NSDT Fracking CryptoThis indicator is part of our Fracking series of indicators and is specifically designed for scalping Crypto. It looks for a particular price action pattern/sequence then displays levels and a label on the chart to show a potential entry, target, and stop based on that analysis. Basically enter long through the green zones and short through the red zones. The target levels are not guaranteed to be hit, but are a good guide with high potential. Pivot Point levels were added for additional confirmation of potential key levels.
Trading is risking and you can lose money. Trade at your own discretion and risk. This indicator is only providing potential scalping zones based on recent price action.
Bitcoin (Kriptopara)
Dominion - Bitcoin Altcoin Dominance [mutantdog]A simple and easy reference tool displaying a plot of the market cap dominance values for several significant cryptocurrencies.
The most widely used of these is bitcoin dominance (the top indicator shown above) which calculates the total market cap of bitcoin in relation to the total cryptocurrency market cap, displayed as a percentage. This is commonly used by traders to assess the strength of bitcoin in relation to the broader crypto market; increasing values being indicative of larger bitcoin moves and decreasing values often indicative of potential altcoin cycles. Likewise, ethereum dominance (the bottom indicator shown above) is frequently used as a means to indicate the strength of ethereum in relation to the broader crypto market.
Included options for marketcap dominance values are:
Bitcoin : CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Ethereum : CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D
Total DeFi (a composite of multiple top defi tokens): CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI.D
Stablecoins (shows the combined dominance values for usdt and usdc): CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D + CRYPTOCAP:USDC.D
Flippening (shows the difference between bitcoin and ethereum dominance values): CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D - CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D
When used in combination with each other, these can provide a good overview of the general flow of capital within the crypto market.
Additional functionality:
up to three optional moving averages with a choice of SMA, EMA, WMA and RMA for each.
multi timeframe selector
alert condition presets for various moving average crosses.
Please be aware that, while useful as reference, dominance calculations are known to repaint frequently. As such the use of this indicator and its alerts should require caution.
RECON ATR Volatility PercentageThe original Average True Range (ATR) indicator is a technical analysis indicator designed to measure volatility. The higher the ATR the higher the volatility.
The RECON ATR Volatility Percentage indicator calculates the Average True Range (ATR) as a percentage.
Suggested chart timeframes: 1h, 4h and 1D seem to produce the most useful intel but can be used on lower timeframes as well.
The Recon ATR Volatility Percentage can be utilized for identifying trading pairs with a desired amount of volatility, for example deploying a grid trading strategy on pairs that are trending up with a high amount of volatility (say over 50%) might produce desirable results.
It is important to note the ATR does not indicate price direction and can be high in both a rising or falling market.
The ATR Length, Period Look Back Length parameters as well as the color of the columns can be configured per your specifications.
WhaleCrew AccumulationThis script was built for the BTC weekly chart.
Purpose: Accumulation of longterm (spot) holdings.
Bull Market Support-Band:
Bundle of the 20 EMA & SMA
Often acted as support during previous bullmarkets
Some people like to trade retests/breaks of this band
Accumulation-Band (+ alerts):
Green: Possible Accumulation/DCA Opportunity
Color might change while candle is still open (e.g. Weekly Candle - 19 Jul '21, flipped green -> closed red)
Labels (+ alerts):
Break of the 200 Weekly EMA
Oversold RSI (< 30)
Ripple (XRP) Model PriceAn article titled Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Model was published in March 2019 by "PlanB" with mathematical model used to calculate Bitcoin model price during the time. We know that Ripple has a strong correlation with Bitcoin. But does this correlation have a definite rule?
In this study, we examine the relationship between bitcoin's stock-to-flow ratio and the ripple(XRP) price.
The Halving and the stock-to-flow ratio
Stock-to-flow is defined as a relationship between production and current stock that is out there.
SF = stock / flow
The term "halving" as it relates to Bitcoin has to do with how many Bitcoin tokens are found in a newly created block. Back in 2009, when Bitcoin launched, each block contained 50 BTC, but this amount was set to be reduced by 50% every 210,000 blocks (about 4 years). Today, there have been three halving events, and a block now only contains 6.25 BTC. When the next halving occurs, a block will only contain 3.125 BTC. Halving events will continue until the reward for minors reaches 0 BTC.
With each halving, the stock-to-flow ratio increased and Bitcoin experienced a huge bull market that absolutely crushed its previous all-time high. But what exactly does this affect the price of Ripple?
Price Model
I have used Bitcoin's stock-to-flow ratio and Ripple's price data from April 1, 2014 to November 3, 2021 (Daily Close-Price) as the statistical population.
Then I used linear regression to determine the relationship between the natural logarithm of the Ripple price and the natural logarithm of the Bitcoin's stock-to-flow (BSF).
You can see the results in the image below:
Basic Equation : ln(Model Price) = 3.2977 * ln(BSF) - 12.13
The high R-Squared value (R2 = 0.83) indicates a large positive linear association.
