Correlation Coefficient [Giang]### **Introduction to the "Correlation Coefficient" Indicator**
#### **Idea behind the Indicator**
The "Correlation Coefficient" indicator was developed to analyze the linear relationship between Bitcoin (**BTCUSD**) and other important economic indices or financial assets, such as:
- **SPX** (S&P 500 Index): Represents the U.S. stock market.
- **DXY** (Dollar Index): Reflects the strength of the USD against major currencies.
- **SPY** (ETF representing the S&P 500): A popular trading instrument.
- **GOLD** (Gold price): A traditional safe-haven asset.
The correlation between these assets can help traders understand how Bitcoin reacts to market movements of traditional financial instruments, providing opportunities for more effective trading decisions.
Additionally, the indicator allows users to **customize asset symbols for comparison**, not limited to the default indices (SPX, DXY, SPY, GOLD). This flexibility enables traders to tailor their analysis to specific goals and portfolios.
---
#### **Significance and Use of Correlation in Trading**
**Correlation** is a measure of the linear relationship between two data series. In the context of this indicator:
- **The correlation coefficient ranges from -1 to 1**:
- **1**: Perfect positive relationship (both increase or decrease together).
- **0**: No linear relationship.
- **-1**: Perfect negative relationship (one increases while the other decreases).
- **Use in trading**:
- Identify **strong relationships or unusual divergences** between Bitcoin and other assets.
- Help determine **market sentiment**: For example, if Bitcoin has a negative correlation with DXY, traders might expect Bitcoin to rise when the USD weakens.
- Provide a foundation for hedging strategies or investments based on inter-asset relationships.
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#### **Components of the Indicator**
The "Correlation Coefficient" indicator consists of the following key components:
1. **Main Data (BTCUSD)**:
- The closing price of Bitcoin is used as the central asset for calculations.
2. **Comparison Data**:
- Users can select different asset symbols for comparison. By default, the indicator supports:
- **SPX**: Stock market index.
- **DXY**: Dollar Index.
- **SPY**: Popular ETF.
- **GOLD**: Gold price.
3. **Correlation Coefficients**:
- Calculated between BTC and each comparison index, based on a Weighted Moving Average (WMA) over a user-defined period.
4. **Graphical Representation**:
- Displays individual correlation coefficients with each comparison index, making it easier for traders to track and analyze.
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#### **How to Analyze and Use the Indicator**
**1. Identify Key Correlations:**
- Observe the correlation lines between BTC and the indices to determine positive or negative relationships.
- Example:
- If the **Correlation Coefficient (BTC-DXY)** sharply declines to -1, this indicates that when USD strengthens, Bitcoin tends to weaken.
**2. Analyze the Strength of Correlations:**
- **Strong Correlations**: If the coefficient is close to 1 or -1, the relationship between the two assets is very clear.
- **Weak Correlations**: If the coefficient is near 0, Bitcoin may be influenced by other factors outside the compared index.
**3. Develop Trading Strategies:**
- Use correlations to predict Bitcoin's price movements:
- If BTC has an inverse relationship with **DXY**, traders might consider selling BTC when the USD strengthens.
- If BTC and **SPX** are strongly correlated, traders can monitor the stock market to predict Bitcoin's trend.
**4. Evaluate Changes Over Time:**
- Use different timeframes (daily, weekly) to track the correlation's fluctuations.
- Look for unusual signals, such as a breakdown or shift from positive to negative relationships.
---
#### **Conclusion**
The "Correlation Coefficient" indicator is a powerful tool that helps traders analyze the relationship between Bitcoin and major financial indices. The ability to customize asset symbols for comparison makes the indicator flexible and suitable for various trading strategies. When used correctly, this indicator not only provides insights into market sentiment but also supports the development of intelligent trading strategies and optimized profits.
"美股道琼斯工业平均指数、纳斯达克指数、标普500指数的成交量数据" için komut dosyalarını ara
Relative Strength vs SPX
This indicator calculates the ratio of the current chart's price to the S&P 500 Index (SPX), providing a measure of the stock's relative strength compared to the broader market.
Key Features:
Dynamic High/Low Detection: Highlights periods when the ratio makes a new high (green) or a new low (red) based on a user-defined lookback period.
Customizable Lookback: The lookback period for detecting highs and lows can be adjusted in the settings for tailored analysis.
Visual Overlay: The ratio is plotted in a separate pane, allowing easy comparison of relative strength trends.
This tool is useful for identifying stocks outperforming or underperforming the S&P 500 over specific timeframes.
COT Report Indicator with Speculator Net PositionsThe COT Report Indicator with Speculator Net Positions is designed to give traders insights into the behavior of large market participants, particularly speculators, based on the Commitment of Traders (COT) report data. This indicator visualizes the long and short positions of non-commercial traders, allowing users to gauge the sentiment and positioning of large speculators in key markets, such as Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, S&P 500, and currency pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD, and others.
The indicator provides three essential components:
Net Long Position (Green) - Displays the total long positions held by speculators.
Net Short Position (Purple) - Shows the total short positions held by speculators.
Net Difference (Long - Short) (Yellow) - Illustrates the difference between long and short positions, helping users identify whether speculators are more bullish or bearish on the asset.
Recommended Timeframes:
Best Timeframes: Weekly and Monthly
The COT report data is released on a weekly basis, making higher timeframes like the Weekly and Monthly charts ideal for this indicator. These timeframes provide a more accurate reflection of the underlying trends in speculator positioning, avoiding the noise present in lower timeframes.
How to Use:
Market Sentiment: Use this indicator to gauge the sentiment of large speculators, who often drive market trends. A strong net long position can indicate bullish sentiment, while a high net short position might suggest bearish sentiment.
Trend Reversal Signals: Sudden changes in the net difference between long and short positions may indicate potential trend reversals.
Confirmation Tool: Pair this indicator with your existing analysis to confirm the strength of a trend or identify overbought/oversold conditions based on speculator activity.
Supported Symbols:
This indicator currently supports a range of commodities and currency pairs, including:
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )
Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD )
Crude Oil ( TVC:USOIL )
Natural Gas ( NYMEX:NG1! )
S&P 500 ( SP:SPX )
Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY )
EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )
GBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD )
GBPJPY( FX:GBPJPY )
By providing clear insight into the positions of large speculators, this indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to align with institutional sentiment and enhance their trading strategy.
War IndexIntroduction
Welcome to the War Index! This project aims to provide traders, investors, and analysts with a specialized financial indicator that tracks the performance of key defense and aerospace companies. By aggregating the percentage changes of selected stocks, the War Index offers insights into the defense sector's dynamics and its relationship with the broader market.
What is the War Index?
The War Index is a custom financial indicator designed to approximate the collective performance of major defense and aerospace companies. It aggregates the daily percentage changes of selected stocks within the defense sector to provide a singular metric that reflects the overall health and trends of this industry. Additionally, the index is compared against the S&P 500 (SPX) to contextualize its performance relative to the broader market.
Index Components
The War Index comprises the following 16 stocks, each representing a significant player in the defense and aerospace industries:
Lockheed Martin Corporation ( NYSE:LMT )
Northrop Grumman Corporation ( NYSE:NOC )
Boeing Company ( NYSE:BA )
Raytheon Technologies Corporation ( NYSE:RTX )
General Dynamics Corporation ( NYSE:GD )
BAE Systems plc ( OTC:BAESY )
L3Harris Technologies, Inc. ( NYSE:LHX )
Textron Inc. ( NYSE:TXT )
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. ( NYSE:HII )
Oshkosh Corporation ( NYSE:OSK )
Leidos Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:LDOS )
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:KTOS )
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:SPR )
Parsons Corporation ( NYSE:PSN )
CACI International Inc ( NYSE:CACI )
ViaSat, Inc. ( NASDAQ:VSAT )
Purpose of the War Index
The War Index serves several key purposes:
Sector Performance Tracking : By aggregating the performance of major defense and aerospace companies, the index provides a clear picture of the sector's overall health.
Investment Analysis : Investors can use the index to identify trends, evaluate sector strength, and make informed decisions regarding their portfolios.
Comparative Benchmarking : Comparing the War Index with broader market indices like the S&P 500 helps in understanding how the defense sector performs relative to the general market.
Disclaimer: This War Index is an approximated indicator intended for informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Engulfing BoxThe Engulfing Box indicator is a custom script designed to visually highlight and track bullish and bearish engulfing candlestick patterns on a price chart. These patterns are often used to identify potential reversal points, making them valuable for technical analysis. The script dynamically draws colored boxes around these patterns, helping users easily spot them in the price action.
Key Features:
Bullish Engulfing Pattern: When a candlestick fully engulfs the previous bearish candle (i.e., the close of the current candle is higher than the open of the previous candle, and the open is lower than the close of the previous candle), the script draws a green box around the bullish engulfing candle. This box is drawn from the open of the previous candle to the low of the previous candle.
