BTC and ETH Long strategy - version 1I will start with a small introduction about myself. I'm now trading cryto currencies manually for almost 2 years. I decided to start after watching a documentary on the TV showing people who made big money during the Bitcoin pump which happened at the end of 2017.
The next day, I asked myself "Why should I not give it a try and learn how to trade".
This was in February 2018 and the price of Bitcoin was around 11500USD.
I didn't know how to trade. In fact, I didn't know the trading industry at all.
So, my first step into trading was to open an account with a broken. Then I directly bought 200$ worst of BTC . At that time, I saw the graph and thought "This can only go back in the upward direction!" :)
I didn't know anything about Stop loss, Take profit and Risk management.
Today, almost 2 years after, I think that I know how to trade and can also confirm that I still hold this bag of 200$ of bitcoin from 2018 :)
I did spend the 2 last years to learn technical analysis , risk management and leverage trading.
Today (14/05/2020), I know what I'm doing and I'm happy to see that the 2 last years have been positive in terms of gains. Of course, I did not make crazy money with my saving but at least I made more than if I would have kept it in my bank account.
Even if I like trading, I have a full time job which requires my full energy and lots of focus, so, the biggest problem I had is that I didn't have enough time to look at the charts.
Also, I realized that sometimes, neither technical analysis , nor fundamentals worked with crypto currency (at least for short time trading). So, as I have a developer background I decided to try to have a look at algo trading.
The goal for me was neither to make complex algos nor to beat the market but just to automate my trading with simple bot catching the big waves.
I then started to take a look at TV pine script and played with it.
I did my first LONG script in February 2020 to Long the BTC Market. It has some limitations but works well enough for me for the time being. Even if the real trades will bring me half of what the back testing shows, this will still be a lot more than what I was used to win during the last 2 years with my manual trading.
So, here we are! Below you will find some details about my first LONG script. I'm happy to share it with you.
Feel free to play with it, give your comments and bring improvements to it.
But please note that it only works fine with the candle size and crypto pair that I have mentioned below. If you use other settings this algo might loose money!
- Crypto pairs : XBTUSD and ETHXBT
- Candle size: 2 Hours
- Indicator used: Volatility , MACD (12, 26, 7), SMA (100), SMA (200), EMA (20)
- Default StopLoss: -1.5%
- Entry in position if: Volatility < 2%
AND MACD moving up
AND AME (20) moving up
AND SMA (100) moving up
AND SMA (200) moving up
AND EMA (20) > SAM (100)
AND SMA (100) > SMA (200)
- Exit the postion if: Stoploss is reached
OR EMA (20) crossUnder SMA (100)
Here is a summary of the results for this script:
XBTUSD : 01/01/2019 --> 14/05/2020 = +107%
ETHXBT : 01/01/2019 --> 14/05/2020 = +39%
ETHUSD : 01/01/2019 --> 14/05/2020 = +112%
It is far away from being perfect. There are still plenty of things which can be done to improve it but I just wanted to share it :) .
Enjoy playing with it....
"200元+股票大盘" için komut dosyalarını ara
Quad CCI ContainmentThe Quad CCI is a trend identification indicator described by Mark Whistler in his book 'Volatility Illuminated'. The reason for using four separate CCI channels is so that we can:
Prevent ourselves from taking positions against momentum.
Time our trades with short-term 'wrist-rocket' thrust from the larger market momentum.
Clearly determine whether the trend is up, down, or sideways.
In his book, Whistler refers to four CCI channels as 'The Four Horsemen'. The 100 and 200 are like big burly swordsmen, which are hard to budge without significant force. The 50-period CCI is more like the guy who's fast on his feet, but still tough enough to take on the big dudes. And the 14-period is similar to the scout of the party. The fastest of the bunch, but also the first to turn-tail at any sign of danger.
Basically, this means that when we see the 100 and 200-CCI stay above the 0 line, we can infer there really isn't any reason for them to move out of their range. The 50-period CCI will sometimes venture over the 0-line, before the hefty battlers. However, the 14-period will often venture (quickly) way out into the yonder, and he will always return to tell his pals what he's found. Crossing back over the 100-line, traders can take 'rocket trend reentry' positions (usually on the median); however, we still want to keep an eye on the flighty 14-period CCI character. If he crosses back over the +100 or -100 level he was just scouting, it means the larger weighted CCI lines could soon to follow too, as the whole bunch runs from larger momentum on the way.
