MTF Candle Direction Forecast + Breakdown🧭 MTF Candle Direction Forecast + Breakdown 🔥📈🔼
This script is a multi-timeframe (MTF) price action dashboard that helps traders assess real-time directional bias across five customizable timeframes — with a focus on candle behavior, trend alignment, and confidence strength.
📌 What It Does
For each timeframe, this dashboard summarizes:
Current direction → Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral
Confidence score (0–100) → How strongly price is likely to continue in that direction
Candle strength → 🔥 icon appears if the current candle has a large body relative to its range
Trend alignment:
📈 = EMA9 is above EMA20
🔼 = Price is above VWAP
Color-coded background to visually reinforce directional state
Each row gives you a visual “at-a-glance” readout of what price is doing right now — not in the past.
💡 Why It’s Useful
✅ Direction forecasting based on price action
Instead of lagging indicators, this script prioritizes:
Candle body-to-range ratio (momentum)
Real-time VWAP/EMA structure
Immediate price positioning
✅ Confidence is quantified
The score (0–100) helps you judge how reliable each directional signal is:
90+ → Strong conviction
50–70 → Mixed but potentially valid
<40 → Weak move or early signal
✅ Timeframe confluence at a glance
See whether multiple timeframes are aligning directionally — helpful for scalping, day trading, or waiting for multi-timeframe breakout setups.
✅ Visual & intuitive
Icons, colors, and layout make it easy to scan your dashboard instead of deciphering charts or code.
🛠️ Adjustable Settings
Setting Description
Timeframe 1–5 Choose any timeframes to monitor (e.g., 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h)
Candle Display Mode Show trend color via emoji (🟢/🔴) or background shading
Strong Candle Threshold Adjust the body-to-range % needed to trigger 🔥 strength
Bullish/Bearish Background Customize label color coding
Neutral Background (opacity) Set transparency or styling for flat/consolidating zones
Table Location Place the dashboard anywhere on the chart
🎯 Use Cases
Scalpers: Confirm trend across 1m/5m/15m before entering
Day Traders: Use confidence score to avoid low-momentum setups
Swing Traders: Monitor higher timeframes for trend shifts while tracking intraday noise
VWAP/EMA traders: Quickly see when price is reclaiming or losing critical trend levels
🧠 What Makes It Unique?
Unlike generic trend meters or mashups of standard indicators, this script:
Uses live candle dynamics (not just closes or lagging values)
Computes directional bias and confidence together
Visualizes strength and structure in a compact, readable interface
Let’s you filter by price action, not just indicator alignment
💥 Why Traders Love Will Love It
✅ Instant clarity on which timeframes agree
✅ No more guessing candle strength or trend health
✅ Confidence score keeps you out of weak trades
✅ Works with any strategy — trend following, VWAP reclaim, EMA scalps, even breakouts
✅ Keeps your chart clean — all the context, none of the clutter
⚠️ Transparency🧬 Under the Hood
Powered by live candle body analysis, trend structure (EMA9 vs EMA20), and VWAP placement.
All scores are generated in real-time — No repainting or lookahead bias: all values are computed with lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on
Confidence scores reflect the current candle only — they do not predict future moves but measure momentum and alignment in real-time
Labels update per bar and respond to subtle shifts in candle structure and trend indicators
✅ MTF Trend Snapshot (Live Output Example Shown in Chart Above)
This dashboard gives you a fast, visual summary of market trend and momentum across 5 timeframes. Here's what it's telling you right now:
🕔 5 Minute (5m)
📉 EMA Trend: Down
🔼 Price: Above VWAP
Direction: Bearish (42)
🟥 Weak bearish bias. Short-term pullback against a stronger trend. Use caution — lower confidence and mixed structure.
⏱️ 15 Minute (15m)
📈 EMA Trend: Up
🔼 Price: Above VWAP
Direction: Bullish (73)
🟩 Clean bullish structure with growing momentum. Solid for intraday confirmation.
🕧 30 Minute (30m)
📈 EMA Trend: Up
🔼 Price: Above VWAP
Direction: Bullish (77)
🟩 Stronger trend forming. Above VWAP and EMAs — building conviction.
🕐 1 Hour (1h)
📈 EMA Trend: Up
🔼 Price: Above VWAP
Direction: Bullish (70)
🟩 Confident, clean trend. Good alignment across indicators. Ideal timeframe for swing entries.
🕓 4 Hour (4h)
🔥 Strong Candle
📈 EMA Trend: Up
🔼 Price: Above VWAP
Direction: Bullish (100)
🟩 Full trend alignment with max momentum. Strong body candle + structure — high confidence continuation.
🧠 Quick Takeaway
🔻 5m is pulling back short term
✅ 15m through 4h are fully aligned Bullish
🔥 4h has max confidence — big-picture trend is intact
📈 Ideal setup for momentum traders looking to ride trend with multi-timeframe confirmation
Try pinning this dashboard to your chart during live trading to read price like a story across timeframes, and filter out weak setups with low-confidence noise.
Komut dosyalarını "纳斯达克100场外基金+投资回报率" için ara
Topological Market Stress (TMS) - Quantum FabricTopological Market Stress (TMS) - Quantum Fabric
What Stresses The Market?
Topological Market Stress (TMS) represents a revolutionary fusion of algebraic topology and quantum field theory applied to financial markets. Unlike traditional indicators that analyze price movements linearly, TMS examines the underlying topological structure of market data—detecting when the very fabric of market relationships begins to tear, warp, or collapse.
Drawing inspiration from the ethereal beauty of quantum field visualizations and the mathematical elegance of topological spaces, this indicator transforms complex mathematical concepts into an intuitive, visually stunning interface that reveals hidden market dynamics invisible to conventional analysis.
Theoretical Foundation: Topology Meets Markets
Topological Holes in Market Structure
In algebraic topology, a "hole" represents a fundamental structural break—a place where the normal connectivity of space fails. In markets, these topological holes manifest as:
Correlation Breakdown: When traditional price-volume relationships collapse
Volatility Clustering Failure: When volatility patterns lose their predictive power
Microstructure Stress: When market efficiency mechanisms begin to fail
The Mathematics of Market Topology
TMS constructs a topological space from market data using three key components:
1. Correlation Topology
ρ(P,V) = correlation(price, volume, period)
Hole Formation = 1 - |ρ(P,V)|
When price and volume decorrelate, topological holes begin forming.
2. Volatility Clustering Topology
σ(t) = volatility at time t
Clustering = correlation(σ(t), σ(t-1), period)
Breakdown = 1 - |Clustering|
Volatility clustering breakdown indicates structural instability.
3. Market Efficiency Topology
Efficiency = |price - EMA(price)| / ATR
Measures how far price deviates from its efficient trajectory.
Multi-Scale Topological Analysis
Markets exist across multiple temporal scales simultaneously. TMS analyzes topology at three distinct scales:
Micro Scale (3-15 periods): Immediate structural changes, market microstructure stress
Meso Scale (10-50 periods): Trend-level topology, medium-term structural shifts
Macro Scale (50-200 periods): Long-term structural topology, regime-level changes
The final stress metric combines all scales:
Combined Stress = 0.3×Micro + 0.4×Meso + 0.3×Macro
How TMS Works
1. Topological Space Construction
Each market moment is embedded in a multi-dimensional topological space where:
- Price efficiency forms one dimension
- Correlation breakdown forms another
- Volatility clustering breakdown forms the third
2. Hole Detection Algorithm
The indicator continuously scans this topological space for:
Hole Formation: When stress exceeds the formation threshold
Hole Persistence: How long structural breaks maintain
Hole Collapse: Sudden topology restoration (regime shifts)
3. Quantum Visualization Engine
The visualization system translates topological mathematics into intuitive quantum field representations:
Stress Waves: Main line showing topological stress intensity
Quantum Glow: Surrounding field indicating stress energy
Fabric Integrity: Background showing structural health
Multi-Scale Rings: Orbital representations of different timeframes
4. Signal Generation
Stable Topology (✨): Normal market structure, standard trading conditions
Stressed Topology (⚡): Increased structural tension, heightened volatility expected
Topological Collapse (🕳️): Major structural break, regime shift in progress
Critical Stress (🌋): Extreme conditions, maximum caution required
Inputs & Parameters
🕳️ Topological Parameters
Analysis Window (20-200, default: 50)
Primary period for topological analysis
20-30: High-frequency scalping, rapid structure detection
50: Balanced approach, recommended for most markets
100-200: Long-term position trading, major structural shifts only
Hole Formation Threshold (0.1-0.9, default: 0.3)
Sensitivity for detecting topological holes
0.1-0.2: Very sensitive, detects minor structural stress
0.3: Balanced, optimal for most market conditions
0.5-0.9: Conservative, only major structural breaks
Density Calculation Radius (0.1-2.0, default: 0.5)
Radius for local density estimation in topological space
0.1-0.3: Fine-grained analysis, sensitive to local changes
0.5: Standard approach, balanced sensitivity
1.0-2.0: Broad analysis, focuses on major structural features
Collapse Detection (0.5-0.95, default: 0.7)
Threshold for detecting sudden topology restoration
0.5-0.6: Very sensitive to regime changes
0.7: Balanced, reliable collapse detection
0.8-0.95: Conservative, only major regime shifts
📊 Multi-Scale Analysis
Enable Multi-Scale (default: true)
- Analyzes topology across multiple timeframes simultaneously
- Provides deeper insight into market structure at different scales
- Essential for understanding cross-timeframe topology interactions
Micro Scale Period (3-15, default: 5)
Fast scale for immediate topology changes
3-5: Ultra-fast, tick/minute data analysis
5-8: Fast, 5m-15m chart optimization
10-15: Medium-fast, 30m-1H chart focus
Meso Scale Period (10-50, default: 20)
Medium scale for trend topology analysis
10-15: Short trend structures
20-25: Medium trend structures (recommended)
30-50: Long trend structures
Macro Scale Period (50-200, default: 100)
Slow scale for structural topology
50-75: Medium-term structural analysis
100: Long-term structure (recommended)
150-200: Very long-term structural patterns
⚙️ Signal Processing
Smoothing Method (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA, default: EMA) Method for smoothing stress signals
SMA: Simple average, stable but slower
EMA: Exponential, responsive and recommended
RMA: Running average, very smooth
WMA: Weighted average, balanced approach
Smoothing Period (1-10, default: 3)
Period for signal smoothing
1-2: Minimal smoothing, noisy but fast
3-5: Balanced, recommended for most applications
6-10: Heavy smoothing, slow but very stable
Normalization (Fixed/Adaptive/Rolling, default: Adaptive)
Method for normalizing stress values
Fixed: Static 0-1 range normalization
Adaptive: Dynamic range adjustment (recommended)
Rolling: Rolling window normalization
🎨 Quantum Visualization
Fabric Style Options:
Quantum Field: Flowing energy visualization with smooth gradients
Topological Mesh: Mathematical topology with stepped lines
Phase Space: Dynamical systems view with circular markers
Minimal: Clean, simple display with reduced visual elements
Color Scheme Options:
Quantum Gradient: Deep space blue → Quantum red progression
Thermal: Black → Hot orange thermal imaging style
Spectral: Purple → Gold full spectrum colors
Monochrome: Dark gray → Light gray elegant simplicity
Multi-Scale Rings (default: true)
- Display orbital rings for different time scales
- Visualizes how topology changes across timeframes
- Provides immediate visual feedback on cross-scale dynamics
Glow Intensity (0.0-1.0, default: 0.6)
Controls the quantum glow effect intensity
0.0: No glow, pure line display
0.6: Balanced, recommended setting
1.0: Maximum glow, full quantum field effect
📋 Dashboard & Alerts
Show Dashboard (default: true)
Real-time topology status display
Current market state and trading recommendations
Stress level visualization and fabric integrity status
Show Theory Guide (default: true)
Educational panel explaining topological concepts
Dashboard interpretation guide
Trading strategy recommendations
Enable Alerts (default: true)
Extreme stress detection alerts
Topological collapse notifications
Hole formation and recovery signals
Visual Logic & Interpretation
Main Visualization Elements
Quantum Stress Line
Primary indicator showing topological stress intensity
Color intensity reflects current market state
Line style varies based on selected fabric style
Glow effect indicates stress energy field
Equilibrium Line
Silver line showing average stress level
Reference point for normal market conditions
Helps identify when stress is elevated or suppressed
Upper/Lower Bounds
Red upper bound: High stress threshold
Green lower bound: Low stress threshold
Quantum fabric fill between bounds shows stress field
Multi-Scale Rings
Aqua circles : Micro-scale topology (immediate changes)
Orange circles: Meso-scale topology (trend-level changes)
Provides cross-timeframe topology visualization
Dashboard Information
Topology State Icons:
✨ STABLE: Normal market structure, standard trading conditions
⚡ STRESSED: Increased structural tension, monitor closely
🕳️ COLLAPSE: Major structural break, regime shift occurring
🌋 CRITICAL: Extreme conditions, reduce risk exposure
Stress Bar Visualization:
Visual representation of current stress level (0-100%)
Color-coded based on current topology state
Real-time percentage display
Fabric Integrity Dots:
●●●●● Intact: Strong market structure (0-30% stress)
●●●○○ Stressed: Weakening structure (30-70% stress)
●○○○○ Fractured: Breaking down structure (70-100% stress)
Action Recommendations:
✅ TRADE: Normal conditions, standard strategies apply
⚠️ WATCH: Monitor closely, increased vigilance required
🔄 ADAPT: Change strategy, regime shift in progress
🛑 REDUCE: Lower risk exposure, extreme conditions
Trading Strategies
In Stable Topology (✨ STABLE)
- Normal trading conditions apply
- Use standard technical analysis
- Regular position sizing appropriate
- Both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies viable
In Stressed Topology (⚡ STRESSED)
- Increased volatility expected
- Widen stop losses to account for higher volatility
- Reduce position sizes slightly
- Focus on high-probability setups
- Monitor for potential regime change
During Topological Collapse (🕳️ COLLAPSE)
- Major regime shift in progress
- Adapt strategy immediately to new market character
- Consider closing positions that rely on previous regime
- Wait for new topology to stabilize before major trades
- Opportunity for contrarian plays if collapse is extreme
In Critical Stress (🌋 CRITICAL)
- Extreme market conditions
- Significantly reduce risk exposure
- Avoid new positions until stress subsides
- Focus on capital preservation
- Consider hedging existing positions
Advanced Techniques
Multi-Timeframe Topology Analysis
- Use higher timeframe TMS for regime context
- Use lower timeframe TMS for precise entry timing
- Alignment across timeframes = highest probability trades
Topology Divergence Trading
- Most powerful at regime boundaries
- Price makes new high/low but topology stress decreases
- Early warning of potential reversals
- Combine with key support/resistance levels
Stress Persistence Analysis
- Long periods of stable topology often precede major moves
- Extended stress periods often resolve in regime changes
- Use persistence tracking for position sizing decisions
Originality & Innovation
TMS represents a genuine breakthrough in applying advanced mathematics to market analysis:
True Topological Analysis: Not a simplified proxy but actual topological space construction and hole detection using correlation breakdown, volatility clustering analysis, and market efficiency measurement.
Quantum Aesthetic: Transforms complex topology mathematics into an intuitive, visually stunning interface inspired by quantum field theory visualizations.
Multi-Scale Architecture: Simultaneous analysis across micro, meso, and macro timeframes provides unprecedented insight into market structure dynamics.
Regime Detection: Identifies fundamental market character changes before they become obvious in price action, providing early warning of structural shifts.
Practical Application: Clear, actionable signals derived from advanced mathematical concepts, making theoretical topology accessible to practical traders.
This is not a combination of existing indicators or a cosmetic enhancement of standard tools. It represents a fundamental reimagining of how we measure, visualize, and interpret market dynamics through the lens of algebraic topology and quantum field theory.
Best Practices
Start with defaults: Parameters are optimized for broad market applicability
Match timeframe: Adjust scales based on your trading timeframe
Confirm with price action: TMS shows market character, not direction
Respect topology changes: Reduce risk during regime transitions
Use appropriate strategies: Adapt approach based on current topology state
Monitor persistence: Track how long topology states maintain
Cross-timeframe analysis: Align multiple timeframes for highest probability trades
Alerts Available
Extreme Topological Stress: Market fabric under severe deformation
Topological Collapse Detected: Regime shift in progress
Topological Hole Forming: Market structure breakdown detected
Topology Stabilizing: Market structure recovering to normal
Chart Requirements
Recommended Markets: All liquid markets (forex, stocks, crypto, futures)
Optimal Timeframes: 5m to Daily (adaptable to any timeframe)
Minimum History: 200 bars for proper topology construction
Best Performance: Markets with clear regime characteristics
Academic Foundation
This indicator draws from cutting-edge research in:
- Algebraic topology and persistent homology
- Quantum field theory visualization techniques
- Market microstructure analysis
- Multi-scale dynamical systems theory
- Correlation topology and network analysis
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or provide direct buy/sell signals. Topological analysis reveals market structure characteristics, not future price direction. Always use proper risk management and combine with your own analysis. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
See markets through the lens of topology. Trade the structure, not the noise.
