Crypto MVRV ZScore - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Crypto Valuation Extremes: MVRV ZScore - Strategy " represents a cutting-edge approach to cryptocurrency trading, leveraging the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score. This metric is pivotal for identifying overvalued or undervalued conditions in the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin. It assesses the current market valuation against the realized capitalization, providing insights that are not apparent through conventional analysis.
BTCUSD 6h Long/Short Performance
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy leverages the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score, specifically designed for cryptocurrencies, with a focus on Bitcoin. This metric is crucial for determining whether Bitcoin is currently undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical 'realized' price. Below is an in-depth explanation of the strategy's components and calculations.
🔶Conceptual Foundation
- Market Capitalization (MC): This represents the total dollar market value of Bitcoin's circulating supply. It is calculated as the current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the number of coins in circulation.
- Realized Capitalization (RC): Unlike MC, which values all coins at the current market price, RC is computed by valuing each coin at the price it was last moved or traded. Essentially, it is a summation of the value of all bitcoins, priced at the time they were last transacted.
- MVRV Ratio: This ratio is derived by dividing the Market Capitalization by the Realized Capitalization (The ratio of MC to RC (MVRV Ratio = MC / RC)). A ratio greater than 1 indicates that the current price is higher than the average price at which all bitcoins were purchased, suggesting potential overvaluation. Conversely, a ratio below 1 suggests undervaluation.
🔶 MVRV Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates the number of standard deviations an element is from the mean. For this strategy, the MVRV Z-Score is calculated as follows:
MVRV Z-Score = (MC - RC) / Standard Deviation of (MC - RC)
This formula quantifies Bitcoin's deviation from its 'normal' valuation range, offering insights into market sentiment and potential price reversals.
🔶 Spread Z-Score for Trading Signals
The strategy refines this approach by calculating a 'spread Z-Score', which adjusts the MVRV Z-Score over a specific period (default: 252 days). This is done to smooth out short-term market volatility and focus on longer-term valuation trends. The spread Z-Score is calculated as follows:
Spread Z-Score = (Market Z-Score - MVVR Ratio - SMA of Spread) / Standard Deviation of Spread
Where:
- SMA of Spread is the simple moving average of the spread over the specified period.
- Spread refers to the difference between the Market Z-Score and the MVRV Ratio.
🔶 Trading Signals
- Long Entry Condition: A long (buy) signal is generated when the spread Z-Score crosses above the long entry threshold, indicating that Bitcoin is potentially undervalued.
- Short Entry Condition: A short (sell) signal is triggered when the spread Z-Score falls below the short entry threshold, suggesting overvaluation.
These conditions are based on the premise that extreme deviations from the mean (as indicated by the Z-Score) are likely to revert to the mean over time, presenting opportunities for strategic entry and exit points.
█ Practical Application
Traders use these signals to make informed decisions about opening or closing positions in the Bitcoin market. By quantifying market valuation extremes, the strategy aims to capitalize on the cyclical nature of price movements, identifying high-probability entry and exit points based on historical valuation norms.
█ Trade Direction
A unique feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction. Users can specify their preference for engaging in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, market outlook, or trading style, making it adaptable to various market conditions and trader objectives.
█ Usage
To implement this strategy, traders should first adjust the input parameters to align with their trading preferences and risk management practices. These parameters include the trade direction, Z-Score calculation period, and the thresholds for long and short entries. Once configured, the strategy automatically generates trading signals based on the calculated spread Z-Score, providing clear indications for potential entry and exit points.
It is advisable for traders to backtest the strategy under different market conditions to validate its effectiveness and adjust the settings as necessary. Continuous monitoring and adjustment are crucial, as market dynamics evolve over time.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (Allows for both long and short positions)
- Z-Score Calculation Period: 252 days (Approximately one trading year, capturing a comprehensive market cycle)
- Long Entry Threshold: 0.382 (Indicative of moderate undervaluation)
- Short Entry Threshold: -0.382 (Signifies moderate overvaluation)
These default settings are designed to balance sensitivity to market valuation extremes with a pragmatic approach to trade execution. They aim to filter out noise and focus on significant market movements, providing a solid foundation for both new and experienced traders looking to exploit the unique insights offered by the MVRV Z-Score in the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin (Kriptopara)
SOFEX Strong Volatility Trend Follower + BacktestingWhat is the SOFEX Strong Volatility Trend Follower + Backtesting script?
🔬 Trading Philosophy
This script is trend-following, attempting to avoid choppy markets.
It has been developed for Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, on 1H timeframe.
The strategy does not aim to make a lot of trades, or to always remain in a position and switch from long to short. Many times there is no direction and the market is in "random walk mode", and chasing trades is futile.
Expectations of performance should be realistic.
The script focuses on a balanced take-profit to stop-loss ratio. In the default set-up of the script, that is a 2% : 2% (1:1) ratio. A relatively low stop loss and take profit build onto the idea that positions should be exited promptly. There are many options to edit these values, including enabling trailing take profit and stop loss. Traders can also completely turn off TP and SL levels, and rely on opposing signals to exit and enter new trades.
Extreme scenarios can happen on the cryptocurrency markets, and disabling stop-loss levels completely is not recommended. The position size should be monitored since all of it is at risk with no stop-loss.
⚙️ Logic of the indicator
The Strong Volatility Trend Follower indicator aims at evading ranging market conditions. It does not seek to chase volatile, yet choppy markets. It aims at aggressively following confirmed trends. The indicator works best during strong, volatile trends, however, it has the downside of entering trades at trend tops or bottoms.
This indicator also leverages proprietary adaptive moving averages to identify and follow strong trend volatility effectively. Furthermore, it uses the Average Directional Index, Awesome Oscillator, ATR and a modified version of VWAP, to categorize trends into weak or strong ones. The VWAP indicator is used to identify the monetary (volume) inflow into a given trend, further helping to avoid short-term manipulations. It also helps to distinguish choppy-market volatility with a trending market one.
📟 Parameters Menu
The script has a comprehensive parameter menu:
Preset Selection : Choose between Bitcoin or Ethereum presets to tailor the indicator to your preferred cryptocurrency market.
Indicator Sensitivity Parameter : Adjust the sensitivity to adapt the indicator, particularly to make it seek higher-strength trends.
Indicator Signal Direction : Set the signal direction as Long, Short, or Both, depending on your preference.
Exit of Signals : You have options regarding Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels. Enable TP/SL levels to exit trades at predetermined levels, or disable them to rely on direction changes for exits. Be aware that removing stop losses can introduce additional risk, and position sizing should be carefully monitored.
By enabling Trailing TP/SL, the system switches to a trailing approach, allowing you to:
- Place an initial customizable SL.
- Specify a level (%) for the Trailing SL to become active.
- When the activation level is reached, the system moves the trailing stop by a given Offset (%).
Additionally, you can enable exit at break-even, where the system places an exit order when the trail activation level is reached, accounting for fees and slippage.
Alert Messages : Define the fields for alert messages based on specific conditions. You can set up alerts to receive email, SMS, and in-app notifications. If you use webhooks for alerts, exercise caution, as these alerts can potentially execute trades without human supervision.