Traders seeking to take a position 'with the trend' can attempt to purchase pullbacks on the mean if:
Longer-term CCI (at least the 200 and 100) are above zero.
The 50-period CCI is not below -100.
The 14-period travels back up from underneath the -100 area.
RVC-Buy-rulesTrend Template for short/medium/long term trading. Kindly use this along with other indicators.
Concept is simple "Buy the strength i.e. winners, sell the weakness i.e. losers"
//1. Current Price is above 150 and 200 day avg
//2. 150 day moving avg is more than 200 day avg
//3. 50-day moving avg is above 150-day and 200-day moving average
//4. current price is above 50 day moving average
//5. Current stock price is at-least 30% above 52-week low.
//6. Current stock price is with in 25% of 52-week high
//7. RSI is >60
Kindly modify and use it according to your need.
Incase if this script is found useful, please click on follow/like :)
McGinley Dynamic VWAP/MVWAP [Dayasagar]Mcginley Dynamics and Volume weighted moving average
Timeframe: 1 hour
Use 200 MA
Buy: If the price is above 200 MA, take only the buy signal.
Sell: If the price is below 200 MA, take only the sell signal.
7EMA_5MA (G/D + Bias + 12/26 Signal)This script alow you to survey multiple crossing signals as Golden/Death cross (MA50/200), Institutional Bias (EMA9/18), or EMA 12/26 crossing. You can show/hide all EMAs/MAs and show/hide all signals. Default config displays EMA 50/100/200 and MA 20. Full script includes display of EMA 9/18/12/26/50/100/200 and MA 20/21/50/100/200.
Sequentially Filtered Moving AverageThe previously proposed sequential filter aimed to filter variations lower than a certain period, this allowed to remove noisy variations and retain only the closing price values that occurred after a consecutive up/down, however because of the noisy nature of the closing price large filtering was impossible, in order to tackle to this problem the same indicator using a simple moving average as input is proposed, this allow for smoother results.
We will see that the proposed indicator can provide an alternative moving average that could be used as slow moving average in crossover systems.
The Indicator
The length parameter as the same function as the one described in the sequential filter post, however here length also control the period of the moving average used input, in short larger values of length will return a smoother but less reactive output.
In blue the moving average with length = 200, and in red the moving average with length = 50.
It is interesting to see how the moving average remain flat during ranging/flat market periods
Unfortunately like the sequential filter the sequentially filtered moving average (SFMA) is not affected by large short term variations such as gaps or short term volatile events. This is because of the nature of the sequential filter to ignore movements amplitude and only focus on the variation period.
Moving Average Crossover System
The SFMA is equal to a simple moving average of period length when a consecutive up/down sequence of size length has occurred, else the SFMA is equal to its precedent value, therefore we could expect less crosses between a fast moving average and the SFMA as slow moving average.
We can see on the figure above that the fast moving average of period 50 (in green) cross more with the slow moving average of period 200 (in red) than with the SFMA of period 200 (in blue).
Crosses can occur at the same time as with the classical slow moving average (in red) or a bit later.
Conclusion
A new moving average based on the recently proposed sequential filter has been proposed, it can be seen that under a moving average crossover system the proposed moving average seems to be more effective at producing less crosses without necessarily doing it with an excessive lag, in fact the moving average has either lag (length-1)/2 or lag length .
In the future it could be interesting to provide an hybrid alternative that take into account volatility as well as variations period.
Thanks for reading !
Multicolor Bollinger Bands - Market PhasesHi everyone
Hope you're all doing well 😘
Today I feel gracious and decided to give to the community. And giving not only an indicator but also a trading method
This trading method shows how a convergence based on moving averages is tremendous
Multicolour Bollinger Bands indicator that indicates market phases.
It plots on the price chart, thanks to different color zones between the bands, a breakdown of the different phases that the price operates during a trend.
The different zones are identified as follows:
- red color zone: trend is bearish, price is below the 200 periods moving average
- orange color zone: price operate a technical rebound below the 200 periods moving average
- yellow color zone: (phase 1 which indicate a new bearish cycle)
- light green zone: (phase 2 which indicate a new bullish cycle)
- dark green zone: trend is bullish, price is above the 200 periods moving average
- grey color zone: calm phase of price
- dark blue color zone: price is consolidating in either bullish or bearish trend
- light blue zones: price will revert to a new opposite trend (either long or short new trend)
By identifying clearly the different market phases with the multicolor Bollinger bands, the market entries by either a the beginning of a new trend or just after a rebound or a consolidating phase is easier to spot on.