Bringing advanced mathematics to practical trading through quantum-inspired visualization.
Trade with insight. Trade with structure.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Reflexivity Resonance Factor (RRF) - Quantum Flow Reflexivity Resonance Factor (RRF) – Quantum Flow
See the Feedback Loops. Anticipate the Regime Shift.
What is the RRF – Quantum Flow?
The Reflexivity Resonance Factor (RRF) – Quantum Flow is a next-generation market regime detector and energy oscillator, inspired by George Soros’ theory of reflexivity and modern complexity science. It is designed for traders who want to visualize the hidden feedback loops between market perception and participation, and to anticipate explosive regime shifts before they unfold.
Unlike traditional oscillators, RRF does not just measure price momentum or volatility. Instead, it models the dynamic feedback between how the market perceives itself (perception) and how it acts on that perception (participation). When these feedback loops synchronize, they create “resonance” – a state of amplified reflexivity that often precedes major market moves.
Theoretical Foundation
Reflexivity: Markets are not just driven by external information, but by participants’ perceptions and their actions, which in turn influence future perceptions. This feedback loop can create self-reinforcing trends or sudden reversals.
Resonance: When perception and participation align and reinforce each other, the market enters a high-energy, reflexive state. These “resonance” events often mark the start of new trends or the climax of existing ones.
Energy Field: The indicator quantifies the “energy” of the market’s reflexivity, allowing you to see when the crowd is about to act in unison.
How RRF – Quantum Flow Works
Perception Proxy: Measures the rate of change in price (ROC) over a configurable period, then smooths it with an EMA. This models how quickly the market’s collective perception is shifting.
Participation Proxy: Uses a fast/slow ATR ratio to gauge the intensity of market participation (volatility expansion/contraction).
Reflexivity Core: Multiplies perception and participation to model the feedback loop.
Resonance Detection: Applies Z-score normalization to the absolute value of reflexivity, highlighting when current feedback is unusually strong compared to recent history.
Energy Calculation: Scales resonance to a 0–100 “energy” value, visualized as a dynamic background.
Regime Strength: Tracks the percentage of bars in a lookback window where resonance exceeded the threshold, quantifying the persistence of reflexive regimes.
Inputs:
🧬 Core Parameters
Perception Period (pp_roc_len, default 14): Lookback for price ROC.
Lower (5–10): More sensitive, for scalping (1–5min).
Default (14): Balanced, for 15min–1hr.
Higher (20–30): Smoother, for 4hr–daily.
Perception Smooth (pp_smooth_len, default 7): EMA smoothing for perception.
Lower (3–5): Faster, more detail.
Default (7): Balanced.
Higher (10–15): Smoother, less noise.
Participation Fast (prp_fast_len, default 7): Fast ATR for immediate volatility.
5–7: Scalping.
7–10: Day trading.
10–14: Swing trading.
Participation Slow (prp_slow_len, default 21): Slow ATR for baseline volatility.
Should be 2–4x fast ATR.
Default (21): Works with fast=7.
⚡ Signal Configuration
Resonance Window (res_z_window, default 50): Z-score lookback for resonance normalization.
20–30: More reactive.
50: Medium-term.
100+: Very stable.
Primary Threshold (rrf_threshold, default 1.5): Z-score level for “Active” resonance.
1.0–1.5: More signals.
1.5: Balanced.
2.0+: Only strong signals.
Extreme Threshold (rrf_extreme, default 2.5): Z-score for “Extreme” resonance.
2.5: Major regime shifts.
3.0+: Only the most extreme.
Regime Window (regime_window, default 100): Lookback for regime strength (% of bars with resonance spikes).
Higher: More context, slower.
Lower: Adapts quickly.
🎨 Visual Settings
Show Resonance Flow (show_flow, default true): Plots the main resonance line with glow effects.
Show Signal Particles (show_particles, default true): Circular markers at active/extreme resonance points.
Show Energy Field (show_energy, default true): Background color based on resonance energy.
Show Info Dashboard (show_dashboard, default true): Status panel with resonance metrics.
Show Trading Guide (show_guide, default true): On-chart quick reference for interpreting signals.
Color Mode (color_mode, default "Spectrum"): Visual theme for all elements.
“Spectrum”: Cyan→Magenta (high contrast)
“Heat”: Yellow→Red (heat map)
“Ocean”: Blue gradients (easy on eyes)
“Plasma”: Orange→Purple (vibrant)
Color Schemes
Dynamic color gradients are used for all plots and backgrounds, adapting to both resonance intensity and direction:
Spectrum: Cyan/Magenta for bullish/bearish resonance.
Heat: Yellow/Red for bullish, Blue/Purple for bearish.
Ocean: Blue gradients for both directions.
Plasma: Orange/Purple for high-energy states.
Glow and aura effects: The resonance line is layered with multiple glows for depth and signal strength.
Background energy field: Darker = higher energy = stronger reflexivity.
Visual Logic
Main Resonance Line: Shows the smoothed resonance value, color-coded by direction and intensity.
Glow/Aura: Multiple layers for visual depth and to highlight strong signals.
Threshold Zones: Dotted lines and filled areas mark “Active” and “Extreme” resonance zones.
Signal Particles: Circular markers at each “Active” (primary threshold) and “Extreme” (extreme threshold) event.
Dashboard: Top-right panel shows current status (Dormant, Building, Active, Extreme), resonance value, energy %, and regime strength.
Trading Guide: Bottom-right panel explains all states and how to interpret them.
How to Use RRF – Quantum Flow
Dormant (💤): Market is in equilibrium. Wait for resonance to build.
Building (🌊): Resonance is rising but below threshold. Prepare for a move.
Active (🔥): Resonance exceeds primary threshold. Reflexivity is significant—consider entries or exits.
Extreme (⚡): Resonance exceeds extreme threshold. Major regime shift likely—watch for trend acceleration or reversal.
Energy >70%: High conviction, crowd is acting in unison.
Above 0: Bullish reflexivity (positive feedback).
Below 0: Bearish reflexivity (negative feedback).
Regime Strength: % of bars in “Active” state—higher = more persistent regime.
Tips:
- Use lower lookbacks for scalping, higher for swing trading.
- Combine with price action or your own system for confirmation.
- Works on all assets and timeframes—tune to your style.
Alerts
RRF Activation: Resonance crosses above primary threshold.
RRF Extreme: Resonance crosses above extreme threshold.
RRF Deactivation: Resonance falls below primary threshold.
Originality & Usefulness
RRF – Quantum Flow is not a mashup of existing indicators. It is a novel oscillator that models the feedback loop between perception and participation, then quantifies and visualizes the resulting resonance. The multi-layered color logic, energy field, and regime strength dashboard are unique to this script. It is designed for anticipation, not confirmation—helping you see regime shifts before they are obvious in price.
Chart Info
Script Name: Reflexivity Resonance Factor (RRF) – Quantum Flow
Recommended Use: Any asset, any timeframe. Tune parameters to your style.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice or direct buy/sell signals. Always use proper risk management and combine with your own strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Momentum Long + Short Strategy (BTC 3H)Momentum Long + Short Strategy (BTC 3H)
🔍 How It Works, Step by Step
Detect the Trend (📈/📉)
Calculate two moving averages (100-period and 500-period), either EMA or SMA.
For longs, we require MA100 > MA500 (uptrend).
For shorts, we block entries if MA100 exceeds MA500 by more than a set percentage (to avoid fading a powerful uptrend).
Apply Momentum Filters (⚡️)
RSI Filter: Measures recent strength—only allow longs when RSI crosses above its smoothed average, and shorts when RSI dips below the oversold threshold.
ADX Filter: Gauges trend strength—ensures we only enter when a meaningful trend exists (optional).
ATR Filter: Confirms volatility—avoids choppy, low-volatility conditions by requiring ATR to exceed its smoothed value (optional).
Confirm Entry Conditions (✅)
Long Entry:
Price is above both MAs
Trend alignment & optional filters pass ✅
Short Entry:
Price is below both MAs and below the lower Bollinger Band
RSI is sufficiently oversold
Trend-blocker & ATR filter pass ✅
Position Sizing & Risk (💰)
Each trade uses 100 % of account equity by default.
One pyramid addition allowed, so you can scale in if the move continues.
Commission and slippage assumptions built in for realistic backtests.
Stops & Exits (🛑)
Long Stop-Loss: e.g. 3 % below entry.
Long Auto-Exit: If price falls back under the 500-period MA.
Short Stop-Loss: e.g. 3 % above entry.
Short Take-Profit: e.g. 4 % below entry.
🎨 Why It’s Powerful & Customizable
Modular Filters: Turn on/off RSI, ADX, ATR filters to suit different market regimes.
Adjustable Thresholds: Fine-tune stop-loss %, take-profit %, RSI lengths, MA gaps and more.
Multi-Timeframe Potential: Although coded for 3 h BTC, you can adapt it to stocks, forex or other cryptos—just recalibrate!
Backtest Fine-Tuned: Default settings were optimized via backtesting on historical BTC data—but they’re not guarantees of future performance.
⚠️ Warning & Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only and designed for a toy fund. Crypto markets are highly volatile—you can lose 100 % of your capital. It is not a predictive “holy grail” but a rules-based framework using past data. The parameters have been fine-tuned on historical data and are not valid for future trades without fresh calibration. Always practice with paper-trading first, use proper risk management, and do your own research before risking real money. 🚨🔒
Good luck exploring and experimenting! 🚀📊
Momentum TrackerDescription
To screen for momentum movers, one can filter for stocks that have made a noticeable move over a set period. This initial move defines the momentum or swing move. From this list of candidates, we can create a watchlist by selecting those showing a momentum pause, such as a pullback or consolidation, which later could set up for a continuation.
Momentum = Magnitude × Time
This Momentum Tracker indicator serves as a study tool to visualize when stocks historically met these momentum conditions. It marks on the chart where a stock would have appeared on the screener, allowing us to review past momentum patterns and screener requirements. The indicator measures momentum in three different ways:
Normalized Momentum
Identifies when the current price reaches a new high or low compared to a historical window. This is the most standardized measurement and adapts well across markets.
Normalized = Current Price ≥ Maximum Price in Lookback
Normalized = Current Price ≤ Minimum Price in Lookback
Relative Momentum
Measures the percentage difference between a fast and a slow moving average. This method helps capture acceleration, the rate at which momentum is building over time.
Relative = |Fast MA − Slow MA| ÷ Slow MA × 100
Absolute Momentum
Measures how far price has moved from the highest or lowest point within a defined lookback period.
Absolute = (Current Price − Lowest Price) ÷ Lowest Price × 100
Absolute = (Highest Price − Current Price) ÷ Highest Price × 100
Customization
The tool is customizable in terms of lookback period and thresholds to accommodate different trading styles and timeframes, allowing users to set criteria that align with specific hold times and momentum requirements. While the various calculations can be enabled, the tool is best used in isolation of each to visualize different momentum conditions.
Parameter Free RSI [InvestorUnknown]The Parameter Free RSI (PF-RSI) is an innovative adaptation of the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI), a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Unlike the standard RSI, which relies on a fixed lookback period (typically 14), the PF-RSI dynamically adjusts its calculation length based on real-time market conditions. By incorporating volatility and the RSI's deviation from its midpoint (50), this indicator aims to provide a more responsive and adaptable tool for identifying overbought/oversold conditions, trend shifts, and momentum changes. This adaptability makes it particularly valuable for traders navigating diverse market environments, from trending to ranging conditions.
PF-RSI offers a suite of customizable features, including dynamic length variants, smoothing options, visualization tools, and alert conditions.
Key Features
1. Dynamic RSI Length Calculation
The cornerstone of the PF-RSI is its ability to adjust the RSI calculation period dynamically, eliminating the need for a static parameter. The length is computed using two primary factors:
Volatility: Measured via the standard deviation of past RSI values.
Distance from Midpoint: The absolute deviation of the RSI from 50, reflecting the strength of bullish or bearish momentum.
The indicator offers three variants for calculating this dynamic length, allowing users to tailor its responsiveness:
Variant I (Aggressive): Increases the length dramatically based on volatility and a nonlinear scaling of the distance from 50. Ideal for traders seeking highly sensitive signals in fast-moving markets.
Variant II (Moderate): Combines volatility with a scaled distance from 50, using a less aggressive adjustment. Strikes a balance between responsiveness and stability, suitable for most trading scenarios.
Variant III (Conservative): Applies a linear combination of volatility and raw distance from 50. Offers a stable, less reactive length adjustment for traders prioritizing consistency.
// Function that returns a dynamic RSI length based on past RSI values
// The idea is to make the RSI length adaptive using volatility (stdev) and distance from the RSI midpoint (50)
// Different "variant" options control how aggressively the length changes
parameter_free_length(free_rsi, variant) =>
len = switch variant
// Variant I: Most aggressive adaptation
// Uses standard deviation scaled by a nonlinear factor of distance from 50
// Also adds another distance-based term to increase length more dramatically
"I" => math.ceil(
ta.stdev(free_rsi, math.ceil(free_rsi)) *
math.pow(1 + (math.ceil(math.abs(50 - (free_rsi - 50))) / 100), 2)
) +
(
math.ceil(math.abs(free_rsi - 50)) *
(1 + (math.ceil(math.abs(50 - (free_rsi - 50))) / 100))
)
// Variant II: Moderate adaptation
// Adds the standard deviation and a distance-based scaling term (less nonlinear)
"II" => math.ceil(
ta.stdev(free_rsi, math.ceil(free_rsi)) +
(
math.ceil(math.abs(free_rsi - 50)) *
(1 + (math.ceil(math.abs(50 - (free_rsi - 50))) / 100))
)
)
// Variant III: Least aggressive adaptation
// Simply adds standard deviation and raw distance from 50 (linear scaling)
"III" => math.ceil(
ta.stdev(free_rsi, math.ceil(free_rsi)) +
math.ceil(math.abs(free_rsi - 50))
)
2. Smoothing Options
To refine the dynamic RSI and reduce noise, the PF-RSI provides smoothing capabilities:
Smoothing Toggle: Enable or disable smoothing of the dynamic length used for RSI.
Smoothing MA Type for RSI MA: Choose between SMA and EMA
Smoothing Length Options for RSI MA:
Full: Uses the entire calculated dynamic length.
Half: Applies half of the dynamic length for smoother output.
SQRT: Uses the square root of the dynamic length, offering a compromise between responsiveness and smoothness.
The smoothed RSI is complemented by a separate moving average (MA) of the RSI itself, further enhancing signal clarity.
3. Visualization Tools
The PF-RSI includes visualization options to help traders interpret market conditions at a glance.
Plots:
Dynamic RSI: Displayed as a white line, showing the adaptive RSI value.
RSI Moving Average: Plotted in yellow, providing a smoothed reference for trend and momentum analysis.
Dynamic Length: A secondary plot (in faint white) showing how the calculation period evolves over time.
Histogram: Represents the RSI’s position relative to 50, with color gradients.
Fill Area: The space between the RSI and its MA is filled with a gradient (green for RSI > MA, red for RSI < MA), highlighting momentum shifts.
Customizable bar colors on the price chart reflect trend and momentum:
Trend (Raw RSI): Green (RSI > 50), Red (RSI < 50).
Trend (RSI MA): Green (MA > 50), Red (MA < 50).
Trend (Raw RSI) + Momentum: Adds momentum shading (lighter green/red when RSI and MA diverge).
Trend (RSI MA) + Momentum: Similar, but based on the MA’s trend.
Momentum: Green (RSI > MA), Red (RSI < MA).
Off: Disables bar coloring.
Intrabar Updating: Optional real-time updates within each bar for enhanced responsiveness.
4. Alerts
The PF-RSI supports customizable alerts to keep traders informed of key events.
Trend Alerts:
Raw RSI: Triggers when the RSI crosses above (uptrend) or below (downtrend) 50.
RSI MA: Triggers when the moving average crosses 50.
Off: Disables trend alerts.
Momentum Alerts:
Triggers when the RSI crosses its moving average, indicating rising (RSI > MA) or declining (RSI < MA) momentum.
Alerts are fired once per bar close, with descriptive messages including the ticker symbol (e.g., " Uptrend on: AAPL").
How It Works
The PF-RSI operates in a multi-step process:
Initialization
On the first run, it calculates a standard RSI with a 14-period length to seed the dynamic calculation.
Dynamic Length Computation
Once seeded, the indicator switches to a dynamic length based on the selected variant, factoring in volatility and distance from 50.
If smoothing is enabled, the length is further refined using an SMA.
RSI Calculation
The adaptive RSI is computed using the dynamic length, ensuring it reflects current market conditions.
Moving Average
A separate MA (SMA or EMA) is applied to the RSI, with a length derived from the dynamic length (Full, Half, or SQRT).
Visualization and Alerts
The results are plotted, and alerts are triggered based on user settings.
This adaptive approach minimizes lag in fast markets and reduces false signals in choppy conditions, offering a significant edge over fixed-period RSI implementations.
