Forex Hammer and Hanging Man StrategyThe strategy is based on two key candlestick chart patterns: Hammer and Hanging Man. These chart patterns are widely used in technical analysis to identify potential reversal points in the market. Their relevance in the Forex market, known for its high liquidity and volatile price movements, is particularly pronounced. Both patterns provide insights into market sentiment and trader psychology, which are critical in currency trading, where short-term volatility plays a significant role.
1. Hammer:
• Typically occurs after a downtrend.
• Signals a potential trend reversal to the upside.
• A Hammer has:
• A small body (close and open are close to each other).
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• No or a very short upper shadow.
2. Hanging Man:
• Typically occurs after an uptrend.
• Signals a potential reversal to the downside.
• A Hanging Man has:
• A small body, similar to the Hammer.
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• A small or no upper shadow.
These patterns are a manifestation of market psychology, specifically the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The Hammer reflects a situation where sellers tried to push the price down but were overpowered by buyers, while the Hanging Man shows that buyers failed to maintain the upward movement, and sellers could take control.
Relevance of Chart Patterns in Forex
In the Forex market, chart patterns are vital tools because they offer insights into price action and market sentiment. Since Forex trading often involves large volumes of trades, chart patterns like the Hammer and Hanging Man are important for recognizing potential shifts in market momentum. These patterns are a part of technical analysis, which aims to forecast future price movements based on historical data, relying on the psychology of market participants.
Scientific Literature on the Relevance of Candlestick Patterns
1. Behavioral Finance and Candlestick Patterns:
Research on behavioral finance supports the idea that candlestick patterns, such as the Hammer and Hanging Man, are relevant because they reflect shifts in trader psychology and sentiment. According to Lo, Mamaysky, and Wang (2000), patterns like these could be seen as representations of collective investor behavior, influenced by overreaction, optimism, or pessimism, and can often signal reversals in market trends.
2. Statistical Validation of Chart Patterns:
Studies by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) explored the profitability of technical analysis strategies, including candlestick patterns, and found evidence that certain patterns, such as the Hammer, can have predictive value in financial markets. While their study primarily focused on stock markets, their findings are generally applicable to the Forex market as well.
3. Market Efficiency and Candlestick Patterns:
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) posits that all available information is reflected in asset prices, but some studies suggest that markets may not always be perfectly efficient, allowing for profitable exploitation of certain chart patterns. For instance, Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) found that momentum strategies, which often rely on price patterns and trends, could generate significant returns, suggesting that patterns like the Hammer or Hanging Man may provide a slight edge, particularly in short-term Forex trading.
Testing the Strategy in Forex Using the Provided Script
The provided script allows traders to test and evaluate the Hammer and Hanging Man patterns in Forex trading by entering positions when these patterns appear and holding the position for a specified number of periods. This strategy can be tested to assess its performance across different currency pairs and timeframes.
1. Testing on Different Timeframes:
• The effectiveness of candlestick patterns can vary across different timeframes, as market dynamics change with the level of detail in each timeframe. Shorter timeframes may provide more frequent signals, but with higher noise, while longer timeframes may produce more reliable signals, but with fewer opportunities. This multi-timeframe analysis could be an area to explore to enhance the strategy’s robustness.
2. Exit Strategies:
• The script incorporates an exit strategy where positions are closed after holding them for a specified number of periods. This is useful for testing how long the reversal patterns typically take to play out and when the optimal exit occurs for maximum profitability. It can also help to adjust the exit logic based on real-time market behavior.
Conclusion
The Hammer and Hanging Man patterns are widely recognized in technical analysis as potential reversal signals, and their application in Forex trading is valuable due to the market’s high volatility and liquidity. This strategy leverages these candlestick patterns to enter and exit trades based on shifts in market sentiment and psychology. Testing and optimization, as offered by the script, can help refine the strategy and improve its effectiveness.
For further refinement, it could be valuable to consider combining candlestick patterns with other technical indicators or using multi-timeframe analysis to confirm patterns and increase the probability of successful trades.
References:
• Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
• Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
This provides a theoretical basis for the use of candlestick patterns in trading, supported by academic literature and research on market psychology and efficiency.
Göstergeler ve stratejiler
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy leverages the combination of candlestick pattern Bullish Reversal Bar (description in Methodology and Justification of Methodology), Williams Alligator indicator and Williams Fractals to create the high probability setups. Candlestick pattern is used for the entering into trade, while the combination of Williams Alligator and Fractals is used for the trend approximation as close condition. Strategy uses only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator or the candlestick pattern invalidation to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Trend Trade Filter: strategy uses Alligator and Fractal combination as high probability trend filter.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1.Current candle's high shall be below the Williams Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)(all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
2.Price shall create the candlestick pattern "Bullish Reversal Bar". Optionally if MFI and AO filters are enabled current candle shall have the decreasing AO and at least one of three recent bars shall have the squat state on the MFI (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3.If price breaks through the high of the candle marked as the "Bullish Reversal Bar" the long trade is open at the price one tick above the candle's high
4.Initial stop loss is placed at the Bullish Reversal Bar's candle's low
5.If price hit the Bullish Reversal Bar's low before hitting the entry price potential trade is cancelled
6.If trade is active and initial stop loss has not been hit, trade is closed when the combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend change from upward to downward.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
Enable MFI (if true trades are filtered using Market Facilitation Index (MFI) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Enable AO (if true trades are filtered using Awesome Oscillator (AO) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. The first and key concept is the Bullish Reversal Bar candlestick pattern. This is just the single bar pattern. The rules are simple:
Candle shall be closed in it's upper half
High of this candle shall be below all three Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
How we can use all these indicators in this strategy? This strategy is a counter trend one. Candle's high shall be below all Alligator's lines. During this market stage the bullish reversal bar candlestick pattern shall be printed. This bar during the downtrend is a high probability setup for the potential reversal to the upside: bulls were able to close the price in the upper half of a candle. The breaking of its high is a high probability signal that trend change is confirmed and script opens long trade. If market continues going down and break down the bullish reversal bar's low potential trend change has been invalidated and strategy close long trade.
If market really reversed and started moving to the upside strategy waits for the trend change form the downtrend to the uptrend according to approximation of Alligator and Fractals combination. If this change happens strategy close the trade. This approach helps to stay in the long trade while the uptrend continuation is likely and close it if there is a high probability of the uptrend finish.
Optionally users can enable MFI and AO filters. First of all, let's briefly explain what are these two indicators. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
This indicator is filtering signals in the following way: if current AO bar is decreasing this candle can be interpreted as a bullish reversal bar. This logic is applicable because initially this strategy is a trend reversal, it is searching for the high probability setup against the current trend. Decreasing AO is the additional high probability filter of a downtrend.
Let's briefly look what is MFI. The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the price movement per unit of volume, helping traders gauge the efficiency of price movement in relation to trading volume. Here's how you can calculate it:
MFI = (High−Low)/Volume
MFI can be used in combination with volume, so we can divide 4 states. Bill Williams introduced these to help traders interpret the interaction between volume and price movement. Here’s a quick summary:
Green Window (Increased MFI & Increased Volume): Indicates strong momentum with both price and volume increasing. Often a sign of trend continuation, as both buying and selling interest are rising.
Fake Window (Increased MFI & Decreased Volume): Shows that price is moving but with lower volume, suggesting weak support for the trend. This can signal a potential end of the current trend.
Squat Window (Decreased MFI & Increased Volume): Shows high volume but little price movement, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This often precedes a breakout as the pressure builds.
Fade Window (Decreased MFI & Decreased Volume): Indicates a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers, leading to lower momentum. This typically happens in range-bound markets and may signal consolidation before a new move.
For our purposes we are interested in squat bars. This is the sign that volume cannot move the price easily. This type of bar increases the probability of trend reversal. In this indicator we added to enable the MFI filter of reversal bars. If potential reversal bar or two preceding bars have squat state this bar can be interpret as a reversal one.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.29%
Maximum Single Profit: +29.99%
Net Profit: +5472.66 USDT (+54.73%)
Total Trades: 103 (33.98% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.634
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1231.15 USDT (-8.32%)
Average Profit per Trade: 53.13 USDT (+0.94%)
Average Trade Duration: 76 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h ETH/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
MEERU-72-FX-ALGO"Unlock Your Trading Potential with MEERU-72-FX-ALGO! 🚀💹
Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Introducing *MEERU-72-FX-ALGO* — a powerful, automated trading algorithm designed for success. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, MEERU-72-FX-ALGO is built to optimize your trades, increase accuracy, and maximize profits. Say goodbye to emotional trading and hello to consistent, data-driven results.
Get started today and let MEERU-72-FX-ALGO work for you! DM for more details or click the link below to join our exclusive community.
chat.whatsapp.com
#Trading #Forex #AlgorithmicTrading #MEERU72FXALGO #FinancialFreedom #Automation"
MEERU-72-FX-ALGO"Unlock Your Trading Potential with MEERU-72-FX-ALGO! 🚀💹
Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Introducing *MEERU-72-FX-ALGO* — a powerful, automated trading algorithm designed for success. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, MEERU-72-FX-ALGO is built to optimize your trades, increase accuracy, and maximize profits. Say goodbye to emotional trading and hello to consistent, data-driven results.