Then I "winsorized" the statistical data to limit extreme values to reduce the effect of possibly spurious outliers (This process affected less than 4.5% of the total price data).
ln(Model Price) = 3.3297 * ln(BSF) - 12.214
If we raise the both sides of the equation to the power of e, we will have:
============================================
Final Equation:
■ Model Price = Exp(- 12.214) * BSF ^ 3.3297
Where BSF is Bitcoin's stock-to-flow
============================================
If we put current Bitcoin's stock-to-flow value (54.2) into this equation we get value of 2.95USD. This is the price which is indicated by the model.
There is a power law relationship between the market price and Bitcoin's stock-to-flow (BSF). Power laws are interesting because they reveal an underlying regularity in the properties of seemingly random complex systems.
I plotted XRP model price (black) over time on the chart.
Estimating the range of price movements
I also used several bands to estimate the range of price movements and used the residual standard deviation to determine the equation for those bands.
Residual STDEV = 0.82188
ln(First-Upper-Band) = 3.3297 * ln(BSF) - 12.214 + Residual STDEV =>
ln(First-Upper-Band) = 3.3297 * ln(BSF) – 11.392 =>
■ First-Upper-Band = Exp(-11.392) * BSF ^ 3.3297
In the same way:
■ First-Lower-Band = Exp(-13.036) * BSF ^ 3.3297
I also used twice the residual standard deviation to define two extra bands:
■ Second-Upper-Band = Exp(-10.570) * BSF ^ 3.3297
■ Second-Lower-Band = Exp(-13.858) * BSF ^ 3.3297
These bands can be used to determine overbought and oversold levels.
Estimating of the future price movements
Because we know that every four years the stock-to-flow ratio, or current circulation relative to new supply, doubles, this metric can be plotted into the future.
At the time of the next halving event, Bitcoins will be produced at a rate of 450 BTC / day. There will be around 19,900,000 coins in circulation by August 2025
It is estimated that during first year of Bitcoin (2009) Satoshi Nakamoto (Bitcoin creator) mined around 1 million Bitcoins and did not move them until today. It can be debated if those coins might be lost or Satoshi is just waiting still to sell them but the fact is that they are not moving at all ever since. We simply decrease stock amount for 1 million BTC so stock to flow value would be:
BSF = (19,900,000 – 1.000.000) / (450 * 365) =115.07
Thus, Bitcoin's stock-to-flow will increase to around 115 until AUG 2025. If we put this number in the equation:
Model Price = Exp(- 12.214) * 114 ^ 3.3297 = 36.06$
Ripple has a fixed supply rate. In AUG 2025, the total number of coins in circulation will be about 56,000,000,000. According to the equation, Ripple's market cap will reach $2 trillion.
Note that these studies have been conducted only to better understand price movements and are not a financial advice.
SSR - Stablecoin Supply Ratio - Bitcoin - CryptocurrencyThe Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) is the ratio between Bitcoin supply and the supply of stablecoins, denominated in BTC.
When the SSR is low, the current stablecoin supply has more "buying power" to purchase BTC. It serves as a proxy for the supply/demand mechanics between BTC and USD.
Pi Cycle Top Ribbon [Mamo]This is a modification on the original Pi Cycle Top Indicator by Philip Swift.
It consists of 2 moving averages with one of them being multiplied by a chosen number. When the lower moving average crosses the higher (with multiple) moving average, the bull market top is indicated.
The original indicator showed bull market tops within a 3 day accuracy. This version shows the exact tops on the exact day for 2013 and 2017.
There are 7 different perfect solution shown as a band in this modified indicator. Each solution is a color pair and can be viewed separately by turning each combination off or on in the settings.
[DS]Bitcoin BTC ETH and others cryptos==DESCRIPTION - English version
The purpose of this script is to show information on graph that can help your decision to buy and sell cryptos.
The script is indicated for Position Trade (Long Term - Holder) and Swing Trade (Medium term).
Position Trade it is recommended to use the Weekly (W) and Daily (D) charts, Swing trade to use the 4H and 2H charts.
It is not advisable to use this indicator with graphic time frame less than 2 hours because the noise levels of information are very high.
An alert function has been inserted in the indicator and to activate this function you will need configure it in the Tradingview.
This alert will indicate the likely points of entry and exit of the asset.
**DESCRIÇÃO - Versão em Português
A proposta deste script é mostrar no gráfico informações que possam auxiliar a sua decisão de compra e venda de cryptos.
Este script é indicado para negociação Position Trade (Longo Prazo - Holders) e Swing Trade (Médio prazo).
Para Position Trade (Holders) é indicado utilizar os gráficos Semanal (W) e Diário (D), para Swing trade utilizar os gráficos 4H e 2H.
Não é aconselhável utilizar este indicador com tempos gráficos menores que 2hs pois os níveis de ruídos nas informação são muito altos.
Foi inserido no indicador uma função de alerta e para ativar esta função, você precisará configurá-la no seu Tradingview.
Este alerta irá indicar os provaveis pontos de entrada e saída do ativo.