Why Use PF-RSI?
The Parameter Free RSI stands out by eliminating the guesswork of selecting an RSI period. Its dynamic length adjusts to market volatility and momentum, providing timely signals without manual tweaking.
Bitcoin Monthly Seasonality [Alpha Extract]The Bitcoin Monthly Seasonality indicator analyzes historical Bitcoin price performance across different months of the year, enabling traders to identify seasonal patterns and potential trading opportunities. This tool helps traders:
Visualize which months historically perform best and worst for Bitcoin.
Track average returns and win rates for each month of the year.
Identify seasonal patterns to enhance trading strategies.
Compare cumulative or individual monthly performance.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator processes historical Bitcoin price data to calculate monthly performance metrics
Monthly Return Calculation
Inputs:
Monthly open and close prices.
User-defined lookback period (1-15 years).
Return Types:
Percentage: (monthEndPrice / monthStartPrice - 1) × 100
Price: monthEndPrice - monthStartPrice
Statistical Measures
Monthly Averages: ◦ Average return for each month calculated from historical data.
Win Rate: ◦ Percentage of positive returns for each month.
Best/Worst Detection: ◦ Identifies months with highest and lowest average returns.
Cumulative Option
Standard View: Shows discrete monthly performance.
Cumulative View: Shows compounding effect of consecutive months.
Example Calculation (Pine Script):
monthReturn = returnType == "Percentage" ?
(monthEndPrice / monthStartPrice - 1) * 100 :
monthEndPrice - monthStartPrice
calcWinRate(arr) =>
winCount = 0
totalCount = array.size(arr)
if totalCount > 0
for i = 0 to totalCount - 1
if array.get(arr, i) > 0
winCount += 1
(winCount / totalCount) * 100
else
0.0
🔶 DETAILS
Visual Features
Monthly Performance Bars: ◦ Color-coded bars (teal for positive, red for negative returns). ◦ Special highlighting for best (yellow) and worst (fuchsia) months.
Optional Trend Line: ◦ Shows continuous performance across months.
Monthly Axis Labels: ◦ Clear month names for easy reference.
Statistics Table: ◦ Comprehensive view of monthly performance metrics. ◦ Color-coded rows based on performance.
Interpretation
Strong Positive Months: Historically bullish periods for Bitcoin.
Strong Negative Months: Historically bearish periods for Bitcoin.
Win Rate Analysis: Higher win rates indicate more consistently positive months.
Pattern Recognition: Identify recurring seasonal patterns across years.
Best/Worst Identification: Quickly spot the historically strongest and weakest months.
🔶 EXAMPLES
The indicator helps identify key seasonal patterns
Bullish Seasons: Visualize historically strong months where Bitcoin tends to perform well, allowing traders to align long positions with favorable seasonality.
Bearish Seasons: Identify historically weak months where Bitcoin tends to underperform, helping traders avoid unfavorable periods or consider short positions.
Seasonal Strategy Development: Create trading strategies that capitalize on recurring monthly patterns, such as entering positions in historically strong months and reducing exposure during weak months.
Year-to-Year Comparison: Assess how current year performance compares to historical seasonal patterns to identify anomalies or confirmation of trends.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options
Lookback Period: Adjust the number of years (1-15) used for historical analysis.
Return Type: Choose between percentage returns or absolute price changes.
Cumulative Option: Toggle between discrete monthly performance or cumulative effect.
Visual Style Options: Bar Display: Enable/disable and customize colors for positive/negative bars, Line Display: Enable/disable and customize colors for trend line, Axes Display: Show/hide reference axes.
Visual Enhancement: Best/Worst Month Highlighting: Toggle special highlighting of extreme months, Custom highlight colors for best and worst performing months.
The Bitcoin Monthly Seasonality indicator provides traders with valuable insights into Bitcoin's historical performance patterns throughout the year, helping to identify potentially favorable and unfavorable trading periods based on seasonal tendencies.
EXODUS EXODUS by (DAFE) Trading Systems
EXODUS is a sophisticated trading algorithm built by Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems for competitive and competition purposes, designed to identify high-probability trades with robust risk management. this strategy leverages a multi-signal voting system, combining three core components—SPR, VWMO, and VEI—alongside ADX, choppiness filters, and ATR-based volatility gates to ensure trades are taken only in favorable market conditions. the algo uses a take-profit to stop-loss ratio, dynamic position sizing, and a strict voting mechanism requiring all signals to align before entering a trade.
EXODUS was not overfitted for any specific symbol. instead, it uses a generic tuned setting, making it versatile across various markets. while it can trade futures, it’s not currently set up for it but has the potential to do more with further development. visuals are intentionally minimal due to its competition focus, prioritizing performance over aesthetics. a more visually stunning version may be released in the future with enhanced graphics.
The Unique Core Components Developed for EXODUS
SPR (Session Price Recalibration)
SPR measures momentum during regular trading hours (RTH, 0930-1600, America/New_York) to catch session-specific trends.
spr_lookback = input.int(15, "SPR Lookback") this sets how many bars back SPR looks to calculate momentum (default 15 bars). it compares the current session’s price-volume score to the score 15 bars ago to gauge momentum strength.
how it works: a longer lookback smooths out the signal, focusing on bigger trends. a shorter one makes SPR more sensitive to recent moves.
how to adjust: on a 1-hour chart, 15 bars is 15 hours (about 2 trading days). if you’re on a shorter timeframe like 5 minutes, 15 bars is just 75 minutes, so you might want to increase it to 50 or 100 to capture more meaningful trends. if you’re trading a choppy stock, a shorter lookback (like 5) can help catch quick moves, but it might give more false signals.
spr_threshold = input.float (0.7, "SPR Threshold")
this is the cutoff for SPR to vote for a trade (default 0.7). if SPR’s normalized value is above 0.7, it votes for a long; below -0.7, it votes for a short.
how it works: SPR normalizes its momentum score by ATR, so this threshold ensures only strong moves count. a higher threshold means fewer trades but higher conviction.
how to adjust: if you’re getting too few trades, lower it to 0.5 to let more signals through. if you’re seeing too many false entries, raise it to 1.0 for stricter filtering. test on your chart to find a balance.
spr_atr_length = input.int(21, "SPR ATR Length") this sets the ATR period (default 21 bars) used to normalize SPR’s momentum score. ATR measures volatility, so this makes SPR’s signal relative to market conditions.
how it works: a longer ATR period (like 21) smooths out volatility, making SPR less jumpy. a shorter one makes it more reactive.
how to adjust: if you’re trading a volatile stock like TSLA, a longer period (30 or 50) can help avoid noise. for a calmer stock, try 10 to make SPR more responsive. match this to your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter ATR.
rth_session = input.session("0930-1600","SPR: RTH Sess.") rth_timezone = "America/New_York" this defines the session SPR uses (0930-1600, New York time). SPR only calculates momentum during these hours to focus on RTH activity.
how it works: it ignores pre-market or after-hours noise, ensuring SPR captures the main market action.
how to adjust: if you trade a different session (like London hours, 0300-1200 EST), change the session to match. you can also adjust the timezone if you’re in a different region, like "Europe/London". just make sure your chart’s timezone aligns with this setting.
VWMO (Volume-Weighted Momentum Oscillator)
VWMO measures momentum weighted by volume to spot sustained, high-conviction moves.
vwmo_momlen = input.int(21, "VWMO Momentum Length") this sets how many bars back VWMO looks to calculate price momentum (default 21 bars). it takes the price change (close minus close 21 bars ago).
how it works: a longer period captures bigger trends, while a shorter one reacts to recent swings.
how to adjust: on a daily chart, 21 bars is about a month—good for trend trading. on a 5-minute chart, it’s just 105 minutes, so you might bump it to 50 or 100 for more meaningful moves. if you want faster signals, drop it to 10, but expect more noise.
vwmo_volback = input.int(30, "VWMO Volume Lookback") this sets the period for calculating average volume (default 30 bars). VWMO weights momentum by volume divided by this average.
how it works: it compares current volume to the average to see if a move has strong participation. a longer lookback smooths the average, while a shorter one makes it more sensitive.
how to adjust: for stocks with spiky volume (like NVDA on earnings), a longer lookback (50 or 100) avoids overreacting to one-off spikes. for steady volume stocks, try 20. match this to your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter lookback.
vwmo_smooth = input.int(9, "VWMO Smoothing")
this sets the SMA period to smooth VWMO’s raw momentum (default 9 bars).
how it works: smoothing reduces noise in the signal, making VWMO more reliable for voting. a longer smoothing period cuts more noise but adds lag.
how to adjust: if VWMO is too jumpy (lots of false votes), increase to 15. if it’s too slow and missing trades, drop to 5. test on your chart to see what keeps the signal clean but responsive.
vwmo_threshold = input.float(10, "VWMO Threshold") this is the cutoff for VWMO to vote for a trade (default 10). above 10, it votes for a long; below -10, a short.
how it works: it ensures only strong momentum signals count. a higher threshold means fewer but stronger trades.
how to adjust: if you want more trades, lower it to 5. if you’re getting too many weak signals, raise it to 15. this depends on your market—volatile stocks might need a higher threshold to filter noise.
VEI (Velocity Efficiency Index)
VEI measures market efficiency and velocity to filter out choppy moves and focus on strong trends.
vei_eflen = input.int(14, "VEI Efficiency Smoothing") this sets the EMA period for smoothing VEI’s efficiency calc (bar range / volume, default 14 bars).
how it works: efficiency is how much price moves per unit of volume. smoothing it with an EMA reduces noise, focusing on consistent efficiency. a longer period smooths more but adds lag.
how to adjust: for choppy markets, increase to 20 to filter out noise. for faster markets, drop to 10 for quicker signals. this should match your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter period.
vei_momlen = input.int(8, "VEI Momentum Length") this sets how many bars back VEI looks to calculate momentum in efficiency (default 8 bars).
how it works: it measures the change in smoothed efficiency over 8 bars, then adjusts for inertia (volume-to-range). a longer period captures bigger shifts, while a shorter one reacts faster.
how to adjust: if VEI is missing quick reversals, drop to 5. if it’s too noisy, raise to 12. test on your chart to see what catches the right moves without too many false signals.
vei_threshold = input.float(4.5, "VEI Threshold") this is the cutoff for VEI to vote for a trade (default 4.5). above 4.5, it votes for a long; below -4.5, a short.
how it works: it ensures only strong, efficient moves count. a higher threshold means fewer trades but higher quality.
how to adjust: if you’re not getting enough trades, lower to 3. if you’re seeing too many false entries, raise to 6. this depends on your market—fast stocks like NQ1 might need a lower threshold.
Features
Multi-Signal Voting: requires all three signals (SPR, VWMO, VEI) to align for a trade, ensuring high-probability setups.
Risk Management: uses ATR-based stops (2.1x) and take-profits (4.1x), with dynamic position sizing based on a risk percentage (default 0.4%).
Market Filters: ADX (default 27) ensures trending conditions, choppiness index (default 54.5) avoids sideways markets, and ATR expansion (default 1.12) confirms volatility.
Dashboard: provides real-time stats like SPR, VWMO, VEI values, net P/L, win rate, and streak, with a clean, functional design.
Visuals
EXODUS prioritizes performance over visuals, as it was built for competitive and competition purposes. entry/exit signals are marked with simple labels and shapes, and a basic heatmap highlights market regimes. a more visually stunning update may be released later, with enhanced graphics and overlays.
Usage
EXODUS is designed for stocks and ETFs but can be adapted for futures with adjustments. it performs best in trending markets with sufficient volatility, as confirmed by its generic tuning across symbols like TSLA, AMD, NVDA, and NQ1. adjust inputs like SPR threshold, VWMO smoothing, or VEI momentum length to suit specific assets or timeframes.
Setting I used: (Again, these are a generic setting, each security needs to be fine tuned)
SPR LB = 19 SPR TH = 0.5 SPR ATR L= 21 SPR RTH Sess: 9:30 – 16:00
VWMO L = 21 VWMO LB = 18 VWMO S = 6 VWMO T = 8
VEI ES = 14 VEI ML = 21 VEI T = 4
R % = 0.4
ATR L = 21 ATR M (S) =1.1 TP Multi = 2.1 ATR min mult = 0.8 ATR Expansion = 1.02
ADX L = 21 Min ADX = 25
Choppiness Index = 14 Chop. Max T = 55.5
Backtesting: TSLA
Frame: Jan 02, 2018, 08:00 — May 01, 2025, 09:00
Slippage: 3
Commission .01
Disclaimer
this strategy is for educational purposes. past performance is not indicative of future results. trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. always backtest and validate any strategy before using it in live markets.
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
About the Author
Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is dedicated to building high-performance trading algorithms. EXODUS is a product of rigorous research and development, aimed at delivering consistent, and data-driven trading solutions.
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
2025 Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
ATR Strength Index~~~~~~~ATRRSI~~~~~~~~~
Understanding the ATR Strength IndexThe "ATR Strength Index" (ATR SI) is a custom technical indicator derived by applying the calculation methodology of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to the values of the Average True Range (ATR).
While the standard RSI measures the momentum of price changes, the ATR SI measures the momentum of volatility itself, as represented by the ATR.It is important to note that this is not a standard, widely recognised indicator like the traditional RSI or ATR.
It's a custom construction designed to provide a different perspective on market dynamics – specifically, the speed and magnitude of changes in volatility.
How it is Calculated
The calculation of the ATR Strength Index follows the same steps as the standard RSI, but the input data is the ATR value for each period, rather than the price.Let ATRi be the Average True Range value for the current period i.Let ATRi−1 be the Average True Range value for the previous period i−1.Calculate the period-over-period change in ATR:ΔATRi=ATRi−ATRi−1Separate ATR Gains and ATR Losses:If ΔATRi>0, then ATR,Gaini=ΔATRi and ATR,Lossi=0.If ΔATRi<0, then ATR,Gaini=0 and ATR,Lossi=∣ΔATRi∣.If ΔATRi=0, then ATR,Gaini=0 and ATR,Lossi=0.Calculate the Smoothed Average ATR Gain and Average ATR Loss over a specified lookback period (let's call this the "RSI Length" or n).
This typically uses a smoothing method similar to Wilder's original RSI calculation (a modified moving average or exponential moving average).Average,ATR,Gainn=Smoothed Average of ATR,Gain over n periodsAverage,ATR,Lossn=Smoothed Average of ATR,Loss over n periodsCalculate the ATR Relative Strength (ATR RS):ATR,RSn=Average,ATR,LossnAverage,ATR,GainnCalculate the ATR Strength Index:ATR,SIn=100−1+ATR,RSn100The resulting index oscillates between 0 and 100, just like the standard RSI.
How to Use It
Interpreting the ATR Strength Index focuses on the momentum of volatility rather than price momentum:High Values (e.g., above 70): Indicate that volatility (as measured by ATR) has been increasing rapidly over the chosen period.
This could suggest a market transitioning from a period of low volatility to high volatility, potentially preceding or accompanying strong directional price moves or increased choppiness.Low Values (e.g., below 30): Indicate that volatility has been decreasing rapidly.
This could suggest a market transitioning from high volatility to low volatility, potentially entering a period of consolidation or ranging price action.Midline (50): Represents a balance between increasing and decreasing volatility momentum.Divergence: You could potentially look for divergence between the ATR value itself and the ATR Strength Index. For example, if ATR is making higher highs but the ATR SI is making lower highs, it might suggest that while volatility is still increasing, the speed of that increase is slowing down. The interpretation and reliability of such divergence would need careful testing.
This indicator is best used as a supplementary tool to gain insight into the underlying volatility dynamics of the market, rather than as a primary signal generator for price direction.
It can help in understanding the current market environment – whether volatility is picking up or dying down – which can inform the suitability of different trading strategies (e.g., trend-following strategies might be more effective when volatility momentum is high, while range-bound strategies might suit periods of low volatility momentum).
Uniqueness
The ATR Strength Index is unique because it applies a momentum oscillator's logic (RSI) to a volatility indicator's output (ATR).Standard RSI: Focuses on the directional force of price movements.Standard ATR: Measures the amount of volatility, regardless of direction.ATR Strength Index: Measures the speed and direction of change in volatility.
It provides a perspective that neither the standard RSI nor ATR offers on their own – a quantified measure of how quickly the market's choppiness or range is expanding or contracting. This can be valuable for traders who incorporate volatility analysis into their decision-making process.In summary, the ATR Strength Index is a custom indicator that adapts the RSI calculation to measure the momentum of volatility, offering a unique view on market dynamics by showing how rapidly volatility is increasing or decreasing.
AP_Ultimate CCI MTF v5**AP Ultimate CCI Multi-Timeframe Indicator**
*Track Commodity Channel Index trends across multiple timeframes in one view!*
**Overview:**
Adapted from ChrisMoody's popular RSI MTF concept, this enhanced version brings powerful multi-timeframe analysis to the CCI indicator. Perfect for traders who want to confirm trends across different time horizons without switching charts.