Trade well and trade safe
Dave
EMA - Baby WhaleThis script will show you the 8, 13, 21, 55, 100 and 200 EMA .
You can change the colors yourself if you want.
You can use the EMA to define the trend.
A good strategy that traders use is a 55 EMA crossover.
This means that when the 8, 13 and 21 all cross the 55 EMA you place a buy or sell order.
You close your position when the same thing happens on the other side.
Another great way that traders use these EMA's is to spot a Golden or Death cross.
When the 55 and 200 EMA cross and the 200 becomes support it means we're in a uptrend and vice versa.
If you want access, just send a message please.
Much love from Baby Whale!!
🙏❤️🐳
BTC 1D Alerts V1This script contains a variety of key indicator for bitcoin all-in-one and they can be activated individually in the menu. These are meant to be used on the 1D chart for Bitcoin.
1457 Day Moving Average: the bottom of the bitcoin price and arguably the rock bottom price target.
Ichimoku Cloud: a common useful indicator for bitcoin support and resistance.
350ma fibs (21 8 5 3 2 and 1.6) : Signify the tops of each logarthmic rise in bitcoin price. They are generally curving higher over the long term. For halvening #3, the predicted market crash would be after hitting the 350ma x3 fib. Also the 350 ma / 111 ma cross signifies bull market top within about 3 days as well. Using the combination of the 350ma fibs and the 350/111 crosses, reasonably identify when market top is about to occur.
50,120,200 ma: Common moving averages that bitcoin retests during bull market runs. Also, the 50/200 golden and death crosses.
1D EMA Superguppy Ribbons: green = bull market, gray is indeterminate, red = bear market. Very high specificity indicator of bull runs, especially for bitcoin. You can change to 3D candle for even more specificity for a bull market start. Use the 1W for even more specificity. 1D Superguppy is recommended for decisionmaking.
1W EMA21: a very good moving average programmed to be shown on both the daily and weekly candle time. Bitcoin commonly corrects to this repeatedly during past bull runs. Acts as support during bull run and resistance during a bear market.
Steps to identifying a bull market:
1. 50/200 golden cross
2. 1D EMA superguppy green
3. 3D EMA superguppy green (if you prefer more certainty than step 2).
4. Hitting the 1W EMA21 and bouncing off during the bull run signifies corrections.
Once a bull market is identified,
Additional recommended buying and selling techniques:
Indicators:
- Fiblines - to determine retracements from peaks (such as all time high or recent highs)
- Stochastic RSI - 1d, 3d, and 1W SRSI are great time to buy, especially the 1W SRSI which comes much less frequently.
- volumen consolidado - for multi exchange volumes compiled into a single line. I prefer buying on the lowest volume days which generally coincide with dips.
- MACD - somewhat dubious utility but many algorithms are programmed to buy or sell based on this.
Check out the Alerts for golden crosses and 350ma Fib crosses which are invaluable for long term buying planning.
I left this open source so that all the formulas can be understood and verified. Much of it hacked together from other sources but all indicators that are fundamental to bitcoin. I apologize in advance for not attributing all the articles and references... but then again I am making no money off of this anyway.
Ultimate Moving Average Package (17 MA's)Included is the:
VWAP
Current time frame 10 EMA
Current time frame 20 EMA
Current time frame 50 EMA
Current time frame 10 SMA
Current time frame 20 SMA
Current time frame 50 SMA
Daily 10 EMA
Daily 20 EMA
Daily 50 EMA
Daily 50 SMA
Daily 100 SMA
Daily 200 SMA
Weekly 100 SMA
Weekly 200 SMA
Monthly 100 SMA
Monthly 200 SMA
All Daily/Weekly/Monthly MA's can be seen on intraday charts. Current time frame MA's change depending on your time frame. Obviously you dont need all 17 on your chart but you can pick the ones you like and disable the rest.
Fischy Bands (multiple periods)Just a quick way to have multiple periods. Coded at (14,50,100,200,400,600,800). Feel free to tweak it. Default is all on, obviously not as usable! Try just using 14, and 50.
This was generated with javascript for easy templating.
