ADV_RSIADV_RSI - Advanced Relative Strength Index
Description: The ADV_RSI indicator is an advanced and mutated version of the classic Relative Strength Index (RSI), enhanced with multiple moving averages and a dynamic color-coding system. It provides traders with deeper insights into market momentum and potential trend reversals by incorporating two different moving averages of the RSI (21, and 50 periods). The indicator helps to visualize overbought and oversold conditions more effectively and offers a clear, color-coded representation of the RSI value relative to key thresholds.
Features:
RSI Calculation: The core of the indicator is based on the traditional RSI, calculated over a customizable period.
Multiple Moving Averages: The script includes two RSI moving averages (21, and 50 periods) to help identify trend strength and potential reversal points.
Dynamic RSI Color Coding: The RSI line is color-coded based on its value, ranging from red for overbought conditions to aqua for oversold conditions. This makes it easier to interpret the market's momentum at a glance.
Threshold Bands: The indicator includes horizontal threshold lines at key RSI levels (20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80), with shaded areas between them, providing a visual aid to quickly identify overbought and oversold zones.
How to Use:
The RSI line fluctuates between 0 and 100, with traditional overbought and oversold levels set at 70 and 30, respectively.
When the RSI crosses above the 70 level, it may indicate overbought conditions, signaling a potential selling opportunity.
When the RSI falls below the 30 level, it may indicate oversold conditions, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
The included moving averages of the RSI can help confirm trend direction and potential reversals.
The color coding of the RSI line provides a quick visual cue for momentum changes.
Ideal For:
Traders looking for a more nuanced understanding of market momentum.
Those who prefer visual aids for quick decision-making in identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
Traders who utilize multiple timeframes and need a comprehensive RSI tool for better accuracy in their analysis.
Komut dosyalarını "股价在8元左右净利润为正市值小于80亿的热门股票有哪些" için ara
2-Year - Fed Rate SpreadThe “2-Year - Fed Rate Spread” is a financial indicator that measures the difference between the 2-Year Treasury Yield and the Federal Funds Rate (Fed Funds Rate). This spread is often used as a gauge of market sentiment regarding the future direction of interest rates and economic conditions.
Calculation
• 2-Year Treasury Yield: This is the return on investment, expressed as a percentage, on the U.S. government’s debt obligations that mature in two years.
• Federal Funds Rate: The interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight.
The indicator calculates the spread by subtracting the Fed Funds Rate from the 2-Year Treasury Yield:
{2-Year - Fed Rate Spread} = {2-Year Treasury Yield} - {Fed Funds Rate}
Interpretation:
• Positive Spread: A positive spread (2-Year Treasury Yield > Fed Funds Rate) typically suggests that the market expects the Fed to raise rates in the future, indicating confidence in economic growth.
• Negative Spread: A negative spread (2-Year Treasury Yield < Fed Funds Rate) can indicate market expectations of a rate cut, often signaling concerns about an economic slowdown or recession. When the spread turns negative, the indicator’s background turns red, making it visually easy to identify these periods.
How to Use:
• Trend Analysis: Investors and analysts can use this spread to assess the market’s expectations for future monetary policy. A persistent negative spread may suggest a cautious approach to equity investments, as it often precedes economic downturns.
• Confirmation Tool: The spread can be used alongside other economic indicators, such as the yield curve, to confirm signals about the direction of interest rates and economic activity.
Research and Academic References:
The 2-Year - Fed Rate Spread is part of a broader analysis of yield spreads and their implications for economic forecasting. Several academic studies have examined the predictive power of yield spreads, including those that involve the 2-Year Treasury Yield and Fed Funds Rate:
1. Estrella, Arturo, and Frederic S. Mishkin (1998). “Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators.” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1): 45-61.
• This study explores the predictive power of various financial variables, including yield spreads, in forecasting U.S. recessions. The authors find that the yield spread is a robust leading indicator of economic downturns.
2. Estrella, Arturo, and Gikas A. Hardouvelis (1991). “The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity.” The Journal of Finance, 46(2): 555-576.
• The paper examines the relationship between the term structure of interest rates (including short-term spreads like the 2-Year - Fed Rate) and future economic activity. The study finds that yield spreads are significant predictors of future economic performance.
3. Rudebusch, Glenn D., and John C. Williams (2009). “Forecasting Recessions: The Puzzle of the Enduring Power of the Yield Curve.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4): 492-503.
• This research investigates why the yield curve, particularly spreads involving short-term rates like the 2-Year Treasury Yield, remains a powerful tool for forecasting recessions despite changes in monetary policy.
Conclusion:
The 2-Year - Fed Rate Spread is a valuable tool for market participants seeking to understand future interest rate movements and potential economic conditions. By monitoring the spread, especially when it turns negative, investors can gain insights into market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly. The academic research supports the use of such yield spreads as reliable indicators of future economic activity.
Normalized Willspread IndicatorNot sure to call it as willspread or not, because i take this idea from Larry William's original willspread indicator and did some modifications which found out to be more effective in my opinion, which is by subtracting 21 and 3 ma, this indicator is found on Trade_Stocks_and_Commodities_With_the_Insiders page155. Feel free to find out.
Here's what I modified, instead of using the subtraction between two ma, I use one ma only, I find more accurate in spotting oversold and overbought value. This indicator is useful for metals. It basically compares the value between two assets, let's say u are watching gold, u can select compare it to dxy, us30Y or gold, let's say u choose to compare to dxy, and the indicator shows the the index is overvalued which is above 80 levels, then it is suggesting that gold is overvalued, the same logic apply to undervalued as well which is 20 levels. This is not a entry or exit tool but as additional confluence, u can use any entry method u want like supply and demand and use this indicator to validate your idea, not sure whether it works on forex or not, so far i think it works well on metals.
The bar colour corresponding to the index when it is overbought or oversold. U can switch off it if you dont need it. Do note that this is a repainting indicator, so u must refer to previous week close.
Market Breadth - AsymmetrikMarket Breadth - Asymmetrik User Manual
Overview
The Market Breadth - Asymmetrik is a script designed to provide insights into the overall market condition by plotting three key indicators based on stocks within the S&P 500 index. It helps traders assess market momentum and strength through visual cues and is especially useful for understanding the proportion of stocks trading above their respective moving averages.
Features
1. Market Breadth Indicators:
- Breadth 20D (green line): Represents the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 that are above their 20-day moving average.
- Breadth 50D (yellow line): Represents the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 that are above their 50-day moving average.
- Breadth 100D (red line): Represents the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 that are above their 100-day moving average.
2. Horizontal Lines for Context:
- Green line at 10%
- Lighter green line at 20%
- Grey line at 50%
- Light red line at 80%
- Dark red line at 90%
3. Background Color Alerts:
- Green background when all three indicators are under 20%, indicating a potential oversold market condition.
- Red background when all three indicators are over 80%, indicating a potential overbought market condition.
Interpreting the Indicator
- Market Breadth Lines: Observe the plotted lines to assess the percentage of stocks above their moving averages.
- Horizontal Lines: Use the horizontal lines to quickly identify important threshold levels.
- Background Colors: Pay attention to background colors for quick insights:
- Green: All indicators suggest a potentially oversold market condition (below 20).
- Red: All indicators suggest a potentially overbought market condition (above 80).
Troubleshooting
- If the indicator does not appear as expected, please contact me.
- This indicator works only on daily and weekly timeframes.