Bearish Engulfing Pattern: When a candlestick fully engulfs the previous bullish candle (i.e., the close of the current candle is lower than the open of the previous candle, and the open is higher than the close of the previous candle), a red box is drawn around the bearish engulfing candle. This box is drawn from the open of the previous candle to the high of the previous candle.
Dynamic Box Management: Once an engulfing pattern is detected, a box is drawn with the following attributes:
Bullish Engulfing Box: Green, with a transparent background.
Bearish Engulfing Box: Red, with a transparent background.
The box will adjust its color to gray if the price moves past certain thresholds, indicating that the engulfing pattern may no longer be as relevant.
Max Pattern Tracking: The script limits the number of engulfing boxes tracked on the chart to prevent clutter. The maximum number of bullish and bearish engulfing patterns shown is customizable (set to 500 by default), and once this limit is exceeded, older boxes are deleted to maintain a clean chart.
Pattern Expiry: Boxes are deleted if price action moves beyond the pattern’s range, ensuring that outdated signals are removed. If the low price falls below the bottom of the bullish engulfing box, or the high price rises above the top of the bearish engulfing box, the respective box is removed. Additionally, if the low price moves below the top of the bullish box or the high price exceeds the bottom of the bearish box, the box's color is changed to a more neutral tone.
How it Works:
Pattern Detection: The script compares the current price data with the previous candlestick to detect the bullish or bearish engulfing patterns.
Box Creation: If a pattern is detected, a colored box is drawn around the candle to visually highlight the pattern.
Pattern Expiry and Cleanup: The script continuously monitors past boxes. If the price moves too far from the box’s range, the box is either deleted or altered to reflect the reduced significance of the pattern.
B ox Count Limit: To avoid clutter, the script ensures that no more than 500 bullish or bearish engulfing boxes are shown at any time.
Customization:
The number of previous bars to scan for engulfing patterns can be adjusted (maxBarsback).
The maximum number of patterns displayed at any time can be modified.
Pulse DPO: Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms█ OVERVIEW
Pulse DPO is an oscillator designed to highlight Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms .
It works on any market driven by cycles. It operates by removing the short-term noise from the price action and focuses on the market's cyclical nature.
This indicator uses a Normalized version of the Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) on a 0-100 scale, making it easier to identify major tops and bottoms.
Credit: The DPO was first developed by William Blau in 1991.
█ HOW TO READ IT
Pulse DPO oscillates in the range between 0 and 100. A value in the upper section signals an OverBought (OB) condition, while a value in the lower section signals an OverSold (OS) condition.
Generally, the triggering of OB and OS conditions don't necessarily translate into swing tops and bottoms, but rather suggest caution on approaching a market that might be overextended.
Nevertheless, this indicator has been customized to trigger the signal only during remarkable top and bottom events.
I suggest using it on the Daily Time Frame , but you're free to experiment with this indicator on other time frames.
The indicator has Built-in Alerts to signal the crossing of the Thresholds. Please don't act on an isolated signal, but rather integrate it to work in conjunction with the indicators present in your Trading Plan.
█ OB SIGNAL ON: ENTERING OVERBOUGHT CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Above the Top Threshold it Triggers ON the OB signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to OB color.
When Pulse DPO enters the OB Zone, please beware! In this Area the Major Players usually become Active Sellers to the Public. While the OB signal is On, it might be wise to Consider Selling a portion or the whole Long Position.
Please note that even though this indicator aims to focus on major tops and bottoms, a strong trending market might trigger the OB signal and stay with it for a long time. That's especially true on young markets and on bubble-mode markets.
█ OB SIGNAL OFF: EXITING OVERBOUGHT CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Below the Top Threshold it Triggers OFF the OB signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to its normal color.
When Pulse DPO exits the OB Zone, please beware because a Major Top might just have occurred. In this Area the Major Players usually become Aggressive Sellers. They might wind up any remaining Long Positions and Open new Short Positions.
This might be a good area to Open Shorts or to Close/Reverse any remaining Long Position. Whatever you choose to do, it's usually best to act quickly because the market is prone to enter into panic mode.
█ OS SIGNAL ON: ENTERING OVERSOLD CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Below the Bottom Threshold it Triggers ON the OS signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to OS color.
When Pulse DPO enters the OS Zone, please beware because in this Area the Major Players usually become Active Buyers accumulating Long Positions from the desperate Public.
While the OS signal is On, it might be wise to Consider becoming a Buyer or to implement a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy to build a Long Position towards the next Cycle. In contrast to the tops, the OS state usually takes longer to resolve a major bottom.
█ OS SIGNAL OFF: EXITING OVERSOLD CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Above the Bottom Threshold it Triggers OFF the OS signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to its normal color.
When Pulse DPO exits the OS Zone, please beware because a Major Bottom might already be in place. In this Area the Major Players become Aggresive Buyers. They might wind up any remaining Short Positions and Open new Long Positions.
This might be a good area to Open Longs or to Close/Reverse any remaining Short Positions.
█ WHY WOULD YOU BE INTERESTED IN THIS INDICATOR?
This indicator is built over a solid foundation capable of signaling Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms across many markets. Let's see some examples:
Early Bitcoin Years: From 0 to 1242
This chart is in logarithmic mode in order to properly display various exponential cycles. Pulse DPO is properly signaling the major early highs from 9-Jun-2011 at 31.50, to the next one on 9-Apr-2013 at 240 and the epic top from 29-Nov-2013 at 1242.
Due to the massive price movements, the OB condition stays pinned during most of the exponential price action. But as you can see, the OB condition quickly vanishes once the Cycle Top has been reached. As the market matures, the OB condition becomes more exceptional and triggers much closer from the Cycle Top.
With regards to Cycle Bottoms, the early bottom of 2 after having peaked at 31.50 doesn’t get captured by the indicator. That is the only cycle bottom that escapes the Pulse DPO when the bottom threshold is set at a value of 5. In that event, the oscillator low reached 6.95.
Bitcoin Adoption Spreading: From 257 to 73k
This chart is in logarithmic mode in order to properly display various exponential cycles. Pulse DPO is properly signaling all the major highs from 17-Dec-2017 at 19k, to the next one on 14-Apr-2021 at 64k and the most recent top from 9-Nov-2021 at 68k.
During the massive run of 2017, the OB condition still stayed triggered for a few weeks on each swing top. But on the next cycles it started to signal only for a few days before each swing top actually happened. The OB condition during the last cycle top triggered only for 3 days. Therefore the signal grows in focus as the market matures.
At the time of publishing this indicator, Bitcoin printed a new All Time High (ATH) on 13-Mar-2024 at 73k. That run didn’t trigger the OB condition. Therefore, if the indicator is correct the Bitcoin market still has some way to grow during the next months.
With regards to Cycle Bottoms, the bottom of 3k after having peaked at19k got captured within the wide OS zone. The bottom of 15k after having peaked at 68k got captured too within the OS accumulation area.
Gold
Pulse DPO behaves surprisingly well on a long standing market such as Gold. Moving back to the 197x years it’s been signaling most Cycle Tops and Bottoms with precision. During the last cycle, it shows topping at 2k and bottoming at 1.6k.
The current price action is signaling OB condition in the range of 2.5k to 2.7k. Looking at past cycles, it tends to trigger on and off at multiple swing tops until reaching the final cycle top. Therefore this might indicate the first wave within a potential gold run.
Oil
On the Oil market, we can see that most of the cycle tops and bottoms since the 80s got signaled. The only exception being the low from 2020 which didn’t trigger.
EURUSD
On Forex markets the Pulse DPO also behaves as expected. Looking back at EURUSD we can see the marketing triggering OB and OS conditions during major cycle tops and bottoms from recent times until the 80s.
S&P 500
On the S&P 500 the Pulse DPO catched the lows from 2016 and 2020. Looking at present price action, the recent ATH didn’t trigger the OB condition. Therefore, the indicator is allowing room for another leg up during the next months.
Amazon
On the Amazon chart the Pulse DPO is mirroring pretty accurately the major swings. Scrolling back to the early 2000s, this chart resembles early exponential swings in the crypto space.
Tesla
Moving onto a younger tech stock, Pulse DPO captures pretty accurately the major tops and bottoms. The chart is shown in logarithmic scale to better display the magnitude of the moves.
█ SETTINGS
This indicator is ideal for identifying major market turning points while filtering out short-term noise. You are free to adjust the parameters to align with your preferred trading style.
Parameters : This section allows you to customize any of the Parameters that shape the Oscillator.
Oscillator Length: Defines the period for calculating the Oscillator.