Source:
```
const periods = ;
const generate = (period) => {
const template = `
= bandFor(${period})
plot(b${period}, color=colorFor(${period}, b${period}), linewidth=${periods.indexOf(period)+1}, title="BB ${period} Basis", transp=show${period}TransparencyLine)
pb${period}Upper = plot(b${period}Upper, color=colorFor(${period}, b${period}), linewidth=${periods.indexOf(period)+1}, title="BB ${period} Upper", transp=show${period}TransparencyLine)
pb${period}Lower = plot(b${period}Lower, color=colorFor(${period}, b${period}), linewidth=${periods.indexOf(period)+1}, title="BB ${period} Lower", transp=show${period}TransparencyLine)
fill(pb${period}Upper, pb${period}Lower, color=colorFor(${period}, b${period}), transp=show${period}TransparencyFill)`
console.log(template);
}
console.log(`//@version=4
study(shorttitle="Fischy BB", title="Fischy Bands", overlay=true)
stdm = input(1.25, title="stdev")
bandFor(length) =>
src = hlc3
mult = stdm
basis = sma(src, length)
dev = mult * stdev(src, length)
upper = basis + dev
lower = basis - dev
`);
periods.forEach(e => console.log(`show${e} = input(title="Show ${e}?", type=input.bool, defval=true)`));
periods.forEach(e => console.log(`show${e}TransparencyLine = show${e} ? 20 : 100`));
periods.forEach(e => console.log(`show${e}TransparencyFill = show${e} ? 80 : 100`));
console.log('\n');
console.log(`colorFor(period, series) =>
c = period == 14 ? color.white :
period == 50 ? color.aqua :
period == 100 ? color.orange :
period == 200 ? color.purple :
period == 400 ? color.lime :
period == 600 ? color.yellow :
period == 800 ? color.orange :
color.black
c
`);
periods.forEach(e => generate(e))
```
MACD/EMA Long StrategyThis incredibly simple strategy uses a combination of the 20 EMA and bullish/bearish MACD crosses as a low risk method of getting in and out of markets.
Depending on whether the market is above or below the 200 SMA, the script determines if the market is in bullish or bearish territory. Above the 200 SMA, the script will ignore the 20 EMA as a buy condition and buy solely on the confirmation of a bullish MACD cross upon the close of a candle. In this bullish market, the script will only enable the sell condition if both the MACD is bearish AND a close below the 20 EMA occurs. This is to reduce the chances of the script selling prematurely in the event of a bearish MACD cross, if the market is still in overall bullish territory.
When the market is below the 200 SMA, the confirmation occurs in the opposite direction. The buy condition will only be met if both the MACD is bullish AND a close above the 20 EMA occurs. However, the sell condition ignores the 20 EMA and will sell solely on the confirmation of a bearish MACD cross upon the close of the candle.
This strategy can be used in both bullish and bearish markets. This conservative strategy will slightly underperform in a bull market, with the sell condition occasionally being met and then potentially buying back higher. However, it will successfully get you out of a turning market and automatically switch into a more 'risk-off' mentality during a bear market. This strategy is not recommended for sideways markets, as trading around the 20 EMA coupled with a relatively flat MACD profile can cause the strategy to buy the peaks and sell troughs easily.
market phases - JDThis indicator shows the relation of price against different period ma's.
When put in daily Timeframe it gives the 1400 Day (= 200 Weekly) and the 200 ,100 an 50 Daily.
The lines show the 200,100 and 50 ma in relation to the 1400 ma.
JD.
#NotTradingAdvice #DYOR
Trend Lines and MoreMulti-Indicator consisting of several useful indicators in a single package.
TREND LINES
-By default the 20 SMA and 50 SMA are shown.
-Use "MOVING AVERAGE TYPE" to select SMA, EMA, Double-EMA, Triple-EMA, or Hull.
-Use "50 MA TREND COLOR" to have the 50 turn green/red for uptrend/downtrend.
-Use "DAILY SOURCE ONLY" to always show daily averages regardless of timeframe.
-Use "SHOW LONG MA" to also include 100, 150, and 200 moving averages.
-Use "SHOW MARKERS" to show a small colored marker identifying which line is which.
OTHER INDICATORS
-You can show Bollinger Bands and Parabolic SAR.
-You can highlight key reversal times (9:50-10:10 and 14:40-15:00).
-You can show price offset markers, where was the price "n" periods ago.