Conclusion
This Market Breadth Indicator offers a visual representation of market momentum and strength through three key indicators, helping you identify potential buying and selling zones.
Oscillator Scatterplot Analysis [Trendoscope®]In this indicator, we demonstrate how to plot oscillator behavior of oversold-overbought against price movements in the form of scatterplots and perform analysis. Scatterplots are drawn on a graph containing x and y-axis, where x represent one measure whereas y represents another. We use the library Graph to collect the data and plot it as scatterplot.
Pictorial explanation of components is defined in the chart below.
🎲 This indicator performs following tasks
Calculate and plot oscillator
Identify oversold and overbought areas based on various methods
Measure the price and bar movement from overbought to oversold and vice versa and plot them on the chart.
In our example,
The x-axis represents price movement. The plots found on the right side of the graph has positive price movements, whereas the plots found on the left side of the graph has negative price movements.
The y-axis represents the number of bars it took for reaching overbought to oversold and/or oversold to overbought. Positive bars mean we are measuring oversold to overbought, whereas negative bars are a measure of overbought to oversold.
🎲 Graph is divided into 4 equal quadrants
Quadrant 1 is the top right portion of the graph. Plots in this quadrant represent the instances where positive price movement is observed when the oscillator moved from oversold to overbought
Quadrant 2 is the top left portion of the graph. Plots in this quadrant represent the instances where negative price movement is observed when the oscillator moved from oversold to overbought.
Quadrant 3 is the bottom left portion of the chart. Plots in this quadrant represent the instances where negative price movement is observed when the oscillator moved from overbought to oversold.
Quadrant 4 is the bottom right portion of the chart. Plots in this quadrant represent the instances where positive price movement is observed when the oscillator moved from overbought to oversold.
🎲 Indicator components in Detail
Let's dive deep into the indicator.
🎯 Oscillator Selection
Select the Oscillator and define the overbought oversold conditions through input settings
Indicator - Oscillator base used for performing analysis
Length - Loopback length on which the oscillator is calculated
OB/OS Method - We use Bollinger Bands, Keltener Channel and Donchian channel to calculate dynamic overbought and oversold levels instead of static 80-10. This is also useful as other type of indicators may not be within 0-100 range.
Length and Multiplier are used for the bands for calculating Overbought/Oversold boundaries.
🎯 Define Graph Properties
Select different graph properties from the input settings that will instruct how to display the scatterplot.
Type - this can be either scatterplot or heatmap. Scatterplot will display plots with specific transparency to indicate the data, whereas heatmap will display background with different transparencies.
Plot Color - this is the color in which the scatterplot or heatmap is drawn
Plot Size - applicable mainly for scatterplot. Since the character we use for scatterplot is very tiny, the large at present looks optimal. But, based on the user's screen size, we may need to select different sizes so that it will render properly.
Rows and Columns - Number of rows and columns allocated per quadrant. This means, the total size of the chart is 2X rows and 2X columns. Data sets are divided into buckets based on the number of available rows and columns. Hence, changing this can change the appearance of the overall chart, even though they are representing the same data. Also, please note that tables can have max 10000 cells. If we increase the rows and columns by too much, we may get runtime errors.
Outliers - this is used to exclude the extreme data. 20% outlier means, the chart will ignore bottom 20% and top 20% when defining the chart boundaries. However, the extreme data is still added to the boundaries.
Trend Follower IndexDescription
The purpose of this index is to give an idea about the possible direction of the trend. The index is overbought between 70 and 100, and oversold between 30 and 0. Unlike a typical RSI calculation, the 6-bar simple moving average of the price is calculated first. Then, the 21-bar RSI value of this moving average is calculated.
Why
The 6-bar average is often one of the best averages to show the direction of prices. Closes below this average give strong indications of a trend reversal. To display this average on the horizontal plane, I used the RSI function and took 21 bar as the reference length. Because in my research, I realized that 21 bar length is the most ideal upper and lower points. That's why I coded an indicator that shows where a trend is going and how far that trend needs to go.
Use
It becomes oversold when the Moving Average falls below 30. Here we encounter 3 types of colors;
Light Blue: Indicates that the average is between 30 and 20. It indicates the stage when small purchases begin and the decline rate of the trend begins to decrease.
Blue: Indicates that the average is between 20 and 10. It indicates the stage when purchases begin to become more frequent and the rate of trend decline begins to decrease slightly.
Green: Indicates that the average has fallen below 10. It is the ideal level for purchasing. This indicates the stage when buying pressure has increased significantly and the trend is ready to reverse upward.
As the level decreases, purchases should increase.
Again, when the average value exceeds 70, it becomes overbought. Here we encounter three types of colors;
Yellow: Indicates that the average is between 70 and 80. It indicates the stage when small sales begin and the rate of increase in the trend begins to decrease.
Orange: Indicates that the average is between 80 and 90. It indicates the stage when sales begin to become more frequent and the upward trend begins to decrease somewhat.
Red: Indicates the average is above 90. It is an ideal level for sales. It now marks the stage where selling pressure has increased significantly and the trend is ready to turn downwards.
As the level increases, sales should increase.
Originality
First of all, this moving average is not an RSI. RSI is only used to establish the average on a flat basis. The RSI is merely a helpful tool in determining how much the moving average will rise or fall.
The 6-bar average of the value obtained by calculating Bar (Opening + Closing + High + Low) / 4 gives information about the main trend. In my research and usage, I have observed that as long as the price remains above this average, the price continues to move upwards, and when it remains below it, it is willing to move downwards.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for informational purposes only and should be used for educational purposes only. You may lose money if you rely on this to trade without additional information. Use at your own risk.
Version
v1.0
Brooks 18 Bars [KintsugiTrading]Brooks 18 Bars
Overview:
This indicator allows traders to specify a time frame within each trading day and plots lines at the highest and lowest prices recorded during that period. It is particularly useful for identifying key levels of support and resistance within a specified time range.
Features:
User-Defined Time Frame: Traders can input their desired start and end times in a 24-hour format, allowing flexibility to analyze different market sessions.
High and Low Price Levels: The indicator plots lines representing the highest and lowest prices observed within the specified time frame each day.
Clear Visual Representation: The high and low lines are color-coded for easy identification, with the high & low prices in Kintsugi Trading Gold.
How to Use:
Set the Time Frame:
Adjust the "Start Time Hour" and "Start Time Minute" to define the beginning of your desired time frame.
Adjust the "End Time Hour" and "End Time Minute" to define the end of your desired time frame.
Analyze Key Levels:
Al Brooks popularized the following idea and basis for creating this indicator:
On a 5-minute chart, Bar 1 has a 20-30% chance of being the High or Low of the day.
Bar 12 has a 50% chance.
Bar 18 has an 80-90% chance.
Use the plotted lines to identify significant support and resistance levels within your specified time frame. These levels can help inform your trading decisions, such as entry and exit points.
Good luck with your trading!
imbalances bandsThis indicator is designed to identify imbalances based on the calculation of the average of the highest and lowest prices. It forms a kind of band indicating correction points.
This indicator uses a total of 4 modified VWAPs, separated into 2 options that the user can activate or deactivate by checking or unchecking the options "Show imbalances bands VWAP 1" or "Show imbalances bands VWAP 2".
Let's talk about the first option, "Show imbalances bands VWAP 1". This displays 2 modified VWAPs on the screen, one in green and one in red, forming a kind of band that indicates possible points of imbalance in the market, signaling increased volatility between buying and selling. When the price tests the bands, it can be useful as there is a probability of a correction in the movement.