Offset: Shifts the oscillator calculation by a certain number of periods, which is typically half the Oscillator Length.
Lookback Period: Specifies how many bars to look back to find tops and bottoms for normalization.
Smoothing Length: Determines the length of the moving average used to smooth the oscillator.
Thresholds : This section allows you to customize the Thresholds that trigger the OB and OS conditions.
Top: Defines the value of the Top Threshold.
Bottom: Defines the value of the Bottom Threshold.
Watchlist & Symbols Distribution [Daveatt]TLDR;
I got bored so I just coded the TradingView watchlist interface in Pinescript :)
TLDR 2:
Sharing it open-source what took me 1 full day to code - haven't coded in Pinescript in a long time, so I'm a bit slow for now :)
█ OVERVIEW
This script offers a comprehensive market analysis tool inspired by TradingView's native watchlist interface features.
It combines an interactive watchlist with powerful distribution visualization capabilities and a performance comparison panel.
The script was developed with a focus on providing multiple visualization methods while working within PineScript's limitations.
█ DEVELOPMENT BACKGROUND
The pie chart implementation was greatly inspired by the ( "Crypto Map Dashboard" script / )
adapting its circular visualization technique to create dynamic distribution charts. However, due to PineScript's 500-line limitation per script, I had to optimize the code to allow users to switch between pie chart analysis and performance comparison modes rather than displaying both simultaneously.
█ SETUP AND DISPLAY
For optimal visualization, users need to adjust the chart's display settings manually.
This involves:
Expanding the indicator window vertically to accommodate both the watchlist and graphical elements
Adjusting the Y-axis scale by dragging it to ensure proper spacing for the comparison panel grid
Modifying the X-axis scale to achieve the desired time window display
Fine-tuning these adjustments whenever switching between pie chart and comparison panel modes
These manual adjustments are necessary due to PineScript's limitations in controlling chart scaling programmatically. While this requires some initial setup, it allows users to customize the display to their preferred viewing proportions.
█ MAIN FEATURES
Distribution Analysis
The script provides three distinct distribution visualization modes through a pie chart.
Users can analyze their symbols by exchanges, asset types (such as Crypto, Forex, Futures), or market sectors.
If you can't see it well at first, adjust your chart scaling until it's displayed nicely.
Asset Exchanges
www.tradingview.com
Asset Types
Asset Sectors
The pie charts feature an optional 3D effect with adjustable depth and angle parameters. To enhance visual customization, four different color schemes are available: Default, Pastel, Dark, and Neon.
Each segment of the pie chart includes interactive tooltips that can be configured to show different levels of detail. Importantly, the pie chart only visualizes the distribution of selected assets (those marked with a checkmark in the watchlist), providing a focused view of the user's current interests.
Interactive Watchlist
The watchlist component displays real-time data for up to 10 user-defined symbols. Each entry shows current price, price changes (both absolute and percentage), volume metrics, and a comparison toggle.
The table is dynamically updated and features color-coded entries that correspond to their respective performance lines in the comparison chart. The watchlist serves as both an information display and a control panel for the comparison feature.
Performance Comparison
One of the script's most innovative features is its performance comparison panel.
Using polylines for smooth visualization, it tracks the 30-day performance of selected symbols relative to a 0% baseline.
The comparison chart includes a sophisticated grid system with 5% intervals and a dynamic legend showing current performance values.
The polyline implementation allows for fluid, continuous lines that accurately represent price movements, providing a more refined visual experience than traditional line plots. Like the pie charts, the comparison panel only displays performance lines for symbols that have been selected in the watchlist, allowing users to focus on their specific assets of interest.
█ TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION
The script utilizes several advanced PineScript features:
Dynamic array management for symbol tracking
Polyline-based charting for smooth performance visualization
Real-time data processing with security calls
Interactive tooltips and labels
Optimized drawing routines to maintain performance
Selective visualization based on user choices
█ CUSTOMIZATION
Users can personalize almost every aspect of the script:
Symbol selection and comparison preferences
Visual theme selection with four distinct color schemes
Pie chart dimensions and positioning
Tooltip information density
Component visibility toggles
█ LIMITATIONS
The primary limitation stems from PineScript's 500-line restriction per script.
This constraint necessitated the implementation of a mode-switching system between pie charts and the comparison panel, as displaying both simultaneously would exceed the line limit. Additionally, the script relies on manual chart scale adjustments, as PineScript doesn't provide direct control over chart scaling when overlay=false is enabled.
However, these limitations led to a more focused and efficient design approach that gives users control over their viewing experience.
█ CONCLUSION
All those tools exist in the native TradingView watchlist interface and they're better than what I just did.
However, now it exists in Pinescript... so I believe it's a win lol :)
Smart Money Setup 07 [TradingFinder] Liquidity Hunts & Minor OB🔵 Introduction
The Smart Money Concept relies on analyzing market structure, tracking liquidity flows, and identifying order blocks. Research indicates that traders who apply these methods can improve their accuracy in predicting market movements by up to 30%.
These elements allow traders to understand the behavior of market makers, including banks and large financial institutions, which have the ability to influence price movements and shape major market trends. By recognizing how these entities operate, traders can align their strategies with Smart Money actions and better anticipate shifts in the market.
Smart Money typically enters the market at points of high liquidity where trading opportunities are more attractive. By following these liquidity flows, professional traders can position themselves at market reversal points, leading to profitable trades.
The Smart Money Setup 07 indicator has been specifically designed to detect these complex patterns. Using advanced algorithms, this indicator automatically identifies both bullish and bearish trading setups, assisting traders in discovering hidden market opportunities.
As a powerful technical analysis tool, the Smart Money Setup indicator helps predict the actions of major market participants and highlights optimal entry and exit points. Essentially, this tool enables traders to act like institutional investors and market makers, making the most of price fluctuations in their favor.
Ultimately, the Smart Money Setup 07 indicator transforms complex technical analysis into a simple and practical tool. By detecting order blocks and liquidity zones, this tool helps traders execute their strategies with greater precision, leading to more informed and successful trading decisions.
🟣 Bullish Setup
🟣 Bearish Setup
🔵 How to Use
One of the key strengths of the Smart Money Setup 07 indicator is its ability to accurately identify order blocks and analyze liquidity flows. Order blocks represent areas where large buy or sell orders are placed by Smart Money investors, which often indicate key reversal points in the market. Traders can use these order blocks to pinpoint potential entry and exit opportunities.
The Smart Money Setup indicator detects and visually displays these order blocks on the chart, helping traders identify the best zones to enter or exit trades. Since these zones are frequently used by large institutional investors, following these blocks allows traders to capitalize on price fluctuations and trade with confidence.
🟣 Bullish Smart Money Setup
A Bullish Smart Money Setup forms when the market creates Higher Lows and Higher Highs. In this situation, the indicator analyzes pivot points, liquidity flows, and order blocks to identify buy opportunities. Liquidity points in these setups indicate areas where Smart Money is likely to enter long positions.
In the bullish setup image, multiple Higher Lows and Higher Highs are formed. The green zone represents a Bullish Order Block, signaling traders to enter a long trade. The Smart Money Setup indicator displays a green arrow, indicating a high-probability upward price movement from this liquidity zone.
🟣 Bearish Smart Money Setup
A Bearish Smart Money Setup occurs when the market structure shows Lower Highs and Lower Lows, indicating weakness in price. The indicator identifies these patterns and highlights potential sell opportunities. Liquidity points in this setup mark areas where Smart Money enters sell positions.
In the bearish setup image, a Lower High is followed by a Lower Low, with the red liquidity zone acting as a Bearish Order Block. The Smart Money Setup indicator shows a red arrow, signaling a likely downward move, offering traders an opportunity to enter short positions.
🔵 Settings
Pivot Period : This setting determines how many candles are needed to form a pivot point. A default value of 2 is optimal for quickly identifying key pivot points in price action.
Order Block Validity Period : This parameter defines the lifespan of an order block. Traders can adjust how long each order block remains valid. For instance, setting it to 500 means that an order block will be valid for 500 bars after its formation.
Mitigation Level OB : This setting allows traders to select whether order blocks should be based on the "Proximal," "50% OB," or "Distal" levels, helping traders manage risk more effectively.
Order Block Refinement : Traders can refine the order blocks with precision. The indicator offers two refinement modes: Defensive and Aggressive. The Defensive mode identifies safer order blocks, while the Aggressive mode targets higher-risk blocks with the potential for larger reversals.
🔵 Conclusion
The Smart Money Setup 07 indicator is a powerful tool for identifying key Smart Money movements in the market. It provides traders with essential insights for making informed trading decisions, particularly when combined with technical analysis and liquidity flow analysis. This indicator allows traders to accurately pinpoint entry and exit points, helping them maximize profits and minimize risk.