That last one is useful to show the level of prices which are about to "fall off" the moving average
and be replaced with current price. So for example, if current price is significantly below the
200-days-ago price, you can gauge the difficulty for the 200 MA to start climbing again.
Falling Knives Jagged SpikesThe purpose of this script is to trade with the trend, trade trend continuation, and counter-trend trades.
Uptrend is price above 200 ema: Background is green and the bar colors are normal
Downtrend is price below 200 ema: Background is red and the bar colors are normal
Counter-trend to uptrend--Bar colors are white and the background is purple
counter-trend to downtrend--Bar colors are black and the background is aqua.
How to use:
Uptrend (green background): Only go long
Downtrend (red background): only go short
Counter-trend to uptrend/downtrend (white bars/black bars): Take counter-trend trade when price is a substantial distance from the 200 EMA. Best if there was a divergence with an oscillator. A lot of times these are just deep pullbacks or rallies.
trend continuation: In uptrend, after falling knives, and trend continues up (background turns to green) look to buy, you are getting a great price on the asset. Same for downtrend.
Keep in mind that nothing is perfect, and to of-course test everything.
Best of luck in all you do. Get money.
3 EMAS strategy to define trendsBasic script that allows you to have 3 scripts all in one EMA (exponential moving averages). They are useful to know the general trends of your chart: current long-term trend, short-term (or immediately) and general.
1 ° EMA 36 serves to define or mark action of the market trend price.
At the moment of crossing EMA 36 with EMA 200 upwards it indicates continuation to level 2 ...
2 ° EMA 200 serves as support or resistance according to the case, confirms continuation of trend in medium or long term when crossing with EMA 500, upward trend probability level 3 confirmed. As the case may be, cross up or down.
3 ° EMA 500 serves as support or resistance of the price action.
EMAS 200 and 500 give you a probability of Starting Area ...
Confirming with support or resistance.
Complementation with Stochastics ..
MACD
Note: Remember that "exponential" means that these indicators give more weight to the most recent data, making them more reactive to price changes (react faster to changes in recent prices than simple moving averages)
GROWINGS CRYPTOTRADERS
Mayer Multiple @ Current PriceThough this script is by me, the original idea comes from a podcast I heard where Trace Mayer talks about how he does crypto valuation. It is based on current price against the 200 day moving average. This indicator script will simply plot that value as a label overlayed on your trading view chart. Best long term results occur when acquiring BTC when the multiple is 2.4 or less. For more info, google "mayer multiple" This script/indicator is strictly for educational purposes. It is not exclusive to bitcoin.
To get the best look out of your charts I make the following changes.
1.Apply the indicator to your chart.
2. In the tools palette of trading view, when looking at a chart, click "Show Objects Tree" the icon displayed above the trash can.
In the objects tree panel, click the preferences icon for "Mayer Multiple @ Current Price"
Switch "scale" to "scale Left"
3. Then for your chart preferences (right click on chart background and select "Properties", and be sure the following are checked on the "Scales" tab
Left Axis
Right Axis
Indicator Last Value
Indicator Labels
Screenshots are not allowed in this view, so I can't post screenshots, but the view above is what it should look like when you are done.
For anyone who wants to see the code, here is the code of the script:
Use at will, and at your own risk.
//@version=3
// Created By Timothy Luce, inspired by Trace Mayer's 200 Day SMA cryptocurrency valuation method
study("Mayer Multiple @ Current Price", overlay=true)
currentPrice = close
currentDay = security(tickerid, "D", sma(close, 200))
mayerMultiple = currentPrice/currentDay
plot(mayerMultiple, color=#00ffaa, transp=100)
If you want to change the color, change this line: #00ffaa
Multiple Moving AveragesThis is really simple. But useful for me as I don't have a paid account. No-pro users can only use 3 indicators at once and because I rely heavily on simple moving averages it can be a real pain.
This one indicator features:
20 MA
50 MA
100 MA
200 MA
which I find are the most useful overall. The 20 and 50 over all time frame but in particular < 1 day, the 100 and 200 at > 4 hr time frames. In general I don't use the 100 MA that much. The daily 200 MA is a critical support for many assets like stocks and cryptos. I'm by no means a pro and if you are learning I recommend becoming familiar with moving averages right at the beginning.
If you want to deactivate some of the lines, you can do it via the indicator's settings icon.