**Key Features:**
📈 **Dual CCI Analysis**
- Primary CCI (Default: 1H) + Secondary CCI (Default: 4H)
- Fully customizable timeframes for both indicators
- Independent length settings (14-50 periods recommended)
🚦 **Visual Trading Signals**
- Automatic Buy/Sell markers on crossovers
- 🟢 **B** Signals: When CCI crosses above -100 (Oversold reversal)
- 🔴 **S** Signals: When CCI crosses below +100 (Overbought reversal)
- Clean triangular markers at chart edges for clear visibility
🎨 **Customizable Visuals**
- Adjustable overbought/oversold levels (Default: ±100)
- Background highlights for extreme zones
- Modern color schemes with transparency control
- Optional zero line display
⚙️ **Technical Specs**
- Built in Pine Script v6
- Non-repainting calculations
- Timeframe-aware alerts support
- Optimized for all asset classes
**How to Use (my use case):**
1. Apply to 15M-4H charts for intraday trading
2. Default setup: Compare 1H vs 4H CCI
3. Look for confluence between timeframes:
- Strong trend = Both CCIs moving in same direction
- Reversal signal = Crossovers with volume confirmation
4. Combine with price action or support/resistance
**Why this Indicator:**
✅ Eliminates manual timeframe switching
✅ Identifies hidden divergences between time horizons
✅ Works equally well for stocks, forex, and crypto
✅ Perfect for momentum and mean-reversion strategies
*Pro Tip: Pair with volume indicators and moving averages for enhanced confirmation!*
Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master
Introducing the Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master , a strategy that’s your secret weapon for mastering futures markets like MNQ, NQ, MES, and ES. Born from the legendary Aurora Divergence indicator, this fully automated system transforms raw divergence signals into a quant-grade trading machine, blending precision, risk management, and cyberpunk DAFE visuals that make your charts glow like a neon skyline. Crafted with care and driven by community passion, this strategy stands out in a sea of generic scripts, offering traders a unique edge to outsmart institutional traps and navigate volatile markets.
The Aurora Divergence indicator was a cult favorite for spotting price-OBV divergences with its aqua and fuchsia orbs, but traders craved a system to act on those signals with discipline and automation. This strategy delivers, layering advanced filters (z-score, ATR, multi-timeframe, session), dynamic risk controls (kill switches, adaptive stops/TPs), and a real-time dashboard to turn insights into profits. Whether you’re a newbie dipping into futures or a pro hunting reversals, this strat’s got your back with a beginner guide, alerts, and visuals that make trading feel like a sci-fi mission. Let’s dive into every detail and see why this original DAFE creation is a must-have.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a battlefield—fast-paced, volatile, and riddled with institutional games that can wipe out undisciplined traders. From the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop to sneaky ES slippage, the stakes are high. Meanwhile, platforms are flooded with unoriginal, low-effort scripts that promise the moon but deliver noise. The Aurora Divergence – Quant Master rises above, offering:
Unmatched Originality: A bespoke system built from the ground up, with custom divergence logic, DAFE visuals, and quant filters that set it apart from copycat clutter.
Automation with Precision: Executes trades on divergence signals, eliminating emotional slip-ups and ensuring consistency, even in chaotic sessions.
Quant-Grade Filters: Z-score, ATR, multi-timeframe, and session checks filter out noise, targeting high-probability reversals.
Robust Risk Management: Daily loss and rolling drawdown kill switches, plus ATR-based stops/TPs, protect your capital like a fortress.
Stunning DAFE Visuals: Aqua/fuchsia orbs, aurora bands, and a glowing dashboard make signals intuitive and charts a work of art.
Community-Driven: Evolved from trader feedback, this strat’s a labor of love, not a recycled knockoff.
Traders need this because it’s a complete, original system that blends accessibility, sophistication, and style. It’s your edge to trade smarter, not harder, in a market full of traps and imitators.
1. Divergence Detection (Core Signal Logic)
The strategy’s core is its ability to detect bullish and bearish divergences between price and On-Balance Volume (OBV), pinpointing reversals with surgical accuracy.
How It Works:
Price Slope: Uses linear regression over a lookback (default: 9 bars) to measure price momentum (priceSlope).
OBV Slope: OBV tracks volume flow (+volume if price rises, -volume if falls), with its slope calculated similarly (obvSlope).
Bullish Divergence: Price slope negative (falling), OBV slope positive (rising), and price above 50-bar SMA (trend_ma).
Bearish Divergence: Price slope positive (rising), OBV slope negative (falling), and price below 50-bar SMA.
Smoothing: Requires two consecutive divergence bars (bullDiv2, bearDiv2) to confirm signals, reducing false positives.
Strength: Divergence intensity (divStrength = |priceSlope * obvSlope| * sensitivity) is normalized (0–1, divStrengthNorm) for visuals.
Why It’s Brilliant:
- Divergences catch hidden momentum shifts, often exploited by institutions, giving you an edge on reversals.
- The 50-bar SMA filter aligns signals with the broader trend, avoiding choppy markets.
- Adjustable lookback (min: 3) and sensitivity (default: 1.0) let you tune for different instruments or timeframes.
2. Filters for Precision
Four advanced filters ensure signals are high-probability and market-aligned, cutting through the noise of volatile futures.
Z-Score Filter:
Logic: Calculates z-score ((close - SMA) / stdev) over a lookback (default: 50 bars). Blocks entries if |z-score| > threshold (default: 1.5) unless disabled (useZFilter = false).
Impact: Avoids trades during extreme price moves (e.g., blow-off tops), keeping you in statistically safe zones.
ATR Percentile Volatility Filter:
Logic: Tracks 14-bar ATR in a 100-bar window (default). Requires current ATR > 80th percentile (percATR) to trade (tradeOk).
Impact: Ensures sufficient volatility for meaningful moves, filtering out low-volume chop.
Multi-Timeframe (HTF) Trend Filter:
Logic: Uses a 50-bar SMA on a higher timeframe (default: 60min). Longs require price > HTF MA (bullTrendOK), shorts < HTF MA (bearTrendOK).
Impact: Aligns trades with the bigger trend, reducing counter-trend losses.
US Session Filter:
Logic: Restricts trading to 9:30am–4:00pm ET (default: enabled, useSession = true) using America/New_York timezone.
Impact: Focuses on high-liquidity hours, avoiding overnight spreads and erratic moves.
Evolution:
- These filters create a robust signal pipeline, ensuring trades are timed for optimal conditions.
- Customizable inputs (e.g., zThreshold, atrPercentile) let traders adapt to their style without compromising quality.
3. Risk Management
The strategy’s risk controls are a masterclass in balancing aggression and safety, protecting capital in volatile markets.
Daily Loss Kill Switch:
Logic: Tracks daily loss (dayStartEquity - strategy.equity). Halts trading if loss ≥ $300 (default) and enabled (killSwitch = true, killSwitchActive).
Impact: Caps daily downside, crucial during events like April 27, 2025 ES slippage.
Rolling Drawdown Kill Switch:
Logic: Monitors drawdown (rollingPeak - strategy.equity) over 100 bars (default). Stops trading if > $1000 (rollingKill).
Impact: Prevents prolonged losing streaks, preserving capital for better setups.
Dynamic Stop-Loss and Take-Profit:
Logic: Stops = entry ± ATR * multiplier (default: 1.0x, stopDist). TPs = entry ± ATR * 1.5x (profitDist). Longs: stop below, TP above; shorts: vice versa.
Impact: Adapts to volatility, keeping stops tight but realistic, with TPs targeting 1.5:1 reward/risk.
Max Bars in Trade:
Logic: Closes trades after 8 bars (default) if not already exited.
Impact: Frees capital from stagnant trades, maintaining efficiency.
Kill Switch Buffer Dashboard:
Logic: Shows smallest buffer ($300 - daily loss or $1000 - rolling DD). Displays 0 (red) if kill switch active, else buffer (green).
Impact: Real-time risk visibility, letting traders adjust dynamically.
Why It’s Brilliant:
- Kill switches and ATR-based exits create a safety net, rare in generic scripts.
- Customizable risk inputs (maxDailyLoss, dynamicStopMult) suit different account sizes.
- Buffer metric empowers disciplined trading, a DAFE signature.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
The entry/exit rules are precise, filtered, and adaptive, ensuring trades are deliberate and profitable.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: bullDiv2, cooldown passed (canSignal), ATR filter passed (tradeOk), in US session (inSession), no kill switches (not killSwitchActive, not rollingKill), z-score OK (zOk), HTF trend bullish (bullTrendOK), no existing long (lastDirection != 1, position_size <= 0). Closes shorts first.
Short Entry: Same, but for bearDiv2, bearTrendOK, no long (lastDirection != -1, position_size >= 0). Closes longs first.
Adaptive Cooldown: Default 2 bars (cooldownBars). Doubles (up to 10) after a losing trade, resets after wins (dynamicCooldown).
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Set per trade (ATR-based). Exits on stop/TP hits.
Other Exits: Closes if maxBarsInTrade reached, ATR filter fails, or kill switch activates.
Position Management: Ensures no conflicting positions, closing opposites before new entries.
Built To Be Reliable and Consistent:
- Multi-filtered entries minimize false signals, a stark contrast to basic scripts.
- Adaptive cooldown prevents overtrading, especially after losses.
- Clean position handling ensures smooth execution, even in fast markets.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are a DAFE hallmark, blending function with clean flair to make signals intuitive and charts stunning.
Aurora Bands:
Display: Bands around price during divergences (bullish: below low, bearish: above high), sized by ATR * bandwidth (default: 0.5).
Colors: Aqua (bullish), fuchsia (bearish), with transparency tied to divStrengthNorm.
Purpose: Highlights divergence zones with a glowing, futuristic vibe.
Divergence Orbs:
Display: Large/small circles (aqua below for bullish, fuchsia above for bearish) when bullDiv2/bearDiv2 and canSignal. Labels show strength (0–1).
Purpose: Pinpoints entries with eye-catching clarity.
Gradient Background:
Display: Green (bullish), red (bearish), or gray (neutral), 90–95% transparent.
Purpose: Sets the market mood without clutter.
Strategy Plots:
- Stop/TP Lines: Red (stops), green (TPs) for active trades.
- HTF MA: Yellow line for trend context.
- Z-Score: Blue step-line (if enabled).
- Kill Switch Warning: Red background flash when active.
What Makes This Next-Level?:
- Visuals make complex signals (divergences, filters) instantly clear, even for beginners.
- DAFE’s unique aesthetic (orbs, bands) sets it apart from generic scripts, reinforcing originality.
- Functional plots (stops, TPs) enhance trade management.
6. Metrics Dashboard
The top-right dashboard (2x8 table) is your command center, delivering real-time insights.
Metrics:
Daily Loss ($): Current loss vs. day’s start, red if > $300.
Rolling DD ($): Drawdown vs. 100-bar peak, red if > $1000.
ATR Threshold: Current percATR, green if ATR exceeds, red if not.
Z-Score: Current value, green if within threshold, red if not.
Signal: “Bullish Div” (aqua), “Bearish Div” (fuchsia), or “None” (gray).
Action: “Consider Buying”/“Consider Selling” (signal color) or “Wait” (gray).
Kill Switch Buffer ($): Smallest buffer to kill switch, green if > 0, red if 0.
Why This Is Important?:
- Consolidates critical data, making decisions effortless.
- Color-coded metrics guide beginners (e.g., green action = go).
- Buffer metric adds transparency, rare in off-the-shelf scripts.
7. Beginner Guide
Beginner Guide: Middle-right table (shown once on chart load), explains aqua orbs (bullish, buy) and fuchsia orbs (bearish, sell).
Key Features:
Futures-Optimized: Tailored for MNQ, NQ, MES, ES with point-value adjustments.
Highly Customizable: Inputs for lookback, sensitivity, filters, and risk settings.
Real-Time Insights: Dashboard and visuals update every bar.
Backtest-Ready: Fixed qty and tick calc for accurate historical testing.
User-Friendly: Guide, visuals, and dashboard make it accessible yet powerful.
Original Design: DAFE’s unique logic and visuals stand out from generic scripts.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min MNQ/ES chart in TradingView.
Configure Inputs: Adjust instrument, filters, or risk (defaults optimized for MNQ).
Monitor Dashboard: Watch signals, actions, and risk metrics (top-right).
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to evaluate performance.
Live Trade: Connect to a broker (e.g., Tradovate) for automation. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Use bar replay (e.g., April 28, 2025 NQ drop) to test volatility handling.
Disclaimer
Trading futures involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Backtest results may not reflect live trading due to slippage, fees, or market conditions. Use this strategy at your own risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is not responsible for any losses incurred.
Backtesting:
Frame: 2023-09-20 - 2025-04-29
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Final Notes
The Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master isn’t just a strategy—it’s a movement. Crafted with originality and driven by community passion, it rises above the flood of generic scripts to deliver a system that’s as powerful as it is beautiful. With its quant-grade logic, DAFE visuals, and robust risk controls, it empowers traders to tackle futures with confidence and style. Join the DAFE crew, light up your charts, and let’s outsmart the markets together!
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade fast, trade bold.
COT3 - Flip Strength Index - Invincible3This indicator uses the TradingView COT library to visualize institutional positioning and potential sentiment or trend shifts. It compares the long% vs short% of commercial and non-commercial traders for both Pair A and Pair B, helping traders identify trend strength, market overextension, and early reversal signals.
🔷 COT RSI
The COT RSI normalizes the net positioning difference between non-commercial and commercial traders over (N=13, 26, and 52)-week periods. It ranges from 0 to 100, highlighting when sentiment is at bullish or bearish extremes.
COT RSI (N)= ((NC - C)−min)/(max-min) x100
🟡 COT Index
The COT Index tracks where the current non-commercial net position lies within its 1-year and 3-year historical range. It reflects institutional accumulation or distribution phases.
Strength represents the magnitude of that positioning bias, visualized through normalized RSI-style metrics.
COT Index (N)= (NC net)/(max-min) x100
🔁 Flip Detection
Flip refers to the crossovers between long% and short%, indicating a change in directional bias among trader groups. When long positions exceed shorts (or vice versa), it signals a possible market flip in sentiment or trend.
For example, Pair B commercial flip is calculated as:
Long% = (Long/Open Interest)×100
Short% = (Short/Open Interest)×100
Flip = Long%−Short%
A bullish flip occurs when long% overtakes short%, and vice versa for a bearish flip. These flips often precede price trend changes or confirm sentiment breakouts.
Flip captures how far current positioning deviates from historical norms — highlighting periods of institutional overconfidence or exhaustion, often leading to significant market turns.
This combination offers a multi-layered edge for identifying when smart money is flipping direction, and whether that flip has strong conviction or is likely to fade.
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RSI Full Forecast [Titans_Invest]RSI Full Forecast
Get ready to experience the ultimate evolution of RSI-based indicators – the RSI Full Forecast, a boosted and even smarter version of the already powerful: RSI Forecast
Now featuring over 40 additional entry conditions (forecasts), this indicator redefines the way you view the market.
AI-Powered RSI Forecasting:
Using advanced linear regression with the least squares method – a solid foundation for machine learning - the RSI Full Forecast enables you to predict future RSI behavior with impressive accuracy.
But that’s not all: this new version also lets you monitor future crossovers between the RSI and the MA RSI, delivering early and strategic signals that go far beyond traditional analysis.
You’ll be able to monitor future crossovers up to 20 bars ahead, giving you an even broader and more precise view of market movements.
See the Future, Now:
• Track upcoming RSI & RSI MA crossovers in advance.
• Identify potential reversal zones before price reacts.
• Uncover statistical behavior patterns that would normally go unnoticed.
40+ Intelligent Conditions:
The new layer of conditions is designed to detect multiple high-probability scenarios based on historical patterns and predictive modeling. Each additional forecast is a window into the price's future, powered by robust mathematics and advanced algorithmic logic.
Full Customization:
All parameters can be tailored to fit your strategy – from smoothing periods to prediction sensitivity. You have complete control to turn raw data into smart decisions.
Innovative, Accurate, Unique:
This isn’t just an upgrade. It’s a quantum leap in technical analysis.
RSI Full Forecast is the first of its kind: an indicator that blends statistical analysis, machine learning, and visual design to create a true real-time predictive system.
⯁ SCIENTIFIC BASIS LINEAR REGRESSION
Linear Regression is a fundamental method of statistics and machine learning, used to model the relationship between a dependent variable y and one or more independent variables 𝑥.
The general formula for a simple linear regression is given by:
y = β₀ + β₁x + ε
β₁ = Σ((xᵢ - x̄)(yᵢ - ȳ)) / Σ((xᵢ - x̄)²)
β₀ = ȳ - β₁x̄
Where:
y = is the predicted variable (e.g. future value of RSI)
x = is the explanatory variable (e.g. time or bar index)
β0 = is the intercept (value of 𝑦 when 𝑥 = 0)
𝛽1 = is the slope of the line (rate of change)
ε = is the random error term
The goal is to estimate the coefficients 𝛽0 and 𝛽1 so as to minimize the sum of the squared errors — the so-called Random Error Method Least Squares.