This can be particularly useful for those who trade using a scalping style, as it helps analyze when the price tests the bands. It can also be beneficial for trend traders because when the price tests one of the bands, there is a probability of a movement correction.
Now let's talk about the option "Show imbalances bands VWAP 2". It contains two modified VWAPs, one in purple and one in blue, which also form a kind of band. These bands also indicate the probability of a movement correction.
What is the difference between the Show imbalances bands VWAP 1 option and the Show imbalances bands VWAP 2 option?
The option "Show imbalances bands VWAP 2" consists of 2 modified volume-weighted moving averages that have a calculation checking the increase in volatility between the highest and lowest prices. One modified moving average is in purple, and the other modified moving average is in blue, forming a kind of two modified VWAPs.
The option "Show Imbalance Bands VWAP 1" consists of two modified moving averages using the absolute difference between the closing price and the moving average instead of the volume. This is particularly useful for assets where the volume is not a good indicator or is not available.
The option "Show Imbalance Bands VWAP 1" also has a calculation that checks for increased volatility between the highest and lowest prices. It features two modified moving averages, one in green and one in red.
This indicator can be adjusted according to the preferences and characteristics of the specific asset or market. It provides clear visual information and can be used as a complementary tool for technical analysis in trading strategies.
and Interesting period 5,20,50,80,200
Interesting imbalance setting 2.4, 3.3 ,4.2
Analysis Ideas: If you are following a trend, you can use this indicator to analyze how the price behaves around the bands. Since the imbalance bands indicate a probability of correction, it can be useful for identifying protection points or moments to be cautious, as there might be a probability of increased volatility.
Analysis Ideas2:For those trading using a scalping style, observe how the price behaves when it tests the imbalance band, as there may be a probability of increased volatility.
Please note that this indicator is designed for educational and informational purposes. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before making trading decisions.
Keltner Channel+EMA with Buy/Sell SignalsIndicator Name: Double Keltner Channel with EMA (Buy/Sell Signals)
Description:
This indicator is designed to help traders identify potential trend reversals and generate buy/sell signals in volatile markets. It combines two Keltner Channels with different sensitivities (multipliers of 2.6 and 3.8) to visualize dynamic support and resistance levels. The addition of a 20-period EMA helps confirm trend direction and filter out potential false signals.
How the Indicator Works:
• Keltner Channels: These bands dynamically adjust to changing market volatility, offering a visual representation of potential price ranges. The 2.6 multiplier Keltner Channel (KC) is more sensitive to price changes, potentially highlighting short-term reversals, while the 3.8 multiplier KC focuses on broader trend shifts.
• 20-period EMA: This widely used trend indicator helps smooth out price fluctuations and identify the underlying direction of the market.
• Buy Signals: Generated when a candle's low touches or crosses below either Keltner Channel's lower band, and within the next 6 candles, that same candle closes above the 20 EMA. This combination suggests a potential rejection of lower prices (support) and a possible resumption of the uptrend.
• Sell Signals: Mirror the buy signal logic but are triggered when the candle's high touches or crosses above either Keltner Channel's upper band and then closes below the 20 EMA within the next 6 candles. This indicates a potential rejection of higher prices (resistance) and a possible shift to a downtrend.
How to Use the Indicator:
1. Identify the Trend: Use the 20 EMA to determine the overall trend direction. Look for buy signals primarily in uptrends and sell signals in downtrends.
2. Confirm with RSI : While not included in this indicator, consider using a separate Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a length of 10, SMA type, MA length of 14, and standard deviation of 2. Look for oversold conditions (RSI below 20) to confirm buy signals and overbought conditions (RSI above 80) to confirm sell signals.
3.Apply Risk Management: Always use appropriate risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders, to protect your capital.
Key Points:
• This indicator is most effective in trending markets.
• It is not a standalone trading system and should be used in conjunction with other analysis tools and confirmation.
• The Keltner Channel multiplier values can be adjusted to suit your trading style and risk tolerance.
Important Disclaimer:
This indicator is a modification of the original Keltner Channel code and is intended for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
COT IndexReference:
Trade Stocks and Commodities with the Insiders
Secrets of the COT Report by Larry Williams pg34
The equation is as below:
Current week's value- Lowest value of last three years
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- X 100%
Highest high of last three years-Lowest low of last three years
According to Larry Williams, traders should follow commercials direction. When the commercial index line (yellow line) is above 80, this indicates commercials are bullish. Hence, traders can look for potential buy setup. Conversely, when commercials index line (yellow line) is below 20, this indicates commercials are bearish, we can look for sell setup.
Do note that this is only applicable on Weekly chart as COT reports come out on weekly basis.
Modification from the original COT index from Larry Williams:
1) I've added 1year and 6months period, so traders maybe can look for pullback using shorter period. By default, Larry Williams uses 3 years Commercial index.
2) I've added non-commercials and retail traders index, they basically trade opposite way of commercials.
This indicator should not be used as a timing tool or entry tool, you can use it as your weekly or monthly bias tool. For more information, please read the books. Feel free to modify the code, if u have a better version of this, you may share to me if you want, I will be very grateful!
Hindsight TrendNon-realtime but highly accurate trend analyzer with only one fundamental parameter ( period aka "minimum trend length")
Basically Hindsight Trend is pivot points on steroids (handles many cases much better). Plus it shows the trend line.
Period
I usually like periods of 10, 20 or 30.
The indicator's delay is identical to the chosen period.
You can actually try a low period like 4 or 5 to get something resembling a realtime indicator.
Uptrends are based on candle lows, downtrends are based on candle highs. So it is possible to have an uptrend and a downtrend at the same time.
Triangles
At trend start, a triangle is drawn. (Trendline isn't always there if the trend didn't last that long.)
Triangle size shows how long the high or low that started the trend remained unbroken. E.g. with period 20: Small triangle = 20+ candles, medium triangle = 40+ candles, big triangle = 80+ candles. So a big triangle marks an important reversal point.
How Hindsight Trend works
Whenever a candle completes, its high and low are saved as potentially "notable" points. A high or low is the more notable the longer it stays unbroken (= not touched again by price).
Now we simply take the notable highs and lows (as in, staying unbroken at least for the user-selected period)... and connect them together - if they are close enough to each other (less than "period" candles away). And decorate the first point in each trend with a triangle.
We only know whether a point is notable after "period" more candles have printed, so that's where the indicator's delay comes from.
Finally we divide the period by 2 and look at highs and lows which are unbroken for that shorter time. While they are not fully "notable" as defined above, we'll call them "semi-notable". Those points are only considered at the end of a trend, and help us extend the trend line a bit further.
Modern Trend IdentifierThis is an update by Lightangel112 to Trendilo (Open-Source).
Thanks @ Lightangel112
The Modern Trend Identifier (MTI) is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed for traders and analysts seeking to accurately determine market trends. This indicator leverages the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) to smooth price data and calculate percentage changes, providing a clearer and more responsive trend analysis. MTI is engineered to highlight trend direction with visual cues, fill areas between the indicator and its bands, and color bars based on trend direction, making it a powerful tool for identifying market momentum and potential reversals.
Capabilities
Smoothing and Trend Calculation:
Utilizes ALMA to smooth price data, reducing noise and providing a clearer view of the trend.
Calculates percentage changes in price over a user-defined lookback period.
Dynamic Range Adjustment:
Normalizes the ALMA percentage change values to ensure they stay within a -100 to 100 range.