Yuthavithi Kana with S/R StrategyI have got the idea from this page iwongsakorn.com and wrote my own kana scalper. This strategy draws 3 200 ATR level along side with the sma. It uses 200 ema as trend. Once the price approaches the 20 ema. it will place orders according to trend and take profit and stop loss quickly using the 200 ATR lines.
This is a quick scalper strategy with winrate over 50%
S&P 500 Sector Breadth — Fixed v6This indicator measures market breadth by tracking how many of the 11 S&P 500 sector ETFs are trading above their 200-day moving average. Here's how to use it:
What It Shows
The indicator plots a line that ranges from 0 to 11, representing the number of sectors in uptrends:
9-11 sectors above MA = Very strong market (green background)
8+ sectors = Strong bullish breadth - most sectors participating
6 sectors = Neutral - market is mixed
4 sectors = Weak market conditions
0-3 sectors = Very weak market (red background)
How to Interpret
Strong Market (8+ sectors):
Broad participation across sectors
Healthy bull market conditions
Lower risk environment
Good time for long positions
Weak Market (≤3 sectors):
Poor market internals
Most sectors in downtrends
Higher risk environment
Consider defensive positioning or cash
Divergences Matter:
If the S&P 500 makes new highs but breadth is declining (fewer sectors above MA), that's a bearish divergence warning
If the S&P 500 is weak but breadth is improving, that can signal a potential bottom
Settings You Can Adjust
Moving Average Length (default 200): Change to 50 or 100 for different trend definitions
Smooth Breadth Line (default 5): Smooths the indicator to reduce noise; set to 0 for raw data
Show Breadth Label: Toggle the current breadth reading on the chart
Alerts
The indicator includes built-in alerts:
When breadth crosses above 8 (strong participation)
When breadth crosses below 4 (deteriorating conditions)
This is a great confirmation tool to use alongside price action and other indicators!
Sourav ORB-RSI-MA IndicatorEMA 200, Always Buy if graph is on above side.
RSI-EMA should crossover from bottom to top sharpy.
If both go on EMA 200 and ESI EMA LINE, avoid Trading.
RSI should be more than 30 or 35 to take BUY entry.
V.V for SELL side.
MAGIC MA BANDSMagic MA Bands — Dynamic Trend Zones Instead of Lines
Magic MA Bands help traders visualize dynamic support and resistance zones rather than relying on a single moving average line. Instead of treating the MA as an exact reaction level, this tool creates a band or zone where price is statistically more likely to react, reverse, or continue trending.
🧠 How It Works
The script plots:
Upper Band (default: 50 EMA using High values)
Lower Band (default: 50 EMA using Low values)
Optional Midline MA (default: 200 SMA for long-term trend)
The area between the upper and lower bands becomes a trend cushion, helping traders identify:
Dynamic support/resistance zones
Trend strength and continuation probability
Ideal pullback entry regions
🎯 Trend Interpretation Guide
Use Case Recommended Setting
Short-Term Trend 20/21 EMA or SMA
Medium-Term Trend 50 EMA / SMA
Long-Term Trend 200 SMA / EMA (Midline Optional)
All parameters are fully customisable so the user can define their preferred structure based on their trading style, asset volatility, or timeframe.
✔️ Best For:
Trend traders
Swing trading
Pullback-based entries
Institutional-style zone analysis
GOLD 5MIN — 9×21 EMA Strategy (Aggressive)GOLD 5-MIN 9×21 EMA (Aggressive Version)
EMA Trend + VWAP Direction + Statistical RSI/MACD Filter
📌 Overview
This strategy is a short-term trend-following system built for GOLD MGC1! on the 5-minute chart.
It uses a combination of:
9/21 EMA momentum cross
50 & 200 EMA trend filters
VWAP directional alignment
Data-driven RSI + MACD histogram filter (for shorts)
Strict time-of-day filters
Statistically optimized SL & TP levels based on average run-up and drawdown
This version represents the highest-performing configuration after analyzing hundreds of trades across a multi-month dataset.
It is designed specifically for manual traders (including prop traders) who must trade themselves and cannot use bots.
📌 Why This Strategy Works
Backtesting revealed several repeatable tendencies in the GOLD 5-minute market:
EMA Trend + VWAP Alignment Increases Win Probability
Trades taken with both EMA structure And VWAP direction had much better follow-through.
Longs → work best when above VWAP and VWAP risingShorts → work best when below VWAP and VWAP falling
This filter alone removed many losing signals.