Backtesting : Default backtesting parameters are set to provide realistic backtesting performance:
- 0.04% Commission per trade (for both entries and exits)
- 3 ticks Slippage (highly dependent on exchange)
- Initial capital of $1000
- Order size of $1000
While the order size is equal to the initial capital, the script employs a 2% stop-loss order to limit losses and attempts to prevent risky trades from creating big losses. The order size is a set dollar value, so that the backtesting performance is linear, instead of using % of capital which may result in unrealistic backtesting performance.
Risk Disclaimer
Please be aware that backtesting results, while valuable for statistical overview, do not guarantee future performance in any way. Cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile and risky. Always trade responsibly and do not risk more than you can afford to lose.
SOFEX High-End Indicators + BacktestingBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
Introducing the first publicly available suite of indicators for Bitcoin and Ethereum by Sofex - the High-End Indicators & Backtesting System.
🔬 Trading Philosophy
The High-End Indicators & Backtesting system offers both trend-following and mean-reversal algorithms to provide traders with a deep insight into the highly volatile cryptocurrency markets, known for their market noise and vulnerability to manipulation.
With these factors in mind, our indicators are designed to sidestep most potentially false signals. This is facilitated further by the "middle-ground" time frame (1 Hour) we use. Our focus is on the two largest cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin and Ethereum , which provide high liquidity, necessary for reliable trading.
Therefore, we recommend using our suite on these markets.
The backtesting version of the Sofex High-End Indicators includes mainly trend-following indicators. This is because our trading vision is that volatility in cryptocurrency markets is a tool that should be used carefully, and many times avoided. Furthermore, mean-reversal trading can lead to short-term profits, but we have found it less than ideal for long-term trading.
The script does not aim to make a lot of trades, or to always remain in a position and switch from long to short. Many times there is no direction and the market is in "random walk mode", and chasing trades is futile.
Based on our experience, it is preferable if traders remain neutral the majority of the time and only enter trades that can be exited in the foreseeable future. Trading just for the sake of it ultimately leads to loss in the long-run.
Expectations of performance should be realistic.
We also focus on a balanced take-profit to stop-loss ratio. In the default set-up of the script, that is a 2% : 2% (1:1) ratio. A relatively low stop loss and take profit build onto our idea that positions should be exited promptly. There are many options to edit these values, including enabling trailing take profit and stop loss. Traders can also completely turn off TP and SL levels, and rely on opposing signals to exit and enter new trades.
Extreme scenarios can happen on the cryptocurrency markets, and disabling stop-loss levels completely is not recommended. The position size should be monitored since all of it is at risk with no stop-loss.
We take pride in presenting this comprehensive suite of trading indicators, designed for both manual and automated use. Although automated use leads to increased efficiency, traders are free to incorporate any of our indicators into their own manual trading strategy.
⚙️ Indicators
By default, all indicators are enabled for both Long and Short trades.
Extreme Trend Breakouts
The Extreme Trend Breakouts indicator seeks to follow breakouts of support and resistance levels, while also accounting for the unfortunate fact that false signals can be generated on these levels. The indicator combines trend-breakout strategies with various other volatility and direction measurements. It works best in the beginning of trends.
Underpinning this indicator are renowned Perry Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Averages (PKAMA) alongside our proprietary adaptive moving averages. These dynamic indicators adjust their parameters based on recent price movements, attempting to catch trends while maintaining consistent performance in the long run.
In addition, our modification of the TTM Squeeze indicator further enhances the Extreme Trend Breakouts indicator, making it more responsive, especially during the initial stages of trends and filtering of "flat" markets.
High-Volatility Trend Follower
The High-Volatility Trend Follower indicator is based around the logic of evading market conditions where volatility is low (choppy markets) and aggressively following confirmed trends. The indicator works best during strong trends, however, it has the downside of entering trades at trend tops or bottoms.
This indicator also leverages our proprietary adaptive moving averages to identify and follow high-volatility trends effectively. Furthermore, it uses the Average Directional Index, Aroon Oscillator, ATR and a modified version of VWAP, to categorize trends into weak or strong ones. The VWAP indicator is used to identify the monetary (volume) inflow into a given trend, further helping to avoid short-term manipulations.
Low-Volatility Reversal
The Low-Volatility Reversal aims at plugging the holes that trend-following indicators ignore. It specifically looks for choppy markets. Using proven concepts such as Relative Strength Index and volume measurements, among others, this indicator finds local tops and bottoms with good accuracy. It works best in choppy markets with low to medium volatility. It has a downside that all reversals have, losing trades at the end of choppy markets and in the beginning of big trends.
This indicator, like the others, employs PKAMA in conjunction with our proprietary adaptive moving averages, and an Average PSAR indicator to seek out "sideways" markets. Furthermore, Bollinger Bands with an adaptive basis line is used, with the idea of trading against the short-term trends by looking at big deviations in price movement. The above mentioned indicators attempt to catch local tops and bottoms in markets.
Adaptive Trend Convergence
The Adaptive Trend Convergence aims at following trends while avoiding entering positions at local bottoms and tops. It does so by comparing a number of adaptive moving averages and looking for convergence among them. Adaptive filtering techniques for avoiding choppy markets are also used.
This indicator utilizes our proprietary adaptive moving averages, and an Average Price Range indicator to identify trend convergence and divergence effectively, preventing false signals during volatile market phases. It also makes use of Bollinger Bands with an adaptive moving average basis line and price-action adjusted deviation. Contrasting to the Low-Volatility Reversal condition described above, the Bollinger Bands used here attempt to follow breakouts outside of the lower and upper bands.
Double-Filtered Channel Breakouts
The Double-Filtered Channel Breakouts indicator is made out of adaptive channel-identifying indicators. The indicator then follows trends that significantly diverge from the established channels. This aims at following extreme trends, where rapid, continuous movements in either direction occur. This indicator works best in very strong trends and follows them relentlessly. However, these strong trends can end in strong reversals, and the indicator can be stopped out on the last trade.
Our Double-Filtered Channel Breakouts indicator is built on a foundation of adaptive channel indicators. We've harnessed the power of Keltner Channels and Bollinger Band Channels, with a similar approach used in the Adaptive Trend Convergence indicator. The basis and upper/lower bands of the channels do not rely on fixed deviation parameters, rather on adaptive ones, based on price action and volatility. This combination seeks to identify and follows extreme trends.
Direction Tracker
The Direction Tracker indicator is made out of a central slower, adaptive moving average that clearly recognizes global, long-term trends. Combined with direction and range indicators, among others, this indicator excels at finding the long-term trend and ignoring temporary pullbacks in the opposite direction. It works best at the beginning and middle of long and strong trends. It can fail at the end of trends and on very strong historical resistance lines (where sharp reversals are common).
Our Direction Tracker indicator integrates an adaptive SuperTrend indicator into its core, alongside our proprietary adaptive moving averages, to accurately identify and track long-term trends while mitigating temporary pullbacks. Furthermore, it uses Average True Range, ADX and other volatility indicators to attempt to catch unusual moves on the market early-on.
📟 Parameters Menu
To offer traders flexibility, our system comes with a comprehensive parameter menu:
Preset Selection : Choose between Bitcoin or Ethereum presets to tailor the indicators to your preferred cryptocurrency market.
Global Signal Direction: Set the global signal direction as Long, Short, or Both, depending on your trading strategy.
Global Sensitivity Parameter : Adjust the system's sensitivity to adapt to different trend-following conditions, particularly beneficial during higher-strength trends.