Get started today and let MEERU-72-FX-ALGO work for you! DM for more details or click the link below to join our exclusive community.
chat.whatsapp.com
#Trading #Forex #AlgorithmicTrading #MEERU72FXALGO #FinancialFreedom #Automation"
Dynamic Support and Resistance Pivot Strategy The Dynamic Support and Resistance Pivot Strategy is a flexible and adaptive tool designed to identify short-term support and resistance levels using the concept of price pivots.
### Key Elements of the Strategy
1. Pivot points as support and resistance levels
Pivots are significant turning points on the price chart, often marking local highs and lows where the price has reversed direction. A pivot high occurs when the price forms a local peak, while a pivot low occurs when the price forms a local trough. When a new pivot high is formed, it creates a resistance level. Conversely, when a new pivot low is formed, it creates a support level.
The strategy continuously updates these levels as new pivots are detected, ensuring they remain relevant to the current market conditions. By identifying these price levels, the strategy dynamically adjusts to market conditions, allowing it to adapt to both trending and ranging markets, since it has a long target and can perform reversal operations.
2. Entry Criteria
- Buy (Long): A long position is triggered when the price is near the support level and then crosses it from below to above. This suggests that the price has found support and may start moving upwards.
- Sell (Short): A short position is triggered when the price is near the resistance level and then crosses it from above to below. This indicates that the price may be reversing and moving downward.
3. Support/Resistance distance (%)
- This parameter establishes a percentage range around the identified support and resistance level. For example, if the Support Resistance Distance is 0.4% (default), the closing price must be within a range of 0.4% above support or below the resistance to be considered "close" and trigger a trade.
4. Exit criteria
- Take profit = 27 %
- Stop loss = 10 %
- Reversal if a new entry point is identified in the opposite direction
5. No Repainting
- The Dynamic Support and Resistance Pivot Strategy is not subject to repainting.
6. Position Sizing by Equity and risk management
- This strategy has a default configuration to operate with 35% of the equity. The stop loss is set to 10% from the entry price. This way, the strategy is putting at risk about 10% of 35% of equity, that is, around 3.5% of equity for each trade. The percentage of equity and stop loss can be adjusted by the user according to their risk management.
7. Backtest results
- This strategy was subjected to backtest and operations in replay mode on **1000000MOGUSDT.P**, with the inclusion of transaction fees at 0.12% and slipagge of 5 ticks, and the past results have shown consistent profitability. Past results are no guarantee of future results. The strategy's backtest results may even be due to overfitting with past data.
8. Chart Visualization
- Support and resistance levels are displayed as green (support) and red (resistance) lines.
- Pivot prices are displayed as green (pivot low) and red (pivot high) labels.
In this image above, the Support/Resistance distance (%) parameter was set to 0.8.
9. Default Configuration
Chart Timeframe: 1h
Pivot Lengh: 2
Support/Resistance distance (%): 0.4*
Stop Loss: 10 %
Take Profit: 27 %
* This parameter can alternatively be set to 0.8.
10. Alternative Configuration
Chart Timeframe: 20 min
Pivot Lengh: 4
Support/Resistance distance (%): 0.1
Stop Loss: 10 %
Take Profit: 25 %
BYBIT:1000000MOGUSDT.P
Adaptive Momentum Reversion StrategyThe Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy: An Empirical Approach to Market Behavior
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy seeks to capitalize on market price dynamics by combining concepts from momentum and mean reversion theories. This hybrid approach leverages a Rate of Change (ROC) indicator along with Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions, triggering trades based on the crossing of specific thresholds. The strategy aims to detect momentum shifts and exploit price reversions to their mean.
Theoretical Framework
Momentum and Mean Reversion: Momentum trading assumes that assets with a recent history of strong performance will continue in that direction, while mean reversion suggests that assets tend to return to their historical average over time (Fama & French, 1988; Poterba & Summers, 1988). This strategy incorporates elements of both, looking for periods when momentum is either overextended (and likely to revert) or when the asset’s price is temporarily underpriced relative to its historical trend.
Rate of Change (ROC): The ROC is a straightforward momentum indicator that measures the percentage change in price over a specified period (Wilder, 1978). The strategy calculates the ROC over a 2-period window, making it responsive to short-term price changes. By using ROC, the strategy aims to detect price acceleration and deceleration.
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are used to identify volatility and potential price extremes, often signaling overbought or oversold conditions. The bands consist of a moving average and two standard deviation bounds that adjust dynamically with price volatility (Bollinger, 2002).
The strategy employs two sets of Bollinger Bands: one for short-term volatility (lower band) and another for longer-term trends (upper band), with different lengths and standard deviation multipliers.
Strategy Construction
Indicator Inputs:
ROC Period: The rate of change is computed over a 2-period window, which provides sensitivity to short-term price fluctuations.
Bollinger Bands:
Lower Band: Calculated with a 18-period length and a standard deviation of 1.7.
Upper Band: Calculated with a 21-period length and a standard deviation of 2.1.
Calculations:
ROC Calculation: The ROC is computed by comparing the current close price to the close price from rocPeriod days ago, expressing it as a percentage.
Bollinger Bands: The strategy calculates both upper and lower Bollinger Bands around the ROC, using a simple moving average as the central basis. The lower Bollinger Band is used as a reference for identifying potential long entry points when the ROC crosses above it, while the upper Bollinger Band serves as a reference for exits, when the ROC crosses below it.
Trading Conditions:
Long Entry: A long position is initiated when the ROC crosses above the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential shift from a period of low momentum to an increase in price movement.
Exit Condition: A position is closed when the ROC crosses under the upper Bollinger Band, or when the ROC drops below the lower band again, indicating a reversal or weakening of momentum.
Visual Indicators:
ROC Plot: The ROC is plotted as a line to visualize the momentum direction.
Bollinger Bands: The upper and lower bands, along with their basis (simple moving averages), are plotted to delineate the expected range for the ROC.
Background Color: To enhance decision-making, the strategy colors the background when extreme conditions are detected—green for oversold (ROC below the lower band) and red for overbought (ROC above the upper band), indicating potential reversal zones.
Strategy Performance Considerations
The use of Bollinger Bands in this strategy provides an adaptive framework that adjusts to changing market volatility. When volatility increases, the bands widen, allowing for larger price movements, while during quieter periods, the bands contract, reducing trade signals. This adaptiveness is critical in maintaining strategy effectiveness across different market conditions.
The strategy’s pyramiding setting is disabled (pyramiding=0), ensuring that only one position is taken at a time, which is a conservative risk management approach. Additionally, the strategy includes transaction costs and slippage parameters to account for real-world trading conditions.
Empirical Evidence and Relevance
The combination of momentum and mean reversion has been widely studied and shown to provide profitable opportunities under certain market conditions. Studies such as Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) confirm that momentum strategies tend to work well in trending markets, while mean reversion strategies have been effective during periods of high volatility or after sharp price movements (De Bondt & Thaler, 1985). By integrating both strategies into one system, the Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy may be able to capitalize on both trending and reverting market behavior.
Furthermore, research by Chan (1996) on momentum-based trading systems demonstrates that adaptive strategies, which adjust to changes in market volatility, often outperform static strategies, providing a compelling rationale for the use of Bollinger Bands in this context.
Conclusion
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy provides a robust framework for trading based on the dual concepts of momentum and mean reversion. By using ROC in combination with Bollinger Bands, the strategy is capable of identifying overbought and oversold conditions while adapting to changing market conditions. The use of adaptive indicators ensures that the strategy remains flexible and can perform across different market environments, potentially offering a competitive edge for traders who seek to balance risk and reward in their trading approaches.
References
Bollinger, J. (2002). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. McGraw-Hill Professional.
Chan, L. K. C. (1996). Momentum, Mean Reversion, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns. Journal of Finance, 51(5), 1681-1713.
De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. H. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact? Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793-805.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1988). Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices. Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), 246-273.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research.
Hull Suite by MRS**Hull Suite by MRS Strategy Indicator**
The Hull Suite by MRS Strategy is a technical analysis tool designed to provide insights into market trends using variations of the Hull Moving Average (HMA). This strategy aims to help traders identify optimal entry points for both long and short positions by utilizing multiple types of Hull-based indicators.
### Key Features:
1. **Hull Moving Average Variations**: The indicator offers three different Hull Moving Average variants:
- **HMA (Hull Moving Average)**: A fast-moving average that minimizes lag and reacts quickly to price changes.
- **EHMA (Enhanced Hull Moving Average)**: A smoother version of HMA with reduced noise, offering a clearer view of market trends.
- **THMA (Triple Hull Moving Average)**: A more complex Hull average that aims to provide a stronger confirmation of trend direction.
2. **Customizable Parameters**:
- **Source Selection**: Allows traders to choose the source for calculation (e.g., closing prices).
- **Length**: A configurable parameter to adjust the period over which the moving average is calculated (e.g., 55-period for swing entries).
- **Trend Coloring**: Users can enable automatic color-coding of the Hull moving average to reflect whether the market is in an uptrend (green) or downtrend (red).
- **Candle Color**: Option to color candles based on Hull's trend, further improving the visual clarity of trend direction.
3. **Entry and Exit Signals**:
- **Buy Signal**: Generated when the Hull moving average crosses above its historical value, indicating a potential upward price movement.
- **Sell Signal**: Triggered when the Hull moving average crosses below its historical value, signaling a potential downward price movement.