Uses a combination of linear and smoothstep compression to handle extreme values without losing sensitivity.
Trend Direction and Highlighting:
Determines the trend direction based on the relationship between the smoothed ALMA percentage change and dynamically adjusted RMS (Root Mean Square) bands.
Colors the trend line to visually indicate whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or neutral state.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
Calculates dynamic thresholds using percentile ranks to adapt to changing market conditions.
Visualization Enhancements:
Fills areas between the ALMA percentage change line and its RMS bands to provide a clear visual indication of the trend strength.
Offers the option to color price bars based on the identified trend direction.
Customizable Settings:
Provides extensive customization options for lookback periods, smoothing parameters, ALMA settings, band multipliers, and more.
Allows users to enable or disable various visual enhancements and customize their appearance.
Use Cases
Trend Identification:
MTI helps traders identify the current market trend, whether it's bullish, bearish, or neutral. This can be particularly useful for trend-following strategies.
Momentum Analysis:
By highlighting areas of strong momentum, MTI enables traders to spot potential breakouts or breakdowns. This can be useful for both entry and exit decisions.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The dynamic threshold bands can act as support and resistance levels. Traders can use these levels to set stop-loss and take-profit orders.
Divergence Detection:
MTI can help in identifying divergences between price and the indicator, which can signal potential trend reversals. This is useful for traders looking to capitalize on trend changes.
Risk Management:
The fill areas and colored bars provide clear visual cues about trend strength and direction, aiding in better risk management. Traders can adjust their positions based on the strength of the trend.
Backtesting:
The extensive customization options allow traders to backtest different settings and parameters to optimize their trading strategies for various market conditions.
Multiple Timeframes:
MTI can be applied to multiple timeframes, from intraday charts to daily, weekly, or monthly charts, making it a versatile tool for traders with different trading styles.
Example Scenarios
Day Trading:
A day trader can use MTI on a 5-minute chart to identify intraday trends. By adjusting the lookback period and smoothing parameters, the trader can quickly spot potential entry and exit points based on short-term momentum changes.
Swing Trading:
A swing trader might apply MTI to a 4-hour chart to identify medium-term trends. The dynamic thresholds can help in setting appropriate stop-loss levels, while the trend direction highlighting aids in making informed decisions about holding or exiting positions.
Position Trading:
For a position trader using a daily chart, MTI can help identify the overarching trend. The trader can use the fill areas and bar coloring to assess the strength of the trend and make decisions about entering or exiting long-term positions.
Market Analysis:
An analyst could use MTI to study historical price movements and identify patterns. By examining how the indicator reacted to past market conditions, the analyst can gain insights into potential future price movements.
In summary, the Modern Trend Identifier (MTI) is a versatile and powerful tool that enhances trend analysis with advanced smoothing techniques, dynamic adjustments, and comprehensive visual cues. It is designed to meet the needs of traders and analysts across various trading styles and timeframes, providing clear and actionable insights into market trends and momentum.
Updated with the following:
Additions and Enhancements in MTI
Grouped Inputs with Descriptive Tooltips:
Inputs are organized into groups for better clarity.
Each input parameter includes a descriptive tooltip.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
Added dynamic threshold calculation using percentile ranks to adapt to changing market conditions.
Normalization and Compression:
Added normalization factor to ensure plots are within -100 to 100 range.
Introduced smoothstep function for smooth transition and selectively applied linear and smoothstep compression to values outside -80 to 100 range.
Enhanced Visualization:
Highlighted trend direction with RGB colors.
Enhanced fill areas between the ALMA percentage change line and its RMS bands.
Colored price bars based on the identified trend direction.
RMS Lines Adjustment:
Dynamically adjusted RMS calculation without strict capping.
Ensured RMS lines stay below fill areas to maintain clarity.
Descriptive and Organized Code:
Enhanced code clarity with detailed comments.
Organized code into logical sections for better readability and maintenance.
Key Differences and Improvements.
Input Customization:
Trendilo: Inputs are simple and ungrouped.
MTI: Inputs are grouped and include tooltips for better user guidance.
Trend Calculation:
Trendilo: Uses ALMA and calculates percentage change.
MTI: Enhanced with normalization, compression, and dynamic threshold calculation.
Normalization and Compression:
Trendilo: No normalization or compression applied.
MTI: Normalizes values to -100 to 100 range and applies smoothstep compression to handle extreme values.
Dynamic RMS Adjustment:
Trendilo: Simple RMS calculation.
MTI: Dynamically adjusted RMS calculation to ensure clarity in visualization.
Visual Enhancements:
Trendilo: Basic trend highlighting and filling.
MTI: Enhanced visual cues with RGB colors, dynamic threshold bands, and improved fill areas.
Code Clarity:
Trendilo: Functional but lacks detailed comments and organization.
MTI: Well-organized, extensively commented code for better readability and maintainability.
Stoch Double Analysis MTFThis indicator utilizes the Stochastic Oscillator on two different timeframes and generates alerts for potential long and short conditions based on the crossovers of the %K and %D lines of the Stochastic Oscillator. Here's a detailed breakdown of the code:
Inputs
Overbought and Oversold Levels:
ob_stc: Overbought level (default 80).
os_stc: Oversold level (default 20).
Timeframe 1 Configuration:
tf_stoch_1: The first timeframe for analysis.
length: Stochastic length (default 8).
smoothK: Smoothing for %K line (default 5).
smoothD: Smoothing for %D line (default 3).
Timeframe 2 Configuration:
tf_stoch_2: The second timeframe for analysis.
length_another: Stochastic length for the second timeframe (default 12).
smoothK_another: Smoothing for %K line for the second timeframe (default 7).
smoothD_another: Smoothing for %D line for the second timeframe (default 3).
Calculations
Volume Trend Calculation:
For both timeframes, the script calculates the volume trend. It determines up days and down days based on whether the closing price is higher or lower than the opening price and accumulates the volume accordingly.
Cumulative Volume:
Calculates the cumulative volume for up days and down days using the average of the high prices and the respective volumes.
Stochastic Oscillator Calculation:
Computes the %K and %D lines of the Stochastic Oscillator for both timeframes using the given lengths and smoothing factors.
Alerts
The script generates alerts for potential long and short conditions based on the crossovers of the %K and %D lines for both timeframes:
Long Condition: When %K crosses above %D.
Short Condition: When %D crosses above %K.
Plotting
Stochastic Lines:
Plots the %K and %D lines for both timeframes with different colors (orange and blue for the first timeframe, green and red for the second timeframe).
Overbought/Oversold Bands:
Adds horizontal lines at the overbought and oversold levels and a middle band at 50.
Fills the background between the overbought and oversold levels with a semi-transparent color.
Code Structure
Inputs Definition:
Defines all input variables for customization.
Volume Trend and Cumulative Volume Calculation:
Computes volume trends and cumulative volumes for both timeframes.
Stochastic Oscillator Calculation:
Calculates the %K and %D lines using the request.security function to get data from the specified timeframes and apply the smoothing functions.
Alert Conditions:
Checks for crossovers between the %K and %D lines to generate alerts for potential trading signals.
Plotting:
Plots the %K and %D lines for both timeframes and adds visual elements for overbought and oversold levels.
This indicator helps traders analyze market trends using the Stochastic Oscillator on multiple timeframes, providing potential buy and sell signals based on the interaction of the %K and %D lines.
The alerts generated by the "Stoch Double Analysis MTF" indicator can be viewed as part of a broader educational and training path for traders!