⯁ LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATION
To minimize the error between predicted and observed values, we use the following formulas:
β₁ = /
β₀ = ȳ - β₁x̄
Where:
∑ = sum
x̄ = mean of x
ȳ = mean of y
x_i, y_i = individual values of the variables.
Where:
x_i and y_i are the means of the independent and dependent variables, respectively.
i ranges from 1 to n, the number of observations.
These equations guarantee the best linear unbiased estimator, according to the Gauss-Markov theorem, assuming homoscedasticity and linearity.
⯁ LINEAR REGRESSION IN MACHINE LEARNING
Linear regression is one of the cornerstones of supervised learning. Its simplicity and ability to generate accurate quantitative predictions make it essential in AI systems, predictive algorithms, time series analysis, and automated trading strategies.
By applying this model to the RSI, you are literally putting artificial intelligence at the heart of a classic indicator, bringing a new dimension to technical analysis.
⯁ VISUAL INTERPRETATION
Imagine an RSI time series like this:
Time →
RSI →
The regression line will smooth these values and extend them n periods into the future, creating a predicted trajectory based on the historical moment. This line becomes the predicted RSI, which can be crossed with the actual RSI to generate more intelligent signals.
⯁ SUMMARY OF SCIENTIFIC CONCEPTS USED
Linear Regression Models the relationship between variables using a straight line.
Least Squares Minimizes the sum of squared errors between prediction and reality.
Time Series Forecasting Estimates future values based on historical data.
Supervised Learning Trains models to predict outputs from known inputs.
Statistical Smoothing Reduces noise and reveals underlying trends.
⯁ WHY THIS INDICATOR IS REVOLUTIONARY
Scientifically-based: Based on statistical theory and mathematical inference.
Unprecedented: First public RSI with least squares predictive modeling.
Intelligent: Built with machine learning logic.
Practical: Generates forward-thinking signals.
Customizable: Flexible for any trading strategy.
⯁ CONCLUSION
By combining RSI with linear regression, this indicator allows a trader to predict market momentum, not just follow it.
RSI Full Forecast is not just an indicator — it is a scientific breakthrough in technical analysis technology.
⯁ Example of simple linear regression, which has one independent variable:
⯁ In linear regression, observations ( red ) are considered to be the result of random deviations ( green ) from an underlying relationship ( blue ) between a dependent variable ( y ) and an independent variable ( x ).
⯁ Visualizing heteroscedasticity in a scatterplot against 100 random fitted values using Matlab:
⯁ The data sets in the Anscombe's quartet are designed to have approximately the same linear regression line (as well as nearly identical means, standard deviations, and correlations) but are graphically very different. This illustrates the pitfalls of relying solely on a fitted model to understand the relationship between variables.
⯁ The result of fitting a set of data points with a quadratic function:
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🔮 Linear Regression: PineScript Technical Parameters 🔮
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Forecast Types:
• Flat: Assumes prices will remain the same.
• Linreg: Makes a 'Linear Regression' forecast for n periods.
Technical Information:
ta.linreg (built-in function)
Linear regression curve. A line that best fits the specified prices over a user-defined time period. It is calculated using the least squares method. The result of this function is calculated using the formula: linreg = intercept + slope * (length - 1 - offset), where intercept and slope are the values calculated using the least squares method on the source series.
Syntax:
• Function: ta.linreg()
Parameters:
• source: Source price series.
• length: Number of bars (period).
• offset: Offset.
• return: Linear regression curve.
This function has been cleverly applied to the RSI, making it capable of projecting future values based on past statistical trends.
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⯁ WHAT IS THE RSI❓
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical analysis indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder. It measures the magnitude of recent price movements to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in a market. The RSI is an oscillator that ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify potential reversal points, as well as the strength of a trend.
⯁ HOW TO USE THE RSI❓
The RSI is calculated based on average gains and losses over a specified period (usually 14 periods). It is plotted on a scale from 0 to 100 and includes three main zones:
• Overbought: When the RSI is above 70, indicating that the asset may be overbought.
• Oversold: When the RSI is below 30, indicating that the asset may be oversold.
• Neutral Zone: Between 30 and 70, where there is no clear signal of overbought or oversold conditions.
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⯁ ENTRY CONDITIONS
The conditions below are fully flexible and allow for complete customization of the signal.
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🔹 CONDITIONS TO BUY 📈
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• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR .
📈 RSI Conditions:
🔹 RSI > Upper
🔹 RSI < Upper
🔹 RSI > Lower
🔹 RSI < Lower
🔹 RSI > Middle
🔹 RSI < Middle
🔹 RSI > MA
🔹 RSI < MA
📈 MA Conditions:
🔹 MA > Upper
🔹 MA < Upper
🔹 MA > Lower
🔹 MA < Lower
📈 Crossovers:
🔹 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🔹 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🔹 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🔹 RSI (Crossover) MA
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🔹 MA (Crossover) Upper
🔹 MA (Crossunder) Upper
🔹 MA (Crossover) Lower
🔹 MA (Crossunder) Lower
📈 RSI Divergences:
🔹 RSI Divergence Bull
🔹 RSI Divergence Bear
📈 RSI Forecast:
🔹 RSI (Crossover) MA Forecast
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) MA Forecast
🔹 RSI Forecast 1 > MA Forecast 1
🔹 RSI Forecast 1 < MA Forecast 1
🔹 RSI Forecast 2 > MA Forecast 2
🔹 RSI Forecast 2 < MA Forecast 2
🔹 RSI Forecast 3 > MA Forecast 3
🔹 RSI Forecast 3 < MA Forecast 3
🔹 RSI Forecast 4 > MA Forecast 4
🔹 RSI Forecast 4 < MA Forecast 4
🔹 RSI Forecast 5 > MA Forecast 5
🔹 RSI Forecast 5 < MA Forecast 5
🔹 RSI Forecast 6 > MA Forecast 6
🔹 RSI Forecast 6 < MA Forecast 6
🔹 RSI Forecast 7 > MA Forecast 7
🔹 RSI Forecast 7 < MA Forecast 7
🔹 RSI Forecast 8 > MA Forecast 8
🔹 RSI Forecast 8 < MA Forecast 8
🔹 RSI Forecast 9 > MA Forecast 9
🔹 RSI Forecast 9 < MA Forecast 9
🔹 RSI Forecast 10 > MA Forecast 10
🔹 RSI Forecast 10 < MA Forecast 10
🔹 RSI Forecast 11 > MA Forecast 11
🔹 RSI Forecast 11 < MA Forecast 11
🔹 RSI Forecast 12 > MA Forecast 12
🔹 RSI Forecast 12 < MA Forecast 12
🔹 RSI Forecast 13 > MA Forecast 13
🔹 RSI Forecast 13 < MA Forecast 13
🔹 RSI Forecast 14 > MA Forecast 14
🔹 RSI Forecast 14 < MA Forecast 14
🔹 RSI Forecast 15 > MA Forecast 15
🔹 RSI Forecast 15 < MA Forecast 15
🔹 RSI Forecast 16 > MA Forecast 16
🔹 RSI Forecast 16 < MA Forecast 16
🔹 RSI Forecast 17 > MA Forecast 17
🔹 RSI Forecast 17 < MA Forecast 17
🔹 RSI Forecast 18 > MA Forecast 18
🔹 RSI Forecast 18 < MA Forecast 18
🔹 RSI Forecast 19 > MA Forecast 19
🔹 RSI Forecast 19 < MA Forecast 19
🔹 RSI Forecast 20 > MA Forecast 20
🔹 RSI Forecast 20 < MA Forecast 20
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🔸 CONDITIONS TO SELL 📉
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• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR .
📉 RSI Conditions:
🔸 RSI > Upper
🔸 RSI < Upper
🔸 RSI > Lower
🔸 RSI < Lower
🔸 RSI > Middle
🔸 RSI < Middle
🔸 RSI > MA
🔸 RSI < MA
📉 MA Conditions:
🔸 MA > Upper
🔸 MA < Upper
🔸 MA > Lower
🔸 MA < Lower
📉 Crossovers:
🔸 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🔸 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🔸 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🔸 RSI (Crossover) MA
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🔸 MA (Crossover) Upper
🔸 MA (Crossunder) Upper
🔸 MA (Crossover) Lower
🔸 MA (Crossunder) Lower
📉 RSI Divergences:
🔸 RSI Divergence Bull
🔸 RSI Divergence Bear
📉 RSI Forecast:
🔸 RSI (Crossover) MA Forecast
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) MA Forecast
🔸 RSI Forecast 1 > MA Forecast 1
🔸 RSI Forecast 1 < MA Forecast 1
🔸 RSI Forecast 2 > MA Forecast 2
🔸 RSI Forecast 2 < MA Forecast 2
🔸 RSI Forecast 3 > MA Forecast 3
🔸 RSI Forecast 3 < MA Forecast 3
🔸 RSI Forecast 4 > MA Forecast 4
🔸 RSI Forecast 4 < MA Forecast 4
🔸 RSI Forecast 5 > MA Forecast 5
🔸 RSI Forecast 5 < MA Forecast 5
🔸 RSI Forecast 6 > MA Forecast 6
🔸 RSI Forecast 6 < MA Forecast 6
🔸 RSI Forecast 7 > MA Forecast 7
🔸 RSI Forecast 7 < MA Forecast 7
🔸 RSI Forecast 8 > MA Forecast 8
🔸 RSI Forecast 8 < MA Forecast 8
🔸 RSI Forecast 9 > MA Forecast 9
🔸 RSI Forecast 9 < MA Forecast 9
🔸 RSI Forecast 10 > MA Forecast 10
🔸 RSI Forecast 10 < MA Forecast 10
🔸 RSI Forecast 11 > MA Forecast 11
🔸 RSI Forecast 11 < MA Forecast 11
🔸 RSI Forecast 12 > MA Forecast 12
🔸 RSI Forecast 12 < MA Forecast 12
🔸 RSI Forecast 13 > MA Forecast 13
🔸 RSI Forecast 13 < MA Forecast 13
🔸 RSI Forecast 14 > MA Forecast 14
🔸 RSI Forecast 14 < MA Forecast 14
🔸 RSI Forecast 15 > MA Forecast 15
🔸 RSI Forecast 15 < MA Forecast 15
🔸 RSI Forecast 16 > MA Forecast 16
🔸 RSI Forecast 16 < MA Forecast 16
🔸 RSI Forecast 17 > MA Forecast 17
🔸 RSI Forecast 17 < MA Forecast 17
🔸 RSI Forecast 18 > MA Forecast 18
🔸 RSI Forecast 18 < MA Forecast 18
🔸 RSI Forecast 19 > MA Forecast 19
🔸 RSI Forecast 19 < MA Forecast 19
🔸 RSI Forecast 20 > MA Forecast 20
🔸 RSI Forecast 20 < MA Forecast 20
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🤖 AUTOMATION 🤖
• You can automate the BUY and SELL signals of this indicator.
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⯁ UNIQUE FEATURES
______________________________________________________
Linear Regression: (Forecast)
Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Condition Table: BUY/SELL
Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the Graph Above: BUY/SELL
Automate and Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
Linear Regression (Forecast)
Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Condition Table: BUY/SELL
Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the Graph Above: BUY/SELL
Automate and Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
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📜 SCRIPT : RSI Full Forecast
🎴 Art by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
👨💻 Dev by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
🎑 Titans Invest — The Wizards Without Gloves 🧤
✨ Enjoy!
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o Mission 🗺
• Inspire Traders to manifest Magic in the Market.
o Vision 𐓏
• To elevate collective Energy 𐓷𐓏
Prop Firm Business SimulatorThe prop firm business simulator is exactly what it sounds like. It's a plug and play tool to test out any tradingview strategy and simulate hypothetical performance on CFD Prop Firms.
Now what is a modern day CFD Prop Firm?
These companies sell simulated trading challenges for a challenge fee. If you complete the challenge you get access to simulated capital and you get a portion of the profits you make on those accounts payed out.
I've included some popular firms in the code as presets so it's easy to simulate them. Take into account that this info will likely be out of date soon as these prices and challenge conditions change.
Also, this tool will never be able to 100% simulate prop firm conditions and all their rules. All I aim to do with this tool is provide estimations.
Now why is this tool helpful?
Most traders on here want to turn their passion into their full-time career, prop firms have lately been the buzz in the trading community and market themselves as a faster way to reach that goal.
While this all sounds great on paper, it is sometimes hard to estimate how much money you will have to burn on challenge fees and set realistic monthly payout expectations for yourself and your trading. This is where this tool comes in.
I've specifically developed this for traders that want to treat prop firms as a business. And as a business you want to know your monthly costs and income depending on the trading strategy and prop firm challenge you are using.
How to use this tool
It's quite simple you remove the top part of the script and replace it with your own strategy. Make sure it's written in same version of pinescript before you do that.
//--$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$--//--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------$$$$$$
//--$$$$$--Strategy-- --$$$$$$--// ******************************************************************************************************************************
//--$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$--//--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------$$$$$$
length = input.int(20, minval=1, group="Keltner Channel Breakout")
mult = input(2.0, "Multiplier", group="Keltner Channel Breakout")
src = input(close, title="Source", group="Keltner Channel Breakout")
exp = input(true, "Use Exponential MA", display = display.data_window, group="Keltner Channel Breakout")
BandsStyle = input.string("Average True Range", options = , title="Bands Style", display = display.data_window, group="Keltner Channel Breakout")
atrlength = input(10, "ATR Length", display = display.data_window, group="Keltner Channel Breakout")
esma(source, length)=>
s = ta.sma(source, length)
e = ta.ema(source, length)
exp ? e : s
ma = esma(src, length)
rangema = BandsStyle == "True Range" ? ta.tr(true) : BandsStyle == "Average True Range" ? ta.atr(atrlength) : ta.rma(high - low, length)
upper = ma + rangema * mult
lower = ma - rangema * mult
//--Graphical Display--// *-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-$$$$$$
u = plot(upper, color=#2962FF, title="Upper", force_overlay=true)
plot(ma, color=#2962FF, title="Basis", force_overlay=true)
l = plot(lower, color=#2962FF, title="Lower", force_overlay=true)
fill(u, l, color=color.rgb(33, 150, 243, 95), title="Background")
//--Risk Management--// *-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-$$$$$$
riskPerTradePerc = input.float(1, title="Risk per trade (%)", group="Keltner Channel Breakout")
le = high>upper ? false : true
se = lowlower
strategy.entry('PivRevLE', strategy.long, comment = 'PivRevLE', stop = upper, qty=riskToLots)
if se and upper>lower
strategy.entry('PivRevSE', strategy.short, comment = 'PivRevSE', stop = lower, qty=riskToLots)
The tool will then use the strategy equity of your own strategy and use this to simulat prop firms. Since these CFD prop firms work with different phases and payouts the indicator will simulate the gains until target or max drawdown / daily drawdown limit gets reached. If it reaches target it will go to the next phase and keep on doing that until it fails a challenge.
If in one of the phases there is a reward for completing, like a payout, refund, extra it will add this to the gains.
If you fail the challenge by reaching max drawdown or daily drawdown limit it will substract the challenge fee from the gains.
These gains are then visualised in the calendar so you can get an idea of yearly / monthly gains of the backtest. Remember, it is just a backtest so no guarantees of future income.
The bottom pane (non-overlay) is visualising the performance of the backtest during the phases. This way u can check if it is realistic. For instance if it only takes 1 bar on chart to reach target you are probably risking more than the firm wants you to risk. Also, it becomes much less clear if daily drawdown got hit in those high risk strategies, the results will be less accurate.
The daily drawdown limit get's reset every time there is a new dayofweek on chart.
If you set your prop firm preset setting to "'custom" the settings below that are applied as your prop firm settings. Otherwise it will use one of the template by default it's FTMO 100K.
The strategy I'm using as an example in this script is a simple Keltner Channel breakout strategy. I'm using a 0.05% commission per trade as that is what I found most common on crypto exchanges and it's close to the commissions+spread you get on a cfd prop firm. I'm targeting a 1% risk per trade in the backtest to try and stay within prop firm boundaries of max 1% risk per trade.
Lastly, the original yearly and monthly performance table was developed by Quantnomad and I've build ontop of that code. Here's a link to the original publication:
That's everything for now, hope this indicator helps people visualise the potential of prop firms better or to understand that they are not a good fit for their current financial situation.
RSI Forecast [Titans_Invest]RSI Forecast
Introducing one of the most impressive RSI indicators ever created – arguably the best on TradingView, and potentially the best in the world.
RSI Forecast is a visionary evolution of the classic RSI, merging powerful customization with groundbreaking predictive capabilities. While preserving the core principles of traditional RSI, it takes analysis to the next level by allowing users to anticipate potential future RSI movements.
Real-Time RSI Forecasting:
For the first time ever, an RSI indicator integrates linear regression using the least squares method to accurately forecast the future behavior of the RSI. This innovation empowers traders to stay one step ahead of the market with forward-looking insight.
Highly Customizable:
Easily adapt the indicator to your personal trading style. Fine-tune a variety of parameters to generate signals perfectly aligned with your strategy.
