotted below the bar
Sell signals: Red triangle plotted above the bar
SMA50 line: Orange
Valid session background: Light pink
Alerts: Automatic alerts for buy/sell signals