Stocastic Reference Dinoa technical analysis indicator named "Stocastic Reference Dino," which is a stochastic oscillator used to analyze market trends and potential price reversals.
Key Features:
Inputs:
K Period (lengthK): Defines the period for the %K line calculation (default 13).
D Period (lengthD): Defines the period for the %D line calculation (default 9).
Smoothing Period (smoothK): Smoothing period for the %K line (default 8).
Low Threshold (lowThreshold): Lower bound threshold for the oscillator (default 10).
High Threshold (highThreshold): Upper bound threshold for the oscillator (default 80).
%K Line Calculation:
Calculates the lowest low and highest high over the lengthK period.
Computes the %K value and smooths it using a simple moving average over smoothK periods.
%D Line Calculation:
Calculates the %D line as a simple moving average of the %K line over the lengthD period.
Plotting:
Plots the %K line in blue and the %D line in red on a new pane.
Adds horizontal lines to represent the low and high thresholds, colored green and red, respectively.
This indicator helps traders identify potential overbought and oversold conditions by analyzing the stochastic oscillator lines (%K and %D) relative to the defined thresholds.
Stochastic Z-Score Oscillator Strategy [TradeDots]The "Stochastic Z-Score Oscillator Strategy" represents an enhanced approach to the original "Buy Sell Strategy With Z-Score" trading strategy. Our upgraded Stochastic model incorporates an additional Stochastic Oscillator layer on top of the Z-Score statistical metrics, which bolsters the affirmation of potential price reversals.
We also revised our exit strategy to when the Z-Score revert to a level of zero. This amendment gives a much smaller drawdown, resulting in a better win-rate compared to the original version.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The strategy operates by calculating the Z-Score of the closing price for each candlestick. This allows us to evaluate how significantly the current price deviates from its typical volatility level.
The strategy first takes the scope of a rolling window, adjusted to the user's preference. This window is used to compute both the standard deviation and mean value. With these values, the strategic model finalizes the Z-Score. This determination is accomplished by subtracting the mean from the closing price and dividing the resulting value by the standard deviation.
Following this, the Stochastic Oscillator is utilized to affirm the Z-Score overbought and oversold indicators. This indicator operates within a 0 to 100 range, so a base adjustment to match the Z-Score scale is required. Post Stochastic Oscillator calculation, we recalibrate the figure to lie within the -4 to 4 range.
Finally, we compute the average of both the Stochastic Oscillator and Z-Score, signaling overpriced or underpriced conditions when the set threshold of positive or negative is breached.
APPLICATION
Firstly, it is better to identify a stable trading pair for this technique, such as two stocks with considerable correlation. This is to ensure conformance with the statistical model's assumption of a normal Gaussian distribution model. The ideal performance is theoretically situated within a sideways market devoid of skewness.
Following pair selection, the user should refine the span of the rolling window. A broader window smoothens the mean, more accurately capturing long-term market trends, while potentially enhancing volatility. This refinement results in fewer, yet precise trading signals.
Finally, the user must settle on an optimal Z-Score threshold, which essentially dictates the timing for buy/sell actions when the Z-Score exceeds with thresholds. A positive threshold signifies the price veering away from its mean, triggering a sell signal. Conversely, a negative threshold denotes the price falling below its mean, illustrating an underpriced condition that prompts a buy signal.
Within a normal distribution, a Z-Score of 1 records about 68% of occurrences centered at the mean, while a Z-Score of 2 captures approximately 95% of occurrences.
The 'cool down period' is essentially the number of bars that await before the next signal generation. This feature is employed to dodge the occurrence of multiple signals in a short period.
DEFAULT SETUP
The following is the default setup on EURAUD 1h timeframe
Rolling Window: 80
Z-Score Threshold: 2.8
Signal Cool Down Period: 5
Stochastic Length: 14
Stochastic Smooth Period: 7
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 40%
FURTHER IMPLICATION
The Stochastic Oscillator imparts minimal impact on the current strategy. As such, it may be beneficial to adjust the weightings between the Z-Score and Stochastic Oscillator values or the scale of Stochastic Oscillator to test different performance outcomes.
Alternative momentum indicators such as Keltner Channels or RSI could also serve as robust confirmations of overbought and oversold signals when used for verification.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
[blackcat] L1 Zero-Lag EMA BandThe Zero-Lag EMA Band is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of market trends. This innovative indicator merges the Zero-Lag EMA, a derivative of the traditional Exponential Moving Average, with Bollinger Bands to create a unique trend indicator that is less laggy and more responsive to market changes.
The Zero-Lag EMA Band is calculated by taking the standard deviation of the price data and adding or subtracting it from the Zero-Lag EMA to create an upper band and a lower band. This process results in a trend band that can help traders identify potential support and resistance levels, providing them with a more accurate assessment of the market's behavior.
The Zero-Lag EMA Band is particularly useful for traders who need to react quickly to market changes. It offers a more timely assessment of potential trend reversals, allowing traders to capitalize on market opportunities and mitigate risk.
The indicator's design is based on the principle of Zero-Lag, which aims to reduce the lag associated with traditional EMAs. This feature makes the Zero-Lag EMA Band a powerful tool for traders who want to stay ahead of the market and make more informed decisions.
In summary, the Zero-Lag EMA Band is a comprehensive and responsive tool for traders looking to identify and capitalize on market trends. It is a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit, offering a more accurate and timely assessment of potential trend reversals and providing a more comprehensive view of the market's behavior.
Certainly! Let's go through the Pine Script code line by line to understand its functionality:
//@version=5
This line specifies the version of Pine Script being used. In this case, it's version 5.
indicator(' L1 Zero-Lag EMA Band', shorttitle='L1 ZLEMA Band', overlay=true)
This line defines the indicator with a title and a short title. The `overlay=true` parameter means that the indicator will be plotted on top of the price data.
length = input.int(21, minval=1, title='Length')
This line creates an input field for the user to specify the length of the EMA. The default value is 21, and the minimum value is 1.
mult = input(1, title='Multiplier')
This line creates an input field for the user to specify the multiplier for the standard deviation, which is used to calculate the bands around the EMA. The default value is 1.
src = input.source(close, title="Source")
This line creates an input field for the user to specify the data source for the EMA calculation. The default value is the closing price of the asset.
// Define the smoothing factor (alpha) for the EMA
alpha = 2 / (length + 1)
This line calculates the smoothing factor alpha for the EMA. It's a common formula for EMA calculation.
// Initialize a variable to store the previous EMA value
var float prevEMA = na
This line initializes a variable to store the previous EMA value. It's initialized as `na` (not a number), which means it's not yet initialized.
// Calculate the zero-lag EMA
emaValue = na(prevEMA) ? ta.sma(src, length) : (src - prevEMA) * alpha + prevEMA
This line calculates the zero-lag EMA. If `prevEMA` is not a number (which means it's the first calculation), it uses the simple moving average (SMA) as the initial EMA. Otherwise, it uses the standard EMA formula.
// Update the previous EMA value
prevEMA := emaValue
This line updates the `prevEMA` variable with the newly calculated EMA value. The `:=` operator is used to update the variable in Pine Script.
// Calculate the upper and lower bands
dev = mult * ta.stdev(src, length)
upperBand = emaValue + dev
lowerBand = emaValue - dev
These lines calculate the upper and lower bands around the EMA. The bands are calculated by adding and subtracting the product of the multiplier and the standard deviation of the source data over the specified length.