Source of Signals : Toggle individual indicators on or off according to your preference. By default, all indicators are enabled. Customize the indicators to trade Long, Short, or Both, aligning them with your desired market exposure.
Confirmation of Signals : Set the minimum number of confirmed signals on the same bar, ensuring signals are generated only when specific confirmation criteria are met. The default value is one, and it can be adjusted for both Long and Short signals.
Exit of Signals : You have options regarding Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels. Enable TP/SL levels to exit trades at predetermined levels, or disable them to rely on direction changes for exits. Be aware that removing stop losses can introduce additional risk, and position sizing should be carefully monitored.
By enabling Trailing TP/SL, the system switches to a trailing approach, allowing you to:
- Place an initial customizable SL.
- Specify a level (%) for the Trailing SL to become active.
- When the activation level is reached, the system moves the trailing stop by a given Offset (%).
Additionally, you can enable exit at break-even, where the system places an exit order when the trail activation level is reached, accounting for fees and slippage.
Alert Messages : Define the fields for alert messages based on specific conditions. You can set up alerts to receive email, SMS, and in-app notifications. If you use webhooks for alerts, exercise caution, as these alerts can potentially execute trades without human supervision.
Backtesting : Default backtesting parameters are set to provide realistic backtesting performance:
- 0.04% Commission per trade (for both entries and exits)
- 3 ticks Slippage (highly dependent on exchange)
- Initial capital of $1000
- Order size of $1000
While the order size is equal to the initial capital, the script employs a 2% stop-loss order to limit losses and attempts to prevent risky trades from creating big losses. The order size is a set dollar value, so that the backtesting performance is linear, instead of using % of capital which may result in unrealistic backtesting performance.
Risk Disclaimer
Please be aware that backtesting results, while valuable for statistical overview, do not guarantee future performance in any way. Cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile and risky. Always trade responsibly and do not risk more than you can afford to lose.
Bullish Divergence Short-term Long Trade FinderThis script is a Bullish divergence trade finder built to find small periods where Bitcoin will likely rise from. It looks for bullish divergence followed by a higher low as long as the hour RSI value is below the 40 mark, if then it will enter an long. It marks out Buy signals on the RSI if the value dips below 'RSI Bull Condition Minimum' (Default 40) on the current time frame in view. It also marks out Sell signals found when the RSI is above the 'RSI Bearish Condition Minimum' (Default 50). The sell signals are bearish divergence that has occurred recently on the RSI. When a long is in play it will sell if it finds bearish divergence or the time frame in view reaches RSI value higher than the 'RSI Sell Value'(Default 75). You can set your stop loss value with the 'Stop loss Percentage' (default 5).
Available inputs:
RSI Period: relative strength measurement length(Typically 14)
RSI Oversold Level: the bottom bar of the RSI (Typically 30)
RSI Overbought Level: the top bar of the RSI (Typically 70)
RSI Bearish Condition Minimum: The minimum value the script will use to look for a pivot high that starts the Bearish condition to Sell (Default 50)
RSI Bearish Condition Sell Min: the minimum value the script will accept a bearish condition (Default 60)
RSI Bull Condition Minimum: the minimum value it will consider a pivot low value in the RSI to find a divergence buy (Default 40)
Look Back this many candles: the amount of candles thee script will look back to find a low value in the RSI (Default 25)
RSI Sell Value: The RSI value of the exit condition for a long when value is reached (Default 75)
Stop loss Percentage: Percentage value for amount to lose (Default 5)
The formula to enter a long is stated below:
If price finds a lower low and there is a higher low found following a lower low and price has just made another dip and price closes lower than the last divergence and Relative strength index hour value is less than 40 enter a long.
The formula to exit a long is stated below:
If the value drops below the stop loss percentage OR (the RSI value is greater than the value of the parameter 'RSI Sell Value' or bearish divergence is found greater than the parameter 'RSI Bearish Condition Minimum' )
This script was built from much strategy testing on BTC but works with alts (occasionally) also. It is most successful to my knowledge using the 15 min and 7 min time frames with default values. Hope it helps! Follow for further possible updates to this script or other entry or exit strategies.
snapshot:
I only have a Pro trading view account so I cannot share a larger data set about this script because the buy signals happen pretty rarely. The most amount that I could find within a view for me was 40 trades within a viewable time. The suggested/default parameters that I have do not occur very often so it limits the data set. Adjustments can be made to the parameters so that trades can be entered more often. The scripts success is dependent on the values of the parameters set by the user. This script was written to be used for BTC/USD or BTC/USDT trading. I am unable to share a larger dataset without putting out results that are intended to fail or having a premium account so reaching the 100 trade minimum is not possible with my account.
BTFD strategy [3min]Hello
I would like to introduce a very simple strategy to buy lows and sell with minimal profit
This strategy works very well in the markets when there is no clear trend and in other words, the trend going sideways
this strategy works very well for stable financial markets like spx500, nasdaq100 and dow jones 30
two indicators were used to determine the best time to enter the market:
volume + rsi values
volume is usually the number of stocks or contracts traded over a certain period of time. Thus, it is an important indicator of market activity and liquidity. Each transaction constitutes an individual exchange between the buyer and the seller and constitutes the trading volume of a given instrument or asset.
The RSI measures the strength of uptrends versus downtrends. The signal is the entry or exit of the indicator value of the oversold or overbought level of the market. It is assumed that a value below or equal 30 indicates an oversold level of the market, and an RSI value above or equal 70 indicates an overbought level.
the strategy uses a maximum of 5 market entries after each candle that meets the condition
uses 5 target point levels to close the position:
tp1= 0.4%
tp2= 0.6%
tp3= 0.8%
tp4= 1.0%
tp5= 1.2%
after reaching a given profit value, a piece of the position is cut off gradually, where tp5 closes 100% of the remaining position
each time you enter a position, a stop loss of 5.0% is set, which is quite a high value, however, when buying each, sometimes very active downward price movement, you need a lot of space for market decisions in which direction it wants to go
to determine the level of stop loss and target point I used a piece of code by RafaelZioni , here is the script from which a piece of code was taken
this strategy is used for automation, however, I would recommend brokers that have the lowest commission values when opening and closing positions, because the strategy generates very high commission costs
Enjoy and trade safe ;)
twisted SMA strategy [4h] Hello
I would like to introduce a very simple strategy that uses a combination of 3 simple moving averages ( SMA 4 , SMA 9 , SMA 18 )
this is a classic combination showing the most probable trend directions
Crosses were marked on the basis of the color of the candles (bulish cross - blue / bearish cross - maroon)
ma 100 was used to determine the main trend, which is one of the most popular 4-hour candles
We define main trend while price crosses SMA100 ( for bullish trend I use green candle color )
The long position strategy was created in combination of 3 moving averages with Kaufman's adaptive moving average by alexgrover
The strategy is very accurate and is easy to use indicators
the strategy uses only Buy (Long) signals in a combination of crossovers of the SMA 4, SMA 9, SMA 18 and the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average.
As a signal to close a long position, only the opposite signal of the intersection of 3 different moving averages is used
the current strategy is recommended for higher time zones (4h +) due to the strength of the closing candles, which translates into signal strength
works fascinatingly well for long-term bullish market assets (for example 4h Apple, Tesla charts)
Enjoy and trade safe ;)
Boftei's StrategyI wrote this strategy about a year ago, but decided to publish it just now. I have not been able to implement this strategy in the market. If you can, then I will be happy for you.