- The strategy can be customized to work with long, short, or both directions, making it adaptable for various market conditions.
4. **Visual Representation**:
- **Hull Bands**: The indicator can plot the Hull moving average as bands, with customizable transparency to suit individual preferences.
- **Band Filler**: The area between the two Hull moving averages is filled, making it easier to identify trends at a glance.
5. **Backtesting and Strategy Execution**: This strategy can be tested on historical data with adjustable backtest start and stop dates, providing traders with a better understanding of its performance before live trading.
### Purpose:
The Hull Suite by MRS Strategy is designed to assist traders in determining the optimal time to enter and exit the market based on robust Hull moving averages. With its flexibility, it can be used for trend-following, swing trading, or other strategic applications.
4Vietnamese 3x SupertrendThis strategy attempts to capture long positions in the Vietnamese stock market using a combination of three Supertrend indicators and additional filters. It utilizes pyramiding to enter up to three long positions with a 33.33% allocation each.
Key Elements:
Supertrend Indicators: Three Supertrend indicators are used with different lengths and multipliers to identify potential trend changes.
Entry Conditions:
The strategy looks for a downtrend on the slowest Supertrend (Supertrend3) followed by uptrends on the medium (Supertrend2) and fast (Supertrend1) Supertrends.
Alternatively, if Supertrend3 is still downtrending, but Supertrend1 is downtrending and a significant previous high (highestGreen) exists, an entry signal is generated.
An optional filter allows using the highest of the last two red candles for highestGreen calculation.
Entry Stop Loss:
An optional stop loss can be set based on the entry price of previous long positions, preventing further losses if the price falls below entry prices.
Exit Conditions:
Three exit options are available:
- All Downtrend Exit: Close all positions if all Supertrends turn uptrend and a bearish candlestick pattern (close price lower than open price) is formed.
- Average Price in Loss Exit: Close all positions if the average entry price of open positions is higher than the current closing price (indicating a loss).
- All Positions in Loss Exit: Close all positions if any of the following conditions are met:
A single open position exists, and its entry price is higher than the current close price.
Two open positions exist, and their entry prices are both higher than the current close price.
Three open positions exist, and their entry prices are all higher than the current close price.
Pyramiding: The strategy allows entering up to three long positions with a fixed allocation of 33.33% each.
Customization Options:
The strategy provides various input parameters to customize its behavior:
Supertrend lengths and multipliers for each indicator.
Option to use the highest of the last two red candles for highestGreen calculation.
Enabling/disabling Entry Stop Loss and different exit conditions.
Further Enhancements:
Explore additional entry and exit filters to refine trade signals.
Consider incorporating risk management techniques like position sizing and trailing stops.
Backtest the strategy with historical data to evaluate its effectiveness and identify potential areas for improvement.
Phase Cross Strategy with Zone### Introduction to the Strategy
Welcome to the **Phase Cross Strategy with Zone and EMA Analysis**. This strategy is designed to help traders identify potential buy and sell opportunities based on the crossover of smoothed oscillators (referred to as "phases") and exponential moving averages (EMAs). By combining these two methods, the strategy offers a versatile tool for both trend-following and short-term trading setups.
### Key Features
1. **Phase Cross Signals**:
- The strategy uses two smoothed oscillators:
- **Leading Phase**: A simple moving average (SMA) with an upward offset.
- **Lagging Phase**: An exponential moving average (EMA) with a downward offset.
- Buy and sell signals are generated when these phases cross over or under each other, visually represented on the chart with green (buy) and red (sell) labels.
2. **Phase Zone Visualization**:
- The area between the two phases is filled with a green or red zone, indicating bullish or bearish conditions:
- Green zone: Leading phase is above the lagging phase (potential uptrend).
- Red zone: Leading phase is below the lagging phase (potential downtrend).
3. **EMA Analysis**:
- Includes five commonly used EMAs (13, 26, 50, 100, and 200) for additional trend analysis.
- Crossovers of the EMA 13 and EMA 26 act as secondary buy/sell signals to confirm or enhance the phase-based signals.
4. **Customizable Parameters**:
- You can adjust the smoothing length, source (price data), and offset to fine-tune the strategy for your preferred trading style.
### What to Pay Attention To
1. **Phases and Zones**:
- Use the green/red phase zone as an overall trend guide.
- Avoid taking trades when the phases are too close or choppy, as it may indicate a ranging market.
2. **EMA Trends**:
- Align your trades with the longer-term trend shown by the EMAs. For example:
- In an uptrend (price above EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize buy signals.
- In a downtrend (price below EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize sell signals.
3. **Signal Confirmation**:
- Consider combining phase cross signals with EMA crossovers for higher-confidence trades.
- Look for confluence between the phase signals and EMA trends.
4. **Risk Management**:
- Always set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk.
- Use the phase and EMA zones to estimate potential support/resistance areas for exits.
5. **Whipsaws and False Signals**:
- Be cautious in low-volatility or sideways markets, as the strategy may generate false signals.
- Use additional indicators or filters to avoid entering trades during unclear market conditions.
### How to Use
1. Add the strategy to your chart in TradingView.
2. Adjust the input settings (e.g., smoothing length, offsets) to suit your trading preferences.
3. Enable the strategy tester to evaluate its performance on historical data.
4. Combine the signals with your own analysis and risk management plan for best results.
This strategy is a versatile tool, but like any trading method, it requires proper understanding and discretion. Always backtest thoroughly and trade with discipline. Let me know if you need further assistance or adjustments to the strategy!
Kinetik Model [NantzOS]Description:
The Kinetik Model is a strategy that reinterprets the traditional stochastic oscillator to take advantage of momentum instead of the standard overbought/oversold reversal approach. Primarily operating upon zero line crosses, what you observe is the difference between the K and D plots. the first unique feature about this system is that the stochastic calculation has been made "boundless" in order to more accurately gauge the rate of momentum. It doesn't consolidate in upper or lower channels. The second feature is the dataset typically known as %K smoothing is set to a fixed value, the %K length and %D smoothing serve as a customizable length and signal. The third is that it takes trades based on the difference between the fixed %K and customizable %D, a reminder that is your oscillator display. This oscillator versus the traditional stochastic is comparable to the MACD histogram versus the MACD line plots. The fourth feature is that the user dynamically tests the upper and lower thresholds, displayed with a color background on the oscillator, to act as a filtration method. The system won't take shorts if momentum is above the upper threshold and won't take longs if it's performing below the lower threshold. Lastly, this system uses a trailing stop exit strategy, which can be deactivated, and the option to test long only.
Features Summarized:
A reimagined stochastic that operates without fixed boundries, offering flexibility for properly observing momentum.
High and low levels act as extreme zones for highlighting strong trends.
Users can modify data length, signal input, and thresholds from the settings to suit their preferred asset and time frame.
A built-in optional stop-loss mechanism with adjustable sensitivity, enabling tighter or more relaxed risk management.
Includes and optional long only setting and candle coloring with signals.
How to Use:
Navigate to the indicator tab in TradingView to search and apply the Kinetik Model.
Access the settings icon on the indicator to navigate the style and settings:
Length: Modifies the amount of data used to calculate the oscillator.
Signal: Further calibrates the sensitivity of the final plot.
High/Low Thresholds: A single filtration method for defining extreme zones of momentum bias, which determines entry/exits along with the zero line crosses.
Remaining Settings: Customize stop loss calibration along with optional features and styling choice.
Oscillators have been a staple in financial analysis since the mid-20th century, with tools like the RSI, MACD, and Stochastic helping gauge overbought and oversold conditions. What makes the latter unique is that the stochastic utilizes highs and lows as opposed to various EMA rates of change. Kinetik's unique boundless stochastic calculation and K/D difference plotting are the heart of this strategy.
EMA Crossover Strategy with Take Profit and Candle HighlightingStrategy Overview:
This strategy is based on the Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), specifically the EMA 20 and EMA 50. It takes advantage of EMA crossovers to identify potential trend reversals and uses multiple take-profit levels and a stop-loss for risk management.
Key Components:
EMA Crossover Signals:
Buy Signal (Uptrend): A buy signal is generated when the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50, signaling the start of a potential uptrend.
Sell Signal (Downtrend): A sell signal is generated when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50, signaling the start of a potential downtrend.
Take Profit Levels:
Once a buy or sell signal is triggered, the strategy calculates multiple take-profit levels based on the range of the previous candle. The user can define multipliers for each take-profit level.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 50% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 100% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 150% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 200% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
These levels are adjusted dynamically based on the previous candle's high and low, so they adapt to changing market conditions.
Stop Loss:
A stop-loss is set to manage risk. The default stop-loss is 3% from the entry price, but this can be adjusted in the settings. The stop-loss is triggered if the price moves against the position by this amount.
Trend Direction Highlighting:
The strategy highlights the bars (candles) with colors:
Green bars indicate an uptrend (when EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50).
Red bars indicate a downtrend (when EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50).
These visual cues help users easily identify the market direction.
Strategy Entries and Exits:
Entries: The strategy enters a long (buy) position when the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50 and a short (sell) position when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50.
Exits: The strategy exits the positions at any of the defined take-profit levels or the stop-loss. Multiple exit levels provide opportunities to take profit progressively as the price moves in the favorable direction.
Entry and Exit Conditions in Detail:
Buy Entry Condition (Uptrend):
A buy position is opened when EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50, signaling the start of an uptrend.
