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BTC Mayer Multiple BandsIntroduced by Trace Mayer as a way to gauge the current price of Bitcoin against its long range historical price movements (200 day moving average), the Mayer Multiple highlights when Bitcoin is overbought or oversold in the context of longer time frames. It's worth noting that as the market becomes larger and less volatile, the peaks are becoming less exaggerated. This is because a 200 day moving average baseline is a static yardstick against an ever growing, more stable, Bitcoin market. We should recalibrate what constitutes the overbought/oversold extremes on this chart accordingly. Idea by CryptoKea. Original author:
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jaggedsoft tarafından
7
BTC Net Volume Delta (Spot)One of my favorite indicators for trend analysis. We sum the volume from all significant BTC Spot exchanges and subtract the sell volume from the buy volume for a cumulative total. A futures version is also available but spot volume is more consistent for analysis. To follow trends you can buy when sell momentum is decreasing, and sell when buy momentum is decreasing. Do you have any ideas for monitoring sentiment or open interest across multiple exchanges? Message me and I will try to make it happen.
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jaggedsoft tarafından
14
BTC 1D Alerts V1This script contains a variety of key indicator for bitcoin all-in-one and they can be activated individually in the menu. These are meant to be used on the 1D chart for Bitcoin. 1457 Day Moving Average: the bottom of the bitcoin price and arguably the rock bottom price target. Ichimoku Cloud: a common useful indicator for bitcoin support and resistance. 350ma fibs (21 8 5 3 2 and 1.6) : Signify the tops of each logarthmic rise in bitcoin price. They are generally curving higher over the long term. For halvening #3, the predicted market crash would be after hitting the 350ma x3 fib. Also the 350 ma / 111 ma cross signifies bull market top within about 3 days as well. Using the combination of the 350ma fibs and the 350/111 crosses, reasonably identify when market top is about to occur. 50,120,200 ma: Common moving averages that bitcoin retests during bull market runs. Also, the 50/200 golden and death crosses. 1D EMA Superguppy Ribbons: green = bull market, gray is indeterminate, red = bear market. Very high specificity indicator of bull runs, especially for bitcoin. You can change to 3D candle for even more specificity for a bull market start. Use the 1W for even more specificity. 1D Superguppy is recommended for decisionmaking. 1W EMA21: a very good moving average programmed to be shown on both the daily and weekly candle time. Bitcoin commonly corrects to this repeatedly during past bull runs. Acts as support during bull run and resistance during a bear market. Steps to identifying a bull market: 1. 50/200 golden cross 2. 1D EMA superguppy green 3. 3D EMA superguppy green (if you prefer more certainty than step 2). 4. Hitting the 1W EMA21 and bouncing off during the bull run signifies corrections. Once a bull market is identified, Additional recommended buying and selling techniques: Indicators: - Fiblines - to determine retracements from peaks (such as all time high or recent highs) - Stochastic RSI - 1d, 3d, and 1W SRSI are great time to buy, especially the 1W SRSI which comes much less frequently. - volumen consolidado - for multi exchange volumes compiled into a single line. I prefer buying on the lowest volume days which generally coincide with dips. - MACD - somewhat dubious utility but many algorithms are programmed to buy or sell based on this. Check out the Alerts for golden crosses and 350ma Fib crosses which are invaluable for long term buying planning. I left this open source so that all the formulas can be understood and verified. Much of it hacked together from other sources but all indicators that are fundamental to bitcoin. I apologize in advance for not attributing all the articles and references... but then again I am making no money off of this anyway.
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Cephii tarafından
BTC Weighted Composite IndexThis script was written to complement my custom built equal weighted btc composite indice: type the following text as the symbol: ~~ (BITMEX:XBTUSD*42.74+BINANCE:BTCUSDT*31.41+BITFINEX:BTCUSD*23.47+COINBASE:BTCUSD*8.1+BITSTAMP:BTCUSD*8.2+KRAKEN:XBTUSD*3.9+POLONIEX:BTCUSDT*1.1+GEMINI:BTCUSD*2.8+BITTREX:BTCUSDT*1.1)/122.82 ~~ by applying this script to the above symbol: it shows total volume, in $ amounts across the 9 exchanges.