// Plot the bands
p0 = plot(emaValue, color=color.new(color.yellow, 0))
p1 = plot(upperBand, color=color.new(color.yellow, 0))
p2 = plot(lowerBand, color=color.new(color.yellow, 0))
fill(p1, p2, color=color.new(color.fuchsia, 80))
These lines plot the EMA value, upper band, and lower band on the chart. The `fill` function is used to color the area between the upper and lower bands. The `color.new` function is used to create a new color with a specified alpha value (transparency).
In summary, this script creates an indicator that displays the zero-lag EMA and its bands on a trading chart. The user can specify the length of the EMA and the multiplier for the standard deviation. The bands are used to identify potential support and resistance levels for the asset's price.
In the context of the provided Pine Script code, `prevEMA` is a variable used to store the previous value of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The EMA is a type of moving average that places a greater weight on the most recent data points. Unlike a simple moving average (SMA), which is an equal-weighted average, the EMA gives more weight to the most recent data points, which can help to smooth out short-term price fluctuations and highlight the long-term trend.
The `prevEMA` variable is used to calculate the current EMA value. When the script runs for the first time, `prevEMA` will be `na` (not a number), indicating that there is no previous EMA value to use in the calculation. In such cases, the script falls back to using the simple moving average (SMA) as the initial EMA value.
Here's a breakdown of the role of `prevEMA`:
1. **Initialization**: On the first bar, `prevEMA` is `na`, so the script uses the SMA of the close price over the specified period as the initial EMA value.
2. **Calculation**: On subsequent bars, `prevEMA` holds the value of the EMA from the previous bar. This value is used in the EMA calculation to give more weight to the most recent data points.
3. **Update**: After calculating the current EMA value, `prevEMA` is updated with the new EMA value so it can be used in the next bar's calculation.
The purpose of `prevEMA` is to maintain the state of the EMA across different bars, ensuring that the EMA calculation is not reset to the SMA on each new bar. This is crucial for the EMA to function properly and to avoid the "lag" that can sometimes be associated with moving averages, especially when the length of the moving average is short.
In the provided script, `prevEMA` is used to simulate a zero-lag EMA, but as mentioned earlier, there is no such thing as a zero-lag EMA in the traditional sense. The EMA already has a very minimal lag due to its recursive nature, and any attempt to reduce the lag further would likely not be accurate or reliable for trading purposes.
Please note that the script provided is a conceptual example and may not be suitable for actual trading without further testing and validation.
Buy Sell Strategy With Z-Score [TradeDots]The "Buy Sell Strategy With Z-Score" is a trading strategy that harnesses Z-Score statistical metrics to identify potential pricing reversals, for opportunistic buying and selling opportunities.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The strategy operates by calculating the Z-Score of the closing price for each candlestick. This allows us to evaluate how significantly the current price deviates from its typical volatility level.
The strategy first takes the scope of a rolling window, adjusted to the user's preference. This window is used to compute both the standard deviation and mean value. With these values, the strategic model finalizes the Z-Score. This determination is accomplished by subtracting the mean from the closing price and dividing the resulting value by the standard deviation.
This approach provides an estimation of the price's departure from its traditional trajectory, thereby identifying market conditions conducive to an asset being overpriced or underpriced.
APPLICATION
Firstly, it is better to identify a stable trading pair for this technique, such as two stocks with considerable correlation. This is to ensure conformance with the statistical model's assumption of a normal Gaussian distribution model. The ideal performance is theoretically situated within a sideways market devoid of skewness.
Following pair selection, the user should refine the span of the rolling window. A broader window smoothens the mean, more accurately capturing long-term market trends, while potentially enhancing volatility. This refinement results in fewer, yet precise trading signals.
Finally, the user must settle on an optimal Z-Score threshold, which essentially dictates the timing for buy/sell actions when the Z-Score exceeds with thresholds. A positive threshold signifies the price veering away from its mean, triggering a sell signal. Conversely, a negative threshold denotes the price falling below its mean, illustrating an underpriced condition that prompts a buy signal.
Within a normal distribution, a Z-Score of 1 records about 68% of occurrences centered at the mean, while a Z-Score of 2 captures approximately 95% of occurrences.
The 'cool down period' is essentially the number of bars that await before the next signal generation. This feature is employed to dodge the occurrence of multiple signals in a short period.
DEFAULT SETUP
The following is the default setup on EURUSD 1h timeframe
Rolling Window: 80
Z-Score Threshold: 2.8
Signal Cool Down Period: 5
Commission: 0.03%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 30%
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
RSI and ATR Trend Reversal SL/TPQuick History:
I was frustrated with a standard fixed percent TP/SL as they often were not receptive to quick market rallies/reversals. I developed this TP/SL and eventually made it into a full fledge strategy and found it did well enough to publish. This strategy can be used as a standalone or tacked onto another strategy as a TP/SL. It does function as both with a single line. This strategy has been tested with TSLA , AAPL, NVDA, on the 15 minutes timeframe.
HOW IT WORKS:
Inputs:
Length: Simple enough, it determines the length of the RSI and ATR used.
Multiplier: This multiplies the RSI and ATR calculation, more on this later.
Delay to prevent Idealization: TradingView will use the open of the bar the strategy triggers on when calculating the backtest. This can produce unrealistic results depending on the source. If your source is open, set to 0, if anything else, set to 1.
Minimum Difference: This is essentially a traditional SL/TP, it is borderline unnecessary, but if the other parameters are wacky this can be used to ensure the SL/TP. It multiplies the source by the percent, so if it is set to 10, the SL/TP is initialized at src +- 10%.
Source input: Self Explanatory, be sure to update the Delay if you use open.
CALCULATION:
Parameters Initialization:
The strategy uses Heikinashi values for calculations, this is not toggleable in parameters, but can be easily changed by changing hclose to equal src.
FUNCTION INITIALIZATION:
highest_custom and lowest_custom do the same thing as ta.highest and ta.lowest, however the built in ta library does not allow for var int input, so I had to create my own functions to be used here. I actually developed these years ago and have used them in almost every strategy since. Feel especially free to use these in your own scripts.
The rsilev is where the magic happens.
SL/TP min/max are initially calculated to be used later.
Then we begin by establishing variables.
BullGuy is used to determine the length since the last crossup or crossdown, until one happens, it returns na, breaking the function. BearGuy is used in all the calculations, and is the same as BullGuy, unless BullGuy is na, where BearGuy counts up from 1 on each bar from 0.
We create our rsi and have to modify the second one to suit the function. In the case of the upper band, we mirror the lower one. So if the RSI is 80, we want it to be 20 on the upper band.
the upper band and lower band are calculated the exact same way, but mirrored. For the purpose of writing, I'm going to talk about the lower band. Assume everything is mirrored for the upper one. It finds the highest source since the last crossup or crossdown. It then multiplies from 1 / the RSI, this means that a rapid RSI increase will increase the band dramatically, so it is able to capture quick rally/reversals. We add this to the atr to source ratio, as the general volatility is a massive factor to be included. We then multiply this number by our chosen amount, and subtract it from the highest source, creating the band.
We do this same process but mirrored with both bands and compared it to the source. If the source is above the lower band, it suggests an uptrend, so the lower band is outputted, and vice versa for the upper one.
PLOTTING:
We also determine the line color in the same manner as we do the trend direction.
STRATEGY:
We then use the source again, and if it crosses up or down relative to the selected band, we enter a long or short respectively.