The strategy calculates take-profit levels above the entry price based on the previous bar's range (high-low) and the multipliers for TP1, TP2, TP3, and TP4.
Sell Entry Condition (Downtrend):
A sell position is opened when EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50, signaling the start of a downtrend.
The strategy calculates take-profit levels below the entry price, similarly based on the previous bar's range.
Exit Conditions:
Take Profit: The strategy attempts to exit the position at one of the take-profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, or TP4). If the price reaches any of these levels, the position is closed.
Stop Loss: The strategy also has a stop-loss set at a default value (3% below the entry for long trades, and 3% above for short trades). The stop-loss helps to protect the position from significant losses.
Backtesting and Performance Metrics:
The strategy can be backtested using TradingView's Strategy Tester. The results will show how the strategy would have performed historically, including key metrics like:
Net Profit
Max Drawdown
Win Rate
Profit Factor
Average Trade Duration
These performance metrics can help users assess the strategy's effectiveness over historical periods and optimize the input parameters (e.g., multipliers, stop-loss level).
Customization:
The strategy allows for the adjustment of several key input values via the settings panel:
Take Profit Multipliers: Users can customize the multipliers for each take-profit level (TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4).
Stop Loss Percentage: The user can also adjust the stop-loss percentage to a custom value.
EMA Periods: The default periods for the EMA 50 and EMA 20 are fixed, but they can be adjusted for different market conditions.
Pros of the Strategy:
EMA Crossover Strategy: A classic and well-known strategy used by traders to identify the start of new trends.
Multiple Take Profit Levels: By taking profits progressively at different levels, the strategy locks in gains as the price moves in favor of the position.
Clear Trend Identification: The use of green and red bars makes it visually easier to follow the market's direction.
Risk Management: The stop-loss and take-profit features help to manage risk and optimize profit-taking.
Cons of the Strategy:
Lagging Indicators: The strategy relies on EMAs, which are lagging indicators. This means that the strategy might enter trades after the trend has already started, leading to missed opportunities or less-than-ideal entry prices.
No Confirmation Indicators: The strategy purely depends on the crossover of two EMAs and does not use other confirming indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD), which might lead to false signals in volatile markets.
How to Use in Real-Time Trading:
Use for Backtesting: Initially, use this strategy in backtest mode to understand how it would have performed historically with your preferred settings.
Paper Trading: Once comfortable, you can use paper trading to test the strategy in real-time market conditions without risking real money.
Live Trading: After testing and optimizing the strategy, you can consider using it for live trading with proper risk management in place (e.g., starting with a small position size and adjusting parameters as needed).
Summary:
This strategy is designed to identify trend reversals using EMA crossovers, with customizable take-profit levels and a stop-loss to manage risk. It's well-suited for traders looking for a systematic way to enter and exit trades based on clear market signals, while also providing flexibility to adjust for different risk profiles and trading styles.
Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPXThe Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPX is a complete trading algorithm designed to identify traits and offer actionable alerts for the SPX index. This Pine Script approach leverages superior technical signs and user-described parameters to evolve to marketplace conditions and optimize performance.
Key Features and Functionality
Dynamic Trend Detection: Utilizes a dual EMA-based totally adaptive method for fashion calculation.
The script smooths volatility the usage of an EMA filter and adjusts sensitivity through the sensitivity enter. This allows for real-time adaptability to market fluctuations.
Trend Filters for Precision:
SMA Filter: A Simple Moving Average (SMA) guarantees that trades are achieved best while the rate aligns with the shifting average trend, minimizing false indicators.
MACD Filter: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) adds some other layer of confirmation with the aid of requiring alignment among the MACD line and its sign line.
Signal Generation:
Long Signals: Triggered when the fashion transitions from bearish to bullish, with all filters confirming the pass.
Short Signals: Triggered while the trend shifts from bullish to bearish, imparting opportunities for final positions.
User Customization:
Adjustable parameters for EMAs, smoothing duration, and sensitivity make certain the strategy can adapt to numerous buying and selling patterns.
Enable or disable filters (SMA or MACD) based totally on particular market conditions or consumer possibilities.
Leverage and Position Sizing: Incorporates a leverage aspect for dynamic position sizing.
Automatically calculates the exchange length based on account fairness and the leverage element, making sure hazard control is in area.
Visual Enhancements: Plots adaptive fashion ranges (foundation, top, decrease) for actual-time insights into marketplace conditions.
Color-coded bars and heritage to visually represent bullish or bearish developments.
Custom labels indicating crossover and crossunder occasions for clean sign visualization.
Alerts and Automation: Configurable alerts for each lengthy and quick indicators, well matched with automated buying and selling structures like plugpine.Com.
JSON-based alert messages consist of account credentials, motion type, and calculated position length for seamless integration.
Backtesting and Realistic Assumptions: Includes practical slippage, commissions, and preliminary capital settings for backtesting accuracy.
Leverages excessive-frequency trade sampling to make certain strong strategy assessment.
How It Works
Trend Calculation: The method derives a principal trend basis with the aid of combining fast and gradual EMAs. It then uses marketplace volatility to calculate adaptive upper and decrease obstacles, creating a dynamic channel.
Filter Integration: SMA and MACD filters work in tandem with the fashion calculation to ensure that handiest excessive-probability signals are accomplished.
Signal Execution: Signals are generated whilst the charge breaches those dynamic tiers and aligns with the fashion and filters, ensuring sturdy change access situations.
How to Use
Setup: Apply the approach to SPX or other well suited indices.
Adjust person inputs, together with ATR length, EMA smoothing, and sensitivity, to align together with your buying and selling possibilities.
Enable or disable the SMA and MACD filters to test unique setups.
Alerts: Configure signals for computerized notifications or direct buying and selling execution through third-celebration systems.
Use the supplied JSON payload to integrate with broking APIs or automation tools.
Optimization:
Experiment with leverage, filter out settings, and sensitivity to find most effective configurations to your hazard tolerance and marketplace situations.
Considerations and Best Practices
Risk Management: Always backtest the method with realistic parameters, together with conservative leverage and commissions.
Market Suitability: While designed for SPX, this method can adapt to other gadgets by means of adjusting key parameters.
Limitations: The method is trend-following and can underperform in enormously risky or ranging markets. Regularly evaluate and modify parameters primarily based on recent market conduct.
If you have any questions please let me know - I'm here to help!
BullBear with Volume-Percentile TP - Strategy [presentTrading] Happy New Year, everyone! I hope we have a fantastic year ahead.
It's been a while since I published an open script, but it's time to return.
This strategy introduces an indicator called Bull Bear Power, combined with an advanced take-profit system, which is the main innovative and educational aspect of this script. I hope all of you find some useful insights here. Welcome to engage in meaningful exchanges. This is a versatile tool suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
Unlike traditional strategies that rely solely on price or volume indicators, this approach combines Bull Bear Power (BBP) with volume percentile analysis to identify optimal entry and exit points. It features a dynamic take-profit mechanism based on ATR (Average True Range) multipliers adjusted by volume and percentile factors, ensuring adaptability to diverse market conditions. This multifaceted strategy not only improves signal accuracy but also optimizes risk management, distinguishing it from conventional trading methods.
BTCUSD 6hr performance
Disable the visualization of Bull Bear Power (BBP) to clearly view the Z-Score.
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP utilizes several interconnected components to analyze market data and generate trading signals. Here's an overview with essential equations:
🔶 Core Indicators and Calculations
1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
- **Purpose:** Smoothens price data to identify trends.
- **Formula:**
EMA_t = (Close_t * (2 / (lengthInput + 1))) + (EMA_(t-1) * (1 - (2 / (lengthInput + 1))))
- Usage: Baseline for Bull and Bear Power.
2. Bull and Bear Power:
- Bull Power: `BullPower = High_t - EMA_t`
- Bear Power: `BearPower = Low_t - EMA_t`
- BBP:** `BBP = BullPower + BearPower`
- Interpretation: Positive BBP indicates bullish strength, negative indicates bearish.
3. Z-Score Calculation:
- Purpose: Normalizes BBP to assess deviation from the mean.
- Formula:
Z-Score = (BBP_t - bbp_mean) / bbp_std
- Components:
- `bbp_mean` = SMA of BBP over `zLength` periods.
- `bbp_std` = Standard deviation of BBP over `zLength` periods.
- Usage: Identifies overbought or oversold conditions based on thresholds.
🔶 Volume Analysis
1. Volume Moving Average (`vol_sma`):
vol_sma = (Volume_1 + Volume_2 + ... + Volume_vol_period) / vol_period
2. Volume Multiplier (`vol_mult`):
vol_mult = Current Volume / vol_sma
- Thresholds:
- High Volume: `vol_mult > 2.0`
- Medium Volume: `1.5 < vol_mult ≤ 2.0`
- Low Volume: `1.0 < vol_mult ≤ 1.5`
🔶 Percentile Analysis
1. Percentile Calculation (`calcPercentile`):
Percentile = (Number of values ≤ Current Value / perc_period) * 100
2. Thresholds:
- High Percentile: >90%
- Medium Percentile: >80%
- Low Percentile: >70%
🔶 Dynamic Take-Profit Mechanism
1. ATR-Based Targets:
TP1 Price = Entry Price ± (ATR * atrMult1 * TP_Factor)
TP2 Price = Entry Price ± (ATR * atrMult2 * TP_Factor)
TP3 Price = Entry Price ± (ATR * atrMult3 * TP_Factor)
- ATR Calculation:
ATR_t = (True Range_1 + True Range_2 + ... + True Range_baseAtrLength) / baseAtrLength
2. Adjustment Factors:
TP_Factor = (vol_score + price_score) / 2
- **vol_score** and **price_score** are based on current volume and price percentiles.