By offering a range of customizable settings, the Smart Money Setup indicator adapts to different trading styles and strategies. Furthermore, its ability to detect order blocks and identify supply and demand zones makes it an indispensable tool for any trader looking to enhance their strategy.
In conclusion, the Smart Money Setup 07 is a crucial tool for traders aiming to optimize their trading performance. By utilizing the concepts of Smart Money in technical analysis, traders can make more precise decisions and take advantage of market fluctuations.
Advanced Economic Indicator by USCG_VetAdvanced Economic Indicator by USCG_Vet
tldr:
This comprehensive TradingView indicator combines multiple economic and financial metrics into a single, customizable composite index. By integrating key indicators such as the yield spread, commodity ratios, stock indices, and the Federal Reserve's QE/QT activities, it provides a holistic view of the economic landscape. Users can adjust the components and their weights to tailor the indicator to their analysis, aiding in forecasting economic conditions and market trends.
Detailed Description
Overview
The Advanced Economic Indicator is designed to provide traders and investors with a powerful tool to assess the overall economic environment. By aggregating a diverse set of economic indicators and financial market data into a single composite index, it helps identify potential turning points in the economy and financial markets.
Key Features:
Comprehensive Coverage: Includes 14 critical economic and financial indicators.
Customizable Components: Users can select which indicators to include.
Adjustable Weights: Assign weights to each component based on perceived significance.
Visual Signals: Clear plotting with threshold lines and background highlights.
Alerts: Set up alerts for when the composite index crosses user-defined thresholds.
Included Indicators
Yield Spread (10-Year Treasury Yield minus 3-Month Treasury Yield)
Copper/Gold Ratio
High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Stock Market Performance (S&P 500 Index - SPX)
Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Volatility Index (VIX)
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Housing Market Index (XHB)
Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
How to Use the Indicator
Configuring the Indicator:
Open Settings: Click on the gear icon (⚙️) next to the indicator's name.
Inputs Tab: You'll find a list of all components with checkboxes and weight inputs.
Including/Excluding Components
Checkboxes: Check or uncheck the box next to each component to include or exclude it from the composite index.
Default State: By default, all components are included.
Adjusting Component Weights:
Weight Inputs: Next to each component's checkbox is a weight input field.
Default Weights: Pre-assigned based on economic significance but fully adjustable.
Custom Weights: Enter your desired weight for each component to reflect your analysis.
Threshold Settings:
Bearish Threshold: Default is -1.0. Adjust to set the level below which the indicator signals potential economic downturns.
Bullish Threshold: Default is 1.0. Adjust to set the level above which the indicator signals potential economic upswings.
Setting the Timeframe:
Weekly Timeframe Recommended: Due to the inclusion of the Fed's balance sheet data (updated weekly), it's best to use this indicator on a weekly chart.
Changing Timeframe: Select 1W (weekly) from the timeframe options at the top of the chart.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Composite Index Line
Plot: The blue line represents the composite economic indicator.
Movement: Observe how the line moves relative to the threshold lines.
Threshold Lines
Zero Line (Gray Dotted): Indicates the neutral point.
Bearish Threshold (Red Dashed): Crossing below suggests potential economic weakness.
Bullish Threshold (Green Dashed): Crossing above suggests potential economic strength.
Background Highlights
Red Background: When the composite index is below the bearish threshold.
Green Background: When the composite index is above the bullish threshold.
No Color: When the composite index is between the thresholds.
Understanding the Components
1. Yield Spread
Description: The difference between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. Treasury yields.
Economic Significance: An inverted yield curve (negative spread) has historically preceded recessions.
2. Copper/Gold Ratio
Description: The price ratio of copper to gold.
Economic Significance: Copper is tied to industrial demand; gold is a safe-haven asset. The ratio indicates risk sentiment.
3. High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Description: Ratio of high-yield corporate bonds (HYG) to intermediate-term Treasury bonds (IEF).
Economic Significance: Reflects investor appetite for risk; widening spreads can signal credit stress.
4. Stock Market Performance (SPX)
Description: S&P 500 Index levels.
Economic Significance: Broad measure of U.S. equity market performance.
5. Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Description: Bitcoin Liquid Index price.
Economic Significance: Represents risk appetite in speculative assets.
6. Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Description: Front-month crude oil futures price.
Economic Significance: Influences inflation and consumer spending.
7. Volatility Index (VIX)
Description: Market's expectation of volatility (fear gauge).
Economic Significance: High VIX indicates market uncertainty; inverted in the indicator to align directionally.
8. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Description: Value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.
Economic Significance: Affects international trade and commodity prices; inverted in the indicator.
9. Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Description: iShares TIPS Bond ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Reflects market expectations of inflation.
10. Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Description: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for consumer confidence and spending.
11. Housing Market Index (XHB)
Description: SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Indicator of the housing market's health.
12. Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Description: Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for manufacturing activity.
13. Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Description: Inverse of the SPY ETF price.
Economic Significance: Represents unemployment trends; higher inverse SPY suggests higher unemployment.
14. Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
Description: Total assets held by the Federal Reserve.
Economic Significance: Indicates liquidity injections (QE) or withdrawals (QT); impacts interest rates and asset prices.
Customization and Advanced Usage
Adjusting Weights:
Purpose: Emphasize components you believe are more predictive or relevant.
Method: Increase or decrease the weight value next to each component.
Example: If you think the yield spread is particularly important, you might assign it a higher weight.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading and investing involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Price Movement > Custom Points with Day of WeekThe code is a TradingView Pine Script indicator designed to track and visualize price movements in a financial market (like stocks or cryptocurrencies) based on a specific point threshold. Here’s a breakdown of its functionality:
Purpose of the Code:
Price Movement Calculation: It calculates the difference between the closing price and the opening price of each bar (or candle) to determine if the price has moved significantly.
Threshold Input: The user can set a threshold (e.g., 500 points) to determine what constitutes a significant movement.
Movement Conditions:
Positive Movement: If the price movement is greater than the threshold, it’s marked as a positive movement.
Negative Movement: If the price movement is less than the negative threshold (i.e., below -500 points), it’s marked as a negative movement.
Day of the Week Identification: The script identifies the day of the week for each bar (Monday through Sunday).
Visual Output:
It plots shapes (like labels) on the chart:
For positive movements, it shows "YES" in green, indicating the movement exceeded the threshold for that day.
For negative movements, it shows "YES" in red, indicating the movement fell below the negative threshold for that day.
Use Cases:
Traders: It helps traders quickly identify days where significant price movements occurred, allowing them to analyze trends and make informed trading decisions.
Market Analysis: The indicator can be used for backtesting strategies based on significant price movements.
Overall, this code serves as a visual tool for analyzing price volatility in a market based on user-defined thresholds and day-based observations. If you have any specific questions or need further clarification about any part of it, feel free to ask!
QQQ and SPY Price Levels [MW]Introduction:
Don’t let SPY and QQQ resistance levels hurt your futures trading anymore. The QQQ and SPY Price Levels indicator automagically provides easily accessible QQQ price levels for NASDAQ-related charts such as QQQ, /NQ and /MNQ futures, and leveraged ETFs such as TQQQ and SQQQ as well as for SPY price levels for S&P 500-related charts such as SPY, /ES and /MES futures, SPX, and leveraged ETFs such as UPRO and SPXU. If you’ve ever traded futures, or anything QQQ- or SPY-related and wanted to know at what price would the corresponding asset reach a key whole number level of QQQ or SPY, like 400, 440, 445, or even 447.50, this tool is for you. Key 10x, 5x, and even 2.5x multiples of QQQ and SPY can act as support or resistance for other related-assets. Until now, there hasn’t been an indicator that can serve as an easy visual cue to know exactly when that is about to happen across assets.
This indicator is a fork of the original SPY Price Levels indicator, which only considered SPY-related assets.
Settings:
QQQ/SPY 2.5x: Show closest levels above and below that are multiples of 2.5 on QQQ
QQQ/SPY 5x: Show closest levels above and below that are multiples of 5 on QQQ
QQQ/SPY 10x: Show closest levels above and below that are multiples of 10 on QQQ
Show QQQ/SPY Price Label: Show the current QQQ/SPY price
Extend lines to the left: Extend label lines for each price level to the beginning of the chart
Calculations:
This indicator defines the ratio between the price of QQQ/SPY and another NASDAQ/S&P-related asset and uses that multiplier once the user-defined price increments are defined. For example, if /MNQ is at 19000 and QQQ is at 465, then the ratio would be 40.8.
The incremental QQQ levels that are above and below the QQQ price are calculated using the following equations:
qqqLevelUp = _multiplier * math.ceil(_qqqClose / _multiplier)
qqqLevelDown = _multiplier * math.floor(_qqqClose / _multiplier)
The conversion ratio is then multiplied by that amount to get the final estimated corresponding price using the calculation:
levelUp := _conversion * qqqLevelUp
levelDown := _conversion * qqqLevelDown
For leveraged assets, the conversion must be used on the difference between the current QQQ price and the incremental upper and lower levels.