This may not be the most superb independent strategy, but it can be very useful as a TP/SL for your chosen entry conditions, especially in volatile markets or tickers.
Thank you for taking the time to read, and please enjoy.
RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)
This is the "RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)" indicator
This is a modification of the "RSI Trends" indicator by zzzcrypto123.
What Is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to evaluate overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that security.
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R, also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
How Does "RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)" work?
This indicator combines the momentum of both RSI and Williams %R by adding upper and lower thresholds. When the thresholds are broken, this indicator changes color from gray to either green or red.
What Are The Thresholds?
The default RSI thresholds are 55 and 45. These values are configurable.
The default Williams %R thresholds are 80 and 20. These values are configurable and made positive so it can be plotted against the RSI line.
How To Use?
When the RSI exceeded the upper/lower thresholds, the RSI line color will change from gray to lighter green/red color.
When the Williams %R exceeded the upper/lower thresholds, the RSI color will change to darker green/red color signifying a strong momentum in that direction.
When the RSI color is gray, this means the RSI and Williams %R thresholds are not broken which can also signify as no trend or consolidation.
The Williams %R line is not displayed by default but can be enabled using the checkbox provided in the Style tab.
This "RSI Confirm Trend with Williams (W%R)" indicator can be combined with other technical indicators to verify the idea behind this theory.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in this indicator does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type.
My scripts/indicators/ideas are for educational purposes only!
Hurst Future Lines of Demarcation StrategyJ. M. Hurst introduced a concept in technical analysis known as the Future Line of Demarcation (FLD), which serves as a forward-looking tool by incorporating a simple yet profound line into future projections on a financial chart. Specifically, the FLD is constructed by offsetting the price half a cycle ahead into the future on the time axis, relative to the Hurst Cycle of interest. For instance, in the context of a 40 Day Cycle, the FLD would be represented by shifting the current price data 20 days forward on the chart, offering an idea of future price movement anticipations.
The utility of FLDs extends into three critical areas of insight, which form the backbone of the FLD Trading Strategy:
A price crossing the FLD signifies the confirmation of either a peak or trough formation, indicating pivotal moments in price action.
Such crossings also help determine precise price targets for the upcoming peak or trough, aligned with the cycle of examination.
Additionally, the occurrence of a peak in the FLD itself signals a probable zone where the price might experience a trough, helping to anticipate of future price movements.
These insights by Hurst in his "Cycles Trading Course" during the 1970s, are instrumental for traders aiming to determine entry and exit points, and to forecast potential price movements within the market.
To use the FLD Trading Strategy, for example when focusing on the 40 Day Cycle, a trader should primarily concentrate on the interplay between three Hurst Cycles:
The 20 Day FLD (Signal) - Half the length of the Trade Cycle
The 40 Day FLD (Trade) - The Cycle you want to trade
The 80 Day FLD (Trend) - Twice the length of the Trade Cycle
Traders can gauge trend or consolidation by watching for two critical patterns:
Cascading patterns, characterized by several FLDs running parallel with a consistent separation, typically emerge during pronounced market trends, indicating strong directional momentum.
Consolidation patterns, on the other hand, occur when multiple FLDs intersect and navigate within the same price bandwidth, often reversing direction to traverse this range multiple times. This tangled scenario results in the formation of Pause Zones, areas where price momentum is likely to temporarily stall or where the emergence of a significant trend might be delayed.
This simple FLD indicator provides 3 FLDs with optional source input and smoothing, A-through-H FLD interaction background, adjustable “Close the Trade” triggers, and a simple strategy for backtesting it all.
The A-through-H FLD interactions are a framework designed to classify the different types of price movements as they intersect with or diverge from the Future Line of Demarcation (FLD). Each interaction (designated A through H by color) represents a specific phase or characteristic within the cycle, and understanding these can help traders anticipate future price movements and make informed decisions.
The adjustable “Close the Trade” triggers are for setting the crossover/under that determines the trade exits. The options include: Price, Signal FLD, Trade FLD, or Trend FLD. For example, a trader may want to exit trades only when price finally crosses the Trade FLD line.
Shoutouts & Credits for all the raw code, helpful information, ideas & collaboration, conversations together, introductions, indicator feedback, and genuine/selfless help:
🏆 @TerryPascoe
🏅 @Hpotter
👏 @parisboy
Relative Strength Index(RSI)- Range (60-40)Custom RSI Indicator:
The Custom RSI Indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to assess the momentum of a financial instrument's price movements within a specified range. Unlike the traditional RSI, which typically operates within a range of 0 to 100, this customized version focuses on a narrower spectrum between 40 and 60, providing clearer signals for traders.
Key Features:
Bullish and Bearish Zones: The indicator delineates between bullish and bearish sentiment. When the RSI value climbs above 60, it signals bullish momentum, indicating potential uptrends in the price. Conversely, when the RSI dips below 40, it suggests bearish sentiment, signaling potential downtrends.
Overbought and Oversold Conditions: Additionally, the Custom RSI Indicator identifies extreme market conditions. When the RSI surpasses 80 , it denotes overbought territory, suggesting that the asset may be overvalued and prone to a reversal or correction. Conversely, when the RSI falls below 30 , it indicates oversold conditions, suggesting that the asset may be undervalued and ripe for a potential rebound.
Default RSI Comparison: The Custom RSI Indicator can be compared against the traditional RSI for added context. While the customized range provides more precise signals within the 60-40 spectrum, referencing the default RSI can offer broader insights into market dynamics.
Usage:
Trend Identification: Traders can utilize the Custom RSI Indicator to identify potential trend reversals or continuations based on shifts in momentum within the specified range.
Confirmation Tool: It can serve as a confirmation tool alongside other technical indicators or price action analysis, enhancing the overall reliability of trading decisions.
Risk Management: By recognizing overbought and oversold conditions, traders can implement risk management strategies such as setting stop-loss orders or adjusting position sizes to mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion:
The Custom RSI Indicator offers traders a focused perspective on market momentum within the 60-40 range, facilitating more accurate assessments of bullish and bearish sentiment as well as identifying extreme market conditions. By incorporating this tool into their analysis, traders can make informed decisions and potentially improve their trading outcomes.
Statistics • Chi Square • P-value • SignificanceThe Statistics • Chi Square • P-value • Significance publication aims to provide a tool for combining different conditions and checking whether the outcome is significant using the Chi-Square Test and P-value.
🔶 USAGE
The basic principle is to compare two or more groups and check the results of a query test, such as asking men and women whether they want to see a romantic or non-romantic movie.
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
| | ROMANTIC | NON-ROMANTIC | ⬅︎ MOVIE |
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
| MEN | 2 | 8 | 10 |
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
| WOMEN | 7 | 3 | 10 |
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
|⬆︎ SEX | 10 | 10 | 20 |
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
We calculate the Chi-Square Formula, which is:
Χ² = Σ ( (Observed Value − Expected Value)² / Expected Value )
In this publication, this is:
chiSquare = 0.
for i = 0 to rows -1
for j = 0 to colums -1
observedValue = aBin.get(i).aFloat.get(j)
expectedValue = math.max(1e-12, aBin.get(i).aFloat.get(colums) * aBin.get(rows).aFloat.get(j) / sumT) //Division by 0 protection
chiSquare += math.pow(observedValue - expectedValue, 2) / expectedValue
Together with the 'Degree of Freedom', which is (rows − 1) × (columns − 1) , the P-value can be calculated.
