Şimdi başlat

"微软股息支付率2025最新数据" için komut dosyalarını ara

Stablecoin Total Index V4**Stablecoin Total Index V4 - Full History + Full Coverage** This indicator provides the **best of both worlds**: long historical data AND complete stablecoin coverage. **How it works:** - **Before May 2025:** Manual sum of 35 major stablecoins (~90% coverage) - **After May 2025:** Switches to STABLE.C index (100 stablecoins, 100% coverage) **Why this approach?** TradingView's official STABLE.C index was only created on May 19, 2025. This indicator gives you **years of historical data** going back to 2017-2018, then seamlessly transitions to the official index for complete accuracy. **Note:** There is a ~$30B jump at the May 2025 transition point. This is NOT an error - it represents the ~65 smaller stablecoins that are included in STABLE.C but don't have individual CRYPTOCAP symbols for manual tracking. **Pre-May 2025 Coverage (35 stablecoins):** - **Tier 1:** USDT, USDC - **Tier 2:** DAI, USDe, USDS, FDUSD - **Tier 3:** TUSD, USDP, GUSD, FRAX, PYUSD, LUSD, BUSD - **Tier 4 (2024-2025):** USD1, RLUSD, GHO, crvUSD, sUSDe, USDY, USDM - **Tier 5 (Euro):** EURC, EURT, EURS - **Tier 6 (DeFi):** USDD, MIM, DOLA, OUSD, alUSD, sUSD, cUSD - **Tier 7:** HUSD, USDX, USTC - **Gold-Backed:** PAXG, XAUT **Post-May 2025:** Full STABLE.C (100 stablecoins) **Features:** - Green/Red color based on direction - 20-period SMA - Reference lines at $100B, $200B, $300B **Best used on Daily timeframe or higher.**
Pine Script® göstergesi
amiramnoam tarafından
Stablecoin Total Index V3**Stablecoin Total Index V4 - Full History + Full Coverage** This indicator provides the **best of both worlds**: long historical data AND complete stablecoin coverage. **How it works:** - **Before May 2025:** Manual sum of 35 major stablecoins (~90% coverage) - **After May 2025:** Switches to STABLE.C index (100 stablecoins, 100% coverage) **Why this approach?** TradingView's official STABLE.C index was only created on May 19, 2025. This indicator gives you **years of historical data** going back to 2017-2018, then seamlessly transitions to the official index for complete accuracy. **Note:** There is a ~$30B jump at the May 2025 transition point. This is NOT an error - it represents the ~65 smaller stablecoins that are included in STABLE.C but don't have individual CRYPTOCAP symbols for manual tracking. **Pre-May 2025 Coverage (35 stablecoins):** - **Tier 1:** USDT, USDC - **Tier 2:** DAI, USDe, USDS, FDUSD - **Tier 3:** TUSD, USDP, GUSD, FRAX, PYUSD, LUSD, BUSD - **Tier 4 (2024-2025):** USD1, RLUSD, GHO, crvUSD, sUSDe, USDY, USDM - **Tier 5 (Euro):** EURC, EURT, EURS - **Tier 6 (DeFi):** USDD, MIM, DOLA, OUSD, alUSD, sUSD, cUSD - **Tier 7:** HUSD, USDX, USTC - **Gold-Backed:** PAXG, XAUT **Post-May 2025:** Full STABLE.C (100 stablecoins) **Features:** - Green/Red color based on direction - 20-period SMA - Reference lines at $100B, $200B, $300B **Best used on Daily timeframe or higher.**
Pine Script® göstergesi
amiramnoam tarafından
SPX Weekly Expected Moves# SPX Weekly Expected Moves Indicator A professional Pine Script indicator for TradingView that displays weekly expected move levels for SPX based on real options data, with integrated Fibonacci retracement analysis and intelligent alerting system. ## Overview This indicator helps options and equity traders visualize weekly expected move ranges for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) by plotting historical and current week expected move boundaries derived from weekly options pricing. Unlike theoretical volatility calculations, this indicator uses actual market-based expected move data that you provide from options platforms. ## Key Features ### 📈 **Expected Move Visualization** - **Historical Lines**: Display past weeks' expected moves with configurable history (10, 26, or 52 weeks) - **Current Week Focus**: Highlighted current week with extended lines to present time - **Friday Close Reference**: Orange baseline showing the previous Friday's close price - **Timeframe Independent**: Works consistently across all chart timeframes (1m to 1D) ### 🎯 **Fibonacci Integration** - **Five Fibonacci Levels**: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 76.4% between Friday close and expected move boundaries - **Color-Coded Levels**: - Red: 23.6% & 76.4% (outer levels) - Blue: 38.2% & 61.8% (golden ratio levels) - Black: 50% (midpoint - most critical level) - **Current Week Only**: Fibonacci levels shown only for active trading week to reduce clutter ### 📊 **Real-Time Information Table** - **Current SPX Price**: Live market price - **Expected Move**: ±EM value for current week - **Previous Close**: Friday close price (baseline for calculations) - **100% EM Levels**: Exact upper and lower boundary prices - **Current Location**: Real-time position within the EM structure (e.g., "Above 38.2% Fib (upper zone)") ### 🚨 **Intelligent Alert System** - **Zone-Aware Alerts**: Separate alerts for upper and lower zones - **Key Level Breaches**: Alerts for 23.6% and 76.4% Fibonacci level crossings - **Bar Close Based**: Alerts trigger on confirmed bar closes, not tick-by-tick - **Customizable**: Enable/disable alerts through settings ## How It Works ### Data Input Method The indicator uses a **manual data entry approach** where you input actual expected move values obtained from options platforms: ```pinescript // Add entries using the options expiration Friday date map.put(expected_moves, 20250613, 91.244) // Week ending June 13, 2025 map.put(expected_moves, 20250620, 95.150) // Week ending June 20, 2025 ``` ### Weekly Structure - **Monday 9:30 AM ET**: Week begins - **Friday 4:00 PM ET**: Week ends - **Lines Extend**: From Monday open to Friday close (historical) or current time + 5 bars (current week) - **Timezone Handling**: Uses "America/New_York" for proper DST handling ### Calculation Logic 1. **Base Price**: Previous Friday's SPX close price 2. **Expected Move**: Market-derived ±EM value from weekly options 3. **Upper Boundary**: Friday Close + Expected Move 4. **Lower Boundary**: Friday Close - Expected Move 5. **Fibonacci Levels**: Proportional levels between Friday close and EM boundaries ## Setup Instructions ### 1. Data Collection Obtain weekly expected move values from options platforms such as: - **ThinkOrSwim**: Use thinkBack feature to look up weekly expected moves - **Tastyworks**: Check weekly options expected move data - **CBOE**: Reference SPX weekly options data - **Manual Calculation**: (ATM Call Premium + ATM Put Premium) × 0.85 ### 2. Data Entry After each Friday close, update the indicator with the next week's expected move: ```pinescript // Example: On Friday June 7, 2025, add data for week ending June 13 map.put(expected_moves, 20250613, 91.244) // Actual EM value from your platform ``` ### 3. Configuration Customize the indicator through the settings panel: #### Visual Settings - **Show Current Week EM**: Toggle current week display - **Show Past Weeks**: Toggle historical weeks display - **Max Weeks History**: Choose 10, 26, or 52 weeks of history - **Show Fibonacci Levels**: Toggle Fibonacci retracement levels - **Label Controls**: Customize which labels to display #### Colors - **Current Week EM**: Default yellow for active week - **Past Weeks EM**: Default gray for historical weeks - **Friday Close**: Default orange for baseline - **Fibonacci Levels**: Customizable colors for each level type #### Alerts - **Enable EM Breach Alerts**: Master toggle for all alerts - **Specific Alerts**: Four alert types for Fibonacci level breaches ## Trading Applications ### Options Trading - **Straddle/Strangle Positioning**: Visualize breakeven levels for neutral strategies - **Directional Plays**: Assess probability of reaching target levels - **Earnings Plays**: Compare actual vs. expected move outcomes ### Equity Trading - **Support/Resistance**: Use EM boundaries and Fibonacci levels as key levels - **Breakout Trading**: Monitor for moves beyond expected ranges - **Mean Reversion**: Look for reversals at extreme Fibonacci levels ### Risk Management - **Position Sizing**: Gauge likely price ranges for the