For example, the calculation for the next level up looks like the following:
levelUpDelta := math.abs(_qqqClose - qqqLevelUp)
levelUp := close + _conversion * (levelUpDelta * _leverage)
This logic is identical for SPY-related assets.
How to Use:
The QQQ and SPY Price Levels indicator aims to be as unobtrusive as possible. The default view shows 3 labels and 2 lines that are all aligned to the right of the main chart, so that it interferes as little as possible with any other indicators. It can be added to any /NQ or /MNQ futures chart, SQQQ, TQQQ, and, of course, QQQ as well as any /ES /MES futures chart, SPXU, UPRO, SPX, and of course SPY. The most immediate price levels for each multiplier appears above and below the current price along with the price of QQQ/SPY.
For example, MNQU2024 is currently at 19594. By looking at the indicator the next QQQ increment below is at 475, or 19556 on the MNQU2024 chart. This potential support is marked with a green label that shows both prices. The next increment above is at QQQ 477.50, or 19659 on the MESU2024 chart. And the QQQ price itself, is also shown (and can be removed) at 475.92.
QQQ and SPY price increments of 2.5, 5, and 10 tend to consistently act at the very least as emotional support and resistance levels. Weak, or weakening volume and/or momentum when these levels are hit can trigger a strong rejection, and can sometimes precipitate lengthy consolidation periods at those levels. Watching an NASDAQ- and S&P 500-related asset come to a halt, fall off a cliff, or react in some other unintuitive way could very well be the result of a QQQ/SPY level being reached. Even though many of us know that this relationship exists, it’s easy to forget. So, this indicator helps to ensure that its users keep that relationship front and center.
By extending the lines into the past on QQQ/SPY and their related assets, you can see what reactions happened at these key levels.
Other Usage Notes and Limitations:
The calculations used only provide an estimated relationship or a close approximation, and are not exact.
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
whookLibrary "whook"
This library provides functions for generating trading alerts for `whook`
check this -> github.com
Currently supported exchanges:
Kucoin futures
Bitget futures
Coinex futures
Bingx
OKX futures ( also its demo mode )
Bybit futures ( also Bybit testnet )
Binance futures ( also Binance futures testnet )
Phemex futures ( also Phemex testnet )
Kraken futures ( also Kraken futures testnet )
# --- Test Cases ---
Note: These test cases are for demonstration purposes only and may not cover all scenarios.
// buy(string account, float amount, string unit = "units", float leverage = 1)
buy("MyAccount", 100, "units", 1)
buy("MyAccount", 1000, "USDT", 5)
buy("MyAccount", 50, "percent", 2)
// sell(string account, float amount, string unit = "units", float leverage = 1)
sell("MyAccount", 50, "units", 1)
sell("MyAccount", 500, "USDT", 3)
sell("MyAccount", 25, "percent", 2)
// set_position(string account, float amount, string unit = "units", float leverage = 1)
set_position("MyAccount", 100, "units", 1)
set_position("MyAccount", 1000, "USDT", 5)
set_position("MyAccount", 50, "percent", 2)
// limit_buy(string account, float amount, float price, string unit = "units", float leverage = 1, string id = "")
limit_buy("MyAccount", 100, 10000, "units", 1, "MyBuyOrder")
limit_buy("MyAccount", 1000, 10500, "USDT", 5)
limit_buy("MyAccount", 50, 11000, "percent", 2)
// limit_sell(string account, float amount, float price, string unit = "units", float leverage = 1, string id = "")
limit_sell("MyAccount", 50, 10000, "units", 1, "MySellOrder")
limit_sell("MyAccount", 500, 9500, "USDT", 3)
limit_sell("MyAccount", 25, 9000, "percent", 2)
// close_percent(string account, float pct = 100)
close_percent("MyAccount", 100)
close_percent("MyAccount", 50)
buy(account, amount, unit, leverage)
Sends a trading alert to execute a market buy order.
Parameters:
account (string) : The account ID.
amount (float) : The amount to buy (can be in USD, units, or percentage).
unit (string) : The unit of the amount (optional, defaults to "units").
leverage (float) : The leverage to use (optional, defaults to 1x).
sell(account, amount, unit, leverage)
Sends a trading alert to execute a market sell order.
Parameters:
account (string) : The account ID.
amount (float) : The amount to sell (can be in USD, units, or percentage).
unit (string) : The unit of the amount (optional, defaults to "units").
leverage (float) : The leverage to use (optional, defaults to 1x).
set_position(account, amount, unit, leverage)
Sends a trading alert to set a position.
Parameters:
account (string) : The account ID.
amount (float) : The amount to set the position to (can be in USD, units, or percentage).
unit (string) : The unit of the amount (optional, defaults to "units").
leverage (float) : The leverage to use (optional, defaults to 1x).
limit_buy(account, amount, price, unit, leverage, id)
Sends a trading alert to place a limit buy order.
Parameters:
account (string) : The account ID.
amount (float) : The amount to buy (can be in USD, units, or percentage).
price (float) : The limit price.
unit (string) : The unit of the amount (optional, defaults to "units").
leverage (float) : The leverage to use (optional, defaults to 1x).
id (string) : An optional custom ID for the limit order.
limit_sell(account, amount, price, unit, leverage, id)
Sends a trading alert to place a limit sell order.
Parameters:
account (string) : The account ID.
amount (float) : The amount to sell (can be in USD, units, or percentage).
price (float) : The limit price.
unit (string) : The unit of the amount (optional, defaults to "units").
leverage (float) : The leverage to use (optional, defaults to 1x).
id (string) : An optional custom ID for the limit order.
close_percent(account, pct)
Sends an alert to close a position on Phemex.
Parameters:
account (string) : The account ID.
pct (float) : The percentage of the position to close (optional, defaults to 100%).
Higher Time Frame(HTF)The Higher Time Frame (HTF) will be displayed in a box. You can choose HTF periods from: 15min, 30min, 1hour, 2hour, 3hour, 4hour, 6hour, 8hour, 12hour, 1day, 1week, 2week, 4week, 1month, 2month, 3month, 4month, 6month, and 1year.
An error will occur if you set a period longer than the current candlestick period being displayed. The HTF Box can display a maximum of 500 boxes. There is no guarantee that all combinations of periods will work correctly.
----
上位足(Higher Time Frame, HTF) をボックスで表示します。
上位足の期間は、15分 30分 1時間 2時間 3時間 4時間 6時間 8時間 12時間 1日 1週 2週 4週 1月 2月 3月 4月 6月 1年から選べます。
表示しているローソク足の期間より長い期間を設定しないとエラーとなります。
上位足ボックスは最大500個表示することができます。
全ての期間の組み合わせで正しく動くことを保証するものではありません。
S&P Short-Range Oscillator**SHOULD BE USED ON THE S&P 500 ONLY**
The S&P Short-Range Oscillator (SRO), inspired by the principles of Jim Cramer's oscillator, is a technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify potential buy and sell signals in the stock market, specifically for the S&P 500 index. The SRO combines several market indicators to provide a normalized measure of market sentiment, assisting traders in making informed decisions.
The SRO utilizes two simple moving averages (SMAs) of different lengths: a 5-day SMA and a 10-day SMA. It also incorporates the daily price change and market breadth (the net change of closing prices). The 5-day and 10-day SMAs are calculated based on the closing prices. The daily price change is determined by subtracting the opening price from the closing price. Market breadth is calculated as the difference between the current closing price and the previous closing price.
The raw value of the oscillator, referred to as SRO Raw, is the sum of the daily price change, the 5-day SMA, the 10-day SMA, and the market breadth. This raw value is then normalized using its mean and standard deviation over a 20-day period, ensuring that the oscillator is centered and maintains a consistent scale. Finally, the normalized value is scaled to fit within the range of -15 to 15.
When interpreting the SRO, a value below -5 indicates that the market is potentially oversold, suggesting it might be a good time to start buying stocks as the market could be poised for a rebound. Conversely, a value above 5 suggests that the market is potentially overbought. In this situation, it may be prudent to hold on to existing positions or consider selling if you have substantial gains.
The SRO is visually represented as a blue line on a chart, making it easy to track its movements. Red and green horizontal lines mark the overbought (5) and oversold (-5) levels, respectively. Additionally, the background color changes to light red when the oscillator is overbought and light green when it is oversold, providing a clear visual cue.