This strategy is based on my "Botvenko Script". (It finds the difference between the logarithms of closing prices from different days.) (Check this script in my profile)
Then the strategy makes trades when the "Botvenko Script" indicator crosses the levels set earlier and manually selected for each currency pair/shares: long/short opening/closing levels, long/short re-entry levels. (They are drawn with horizontal dotted lines.) The names of these lines are: buy/sell level, long/short retry - too low/high, long close up/down, dead - close the short. Manual selection of each of the parameters provides a qualitative entry of the strategy into the deal. However, without restraining mechanisms, the strategy enters into rather controversial deals. In order to avoid going long/short during bear/bull markets, which is unacceptable, I added a fan of EMA lines.
The fan consists of several EMA lines, which are set according to Fibonacci numbers (21, 55, 89, 144). If the lines in the fan are arranged in ascending order (ema_21>ema_55 and ema_55>ema_89 and ema_89>ema_144), then this indicates a bull market, during which I banned shorting. And vice versa: during the bear market (ema_21
Token Metrics IndicatorThe Token Metrics Combined Indicator v2 is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to output Long/Short signals for crypto assets on TradingView. It combines multiple indicators, including Token Metrics Clouds, Token Metrics Trend Lines , Token Metrics Channels, and signals, to give a comprehensive outlook on the market trend and potential entry/exit points.
Users can backtest the signals to understand the strategy's historical performance, learn how to use it, identify its pros and cons, and determine the market conditions it best suits. It is important to note that the backtesting performance does not indicate future results.
The methods for calculating fixed stop-losses vary depending on the trading pattern. A fixed stop-loss is used for long-term trading, while a trading stop-loss is used for high-frequency trading. This provides flexible investment risk management, allowing you to assign different stop-loss percentages to different trading strategies.
The Length input allows users to control the indicator’s sensitivity, with a default value of 20 bars for long-term trading and 9 bars for high-frequency trading. The Adjustment Factor input has a default value of 0.1 and can be adjusted to adapt to changing levels of volatility . The Stop-loss input allows users to control their risk tolerance, with a default value of 8% for long-term trading and 2% for high-frequency trading.
Token Metrics Clouds incorporates a bullish / bearish trend indicator, which uses two adaptive moving averages that adapt to volatility , reducing false trend signals during range-bound environments and providing a more accurate representation of market trends.
The Token Metrics Trendline is a long-term indicator that uses an adaptive moving average to identify long-term trends. This can also be used for long-term resistance and support levels, providing a comprehensive overview of the current market situation for both long-term and high-frequency traders.
The Token Metrics Signals indicator provides long, short, and close signals, indicating when to enter and exit long or short positions based on the TM trend-following strategy.
The Token Metrics Channels indicator is a top/bottom indicator that adjusts to current levels of volatility . This uses adaptive Donchian channels to determine the previous short-term swing high and low, providing insight into where short-term resistance or support might be forming and where breakouts can occur. The look-back periods change according to the strategy time frame, offering a flexible and dynamic approach to market analysis.
Long-term trading is a trend-following strategy best suited for daily and weekly timeframes. This strategy works well in trending markets but may produce false signals in choppy or range-bound markets.
High-frequency trading is a mean-reverting strategy best suited for 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes. This strategy performs well in choppy or range-bound markets but may not be effective in strong trending markets.
RSI and MA with Trailing Stop Loss and Take Profit (by Coinrule)The relative strength index is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. It measures the speed and magnitude of a coin's recent price changes to evaluate overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that coin. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph essentially) on a scale of zero to 100. When the RSI reaches oversold levels, it can provide a signal to go long. When the RSI reaches overbought levels, it can mark a good exit point or alternatively, an entry for a short position. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought situation. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
A moving average (MA) calculates the average of a selected range of prices, usually closing prices, by the number of periods in that range. Essentially it is used to help smooth out price data by creating a constantly updated average price.
The Strategy enters and closes trades when the following conditions are met:
Entry Conditions:
RSI is greater than 50
MA9 is greater than MA50
RSI increases by 5
Exit Conditions:
Price increases by 1% trailing
Price decreases by 2% trailing
This strategy is back-tested from 1 January 2022 to simulate how the strategy would work in a bear market. The strategy provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
VWMA/SMA 3Commas BotThis strategy utilizes two pairs of different Moving Averages, two Volume-Weighted Moving Averages (VWMA) and two Simple Moving Averages (SMA).
There is a FAST and SLOW version of each VWMA and SMA.
The concept behind this strategy is that volume is not taken into account when calculating a Simple Moving Average.
Simple Moving Averages are often used to determine the dominant direction of price movement and to help a trader look past any short-term volatility or 'noise' from price movement, and instead determine the OVERALL direction of price movement so that one can trade in that direction (trend-following) or look for opportunities to trade AGAINST that direction (fading).
By comparing the different movements of a Volume-Weighted Moving Average against a Simple Moving Average of the same length, a trader can get a better picture of what price movements are actually significant, helping to reduce false signals that might occur from only using Simple Moving Averages.
The practical applications of this strategy are identifying dominant directional trends. These can be found when the Volume Weighted Moving Average is moving in the same direction as the Simple Moving Average, and ideally, tracking above it.
This would indicate that there is sufficient volume supporting an uptrend or downtrend, and thus gives traders additional confirmation to potentially look for a trade in that direction.
One can initially look for the Fast VWMA to track above the Fast SMA as your initial sign of bullish confirmation (reversed for downtrending markets). Then, when the Fast VWMA crosses over the Slow SMA, one can determine additional trend strength. Finally, when the Slow VWMA crosses over the Slow SMA, one can determine that the trend is truly strong.
Traders can choose to look for trade entries at either of those triggers, depending on risk tolerance and risk appetite.
Furthermore, this strategy can be used to identify divergence or weakness in trending movements. This is very helpful for identifying potential areas to exit one's trade or even look for counter-trend trades (reversals).
These moments occur when the Volume-Weighted Moving Average, either fast or slow, begins to trade in the opposite direction as their Simple Moving Average counterpart.
For instance, if price has been trending upwards for awhile, and the Fast VWMA begins to trade underneath the Fast SMA, this is an indication that volume is beginning to falter. Uptrends need appropriate volume to continue moving with momentum, so when we see volume begin to falter, it can be a potential sign of an upcoming reversal in trend.
Depending on how quickly one wants to enter into a movement, one could look for crosses of the Fast VWMA under/over the Fast SMA, crosses of the Fast VWMA over/under the Slow SMA, or crosses over/under of the Slow VWMA and the Slow SMA.
This concept was originally published here on TradingView by ProfitProgrammers.
Here is a link to his original indicator script:
I have added onto this concept by:
converting the original indicator into a strategy tester for backtesting
adding the ability to conveniently test long or short strategies, or both
adding the ability to calculate dynamic position sizes
adding the ability to calculate dynamic stop losses and take profit levels using the Average True Range
adding the ability to exit trades based on overbought/oversold crosses of the Stochastic RSI
conveniently switch between different thresholds or speeds of the Moving Average crosses to test different strategies on different asset classes
easily hook this strategy up to 3Commas for automation via their DCA bot feature
Full credit to ProfitProgrammers for the original concept and idea.