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PMtrading20 tarafından
1
Intellect_city - Halvings Bitcoin CycleWhat is halving? The halving timer shows when the next Bitcoin halving will occur, as well as the dates of past halvings. This event occurs every 210,000 blocks, which is approximately every 4 years. Halving reduces the emission reward by half. The original Bitcoin reward was 50 BTC per block found. Why is halving necessary? Halving allows you to maintain an algorithmically specified emission level. Anyone can verify that no more than 21 million bitcoins can be issued using this algorithm. Moreover, everyone can see how much was issued earlier, at what speed the emission is happening now, and how many bitcoins remain to be mined in the future. Even a sharp increase or decrease in mining capacity will not significantly affect this process. In this case, during the next difficulty recalculation, which occurs every 2014 blocks, the mining difficulty will be recalculated so that blocks are still found approximately once every ten minutes. How does halving work in Bitcoin blocks? The miner who collects the block adds a so-called coinbase transaction. This transaction has no entry, only exit with the receipt of emission coins to your address. If the miner's block wins, then the entire network will consider these coins to have been obtained through legitimate means. The maximum reward size is determined by the algorithm; the miner can specify the maximum reward size for the current period or less. If he puts the reward higher than possible, the network will reject such a block and the miner will not receive anything. After each halving, miners have to halve the reward they assign to themselves, otherwise their blocks will be rejected and will not make it to the main branch of the blockchain. The impact of halving on the price of Bitcoin It is believed that with constant demand, a halving of supply should double the value of the asset. In practice, the market knows when the halving will occur and prepares for this event in advance. Typically, the Bitcoin rate begins to rise about six months before the halving, and during the halving itself it does not change much. On average for past periods, the upper peak of the rate can be observed more than a year after the halving. It is almost impossible to predict future periods because, in addition to the reduction in emissions, many other factors influence the exchange rate. For example, major hacks or bankruptcies of crypto companies, the situation on the stock market, manipulation of “whales,” or changes in legislative regulation. --------------------------------------------- Table - Past and future Bitcoin halvings: --------------------------------------------- Date: Number of blocks: Award: 0 - 03-01-2009 - 0 block - 50 BTC 1 - 28-11-2012 - 210000 block - 25 BTC 2 - 09-07-2016 - 420000 block - 12.5 BTC 3 - 11-05-2020 - 630000 block - 6.25 BTC 4 - 20-04-2024 - 840000 block - 3.125 BTC 5 - 24-03-2028 - 1050000 block - 1.5625 BTC 6 - 26-02-2032 - 1260000 block - 0.78125 BTC 7 - 30-01-2036 - 1470000 block - 0.390625 BTC 8 - 03-01-2040 - 1680000 block - 0.1953125 BTC 9 - 07-12-2043 - 1890000 block - 0.09765625 BTC 10 - 10-11-2047 - 2100000 block - 0.04882813 BTC 11 - 14-10-2051 - 2310000 block - 0.02441406 BTC 12 - 17-09-2055 - 2520000 block - 0.01220703 BTC 13 - 21-08-2059 - 2730000 block - 0.00610352 BTC 14 - 25-07-2063 - 2940000 block - 0.00305176 BTC 15 - 28-06-2067 - 3150000 block - 0.00152588 BTC 16 - 01-06-2071 - 3360000 block - 0.00076294 BTC 17 - 05-05-2075 - 3570000 block - 0.00038147 BTC 18 - 08-04-2079 - 3780000 block - 0.00019073 BTC 19 - 12-03-2083 - 3990000 block - 0.00009537 BTC 20 - 13-02-2087 - 4200000 block - 0.00004768 BTC 21 - 17-01-2091 - 4410000 block - 0.00002384 BTC 22 - 21-12-2094 - 4620000 block - 0.00001192 BTC 23 - 24-11-2098 - 4830000 block - 0.00000596 BTC 24 - 29-10-2102 - 5040000 block - 0.00000298 BTC 25 - 02-10-2106 - 5250000 block - 0.00000149 BTC 26 - 05-09-2110 - 5460000 block - 0.00000075 BTC 27 - 09-08-2114 - 5670000 block - 0.00000037 BTC 28 - 13-07-2118 - 5880000 block - 0.00000019 BTC 29 - 16-06-2122 - 6090000 block - 0.00000009 BTC 30 - 20-05-2126 - 6300000 block - 0.00000005 BTC 31 - 23-04-2130 - 6510000 block - 0.00000002 BTC 32 - 27-03-2134 - 6720000 block - 0.00000001 BTC
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INTELLECT_city tarafından