By incorporating the S&P Short-Range Oscillator into your trading strategy, you can gain valuable insights into market conditions and make more informed decisions about when to buy, sell, or hold your stocks. However, always consider other market factors and perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
The S&P Short-Range Oscillator is a powerful tool for traders looking to gain insights into market sentiment. It provides clear buy and sell signals through its combination of multiple indicators and normalization process. However, traders should be aware of its lagging nature and potential complexity, and use it in conjunction with other analysis methods for the best results.
Disclaimer
The S&P Short-Range Oscillator is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses incurred from using this indicator. Use at your own risk.
TASC 2024.08 Volume Confirmation For A Trend System█ OVERVIEW
This script demonstrates the use of volume data to validate price movements based on the techniques Buff Pelz Dormeier discusses in his "Volume Confirmation For A Trend System" article from the August 2024 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . It presents a trend-following system implementation that utilizes a combination of three indicators: the Average Directional Index (ADX), the Trend Thrust Indicator (TTI), and the Volume Price Confirmation Indicator (VPCI).
█ CONCEPTS
In his article, Buff Pelz Dormeier recounts his search for an optimal trend-following strategy enhanced with volume data, starting with a simple system combining the ADX , MACD , and OBV indicators. Even in these early tests, the author observed that the volume confirmation from OBV notably improved trading performance. Subsequently, the author replaced OBV with his VPCI, which considers the proportional weights of volume and price, to enhance the validation of trend momentum. Lastly, the author explored the inclusion of his TTI, a modified MACD that features volume-based enhancements, as a strategy component for improved trend-following performance.
According to the author's research, the ADX+TTI+VPCI system outperformed similar strategies he tested in the article, yielding significantly higher returns and enhanced perceived reliability. Because the system's design revolves around catching pronounced trends, it performs best with a portfolio of individual stocks. The author applies the system in the article by allocating 5% of the equity to long positions in S&P 500 components that meet the ADX+TTI+VPCI entry criteria (see the Calculations section below for details). He uses the proceeds from closing positions to enter new positions in other stocks meeting the screening criteria, holding any excess proceeds in cash.
█ CALCULATIONS
The TTI is similar to the MACD. Its calculation entails the following steps:
Calculate fast (short-term) and slow (long-term) volume-weighted moving averages (VWMAs).
Compute the volume multiple (VM) as the square of the ratio of the fast VWMA to the slow VWMA.
Adjust these averages by multiplying the fast VWMA by the VM and dividing the slow VWMA by the VM.
Calculate the difference between the adjusted VWMAs to determine the TTI value, and take the average of that series to determine the signal line value.
The VPCI utilizes differences and ratios between VWMAs and corresponding simple moving averages (SMAs) to provide an alternative volume-price confirmation tool. Its calculation is as follows:
Subtract the slow SMA from the VWMA of the same length to calculate the volume-price confirmation/contradiction (VPC) value.
Divide the fast VWMA by the corresponding fast SMA to determine the volume-price ratio (VPR).
Divide the short-term VWMA by the long-term VWMA to calculate the VM.
Compute the VPCI as the product of the VPC, VPR, and VM values.
The long entry criteria of the ADX+TTI+VPCI system are as follows:
The ADX is above 30.
The TTI crosses above its signal line.
The VPCI is above 0, confirming the trend.
Signals to close positions occur when the VPCI is below 0, indicating a contradiction .
NOTE: Unlike in the article, this script applies the ADX+TTI+VPCI system to one stock at a time , not a portfolio of S&P 500 constituents.
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy script educates users on the trading system outlined by the TASC article. By default, it uses 10% of equity as the order size and a slippage amount of 5 ticks. Traders should adjust these settings and the commission amount when using this script.
Trend Forecasting - The Quant Science🌏 Trend Forecasting | ENG 🌏
This plug-in acts as a statistical filter, adding new information to your chart that will allow you to quickly verify the direction of a trend and the probability with which the price will be above or below the average in the future, helping you to uncover probable market inefficiencies.
🧠 Model calculation
The model calculates the arithmetic mean in relation to positive and negative events within the available sample for the selected time series. Where a positive event is defined as a closing price greater than the average, and a negative event as a closing price less than the average. Once all events have been calculated, the probabilities are extrapolated by relating each event.
Example
Positive event A: 70
Negative event B: 30
Total events: 100
Probabilities A: (100 / 70) x 100 = 70%
Probabilities B: (100 / 30) x 100 = 30%
Event A has a 70% probability of occurring compared to Event B which has a 30% probability.
🔍 Information Filter
The data on the graph show the future probabilities of prices being above average (default in green) and the probabilities of prices being below average (default in red).
The information that can be quickly retrieved from this indicator is:
1. Trend: Above-average prices together with a constant of data in green greater than 50% + 1 indicate that the observed historical series shows a bullish trend. The probability is correlated proportionally to the value of the data; the higher and increasing the expected value, the greater the observed bullish trend. On the other hand, a below-average price together with a red-coloured data constant show quantitative data regarding the presence of a bearish trend.
2. Future Probability: By analysing the data, it is possible to find the probability with which the price will be above or below the average in the future. In green are classified the probabilities that the price will be higher than the average, in red are classified the probabilities that the price will be lower than the average.
🔫 Operational Filter .
The indicator can be used operationally in the search for investment or trading opportunities given its ability to identify an inefficiency within the observed data sample.
⬆ Bullish forecast
For bullish trades, the inefficiency will appear as a historical series with a bullish trend, with high probability of a bullish trend in the future that is currently below the average.
⬇ Bearish forecast
For short trades, the inefficiency will appear as a historical series with a bearish trend, with a high probability of a bearish trend in the future that is currently above the average.
📚 Settings
Input: via the Input user interface, it is possible to adjust the periods (1 to 500) with which the average is to be calculated. By default the periods are set to 200, which means that the average is calculated by taking the last 200 periods.
Style: via the Style user interface it is possible to adjust the colour and switch a specific output on or off.
🇮🇹Previsione Della Tendenza Futura | ITA 🇮🇹
Questo plug-in funge da filtro statistico, aggiungendo nuove informazioni al tuo grafico che ti permetteranno di verificare rapidamente tendenza di un trend, probabilità con la quale il prezzo si troverà sopra o sotto la media in futuro aiutandoti a scovare probabili inefficienze di mercato.
🧠 Calcolo del modello
Il modello calcola la media aritmetica in relazione con gli eventi positivi e negativi all'intero del campione disponibile per la serie storica selezionata. Dove per evento positivo si intende un prezzo alla chiusura maggiore della media, mentre per evento negativo si intende un prezzo alla chiusura minore della media. Calcolata la totalità degli eventi le probabilità vengono estrapolate rapportando ciascun evento.
Esempio
Evento positivo A: 70
Evento negativo B: 30
Totale eventi : 100
Formula A: (100 / 70) x 100 = 70%
Formula B: (100 / 30) x 100 = 30%
Evento A ha una probabilità del 70% di realizzarsi rispetto all' Evento B che ha una probabilità pari al 30%.
🔍 Filtro informativo
I dati sul grafico mostrano le probabilità future che i prezzi siano sopra la media (di default in verde) e le probabilità che i prezzi siano sotto la media (di default in rosso).
Le informazioni che si possono rapidamente reperire da questo indicatore sono:
1. Trend: I prezzi sopra la media insieme ad una costante di dati in verde maggiori al 50% + 1 indicano che la serie storica osservata presenta un trend rialzista. La probabilità è correlata proporzionalmente al valore del dato; tanto più sarà alto e crescente il valore atteso e maggiore sarà la tendenza rialzista osservata. Viceversa, un prezzo sotto la media insieme ad una costante di dati classificati in colore rosso mostrano dati quantitativi riguardo la presenza di una tendenza ribassista.
2. Probabilità future: analizzando i dati è possibile reperire la probabilità con cui il prezzo si troverà sopra o sotto la media in futuro. In verde vengono classificate le probabilità che il prezzo sarà maggiore alla media, in rosso vengono classificate le probabilità che il prezzo sarà minore della media.
🔫 Filtro operativo
L' indicatore può essere utilizzato a livello operativo nella ricerca di opportunità di investimento o di trading vista la capacità di identificare un inefficienza all'interno del campione di dati osservato.
⬆ Previsione rialzista
Per operatività di tipo rialzista l'inefficienza apparirà come una serie storica a tendenza rialzista, con alte probabilità di tendenza rialzista in futuro che attualmente si trova al di sotto della media.
⬇ Previsione ribassista
Per operatività di tipo short l'inefficienza apparirà come una serie storica a tendenza ribassista, con alte probabilità di tendenza ribassista in futuro che si trova attualmente sopra la media.
📚 Impostazioni
Input: tramite l'interfaccia utente Input è possibile regolare i periodi (da 1 a 500) con cui calcolare la media. Di default i periodi sono impostati sul valore di 200, questo significa che la media viene calcolata prendendo gli ultimi 200 periodi.