Any feedback or suggestions are greatly appreciated.
Trend Following based on Trend ConfidenceThis is a Trend Following strategy based on the Trend Confidence indicator.
The goal of this strategy is to be a simple Trend Following strategy, but also to be as precise as possible when it comes to the question 'how confident are we that a linear trend is ongoing?'. For this we calculate the 'confidence' of a linear trend in the past number of closing prices. The idea of this strategy is that past a certain confidence, the ongoing linear trend is more likely to continue than not.
Trend Confidence:
The Trend Confidence shows us how strong of a linear trend the price has made in the past number (given by Length parameter) of closing prices. The steepness of the price change makes the Trend Confidence more extreme (more positive for an uptrend or more negative for a downtrend), and the deviation from a straight line makes the Trend Confidence less extreme (brings the confidence closer to 0). This way we can filter out signals by wild/sudden price moves that don't follow a clear linear trend.
Math behind the Trend Confidence:
A linear fit is made on the past number of closing prices, using Ordinary Linear Regression. We have the steepness of the linear fit: b in y=a+bx . And we have the standard deviation of the distances from the closing prices to the linear fit: sd . The Trend Confidence is the ratio b/sd .
Entries and Exits:
For entry and exit points we look at how extreme the Trend Confidence is. The strategy is based on the assumption that past a certain confidence level, the ongoing linear trend is more likely to continue than not.
So when the Trend Confidence passes above the 'Long entry" threshold, we go Long. After that when the Trend Confidence passes under the 'Long exit' threshold, we exit. The Long entry should be a positive value so that we go Long once a linear uptrend with enough confidence has been detected.
When the Trend Confidence passes below the 'Short entry' threshold, we go Short. After that when the Trend Confidence passes above the 'Short exit' threshold, we exit. The Short entry should be a negative value so that we go Short once a linear downtrend with enough confidence has been detected.
Default Parameters:
The strategy is intended for BTC-USD market, 4 hour timeframe. The strategy also works on ETH-USD with similar parameters.
The Length is arbitrarily set at 30, this means we look at the past 30 closing prices to determine a linear trend. Note that changing the length will change the range of Trend Confidence values encountered.
The default entry and exit thresholds for Longs and Shorts do not mirror each other. This is because the BTC-USD market goes up more heavily and more often than it goes down. So the ideal parameters for Longs and Shorts are not the same.
The positive results of the strategy remain when the parameters are slightly changed (robustness check).
The strategy uses 100% equity per trade, but has a 10% stop loss so that a maximum of 10% is risked per trade.
Commission is set at 0.1% as is the highest commission for most crypto exchanges.
Slippage is set at 5 ticks, source for this is theblock.co.
Big Whale Purchases and SalesBig Whale Purchases and Sales - plots big whale transactions on your chart!
People that hold more than 1% of a crypto currencies circulating supply are considered whales and have a huge influence on price, not just because they can move the market with their huge transactions, but also because other traders often track their wallets and follow their example. Taking a look at whale holdings, one can see why whale worship is so common in crypto: While Bitcoin has a relatively low whale concentration, many of the Top 100 Cryptocurrencies have whales control 60% or more of their circulating supply.
Integrating IntoTheBlock data, this script plots the transactions of these whales and, in strategy mode, copy trades them.
Features:
Strategy Mode: Switches the script between an indicator and a strategy.
Standard Deviations: The number of Standard Deviations that a transaction needs to surpass to be considered worth plotting. Setting this to 0 will show all whale transactions, higher settings will only show the biggest transactions.
Blockchain: The Chain on which Whale activity is tracked.
ATR Trend Run - Signals Alerts SL and TP by Tech Store OnThe script uses several ATR formulas for entering/exiting trades, support/resistance lines to take TP1 (take profit 1) and another ATR formula for TP2 (take profit 2). Everything is fully configurable to your preference, and you can back-test it via TradingView. You can also configure the indicator for signals during US trading sessions (with or without power hour), as well as taking profits/stop-loss session time(s), as well as to close a position at the end of the trading session no matter what. Also, you can turn all of that off, so there are no trading session/end of day limits and each trade will run until it either hits SL, TP1, TP1 > back to entry, TP2. Note: indicator is set to skip consecutive/opposite signals, while you currently have a trade open > if you hit a trend – ride it to the end!
For example: If you will be day trading SPY and you wish to close your positions no matter what right before the market closes (3:45PM ET > 15min before closes): Make sure to checkbox “Intraday – Close Position Before Market Closes” in the strategy/indicator Settings, so that you are alerted soon before the market closes, if you wish to continue holding the position – leave this checkbox unchecked.
SL: SL is set to be slightly above/below the signal candle, which is best suited for this strategy.
Strategy Take Profit Approach
While the initial position open and SL hit is always based on a closed candle bar (can’t do otherwise, as otherwise you will have 10s of fake signal alerts), there are 2 ways on trading this strategy in terms of TP1 and TP1 taken > back to Entry, which is based off Alert type.
You can switch this as you like within the indicator settings, “Checked: TP1 taken > back to Entry per Price Touch | Unchecked: per Candle Close”.
Candle Close vs Price Touch: with the Default method - Candle Close for an alert for TP1 or if price comes back to Entry after TP1 is taken will only be triggered once candle bar fully closes crossing the area, while Price Touch will alert when price touches the area before candle bar closes.
For example: your trade is running well, you grab TP1 and the price reverses and hits your trade Entry area. With Price Touch – you are immediately alerted to close your trade with no loss and with TP1 profit. With Candle Close - you will receive an alert only once candle bar fully closes on top of the Entry crossing it backwards, meaning it may lower your TP1 profit or even completely reverse the trade into loss in case it will be a huge candle bar for any reason. However, it may touch the Entry area, looking like the price is reversing, but then continue per initial trade direction, sometimes becoming a trend. So, while Price Touch seem like a more conservative approach, Candle Close can give you much bigger profits if you catch a trend, but you can always change it via the Settings.
Note: TradingView back-testing engine does not have a feature to open/close orders IMMEDIATELY via Price Touch trigger, but only when the candle closes after price touches the scripted area/line/etc., so you for the most accurate results, test your strategy out via Candle Close setting. Otherwise, decide yourself. I personally like more Candle Close since I can test it out via back-testing with the most accurate results.
TP2 is set per Candle Close as often the ATR trailing stop line will be hit and bounced off, so it’s best to wait until candle actually breaks it/closes through it.
Note: If you will be observing the strategy LIVE, during LIVE candle bar movement – it will look weird, like it’s placing an order after order during any trigger – this seem like a TradingView bug, but is only observational, once the candle bar is closed and you refresh TradingView it will all look correct.
Back-Testing
If you wish to do some back-testing, just modify the strategy/indicator Settings:
-----1) STRATEGY: This is for back-testing/experimenting with the script inputs.
----------a. You can setup a start date (date, month, year) from which it will start opening back-test trades, select a position size and select TP1 size, the idea here is to close half (or whatever you choose) portion of the trade once you hit your TP1, then to either close at small profit or to catch a trend and close the second portion of the position long way ahead from Entry, otherwise it will alert you to close the position at TP2, if price comes back to Entry, at reversal signal or at the end of US trading session if the option for it is checked. If you wish to close the whole position at TP1, just enter the same amount for TP1 to match backtest position size. Otherwise you can experiment with TP1 sizing – try it out!
