OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Güncellendi Canuck Trading Projection Indicator
Canuck Trading Projection Indicator
Overview
The Canuck Trading Projection Indicator is a powerful PineScript v6 tool designed for TradingView to project potential bullish and bearish price trajectories based on historical price and volume movements. It provides traders with actionable insights by estimating future price targets and assigning confidence levels to each outlook, helping to identify probable market directions across any timeframe. Ideal for both short-term and long-term traders, this indicator combines momentum analysis, RSI filtering, support/resistance detection, and time-weighted trend analysis to deliver robust projections.
Features
Bullish and Bearish Projections: Forecasts price targets for upward (bullish) and downward (bearish) movements over a user-defined projection period (default 20 bars).
Confidence Levels: Assigns percentage confidence scores to each outlook, reflecting the likelihood of the projected price based on historical trends, volatility, and volume.
RSI Filter: Incorporates a 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) to validate trends, requiring RSI > 50 for bullish and RSI < 50 for bearish signals.
Support/Resistance Detection: Adjusts confidence levels when projections are near key swing highs/lows (within 2% of average price), boosting confidence by 5% for alignments.
Time-Based Weighting: Prioritizes recent price movements in trend analysis, giving more weight to newer bars for improved relevance.
Customizable Inputs: Allows users to tailor lookback period, projection bars, RSI period, confidence threshold, colors, and label positioning.
Forced Label Spacing: Prevents overlap of bullish and bearish text labels, even for tight projections, using fixed vertical slots when price differences are small (<2% of average price).
Timeframe Flexibility: Works seamlessly across all TradingView timeframes (e.g., 30-minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly), adapting projections to the chart’s resolution.
Clean Visualization: Displays projections as green (bullish) and red (bearish) dashed lines, with non-overlapping text labels at the projection endpoints showing price targets and confidence levels.
How It Works
The indicator analyzes historical price and volume data over a user-defined lookback period (default 50 bars) to calculate:
Momentum: Combines price changes and volume to assess trend strength, using a weighted moving average (WMA) for directional bias.
Trend Analysis: Counts bullish (price up, volume above average, RSI > 50) and bearish (price down, volume above average, RSI < 50) trends, weighting recent bars more heavily.
Projections:
Bullish Slope: Positive or flat when momentum is upward, scaled by price change and momentum intensity.
Bearish Slope: Negative or flat when momentum is downward, amplified by bearish confidence for stronger projections.
Projects prices forward by 20 bars (default) using current close plus slope times projection bars.
Confidence Levels:
Base confidence derived from the proportion of bullish/bearish trends, with a 5% minimum to avoid zero confidence.
Adjusted by volatility (lower volatility increases confidence), volume trends, and proximity to support/resistance levels.
Visualization:
Draws projection lines from the current close to the 20-bar future target.
Places text labels at line endpoints, showing price targets and confidence percentages, with forced spacing for readability.
Input Parameters
Lookback Period (default: 50): Number of bars for historical analysis (minimum 10).
Projection Bars (default: 20): Number of bars to project forward (minimum 5).
Confidence Threshold (default: 0.6): Minimum confidence for strong trend indication (0.1 to 1.0).
Bullish Projection Line Color (default: Green): Color for bullish projection line and label.
Bearish Projection Line Color (default: Red): Color for bearish projection line and label.
RSI Period (default: 14): Period for RSI momentum filter (minimum 5).
Label Vertical Offset (%) (default: 1.0): Base offset for labels as a percentage of price range (0.1% to 5.0%).
Minimum Label Spacing (%) (default: 2.0): Minimum vertical spacing between labels for tight projections (0.5% to 10.0%).
Usage Instructions
Add to Chart: Copy the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor, save, and add the indicator to your chart.
Select Timeframe: Apply to any timeframe (e.g., 30-minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly) to match your trading strategy.
Interpret Outputs:
Green Line/Label: Bullish price target and confidence (e.g., "Bullish: 414.37, Confidence: 35%").
Red Line/Label: Bearish price target and confidence (e.g., "Bearish: 279.08, Confidence: 41.3%").
Higher confidence indicates a stronger likelihood of the projected outcome.
Adjust Inputs:
Modify Lookback Period to focus on shorter/longer historical trends (e.g., 20 for short-term, 100 for long-term).
Change Projection Bars to adjust forecast horizon (e.g., 10 for shorter, 50 for longer).
Tweak RSI Period or Confidence Threshold for sensitivity to momentum or trend strength.
Customize Colors for visual preference.
Increase Minimum Label Spacing if labels overlap in volatile markets.