====================================================================================================
** English Version
====================================================================================================
█ SETUP applied to Indicator
The setup is based on the average 8, 21 and 56 of the weekly chart (taught on youtube channel: Augusto Backes)
Price above the average 8 on the weekly, indicates that the market is UP trend, below the average 8 on the weekly that the market is DOWN trend
RSI greater than 60% the market is UP trend
RSI greater than 40% and lower 60% the market is in ACCUMULATION
RSI less than 40% the market DOWN trend
The weekly average 8 is represented in GREEN (Upward Trend) and RED (Downward Trend).
The weekly average 21 is represented in LIGHT ORANGE
The weekly average 56 is represented in LIGHT PURPLE
The crossing of weekly averages 8 and 21 is represented with a GREEN (HIGH trend) and RED (LOW trend) cross - this signal is disabled on the graph but you can enable it by clicking on the graph setup
█ FUNCTION USE
(1) Average 8, 21 and 56 on Weekly - show the average 8, 21, 56 weekly on graphic (Average 8 in color red and green, 21 - light orange, 56 light purple)
(2) Crossing of averages 8 and 21 Weekly - is not active but you can activate
(3) Calculation of RSI
(4) barcolor() - mark the candles with the green color (High market) and red color (Dow market)
(5) alertcondition() - you can active this alert on Tadingview
█ BUY AND SELL POINTS - likely points
The indication of the BUY position is shown by a green arrow pointing upwards and the sell position by a red arrow pointing downwards. Buy and sell indications are obtained from the divergence in the market trend.
█ THANK TO
PineCoders for everything they do, all the tools and help they provide, and their involvement in making a better community. All PineCoders, Pine Pros and Pine Wizards, people who share their work and knowledge because of it and helping others, I am so happy and so grateful.
█ NOTE
This indicator is not a buy and sell recommendation, it indicates the most likely buy and sell points. Every purchase and sale decision is your responsibility
*****************************************************************************************************
** Versão em Português
*****************************************************************************************************
█ SETUP aplicado no Indicador
O setup está baseado na média 8, 21, e 56 do gráfico semanal
Preço acima da média 8 no semanal indica que o mercado esta em tendência de ALTA, abaixo da média 8 no semanal que o mercado está em tendência de BAIXA
RSI maior que 60% o mercado está em ALTA
RSI maior que 40% e menor 60% o mercado está em ACUMULAÇÃO
RSI menor que 40% o mercado está em BAIXA
A média 8 semanal está representadas nas cores VERDE (Tendência de Alta) e VERMELHA (Tendência de Baixa).
A média 21 semanal está representada na cor laranja claro
A média 56 semanal está representada na cor roxa claro
O cruzamento das médias 8 e 21 semanal esta representado com uma cruz VERDE (Tendência de ALTA) e VERMELHA (Tendência de BAIXA) - este sinal esta desativado no gráfico mas você pode ativá-lo clicando no setup do gráfico
█ FUNÇÕES UTILIZADAS
(1) Média 8, 21 e 56 no Semanal - mostra a média 8, 21, e 56 no gráfico
(2) Cruzamento das médias 8 e 21 Semanal - não está ativo mas você pode ativá-lo
(3) Cálculo do RSI
(4) barcolor() - marca a vela (Candle) com a cor verde (Mercado em Alta) e a cor vermelha (Mercado em Baixa)
(5) alertcondition () - você pode ativar o alerta no Tradingview
█ PONTOS DE COMPRA E VENDA - prováveis pontos
A indicação da posição de COMPRA é apresentada por uma seta na cor verde apontada para cima e a posição de VENDA por uma seta na cor vermelha apontada para baixo. As indicações de compra e venda são obtidas a partir da divergência na tendência do mercado.
█ OBRIGADO PARA
PineCoders por tudo o que fazem, todas as ferramentas e ajuda que fornecem, e seu envolvimento em fazer uma comunidade melhor. Todos os PineCoders, Pine Pros e Pine Wizards, pessoas que compartilham seu trabalho e conhecimento por causa dele e ajudando os outros, estou muito feliz e muito grato.
█ NOTA
Este indicador não é uma recomendação de compra e venda ele indica os pontos mais prováveis de compra e venda. Toda decisão de compra e venda é de sua responsabilidade
Altcoin vs. BTC SeasonUsing BTC dominance to identify BTC vs. Altcoin season.
Blue: BTC season
Gray: Altcoin season
Green: Altcoin at support - entry with good risk/reward
Red: Potential BTC downside risk
CRYPTO ECLIPSEWelcome to CRYPTO ECLIPSE!
If you see the market as a game between buyers and sellers, CRYPTO ECLIPSE is the EASY MODE.
Don't believe in any word I wrote, but please don't doubt about it until you TEST IT. Just go ahead and take your own conclusions, maybe this script changes your life, like it changed mine.
What would be like if you could see the markets through the eyes of a trader with many years of experience? (and If you are already this trader, you could add this as a live second opnion)
Imagine if you could consistently predcit buyers and sellers actions, attempts and rejections. That's what Price action technical analysis tries, but price action often feels like very subjective and to succeed and learn it, you will probably need at least 4 years of trading, winning and loosing to find consistancy, that's the process. CRYPTO ECLIPSE will show how you will see the market after this years spent, You''ll be skipping this years.