Innovative, Unique, and Powerful:
This is the world’s first RSI Forecast to apply this predictive approach using least squares linear regression. A truly elite-level tool designed for traders who want a real edge in the market.
⯁ SCIENTIFIC BASIS LINEAR REGRESSION
Linear Regression is a fundamental method of statistics and machine learning, used to model the relationship between a dependent variable y and one or more independent variables 𝑥.
The general formula for a simple linear regression is given by:
y = β₀ + β₁x + ε
Where:
y = is the predicted variable (e.g. future value of RSI)
x = is the explanatory variable (e.g. time or bar index)
β0 = is the intercept (value of 𝑦 when 𝑥 = 0)
𝛽1 = is the slope of the line (rate of change)
ε = is the random error term
The goal is to estimate the coefficients 𝛽0 and 𝛽1 so as to minimize the sum of the squared errors — the so-called Random Error Method Least Squares.
⯁ LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATION
To minimize the error between predicted and observed values, we use the following formulas:
β₁ = /
β₀ = ȳ - β₁x̄
Where:
∑ = sum
x̄ = mean of x
ȳ = mean of y
x_i, y_i = individual values of the variables.
Where:
x_i and y_i are the means of the independent and dependent variables, respectively.
i ranges from 1 to n, the number of observations.
These equations guarantee the best linear unbiased estimator, according to the Gauss-Markov theorem, assuming homoscedasticity and linearity.
⯁ LINEAR REGRESSION IN MACHINE LEARNING
Linear regression is one of the cornerstones of supervised learning. Its simplicity and ability to generate accurate quantitative predictions make it essential in AI systems, predictive algorithms, time series analysis, and automated trading strategies.
By applying this model to the RSI, you are literally putting artificial intelligence at the heart of a classic indicator, bringing a new dimension to technical analysis.
⯁ VISUAL INTERPRETATION
Imagine an RSI time series like this:
Time →
RSI →
The regression line will smooth these values and extend them n periods into the future, creating a predicted trajectory based on the historical moment. This line becomes the predicted RSI, which can be crossed with the actual RSI to generate more intelligent signals.
⯁ SUMMARY OF SCIENTIFIC CONCEPTS USED
Linear Regression Models the relationship between variables using a straight line.
Least Squares Minimizes the sum of squared errors between prediction and reality.
Time Series Forecasting Estimates future values based on historical data.
Supervised Learning Trains models to predict outputs from known inputs.
Statistical Smoothing Reduces noise and reveals underlying trends.
⯁ WHY THIS INDICATOR IS REVOLUTIONARY
Scientifically-based: Based on statistical theory and mathematical inference.
Unprecedented: First public RSI with least squares predictive modeling.
Intelligent: Built with machine learning logic.
Practical: Generates forward-thinking signals.
Customizable: Flexible for any trading strategy.
⯁ CONCLUSION
By combining RSI with linear regression, this indicator allows a trader to predict market momentum, not just follow it.
RSI Forecast is not just an indicator — it is a scientific breakthrough in technical analysis technology.
⯁ Example of simple linear regression, which has one independent variable:
⯁ In linear regression, observations ( red ) are considered to be the result of random deviations ( green ) from an underlying relationship ( blue ) between a dependent variable ( y ) and an independent variable ( x ).
⯁ Visualizing heteroscedasticity in a scatterplot against 100 random fitted values using Matlab:
⯁ The data sets in the Anscombe's quartet are designed to have approximately the same linear regression line (as well as nearly identical means, standard deviations, and correlations) but are graphically very different. This illustrates the pitfalls of relying solely on a fitted model to understand the relationship between variables.
⯁ The result of fitting a set of data points with a quadratic function:
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🥇 This is the world’s first RSI indicator with: Linear Regression for Forecasting 🥇_______________________________________________________________________
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🔮 Linear Regression: PineScript Technical Parameters 🔮
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Forecast Types:
• Flat: Assumes prices will remain the same.
• Linreg: Makes a 'Linear Regression' forecast for n periods.
Technical Information:
ta.linreg (built-in function)
Linear regression curve. A line that best fits the specified prices over a user-defined time period. It is calculated using the least squares method. The result of this function is calculated using the formula: linreg = intercept + slope * (length - 1 - offset), where intercept and slope are the values calculated using the least squares method on the source series.
Syntax:
• Function: ta.linreg()
Parameters:
• source: Source price series.
• length: Number of bars (period).
• offset: Offset.
• return: Linear regression curve.
This function has been cleverly applied to the RSI, making it capable of projecting future values based on past statistical trends.
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⯁ WHAT IS THE RSI❓
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical analysis indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder. It measures the magnitude of recent price movements to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in a market. The RSI is an oscillator that ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify potential reversal points, as well as the strength of a trend.
⯁ HOW TO USE THE RSI❓
The RSI is calculated based on average gains and losses over a specified period (usually 14 periods). It is plotted on a scale from 0 to 100 and includes three main zones:
• Overbought: When the RSI is above 70, indicating that the asset may be overbought.
• Oversold: When the RSI is below 30, indicating that the asset may be oversold.
• Neutral Zone: Between 30 and 70, where there is no clear signal of overbought or oversold conditions.
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⯁ ENTRY CONDITIONS
The conditions below are fully flexible and allow for complete customization of the signal.
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🔹 CONDITIONS TO BUY 📈
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• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR .
📈 RSI Conditions:
🔹 RSI > Upper
🔹 RSI < Upper
🔹 RSI > Lower
🔹 RSI < Lower
🔹 RSI > Middle
🔹 RSI < Middle
🔹 RSI > MA
🔹 RSI < MA
📈 MA Conditions:
🔹 MA > Upper
🔹 MA < Upper
🔹 MA > Lower
🔹 MA < Lower
📈 Crossovers:
🔹 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🔹 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🔹 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🔹 RSI (Crossover) MA
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🔹 MA (Crossover) Upper
🔹 MA (Crossunder) Upper
🔹 MA (Crossover) Lower
🔹 MA (Crossunder) Lower
📈 RSI Divergences:
🔹 RSI Divergence Bull
🔹 RSI Divergence Bear
📈 RSI Forecast:
🔮 RSI (Crossover) MA Forecast
🔮 RSI (Crossunder) MA Forecast
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🔸 CONDITIONS TO SELL 📉
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• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR .
📉 RSI Conditions:
🔸 RSI > Upper
🔸 RSI < Upper
🔸 RSI > Lower
🔸 RSI < Lower
🔸 RSI > Middle
🔸 RSI < Middle
🔸 RSI > MA
🔸 RSI < MA
📉 MA Conditions:
🔸 MA > Upper
🔸 MA < Upper
🔸 MA > Lower
🔸 MA < Lower
📉 Crossovers:
🔸 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🔸 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🔸 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🔸 RSI (Crossover) MA
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🔸 MA (Crossover) Upper
🔸 MA (Crossunder) Upper
🔸 MA (Crossover) Lower
🔸 MA (Crossunder) Lower
📉 RSI Divergences:
🔸 RSI Divergence Bull
🔸 RSI Divergence Bear
📉 RSI Forecast:
🔮 RSI (Crossover) MA Forecast
🔮 RSI (Crossunder) MA Forecast
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🤖 AUTOMATION 🤖
• You can automate the BUY and SELL signals of this indicator.
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⯁ UNIQUE FEATURES
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Linear Regression: (Forecast)
Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Condition Table: BUY/SELL
Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the Graph Above: BUY/SELL
Automate and Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
Linear Regression (Forecast)
Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Condition Table: BUY/SELL
Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the Graph Above: BUY/SELL
Automate and Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
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📜 SCRIPT : RSI Forecast
🎴 Art by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
👨💻 Dev by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
🎑 Titans Invest — The Wizards Without Gloves 🧤
✨ Enjoy!
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o Mission 🗺
• Inspire Traders to manifest Magic in the Market.
o Vision 𐓏
• To elevate collective Energy 𐓷𐓏
SMC+The "SMC+" indicator is a comprehensive tool designed to overlay key Smart Money Concepts (SMC) levels, support/resistance zones, order blocks (OB), fair value gaps (FVG), and trap detection on your TradingView chart. It aims to assist traders in identifying potential areas of interest based on price action, swing structures, and volume dynamics across multiple timeframes. This indicator is fully customizable, allowing users to adjust lookback periods, colors, opacity, and sensitivity to suit their trading style.
Key Components and Functionality
1. Key Levels (Support and Resistance)
This section plots horizontal lines representing support and resistance levels based on highs and lows over three distinct lookback periods, plus daily nearest levels.
Short-Term Lookback Period (Default: 20 bars)
Plots the highest high (short_high) and lowest low (short_low) over the specified period.
Visualized as dotted lines with customizable colors (Short-Term Resistance Color, Short-Term Support Color) and opacity (Short-Term Resistance Opacity, Short-Term Support Opacity).
Adjustment Tip: Increase the lookback (e.g., to 30-50) for less frequent but stronger levels on higher timeframes, or decrease (e.g., to 10-15) for scalping on lower timeframes.
Long-Term Lookback Period (Default: 50 bars)
Plots broader support (long_low) and resistance (long_high) levels using a solid line style.
Customizable via Long-Term Resistance Color, Long-Term Support Color, and their respective opacity settings.
Adjustment Tip: Extend to 100-200 bars for swing trading or major trend analysis on daily/weekly charts.
Extra-Long Lookback Period (Default: 100 bars)
Identifies significant historical highs (extra_long_high) and lows (extra_long_low) with dashed lines.
Configurable with Extra-Long Resistance Color, Extra-Long Support Color, and opacity settings.
Adjustment Tip: Use 200-500 bars for monthly charts to capture macro-level key zones.
Daily Nearest Resistance and Support Levels
Dynamically calculates the nearest resistance (daily_res_level) and support (daily_sup_level) based on the current day’s price action relative to historical highs and lows.
Displayed with Daily Resistance Color and Daily Support Color (with opacity options).
Adjustment Tip: Works best on intraday charts (e.g., 15m, 1h) to track daily pivots; combine with volume profile for confirmation.
How It Works: These levels update dynamically as new highs/lows form, providing a visual guide to potential reversal or breakout zones.
2. SMC Inputs (Smart Money Concepts)
This section identifies swing structures, order blocks, fair value gaps, and entry signals based on SMC principles.
SMC Swing Lookback Period (Default: 12 bars)
Defines the period for detecting swing highs (smc_swing_high) and lows (smc_swing_low).
Adjustment Tip: Increase to 20-30 for smoother swings on higher timeframes; reduce to 5-10 for faster signals on lower timeframes.
Minimum Swing Size (%) (Default: 0.5%)
Filters out minor price movements to focus on significant swings.
Adjustment Tip: Raise to 1-2% for volatile markets (e.g., crypto) to avoid noise; lower to 0.2-0.3% for forex pairs with tight ranges.
Order Block Sensitivity (Default: 1.0)
Scales the size of detected order blocks (OBs) for bullish reversal (smc_ob_bull), bearish reversal (smc_ob_bear), and continuation (smc_cont_ob).
Visuals include customizable colors, opacity, border thickness, and blinking effects (e.g., SMC Bullish Reversal OB Color, SMC Bearish Reversal OB Blink Thickness).
Adjustment Tip: Increase to 1.5-2.0 for wider OBs in choppy markets; keep at 1.0 for precision in trending conditions.
Minimum FVG Size (%) (Default: 0.3%)
Sets the minimum gap size for Fair Value Gaps (fvg_high, fvg_low), displayed as boxes with Fair Value Gap Color and FVG Opacity.
Adjustment Tip: Increase to 0.5-1% for larger, more reliable gaps; decrease to 0.1-0.2% for scalping smaller inefficiencies.
How It Works:
Bullish Reversal OB: Detects a bearish candle followed by a bullish break, marking a potential demand zone.
Bearish Reversal OB: Identifies a bullish candle followed by a bearish break, marking a supply zone.
Continuation OB: Spots strong bullish momentum after a prior high, indicating a continuation zone.
FVG: Highlights bullish gaps where price may retrace to fill.
Entry Signals: Plots triangles (SMC Long Entry) when price retests an OB with a liquidity sweep or break of structure (BOS).
3. Trap Inputs
This section detects potential bull and bear traps based on price action, volume, and key level rejections.
Min Down Move for Bear Trap (%) (Default: 1.0%)
Sets the minimum drop required after a bearish OB to qualify as a trap.
Visualized with Bear Trap Color, Bear Trap Opacity, and blinking borders.
Adjustment Tip: Increase to 2-3% for stronger traps in trending markets; lower to 0.5% for ranging conditions.
Min Up Move for Bull Trap (%) (Default: 1.0%)
Sets the minimum rise required after a bullish OB to flag a trap.
Customizable with Bull Trap Color, Bull Trap Border Thickness, etc.
Adjustment Tip: Adjust similarly to bear traps based on market volatility.
Volume Lookback for Traps (Default: 5 bars)
Compares current volume to a moving average (avg_volume) to filter low-volume traps.
Adjustment Tip: Increase to 10-20 for confirmation on higher timeframes; reduce to 3 for intraday sensitivity.
How It Works:
Bear Trap: Triggers when price drops significantly after a bearish OB but reverses up with low volume or support rejection.
Bull Trap: Activates when price rises after a bullish OB but fails with low volume or resistance rejection.
Boxes highlight trap zones, resetting when price breaks out.
4. Visual Customization
Line Width (Default: 2)
Adjusts thickness of support/resistance lines.
Tip: Increase to 3-4 for visibility on cluttered charts.
Blink On (Default: Close)
Sets whether OB/FVG borders blink based on Open or Close price interaction.
Tip: Use "Open" for intraday precision; "Close" for confirmed reactions.
Colors and Opacity: Each element (OBs, FVGs, traps, key levels) has customizable colors, opacity (0-100), border thickness (1-5 or 1-7), and blink effects for dynamic visualization.
How to Use SMC+
Setup: Apply the indicator to any chart and adjust inputs based on your timeframe and market.
Key Levels: Watch for price reactions at short, long, extra-long, or daily levels for potential reversals or breakouts.
SMC Signals: Look for entry signals (triangles) near OBs or FVGs, confirmed by liquidity sweeps or BOS.
Traps: Avoid false breakouts by monitoring trap boxes, especially near key levels with low volume.
Notes:
This indicator is a visual aid and does not guarantee trading success. Combine it with other analysis tools and risk management strategies.
Performance may vary across markets and timeframes; test settings thoroughly before use.
For optimal results, experiment with lookback periods and sensitivity settings to match your trading style.
The default settings are optimal for 1 minute and 10 second time frames for small cap low float stocks.
Continuation OB are Blue.
Bullish Reversal OB color is Green
Bearish Reversal OB color is Red
FVG color is purple
Bear Trap OB is red with a green border and often appears with a Bearish Reversal OB signaling caution to a short position.
Bull trap OB is green with a Red border signaling caution to a long position.
All active OB area are highlighted and solid in color while other non active OB area are dimmed.
My personal favorite setups are when we have an active bullish reversal with an active FVG along with an active Continuation OB.
Another personal favorite is the Bearish reversal OB signaling an end to a recent uptrend.
The Trap OB detection are also a unique and Original helpful source of information.
The OB have a white boarder by default that are colored black giving a simulated blinking effect when price is acting in that zone.
The Trap OB border are colored with respect to direction of intended trap, all of which can be customized to personal style.
All vaild OB zones are shown compact in size ,a unique and original view until its no longer valid.
Daily Bollinger Band StrategyOverview of the Daily Bollinger Band Strategy
1. Strategy Overview and Features
This strategy is a tool for backtesting a trading method that uses Bollinger Bands. It is *not* a tool for automated trading.
1-1. Main Display Items
The main chart displays the Bollinger Bands and the 200-day moving average.
It also shows the entry and exit points along with the position size (in units of 100 shares).
1-2. Summary of Trading Rules
For long (buy) strategies, the trade enters when the price crosses above the +1σ line of the Bollinger Bands, aiming to ride an upward trend. The position is exited when the price crosses below the middle band.
For short (sell) strategies, the trade enters when the price crosses below the -1σ line of the Bollinger Bands, aiming to ride a downward trend. The position is exited when the price crosses above the middle band.
1-3. Strategic Enhancements
The strategy uses the slope of the 200-day moving average to determine the trend direction and enter trades accordingly. This improves the win rate and payoff ratio.
Additionally, to reduce the probability of ruin, the risk per trade is limited to 1.0% of capital, and position sizing is adjusted using ATR (a volatility indicator).
2. Trading Rules
2-1. Chart Type
Only daily charts are used.