In this case it is P-value: 0.02462
A P-value lower than 0.05 is considered to be significant. Statistically, women tend to choose a romantic movie more, while men prefer a non-romantic one.
Users have the option to choose a P-value, calculated from a standard table or through a math.ucla.edu - Javascript-based function (see references below).
Note that the population (10 men + 10 women = 20) is small, something to consider.
Either way, this principle is applied in the script, where conditions can be chosen like rsi, close, high, ...
🔹 CONDITION
Conditions are added to the left column ('CONDITION')
For example, previous rsi values (rsi ) between 0-100, divided in separate groups
🔹 CLOSE
Then, the movement of the last close is evaluated
UP when close is higher then previous close (close )
DOWN when close is lower then previous close
EQUAL when close is equal then previous close
It is also possible to use only 2 columns by adding EQUAL to UP or DOWN
UP
DOWN/EQUAL
or
UP/EQUAL
DOWN
In other words, when previous rsi value was between 80 and 90, this resulted in:
19 times a current close higher than previous close
14 times a current close lower than previous close
0 times a current close equal than previous close
However, the P-value tells us it is not statistical significant.
NOTE: Always keep in mind that past behaviour gives no certainty about future behaviour.
A vertical line is drawn at the beginning of the chosen population (max 4990)
Here, the results seem significant.
🔹 GROUPS
It is important to ensure that the groups are formed correctly. All possibilities should be present, and conditions should only be part of 1 group.
In the example above, the two top situations are acceptable; close against close can only be higher, lower or equal.
The two examples at the bottom, however, are very poorly constructed.
Several conditions can be placed in more than 1 group, and some conditions are not integrated into a group. Even if the results are significant, they are useless because of the group formation.
A population count is added as an aid to spot errors in group formation.
In this example, there is a discrepancy between the population and total count due to the absence of a condition.
The results when rsi was between 5-25 are not included, resulting in unreliable results.
🔹 PRACTICAL EXAMPLES
In this example, we have specific groups where the condition only applies to that group.
For example, the condition rsi > 55 and rsi <= 65 isn't true in another group.
Also, every possible rsi value (0 - 100) is present in 1 of the groups.
rsi > 15 and rsi <= 25 28 times UP, 19 times DOWN and 2 times EQUAL. P-value: 0.01171
When looking in detail and examining the area 15-25 RSI, we see this:
The population is now not representative (only checking for RSI between 15-25; all other RSI values are not included), so we can ignore the P-value in this case. It is merely to check in detail. In this case, the RSI values 23 and 24 seem promising.
NOTE: We should check what the close price did without any condition.
If, for example, the close price had risen 100 times out of 100, this would make things very relative.
In this case (at least two conditions need to be present), we set 1 condition at 'always true' and another at 'always false' so we'll get only the close values without any condition:
Changing the population or the conditions will change the P-value.
In the following example, the outcome is evaluated when:
close value from 1 bar back is higher than the close value from 2 bars back
close value from 1 bar back is lower/equal than the close value from 2 bars back
Or:
close value from 1 bar back is higher than the close value from 2 bars back
close value from 1 bar back is equal than the close value from 2 bars back
close value from 1 bar back is lower than the close value from 2 bars back
In both examples, all possibilities of close against close are included in the calculations. close can only by higher, equal or lower than close
Both examples have the results without a condition included (5 = 5 and 5 < 5) so one can compare the direction of current close.
🔶 NOTES
• Always keep in mind that:
Past behaviour gives no certainty about future behaviour.
Everything depends on time, cycles, events, fundamentals, technicals, ...
• This test only works for categorical data (data in categories), such as Gender {Men, Women} or color {Red, Yellow, Green, Blue} etc., but not numerical data such as height or weight. One might argue that such tests shouldn't use rsi, close, ... values.
• Consider what you're measuring
For example rsi of the current bar will always lead to a close higher than the previous close, since this is inherent to the rsi calculations.
• Be careful; often, there are na -values at the beginning of the series, which are not included in the calculations!
• Always keep in mind considering what the close price did without any condition
• The numbers must be large enough. Each entry must be five or more. In other words, it is vital to make the 'population' large enough.
• The code can be developed further, for example, by splitting UP, DOWN in close UP 1-2%, close UP 2-3%, close UP 3-4%, ...
• rsi can be supplemented with stochRSI, MFI, sma, ema, ...
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Population
• Choose the population size; in other words, how many bars you want to go back to. If fewer bars are available than set, this will be automatically adjusted.
🔹 Inputs
At least two conditions need to be chosen.
• Users can add up to 11 conditions, where each condition can contain two different conditions.
🔹 RSI
• Length
🔹 Levels
• Set the used levels as desired.
🔹 Levels
• P-value: P-value retrieved using a standard table method or a function.
• Used function, derived from Chi-Square Distribution Function; JavaScript
LogGamma(Z) =>
S = 1
+ 76.18009173 / Z
- 86.50532033 / (Z+1)
+ 24.01409822 / (Z+2)
- 1.231739516 / (Z+3)
+ 0.00120858003 / (Z+4)
- 0.00000536382 / (Z+5)
(Z-.5) * math.log(Z+4.5) - (Z+4.5) + math.log(S * 2.50662827465)
Gcf(float X, A) => // Good for X > A +1
A0=0., B0=1., A1=1., B1=X, AOLD=0., N=0
while (math.abs((A1-AOLD)/A1) > .00001)
AOLD := A1
N += 1
A0 := A1+(N-A)*A0
B0 := B1+(N-A)*B0
A1 := X*A0+N*A1
B1 := X*B0+N*B1
A0 := A0/B1
B0 := B0/B1
A1 := A1/B1
B1 := 1
Prob = math.exp(A * math.log(X) - X - LogGamma(A)) * A1
1 - Prob
Gser(X, A) => // Good for X < A +1
T9 = 1. / A
G = T9
I = 1
while (T9 > G* 0.00001)
T9 := T9 * X / (A + I)
G := G + T9
I += 1
G *= math.exp(A * math.log(X) - X - LogGamma(A))
Gammacdf(x, a) =>
GI = 0.
if (x<=0)
GI := 0
else if (x
Chisqcdf = Gammacdf(Z/2, DF/2)
Chisqcdf := math.round(Chisqcdf * 100000) / 100000
pValue = 1 - Chisqcdf
🔶 REFERENCES
mathsisfun.com, Chi-Square Test
Chi-Square Distribution Function
Bollinger and Stochastic with Trailing Stop - D.M.P.This trading strategy combines Bollinger Bands and the Stochastic indicator to identify entry opportunities in oversold and overbought conditions in the market. The aim is to capitalize on price rebounds from the extremes defined by the Bollinger Bands, with the confirmation of the Stochastic to maximize the probability of success of the operations.
Indicators Used
- Bollinger Bands Used to measure volatility and define oversold and overbought levels. When the price touches or breaks through the lower band, it indicates a possible oversold condition. Similarly, when it touches or breaks through the upper band, it indicates a possible overbought condition.
- Stochastic: A momentum oscillator that compares the closing price of an asset with its price range over a certain period. Values below 20 indicate oversold, while values above 80 indicate overbought.
Strategy Logic
- Long Entry (Buy): A purchase operation is executed when the price closes below the lower Bollinger band (indicating oversold) and the Stochastic is also in the oversold zone.
- Short Entry (Sell): A sell operation is executed when the price closes above the upper Bollinger band (indicating overbought) and the Stochastic is in the overbought zone.