Local performance
🔶 Entry and Exit Logic
1. Long Entry: If Z-Score crosses above 1.618, then Enter Long.
2. Short Entry: If Z-Score crosses below -1.618, then Enter Short.
3. Exiting Positions:
If Long and Z-Score crosses below 0:
Exit Long
If Short and Z-Score crosses above 0:
Exit Short
4. Take-Profit Execution:
- Set multiple exit orders at dynamically calculated TP levels based on ATR and adjusted by `TP_Factor`.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy determines trade direction using the Z-Score from the BBP indicator:
- Long Positions:
- Condition: Z-Score crosses above 1.618.
- Short Positions:
- Condition: Z-Score crosses below -1.618.
- Exiting Trades:
- Long Exit: Z-Score drops below 0.
- Short Exit: Z-Score rises above 0.
This approach aligns trades with prevailing market trends, increasing the likelihood of successful outcomes.
█ Usage
Implementing the BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP in TradingView involves:
1. Adding the Strategy:
- Copy the Pine Script code.
- Paste it into TradingView's Pine Editor.
- Save and apply the strategy to your chart.
2. Configuring Settings:
- Adjust parameters like EMA length, Z-Score thresholds, ATR multipliers, volume periods, and percentile settings to match your trading preferences and asset behavior.
3. Backtesting:
- Use TradingView’s backtesting tools to evaluate historical performance.
- Analyze metrics such as profit factor, drawdown, and win rate.
4. Optimization:
- Fine-tune parameters based on backtesting results.
- Test across different assets and timeframes to enhance adaptability.
5. Deployment:
- Apply the strategy in a live trading environment.
- Continuously monitor and adjust settings as market conditions change.
█ Default Settings
The BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP includes default parameters designed for balanced performance across various markets. Understanding these settings and their impact is essential for optimizing strategy performance:
Bull Bear Power Settings:
- EMA Length (`lengthInput`): 21
- **Effect:** Balances sensitivity and trend identification; shorter lengths respond quicker but may generate false signals.
- Z-Score Length (`zLength`): 252
- **Effect:** Long period for stable mean and standard deviation, reducing false signals but less responsive to recent changes.
- Z-Score Threshold (`zThreshold`): 1.618
- **Effect:** Higher threshold filters out weaker signals, focusing on significant market moves.
Take Profit Settings:
- Use Take Profit (`useTP`): Enabled (`true`)
- **Effect:** Activates dynamic profit-taking, enhancing profitability and risk management.
- ATR Period (`baseAtrLength`): 20
- **Effect:** Shorter period for sensitive volatility measurement, allowing tighter profit targets.
- ATR Multipliers:
- **Effect:** Define conservative to aggressive profit targets based on volatility.
- Position Sizes:
- **Effect:** Diversifies profit-taking across multiple levels, balancing risk and reward.
Volume Analysis Settings:
- Volume MA Period (`vol_period`): 100
- **Effect:** Longer period for stable volume average, reducing the impact of short-term spikes.
- Volume Multipliers:
- **Effect:** Determines volume conditions affecting take-profit adjustments.
- Volume Factors:
- **Effect:** Adjusts ATR multipliers based on volume strength.
Percentile Analysis Settings:
- Percentile Period (`perc_period`): 100
- **Effect:** Balances historical context with responsiveness to recent data.
- Percentile Thresholds:
- **Effect:** Defines price and volume percentile levels influencing take-profit adjustments.
- Percentile Factors:
- **Effect:** Modulates ATR multipliers based on price percentile strength.
Impact on Performance:
- EMA Length: Shorter EMAs increase sensitivity but may cause more false signals; longer EMAs provide stability but react slower to market changes.
- Z-Score Parameters:*Longer Z-Score periods create more stable signals, while higher thresholds reduce trade frequency but increase signal reliability.
- ATR Multipliers and Position Sizes: Higher multipliers allow for larger profit targets with increased risk, while diversified position sizes help in securing profits at multiple levels.
- Volume and Percentile Settings: These adjustments ensure that take-profit targets adapt to current market conditions, enhancing flexibility and performance across different volatility environments.
- Commission and Slippage: Accurate settings prevent overestimation of profitability and ensure the strategy remains viable after accounting for trading costs.
Conclusion
The BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP offers a robust framework by combining BBP indicators with volume and percentile analyses. Its dynamic take-profit mechanism, tailored through ATR adjustments, ensures that traders can effectively capture profits while managing risks in varying market conditions.
Fibonacci Retracement Strategy for CryptoThe Enhanced Fibonacci Retracement Strategy is designed to help traders capitalize on key Fibonacci levels for both long and short trades. This script automatically identifies significant swing highs and lows within a customizable lookback period and dynamically plots Fibonacci retracement levels (0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, and 100%) as support and resistance levels.
Key Features:
Automatic Fibonacci Levels:
The script identifies the highest high and lowest low over a user-defined lookback period to calculate Fibonacci retracement levels.
Dual-Directional Trading:
Long Trades: Triggered when the price crosses above the 61.8% retracement level, anticipating a reversal.
Short Trades: Triggered when the price crosses below the 38.2% retracement level, capturing potential downward movement.
Compact Line Option:
Users can toggle "Compact Fibonacci Lines" to reduce visual clutter on the chart, making the lines shorter and easier to interpret.
Dynamic Alerts:
Alerts are embedded directly into the strategy logic for entry and exit points.
Long Entry: Triggered when the price bounces above the 61.8% level.
Long Exit: Triggered when the price reaches the 23.6% level.
Short Entry: Triggered when the price crosses below the 38.2% level.
Short Exit: Triggered when the price reaches the 78.6% level.
Clear Visualization:
Fibonacci levels are plotted with distinct colors and dashed lines (optional compact view),
providing traders with clear and actionable levels to make decisions.
Inputs:
Lookback Period: Number of candles to calculate swing highs and lows.
Plot Fibonacci Levels: Toggle to enable/disable plotting levels.
Compact Fibonacci Lines: Reduce the length of Fibonacci lines for a cleaner chart.
How It Works:
The strategy identifies a high-low range within the lookback period.
Fibonacci levels are calculated based on the range and plotted on the chart.
Long Trade Example:
Enter when the price crosses above the 61.8% level.
Exit when the price reaches the 23.6% level.
Short Trade Example:
Enter when the price crosses below the 38.2% level.
Exit when the price reaches the 78.6% level.
Best Use Cases:
Trending Markets: Use retracements to time entries in the direction of the trend.
Range-Bound Markets: Identify and trade reversals near key Fibonacci levels.
Important Notes:
This strategy is not financial advice and should be backtested thoroughly before live trading.
Risk management is crucial! Consider using stop-loss orders for protection.
Customize inputs to suit your preferred timeframe and trading style.
Enhanced Gold Scalping Strategy (Backtest with Time Filter)Enhanced Gold Scalping Strategy (Backtest with Time Filter)
This script is a scalping strategy designed specifically for trading gold on lower timeframes, incorporating popular technical indicators and a session filter for optimal performance. The strategy aims to achieve consistency by combining trend-following and volatility-based conditions.
Key Features:
Indicators Used:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Filters trades based on the trend direction using a 50-period EMA.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Ensures trades are taken in favorable momentum conditions (above 30 for longs and below 70 for shorts).
MACD Crossover: Identifies potential trade entries based on MACD line crossing above/below the signal line.
Average True Range (ATR): Used to dynamically calculate Stop Loss and Take Profit levels and ensure trades occur in high-volatility conditions.
Risk-Reward Optimization:
The strategy uses a customizable Risk-Reward Ratio (default is 2:1) for setting Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels, ensuring that winning trades outweigh losses.
Volatility Filter:
Trades are only executed when the current ATR exceeds the 14-period ATR moving average by a defined threshold, filtering out low-volatility periods.
Session Filter:
The strategy only trades during active market hours (8:00 AM to 8:00 PM Amsterdam Time) on weekdays. This ensures trades align with periods of high liquidity and market activity.
Dynamic Entry and Exit Levels:
SL and TP levels are plotted dynamically on the chart to provide a clear visual of potential risk and reward for each trade.
Buy and Sell Signals:
Visual markers (green triangles for buy, red triangles for sell) on the chart to highlight entry points for better trade visibility.
How It Works:
Long Conditions:
MACD crossover (MACD line above the signal line).
RSI above 30.
Price is above the 50-period EMA.
ATR-based volatility condition is met.
Trade must occur within the defined session hours.
Short Conditions:
MACD crossunder (MACD line below the signal line).
RSI below 70.
Price is below the 50-period EMA.
ATR-based volatility condition is met.
Trade must occur within the defined session hours.
The strategy calculates dynamic SL and TP levels based on the ATR, ensuring flexibility to market conditions.
Customization Options:
EMA length, RSI length, and MACD parameters.
Risk-Reward Ratio for SL/TP calculations.
Volatility threshold for filtering trades.