2-2. Indicators Used
(1) Bollinger Bands** (used for entry and exit signals)
- Period: Fixed at 80 days
- Upper and lower bands: Fixed at ±1σ
(2) Moving Average** (used to determine trend direction)
- Period: Fixed at 200 days
- Trend direction is judged based on whether the difference from the previous day is positive (upward) or negative (downward)
2-3. Buy Rules
Setup:
- Price crosses above the +1σ line from below
- Both the middle band and 200-day moving average are upward sloping
Entry:
- Buy at the next day’s market open using a market order
Exit:
- If the price crosses below the middle band, sell at the next day’s open using a market order
2-4. Sell Rules
Setup:
- Price crosses below the -1σ line from above
- Both the middle band and 200-day moving average are downward sloping
Entry:
- Sell at the next day’s market open using a market order
Exit:
- If the price crosses above the middle band, buy back at the next day’s open using a market order
2-5. Risk Management Rules
- Risk per trade: 1.0% of total capital (acceptable loss = capital × 1.0%)
- Position size: Acceptable loss ÷ 2ATR (rounded down to the nearest unit of 100 shares)
2-6. Other Notes
- No brokerage fees
- No pyramiding
- No partial exits
- No reverse positions (no “stop-and-reverse” trades)
3. Strategy Parameters
The following settings can be specified:
3-1. Period Settings
- Start date: Set the start date for the backtest period
- Stop date: Set the end date for the backtest period
3-2. Display of Trend and Signals
- Show trend: When checked, the background color of the bars is light red for an uptrend and light blue for a downtrend
- Show signal: When checked, entry and exit signals are displayed (note: signals are executed at the next day’s open, so there is a one-day lag in the display)
3-3. Capital Management Settings
- Funds: Capital available for trading (in JPY)
- Risk rate: Specify what percentage of the capital to risk per trade
Settings in the “Properties” tab are not used in this strategy.
4. Backtest Results (Example)
Here are the backtest results conducted by the author:
- Target Stocks: All components of the Nikkei 225
- Test Period: January 4, 2000 – December 30, 2024
- Data Points: 12,886
- Win Rate: 33.45%
- Net Profit: ¥82,132,380
- Payoff Ratio: 2.450
- Expected Value: ¥6,373.8
- Risk Rate: 1.0%
- Probability of Ruin: 0.00%
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デイリー・ボリンジャーバンド・ストラテジーの概要
1. ストラテジーの概要と特徴
このストラテジーは、ボリンジャーバンドを使ったトレード手法のバックテストを行うツールです。自動売買を行うツールではありません。
1-1. 主な表示項目
メインチャートにボリンジャーバンドと 200日移動平均線を表示します。
また、エントリーと手仕舞いのタイミングと数量（100株単位）も表示されます。
1-2. トレードルールの概要
買い戦略の場合、ボリンジャーバンドの +1σ 超えでエントリーして上昇トレンドに乗り、ミドルバンドを割ったら決済します。
売り戦略の場合、ボリンジャーバンドの -1σ 割りでエントリーして下降トレンドに乗り、ミドルバンドを上抜けたら決済します。
1-3. ストラテジーの工夫点
200日移動平均線の傾きを見てトレンド方向にエントリーをしています。こうして勝率とペイオフレシオの成績を向上しています。
また、破産確率を抑えるために、リスク資金比率を 1.0% にして、ATR（ボラティリティ指標） を使って注文数を調整しています。
2. 売買ルール
2-1. 使用するチャート
日足チャートに限定します
2-2. 使用する指標
(1) ボリンジャーバンド（仕掛けと手仕舞いのシグナルに使用）
期間は80日に固定
上下バンドは ±1σ に固定
(2) 移動平均線（トレンドの方向を見るために使用）
期間は200日に固定
移動平均の値の前日との差がプラスのとき上向き、マイナスのとき下向きと判断
2-3. 買いのルール
セットアップ：ボリンジャーバンドの +1σ を価格が下から上に交差 かつ ミドルバンドと 200日移動平均線が上向き
仕掛け：翌日の寄り付きに成行で買う
手仕舞い：ボリンジャーバンドのミドルバンドを価格が上から下に交差したら、翌日の寄り付きに成行で売る
2-4. 売りのルール
セットアップ：ボリンジャーバンドの -1σ を価格が上から下に交差 かつ ミドルバンドと 200日移動平均線が下向き
仕掛け：翌日の寄り付きに成行で売る
手仕舞い：ボリンジャーバンドのミドルバンドを価格が下から上に交差したら、翌日の寄り付きに成行で買い戻す
2-5. 資金管理のルール
リスク資金比率：資産の 1.0%（許容損失 = 資産 × 1.0%）
注文数：許容損失 ÷ 2ATR（単元株数未満は切り捨て）
2-6. その他
仲介手数料：なし
ピラミッディング：なし
分割決済：なし
ドテン：しない
3. ストラテジーのパラメーター
次の項目が指定できます。
3-1. 期間の設定
Staer date : バックテストの検証期間の開始日を指定します
Stop date : バックテストの検証期間の終了日を指定します
3-2. トレンドとシグナルの表示
Show trend : チェックを入れると、バーの背景色が、トレンドが上昇のときは薄い赤で、下落のときは薄い青で表示されます
Show signal : チェックを入れると、エントリーと手仕舞いのシグナルを表示します（シグナルの出た翌日の寄り付きに売買をするので表示に1日のずれがあります）
3-3. 資金管理用の設定
Funds : トレード用の資金(円)
Risk rate : 許容損失を資金の何%にするかで指定します
「プロパティタブ」で設定する値は、このストラテジーでは有効ではありません。
4. バックテストの結果（例）
作者がバックテストを実施した結果をお知らせします。
対象銘柄：日経225構成銘柄すべて
対象期間：2000年1月4日～2024年12月30日
データ件数：12,886
勝率：33.45%
純利益：82,132,380
ペイオフレシオ：2.450
期待値：6,373.8
リスク資金比率：1.0%
破産確率：0.00%
3SMA +30 Stan Weinstein +200WMA +alert-crossingIndicator Description: Stan Weinstein Strategy + Key Moving Averages
🔹 Introduction
This indicator combines the Classic Stan Weinstein Strategy with a modern update based on the author’s latest recommendations. It includes key moving averages that help identify trends and potential entry or exit points in the market.
📊 Included Moving Averages (Fully Customizable)
All moving averages in this indicator have modifiable parameters, allowing users to adjust values in the input settings.
1️⃣ 30-Week SMA (Stan Weinstein): A long-term trend indicator defining the asset’s main trend.
2️⃣ 40-Week SMA (Weinstein Update): An adjusted version recommended by the author in his recent updates.
3️⃣ 10-Day SMA: Displays short-term price action and helps confirm trend changes.
4️⃣ 100-Day SMA: A medium-term trend measure used by traders to assess trend strength.
5️⃣ 200-Day WMA (Weighted Moving Average): A very long-term indicator that filters market noise and confirms solid trends.
🔍 How to Interpret It
✔️ 30/40-Week SMA in an uptrend → Confirms an accumulation phase or an upward price trend.
✔️ Price above the 200-WMA → Indicates a strong and healthy long-term trend.
✔️ 10-SMA crossing other moving averages → Can signal an early entry or exit opportunity.
✔️ 100-SMA vs. 200-WMA → A breakout of the 100-SMA above the 200-WMA may signal a new bullish phase.
🚨 Built-in Alerts (Key Crossovers)
The indicator includes automatic alerts to notify traders when key moving averages cross, allowing timely reactions:
🔔 10-SMA crossing the 40-SMA → Possible medium-term trend shift.
🔔 10-SMA crossing the 200-WMA → Confirmation of a stronger trend.
🔔 40-SMA crossing the 200-WMA → Long-term trend reversal signal.
💡 Customization: All moving average periods can be adjusted in the input settings, making the indicator flexible for different trading strategies.
Nasan Risk Score & Postion Size Estimator** THE RISK SCORE AND POSITION SIZE WILL ONLY BE CALCUTAED ON DIALY TIMEFRAME NOT IN OTHER TIMEFRAMES.
The typically accepted generic rule for risk management is not to risk more than 1% - 2 % of the capital in any given trade. It has its own basis however it does not take into account the stocks historic & current performance and does not consider the traders performance metrics (like win rate, profit ratio).
The Nasan Risk Score & Position size calculator takes into account all the listed parameters into account and estimates a Risk %. The position size is calculated using the estimated risk % , current ATR and a dynamically adjusted ATR multiple (ATR multiple is adjusted based on true range's volatility and stocks relative performance).
It follows a series of calculations:
Unadjusted Nasan Risk Score = (Min Risk)^a + b*
Min Risk = ( 5 year weighted avg Annual Stock Return - 5 year weighted avg Annual Bench Return) / 5 year weighted avg Annual Max ATR%
Max Risk = ( 5 year weighted avg Annual Stock Return - 5 year weighted avg Annual Bench Return) / 5 year weighted avg Annual Min ATR%
The min and max return is calculated based on stocks excess return in comparison to the Benchmark return and adjusted for volatility of the stock.
When a stock underperforms the benchmark, the default is, it does not calculate a position size , however if we opt it to calculate it will use 1% for Min Risk% and 2% for Max Risk% but all the other calculations and scaling remain the same.
Rationale:
Stocks outperforming their benchmark with lower volatility (ATR%) score higher.
A stock with high returns but excessive volatility gets penalized.
This ensures volatility-adjusted performance is emphasized rather than absolute returns.
Depending on the risk preference aggressive or conservative
Aggressive Risk Scaling: a = max (m, n) and b = min (m, n)
Conservative Scaling: a = min (m, n) and b = max (m, n)
where n = traders win % /100 and m = 1 - (1/ (1+ profit ratio))
A default of 50% is used for win factor and 1.5 for profit ratio.
Aggressive risk scaling increases exposure when the strategy's strongest factor is favorable.
Conservative risk scaling ensures more stable risk levels by focusing on the weaker factor.
The Unadjusted Nasan risk is score is further refined based on a tolerance factor which is based on the stocks maximum annual drawdown and the trader's maximum draw down tolerance.
Tolerance = /100
The correction factor (Tolerance) adjusts the risk score based on downside risk. Here's how it works conceptually:
The formula calculates how much the stock's actual drawdown exceeds your acceptable limit.
If stocks maximum Annual drawdown is smaller than Trader's maximum acceptable drawdown % , this results in a positive correction factor (indicating the drawdown is within your acceptable range and increases the unadjusted score.
If stocks maximum Annual drawdown exceeds Trader's maximum acceptable drawdown %, the correction factor will decrease (indicating that the downside risk is greater than what you are comfortable with, so it will adjust the risk exposure).
Once the Risk Score (numerically equal to Risk %) The position size is calculated based on the current market conditions.
Nasan Risk Score (Risk%) = Unadjusted Nasan Risk Score * Tolerance.
Position Size = (Capital * Risk% )/ ATR-Multiplier * ATR
The ATR Multiplier is dynamically adjusted based on the stocks recent relative performance and the variability of the true range itself. It would range between 1 - 3.5.
The multiplier widens when conditions are not favorable decreasing the position size and increases position size when conditions are favorable.
This Calculation /Estimate Does not give you a very different result than the arbitrary 1% - 2%. However it does fine tune the % based on sock performance, traders performance and tolerance level.
Elliott Wave Identification By Akash Patel
This script is designed to visually highlight areas on the chart where there are consecutive bullish (green) or bearish (red) candles. It also identifies sequences of three consecutive candles of the same type (bullish or bearish) and highlights those areas with adjustable box opacity. Here's a breakdown of the functionality:
---
### Key Features:
1. **Bullish & Bearish Candle Identification:**
- **Bullish Candle:** When the closing price is higher than the opening price (`close > open`).
- **Bearish Candle:** When the closing price is lower than the opening price (`close < open`).
2. **Consecutive Candle Counter:**
- The script counts consecutive bullish and bearish candles, which resets when the direction changes (from bullish to bearish or vice versa).
- The script tracks these counts using the `bullishCount` and `bearishCount` variables, which are incremented based on whether the current candle is bullish or bearish.
3. **Highlighting Candle Areas:**
- If there are **3 or more consecutive bullish candles**, the script will highlight the background in a green color with 90% transparency (adjustable).
- Similarly, if there are **3 or more consecutive bearish candles**, the script will highlight the background in a red color with 90% transparency (adjustable).
4. **Three-Candle Sequence:**
- The script checks if there are three consecutive bullish candles (`threeBullish`) or three consecutive bearish candles (`threeBearish`).
- A box is drawn around these areas to visually highlight the sequence. The boxes extend to the right edge of the chart, and their opacity can be adjusted.
5. **Box Creation:**
- For bullish sequences, a green box is created using the high and low prices of the three candles in the sequence.
- For bearish sequences, a red box is created in the same manner.
- The box size is determined by the highest high and the lowest low of the three consecutive candles.
6. **Box Opacity:**
- You can adjust the opacity of the boxes through the input parameters `Bullish Box Opacity` and `Bearish Box Opacity` (ranging from 0 to 100).
- A higher opacity will make the boxes more solid, while a lower opacity will make them more transparent.
7. **Box Cleanup:**
- The script also includes logic to remove boxes when they are no longer needed, ensuring the chart remains clean without excessive box overlays.
8. **Extending Boxes to the Right:**
- When a bullish or bearish sequence is identified, the boxes are extended to the right edge of the chart for continued visibility.
---
### How It Works:
- **Bullish Area Highlight:** When three or more consecutive bullish candles are detected, the background will turn green to indicate a strong bullish trend.
- **Bearish Area Highlight:** When three or more consecutive bearish candles are detected, the background will turn red to indicate a strong bearish trend.
- **Three Consecutive Candle Box:** A green box will appear around three consecutive bullish candles, and a red box will appear around three consecutive bearish candles. These boxes can be extended to the right edge of the chart, making the sequence visually clear.
---
### Adjustable Parameters:
1. **Bullish Box Opacity:** Set the opacity (transparency) level of the bullish boxes. Ranges from 0 (completely transparent) to 100 (completely opaque).
2. **Bearish Box Opacity:** Set the opacity (transparency) level of the bearish boxes. Ranges from 0 (completely transparent) to 100 (completely opaque).
---
This indicator is useful for identifying strong trends and visually confirming market momentum, especially in situations where you want to spot sequences of bullish or bearish candles over multiple bars. It can be customized to suit different trading styles and chart preferences by adjusting the opacity of the boxes and background highlights.
Advanced Swing High/Low Trend Lines with MA Filter# Advanced Swing High/Low Trend Lines Indicator
## Overview
This advanced indicator identifies and draws trend lines based on swing highs and lows across three different timeframes (large, middle, and small trends). It's designed to help traders visualize market structure and potential support/resistance levels at multiple scales simultaneously.
## Key Features
- *Multi-Timeframe Analysis*: Simultaneously tracks trends at large (200-bar), middle (100-bar), and small (50-bar) scales
- *Customizable Visualization*: Different colors, widths, and styles for each trend level
- *Trend Confirmation System*: Requires minimum consecutive pivot points to validate trends
- *Trend Filter Option*: Can align trends with 200 EMA direction for consistency
## Recommended Settings
### For Long-Term Investors:
- Large Swing Length: 200-300
- Middle Swing Length: 100-150
- Small Swing Length: 50-75
- Enable Trend Filter: Yes
- Confirmation Points: 4-5
### For Swing Traders:
- Large Swing Length: 100
- Middle Swing Length: 50
- Small Swing Length: 20-30
- Enable Trend Filter: Optional
- Confirmation Points: 3
### For Day Traders:
- Large Swing Length: 50
- Middle Swing Length: 20
- Small Swing Length: 5-10
- Enable Trend Filter: No
- Confirmation Points: 2-3
## How to Use
### Identification:
1. *Large Trend Lines* (Red/Green): Show major market structure
2. *Middle Trend Lines* (Purple/Aqua): Intermediate levels
3. *Small Trend Lines* (Orange/Blue): Short-term price action
### Trading Applications:
- *Breakout Trading*: Watch for price breaking through multiple trend lines
- *Bounce Trading*: Look for reactions at confluence of trend lines
- *Trend Confirmation*: Aligned trends across timeframes suggest stronger moves
### Best Markets:
- Works well in trending markets (forex, indices)
- Effective in higher timeframes (1H+)
- Can be used in ranging markets to identify boundaries
## Customization Tips
1. For cleaner charts, reduce line widths in congested markets
2. Use dotted styles for smaller trends to reduce visual clutter
3. Adjust confirmation points based on market volatility (higher for noisy markets)
## Limitations
- May repaint on current swing points
- Works best in trending conditions
- Requires sufficient historical data for longer swing lengths
This indicator provides a comprehensive view of market structure across multiple timeframes, helping traders make more informed decisions by visualizing the hierarchy of support and resistance levels.
Volume Weighted RSI (VW RSI)The Volume Weighted RSI (VW RSI) is a momentum oscillator designed for TradingView, implemented in Pine Script v6, that enhances the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI) by incorporating trading volume into its calculation. Unlike the standard RSI, which measures the speed and change of price movements based solely on price data, the VW RSI weights its analysis by volume, emphasizing price movements backed by significant trading activity. This makes the VW RSI particularly effective for identifying bullish or bearish momentum, overbought/oversold conditions, and potential trend reversals in markets where volume plays a critical role, such as stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Key Features
Volume-Weighted Momentum Calculation:
The VW RSI calculates momentum by comparing the volume associated with upward price movements (up-volume) to the volume associated with downward price movements (down-volume).