-----2) Feel free to experiment with ATR settings and with S&R Left/Right bars, you may be amazed how results will differ and find some really cool combinations!
-----3) Make sure you select/de-select “Intraday – Close Position Before Market Closes” setting depending on what you are back-testing and on which conditions
-----4) Note: If you wish to do some deep back-testing (1+ years), use the “Deep Backtesting” feature within Strategy Tester on the TradingView as otherwise it may show wrong results or even fail to compute the results
Add the alerts
-----Right-click anywhere on the TradingView chart
-----Click on Add alert
-----Condition: ATR Trend Run - Signals Alerts SL and TP, by Tech Store On
----------o Right underneath the condition click on the drop-down menu and select “alert() function calls only”
-----Expiration time: Whatever you wish
-----Alert actions: Whatever notifications you wish
-----Alert name: DO NOT TOUCH THIS
-----Hit “Create”
-----Note: If you change ANY Settings within the indicator – you must DELETE the current alert and create a new one per steps above, otherwise it will continue triggering alerts per old Settings!
- Note: If you add the alert while the script is currently “In Position” it will not know that. So either wait when there will be no position open at all or close your position partially if the bot opens it twice bigger or so in case per script the bot will think it is already in position.
Note: Because of the slippage and the order processing time between TradingView, AutoView and the Broker (it’s usually about a second or so), it is suggested to not use a timeframe lower than 1min. The script is working really well with 1M/3M/5M/H1/H4 timeframes per my back-testing, but feel free to explore via Strategy Back-testing what’s best for the instrument you wish to trade.
If you wish to try this out for a week or so – please reach out and I will give you access.
Ichimoku Cloud and ADX with Trailing Stop Loss (by Coinrule)The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The Ichimoku Cloud was developed by Goichi Hosoda, a Japanese journalist, and published in the late 1960s. It provides more data points than the standard candlestick chart. While it seems complicated at first glance, those familiar with how to read the charts often find it easy to understand with well-defined trading signals.
The Ichimoku Cloud is composed of five lines or calculations, two of which comprise a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in.
The lines include a nine-period average, a 26-period average, an average of those two averages, a 52-period average, and a lagging closing price line.
The cloud is a key part of the indicator. When the price is below the cloud, the trend is down. When the price is above the cloud, the trend is up.
The above trend signals are strengthened if the cloud is moving in the same direction as the price. For example, during an uptrend, the top of the cloud is moving up, or during a downtrend, the bottom of the cloud is moving down.
DMI is simple to interpret. When +DI > - DI, it means the price is trending up. On the other hand, when -DI > +DI , the trend is weak or moving on the downside. The ADX does not give an indication about the direction but about the strength of the trend.
Typically values of ADX above 25 mean that the trend is steeply moving up or down, based on the -DI and +D positioning. This script aims to capture swings in the DMI, and thus, in the trend of the asset, using a contrarian approach.
Trading on high values of ADX, the strategy tries to spot extremely oversold and overbought conditions. Values of ADX above 45 may suggest that the trend has overextended and is may be about to reverse.
This strategy combines the Ichimoku Cloud with the ADX indicator to better enter trades.
Long orders are placed when these basic signals are triggered.
Long Position:
Tenkan-Sen is above the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is above the close of 26 bars ago
Close is above the Kumo Cloud
MACD line crosses over the signal line
-DI is greater than +DI
ADX is greater than 45
Close Position:
3% increase trailing
3% decrease trailing
The script is backtested from 1 January 2018 and provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
This script also works well on MATIC (1d timeframe), ETH (1d timeframe), and SOL (1d timeframe).
Catching the Bottom (by Coinrule)This script utilises the RSI and EMA indicators to enter and close the trade.
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to evaluate overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that security. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100. The RSI can do more than point to overbought and oversold securities. It can also indicate securities that may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price. It can signal when to buy and sell. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought situation. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. The exponential moving average is also referred to as the exponentially weighted moving average. An exponentially weighted moving average reacts more significantly to recent price changes than a simple moving average simple moving average (SMA), which applies an equal weight to all observations in the period.
The strategy enters and exits the trade based on the following conditions.
ENTRY
RSI has a decrease of 3.
RSI <40.
EMA100 has crossed above the EMA50.
EXIT
RSI is greater than 65.
EMA9 has crossed above EMA50.
This strategy is back tested from 1 April 2022 to simulate how the strategy would work in a bear market and provides good returns.
Pairs that produce very strong results include ETH on the 5m timeframe, BNB on 5m timeframe, XRP on the 45m timeframe, MATIC on the 30m timeframe and MATIC on the 2H timeframe.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
BTC Hashrate ribbonsBTC Hash Rate ribbons / Hash Rate cross
This strategy goes long when BTCs Hash Rate 30 day moving average crosses above the 60 day moving average, signifying that miner capitulation is over and recovery has started.
When the opposite signal is given, which signifies the beginning of miner capitulation, the strategy goes short (or flat, depending on configuration). This is generally considered the most popular Hash Rate related strategy.
The strategy is based on this medium article: medium.com
Thanks to the recent integration of IntoTheBlock data into Tradingview, we can now effortlessly show Hash Rate data on our chart,
keep in mind however, that IntoTheBlock doesn't provide Hash Rate data on timeframes below daily, so this strategy is based used on the daily, weekly or even monthly time frames.
Hash Rate definition:
The Bitcoin hash rate is the number of times per second that computers on the Bitcoin network are hashing data to verify transactions and perform the encryption that secures the network. The hash rate is an indicator of how healthy the Bitcoin network is at any given time, and is driven primarily by difficulty mining and the number of miners. Generally, a high hash rate is considered a good thing.
More precisely, the Bitcoin hash rate is the number of times per second that computers on the Bitcoin network are hashing data to verify transactions and perform the encryption that secures the network.
Ichimoku Cloud and Bollinger Bands (by Coinrule)The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The Ichimoku Cloud was developed by Goichi Hosoda, a Japanese journalist, and published in the late 1960s. It provides more data points than the standard candlestick chart. While it seems complicated at first glance, those familiar with how to read the charts often find it easy to understand with well-defined trading signals.
The Ichimoku Cloud is composed of five lines or calculations, two of which comprise a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in.
The lines include a nine-period average, a 26-period average, an average of those two averages, a 52-period average, and a lagging closing price line.
The cloud is a key part of the indicator. When the price is below the cloud, the trend is down. When the price is above the cloud, the trend is up.
The above trend signals are strengthened if the cloud is moving in the same direction as the price. For example, during an uptrend, the top of the cloud is moving up, or during a downtrend, the bottom of the cloud is moving down.
The Bollinger Bands are among the most famous and widely used indicators. A Bollinger Band is a technical analysis tool defined by a set of trendlines plotted two standard deviations (positively and negatively) away from a simple moving average ( SMA ) of a security's price, but which can be adjusted to user preferences. They can suggest when an asset is oversold or overbought in the short term, thus providing the best time for buying and selling it.
This strategy combines the Ichimoku Cloud with Bollinger Bands to better enter trades.
Long orders are placed when these basic signals are triggered.