Session start and end times for active trading hours.
Recommended Use:
Best suited for scalping gold on lower timeframes (15-min charts).
Disclaimer:
This strategy is intended for educational and backtesting purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use appropriate risk management and test thoroughly before applying to live trading.
EMA SHIFT & PARALLEL [n_dot]BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
This strategy was developed for CRYPTO FUTURES, (the settings for ETHUSDT.P) . I aimed for the strategy to function in a live environment, so I focused on making its operation realistic:
When determining the position, only 80% (adjustable) of the available cash is invested to reduce the risk of position liquidation.
I account for a 0.05% commission, typical on the futures market, for each entry and exit.
Concept:
I modified a simple, well-known method: the crossover of two exponential moving averages (FAST, SLOW) generates the entry and exit signals.
I enhanced the base idea as follows:
For the fast EMA, I incorporated a multiplier (offset) to filter out market noise and focus only on strong signals.
I use different EMAs for long and short entry points; both have their own FAST and SLOW EMAs and their own offset. For longs, the FAST EMA is adjusted downward (<1), while for shorts, it is adjusted upward (>1). Consequently, the signal is generated when the modified FAST EMA crosses the SLOW EMA.
Risk Management:
The position includes the following components:
Separate stop-losses for long and short positions.
Separate trailers for long and short positions.
The strategy operates so that the entry point is determined by the EMA crossover, while the exit is governed only by the Stop Loss or Trailer. Optionally, it can be set to close the position at the EMA recrossing ("Close at Signal").
Trailer Operation:
An entry percentage and offset are defined. The trailer activates when the price surpasses the entry price, calculated automatically by the system.
The trailer closes the position when the price drops by the offset percentage from the highest reached price.
Example for trailer:
Purchase Price = 100
Trailer Enter = 5% → Activation Price = 105 (triggers trailer if market price crosses it).
Trailer Offset = 2%
If the price rises to 110, the exit price becomes 107.8.
If the price goes to 120, the exit price becomes 117.6.
If the price falls below 117.6, the trailer closes the position.
Settings:
Source: Determines the market price reference.
End Close: Closes positions at the end of the simulation to avoid "shadow positions" and provide an objective result.
Lot proportional to free cash (%): Only a portion of free cash is invested to meet margin requirements.
Plot Short, Plot Long: Simplifies displayed information by toggling indicator lines on/off.
Long Position (toggleable):
EMA Fast ws: Window size for FAST EMA.
EMA Slow ws: Window size for SLOW EMA.
EMA Fast down shift: Adjustment factor for FAST EMA.
Stop Loss long (%): Percent drop to close the position.
Trailer enter (%): Percent above the purchase price to activate the trailer.
Trailer offset (%): Percent drop to close the position.
Short Position (toggleable):
EMA Fast ws: Window size for FAST EMA.
EMA Slow ws: Window size for SLOW EMA.
EMA Fast up shift: Adjustment factor for FAST EMA.
Stop Loss short (%): Percent rise to close the position.
Trailer enter (%): Percent below the purchase price to activate the trailer.
Trailer offset (%): Percent rise to close the position.
Operational Framework:
If in a long position and a short EMA crossover occurs, the strategy closes the long and opens a short (flip).
If in a short position and a long EMA crossover occurs, the strategy closes the short and opens a long (flip).
A position can close in three ways:
Stop Loss
Trailer
Signal Recrossing
If none are active, the position remains open until the end of the simulation.
Observations:
Shifts significantly deviating from 1 increase overfitting risk. Recommended ranges: 0.96–0.99 (long) and 1.01–1.05 (short).
The strategy's advantage lies in risk management, crucial in leveraged futures markets. It operates with relatively low DrawDown.
Recommendations:
Bullish Market: Higher entry threshold (e.g., 6%) and larger offset (e.g., 3%).
Volatile/Sideways Market: Tighter parameters (e.g., 3%, 1%).
The method is stable, and minor parameter adjustments do not significantly impact results, helping assess overfitting: if small changes lead to drastic differences, the strategy is over-optimized.
EMA Settings: Adjust FAST and SLOW EMAs based on the asset's volatility and cyclicality.
On the crypto market, especially in the Futures market, short time periods (1–15 minutes) often show significant noise, making patterns/repetitions hard to identify. I recommend setting the interval to at least 1 hour.
I hope this contributes to your success!
DCA Buy v1Key Features
1. Selective Entry Filters
Trend Filter
Enabled through "Enable Trend Filter?" using the "EMA Length" setting to ensure entries align with prevailing trends.
Momentum Filter
Configured using "Enable Momentum Filter?" combined with "RSI Length" and "RSI Source" to detect oversold conditions.
Bollinger Filter
Activated via "Enable Bollinger Filter?" along with "BB Length" and "BB Multiplier" to focus entries on deeper price dips below Bollinger Bands.
2. DCA Configuration
Base Order Settings
Choose between a percentage ("Base Order % of Equity/Initial Capital") or fixed value ("Base Order Value ($)").
Safety Order Settings
Fine-tune "Initial Deviation (%)" and "Price Deviation Multiplier" to control the spacing of safety orders.
Use "Volume Scaling Factor (Qty)" to scale the size of each subsequent safety order.
Customize the "First Safety Order Type" as either value-based or a multiplier of the base order using "1st Safety Order Value ($)" or "1st Safety Order Multiplier (Qty)".
Set the maximum number of safety orders through "Max Safety Orders".
3. Profit and Risk Management
Take Profit Settings
"Take Profit (%)" triggers a sell when a specific profit percentage above the average entry is reached.
Use "Trailing Take Profit (%)" to lock in profits while capturing additional upside if prices continue to rise.
Stop Loss Settings
Configure "Stop Loss (%)" to prevent excessive drawdowns by closing all positions when prices drop below a defined percentage.
4. Time Control & Visualization
Time Filters
Define trading windows with "Start Time" and "End Time".
Use "Cooldown (Seconds)" to avoid frequent entries during rapid price movements.
Visualization
Enable "Show Average Entry Price", "Show Take Profit Level", and "Show Stop Loss Level" to plot key levels on the chart for better monitoring.
5. Performance Metrics
Built-in performance tracking includes:
Net Profit (%): Measures overall profitability.
Win Rate (%): Displays the ratio of winning trades.
Max Drawdown (%): Tracks the largest equity decline.
Trading Days: Calculates the duration of active trades.
Profit/Day (%): Evaluates daily returns.
The performance table also shows average cycle duration and utilization of available capital.
DCA Strategy with HedgingThis strategy implements a dynamic hedging system with Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) based on the 34 EMA. It can hold simultaneous long and short positions, making it suitable for ranging and trending markets.
Key Features:
Uses 34 EMA as baseline indicator
Implements hedging with simultaneous long/short positions
Dynamic DCA for position management
Automatic take-profit adjustments
Entry confirmation using 3-candle rule
How it Works
Long Entries:
Opens when price closes above 34 EMA for 3 candles
Adds positions every 0.1% price drop
Takes profit at 0.05% above average entry
Short Entries:
Opens when price closes below 34 EMA for 3 candles
Adds positions every 0.1% price rise
Takes profit at 0.05% below average entry
Settings
EMA Length: Controls the EMA period (default: 34)
DCA Interval: Price movement needed for additional entries (default: 0.1%)
Take Profit: Profit target from average entry (default: 0.05%)
Initial Position: Starting position size (default: 1.0)
Indicators
L: Long Entry
DL: Long DCA
S: Short Entry
DS: Short DCA
LTP: Long Take Profit
STP: Short Take Profit
Alerts
Compatible with all standard TradingView alerts:
Position Opens (Long/Short)
DCA Entries
Take Profit Hits
Note: This strategy works best on lower timeframes with high liquidity pairs. Adjust parameters based on asset volatility.
[3Commas] DCA Bot TesterDCA Bot Tester
🔷What it does: A tool designed to simulate the behavior of a Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy based on input signals from a source indicator. Additionally, it enables you to send activation signals to 3Commas Bots via TradingView webhooks.
🔷Who is it for: This tool is ideal for those who want a visual representation and strategy report of how a DCA Bot would perform under specific conditions. By adjusting the parameters, you can assess whether the strategy aligns with your risk/reward expectations before implementation, helping you save time and protect your capital.
🔷How does it work: The tool leverages a pyramiding function to simulate price averaging, mimicking how a DCA Bot operates. It calculates volume-based averaging and, upon reaching the target, closes the positions. Conversely, if the target isn't reached, a Stop Loss is triggered, potentially resulting in significant losses if improperly configured.
🔷Why It’s Unique
Easy visualization of DCA Bot entry and exit points according to user preferences.
DCA Bot Summary table same as the one shown in the new 3Commas interface.
Use plots from other indicators as Entry Trigger Source, with a small modification of the code.
Option to Review message format before sending Signals to 3Commas. Compatibility with Multi-Pair, and futures contract pairs.
Option to filter signals by session and day according to the user’s timezone.
👉 Before continuing with the explanation of the tool, please take a few minutes to read this information, paying special attention to the risks of using DCA strategies.
DCA Bot: What is it, how does it work, and what are its advantages and risks?
A DCA Bot is an automated tool designed to simplify and optimize your trading operations, particularly in cryptocurrencies. Based on the concept of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) , this bot implements scaled strategies that allow you to distribute your investments intelligently. The key lies in dividing your capital into multiple orders, known as base orders and safety orders, which are executed at different price levels depending on market conditions.