week - **Stop Placement**: Use Fibonacci levels for logical stop locations - **Profit Targets**: Set targets based on EM structure probabilities ## Technical Implementation ### Performance Features - **Memory Managed**: Configurable history limits prevent memory issues - **Timeframe Independent**: Uses timestamp-based calculations for consistency - **Object Management**: Automatic cleanup of drawing objects prevents duplicates - **Error Handling**: Robust bounds checking and NA value handling ### Pine Script Best Practices - **v6 Compliance**: Uses latest Pine Script version features - **User Defined Types**: Structured data management with WeeklyEM type - **Efficient Drawing**: Smart line/label creation and deletion - **Professional Standards**: Clean code organization and comprehensive documentation ## Customization Guide ### Adding New Weeks ```pinescript // Add after market close each Friday map.put(expected_moves, YYYYMMDD, EM_VALUE) ``` ### Color Schemes Customize colors for different trading styles: - **Dark Theme**: Use bright colors for visibility - **Light Theme**: Use contrasting dark colors - **Minimalist**: Use single color with transparency ### Label Management Control label density: - **Show Current Week Labels Only**: Reduce clutter for active trading - **Show All Labels**: Full information for analysis - **Selective Display**: Choose specific label types ## Troubleshooting ### Common Issues 1. **No Lines Appearing**: Check that expected move data is entered for current/recent weeks 2. **Wrong Time Display**: Ensure "America/New_York" timezone is properly handled 3. **Duplicate Lines**: Restart indicator if drawing objects appear duplicated 4. **Missing Fibonacci Levels**: Verify "Show Fibonacci Levels" is enabled ### Data Validation - **Expected Move Format**: Use positive numbers (e.g., 91.244, not ±91.244) - **Date Format**: Use YYYYMMDD format (e.g., 20250613) - **Reasonable Values**: Verify EM values are realistic (typically 50-200 for SPX) ## Version History ### Current Version - **Pine Script v6**: Latest version compatibility - **Fibonacci Integration**: Five-level retracement analysis - **Zone-Aware Alerts**: Upper/lower zone differentiation - **Dynamic Line Management**: Smart current week extension - **Professional UI**: Comprehensive information table ### Future Enhancements - **Multiple Symbols**: Extend beyond SPX to other indices - **Automated Data**: Integration with options data APIs - **Statistical Analysis**: Success rate tracking for EM predictions - **Additional Levels**: Custom percentage levels beyond Fibonacci ## License & Usage This indicator is designed for educational and trading purposes. Users are responsible for: - **Data Accuracy**: Ensuring correct expected move values - **Risk Management**: Proper position sizing and risk controls - **Market Understanding**: Comprehending options-based expected move concepts ## Support For questions, issues, or feature requests related to this indicator, please refer to the code comments and documentation within the Pine Script file. --- **Disclaimer**: This indicator is for informational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Pine Script® göstergesi
MovingIndex tarafından
6
H2-25 cuts (bp)This custom TradingView indicator tracks and visualizes the implied pricing of Federal Reserve rate cuts in the market, specifically for the second half of 2025. It does so by comparing the price differences between two specific Fed funds futures contracts: one for June 2025 and one for December 2025. These contracts are traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and are a widely-used market gauge of the expected path of U.S. interest rates. The indicator calculates the difference between the implied rates for June and December 2025, and then multiplies the result by 100 to express it in basis points (bps). Each 0.01 change in the spread corresponds to a 1-basis point change in expectations for future rate cuts. A positive value indicates that the market is pricing in a higher likelihood of one or more rate cuts in 2025, while a negative value suggests that the market expects the Fed to hold rates steady or even raise them. The plot represents the difference in implied rate cuts (in basis points) between the two contracts: June 2025 (ZQM2025): A contract representing the implied Fed funds rate for June 2025. December 2025 (ZQZ2025): A contract representing the implied Fed funds rate for December 2025.
Pine Script® göstergesi
HK_100kCap tarafından
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression ModelThis is the main version of the script. Click here for the Oscillator part of the script. 💡Why this model was created: One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model). This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here . 📉The theory of diminishing returns: This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles. To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/ 🔧Creation of the model: For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section. This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function: ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d. In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows: Top regression line (x, y) values: 113, 18.6 240, 1004 451, 19128 655, 65502 Bottom regression line (x, y) values: 103, 2.5 267, 211 471, 3193 676, 16255 The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found: Top regression line parameter values: a: 0.000202798 b: 0.0872922 c: -30.88805 d: 1827.14113 Bottom regression line parameter values: a: 0.000138314 b: -0.0768236 c: 13.90555 d: -765.8892 📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator: This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) . The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula: normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line) This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines. The Oscillator version can be found here. 🔍Interpretation of the Model: In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom. The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom. Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below. 🔮Future Predictions: Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom: In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top. Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026. Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026. For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow: And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
Pine Script® göstergesi
Cryptonerds tarafından
1
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression OscillatorThis is the oscillator version of the script. Click here for the other part of the script. 💡Why this model was created: One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model). This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here . 📉The theory of diminishing returns: This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles. To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/ 🔧Creation of the model: For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section. This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function: ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d. In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows: Top regression line (x, y) values: 113, 18.6 240, 1004 451, 19128 655, 65502 Bottom regression line (x, y) values: 103, 2.5 267, 211 471, 3193 676, 16255 The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found: Top regression line parameter values: a: 0.000202798 b: 0.0872922 c: -30.88805 d: 1827.14113 Bottom regression line parameter values: a: 0.000138314 b: -0.0768236 c: 13.90555 d: -765.8892 📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator: This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) . The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula: normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line) This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines. 🔍Interpretation of the Model: In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom. The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom. Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below. 🔮Future Predictions: Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom: In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top. Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026. Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026. For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow: And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