Shorts Were Bad When RSI > 55 AND MACD Histogram Rising
This scenario repeatedly produced:
reduced R-multiple output
shallow follow-through
high likelihood of being squeezed
Filtering out these shorts increased profitability significantly.
3. Certain Hours of the Day Lose Money
The two statistically weakest windows were:
❌ 08:00 EST
❌ 10:00 EST
Removing these increased expectancy without sacrificing win rate.
4. A Fixed 2R Target on Longs + Fixed $161 TP on Shorts
Using the statistical distribution of run-up:
Longs favored ~2R
Shorts favored a fixed TP of $161 per contract (equivalent avg move)
This combination produced the most stable equity curve.
📌 Backtest Summary (Aggressive Version)
(Numbers reflect your exact dataset: Sept 25 – Nov 22)
+8.4% account growth trading a single micro contract
Profit Factor ~ 2.2
~58% win rate
Shallow max drawdown (~1.3%)
Very consistent equity curve
Highest P&L of all strategy variants tested
This version provided the best risk-adjusted performance and the smoothest equity curve, outperforming conservative and hybrid exit versions.
📌 When This Strategy Works Best
Based on verified trade statistics, the strategy performs strongest during:
Best Sessions
⭐ London Session (3–5 AM EST)
⭐ NY Pre-Market (7–8:30 AM EST)
⭐ NY Session Trend Legs (9:30–12:00 PM EST)
Avoid
❌ 8:00 AM EST spike
❌ 10:00 AM EST chop
❌ 16:30–18:00 PM EST session reset
❌ Wild FOMC / CPI / NFP moments unless you turn the strategy off
📌 How Entries Work
You get an entry signal only if:
9 EMA crosses 21 EMA
50 & 200 EMA confirm trend direction
VWAP confirms direction
Not during weak hours
Not during the 16:30–18:00 reset
Shorts pass RSI+MACD filter
Confidence weighting determines position size:
Conf 3 (high confidence) → 2 contracts
Low confidence → 1 contract
📌 Stop Loss & Take Profit Logic
LONGS
Stop = swing low − 3 ticks
Target = 2R
SHORTS
Stop = swing high + 3 ticks
Target = fixed $161 per contract
This TP was statistically verified from average short-run behavior.
📌 Setting Up Alerts (Manual Trader Instructions)
STEP 1 — Use “Order fills & alert() function calls”
In the Create Alert panel:
Condition: GOLD 5MIN — 9×21 EMA Strategy (Aggressive…)
Type: ✔ Order fills & alert() function calls
Interval: Same as chart (5 min)
Expiration: choose a long window (e.g., 6–12 months)
This ensures you receive:
✓ Entry alerts (Long / Short)
✗ No exit alerts unless explicitly coded
📌 What to Put in the Message Box
Use this simple, readable format:
text{{strategy.order.action}}
{{strategy.order.contracts}} contract(s)
@ {{strategy.order.price}}
Position size: {{strategy.position_size}}
You can also include SL / TP if needed:
textEntry: {{strategy.order.price}}
SL: {{plot("stop_level")}}
TP: {{plot("tp_level")}}
(I can wire these into Pine if you'd like.)
📌 How to Use Alerts in a Prop Firm (No Bots Allowed)
When an alert fires:
Open your DOM / order panel
Match the direction (Buy or Sell)
Enter:
* Entry price (market or limit)
* Stop loss at the strategy’s stop level
* Take profit at the displayed TP level
Size
* 1 contract = Low confidence
* 2 contracts = Conf 3
Let the trade run—do not manually override unless platform constraints require it.
This creates a mechanical, rules-based approach without automation, fully compliant with prop firm rules.
📌 Intended Audience
This strategy is ideal for:
✔ Prop traders (TP Trader, Apex, Topstep)
Manual execution only—no bots required.
✔ Intraday gold traders
Those who want a rules-based, statistically proven, trend-following micro futures system.
✔ New systematic traders
Clear logic, easy visuals, simple alerts.
📌 Final Notes
This script is the product of:
data-driven optimization
hundreds of trades
removal of low-probability behavior
strict adherence to verifiable edges
It is not curve-fit—all rules are independently validated via:
distribution analysis
time-of-day heatmaps
indicator correlation
run-up/drawdown buckets
This makes it robust enough for prop evaluation trading and real capital deployment.
— ASALEH2297






