CRYPTO ECLIPSE is a setup that translates the market to you and give you the view of the market as it is, and not only how it was in the past. Differently from almost all other indicators i've seen in my life, CRYPTO ECLIPSE is a setup focused in PREDICT, not REACT. In my opnion that's why indicators not work well, they are too focused in the past, giving late decisions.
Truth be told, it's sounds good, but how do I use it?
I will explain you the main features, what you need to do is: Take some time to learn it, mess with the configs. Until you see the chart as you believe is the best predict scenario for the past, and then just sit and see how it will keep predicting the next moviments. Well, it works for me :)
Why am I renting this setup?
I am not. This is made for you to test for free, and for those who this setup makes all sense, we will build a small comunity around it. Just watch as we go, or Join us.
Before I forget, the setup is also a screener to track the 6 conditions above in the last 1-5 periods.
Main Features description:
BAR COLOR 2 = Strong Buyers domain(Candle's color)
BAR COLOR 3 = Strong Sellers domain(Candle's color)
BAR COLOR 0 e 1 = Fine Tuning(Advanced) There are 3 main ways to use it:
-Standard, following the same 2 and 3 bar colors.
-Changing both 0 and 1 bar colors. You can use Orange or pink or white colors for both 0 and 1, or other any color, try to use one that does not match with green or red for distinction. Consider the 0 and 1 bars as trend changing in course, or the breath of the market before a trend continuation (pullback).
Another option, that's indicated for Professionals only: change bar zero to dark green and 1 to a lighter red. This way you will see the gain and loose game in real time, take some time and you will see dark red going to lighter red will indicate a seller's weakness and the oposite for the buyers. If you are already a PRO, go ahead and play with these 2 options.
BP= STRONG BUYERS DOMAN
BPD= STRONG BUYERS DOMAN DECREASING
SP= STRONG SELLERS DOMAN
SPD= STRONG SELLERS DOMAN DECREASING
EB= POSSIBLE EARLY BUYERS DOMAIN SIGNAL
ES= POSSIBLE EARLY SELLERS DOMAIN SIGNAL
Note that BPD AND SPD are the same as EB and ES, I made this as a double entries so we can combine two different periods. If you look close you'll learn that the periods are related to the range of past periods you want to consider.
IF you pick a low period, it will show more signals, and it willl be more sensitive to the market changes. All the signals are real things that happened there, you will see that there was always a pullback or a consolidation, since this is very sensitive it's better to traders who want what's happening all the time
If you pick a high period, it will show less signals and with significant and strong movement, there are no guesses in this signals, if it did not proceed with a strong moviment, the opposite forces rejected their attempt.
Fit to your market point of view: Mess with the period numbers until you see the signals(arrows) where you understand is the best place to take a trade in the past, and watch it repeat the alert for you in the future, same as bar colors.
Note: If you want to enter only with big movements signals, use Stronger signals and high periods. if you want to try to get the movement begin, go with the early signals, using short periods.
Play with the configs until the chart give you the confidence you want to have to trade your money.
I don't recomend to use it with many indicators, if you add more than one indicator with this, you are probably insecure, and this will be useless to you.
But go ahead and add a trend indicator, if you are a trend trader or a oscillator, if you are a oscillator guy... Whatever you need until you feel confident.
Alway remember, this is only a tool. it's your decision, this is not a buy/sell indicator (maybe in the future), this is a tool to read the market. Always trade SPOT never FUTURES, always keep your stop loss as close as you can.
Enjoy the ECLIPSE
Crypto Scannner for Traffic Lights StrategyI allways try to make trading easier. Developing Scripts for a quick backtest and improvement of a strategy, getting alerts for entry and exit a position. Loading data to a spreadsheet is also important and takes time.
In this case finding good parameters in different markets or assets to enter in a position, is a bit exhausting. It is something you have to do everyday, and sometimes in different moments of the day.
So I manage to develop a Screener, to take a quick look at specific hours, and tell if I have a buy or sell condition in an specific asset. Obviously this is not an alert to make a trade instantaneusly, but this help you filter a lot of information in matters of seconds. Then open those specific charts and make a better analisys.
A few weeks ago, I published a scrpipt called "Traffic Lights Strategy", that uses 4 emas to get a buy or a sell condition.
It is easy to understand and use, but if you don´t want to missed some opportunities, and don't want to be look at the screen in all the time looking for them, I have here a simple solution.
This script works plotting 2 labels. The first one plots all the assets in which the condition is true (fastema > medema > slowema > filterema or fastema < medema < slowema < filterema)
The second one plots the assets were the condition is true only if happened up to 5 candles back, so you can be in time to enter a trade.
You can take the script and customize it for a different strategy or assets. I coded like this because I backtested this strategy in this specific assets, and statistics suggest that it might be profitable.
I hope this works for you. In other time I'll try to code a script for the others strategies I published.
[astropark] Trend Skywalker V2 [alarms]Dear Followers,
today I'm glad to present you Trend Skywalker V2 , the evolution of Trend Skywalker V1 indicator that you can see here below:
This indicator works on every timeframe and market, it's quite responsive to market movements, so it's especially good on volatile markets.