Combine with Analysis: Use alongside other indicators (e.g., moving averages, Bollinger Bands) or fundamental analysis to confirm signals, as projections are probabilistic.
Example: TSLA Across Timeframes
Using live TSLA data (close ~346.46 USD, May 31, 2025), the indicator produces:
30-Minute: Bullish 341.93 (13.3%), Bearish 327.96 (86.7%) – Strong bearish sentiment due to intraday volatility.
1-Hour: Bullish 342.00 (33.9%), Bearish 327.50 (62.3%) – Bearish but less intense, reflecting hourly swings.
4-Hour: Bullish 345.52 (73.4%), Bearish 344.44 (19.0%) – Flat outlook, indicating consolidation.
Daily: Bullish 391.26 (68.8%), Bearish 302.22 (31.2%) – Bullish bias from recent uptrend, bearish tempered by longer lookback.
Weekly: Bullish 414.37 (35.0%), Bearish 279.08 (41.3%) – Wide range, reflecting annual volatility.
Monthly: Bullish 396.70 (54.9%), Bearish 296.93 (10.2%) – Long-term bullish optimism.
These results align with market dynamics: short-term intervals capture volatility, while longer intervals smooth trends, providing balanced outlooks.
Notes
Accuracy: Projections are estimates based on historical data and should be used with other analysis tools. Confidence levels indicate likelihood, not certainty.
Timeframe Sensitivity: Short-term intervals (e.g., 30-minute) show larger price swings and higher confidence due to volatility, while longer intervals (e.g., monthly) are more stable.
Customization: Adjust inputs to match your trading style (e.g., shorter lookback for day trading, longer for swing trading).
Performance: Tested on volatile stocks like TSLA, NVIDIA, and others, ensuring robust performance across markets.
Limitations: May produce conservative bearish projections in strong uptrends due to momentum weighting. Adjust lookback or projection_bars for sensitivity.
Feedback
If you encounter issues (e.g., label overlap, projection mismatches), please share your timeframe, settings, or a screenshot. Suggestions for enhancements (e.g., additional filters, visual tweaks) are welcome!
Disclaimer
The Canuck Trading Projection Indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Overview
The Canuck Trading Projection Indicator is a powerful PineScript v6 tool designed for TradingView to project potential bullish and bearish price trajectories based on historical price and volume movements. It provides traders with actionable insights by estimating future price targets and assigning confidence levels to each outlook, helping to identify probable market directions across any timeframe. Ideal for both short-term and long-term traders, this indicator combines momentum analysis, RSI filtering, support/resistance detection, and time-weighted trend analysis to deliver robust projections.
Features
Bullish and Bearish Projections: Forecasts price targets for upward (bullish) and downward (bearish) movements over a user-defined projection period (default 20 bars).
Confidence Levels: Assigns percentage confidence scores to each outlook, reflecting the likelihood of the projected price based on historical trends, volatility, and volume.
RSI Filter: Incorporates a 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) to validate trends, requiring RSI > 50 for bullish and RSI < 50 for bearish signals.
Support/Resistance Detection: Adjusts confidence levels when projections are near key swing highs/lows (within 2% of average price), boosting confidence by 5% for alignments.
Time-Based Weighting: Prioritizes recent price movements in trend analysis, giving more weight to newer bars for improved relevance.
Customizable Inputs: Allows users to tailor lookback period, projection bars, RSI period, confidence threshold, colors, and label positioning.
Forced Label Spacing: Prevents overlap of bullish and bearish text labels, even for tight projections, using fixed vertical slots when price differences are small (<2% of average price).
Timeframe Flexibility: Works seamlessly across all TradingView timeframes (e.g., 30-minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly), adapting projections to the chart’s resolution.
Clean Visualization: Displays projections as green (bullish) and red (bearish) dashed lines, with non-overlapping text labels at the projection endpoints showing price targets and confidence levels.
How It Works
The indicator analyzes historical price and volume data over a user-defined lookback period (default 50 bars) to calculate:
Momentum: Combines price changes and volume to assess trend strength, using a weighted moving average (WMA) for directional bias.
Trend Analysis: Counts bullish (price up, volume above average, RSI > 50) and bearish (price down, volume above average, RSI < 50) trends, weighting recent bars more heavily.
Projections:
Bullish Slope: Positive or flat when momentum is upward, scaled by price change and momentum intensity.
Bearish Slope: Negative or flat when momentum is downward, amplified by bearish confidence for stronger projections.
Projects prices forward by 20 bars (default) using current close plus slope times projection bars.