Style: tramite l'interfaccia utente Style è possibile regolare il colore e attivare o disattivare un specifico output.
CNN Fear and Greed IndexThe “CNN Fear and Greed Index” indicator in this context is designed to gauge market sentiment based on a combination of several fundamental indicators. Here’s a breakdown of how this indicator works and what it represents:
Components of the Indicator:
1. Stock Price Momentum:
• Calculates the momentum of the S&P 500 index relative to its 125-day moving average. Momentum is essentially the rate of acceleration or deceleration of price movements over time.
2. Stock Price Strength:
• Measures the breadth of the market by comparing the number of stocks hitting 52-week highs versus lows. This provides insights into the overall strength or weakness of the market trend.
3. Stock Price Breadth:
• Evaluates the volume of shares trading on the rise versus the falling volume. Higher volume on rising days suggests positive market breadth, while higher volume on declining days indicates negative breadth.
4. Put and Call Options Ratio (Put/Call Ratio):
• This ratio indicates the sentiment of investors in the options market. A higher put/call ratio typically signals increased bearish sentiment (more puts relative to calls) and vice versa.
5. Market Volatility (VIX):
• Also known as the “fear gauge,” the VIX measures the expected volatility in the market over the next 30 days. Higher VIX values indicate higher expected volatility and often correlate with increased fear or uncertainty in the market.
6. Safe Haven Demand:
• Compares the returns of stocks (represented by S&P 500) versus safer investments like 10-year Treasury bonds. Higher returns on bonds relative to stocks suggest a flight to safety or risk aversion.
7. Junk Bond Demand:
• Measures the spread between yields on high-yield (junk) bonds and investment-grade bonds. Widening spreads may indicate increasing risk aversion as investors demand higher yields for riskier bonds.
Normalization and Weighting:
• Normalization: Each component is normalized to a scale of 0 to 100 using a function that adjusts the range based on historical highs and lows of the respective indicator.
• Weighting: The user can adjust the relative importance (weight) of each component using input parameters. This customization allows for different interpretations of market sentiment based on which factors are considered more influential.
Fear and Greed Index Calculation:
• The Fear and Greed Index is calculated as a weighted average of all normalized components. This index provides a single numerical value that summarizes the overall sentiment of the market based on the selected indicators.
Usage:
• Visualization: The indicator plots the Fear and Greed Index and its components on the chart. This allows traders and analysts to visually assess the sentiment trends over time.
• Analysis: Changes in the Fear and Greed Index can signal shifts in market sentiment. For example, a rising index may indicate increasing greed and potential overbought conditions, while a falling index may suggest increasing fear and potential oversold conditions.
• Customization: Traders can customize the indicator by adjusting the weights assigned to each component based on their trading strategies and market insights.
By integrating multiple fundamental indicators into a single index, the “CNN Fear and Greed Index” provides a comprehensive snapshot of market sentiment, helping traders make informed decisions about market entry, exit, and risk management strategies.
Volume Positive & Negative Levels [ChartPrime]Volume Positive & Negative Levels
Overview:
The Volume Positive & Negative Levels indicator by ChartPrime is designed to provide traders with a clear visualization of volume activity across different price levels. By plotting volume levels as histograms, this tool helps identify significant areas of buying (positive volume) and selling (negative volume) pressure, enhancing the ability to spot potential support and resistance zones.
Key Features:
⯁ Lookback Period:
- The `lookbackPeriod` parameter, set to 500 bars, determines the range over which the volume analysis is conducted, ensuring a comprehensive view of the market’s volume activity. The maximum lookback period is 500 bars or the bars currently visible on the chart, whichever is smaller.
⯁ Dynamic Volume Calculation:
- Volume is calculated dynamically based on the price action, with positive volume indicating buying pressure (close > open) and negative volume indicating selling pressure (close < open).
⯁ Color Coding for Clarity:
- Positive Volume: Represented with a distinct color (`#ad9a2c`), making it easy to identify areas of buying interest.
- Negative Volume: Highlighted with another color (`#ad2cad`), simplifying the detection of selling pressure.
Volume Threshold and Bins:
- The indicator allows users to set a volume threshold (`volume_level`) to highlight significant volume levels, with the default set at 70.
- The number of bins (`numBins`) defines the granularity of the volume profile, with a higher number providing more detail.
⯁ Volume Profile Visualization:
- The volume profile is plotted as a histogram, with the height of each bar proportional to the volume at that price level. This visualization helps in quickly assessing the strength of volume at various price points.
⯁ Interactive Labels and Threshold Indicators:
- Labels: The indicator uses labels to mark significant volume levels, providing quick reference points for traders.
- Threshold Lines: Lines are drawn at specified volume thresholds, with colors and widths dynamically adjusted based on the volume levels.
⯁ User Inputs:
- Volume Threshold (`volume_level`): Sets the minimum volume required to highlight significant levels.
- Number of Bins (`numBins`): Determines the resolution of the volume profile.
- Line Width (`line_withd`): Specifies the width of the lines used in the visualization.
The Volume Positive & Negative Levels indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to gain deeper insights into market dynamics. By providing a clear visual representation of volume activity across different price levels, it helps traders identify key support and resistance zones, spot trends, and make more informed trading decisions. Whether you are a day trader or a swing trader, this indicator enhances your ability to analyze volume data effectively, improving your overall trading strategy.
Comprehensive Correlation Meter with Multiple MarketsThe Comprehensive Correlation Meter is designed to provide traders and investors with insights into the relationships between multiple financial instruments. This script expands upon an existing idea on TradingView about correlation by introducing the ability to analyze the correlation between three markets, offering deeper insights into market relationships. It helps users understand how these markets move in relation to each other, aiding in risk management and portfolio diversification.
Key Features:
Multiple Market Analysis: This script allows you to analyze the correlation between your primary market and two other selected markets.
Customizable Inputs: Users can select any symbols for the reference and third markets, and these selections must be confirmed before use.
Correlation Coefficients: Calculates and plots the correlation coefficients for:
Current Market vs. Reference Market
Third Market vs. Reference Market
Current Market vs. Third Market
An average correlation of all three markets combined.
Visual Aids: Plots reference lines at +1, 0, and -1 to indicate maximum positive correlation, no correlation, and maximum negative correlation.
How It Works:
Input Symbols: Select the symbols for the reference and third markets. The current market is based on the chart you are viewing.
Data Collection: The script collects the closing prices of the selected markets and calculates the percentage changes.
Correlation Calculation: Using the collected data, the script computes the covariance and standard deviations to determine the correlation coefficients.
Visualization: The correlation coefficients and covariances are plotted for visual analysis.
How to Use:
Select Symbols:
Use the input fields to specify the reference and third market symbols. Confirm your selections to proceed.
Customize Display:
Choose whether to display the covariance, reference market, current market, and third market.
Select which correlation coefficients to display.
Interpret Results:
A correlation coefficient close to +1 indicates a strong positive correlation.
A coefficient close to -1 indicates a strong negative correlation.
A coefficient around 0 indicates little to no correlation.
Use these insights to manage risk and diversify your portfolio effectively.
Example Use Case:
Suppose you are trading the S&P 500 and want to understand its correlation with the NASDAQ 100 and a particular stock, such as Apple. By setting the S&P 500 as the reference market, the NASDAQ 100 as the third market, and observing the current market (Apple), you can see how these instruments move in relation to each other. This can help you decide on hedging strategies or identify opportunities for diversification. However this is Not a Financial advise
[EVI]Enhanced Volume IndicatorEnglish Version
Enhanced Volume Indicator (EVI)
The Enhanced Volume Indicator (EVI) is an advanced yet user-friendly tool designed to measure and visualize the strength of market volume using the statistical power of standard deviation. By offering a clear and dynamic representation of volume fluctuations, the EVI enables traders to effortlessly identify significant market movements and potential trading opportunities.
Key Features:
Sophisticated Volume Strength Assessment: The EVI leverages the standard deviation of historical candle volumes to evaluate and categorize the current volume intensity. This sophisticated methodology allows for the precise detection of when current volume levels significantly deviate from their historical norms.
Intuitive Visual Cues: Volume bars are color-coded to represent varying levels of volume intensity, ranging from very weak to very strong. This intuitive visual differentiation aids traders in quickly grasping the market's underlying volume dynamics at a glance.
Proactive Threshold Alerts: Stay ahead of the market with the EVI’s built-in alert functionality. Receive real-time notifications of critical volume changes, ensuring that you remain informed of significant market developments even while away from your trading desk.