Long Position:
Tenkan-Sen is above the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is above the close of 26 bars ago
Close is above the Kumo Cloud
The closing price is greater than the upper standard deviation of the Bollinger Bands
Short Position:
Tenkan-Sen is below the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is below the close of 26 bars ago
Close is below the Kumo Cloud
The upper standard deviation of the Bollinger Band is greater than the closing price
The script is backtested from 1 January 2022 and provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
This script also works well on BTC 30m/1h, ETH 2h, MATIC 2h/30m, AVAX 1h/2h, SOL 45m timeframes
ALMA/EMA/SRSI Strategy + IndicatorBack with another great high hit rate strategy!!
Disclaimer* This strategy was sampled using source code written by @ClassicScott , as referred to in the script, there is a clear line where the source code was scripted by myself.
This Strategy consists of three key factors, the ALMA, EMA crossover, and a Stochastic Rsi
ALMA: The Alma is the step line shown, turning green and red at select times. This average value gives general oversight of the macro movement of price action. and this particular one was coded by Mr.ClassicScott.
EMA crossover: At the input screen you are given an option of the fast and slow ema's. The default is solely for the hit rate and correlation to the Alma of this strategy. The arrows you see depicted on the chart are the crossover events happening.
Stochastic Rsi: The Stochastic Rsi is a stochastic value, using data sampled from the rsi. The use of this indicator in my strategy is to prevent entries when too overbought and oversold, as well as closures and vice versa, to prevent holding bags either way.
Fixed % TP: In the input screen you are given a take profit and stop loss percentage, for good R/R the hit rate will take a notch down, but with no R/R it will be near perfect.
How to use this:
Add it to your chart to get the strategy inputs. (The strategy is really only useful on a 15min TF. However the indicator within it can be used on anything at anytime!)
Watch the yellow and aqua moving averages, these are your ema's and crossover's will trigger signals based on your integer inputs.
Find Correlation between other leading indicators, as well as crossover's down/up and a red/green alma.
DO NOT use the arrows as buy/sell signals. These are simply to show ema's are crossing under or over. Momentum indicator's paired with this can be useful to determine if it could be a buy signal or sell signal.
Cheat Code's Notes:
Almost at 1000 boosts!!! I appreciate the support from everyone and I will keep trying my best to deliver quality strategies for the people.
-Cheat Code
BYBIT:BTCUSDT
Ultimate Bitcoin StrategyThis is my masterpiece.
I recommend using it following strict rules:
Buy = Wait for the next green Heikein Ashi candle and RSI above 50
Sell: Wait for the next red Heikein Ashi candle and RSI below 50
Use it in H1
Enjoy.
Mean reversal QFL v3My aim is to make the bots trade as you would trading QFL manually and “by the book” or at least to my experience and understanding from the material out there of how you should plan a QFL trade.
Im absolutely not a pro trader, I have made my share of costly mistakes trying to be clever or Beeing impatient resulting in painful losses. QFL is we’re I’ve had consistently good results tough.
Is this where I have to say I’m not a financial advisor and all that? Well I’m not. As always Do your own research and backtest, backtest, backtest.
First: I believe no bot strategy are set and forget, while they can run unattended 80-90% of the time you're always going to find yourself in a situation where you will have to manually handle a bad deal. It would also make sense to be somewhat involved in the really good trades making the most out of them. That’s why understanding the strategy the bot Is using is really important, hence why I prefer QFL. It's an easy concept to understand, and proved to be a safe way of making steady profit in pretty much all market conditions if done right.
Some changes in how aggressive you are might be needed if you are the impatient kind of trader who needs to see a lot of deals happening. But it is an added risk. In those cases Luc would advise to start “nibbling” but that would be hard to implement in a bot but I will see if that’s something I can implement.
Same goes for going the more conservative route when market conditions calls for it.
QFL stands for Quickfingersluc, and sometimes it is referred to as the Base Strategy or Mean Reversals. Its main idea is about identifying the moment of panic selling and buying below the base level and utilizing Safety orders.
Base level or Support Level refers to the lowest price level that was reached before the moment the price started increasing again. At that level, you can notice that buyers of some cryptocurrencies make a strong reaction.
As a bit of a learning material i want to make a few points on important factors in trading using the QFL strategy:
• Identify strong bases
• Read the history of the chart
• No emotions
Trading QFL using a bot has it’s limitations:
· Some of the bases are questionable but im constantly trying to improve this
· The strategy don’t take into consideration chart history(success rate)*
· You need to follow a predefined (by you) buying ladder, hence not considering a particular coin's average price movement, which may vary quite a lot. This why I for now has limited the strategy to SIMPLE bots. So that unique alerts can be created for each pair.
· A set Take profit %, possibly making you miss out on higher profits(This is easy to change during a trade though), and no chance of selling in layers(This is coming soon).
1. Some of the bases are questionable
The strategy will start trades of bases that you wouldn’t consider being a strong base(or a base at all) when looking at the chart.
For those not as familiar with QFL. What is a base, and what qualifies as a strong base?
• A base is also called the Support Level, which is the lowest price level that was reached before the price started turning and increasing again.
• A strong base is recognized by a steep fall in price after breaking the base(Panic), followed by a big reaction pump.
• The reaction pump is the most important factor to say that it is a strong base.
• And also the last base, the one you are trading of is the one that counts
Tip: Look for V shapes on the chart, easy to spot when zoomed out.
2. The integrated signals don’t take into consideration chart history(success rate)*
How can you assess the success rate by looking at the chart?
After finding the bases based on the criterias from the 1st point. Looking at the, how many times did it respect the base after breaking it? 7/10, 8/10, 9/10 times? Great! Chances of the next trade also respecting the base is big, and I would consider raising the TP on that deal. Any lower than that I would keep a really close eye on the deal, or even consider closing the deal. And again remember the last base is the one that counts. If all the others are nice strong bases but that last one you are about to take a trade off is no good the base is invalidated so be cautious.
3. You need to follow a predefined (by you) buying ladder
Crypto is volatile, and there is a huge variation in price movements on all the coins.
Trading manually, looking at the chart gives you a good idea on how much a coin on avg. drops below base, and how big the following reaction is. This gives you an indication on how deep you need to set your layers, and where you can take profit.
Using the strategy you have the backtester to see how much max deviation has been in the past so that you can figure out what the optimal max deviation is.
4. A set Take profit %, possibly making you miss out on higher profits(This is easy to change during a trade though), and no chance of selling in layers.
Not going to say to much about this other than what I often do is:
When a bot has started a trade I usually take a look at the chart. If I like what I see, nice chart history, success rate and trading of a strong previous base etc, with the current base break resulting in a panic drop I will consider increasing the TP so that it will make more profit. This can be a bit risky but also very rewarding. Imagine filling all safeties and then selling just below base! Massive profits!! (Gotta be honest though, almost never stretch it that far with a bot though, but it is a possibility) .
If you have studied the chart and concluded that this particular trade has a 90% chance of success, there isn’t really any reason not to place TP just below base. This is where I would like to have the option of layering my sell orders as well so its something im working on implementing.
Trailing is an option in 3commas, but it’s slow to place orders making you miss a selling opportunity when the coin makes a sudden spike up.
ABOUT THIS STRATEGY
In this strategy we can also reverse the strategy and go short. But i must warn you that that is alot riskier.
QFL is meant to be used on higher TF's like 1hr, 2hr and 4hr. But this strategy also work well on lower Timeframes.
The script also simulates DCA strategy with parameters used in 3commas DCA bots for futures trading.