In this new version you have 3 trend clouds available :
a short-term one (yellow)
a mid-term one (green)
a long-term one (blue)
You can also enable an option to show all trend clouds as one, the result will be similar to a special bollinger bands tool.
Of course you can edit trend clouds analysis period and color, also you can turn on or off the cloud that you prefer.
The indicator can run 4 different kinds of strategy : one for each trend cloud individually or a mixed one.
Also the indicator tracks for you a peak profit from entry: this tracker is a suggestion for you to take profits while price goes up!
All red-green circles you see in the chart is a reminder that a peak profit label was there in the past: what does this tell you?
if price starts losing the short-term trend and you had a lot of TP suggestions, maybe trend ended and you should start consider closing your trade before you give back all your profit.
This indicator will let you set alerts on each buy/sell/close/tp label.
For backtesting, you can use the indicator here below:
This is a premium indicator , so send me a private message in order to get access to this script.
Godson CandleScript Symposium This script is a party of every useful trading indicator i believe in.
The primary signals are candlescript analyses
in order of most useful
CBE: Complete Bullish/Bearish Engulfing
DF/GD: These are Dragonfly and Gravestone Doji's but they also signal Harami's
BE: Bullish/Bearish Engulfing
H: Actual Harami's (these are mean't to be pre-emptive Hedge signals)
D: basic Dojis
these are also two Moving Averages
1Hr ema and 1D ema
doesn't have to be 1Hr/1D but that's the default.
you have 3 choices
A: show all signals
B: only show counter signals(these are bullish signals in a bear market; as defined by price under 1D, and vice versa), this exists for picking bottoms or counter-trend scalping.
C: only show pro trend signals(the trend is your fren... as they say)
only signals that appear 3% away from the mean(1hr ema) are shown, you can change this.
there are also signals that are meant for buying dips and selling rips, these appear when the price action significantly increases the STDEV and the price is far from the mean.
these settings can also be changed
green X: Local Bottom
red X: Locap top
candlecolor if turned on changes the color of the candle when Heiken Ashi open is the High(red) or low(green)
if you want your charts to look exactly like mine, turn off candle body, change wick colors to white and make background gridline 100% transparent.
Bitcoin - CME Futures Friday Close
This indicator displays the weekly Friday closing price according to the CME trading hours (Friday 4pm CT).
A horizontal line is displayed until the CME opens again on Sunday 5pm CT.
This indicator is based on the thesis, that during the weekend the Bitcoin price tends to mean reverse to the CME closing price of the prior Friday. The level can also act as support/resistance. This indicator gives a visualization of this key level for the relevant time window.
Furthermore the indicator helps to easily identify, if there is an up or down gap in the CME Bitcoin contract.
Bitcoin Risk Indicator (Daily)This indicator calculates the risk of buying and selling BTC, if the risk is reaching the upper boundaries of 0.8 to 1 then BTC is either getting close to a market cycle top or is far over extended.
If BTC is below 0.4 then this inidicates the least amount of Risk to buy BTC.
EMASAR Investor ModePLEASE READ THE FULL DESCRIPTION BEFORE BUYING OR USING THIS INDICATOR
THIS IS THE INVESTOR MODE ONLY VERSION OF THE EMASAR INDICATOR. IT INCLUDES THE ORIGINAL SIGNALS TELLING YOU WHEN TO BUY OR SELL. IT ONLY INCLUDES THE OCEAN TO INDICATE PULLBACKS AND NOT OTHER TRADING REGIONS ARE INCLUDED. IT SHOWS THE BUY/SELL SIGNALS AS WAS PUBLISHED IN THE ORIGINAL VERSION OF EMASAR
EMASAR (pronounced Emma-sar) is a strategy based on Exponential Moving Averages and the Parabolic SAR. This is a position trading approach that is derived from Tyler Jenks’ Consensio.
This strategy was developed with four objectives in mind: (1) managing risk (2) protecting from missing out on major moves (3) maximizing risk:reward (4) staying in a trending market and taking profit before it fully reverses.
EMASAR does a great job at accomplishing all of the above through the buy and sell signals that are generated. The data provided below is from the signals that occurred on Bitcoin ( Bitstamp ) from January 1, 2015 to present (November 11, 2019).
(1) Risk is tightly managed, relative to the winners, and losing positions will be exited before the market moves too far against.
The biggest losing trade on Bitcoin , for the time period outlined above, is -18.47%.
(2) Following the EMASAR buy and sell signals guarantees that one will not miss out on a major trend. As a result of the indicators used for this system it is mathematically impossible for a major trend to occur without providing a buy or sell signal. This system isn't meant to catch exact tops or bottoms but it will do a great job of capturing ~85% of a trend.
(3) On average the winning trades will be 5.55 times the losing trades. There will be stretches where the losers are bigger than the winners and this could last for many months, maybe even a year. However, over the long run the average reward is expected to be 5.55 times the average risk*.
*Past performance does not guarantee future results!
(4) This indicator was designed to capitalize on parabolic markets, specifically Bitcoin and alt coins. Crypto markets have a tendency to get moving so fast that many indicators become all but useless.