Up-volume is the volume on bars where the closing price is higher than the previous close, while down-volume is the volume on bars where the closing price is lower than the previous close.
These volumes are smoothed over a user-defined period (default: 14 bars) using a Running Moving Average (RMA), and the VW RSI is computed using the formula:
\text{VW RSI} = 100 - \frac{100}{1 + \text{VoRS}}
where
\text{VoRS} = \frac{\text{Average Up-Volume}}{\text{Average Down-Volume}}
.
Oscillator Range and Interpretation:
The VW RSI oscillates between 0 and 100, with a centerline at 50.
Above 50: Indicates bullish volume momentum, suggesting that volume on up bars dominates, which may signal buying pressure and a potential uptrend.
Below 50: Indicates bearish volume momentum, suggesting that volume on down bars dominates, which may signal selling pressure and a potential downtrend.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: User-defined thresholds (default: 70 for overbought, 30 for oversold) help identify potential reversal points:
VW RSI > 70: Overbought, indicating a possible pullback or reversal.
VW RSI < 30: Oversold, indicating a possible bounce or reversal.
Visual Elements:
VW RSI Line: Plotted in a separate pane below the price chart, colored dynamically based on its value:
Green when above 50 (bullish momentum).
Red when below 50 (bearish momentum).
Gray when at 50 (neutral).
Centerline: A dashed line at 50, optionally displayed, serving as the neutral threshold between bullish and bearish momentum.
Overbought/Oversold Lines: Dashed lines at the user-defined overbought (default: 70) and oversold (default: 30) levels, optionally displayed, to highlight extreme conditions.
Background Coloring: The background of the VW RSI pane is shaded red when the indicator is in overbought territory and green when in oversold territory, providing a quick visual cue of potential reversal zones.
Alerts:
Built-in alerts for key events:
Bullish Momentum: Triggered when the VW RSI crosses above 50, indicating a shift to bullish volume momentum.
Bearish Momentum: Triggered when the VW RSI crosses below 50, indicating a shift to bearish volume momentum.
Overbought Condition: Triggered when the VW RSI crosses above the overbought threshold (default: 70), signaling a potential pullback.
Oversold Condition: Triggered when the VW RSI crosses below the oversold threshold (default: 30), signaling a potential bounce.
Input Parameters
VW RSI Length (default: 14): The period over which the up-volume and down-volume are smoothed to calculate the VW RSI. A longer period results in smoother signals, while a shorter period increases sensitivity.
Overbought Level (default: 70): The threshold above which the VW RSI is considered overbought, indicating a potential reversal or pullback.
Oversold Level (default: 30): The threshold below which the VW RSI is considered oversold, indicating a potential reversal or bounce.
Show Centerline (default: true): Toggles the display of the 50 centerline, which separates bullish and bearish momentum zones.
Show Overbought/Oversold Lines (default: true): Toggles the display of the overbought and oversold threshold lines.
How It Works
Volume Classification:
For each bar, the indicator determines whether the price movement is upward or downward:
If the current close is higher than the previous close, the bar’s volume is classified as up-volume.
If the current close is lower than the previous close, the bar’s volume is classified as down-volume.
If the close is unchanged, both up-volume and down-volume are set to 0 for that bar.
Smoothing:
The up-volume and down-volume are smoothed using a Running Moving Average (RMA) over the specified period (default: 14 bars) to reduce noise and provide a more stable measure of volume momentum.
VW RSI Calculation:
The Volume Relative Strength (VoRS) is calculated as the ratio of smoothed up-volume to smoothed down-volume.
The VW RSI is then computed using the standard RSI formula, but with volume data instead of price changes, resulting in a value between 0 and 100.
Visualization and Alerts:
The VW RSI is plotted with dynamic coloring to reflect its momentum direction, and optional lines are drawn for the centerline and overbought/oversold levels.
Background coloring highlights overbought and oversold conditions, and alerts notify the trader of significant crossings.
Usage
Timeframe: The VW RSI can be used on any timeframe, but it is particularly effective on intraday charts (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour) or daily charts where volume data is reliable. Shorter timeframes may require a shorter length for increased sensitivity, while longer timeframes may benefit from a longer length for smoother signals.
Markets: Best suited for markets with significant and reliable volume data, such as stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies. It may be less effective in markets with low or inconsistent volume, such as certain futures contracts.
Trading Strategies:
Trend Confirmation:
Use the VW RSI to confirm the direction of a trend. For example, in an uptrend, look for the VW RSI to remain above 50, indicating sustained bullish volume momentum, and consider buying on pullbacks when the VW RSI dips but stays above 50.
In a downtrend, look for the VW RSI to remain below 50, indicating sustained bearish volume momentum, and consider selling on rallies when the VW RSI rises but stays below 50.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
When the VW RSI crosses above 70, the market may be overbought, suggesting a potential pullback or reversal. Consider taking profits on long positions or preparing for a short entry, but confirm with price action or other indicators.
When the VW RSI crosses below 30, the market may be oversold, suggesting a potential bounce or reversal. Consider entering long positions or covering shorts, but confirm with additional signals.
Divergences:
Look for divergences between the VW RSI and price to spot potential reversals. For example, if the price makes a higher high but the VW RSI makes a lower high, this bearish divergence may signal an impending downtrend.
Conversely, if the price makes a lower low but the VW RSI makes a higher low, this bullish divergence may signal an impending uptrend.
Momentum Shifts:
A crossover above 50 can signal the start of bullish momentum, making it a potential entry point for long trades.
A crossunder below 50 can signal the start of bearish momentum, making it a potential entry point for short trades or an exit for long positions.
Example
On a 4-hour SOLUSDT chart:
During an uptrend, the VW RSI might rise above 50 and stay there, confirming bullish volume momentum. If it approaches 70, it may indicate overbought conditions, as seen near a price peak of 145.08, suggesting a potential pullback.
During a downtrend, the VW RSI might fall below 50, confirming bearish volume momentum. If it drops below 30 near a price low of 141.82, it may indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce, as seen in a slight recovery afterward.
A bullish divergence might occur if the price makes a lower low during the downtrend, but the VW RSI makes a higher low, signaling a potential reversal.
Limitations
Lagging Nature: Like the traditional RSI, the VW RSI is a lagging indicator because it relies on smoothed data (RMA). It may not react quickly to sudden price reversals, potentially missing the start of new trends.
False Signals in Ranging Markets: In choppy or ranging markets, the VW RSI may oscillate around 50, generating frequent crossovers that lead to false signals. Combining it with a trend filter (e.g., ADX) can help mitigate this.
Volume Data Dependency: The VW RSI relies on accurate volume data, which may be inconsistent or unavailable in some markets (e.g., certain forex pairs or futures contracts). In such cases, the indicator’s effectiveness may be reduced.
Overbought/Oversold in Strong Trends: During strong trends, the VW RSI can remain in overbought or oversold territory for extended periods, leading to premature exit signals. Use additional confirmation to avoid exiting too early.
Potential Improvements
Smoothing Options: Add options to use different smoothing methods (e.g., EMA, SMA) instead of RMA for the up/down volume calculations, allowing users to adjust the indicator’s responsiveness.
Divergence Detection: Include logic to detect and plot bullish/bearish divergences between the VW RSI and price, providing visual cues for potential reversals.
Customizable Colors: Allow users to customize the colors of the VW RSI line, centerline, overbought/oversold lines, and background shading.
Trend Filter: Integrate a trend strength filter (e.g., ADX > 25) to ensure signals are generated only during strong trends, reducing false signals in ranging markets.
The Volume Weighted RSI (VW RSI) is a powerful tool for traders seeking to incorporate volume into their momentum analysis, offering a unique perspective on market dynamics by emphasizing price movements backed by significant trading activity. It is best used in conjunction with other indicators and price action analysis to confirm signals and improve trading decisions.
Fuzzy SMA with DCTI Confirmation[FibonacciFlux]FibonacciFlux: Advanced Fuzzy Logic System with Donchian Trend Confirmation
Institutional-grade trend analysis combining adaptive Fuzzy Logic with Donchian Channel Trend Intensity for superior signal quality
Conceptual Framework & Research Foundation
FibonacciFlux represents a significant advancement in quantitative technical analysis, merging two powerful analytical methodologies: normalized fuzzy logic systems and Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI). This sophisticated indicator addresses a fundamental challenge in market analysis – the inherent imprecision of trend identification in dynamic, multi-dimensional market environments.
While traditional indicators often produce simplistic binary signals, markets exist in states of continuous, graduated transition. FibonacciFlux embraces this complexity through its implementation of fuzzy set theory, enhanced by DCTI's structural trend confirmation capabilities. The result is an indicator that provides nuanced, probabilistic trend assessment with institutional-grade signal quality.
Core Technological Components
1. Advanced Fuzzy Logic System with Percentile Normalization
At the foundation of FibonacciFlux lies a comprehensive fuzzy logic system that transforms conventional technical metrics into degrees of membership in linguistic variables:
// Fuzzy triangular membership function with robust error handling
fuzzy_triangle(val, left, center, right) =>
if na(val)
0.0
float denominator1 = math.max(1e-10, center - left)
float denominator2 = math.max(1e-10, right - center)
math.max(0.0, math.min(left == center ? val <= center ? 1.0 : 0.0 : (val - left) / denominator1,
center == right ? val >= center ? 1.0 : 0.0 : (right - val) / denominator2))
The system employs percentile-based normalization for SMA deviation – a critical innovation that enables self-calibration across different assets and market regimes:
// Percentile-based normalization for adaptive calibration
raw_diff = price_src - sma_val
diff_abs_percentile = ta.percentile_linear_interpolation(math.abs(raw_diff), normLookback, percRank) + 1e-10
normalized_diff_raw = raw_diff / diff_abs_percentile
normalized_diff = useClamping ? math.max(-clampValue, math.min(clampValue, normalized_diff_raw)) : normalized_diff_raw
This normalization approach represents a significant advancement over fixed-threshold systems, allowing the indicator to automatically adapt to varying volatility environments and maintain consistent signal quality across diverse market conditions.
2. Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI) Integration
FibonacciFlux significantly enhances fuzzy logic analysis through the integration of Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI) – a sophisticated measure of trend strength based on the relationship between short-term and long-term price extremes:
// DCTI calculation for structural trend confirmation
f_dcti(src, majorPer, minorPer, sigPer) =>
H = ta.highest(high, majorPer) // Major period high
L = ta.lowest(low, majorPer) // Major period low
h = ta.highest(high, minorPer) // Minor period high
l = ta.lowest(low, minorPer) // Minor period low
float pdiv = not na(L) ? l - L : 0 // Positive divergence (low vs major low)
float ndiv = not na(H) ? H - h : 0 // Negative divergence (major high vs high)
float divisor = pdiv + ndiv
dctiValue = divisor == 0 ? 0 : 100 * ((pdiv - ndiv) / divisor) // Normalized to -100 to +100 range
sigValue = ta.ema(dctiValue, sigPer)
DCTI provides a complementary structural perspective on market trends by quantifying the relationship between short-term and long-term price extremes. This creates a multi-dimensional analysis framework that combines adaptive deviation measurement (fuzzy SMA) with channel-based trend intensity confirmation (DCTI).
Multi-Dimensional Fuzzy Input Variables
FibonacciFlux processes four distinct technical dimensions through its fuzzy system:
Normalized SMA Deviation: Measures price displacement relative to historical volatility context
Rate of Change (ROC): Captures price momentum over configurable timeframes
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Evaluates cyclical overbought/oversold conditions
Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI): Provides structural trend confirmation through channel analysis
Each dimension is processed through comprehensive fuzzy sets that transform crisp numerical values into linguistic variables:
// Normalized SMA Deviation - Self-calibrating to volatility regimes
ndiff_LP := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, norm_scale * 0.3, norm_scale * 0.7, norm_scale * 1.1)
ndiff_SP := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, norm_scale * 0.05, norm_scale * 0.25, norm_scale * 0.5)
ndiff_NZ := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, -norm_scale * 0.1, 0.0, norm_scale * 0.1)
ndiff_SN := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, -norm_scale * 0.5, -norm_scale * 0.25, -norm_scale * 0.05)
ndiff_LN := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, -norm_scale * 1.1, -norm_scale * 0.7, -norm_scale * 0.3)
// DCTI - Structural trend measurement
dcti_SP := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, 60.0, 85.0, 101.0) // Strong Positive Trend (> ~85)
dcti_WP := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, 20.0, 45.0, 70.0) // Weak Positive Trend (~30-60)
dcti_Z := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, -30.0, 0.0, 30.0) // Near Zero / Trendless (~+/- 20)
dcti_WN := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, -70.0, -45.0, -20.0) // Weak Negative Trend (~-30 - -60)
dcti_SN := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, -101.0, -85.0, -60.0) // Strong Negative Trend (< ~-85)
Advanced Fuzzy Rule System with DCTI Confirmation
The core intelligence of FibonacciFlux lies in its sophisticated fuzzy rule system – a structured knowledge representation that encodes expert understanding of market dynamics:
// Base Trend Rules with DCTI Confirmation
cond1 = math.min(ndiff_LP, roc_HP, rsi_M)
strength_SB := math.max(strength_SB, cond1 * (dcti_SP > 0.5 ? 1.2 : dcti_Z > 0.1 ? 0.5 : 1.0))
// DCTI Override Rules - Structural trend confirmation with momentum alignment
cond14 = math.min(ndiff_NZ, roc_HP, dcti_SP)
strength_SB := math.max(strength_SB, cond14 * 0.5)
The rule system implements 15 distinct fuzzy rules that evaluate various market conditions including:
Established Trends: Strong deviations with confirming momentum and DCTI alignment
Emerging Trends: Early deviation patterns with initial momentum and DCTI confirmation
Weakening Trends: Divergent signals between deviation, momentum, and DCTI
Reversal Conditions: Counter-trend signals with DCTI confirmation
Neutral Consolidations: Minimal deviation with low momentum and neutral DCTI
A key innovation is the weighted influence of DCTI on rule activation. When strong DCTI readings align with other indicators, rule strength is amplified (up to 1.2x). Conversely, when DCTI contradicts other indicators, rule impact is reduced (as low as 0.5x). This creates a dynamic, self-adjusting system that prioritizes high-conviction signals.
Defuzzification & Signal Generation
The final step transforms fuzzy outputs into a precise trend score through center-of-gravity defuzzification:
// Defuzzification with precise floating-point handling
denominator = strength_SB + strength_WB + strength_N + strength_WBe + strength_SBe
if denominator > 1e-10
fuzzyTrendScore := (strength_SB * STRONG_BULL + strength_WB * WEAK_BULL +
strength_N * NEUTRAL + strength_WBe * WEAK_BEAR +
strength_SBe * STRONG_BEAR) / denominator
The resulting FuzzyTrendScore ranges from -1.0 (Strong Bear) to +1.0 (Strong Bull), with critical threshold zones at ±0.3 (Weak trend) and ±0.7 (Strong trend). The histogram visualization employs intuitive color-coding for immediate trend assessment.
Strategic Applications for Institutional Trading
FibonacciFlux provides substantial advantages for sophisticated trading operations:
Multi-Timeframe Signal Confirmation: Institutional-grade signal validation across multiple technical dimensions
Trend Strength Quantification: Precise measurement of trend conviction with noise filtration
Early Trend Identification: Detection of emerging trends before traditional indicators through fuzzy pattern recognition
Adaptive Market Regime Analysis: Self-calibrating analysis across varying volatility environments
Algorithmic Strategy Integration: Well-defined numerical output suitable for systematic trading frameworks
Risk Management Enhancement: Superior signal fidelity for risk exposure optimization
Customization Parameters
FibonacciFlux offers extensive customization to align with specific trading mandates and market conditions:
Fuzzy SMA Settings: Configure baseline trend identification parameters including SMA, ROC, and RSI lengths
Normalization Settings: Fine-tune the self-calibration mechanism with adjustable lookback period, percentile rank, and optional clamping
DCTI Parameters: Optimize trend structure confirmation with adjustable major/minor periods and signal smoothing
Visualization Controls: Customize display transparency for optimal chart integration
These parameters enable precise calibration for different asset classes, timeframes, and market regimes while maintaining the core analytical framework.
Implementation Notes
For optimal implementation, consider the following guidance:
Higher timeframes (4H+) benefit from increased normalization lookback (800+) for stability
Volatile assets may require adjusted clamping values (2.5-4.0) for optimal signal sensitivity
DCTI parameters should be aligned with chart timeframe (higher timeframes require increased major/minor periods)
The indicator performs exceptionally well as a trend filter for systematic trading strategies
Acknowledgments
FibonacciFlux builds upon the pioneering work of Donovan Wall in Donchian Channel Trend Intensity analysis. The normalization approach draws inspiration from percentile-based statistical techniques in quantitative finance. This indicator is shared for educational and analytical purposes under Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) license.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trading involves risk. This indicator should be used as one component of a comprehensive analysis framework.
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