Momentum Matrix (BTC-COIN)The Momentum Matrix (BTC-COIN) indicator analyzes the momentum relationship between Coinbase stock ( NASDAQ:COIN ) and Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). By combining RSI, correlation, and dominance metrics, it identifies bullish and bearish macro trends to align trades with market momentum. How It Works Price Inputs: Pulls weekly price data for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and NASDAQ:COIN for macro analysis. Metrics Calculated: • RSI Divergence: Measures momentum differences between CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $COIN. • Price Ratio: Tracks the $COIN/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC relationship relative to its long-term average (SMA). • Correlation: Analyzes price co-movement between CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $COIN. • Dominance Impact: Incorporates CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance for broader crypto trends. Composite Momentum Score: Combines these metrics into a smoothed macro momentum value. Thresholds for Trend Detection: Upper and lower thresholds dynamically adapt to market conditions. Signals and Visualization: • Buy Signal: Momentum exceeds the upper threshold, indicating bullish trends. • Sell Signal: Momentum falls below the lower threshold, indicating bearish trends. • Background Colors: Green (bullish), Red (bearish). Strengths Integrates multiple metrics for robust macro analysis. Dynamic thresholds adapt to market conditions. Effective for identifying macro momentum shifts. Limitations Lag in high volatility due to smoothing. Less effective in choppy, sideways markets. Assumes CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance drives NASDAQ:COIN momentum, which may not always hold true. Improvements Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Add daily or monthly data for precision. Volume Filters: Include volume thresholds for signal validation. Additional Metrics: Consider MACD or Stochastics for further confirmation. Complementary Tools Volume Indicators: OBV or cumulative delta for confirmation. Trend-Following Systems: Pair with moving averages for timing. Market Breadth Metrics: Combine with CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance trends for context.
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SHA256orBUST tarafından
MACRO BTC HEALTH 1WThis indicator is used as MACRO tool to view the outlook of BTC on the 1W time frame to illustrate (BLX chart works best) BTC's price action and where it's at, it helps provide an indication of the crypto market's current health as BTC health is an overall indicator in the crypto market as a whole. This indicator uses historic data to fit between 4 bands fitted to MA, top(red) when BTC is overheated, 2 bands in middle(yellow) when BTC in fair value, and bottom band(blue) when BTC is oversold I combined MA that fit BTC 1W chart precisely to show when BTC looks overheated vs over sold using historic data. When BTC is in the top bands historically overheated. When BTC is in the middle it is fighting at fair value with the 2 yellow lines in the middle, bullish when above yellow lines, as they act as support, and in downtrend when price is below yellow lines and can act as resistance. Historically the 200W MA is where BTC finds support at an oversold level at the bottom blue line. When two yellow lines in middle cross downwards historically results in a downtrend to the bottom oversold line (blue). and when two yellow lines cross up and BTC holds them as support bullish trend continues until it is overheated passed the red band. This indicator is not meant for day trading but is meant to illustrate a MACRO view of BTC current situation from a zoomed-out view, and to help illustrate to investors where things are at so they leave emotions out of the market and can make decisions based on BTC current levels using Historic data. Pro tip use bottom line(blue, oversold) as an opportunity to buy in and top line red(overheated) to scale out of positions, LONG TERM CRYPTO IS BULLISH BUT GREAT TO GET AN OUTLOOK OF THE CURRENT STATE OF BTC, WHILE ALSO USING MACRO ECONOMIC SENTIMENT IRL, FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC DECISIONS, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS/ENVIRONMENT, ECONOMIC HEALTH ,FED DECISIONS, INTEREST RATE ENVIRONMENT AND OF COURSE LOOKING AT CRYPTO ADOPTION. Hope this indicator helps leave emotions out of the market by providing a good guide of BTC sentiment, and its current health to make decisions accordingly. NFA but good to envision the MACRO BTC HEALTH at the 1W timeframe.