How It Works:
The EVI calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Standard Deviation (STDEV) of volume over a user-defined period (default set to 500 candles). Utilizing these statistical measures, the indicator establishes various volume thresholds by applying predefined multipliers for extreme, high, medium, and low volume levels. The volume bars are then color-coded based on these thresholds, providing traders with a clear visual representation of volume intensity. Additionally, horizontal lines indicating these thresholds are plotted on the chart for easy reference, further enhancing the indicator’s usability.
This version of the EVI is particularly suited for traders who prefer simplicity and efficiency over complexity, making it an excellent alternative to the more intricate Volume Delta Divergence (VDD) indicator. The EVI delivers powerful volume insights in a straightforward and accessible manner, ensuring that even those who favor less complexity can benefit from robust volume analysis.
Ideal for traders seeking to capture major market moves or pinpoint potential reversals, the Enhanced Volume Indicator (EVI) is a must-have tool. Elevate your trading strategy with the EVI and ensure you never miss out on significant volume breakouts again.
Korean Version
Enhanced Volume Indicator (EVI)
Enhanced Volume Indicator (EVI)는 시장 볼륨의 강도를 표준편차의 통계적 힘을 사용하여 측정하고 시각화하는 고급적이면서도 사용하기 쉬운 도구입니다. EVI는 볼륨 변동의 명확하고 동적인 표현을 제공하여 트레이더가 중요한 시장 움직임과 잠재적인 거래 기회를 쉽게 식별할 수 있도록 합니다.
주요 기능:
정교한 볼륨 강도 평가: EVI는 이전 캔들의 볼륨 표준편차를 활용하여 현재 볼륨 강도를 평가하고 분류합니다. 이 정교한 방법론은 현재 볼륨 수준이 과거 평균에서 크게 벗어날 때를 정확하게 감지할 수 있도록 합니다.
직관적인 시각적 신호: 볼륨 바는 매우 약한 것부터 매우 강한 것까지 다양한 볼륨 강도를 나타내는 색상으로 코딩됩니다. 이 직관적인 시각적 차별화는 트레이더가 시장의 기본적인 볼륨 동향을 한눈에 쉽게 파악할 수 있도록 돕습니다.
선제적 임계값 알림: EVI의 내장 알림 기능으로 시장을 앞서가십시오. 중요한 볼륨 변화에 대한 실시간 알림을 받아 거래 데스크를 떠나 있는 동안에도 중요한 시장 발전에 대해 계속 정보를 얻을 수 있습니다.
작동 원리:
EVI는 사용자가 정의한 기간(기본값은 500 캔들)의 볼륨에 대한 단순 이동평균(SMA)과 표준편차(STDEV)를 계산합니다. 이러한 통계적 측정을 활용하여, 인디케이터는 극단적, 높은, 중간 및 낮은 볼륨 수준에 대한 사전 정의된 배수를 적용하여 다양한 볼륨 임계값을 설정합니다. 그런 다음, 볼륨 바는 이러한 임계값을 기반으로 색상 코딩되어 트레이더에게 볼륨 강도의 명확한 시각적 표현을 제공합니다. 또한, 이러한 임계값을 나타내는 수평선이 차트에 참조용으로 표시되어 인디케이터의 사용성을 더욱 향상시킵니다.
이 버전의 EVI는 복잡함보다는 단순함과 효율성을 선호하는 트레이더에게 특히 적합하여, 더 복잡한 Volume Delta Divergence (VDD) 인디케이터에 대한 훌륭한 대안이 됩니다. EVI는 강력한 볼륨 정보를 간단하고 접근 가능한 방식으로 제공하여, 복잡함을 싫어하는 사용자도 강력한 볼륨 분석의 혜택을 누릴 수 있도록 합니다.
주요 시장 움직임을 포착하거나 잠재적인 반전을 식별하려는 트레이더에게 이상적인 Enhanced Volume Indicator (EVI)는 반드시 갖추어야 할 도구입니다. EVI로 트레이딩 전략을 강화하고 중요한 볼륨 돌파를 절대 놓치지 마세요.
The Next Pivot (With History) [Mxwll]Introducing "The Next Pivot (With History)"!
With permission from the author @KioseffTrading
The script "The Next Pivot" has been restructured to show historical projections!
Features
Find the most similar price sequence per time frame change.
Forecast almost any public indicator! Not just price!
Forecast any session i.e. 4Hr, 1Hr, 15m, 1D, 1W
Forecast ZigZag for any session
Spearmen
Pearson
Absolute Difference
Cosine Similarity
Mean Squared Error
Kendall
Forecasted linear regression channel
The image above shows/explains some of the indicator's capabilities!
Additionally, you can project almost any indicator!
Should load times permit it, the script can search all bar history for a correlating sequence. This won't always be possible, contingent on the forecast length, correlation length, and the number of bars on the chart.
If a load time error occurs, simple reduce the "Bars Back To Search" parameter!
The script can only draw 500 bars into the future. For whatever time frame you are on and the session you wish to project, ensure it will not exceeded a 500-bar forecast!
Reasonable Assessment
The script uses various similarity measures to find the "most similar" price sequence to what's currently happening. Once found, the subsequent price move (to the most similar sequence) is recorded and projected forward.
So,
1: Script finds most similar price sequence
2: Script takes what happened after and projects forward
While this may be useful, the projection is simply the reaction to a possible one-off "similarity" to what's currently happening. Random fluctuations are likely and, if occurring, similarities between the current price sequence and the "most similar" sequence are plausibly coincidental.
Thanks!
VIX and SKEW RSI Moving AveragesSKEW and VIX are both indicators of market volatility and risk, but they represent different aspects.
VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) :.
The VIX is a well-known indicator for predicting future market volatility. It is calculated primarily based on S&P 500 options premiums and indicates the degree of market instability and risk.
Typically, when the VIX is high, market participants view the future as highly uncertain and expect sharp volatility in stock prices. It is generally considered an indicator of market fear.
SKEW Index :.
The SKEW is a measure of how much market participants estimate the risk of future declines in stock prices, calculated by the CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) and derived from the premium on S&P 500 options.
If the SKEW is high, market participants consider the risk of future declines in stock prices to be high. This generally indicates a "fat tail at the base" of the market and suggests that the market perceives it as very risky.
These indicators are used by market participants to indicate their concerns and expectations about future stock price volatility. In general, when the VIX is high and the SKEW is high, the market is considered volatile and risky. Conversely, when the VIX is low and the SKEW is low, the market is considered relatively stable and low risk.
Inverse Relationship between SKEW and VIX
It is often observed that there is an inverse correlation between SKEW and VIX. In general, the relationship is as follows
High VIX and low SKEW: When the VIX is high and the SKEW is low, the market is considered volatile while the risk of future stock price declines is low. This indicates that the market is exposed to sharp volatility, but market participants do not expect a major decline.
Low VIX and High SKEW: A low VIX and high SKEW indicates that the market is relatively stable, while the risk of future declines in stock prices is considered high. This indicates that the market is calm, but market participants are wary of a sharp future decline.
This inverse correlation is believed to be the result of market participants' psychology and expectations affecting the movements of the VIX and SKEW. For example, when the VIX is high, it is evident that the market is volatile, and under such circumstances, people tend to view the risk of a sharp decline in stock prices as low. Conversely, when the VIX is low, the market is considered relatively stable and the risk of future declines is likely to be higher.
SKEWVIX RSIMACROSS
In order to compare the trends of the SKEW and VIX, the 50-period moving average of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was used for verification. the RSI is an indicator of market overheating or overcooling, and the 50-period moving average can be used to determine the medium- to long-term trend. This analysis reveals how the inverse correlation between the SKEW and the VIX relates to the long-term moving average of the RSI.
how to use
Moving Average Direction
Rising blue for VIXRSI indicates increased uncertainty in the market
Rising red for SKEWRSI indicates optimism and beyond
RSI moving average crossing
When the SKEW is dominant, market participants are considered less concerned about a black swan event (significant unexpected price volatility). This suggests that the market is stable and willing to take risks. On the other hand, when the VIX is dominant, it indicates increased market volatility. Investors are more concerned about market uncertainty and tend to take more conservative positions to avoid risk. The direction of the moving averages and the crossing of the moving averages of the two indicators can give an indication of the state of the market.
SKEW>VIX Optimistic/Goldilocks
VIX>SKEW Uncertainty/turbulence
The market can be judged as follows.
BestRegards
Buffett IndicatorThis is an open-source version of the Buffett indicator. The old version was code-protected and broken, so I created another version.
It's computed simply as the entire SPX 500 capitalization divided by the US GDP. Since TradingView does not have data for the SPX 500 capitalization, I used quarterly values of SPX devisors as a proxy.
I tried to create another version of the Buffett indicator for other countries/indexes, but I can't find the data. If you can help me find data for index divisors, I can add more choices to this indicator.
It's interesting to see how this indicator's behavior has changed in the last few years. Levels that looked crazy are not so crazy anymore.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