Pine Script® göstergesi
Cryptonerds tarafından
WASDE Dates V2WASDE Dates V2 – USDA Release Calendar with Alerts, Countdown & Event Markers By cot-trader.com WASDE Dates V2 is a complete and reliable visualization tool for all scheduled WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) releases for 2025 and 2026. The USDA’s WASDE report is one of the most market-moving fundamental catalysts in agricultural futures—affecting Corn (ZC), Wheat (ZW), Soybeans (ZS), Soymeal (ZM), Soybean Oil (ZL), and many related CFD products. This script gives traders a precise timing layer directly inside their TradingView charts. 🔍 What this script does WASDE Dates V2 automatically: Marks each WASDE release day with a vertical line and label. Shows an automated countdown to the next WASDE release: In days (>24h) In hours & minutes (<24h) Displays an optional table of upcoming WASDE dates for quick reference. Provides two alert conditions: WASDE Day Alert – triggers exactly on the event WASDE 24h Reminder – pre-alert when less than 24 hours remain Handles both 2025 and 2026 confirmed dates. Works on any symbol and timeframe. 📌 Why WASDE matters The WASDE report updates global supply and demand estimates for: Corn Soybeans Wheat Other major agricultural commodities Changes in yield, acres, production, imports/exports, and ending stocks can cause immediate and significant volatility. Many traders combine WASDE awareness with seasonality, COT positioning, volatility filters, or fundamental models. This script ensures you never miss the timing of these key releases. ⚙️ How the script works The script stores official USDA WASDE release dates for 2025 and 2026 in two dedicated arrays. On every bar, it compares the bar’s timestamp with known WASDE timestamps to detect an event day. When an event occurs: A red “WASDE” label is plotted above the candle A dotted vertical line is drawn through the bar It finds the next upcoming WASDE by scanning forward through both arrays. A live-updating countdown label is displayed, showing days or hours/minutes until release. If the event is less than 24 hours away: A yellow “WASDE soon” warning appears near price The 24h alert condition becomes active An optional table lists upcoming events for 2025 & 2026. This script does not generate trading signals. It provides a time-based event layer designed to complement any discretionary or algorithmic trading approach. 🧭 How to use Add the script to your chart. Enable alerts for: “WASDE Day Alert” “WASDE 24h Reminder” Follow the countdown to prepare for upcoming volatility. Use together with other agricultural tools such as: Seasonality indicators COT (Commitment of Traders) analysis Trend / VWAP / Volume signals Pre- and post-WASDE trading strategies Works on all chart types, all symbols, and all timeframes. 📅 Included WASDE Dates (Confirmed) 2025: Jan 12, Feb 11, Mar 11, Apr 10, May 12, Jun 12, Jul 11, Aug 12, Sep 12, Oct 9, Nov 10, Dec 9 2026: Jan 12, Feb 10, Mar 10, Apr 9, May 12, Jun 11, Jul 10, Aug 12, Sep 11, Oct 9, Nov 10, Dec 10 (All dates based on USDA’s official 12:00pm ET schedule.) 💡 What makes this script original Fully updated 2025 + 2026 calendar Uses a robust time-comparison method for accurate marking Unique dual alert system (event + 24h pre-alert) Clean, readable layout with countdown + upcoming dates table Tailored specifically for grain & agricultural traders Built entirely in Pine Script v6 with careful attention to performance
Pine Script® göstergesi
DerAndi72 tarafından
Weekly VwapsThe Weekly Vwaps indicator lets you plot weekly Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) lines for up to six months of your choosing, with years ranging from 2020 to 2050. It’s a focused tool pulled straight from the weekly VWAP section of the Advanced VWAP Calendar indicator, keeping all the same controls and look but expanded to handle more months. You can use it alongside the original indicator if you need extra weekly VWAPs (up to 30 lines total) or run it on its own for a clean, dedicated setup. How It Works: Six Month Groups: Pick any six months (e.g., Jan 2020, Sep 2025, or Jul 2040) and enable up to five weekly VWAPs per month (W1–W5), starting from Monday midnight. Default Setup: Loads with September 2025 VWAPs turned on, with other months (August–April 2025) off but ready to enable. All default to 2025. Customization: Toggle all weeks in a month or pick specific ones. Adjust label sizes (tiny to huge) and line widths (1–5). Colors are teal, fuchsia, red, green, and yellow/orange for weeks 1–5, with clear labels like “W1 Sep 2025 123.45”. Label Control: A “Show All Labels” switch lets you hide labels to keep your chart tidy. Intraday Only: Works on intraday timeframes (e.g., 5-minute, 1-hour) for accurate VWAPs. Why Use It: Add to Advanced VWAP Calendar: If the original’s two-month limit isn’t enough, this adds six more months of weekly VWAPs for deeper analysis. Standalone Option: Perfect if you only want weekly VWAPs without other features, with flexibility to pick any months and years. User-Friendly: Ready to go with September 2025 enabled, easy to tweak for past or future data. Get Started: Add it to your TradingView chart, and September 2025 VWAPs will show up instantly. Adjust months, years, or toggles in the settings to focus on what you need. Test it on intraday charts and use the label toggle to manage clutter. Great for traders wanting precise, customizable weekly VWAPs!
Pine Script® göstergesi
fragilety tarafından
v2.0—Tristan's Multi-Indicator Reversal Strategy🎯 Multi-Indicator Reversal Strategy - Optimized for High Win Rates A powerful confluence-based strategy that combines RSI, MACD, Williams %R, Bollinger Bands, and Volume analysis to identify high-probability reversal points . Designed to let winners run with no stop loss or take profit - positions close only when opposite signals occur. Also, the 3 hour timeframe works VERY well—just a lot less trades. 📈 Proven Performance This strategy has been backtested and optimized on multiple blue-chip stocks with 80-90%+ win rates on 1-hour timeframes from Aug 2025 through Oct 2025: ✅ V (Visa) - Payment processor ✅ MSFT (Microsoft) - Large-cap tech ✅ WMT (Walmart) - Retail leader ✅ IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) - Small-cap index ✅ NOW (ServiceNow) - Enterprise software ✅ WM (Waste Management) - Industrial services These stocks tend to mean-revert at extremes, making them ideal candidates for this reversal-based approach. I only list these as a way to show you the performance of the script. These values and stock choices may change over time as the market shifts. Keep testing! 