Entries can get signaled too late and exits will get signaled way too early. This is specifically true when using oscillators that are designed to identify overbought or oversold environments. EMASAR does a great job of keeping us in a position for the duration of a trend and this includes the major parabolic runs that Bitcoin has a tendency to go on.
When Bitcoin , or other alts, really get moving it can be very difficult to distinguish between a correction and a full reversal. We do not want to be exiting during a minor correction, instead this is a time when we want to be holding on or looking to buy the dip.
This is a very fragile balance. The market has a very strong tendency to make corrections looks like reversals and to make reversals look like corrections. Therefore it is very important to have a tool(s) that you trust to distinguish in between the two.
I believe that EMASAR is the best way to find that balance - if I knew of a better way then I would be using it instead!
Following these signals will help us to hold onto positions while the market is still trending in our favor when most think that it has moved too far / too fast, and it will also get us out before a market fully reverses.
Keep in mind that there will be times when we exit a market that is in danger of reversing, only to buy back higher later on. That is okay because it enables us to properly manage risk during times of uncertainty and buying back in at a higher price is more than worth the opportunity cost.
Risks
The biggest risks with trading EMASAR revolve around disobeying the signals. Risk management is built into this system with the exit signals that will occur, however it is up to the individual to execute those signals. Passing on an exit signal could lead to a big loss which would have a dramatic impact on the ROI . Most trading systems will have small and medium losses with small, medium and large wins. That is exactly how this works. The small - medium losses and wins will mostly be a wash and will account for roughly 80% of the trades. The large wins will happen about 20% of the time and will make up 80% - 90% of the profits.
Therefore the two biggest risks are passing on signals entirely, or exiting preemptively. Getting chopped in and out of a market can be quite frustrating. If you become overwhelmed with negative emotions then it could cause you to pass up on the next signal. That signal will often be the one that more than makes up for the small - medium losses that preceded.
On average EMASAR will provide one signal every 6 weeks when using the default settings on the 4h chart. Therefore missing one entry could turn an otherwise profitable year into a loser. If electing to trade a system, whether it is EMASAR or another, it is crucial to commit to taking every signal regardless of outside variables (namely your personal bias about market direction or frustration that follows a losing stretch).
Another major risk with this system is taking too much profit too soon. When getting into a trade that has the potential to be a big winner it can be challenging to continue holding through the swings. Anyone that has watched paper profits vanish will be inclined to start exiting after the market makes a big move in his or her favor. While this is better than watching profits completely evaporate, this mistake can be enough to turn a profitable system into one that loses to the market. If 80% - 90% of our profits come from 10% - 20% of our trades then it is vital we do not cut those positions off at the knees.
If taking too much profit too soon then you will consistently turn potential large winners into medium winners. This may lead to making money over the long run which will make it very difficult to realize that anything is wrong. However making money and beating the market are two very different things. Exiting early and making money is nearly as big of a risk as missing entries entirely.
If you have the discipline to execute signals in a timely manner after they are triggered and the emotional control to let the winners run despite the appearance of a vastly overbought / oversold market, then you should have what it takes to beat the market with EMASAR.
If you are not an experienced trader then it is very important to start out small. The only way to learn is to trade in a live environment and the only way to succeed is to risk much less than you can afford to lose. If you have $2,000 to trade with then start with a maximum position size of $20 - $50 and don’t be shy about scaling that down even further. Focus on ROI instead of actual dollars made. If you can return 100% on a $20 roll then you should be able to do the same with a $2,000 roll.
Important Notes
Make sure that you read / understand the risks outlined above. If you jump into this without understanding the unique risks that this system entails then you are going to have a bad time.
This indicator was developed around the 4h and that is where it works best. For crypto adjusting to higher TF’s will cause for bad results as the entries / exits will be late to the party. For traditional markets the Daily - Weekly time frames are preferred. It was not originally intended for smaller TF's but we have seen some good results on the 15m and 1h. The RSI can be a great compliment when using on smaller TF's. Adding a rule for not entering when RSI > 75 or < 25 and instead entering when RSI retests 50 will help to avoid some bad signals.
Alerts can be set for this indicator. Simply make sure that it is visible on the chart, then click the alert icon on the top panel. In the first dropdown set 'Condition' to 'EMASAR' and the second 'Condition' for the upcoming signal. For example if just entered long then set the second condition to 'Close Long' and you will be notified as soon as that signal occurs. If waiting for the next long entry then set the second condition to 'Open Long' so on and so forth . There is an 'All in One' alert that is also available. If you select that then you will be alerted any time that a signal occurs. The message will tell you to check the chart to see which signal caused the alert.
Vgnomics ScalperVGNOMICS Scalper is a tool to help you find great scalping opportunities. There is great variety of ways to use this indicator to get amazing results. The VGNOMICS Scalper is a new trading indicator that can be used in any market. The technique we combine with this indicator is easy to learn and apply to your trades, but practice makes perfect. This indicator is based on a mathematical calculation that always occurs, no matter which time-frame, market, asset, option, stock or crypto.
How does it work?
The script determines whether we have a bullish or bearish trend based on a combination of price action and moving averages.