These bots are highly customizable, meaning you can adapt them to your goals and trading style, whether you're operating Long (expecting a price increase) or Short (expecting a price decrease). Their primary purpose is to reduce the impact of entries that move against the estimated direction and ensure you achieve a more favorable average price.
🔸 Key Features of DCA Bots
Customizable configuration: DCA bots allow you to adjust the size of your initial investment, the number of safety orders, and the price levels at which these orders execute. These orders can be equal or incremental, depending on your risk tolerance.
Scaled safety orders: If the asset's price moves against your position, the bot executes safety orders at strategic levels to average your entry price and increase your chances of closing in profit.
Automatic Take Profit: When the predefined profit level is reached, the bot closes the position, ensuring net gains by averaging all entries made using the DCA strategy.
Stop Loss option: To protect your capital, you can set a stop loss level that limits losses if the market moves drastically against your position.
Flexibility: Bots can integrate with 3Commas technical indicators or external signals from TradingView, allowing you to trade in any trend, whether bullish or bearish.
Support for multiple assets: You can trade cryptocurrency pairs and exchanges compatible with 3Commas, offering a wide range of possibilities to diversify your strategies.
✅ Advantages of DCA Bots
Time-saving automation: DCA bots eliminate the need for constant market monitoring, executing your trades automatically and efficiently based on predefined settings.
Favorable averages in volatile markets: By averaging your entries, the bot can offer more competitive prices even under adverse market conditions. This increases your chances of recovering a position and closing it profitably.
Advanced capital management: With customizable settings, you can adjust the size of base and safety orders to optimize capital usage and reduce risk.
Additional protection: The ability to set a stop loss ensures your losses are limited, safeguarding your capital in extreme scenarios.
⚠️ Risks of Using a DCA Bot
Requires significant capital: Safety orders can accumulate quickly if the price moves against your position. This issue is compounded if increasing amounts are used for safety orders, which can immobilize large portions of capital in adverse markets.
Markets lacking clear direction: During consolidation periods or erratic movements, the bot may generate unrealized losses and make position recovery difficult.
Opportunity cost: Investing in an asset that doesn't show favorable behavior can prevent you from seizing opportunities in other markets.
Emotional pressure: Large investments in advanced stages of the DCA strategy can cause stress, especially if an asset takes too long to reach your take profit level.
Dependence on market recovery: DCA assumes that the price will eventually move in your favor, which does not always happen, especially in assets without solid fundamentals.
📖 Key Considerations for Effectively Using a DCA Bot
Use small amounts for your base and safety orders: Setting small initial orders not only limits capital usage but also allows you to manage multiple bots simultaneously, maximizing portfolio diversification.
Capital management: Define a clear budget and never risk more than you are willing to lose. This is essential for maintaining sustainable operations.
Select assets with strong fundamentals: Apply DCA to assets you understand and that have solid fundamentals and a proven historical growth record. Additionally, analyze each cryptocurrency's fundamentals: What problem does it solve? Does it have a clear use case? Is it viable in the long term? These questions will help you make more informed decisions.
Diversification: Do not concentrate all your capital on a single asset or strategy. Spread your risk across multiple bots or assets.
Monitor regularly: While bots are automated and eliminate the need to monitor the market constantly, it is essential to monitor the bots themselves to ensure they are performing as expected. This includes reviewing their performance and making adjustments if market conditions change. Remember, the goal is to automate trades, but active bot management is crucial to avoid surprises.
A DCA Bot is a powerful tool for traders looking to automate their strategies and reduce the impact of market fluctuations. However, like any tool, its success depends on how it is configured and used. By applying solid capital management principles, carefully selecting assets, and using small amounts in your orders, you can maximize its potential and minimize risks.
🔷FEATURES & HOW TO USE
🔸Strategy: Here you must select the type of signal you are going to analyze and send signals to the DCA Bot, either Long for buy signals or Short for sell signals. This must match the Bot created in 3Commas.
🔸Add a Source Indicator for Entry Triggers
Tradingview allows us to use indicator plots as a source in other indicators, we will use this functionality so that the buy or sell signals of an indicator are processed by the DCA Bot Tester.
In this EXAMPLE we will use a simple strategy that uses a Donchian Channel (DC) and an Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Trigger to buy or long signal will be when: the price closes above the previous upper level and the average of the upper and lower level (basis) is greater than the EMA.
Trigger sell or short signal will be when: the price closes below the previous lower level and the average of the upper and lower level (basis) is less than the EMA.
trigger_buy = ta.crossover (close,upper ) and basis > ema and barstate.isconfirmed
trigger_sell = ta.crossunder(close,lower ) and basis < ema and barstate.isconfirmed
Then we create the plots that will be used as input source in the DCA Bot Tester indicator.
When a buy condition is given the plot "🟢 Trigger Buy" will have a value of 1 otherwise it will remain at 0.
When a sell condition is given the plot "🔴 Trigger Sell" will have a value of -1 otherwise it will remain at 0.
plot(trigger_buy ? 1 : 0 , '🟢 Trigger Buy' , color = na, display = display.data_window)
plot(trigger_sell? -1 : 0 , '🔴 Trigger Sell', color = na, display = display.data_window)
Here you have the complete code so you can use it and do tests. Basically you just have to define the buy or sell conditions of your preferred indicator or strategy and then create the plots with the same format that will be used in DCA Bot Tester.
//@version=6
indicator(title="Simple Strategy Example", overlay= false)
// Indicator and Signal Triggers
length = input.int(10, title = "DC Length" , display = display.none)
length_ema = input.int(50, title = "EMA Length", display = display.none)
lower = ta.lowest (length)
upper = ta.highest(length)
ema = ta.ema (close, length_ema)
basis = math.avg (upper, lower)
plot(basis, "Basis", color = color.orange, display = display.all-display.status_line)
plot(upper, "Upper", color = color.blue , display = display.all-display.status_line)
plot(lower, "Lower", color = color.blue , display = display.all-display.status_line)
plot(ema , "EMA" , color = color.red , display = display.all-display.status_line)
candlecol = open < close ? color.teal : color.red
plotcandle(open, high, low, close, title='Candles', color = candlecol, wickcolor = candlecol, bordercolor = candlecol, display = display.pane)
trigger_buy = ta.crossover (close,upper ) and basis > ema and barstate.isconfirmed
trigger_sell = ta.crossunder(close,lower ) and basis < ema and barstate.isconfirmed
plotshape(trigger_buy ?close:na, title="Label Buy" , style=shape.labelup , location= location.belowbar, color=color.green, text="B", textcolor=color.white, display=display.pane)
plotshape(trigger_sell?close:na, title="Label Sell", style=shape.labeldown, location= location.abovebar, color=color.red , text="S", textcolor=color.white, display=display.pane)
// ――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
// 👇 Plots to be used in the DCA Bot Indicator as source triggers.
// ――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
plot(trigger_buy ? 1 : 0 , '🟢 Trigger Buy' , color = na, display = display.data_window)
plot(trigger_sell? -1 : 0 , '🔴 Trigger Sell', color = na, display = display.data_window)
To use the example code
Open the Pine Editor, paste the code and then click Add to chart.
Then in the Plot Entry Trigger Source option, we will select 🟢 Trigger Buy, as the plot that will give us the buy signals when it is worth 1, otherwise for the sell signals you must change the value to -1 in the Plot Entry Trigger Value and remember to change the strategy mode to Short.
🔸DCA Settings: Here you need to configure the DCA values of the strategy, you can see the meaning of each value in the Settings Section. Once you are satisfied with the tests configure the 3Commas DCA Bot with the same values so that the Summary Table matches the 3Commas Table. Pay close attention to the Total Volume that the Bot will use, according to the amount of Safety Orders you are going to execute, and that all the values in the table adapt to your risk tolerance.
🔸DCA Bot Deal Start: Once you create the Bot in 3Commas with the same settings it will give you a Deal Start Message, you must copy and paste it in this section, verify that it is the same in the summary table, this is used to be sent through tradingview alerts to the Bot and it can process the signals.
🔸DCA Bot Multi-Pair: A Multi-Pair Bot allows you to manage several pairs with a single bot, but you must specify which pair it will run on. You must activate it if you want to use the signals in a DCA Bot Multi-pair. In the text box you must enter (using the 3Commas format) the symbol for each pair before you create the alert so that the bot understands which pair to work on.
In the following image we would be configuring the indicator to send a signal to activate the bot in the BTCUSDT pair using the given format it would be USDT_BTC, but if we wanted to send a signal in another pair we must change the pair in the chart and also in the configuration, an example with ETHUSDT would be USDT_ETH. After this we could create the alert, and the Mult-Pair Bot would detect it correctly.
🔸Strategy Tester Filters: This is useful if you want to test the strategy's result on a certain time window, the indicator will only enter this range. If disabled it will use all historical data available on the chart. If you are going to use the tool to send signals, make sure to disable the Use Custom Test Period. If you want the entries to only run at a certain time and day, in that case make sure that the timezone matches the one you are using in the chart.
🔸Properties: Adjust your initial capital and exchange commission appropriately to achieve realistic results.
🔸Create alerts to trigger the DCA Bot
Check that the message is the same as the one indicated by the DCA Bot.