🔑 How to Use This Strategy Successfully Step 1: Apply to Chart Open your desired stock (V, MSFT, WMT, IWM, NOW, WM recommended) Set timeframe to 1 Hour Apply this strategy Check that the Williams %R is set to -20 and -80, and "Flip All Signals" is OFF (can flip this for some stocks to perform better.) Step 2: Understand the Signals 🟢 Green Triangle (BUY) Below Candle: Multiple indicators (RSI, Williams %R, MACD, Bollinger Bands) show oversold conditions Enter LONG position Strategy will pyramid up to 10 entries if more buy signals occur Hold until red triangle appears 🔴 Red Triangle (SELL) Above Candle: Multiple indicators show overbought conditions Enter SHORT position (or close existing long) Strategy will pyramid up to 10 entries if more sell signals occur Hold until green triangle appears 🟣 Purple Labels (EXIT): Shows when positions close Displays count if multiple entries were pyramided (e.g., "Exit Long x5") Step 3: Let the Strategy Work Key Success Principles: ✅ Be Patient - Signals don't occur every day, wait for quality setups ✅ Trust the Process - Don't manually close positions, let opposite signals exit ✅ Watch Pyramiding - The strategy can add up to 10 positions in the same direction ✅ No Stop Loss - Positions ride through drawdowns until reversal confirmed ✅ Session Filter - Only trades during NY session (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET) ⚙️ Winning Settings (Already Set as Defaults) INDICATOR SETTINGS: - RSI Length: 14 - RSI Overbought: 70 - RSI Oversold: 30 - MACD: 12, 26, 9 (standard) - Williams %R Length: 14 - Williams %R Overbought: -20 ⭐ (check this! And adjust to your liking) - Williams %R Oversold: -80 ⭐ (check this! And adjust to your liking) - Bollinger Bands: 20, 2.0 - Volume MA: 20 periods - Volume Multiplier: 1.5x SIGNAL REQUIREMENTS: - Min Indicators Aligned: 2 - Require Divergence: OFF - Require Volume Spike: OFF - Require Reversal Candle: OFF - Flip All Signals: OFF ⭐ RISK MANAGEMENT: - Use Stop Loss: OFF ⭐⭐⭐ - Use Take Profit: OFF ⭐⭐⭐ - Allow Pyramiding: ON ⭐⭐⭐ - Max Pyramid Entries: 10 ⭐⭐⭐ SESSION FILTER: - Trade Only NY Session: ON - NY Session: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET **⭐ = Critical settings for success** ## 🎓 Strategy Logic Explained ### **How It Works:** 1. **Multi-Indicator Confluence**: Waits for at least 2 out of 4 technical indicators to align before generating signals 2. **Oversold = Buy**: When RSI < 30, Williams %R < -80, price below lower Bollinger Band, and/or MACD turning bullish → BUY signal 3. **Overbought = Sell**: When RSI > 70, Williams %R > -20, price above upper Bollinger Band, and/or MACD turning bearish → SELL signal 4. **Pyramiding Power**: As trend continues and more signals fire in the same direction, adds up to 10 positions to maximize gains 5. **Exit Only on Reversal**: No arbitrary stops or targets - only exits when opposite signal confirms trend change 6. **Session Filter**: Only trades during liquid NY session hours to avoid overnight gaps and low-volume periods ### **Why No Stop Loss Works:** Traditional reversal strategies fail because they: - Get stopped out too early during normal volatility - Miss the actual reversal that happens later - Cut winners short with tight take profits This strategy succeeds because it: - ✅ Rides through temporary noise - ✅ Captures full reversal moves - ✅ Uses multiple indicators for confirmation - ✅ Pyramids into winning positions - ✅ Only exits when technical picture completely reverses --- ## 📊 Understanding the Display **Live Indicator Counter (Top Corner / end of current candles):** Bull: 2/4 Bear: 0/4 (STANDARD) Shows how many indicators currently align bullish/bearish "STANDARD" = normal reversal mode (buy oversold, sell overbought) "FLIPPED" = momentum mode if you toggle that setting Visual Indicators: 🔵 Blue background = NY session active (trading window) 🟡 Yellow candle tint = Volume spike detected 💎 Aqua diamond = Bullish divergence (price vs RSI) 💎 Fuchsia diamond = Bearish divergence ⚡ Advanced Tips Optimizing for Different Stocks: If Win Rate is Low (<50%): Try toggling "Flip All Signals" to ON (switches to momentum mode) Increase "Min Indicators Aligned" to 3 or 4 Turn ON "Require Divergence" Test on different timeframe (4-hour or daily) If Too Few Signals: Decrease "Min Indicators Aligned" to 2 Turn OFF all requirement filters Widen Williams %R bands to -15 and -85 If Too Many False Signals: Increase "Min Indicators Aligned" to 3 or 4 Turn ON "Require Divergence" Turn ON "Require Volume Spike" Reduce Max Pyramid Entries to 5 Stock Selection Guidelines: Best Suited For: Large-cap stable stocks (V, MSFT, WMT) ETFs (IWM, SPY, QQQ) Stocks with clear support/resistance Mean-reverting instruments Avoid: Ultra low-volume penny stocks Extremely volatile crypto (try traditional settings first) Stocks in strong one-directional trends lasting months 🔄 The "Flip All Signals" Feature If backtesting shows poor results on a particular stock, try toggling "Flip All Signals" to ON: STANDARD Mode (OFF): Buy when oversold (reversal strategy) Sell when overbought May work best for: V, MSFT, WMT, IWM, NOW, WM FLIPPED Mode (ON): Buy when overbought (momentum strategy) Sell when oversold May work best for: Strong trending stocks, momentum plays, crypto Test both modes on your stock to see which performs better! 📱 Alert Setup Create alerts to notify you of signals: 📊 Performance Expectations With optimized settings on recommended stocks: Typical results we are looking for: Win Rate: 70-90% Average Winner: 3-5% Average Loser: 1-3% Signals Per Week: 1-3 on 1-hour timeframe Hold Time: Several hours to days Remember: Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management.
Pine Script® stratejisi
OhRayOhRay tarafından
4
Traders Reality Rate Spike Monitor 0.1 betaTraders Reality Rate Spike Monitor ## **Early Warning System for Interest Rate-Driven Market Crashes** Based on critical market analysis revealing the dangerous correlation between interest rate spikes and major market selloffs, this indicator provides **three-tier alerts** for US 10-Year Treasury yield acceleration. ### **📊 Key Market Intelligence:** **Historical Precedent:** The 2018 market crash occurred when unrealized bank losses hit $256 billion with interest rates at just 2.5%. **Current unrealized losses have reached $560 billion** - more than double the 2018 levels - while rates sit at 4.5%. **Critical Vulnerabilities:** - **$559 billion in tech sector debt** maturing through 2025 - **65% of investment-grade debt** rated BBB (vulnerable to adverse conditions) - **$9.5 trillion in total debt** requiring refinancing - Every 1% rate increase costs the economy **$360 billion annually** ### **🚨 Alert System:** **📊 WATCH (20+ basis points/3 days):** Early positioning signal **⚠️ WARNING (30+ basis points/3 days):** Prepare for volatility **🚨 CRITICAL (40+ basis points/3 days):** Historical crash threshold ### **💡 Why This Matters:** Interest rate spikes historically trigger major market corrections: - **2018:** 70 basis points spike → 20% S&P 500 crash - **2025:** Similar pattern led to massive selloffs - **Current risk:** 2x higher unrealized losses than 2018 ### **⚡ Features:** ✅ **Zero chart clutter** - invisible until alerts trigger ✅ **Dynamic calculation** - automatically adjusts to current yield levels ✅ **Multi-timeframe compatibility** - works on any chart timeframe ✅ **Professional alerts** - with actual basis point calculations ### **🎯 Use Case:** Perfect for traders and investors who understand that **debt refinancing pressure** and **unrealized bank losses** create systemic risks that manifest through interest rate volatility. When rates spike rapidly, leveraged positions unwind and markets crash. **"Every point costs us $360 billion a year. Think of that."** - This indicator helps you see those critical rate movements before the market does. --- **Disclaimer:** This indicator is for educational purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always manage risk appropriately. --- This description positions your indicator as a **serious professional tool** based on real market analysis rather than just another technical indicator! 🚀
Pine Script® göstergesi
floriankluge tarafından
FNGAdataOpenOpen prices for FNGA ETF (Dec 2018–May 2025) The FNGA ETF (originally launched under the FNGU ticker before being renamed in March 2025) tracked the MicroSectors FANG+™ Index with 3x daily leverage and was designed to give traders magnified exposure to a concentrated basket of large-cap technology and tech-enabled companies. The fund’s price history contains multiple phases due to ticker changes, corporate actions, and its eventual redemption in mid-2025. When looking specifically at Open prices from December 2018 through May 2025, this dataset provides the daily opening values for FNGA across its entire lifecycle. The opening price is the first traded price at the start of each regular U.S. market session (9:30 a.m. Eastern Time). It is an important measure for traders and analysts because it reflects overnight sentiment, pre-market positioning, and often sets the tone for intraday volatility.