When the price crosses this trend, a buy or sell signal is placed (green or red arrow). The indicator will then draw 5 colored dots extended with 5 colored lines. Every line or dot represents a possible entry / exit position. These values are chosen based of a mathematical formula on the previous price movements.
The distance between the red en the black line is calculated from the price action from the current and previous candle.
If there was a big price movement, the distance between the black and the red line will be much greater than when the price action is much smaller.
The distance between the blue and the black line is always the same distance as the distance between the red and the black line.
The yellow line will always represent the high or the low, depending on whether there's a short or a long signal.
These lines tend to be key levels between which the price will bounce.
There are many ways to use and interpret these levels.
How to trade with this indicator?
We have allot of different strategies that can be implemented for this indicator.
But we will explain 3 working strategies that work for us.
Scalp trading is one of the most profitable forms of trading. They can lead to very high profits but are very hard to achieve. In this tutorial we will show you how the VGNOMICS Scalper indicator can assist you with locating great scalp opportunities.
The tutorial below is just one example of how this indicator can be used. Every line represents a key price level at which scalping opportunities can take place.
Strategy 1
Long position:
1) A green arrow at the bottom of the screen indicates a potential long position.
2) Wait for the candle to close. (The signal is only confirmed when the candle closes)
3) Candle closed.
4) Place a limit order for a long position at the yellow line. (Entry)
5) Place a take profit order at the orange line. (Exit)
6) Order is filled. (Long position)
7) Take profit at the orange line. (Exit)
8) Yellow line (entry) gets respected most of the time.
Short position:
1) A red arrow at the bottom of the screen indicates a potential short position.
2) Wait for the candle to close. (The signal is only confirmed when the candle closes)
3) Candle closed.
4) Place a limit order for a short position at the yellow line. (Entry)
5) Place a take profit order at the orange line. (Exit)
6) Order is filled. (Short position)
7) Take profit at the orange line. (Exit)
This strategy does not include a stoploss. It's up to you to implement this indicator in your own strategy. Stoploss orders could be placed at the lines (Key price levels) below / above your entry.
For example:
The stoploss order could have been placed on the black line, or alternatively, we could have placed a second long order on the black line and exit at the yellow line while we place a stoploss order on the blue line. (see strategy 2)
The price tends to swing between these key levels and can be used in various ways.
Strategy 2
Long position (same strategy for short postion but for a red arrow):
1) A green arrow at the bottom of the screen indicates a potential long position.
2) Wait for the candle to close. (The signal is only confirmed when the candle closes)
3) Candle closed.
4) Place a limit order for a long position at the yellow line. (Entry)
5) Place a take profit order at the orange line. (Exit)
6) Order is filled. (Long position)
7) Price did not reach our profit target orange line. (Exit)
8) Place a second limit order with the same size for a long position at the black line. (Entry)
9) Order is filled. (Long position)
10) Place a take profit order at the yellow line. (Exit)
11) Take profit at the yellow line and break even order for the first position. (Exit)
Strategy 3
Long position (same strategy for short postion but for a red arrow):
1) A green arrow at the bottom of the screen indicates a potential long position.
2) Wait for the candle to close. (The signal is only confirmed when the candle closes)
3) Candle closed.
4) Place a limit order for a long position at the black line. (Entry)
5) Order is filled. (Long position)
6) Place take profit orders at the yellow/orange/red line. (Exit)
7) Take profit. (Exit)
You want to use this indicator?
Go to the VGNOMICS website.
ape[x] Spot/Derivatives Indicator ( SDI )Apex spot and derivatives indicator is the latest generation of volume based algorithmic volatility trend Indicator developed by Quantdegen group.
It is a confluence of multiple modified legacy indicators to suit trader's ease to understand in which direction market is headed.
This generation of apex SDI is also developed with a vision to automate the trades with external third party bots/self scripted bots with the help of trading view alert system.
As we all know market usually outperforms legacy Indicators because they are evolved enough to attack liquidity and take stop loss of those who have poor risk management.
Apex SDI makes sure such attacks do not affect the signals by considering the most important factors like volume and expected volatility. It also confluences higher time frame arrays with lower time frame arrays to filter out the noise which might cause because of LFT volatility.
Quantdegen group is glad to announce this breakthrough in algorithmic trading indicators and make it available for public use.
Trend Fusion By CryptoScriptsWelcome to Trend Fusion! This isn't your typical moving average indicator. It's a multi-timeframe indicator that consists of 3 different moving averages AND let's you choose between EMA, SMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA, and RMA. For example, you can have the 5min 200 EMA, 15min 200 EMA, and 1 hour 200 EMA all on the SAME chart without having to switch timeframes! This helps to create an edge over the competition so you don't have to have multiple charts open and you can see everything on one screen. You can also modify each moving average to the timeframe and value of your choice.
Signals
The Trend Fusion fires a buy signal (green triangle) whenever Moving Average 1 crosses above Moving Average 2 and 3. This is great for catching a bullish trend early, especially when combined with other indicators.
The Trend Fusion fires a sell signal (red triangle) whenever Moving Average 1 crosses below Moving Average 2 and 3. This is great for catching a bearish trend early, especially when combined with other indicators.