Experiment with parameters to find your trading setup.
Beware how large your total leveraged position is and how far can market go before you get liquidated!
Do that with the help of futures liquidation calculators you can find online!
Included:
An internal average price and profit calculating, instead of TV`s native one, which is subject to severe slippage.
A graphic interface, so levels are clearly visible and back-test analyzing made easier.
Long & Short direction of the strategy.
Table display a summary of past trades
Vertical colored lines appear when the new maximum deviation from the original price has
been reached
All the trading happens with total account capital, and all order sizes inputs are expressed in percent.
How to use:
- Add the script to the current chart
- Open the strategy settings
-Tweak the settings to to your liking.
-Make a SIMPLE bot in 3commas and use the same settings as you did in tradingview if you only want the strategy to send signals to open a deal and let 3commas handle the rest.
If you check safety orders, Take profit deal stop and Stop loss. The strategy will send all the orders to 3 commas. If that’s what you want set TP in 3commas to 50% set number of safety orders to 0 and keep stop loss unchecked.
- Insert bot details using the deal start condition message found in your 3commas bot.
- When happy, right click on the "..." next to the strategy name, then "Add alert'".
- Under "Condition", on the second line, chose "Any alert () function call". Add the webhook from 3commas( 3commas.io ), give it a name, use {{strategy.order.alert_message}} as a placeholder message and "create".
In the future this signal might make it to the 3commas marketplace. You can then subscribe to that signal where I have cherrypicked coins based on thorough backtesting and optimization.
How to obtain access to the script: send me a private message in Tradingview
Close v Open Moving Averages Strategy (Variable) [divonn1994]This is a simple moving average based strategy that works well with a few different coin pairings. It takes the moving average 'opening' price and plots it, then takes the moving average 'closing' price and plots it, and then decides to enter a 'long' position or exit it based on whether the two lines have crossed each other. The reasoning is that it 'enters' a position when the average closing price is increasing. This could indicate upwards momentum in prices in the future. It then exits the position when the average closing price is decreasing. This could indicate downwards momentum in prices in the future. This is only speculative, though, but sometimes it can be a very good indicator/strategy to predict future action.
What I've found is that there are a lot of coins that respond very well when the appropriate combination of: 1) type of moving average is chosen (EMA, SMA, RMA, WMA or VWMA) & 2) number of previous bars averaged (typically 10 - 250 bars) are chosen.
Depending on the coin.. each combination of MA and Number of Bars averaged can have completely different levels of success.
Example of Usage:
An example would be that the VWMA works well for BTCUSD (BitStamp), but it has different successfulness based on the time frame. For the 12 hour bar timeframe, with the 66 bar average with the VWMA I found the most success. The next best successful combo I've found is for the 1 Day bar timeframe with the 35 bar average with the VWMA.. They both have a moving average that records about a month, but each have a different successfulness. Below are a few pair combos I think are noticeable because of the net profit, but there are also have a lot of potential coins with different combos:
It's interesting to see the strategy tester change as you change the settings. The below pairs are just some of the most interesting examples I've found, but there might be other combos I haven't even tried on different coin pairs..
Some strategy settings:
BTCUSD (BitStamp) 12 Hr Timeframe : 66 bars, VWMA=> 10,387x net profit
BTCUSD (BitStamp) 1 Day Timeframe : 35 bars, VWMA=> 7,805x net profit
BNBUSD (Binance) 12 Hr Timeframe : 27 bars, VWMA => 15,484x net profit
ETHUSD (BitStamp) 16 Hr Timeframe : 60 bars, SMA => 5,498x net profit
XRPUSD (BitStamp) 16 Hr Timeframe : 33 bars, SMA => 10,178x net profit
I only chose these coin/combos because of their insane net profit factors. There are far more coins with lower net profits but more reliable trade histories.
Also, usually when I want to see which of these strategies might work for a coin pairing I will check between the different Moving Average types, for example the EMA or the SMA, then I also check between the moving average lengths (the number of bars calculated) to see which is most profitable over time.
Features:
-You can choose your preferred moving average: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA & VWMA.
-You can also adjust the previous number of calculated bars for each moving average.
-I made the background color Green when you're currently in a long position and Red when not. I made it so you can see when you'd be actively in a trade or not. The Red and Green background colors can be toggled on/off in order to see other indicators more clearly overlayed in the chart, or if you prefer a cleaner look on your charts.
-I also have a plot of the Open moving average and Close moving average together. The Opening moving average is Purple, the Closing moving average is White. White on top is a sign of a potential upswing and purple on top is a sign of a potential downswing. I've made this also able to be toggled on/off.
Please, comment interesting pairs below that you've found for everyone :) thank you!
I will post more pairs with my favorite settings as well. I'll also be considering the quality of the trades.. for example: net profit, total trades, percent profitable, profit factor, trade window and max drawdown.
*if anyone can figure out how to change the date range, I woul really appreciate the help. It confuses me -_- *
PlanB Quant Investing 101 v2This script has been Inspired by PlanB Article Quant Investing 101.
With this script, I implemented Plan B strategy outlined in that article, trying to reproduce his findings independently and allowing TradeView Users to do the same.
PlabB is aware of this effort, and he's positive about it, via Twitter commenting, liking and sharing of this resource .
Trading Idea:
This script uses RSI index to determine the Buy And Sell signal.
As per the original PlanB article:
IF ( RSI was above 90% last six months AND drops below 65%) THEN sell,
IF ( RSI was below 50% last six months AND jumps +2% from the low) THEN buy, ELSE hold
My simple code is aimed at replicating his study in Pine so that every TV user can check his signal.
Trade HourThis script is just finds the best hour to buy and sell hour in a day by checking chart movements in past
For example if the red line is on the 0.63 on BTC/USDT chart it mean the start of 12AM hour on a day is the best hour to buy (all based on
It's just for 1 hour time-frame but you can test it on other charts.
IMPORTANT: You can change time Zone in strategy settings.to get the real hours as your location timezone
IMPORTANT: Its for now just for BTC/USDT but you can optimize and test for other charts...
IMPORTANT: A green and red background color calculated for show the user the best places of buy and sell (green : positive signal, red: negative signals)
settings :
timezone : We choice a time frame for our indicator as our geo location
source : A source to calculate rate of change for it
Time Period : Time period of ROC indicator
About Calculations:
1- We first get a plot that just showing the present hour as a zigzag plot
2- So we use an indicator ( Rate of change ) to calculate chart movements as positive and negative numbers. I tested ROC is the best indicator but you can test close-open or real indicator or etc as indicator.
3 - for observe effects of all previous data we should indicator_cum that just a full sum of indicator values.
4- now we need to split this effects to hours and find out which hour is the best place to buy and which is the best for sell. Ok we should just calculate multiple of hour*indicator and get complete sum of it so:
5- we will divide this number to indicator_cum : (indicator_mul_hour_cum) / indicator_cum
6- Now we have the best hour to buy! and for best sell we should just reverse the ROC indicator and recalculate the best hour for it!
7- A green and red background color calculated for show the user the best places of buy and sell that dynamically changing with observing green and red plots(green : positive signal, red: negative signals) when green plot on 15 so each day on hour 15 the background of strategy indicator will change to 15 and if its go upper after some days and reached to 16 the background green color will move to 16 dynamically.