Pine Script® kütüphanesi
bsouthhh tarafından
Tuga SupertrendDescription This strategy uses the Supertrend indicator enhanced with commission and slippage filters to capture trends on the daily chart. It’s designed to work on any asset but is especially effective in markets with consistent movements. Use the date inputs to set the backtest period (default: from January 1, 2018, through today, June 30, 2025). The default input values are optimized for the daily chart. For other timeframes, adjust the parameters to suit the asset you’re testing. Release Notes June 30, 2025 • Updated default backtest period to end on June 30, 2025. • Default commission adjusted to 0.1 %. • Slippage set to 3 ticks. • Default slippage set to 3 ticks. • Simplified the strategy name to “Tuga Supertrend”. Default Parameters Parameter Default Value Supertrend Period 10 Multiplier (Factor) 3 Commission 0.1 % Slippage 3 ticks Start Date January 1, 2018 End Date June 30, 2025
Pine Script® stratejisi
pedromto934 tarafından
MEMEC - Meme Coin Market Cap [Da_Prof]For this indicator, the meme coin market cap of the top meme coins are added together to get an estimate of the total meme coin market cap back to the first meme coin, DOGE. Meme.C does this natively on TradingView, but its data only goes back to 19 May 2025. For the indicator, MEME.C supersedes the addition of all the individual meme coins (i.e., from 19 May 2025 to present). The start of MEME.C is labeled on the chart by default, but can be removed by deselecting the label in the settings. After the creation of DOGE, but before data is available for Meme.C, the highest market cap meme coins are added together to estimate the meme coin market cap. The meme coins used by default are DOGE, SHIB, PEPE, BONK, FLOKI, PENGU, TRUMP, SPX6900, FARTCOIN, WIF, M, BRETT, B, MOG, APE, TURBO, DOG, and POPCAT. Users can select if they wish to disregard any or all of these coins. As of the creation of the indicator, DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE have CRYPTOCAP symbols on TradingView. Therefore, the true market cap of these coins is integrated into this indicator. The other meme coin market caps are estimated using price and the circulating supply as of 09/16/2025. I make no claims as to the indicator's exact accuracy. In fact, it isn't exactly accurate since I utilized the circulating supply on the day it was created, so for meme coins that have a changing supply, the market cap will be at least slightly inaccurate. Use this indicator at your own risk. To use the indicator, it is best to plot overlayed on the CRYPTOCAP:DOGE chart. You can decide whether or not to hide the DOGE market cap.
Pine Script® göstergesi
Da_Prof tarafından
5
inyerneck Quiet Bottom Hunter v1.5 — VERIFIED SIGNALSQuiet Bottom Hunter v1.5 — 85%+ Rebound Setup Designed for new traders who want the highest-probability, lowest-stress small-cap entries. Triggers only when ALL of these line up: • –20% to –80% from 90-day high (slow bleed, not crash) • Volume ≤80% of 50-day average (dry, no panic selling left) • RSI(14) ≤35 (deep oversold) • 2+ consecutive green or flat days at the low (quiet bottom confirmed) Fires roughly 1–3 times per month on most small caps (<$2B). Backtested 2024–2025: 85% win rate, avg +32% rebound, max DD ~11%. Tiny green “QB” arrow = entry signal. Use 10–20% position size. Works best on daily charts. Public script — code visible. use on 1 day or 4 hr chart. mid term swings, NOT day trades No spam. No chasing. Just big, calm rebounds.
Pine Script® stratejisi
oogabooger tarafından
Đại Ka 3 ATR BandsĐại Ka 3 ATR Bands – The ultimate single-slot indicator that replaces three separate ATR plots. Designed specifically for ICT/SMC traders in 2025: • Light red band (±0.5 ATR) → fake moves, Judas Swing, Turtle Soup zone • Gray band (±1.0 ATR) → normal price action • Light green band (±2.0 ATR) → real displacement zone → Silver Bullet, SFT, high-probability entries How to use: – Price stuck inside red band → expect reversal/fakeout – Price breaks and closes outside green band + volume spike → enter aggressively in that direction (85%+ win-rate inside Killzones) Default ATR(14), subtle fills for instant visual filtering of real vs fake moves. Perfect companion for Order Blocks, FVG, Breaker Blocks and NY/London Killzones. Free forever – coded with love by Đại Ka & Vietnamese ICT crew.
Pine Script® göstergesi
bra9ont tarafından
Trend-S&R-WiP11-15-2025: This new indicator is my 5/15-Min-ORB-Trend-Finder-WiP indicator simplified to only have: > Market Open > 5-Min & 15-Min High/Low > Support/Resistance lines > Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) > a Trend Line > a Trend table Recommended to be used with my other indicator: Buy-or-Sell-WiP Strategy: > I only trade one ticker, SPX, with ODTE CALL/PUT Credit Spreads > use Break & Retest with 5-Min High/Low or 15-Min High/Low or FVGs > 📈 Bullish Trend Trade: PUT Credit Spread Trend Confirmations: Trend Line is green MACD Histogram is green Price Condition: Nearest resistance 8-10 points above market price > 📉 Bearish Trend Trade: CALL Credit Spread Trend Confirmations: Trend Line is purple MACD Histogram is red Price Condition: Nearest support 8-10 points below market price > Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) - Trade anytime during the day using Break & Retest and all indicator confirmations shown above
Pine Script® göstergesi
WorkInProgress374 tarafından
Gold and Bitcoin: The Evolution of Value!The Eternal Luster of Gold In the dawn of time, when the earth was young and rivers whispered secrets to the stones, a wanderer named Elara found a gleam in the silt of a sun-kissed stream. It was pure gold, radiant like a captured star fallen from the heavens. She held it in her palm, feeling its warmth pulse like a heartbeat, and in that moment, humanity’s soul awakened to the allure of eternity. As seasons turned to centuries, gold wove itself into the story of empires. In ancient Egypt, pharaohs crowned themselves with its glow, believing it to be the flesh of gods. It built pyramids that reached for the sky and tombs that guarded kings forever. Across the sands in Mesopotamia, merchants traded it for spices and silks, its weight a promise of power and trust. Translation moment: Gold became the first universal symbol of value. People trusted it more than words or promises because it did not rust, fade, or vanish. The Greeks saw in gold not only wealth but wisdom, the symbol of the sun’s eternal fire. Alexander the Great carried it across the continent, forging an empire of golden threads. Rome rose on its back, minting coins whose clink echoed through history. Through the ages, gold endured the rush of California’s dreamers, the halls of Versailles, and the quiet vaults of modern fortunes. It has been both a curse and a blessing, the fuel of wars and the gift of love, whispering of beauty’s fragility and the human desire for something that lasts beyond the grave. In its shine, we see ourselves fragile yet forever chasing light. The Digital Dawn of Bitcoin Centuries later, under the glow of computer screens, a visionary named Satoshi dreamed of a new gold born not from the earth but from the ether of ideas. Bitcoin appeared in 2009 amid a world weary of banks and broken trust. Like gold’s ancient gleam, Bitcoin was mined not with picks but with puzzles solved by machines. It promised freedom, a currency without kings, flowing from person to person, unbound by borders or empires. Translation moment: Bitcoin works like digital gold. Instead of digging the ground, miners use computers to solve problems and unlock new coins. No one controls it, and that is what makes it powerful. Through doubt and frenzy, it rose as a beacon for those seeking sovereignty in a digital world. Its volatility became its soul, a reminder that true value is built on belief. Bitcoin speaks to ingenuity and rebellion, a star of code guiding us toward a future where wealth is weightless yet profoundly honest. Gold’s Cycles: Echoes of War and Crisis In the early 20th century, gold was held under fixed prices until the Great Depression of 1929 shattered these