Yen Carry Composite Index + Macro Flow GaugeWhat This Indicator Does
This chart visualizes the strength, trend, and macro conditions supporting or weakening the yen carry trade a strategy where investors borrow in low yielding yen to invest in higher yielding assets
How It Works: Core Components
Composite Index (Blue Line):
A weighted blend of z-scores from:
USD/JPY (strength of USD vs JPY)
10Y yield spread (US – Japan)
AUD/JPY (risk proxy for carry appetite)
VIX (global risk sentiment, inverted)
Z-scores normalize each input to show how far it deviates from recent history (not raw values).
Positive composite trend ⬅️ strong carry environment
Negative composite trend ➡️ signs of unwind or stress
Individual Z-Score Lines:
🟥 USD/JPY
🟩 Yield Spread (US10Y − JP10Y)
🟪 FX Proxy (AUD/JPY)
🟦 VIX (risk sentiment)
Threshold Lines & Signal Markers:
Green 🟢⬅️🟢🟢 “carry active” threshold (+1.5 std dev)
Red dashed line 🔴➡️🔴🔴→ “carry unwind risk” (−1.5 std dev)
Carry Trade Strength Gauge (Horizontal Bar, Bottom-Right) www.tradingview.com
Slots:
🟢 = strong carry inflow conditions
⚪ = neutral midpoint
🔴 = outflow / unwind pressure
A directional arrow (⬅️ or ➡️) shows momentum:
➡️ = composite rising → improving carry environment
⬅️ = composite falling → deteriorating carry conditions
Arrow is placed at the current strength level, visually combining position + momentum
Labels “Inflows” and “Outflows” flank the bar for clarity
Use Case Summary
Macro risk overlay for JPY pairs, EM FX, bond carry strategies
Detect early unwind phases (e.g. if arrow ⬅️ appears in red zone)
Confirm entry/exit in directional JPY trades or expected liquidity to enter the markets
Carrytrade
Bull Bear Correlation Tracker PaneThe Bull Bear Correlation Tracker is a versatile indicator designed to help traders identify the direction and strength of market trends by comparing the price action of multiple assets. It is particularly useful for those who are familiar with the carry trade principle, as it can detect when positively or negatively correlated assets move in favor or against the asset being traded. This indicator can be used for various markets, including crypto and forex, by simply adjusting the default options.
Key features of the Bull Bear Correlation Tracker include:
Multiple methods for determining trend direction: Supertrend, Pivot Point SuperTrend by LonesomeTheBlue, MACD - Zero Cross, and MACD - Grow/Shrink. These methods help traders identify the primary trend direction and potential trade opportunities.
Optional slow trend display for additional insights into market trends, allowing traders to analyze both short-term and long-term trends simultaneously.
Supports up to three symbols, enabling traders to analyze multiple assets simultaneously and better understand their correlation.
Assumed correlation settings to test traders' hypotheses about asset relationships, allowing traders to make informed decisions about potential correlations between different assets.
Customizable correlation period and smoothing settings to fine-tune the indicator's performance, providing traders with the ability to optimize the indicator based on their preferred trading style and market conditions.
Market hours filter to focus on specific trading hours, ensuring that the indicator only displays data during the hours specified.
Customizable color settings for easy visualization of trends, helping traders quickly identify the direction and strength of market trends.
Correlation histogram display to visualize asset relationships, providing traders with a clear visual representation of how different assets are correlated.
This indicator can be used to either force the correlation to be assumed positive or negative if the trader knows the correlation, or to use the actual data calculated between the traded asset and other assets if the correlation is broken often. This flexibility makes the Bull Bear Correlation Tracker suitable for trading various assets, including cryptocurrencies and forex, as well as for traders with different levels of experience.
By utilizing the Bull Bear Correlation Tracker, traders can gain valuable insights into market trends and correlations between different assets, helping them make more informed decisions and improve their trading strategies.
Note: I used back-testing for fine tuning do not base your trades on signals from the testing framework.