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MasterTonyTA tarafından
Rolling Correlation BTC vs Hedge AssetsRolling Correlation BTC vs Hedge Assets Overview This indicator calculates and plots the rolling correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) returns and several key hedge assets: • XAUUSD (Gold) • EURUSD (proxy for DXY, U.S. Dollar Index) • VIX (Volatility Index) • TLT (20y U.S. Treasury Bonds ETF) By monitoring these dynamic correlations, traders can identify whether BTC is moving in sync with risk assets or decoupling as a hedge, and adjust their trading strategy accordingly. How it works 1. Computes returns for BTC and each asset using percentage change. 2. Uses the rolling correlation function (ta.correlation) over a configurable window length (default = 12 bars). 3. Plots each correlation as a separate colored line (Gold = Yellow, EURUSD = Blue, VIX = Red, TLT = Green). 4. Adds threshold levels at +0.3 and -0.3 to help classify correlation regimes. How to use it • High positive correlation (> +0.3): BTC is moving together with the asset (risk-on behavior). • Near zero (-0.3 to +0.3): BTC is showing little to no correlation — neutral/independent moves. • Negative correlation (< -0.3): BTC is moving in the opposite direction — potential hedge opportunity. Practical strategies: • Watch BTC vs VIX: a spike in volatility (VIX ↑) usually coincides with BTC selling pressure. • Track BTC vs EURUSD: stronger USD often puts downside pressure on BTC. • Observe BTC vs Gold: during “flight to safety” events, gold rises while BTC weakens. • Monitor BTC vs TLT: rising yields (falling TLT) often align with BTC weakness. Inputs • Window Length (bars): Number of bars used to calculate rolling correlations (default = 12). • Comparison Timeframe: Default = 5m. Can be changed to align with your intraday or swing trading style. Notes • Works best on intraday charts (1m, 5m, 15m) for scalping and short-term setups. • Use correlations as context, not standalone signals — combine with volume, VWAP, and price action. • Correlations are dynamic; they can switch regimes quickly during macro events (CPI, NFP, FOMC). This tool is designed for traders who want to manage risk exposure by monitoring whether BTC is behaving as a risk-on asset or hedge, and to exploit opportunities during decoupling phases.
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leobuezo tarafından
Cash And Carry Arbitrage BTC Compare Month 6 by SeoNo1Detailed Explanation of the BTC Cash and Carry Arbitrage Script Script Title: BTC Cash And Carry Arbitrage Month 6 by SeoNo1 Short Title: BTC C&C ABT Month 6 Version: Pine Script v5 Overlay: True (The indicators are plotted directly on the price chart) Purpose of the Script This script is designed to help traders analyze and track arbitrage opportunities between the spot market and futures market for Bitcoin (BTC). Specifically, it calculates the spread and Annual Percentage Yield (APY) from a cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy until a specific expiry date (in this case, June 27, 2025). The strategy helps identify profitable opportunities when the futures price of BTC is higher than the spot price. Traders can then buy BTC in the spot market and short BTC futures contracts to lock in a risk-free profit. 1. Input Settings Spot Symbol: The real-time BTC spot price from Binance (BTCUSDT). Futures Symbol: The BTC futures contract that expires in June 2025 (BTCUSDM2025). Expiry Date: The expiration date of the futures contract, set to June 27, 2025. These inputs allow users to adjust the symbols or expiry date according to their trading needs. 2. Price Data Retrieval Spot Price: Fetches the latest closing price of BTC from the spot market. Futures Price: Fetches the latest closing price of BTC futures. Spread: The difference between the futures price and the spot price (futures_price - spot_price). The spread indicates how much higher (or lower) the futures price is compared to the spot market. 3. Time to Maturity (TTM) and Annual Percentage Yield (APY) Calculation Current Date: Gets the current timestamp. Time to Maturity (TTM): The number of days left until the futures contract expires. APY Calculation: Formula: APY = ( Spread / Spot Price ) x ( 365 / TTM Days ) x 100 This represents the annualized return from holding a cash-and-carry arbitrage position if the trader buys BTC at the spot price and sells BTC futures. 4. Display Information Table on the Chart A table is created on the chart's top-right corner showing the following data: Metric: Labels such as Spread and APY Value: Displays the calculated spread and APY The table automatically updates at the latest bar to display the most recent data. 5. Alert Condition This sets an alert condition that triggers every time the script runs. In practice, users can modify this alert to trigger based on specific conditions (e.g., APY exceeds a threshold). 6. Plotting the APY and Spread APY Plot: Displays the annualized yield as a blue line on the chart. Spread Plot: Visualizes the futures-spot spread as a red line. This helps traders quickly identify arbitrage opportunities when the spread or APY reaches desirable levels. How to Use the Script Monitor Arbitrage Opportunities: A positive spread indicates a potential cash-and-carry arbitrage opportunity. The larger the APY, the more profitable the arbitrage opportunity could be. Timing Trades: Execute a buy on the BTC spot market and simultaneously sell BTC futures when the APY is attractive. Close both positions upon futures contract expiry to realize profits. Risk Management: Ensure you have sufficient margin to hold both positions until expiry. Monitor funding rates and volatility, which could affect returns. Conclusion This script is an essential tool for traders looking to exploit price discrepancies between the BTC spot market and futures market through a cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy. It provides real-time data on spreads, annualized returns (APY), and visual alerts, helping traders make informed decisions and maximize their profit potential.
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seono1 tarafından