RRP DailyA simple script showing US reverse repurchase agreements and Federal Treasury balance values from FRED.
This script should give a neat overview of how little faith there is in the markets from how much cash is parked in ORRPs.
I made this a while ago as a private script so here it is as a public script.
The indicator is locked to the 1 Day resolution.
Federal Rezerv Ekonomik Veri
US RecessionsThere are a couple of other Pine Scripts on TradingView that others have kindly contributed but they are presently out-dated because they shade recessions based on manual entries of time. Thanks to the availability of pulling data from QUANDL, we can pull official data from FRED on data like US Recessions.
The FRED series data is taken from is here- fred.stlouisfed.org
"Our time series is composed of dummy variables that represent periods of expansion and recession. A value of 1 is a recessionary period, while a value of 0 is an expansionary period. For this time series, the recession begins on the 15th day of the month of the peak and ends on the 15th day of the month of the trough. This time series is a disaggregation of the monthly series."
This series tracks back to 1854, but good luck finding much of any data on TradingView that goes that far back :)
Libor-EFFRThis is the 3-month Libor minus effective federal funds rate. Traders watch certain spreads for a wider spread to indicate a bad economy.
This is a conceptual indicator that tries to make sense of how important a FRA-OIS spread can be, in this case the Libor-EFFR. It may be completely wrong in calculation and understanding :)
en.wikipedia.org
www.investopedia.com
Libor was derived from the TED Spread less 3-month treasury bills due to Quandl missing updated Libor data.
fred.stlouisfed.org
fred.stlouisfed.org
For the OIS, EFFR is used because it has long historical data and is one of (maybe) the rates used for spread. SOFR was not available at the time but it appears that is what is more common nowadays.
A possible derivative of this indicator would be taking Libor and putting it against something else.
US Fed Balance SheetThe United States Fed assets by USD value on their publicly available balance sheet.
From: fred.stlouisfed.org
There is an option to show change from the previous period. Not every category from the website is listed in the indicator.
Listed categories:
Total
Treasury Bills
Treasury Notes and Bonds, Nominal
Mortgage-Backed Securities
Repurchase Agreements
Fed Agency Debt Securities (Primary/Secondary/Seasonal Credit + TALF)
Commercial Paper Funding Facility
Commercial Paper Funding Facility II (Post 2020-04-14)
Central Bank Liquidity Swaps
Related reading:
Funding, Credit, Liquidity, and Loan Facilities - www.federalreserve.gov
CPFF - www.federalreserve.gov
TALF - www.federalreserve.gov
Central Bank Liquidity Swaps - www.federalreserve.gov
Unemployment Momentum ModelThis model uses a Smoothed RSI to measure the momentum of the Civilian Unemployment Rate as published by FRED. The behavior of the unemployment rate makes it ideal for applying momentum-based timing techniques because it tends to rise sharply in a short time period and then declines gradually over a longer period. Using other basic momentum-based timing techniques also works well (e.g., EMA crossover, MACD, ROC, etc.)
Please note that you cannot trade the unemployment rate directly. This model is meant to help you understand the state of the current economy in the context of unemployment.