You can also make Moving Average 2 and 3 the same value if you just want to create an alert for one moving average crossing over another. (i.e MA 1 is the 50EMA and MA 2 and 3 both have a value of 200 so you're just looking for the 50EMA to cross over the 200EMA).
This indicator is great for catching big trends and catching them early (as seen by the picture), and fires multiple buy signals or sell signals in case you didn't catch the first one so you still have time to get in the trade.
Alerts
You can also set alerts for the buy and sell signals! Just click the clock icon in the top middle of the chart and click Trend Fusion in the drop-down menu. Make sure to select "Once per bar close" so you know the signal is confirmed.
Each timeframe acts differently so make sure you experiment/backtest with each one and tailor your moving average values accordingly.
Disclaimer: Past results are not indicative of future returns.
PM me to obtain access and please let me know if you have any questions! :)
Multiple Anchored VWAP [Morty]The Anchored VWAP (aVWAP) indicator ties VWAP calculations to a specific price bar chosen by the trader. Anchored VWAP allows you to specify the price bar where calculations begin, making it easy to see whether the bulls or bears have been in charge since a very specific point in time. The starting price bar that is chosen generally marks a shift in market psychology, such as a significant high or low, earnings, news, or other announcements. The Anchored VWAP line is charted using price and volume data from that significant event onward.
This indicator plots up to 4 aVWAP lines in the chart.
Features:
- plot up to 4 aVWAP lines
- custom start date of aVWAP
- custom line color
- optional label of starting price bar
- optional custom resolution
----------------------------------------------------
锚定VWAP（aVWAP）指标将VWAP的计算与交易者选择的特定价格柱联系起来。锚定VWAP允许你指定计算开始的价格柱，使你很容易看到自一个非常具体的时间点以来，是牛市还是熊市在起作用。所选择的起始价格条通常标志着市场心理的转变，如一个重要的高点或低点、收益、新闻或其他公告。锚定VWAP线是使用从该重大事件开始的价格和成交量数据绘制的。
该指标在图表中最多绘制了4条aVWAP线。
特色:
- 绘制多达4条aVWAP线
- 自定义aVWAP的开始日期
- 自定义线的颜色
- 可选的起始价格条的标签
- 可选的自定义分辨率
Bitcoin Logarithmic Price BandsBitcoin has been trending up with time. Generally, Bitcoin has been following an increasing logarithmic path, as seen on the chart. This indicator tries to plot areas of buying or selling opportunity. The green area contains data from times when Bitcoin was extremely undervalued. The red area is calculated from times where Bitcoin was extremely overvalued. The logarithmic bands will increase with time, so the values are not static.
Generally speaking, buy when the price is in the green area and sell when the price is in the red area.
The model doesn’t contain ANY data from after November 2020. Nevertheless, it correctly predicted the area where Bitcoin topped in April 2021.
In addition, the yellow logarithmic band manages to indicate strong areas of support or resistance. So did it correctly indicate the top of the mid-cycle peak in 2013, the bottom after the first sell-off in Feb 2018, the 2019 top and at last the mid-cycle bear-market from May-June 2021.
This study will be updated once or twice per year to add new data to the calculation. This means that the logarithmic bands will look slightly different in the future compared to now. Nevertheless, the bands add valuable information on buying or selling opportunities in the market.
The indicator is only useable on the Bitcoin/Dollar index by Tradingview, weekly timeframe.
For access, please take a look at the "Author's Instructions" below.
Asset through the lens of BTCIntended for the cryptocurrency asset class, this indicator will show via background color whether or not Bitcoin is above the 20w SMA and 21w EMA. This allows for a user to easily distinguish how the behavior of a crypto asset acts when BTC is above the bull market support band and below the bull market support band.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Fractal Growth Model By ARUDDThis model, which I'm calling the Logarithmic Fractal Growth Mode (L.F.G) , uses Bitcoin's mathematical monetary policy to evaluate the future possible price valuation.
It takes into account fractal (and logarithmic) growth as well as how those who hold bitcoins might react to certain events such as changes in supply and demand. It also shows that it is mathematically logical that someday it must become stable.
The information gained from knowing this helps people make more informed decisions when buying bitcoin and thinking of its future possibilities.
The model can serve as some type of general guideline for determining how much bitcoins should be worth in the future if it follows a certain path from its current price.
Modeling Bitcoin's money supply mathematically, and knowing that there is a finite number of them, makes this whole process much more rational than just thinking about the possibilities in pure subjective terms.
Before going any further I want to say that no one can know with absolute certainty what will happen to bitcoins price in the future, but using mathematics gives us an idea of where things are headed.
The results presented here are based on very reasonable assumptions for how bitcoin might continue to grow (and then level out) once there are over 21 million bitcoins in existence.
The model shows that bitcoin's price can never go down to zero (thus creating the "death spiral" phenomenon), and as such, bitcoin has an extremely high probability of becoming stable as it approaches infinity.
Conversely, this model also shows that at some point there is a high probability that bitcoin will not continue to grow exponentially forever.
Credit goes to Quantadelic for the awesome original script.
ARUDD