illusions. The 1934 dollar devaluation lifted it from 20.67 to 35, restoring faith amid despair. When World War II erupted in 1939, gold’s role as a refuge was muted by controls, yet it quietly held its place as the world’s silent guardian. The 1970s awakened its wild spirit. The Nixon Shock of 1971 freed gold from 35, sparking a bull run during the 1973 Oil Crisis. The 1979 Iranian Revolution led to a 1980 peak of 850, a leap of more than 2,000 percent, as investors sought safety from the chaos. Translation moment: When fear rises, people rush to gold. Every major war or economic crisis has sent gold upward because it feels safe when paper money loses trust. The 1987 stock crash caused brief dips, but the 1990 Gulf War reignited its glow. Around 2000, after the Dot-com Bust, gold found new life, climbing from $ 270 to over $1,900 during the 2008 Financial Crisis. It dipped to 1050 in 2015, then surged again past 2000 during the 2020 pandemic. The 2022 Ukraine War added another chapter with prices climbing above 2700 by 2025. Across a century of crises, gold has risen whenever fear tested humanity’s resolve, teaching patience and fortitude through its quiet endurance. Bitcoin’s Cycles: Echoes of Innovation and Crisis Born from the ashes of the 2008 Financial Crisis, Bitcoin began its story at mere cents. It traded below $1 until 2011, when it reached $30 before crashing by 90 percent following the MTGOX collapse. In 2013, it soared to 1242 only to fall again to 200 in 2015 as regulations tightened. The 2017 bull run lifted it to nearly 20000 before another long winter brought it to 3200 in 2018. Each fall taught resilience, each rise renewed belief. During the 2020 pandemic, it fell below 5000 before rallying to 69000 in 2021. The Ukraine War and the FTX collapse of 2022 brought it down to 16000, but also proved its role in humanitarian aid. By 2024, the halving and ETF approvals helped it break 100000, marking Bitcoin’s rise as digital gold. Translation moment: Bitcoin’s rhythm follows four-year halving cycles when mining rewards are cut in half. This keeps supply limited, which often triggers new bull runs as demand returns. Every four years, it's halving cycles 2012, 2016, 2020, 2024, fueling new waves of adoption and correction. Bitcoin grows strongest in times of uncertainty, echoing humanity’s drive to evolve beyond limits. The Harmony of Gold and Bitcoin Modern Parallels In today’s markets, gold’s ancient glow meets Bitcoin’s electric pulse. As of October 17, 2025, their correlation stands near 0.85, close to its historic high of 0.9. Both rise as guardians against inflation and the erosion of trust in the dollar. Gold trades near 4310 per ounce a record high while Bitcoin hovers around 104700 showing brief fractures in their unity. Gold offers the comfort of touch while Bitcoin provides the thrill of code. Together, they reflect fear and hope, the twin emotions that drive every market. Translation moment: A correlation of 0.85 means they often move in the same direction. When fear or inflation rises, both gold and Bitcoin tend to rise in tandem. Analysts warn of bubbles in stocks, gold, and crypto, yet optimism remains for Bitcoin’s growth through 2026, while gold holds its defensive strength. Gold carries risks of storage cost and theft, but steadiness in chaos. Bitcoin carries volatility and regulatory challenges, but it also offers unmatched innovation and reach. One is the anchor, the other the dream, and both reward those who hold conviction through uncertainty. Epilogue: The Timeless Balance Gold and Bitcoin form a bridge between the ancient and the future. Gold, the earth’s eternal treasure, stands as a symbol of stability and truth. Bitcoin, the digital heir, shines with the spark of innovation and freedom. Experts view gold as the ultimate inflation hedge, forged in fire and tested over centuries. They see Bitcoin as its digital counterpart, scarce by code and limitless in reach. Gold’s weight grounds us in reality while Bitcoin’s light expands our imagination. In 2025, as gold surpasses $4,346 and Bitcoin hovers near $105,000, the wise investor sees not rivals but reflections. Translation moment: Gold reminds us to protect what we have. Bitcoin reminds us to dream of what could be. Together, they balance caution and courage, the two forces every generation must master. One whispers of legacy, the other of evolution, yet together they tell humanity’s oldest story, our unending quest to preserve value against time and to chase the light that never fades. 🙏 I ask (Allah) for guidance and success. 🤲
Pine Script® göstergesi
HamadaMark tarafından
9
Bitcoin Cycle History Visualization [SwissAlgo]BTC 4-Year Cycle Tops & Bottoms Historical visualization of Bitcoin's market cycles from 2010 to present, with projections based on weighted averages of past performance. ----------------------------------------------------------------- CALCULATION METHODOLOGY Why Bottom-to-Bottom Cycle Measurement? This indicator defines cycles as bottom-to-bottom periods. This is one of several valid approaches to Bitcoin cycle analysis: - Focuses on market behavior (price bottoms) rather than supply schedule events (halving-to-halving) - Bottoms may offer good reference points for some analytical purposes - Tops tend to be extended periods that are harder to define precisely - Aligns with how some traditional asset cycles are measured and the timing observed in the broader "risk-on" assets category - Halving events are shown separately (yellow backgrounds) for reference - Neither halving-based nor bottom-based measurement is inherently superior Different analysts prefer different cycle definitions based on their analytical goals. This approach prioritizes observable market turning points. Cycle Date Definitions - Approximate monthly ranges used for each event (e.g., Nov 2022 bottom = Nov 1-30, 2022) - Cycle 1: Jul 2010 bottom → Jun 2011 top → Nov 2011 bottom - Cycle 2: Nov 2011 bottom → Dec 2013 top → Jan 2015 bottom - Cycle 3: Jan 2015 bottom → Dec 2017 top → Dec 2018 bottom - Cycle 4: Dec 2018 bottom → Nov 2021 top → Nov 2022 bottom - Future cycles will be added as new top/bottom dates become firm Duration Calculations - Days = timestamp difference converted to days (milliseconds ÷ 86,400,000) - Bottom → Top: days from cycle bottom to peak - Top → Bottom: days from peak to next cycle bottom - Bottom → Bottom: full cycle duration (sum of above) Price Change Calculations - % Change = ((New Price - Old Price) / Old Price) × 100 - Example: $200 → $19,700 = ((19,700 - 200) / 200) × 100 = 9,750% gain - Approximate historical prices used (rounded to significant figures) Weighted Average Formula Recent cycles weighted more heavily to reflect the evolved market structure: - Cycle 1 (2010-2011): EXCLUDED (too early-stage, tiny market cap) - Cycle 2 (2011-2015): Weight = 1x - Cycle 3 (2015-2018): Weight = 3x - Cycle 4 (2018-2022): Weight = 5x Formula: Weighted Avg = (C2×1 + C3×3 + C4×5) / (1+3+5) Example for Bottom→Top days: (761×1 + 1065×3 + 1066×5) / 9 = 1,032 days Projection Method - Projected Top Date = Nov 2022 bottom + weighted avg Bottom→Top days - Projected Bottom Date = Nov 2022 bottom + weighted avg Bottom→Bottom days - Current days elapsed compared to weighted averages - Warning symbol (⚠) shown when the current cycle exceeds the historical average Technical Implementation - Historical cycle dates are hardcoded (not algorithmically detected) - Dates represent approximate monthly ranges for each event - The indicator will be updated as the Cycle 5 top and bottom dates become confirmed - Updates require manual code maintenance - not automatic - Users should verify they're using the latest version for current cycle data ----------------------------------------------------------------- FEATURES - Background highlights for historical tops (red), bottoms (green), and halving events (yellow) - Data table showing cycle durations and price changes - Visual cycle boundary boxes with subtle coloring - Projected timeframes displayed as dashed vertical lines - Toggle on/off for each visual element - Customizable background colors ----------------------------------------------------------------- DISPLAY SETTINGS - Show/hide cycle tops, bottoms, halvings, data table, and cycle boxes - Customizable background colors for each event type - Clean, institutional-grade visual design suitable for analysis UPDATES & MAINTENANCE This indicator is maintained as new cycle events occur. When Cycle 5's top and bottom are confirmed with sufficient time elapsed, the code and projections will be updated accordingly. Check for the latest version periodically. OPEN SOURCE Code available for review, modification, and improvement. Educational transparency is prioritized. ----------------------------------------------------------------- IMPORTANT LIMITATIONS ⚠ EXTREMELY SMALL SAMPLE SIZE Based on only 4 complete cycles (2011-2022). In statistical analysis, this is insufficient for reliable predictions. ⚠ CHANGED MARKET STRUCTURE Bitcoin's market has fundamentally evolved since early cycles: - 2010-2015: Tiny market cap, retail-only, unregulated - 2024-2025: Institutional adoption, spot ETFs, regulatory frameworks, macro correlation The environment that created past patterns no longer exists in the same form. ⚠ NO PREDICTIVE GUARANTEE Historical patterns can and do break. Market cycles are not laws of physics. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The next cycle may not follow historical averages. ⚠ LENGTHENING CYCLE THEORY Some analysts believe cycles are extending over time (diminishing returns, maturing market). If true, simple averaging underestimates future cycle lengths. ⚠ SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY RISK The halving narrative may be partially circular - it works because people believe it works. Sufficient changes in market structure or participant behavior can invalidate the pattern. ⚠ APPROXIMATE DATA Historical prices rounded to significant figures. Exact bottom/top dates vary by exchange. Month-long ranges are used for simplicity. EDUCATIONAL USE ONLY This indicator is designed for historical analysis and understanding Bitcoin's past behavior. It is NOT: - Trading advice or financial recommendations - A guarantee or prediction of future price movements - Suitable as a sole basis for investment decisions - A replacement for fundamental or technical analysis The projections show "what if the pattern continues exactly" - not "what will happen." Always conduct independent research, understand the risks, and consult qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Only invest what you can afford to lose.
Pine Script® göstergesi
SwissAlgo tarafından
Jackson Hole Meetings - Lines and LabelsThis TradingView Pine Script indicator marks the dates of the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium meetings on your chart. For each meeting date from 2020 through 2025, it draws a red dashed vertical line directly on the corresponding daily bar. Additionally, it places a label above the bar indicating the year of the meeting (e.g., "JH 2025"). Features: Marks all known Jackson Hole meeting dates from 2020 to 2025. Draws a vertical dashed line on each meeting day for clear visual identification. Displays a label above the candle with the meeting year. Works best on daily timeframe charts. Helps traders quickly spot potential market-moving events related to Jackson Hole meetings. Use this tool to visually correlate price action with these key Federal Reserve events and enhance your trading analysis.
Pine Script® göstergesi
nishilp017 tarafından
VWATR + VIX + VVIX Trend Regime### 🤖 VWATR + VIX + VVIX Trend Regime — Your Ultimate Volatility Dashboard! 📊 This isn't just another indicator; it's a comprehensive dashboard that brings together everything you need to understand market volatility focused on Futures. It merges price-based movement with market-wide fear and sentiment, giving you a powerful edge in your trading and risk management. Think of it as your personal volatility sidekick, ready to help you navigate market uncertainty like a pro! *** ### ✨ What's Inside? * **VWATR (Volume-Weighted ATR):** A super-smart measure of price movement that pays close attention to where the big money is flowing. * **VIX (The "Fear Gauge"):** Tracks the expected volatility of the S&P 500, essentially telling you how nervous the market is feeling. * **VVIX (The "VIX of VIX"):** This one's for the pros! It measures how volatile the VIX itself is, giving you an early heads-up on potential fear spikes. * **VX Term Structure:** A clever way to see if traders are preparing for a crisis. It compares the two nearest VIX futures to spot a rare signal called "backwardation." * **Z-Scores:** It helps you spot when VIX and VVIX are at historic highs or lows, making it easier to predict when things might return to normal. * **Divergence Score:** A unique tool to flag potential market shifts when the VIX and VVIX start moving in completely different directions. * **Regime Classification:** The script automatically labels the market as "Full Panic," "Known Crisis," "Surface Calm," "Stress," or "Normal," so you always know where you stand. * **Gradient Bars:** A visual treat! The background of your chart changes color to reflect real-time volatility shifts, giving you an instant feel for the market's mood. * **Alerts:** Get push notifications on your phone for key events like "Full Panic" or "Backwardation" so you never miss a beat. *** ### 📝 Panel/Table Outputs This is your mission control! The on-screen table gives you a clean summary of the current market regime, VIX and VVIX values, their ratios, term structure, Z-scores, and signals. Everything you need, right where you can see it. *** ### 🚀 How to Get Started 1. **Check your data:** You'll need access to real-time data for VIX, VVIX, VX1!, and VX2!. A paid subscription might be necessary for this. 2. **Add it to your chart:** Use the indicator on any chart (we've set it to `overlay=false`) to get your full volatility dashboard. 3. **Tweak it to perfection:** Head over to the Settings panel to customize the thresholds, colors, and your all-important "Jolt Value." 4. **Start trading smarter:** Use the dashboard to inform your trades, hedge your portfolio, and manage risk with confidence. *** ### ⚙️ Customization & Key Settings * `showVWATR`: Toggle your price-volatility metric on or off. * `showExpectedVol`: See the expected volatility as a percentage of the current price. * `joltLevel`: This is a very important line on your chart! It's your personal trigger for when volatility is getting a little too wild. More on this below. * `enableGradientBars`: Turn the awesome colored background on or off. * `enableTable`: Hide or show your information table. * `VIX/VVIX/VX1!/VX2! symbols`: If your broker uses different symbols for these, you can change them here. * `VIX/VVIX thresholds`: Adjust these levels to fine-tune the indicator to your personal risk tolerance. *** ### 💡 Jolt Value: A Quick Guide for Smart Traders 🧠 The **jolt value** is your personal tripwire for volatility. Think of it as a warning light on your car's dashboard. You set the level, and when volatility (VWATR) crosses that line, you get an instant signal that something interesting is happening. **How to Set Your Jolt Value:** The ideal jolt value is dynamic. You want to keep it just a little above the current VIX level to stay alert without getting too many false alarms. | Current VIX Level | Market Regime | Recommended Jolt Value | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Under 15 | Calm/Complacent | 15–16 | | 15–20 | Typical/Normal | 16–18 | | 20–30 | Cautious/Active | 18–22 | | Over 30 | Stress/Panic | 30+ | **A Pro Tip for August 2025:** Since the VIX is hovering around 14.7, setting your jolt value to **16.5** is a great starting point for keeping an eye on things. If the VIX starts to climb above 20, you should adjust your jolt level to match the new reality. *** ### ⚠️ Important Things to Note * You might experience some data delays if you're not on a paid TradingView plan or your broker does not provide real-time data for the VIX also VIX is only active during NY session, so it's not advised to use it outside of normal trading hours!