In the case of Multi-Pair, enable the option to add the symbol with the correct format.
When creating an alert, select Any alert() function call.
Enter the any name of the alert.
Open the Notifications tab and enable Webhook URL
Paste Webhook URL provided by 3Commas looking in the section How to use TradingView custom signals.
Done, alerts will be sent with the correct format automatically to 3Commas.
🔷 INDICATOR SETTINGS
🔸3Commas DCA Bot Settings
Strategy: Select the direction of the strategy to test Long or Short, this must be the same as the Bot created in 3Commas, so that the signals are processed properly.
DCA Bot Deal Start: Copy and paste the message for the deal start signal of the DCA Bot you created in 3Commas. This is the message that will be sent with the alert to the Bot, you must verify that it is the same as the 3Commas bot so that it can process properly so that it executes and starts the trade.
DCA Bot Multi-Pair: A Multi-Pair Bot allows you to manage several pairs with a single bot, but you must specify which pair it will run on.
DCA Bot Summary Table: Here you can activate the display of table as well as change the size, position, text color and background color.
🔸Source Indicator Settings
Plot Entry Trigger Source: Select a Plot for Entries of the Source Indicator. This refers to the Long or Short entry signal that the indicator will use as BO (Base Order).
Plot Entry Trigger Value: Value of the Source Indicator to Deal Start Condition Trigger. The default value is 1, this means that when a signal is given for example Long in the source indicator, we will use 1 or for Short -1 if there is no signal it will be 0 so it will not execute any entry, please review the example code and adjust the indicator you are going to use in the same way.
🔸DCA Settings
Base Order: The Base Order is the first order the bot will create when starting a new deal.
Safety Order: Enter the amount of funds your safety orders will use to average the cost of the asset being traded.Safety orders are also known as Dollar Cost Averaging and help when prices move in the opposite direction to your bot's take profit target.
Safety Orders Deviation %: Enter the percentage difference in price to create the first Safety Order. All Safety Orders are calculated from the price the initial Base Order was filled on the exchange account.
Safety Orders Max Count: This is the total number of Safety Orders the bot is allowed to use per deal that is opened. All Safety Orders created by the bot are placed as Limit Orders on the exchange's order book.
Safety Orders Volume Scale: The Safety Order Volume Scale is used to multiply the amount of funds used by the last Safety Order that was created. Using a larger amount of funds for Safety Orders allows your bot to be more aggressive at Dollar Cost Averaging the price of the asset being traded.
Safety Orders Step Scale: The Safety Order Step Scale is used to multiply the Price Deviation percentage used by the last Safety Order placed on the exchange account. Using a larger value here will reduce the amount of Safety Orders your bot will require to cover a larger move in price in the opposite direction to the active deal's take profit target.
Take Profit %: The Take Profit section offers tools for flexible management of target parameters: automatic profit upon reaching one or more target levels in percentage.
Stop Loss % | Use SL: To enable Stop Loss, please check the "Use SL" box. This is the percentage that price needs to move in the opposite direction to close the deal at a loss. This must be greater than the sum of the deviations from the safety orders.
🔸Strategy Tester Filters
Use Custom Test Period: When enabled signals only works in the selected time window.. If disabled it will use all historical data available on the chart.
Test Start and End: Once the Custom Test Period is enabled, here you select the start and end date that you want to analyze.
Session Filter | Days | Background: Here you can choose a time zone in which signals will be sent or your strategy will be tested, as well as the days and a background of it. It is important that you use the same timezone as your chart so that it matches.
👨🏻💻💭 If this tool helps you, don’t forget to give it a boost! Feel free to share in the comments how you're using it or if you have any questions.
_________________________________________________________________
The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Forex Pair Yield Momentum This Pine Script strategy leverages yield differentials between the 2-year government bond yields of two countries to trade Forex pairs. Yield spreads are widely regarded as a fundamental driver of currency movements, as highlighted by international finance theories like the Interest Rate Parity (IRP), which suggests that currencies with higher yields tend to appreciate due to increased capital flows:
1. Dynamic Yield Spread Calculation:
• The strategy dynamically calculates the yield spread (yield_a - yield_b) for the chosen Forex pair.
• Example: For GBP/USD, the spread equals US 2Y Yield - UK 2Y Yield.
2. Momentum Analysis via Bollinger Bands:
• Yield momentum is computed as the difference between the current spread and its moving
Bollinger Bands are applied to identify extreme deviations:
• Long Entry: When momentum crosses below the lower band.
• Short Entry: When momentum crosses above the upper band.
3. Reversal Logic:
• An optional checkbox reverses the trading logic, allowing long trades at the upper band and short trades at the lower band, accommodating different market conditions.
4. Trade Management:
• Positions are held for a predefined number of bars (hold_periods), and each trade uses a fixed contract size of 100 with a starting capital of $20,000.
Theoretical Basis:
1. Yield Differentials and Currency Movements:
• Empirical studies, such as Clarida et al. (2009), confirm that interest rate differentials significantly impact exchange rate dynamics, especially in carry trade strategies .
• Higher-yields tend to appreciate against lower-yielding currencies due to speculative flows and demand for higher returns.
2. Bollinger Bands for Momentum:
• Bollinger Bands effectively capture deviations in yield momentum, identifying opportunities where price returns to equilibrium (mean reversion) or extends in trend-following scenarios (momentum breakout).
• As Bollinger (2001) emphasized, this tool adapts to market volatility by dynamically adjusting thresholds .
References:
1. Dornbusch, R. (1976). Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics. Journal of Political Economy.
2. Obstfeld, M., & Rogoff, K. (1996). Foundations of International Macroeconomics.
3. Clarida, R., Davis, J., & Pedersen, N. (2009). Currency Carry Trade Regimes. NBER.
4. Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands.
5. Mendelsohn, L. B. (2006). Forex Trading Using Intermarket Analysis.
Buy & Hold aka. HODL StrategyThis is a simply HODL or Buy & Hold strategy, which is super useful to see the risk and reward of such a strategy.
The benefit of using this strategy is that you also get to see the Max Drawdown (Risk).
This way you can compare it to the Net Profit (Reward) and decide if it's worth it for you.
This strategy buys on the Start Date and sells either on the End Date or on the last candle if the End Date is in the future.
Remember that the strategy must close the trade (sell) otherwise you don't see any results in the Strategy Tester (this is how it works).
Engulfing Candlestick StrategyEver wondered whether the Bullish or Bearish Engulfing pattern works or has statistical significance? This script is for you. It works across all markets and timeframes.
The Engulfing Candlestick Pattern is a widely used technical analysis pattern that traders use to predict potential price reversals. It consists of two candles: a small candle followed by a larger one that "engulfs" the previous candle. This pattern is considered bullish when it occurs in a downtrend (bullish engulfing) and bearish when it occurs in an uptrend (bearish engulfing).
Statistical Significance of the Engulfing Pattern:
While many traders rely on candlestick patterns for making decisions, research on the statistical significance of these patterns has produced mixed results. A study by Dimitrios K. Koutoupis and K. M. Koutoupis (2014), titled "Testing the Effectiveness of Candlestick Chart Patterns in Forex Markets," indicates that candlestick patterns, including the engulfing pattern, can provide some predictive power, but their success largely depends on the market conditions and timeframe used. The researchers concluded that while some candlestick patterns can be useful, traders must combine them with other indicators or market knowledge to improve their predictive accuracy.
Another study by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns," explores the profitability of technical indicators, including candlestick patterns, and finds that simple trading rules, such as those based on moving averages or candlestick patterns, can occasionally outperform a random walk in certain market conditions.
However, Jorion (1997), in his work "The Risk of Speculation: The Case of Technical Analysis," warns that the reliability of candlestick patterns, including the engulfing patterns, can vary significantly across different markets and periods. Therefore, it's important to use these patterns as part of a broader trading strategy that includes other risk management techniques and technical indicators.
Application Across Markets:
This script applies to all markets (e.g., stocks, commodities, forex) and timeframes, making it a versatile tool for traders seeking to explore the statistical effectiveness of the bullish and bearish engulfing patterns in their own trading.
Conclusion:
This script allows you to backtest and visualize the effectiveness of the Bullish and Bearish Engulfing patterns across any market and timeframe. While the statistical significance of these patterns may vary, the script provides a clear framework for evaluating their performance in real-time trading conditions. Always remember to combine such patterns with other risk management strategies and indicators to enhance their predictive power.
Daytrading ES Wick Length StrategyThis Pine Script strategy calculates the combined length of upper and lower wicks of candlesticks and uses a customizable moving average (MA) to identify potential long entry points. The strategy compares the total wick length to the MA with an added offset. If the wick length exceeds the offset-adjusted MA, the strategy enters a long position. The position is automatically closed after a user-defined holding period.
Key Features:
1. Calculates the sum of upper and lower wicks for each candlestick.
2. Offers four types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA) for analysis.
3. Allows the user to set a customizable MA length and an offset to shift the MA.
4. Automatically exits positions after a specified number of bars.
5. Visualizes the wick length as a histogram and the offset-adjusted MA as a line.
References:
• Candlestick wick analysis: Nison, S. (1991). Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
• Moving averages: Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). “Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns”. Journal of Finance.
This strategy is suitable for identifying candlesticks with significant volatility and long wicks, which can indicate potential trend reversals or continuations.