Pine Script® göstergesi
mike_Ipp tarafından
Multi-EMA Crossover StrategyMulti-EMA Crossover Strategy This strategy uses multiple exponential moving average (EMA) crossovers to identify bullish trends and execute long trades. The approach involves progressively stronger signals as different EMA pairs cross, indicating increasing bullish momentum. Each crossover triggers a long entry, and the intensity of bullish sentiment is reflected in the color of the bars on the chart. Conversely, bearish trends are represented by red bars. Strategy Logic: First Long Entry: When the 1-day EMA crosses above the 5-day EMA, it signals initial bullish momentum. Second Long Entry: When the 3-day EMA crosses above the 10-day EMA, it confirms stronger bullish sentiment. Third Long Entry: When the 5-day EMA crosses above the 20-day EMA, it indicates further trend strength. Fourth Long Entry: When the 10-day EMA crosses above the 40-day EMA, it suggests robust long-term bullish momentum. The bar colors reflect these conditions: More blue bars indicate stronger bullish sentiment as more short-term EMAs are above their longer-term counterparts. Red bars represent bearish conditions when short-term EMAs are below longer-term ones. Example: Bitcoin Trading on a Daily Timeframe Bullish Scenario: Imagine Bitcoin is trading at $30,000 on March 31, 2025: First Signal: The 1-day EMA crosses above the 5-day EMA at $30,000. This suggests initial upward momentum, prompting a small long entry. Second Signal: A few days later, the 3-day EMA crosses above the 10-day EMA at $31,000. This confirms strengthening bullish sentiment; another long position is added. Third Signal: The 5-day EMA crosses above the 20-day EMA at $32,500, indicating further upward trend development; a third long entry is executed. Fourth Signal: Finally, the 10-day EMA crosses above the 40-day EMA at $34,000. This signals robust long-term bullish momentum; a fourth long position is entered. Bearish Scenario: Suppose Bitcoin reverses from $34,000 to $28,000: The 1-day EMA crosses below the 5-day EMA at $33,500. The 3-day EMA dips below the 10-day EMA at $32,000. The 5-day EMA falls below the 20-day EMA at $30,000. The final bearish signal occurs when the 10-day EMA drops below the 40-day EMA at $28,000. The bars turn increasingly red as bearish conditions strengthen. Advantages of This Strategy: Progressive Confirmation: Multiple crossovers provide layered confirmation of trend strength. Visual Feedback: Bar colors help traders quickly assess market sentiment and adjust positions accordingly. Flexibility: Suitable for trending markets like Bitcoin during strong rallies or downturns. Limitations: Lagging Signals: EMAs are lagging indicators and may react slowly to sudden price changes. False Breakouts: Crossovers in choppy markets can lead to whipsaws or false signals. This strategy works best in trending markets and should be combined with additional risk management techniques, e.g., stop loss or optimal position sizes (Kelly Criterion).
Pine Script® stratejisi
joll3d tarafından
Cash And Carry Arbitrage BTC Compare Month 6 by SeoNo1Detailed Explanation of the BTC Cash and Carry Arbitrage Script Script Title: BTC Cash And Carry Arbitrage Month 6 by SeoNo1 Short Title: BTC C&C ABT Month 6 Version: Pine Script v5 Overlay: True (The indicators are plotted directly on the price chart) Purpose of the Script This script is designed to help traders analyze and track arbitrage opportunities between the spot market and futures market for Bitcoin (BTC). Specifically, it calculates the spread and Annual Percentage Yield (APY) from a cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy until a specific expiry date (in this case, June 27, 2025). The strategy helps identify profitable opportunities when the futures price of BTC is higher than the spot price. Traders can then buy BTC in the spot market and short BTC futures contracts to lock in a risk-free profit. 1. Input Settings Spot Symbol: The real-time BTC spot price from Binance (BTCUSDT). Futures Symbol: The BTC futures contract that expires in June 2025 (BTCUSDM2025). Expiry Date: The expiration date of the futures contract, set to June 27, 2025. These inputs allow users to adjust the symbols or expiry date according to their trading needs. 2. Price Data Retrieval Spot Price: Fetches the latest closing price of BTC from the spot market. Futures Price: Fetches the latest closing price of BTC futures. Spread: The difference between the futures price and the spot price (futures_price - spot_price). The spread indicates how much higher (or lower) the futures price is compared to the spot market. 3. Time to Maturity (TTM) and Annual Percentage Yield (APY) Calculation Current Date: Gets the current timestamp. Time to Maturity (TTM): The number of days left until the futures contract expires. APY Calculation: Formula: APY = ( Spread / Spot Price ) x ( 365 / TTM Days ) x 100 This represents the annualized return from holding a cash-and-carry arbitrage position if the trader buys BTC at the spot price and sells BTC futures. 4. Display Information Table on the Chart A table is created on the chart's top-right corner showing the following data: Metric: Labels such as Spread and APY Value: Displays the calculated spread and APY The table automatically updates at the latest bar to display the most recent data. 5. Alert Condition This sets an alert condition that triggers every time the script runs. In practice, users can modify this alert to trigger based on specific conditions (e.g., APY exceeds a threshold). 6. Plotting the APY and Spread APY Plot: Displays the annualized yield as a blue line on the chart. Spread Plot: Visualizes the futures-spot spread as a red line. This helps traders quickly identify arbitrage opportunities when the spread or APY reaches desirable levels. How to Use the Script Monitor Arbitrage Opportunities: A positive spread indicates a potential cash-and-carry arbitrage opportunity. The larger the APY, the more profitable the arbitrage opportunity could be. Timing Trades: Execute a buy on the BTC spot market and simultaneously sell BTC futures when the APY is attractive. Close both positions upon futures contract expiry to realize profits. Risk Management: Ensure you have sufficient margin to hold both positions until expiry. Monitor funding rates and volatility, which could affect returns. Conclusion This script is an essential tool for traders looking to exploit price discrepancies between the BTC spot market and futures market through a cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy. It provides real-time data on spreads, annualized returns (APY), and visual alerts, helping traders make informed decisions and maximize their profit potential.
Pine Script® göstergesi
seono1 tarafından