Confidence Levels:
Base confidence derived from the proportion of bullish/bearish trends, with a 5% minimum to avoid zero confidence.
Adjusted by volatility (lower volatility increases confidence), volume trends, and proximity to support/resistance levels.
Visualization:
Draws projection lines from the current close to the 20-bar future target.
Places text labels at line endpoints, showing price targets and confidence percentages, with forced spacing for readability.
Input Parameters
Lookback Period (default: 50): Number of bars for historical analysis (minimum 10).
Projection Bars (default: 20): Number of bars to project forward (minimum 5).
Confidence Threshold (default: 0.6): Minimum confidence for strong trend indication (0.1 to 1.0).
Bullish Projection Line Color (default: Green): Color for bullish projection line and label.
Bearish Projection Line Color (default: Red): Color for bearish projection line and label.
RSI Period (default: 14): Period for RSI momentum filter (minimum 5).
Label Vertical Offset (%) (default: 1.0): Base offset for labels as a percentage of price range (0.1% to 5.0%).
Minimum Label Spacing (%) (default: 2.0): Minimum vertical spacing between labels for tight projections (0.5% to 10.0%).
Usage Instructions
Add to Chart: Copy the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor, save, and add the indicator to your chart.
Select Timeframe: Apply to any timeframe (e.g., 30-minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly) to match your trading strategy.
Interpret Outputs:
Green Line/Label: Bullish price target and confidence (e.g., "Bullish: 414.37, Confidence: 35%").
Red Line/Label: Bearish price target and confidence (e.g., "Bearish: 279.08, Confidence: 41.3%").
Higher confidence indicates a stronger likelihood of the projected outcome.
Adjust Inputs:
Modify Lookback Period to focus on shorter/longer historical trends (e.g., 20 for short-term, 100 for long-term).
Change Projection Bars to adjust forecast horizon (e.g., 10 for shorter, 50 for longer).
Tweak RSI Period or Confidence Threshold for sensitivity to momentum or trend strength.
Customize Colors for visual preference.
Increase Minimum Label Spacing if labels overlap in volatile markets.
Combine with Analysis: Use alongside other indicators (e.g., moving averages, Bollinger Bands) or fundamental analysis to confirm signals, as projections are probabilistic.
Example: TSLA Across Timeframes
Using live TSLA data (close ~346.46 USD, May 31, 2025), the indicator produces:
30-Minute: Bullish 341.93 (13.3%), Bearish 327.96 (86.7%) – Strong bearish sentiment due to intraday volatility.
1-Hour: Bullish 342.00 (33.9%), Bearish 327.50 (62.3%) – Bearish but less intense, reflecting hourly swings.
4-Hour: Bullish 345.52 (73.4%), Bearish 344.44 (19.0%) – Flat outlook, indicating consolidation.
Daily: Bullish 391.26 (68.8%), Bearish 302.22 (31.2%) – Bullish bias from recent uptrend, bearish tempered by longer lookback.
Weekly: Bullish 414.37 (35.0%), Bearish 279.08 (41.3%) – Wide range, reflecting annual volatility.
Monthly: Bullish 396.70 (54.9%), Bearish 296.93 (10.2%) – Long-term bullish optimism.
These results align with market dynamics: short-term intervals capture volatility, while longer intervals smooth trends, providing balanced outlooks.
Notes
Accuracy: Projections are estimates based on historical data and should be used with other analysis tools. Confidence levels indicate likelihood, not certainty.
Timeframe Sensitivity: Short-term intervals (e.g., 30-minute) show larger price swings and higher confidence due to volatility, while longer intervals (e.g., monthly) are more stable.
Customization: Adjust inputs to match your trading style (e.g., shorter lookback for day trading, longer for swing trading).
Performance: Tested on volatile stocks like TSLA, NVIDIA, and others, ensuring robust performance across markets.
Limitations: May produce conservative bearish projections in strong uptrends due to momentum weighting. Adjust lookback or projection_bars for sensitivity.
Feedback
If you encounter issues (e.g., label overlap, projection mismatches), please share your timeframe, settings, or a screenshot. Suggestions for enhancements (e.g., additional filters, visual tweaks) are welcome!
Disclaimer
The Canuck Trading Projection Indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Sürüm Notları
Canuck Trading Projection IndicatorOverview
The Canuck Trading Projection Indicator is a sophisticated PineScript v6 tool designed for TradingView, delivering precise bullish and bearish price projections with enhanced confidence levels. Optimized for traders seeking reliable market direction insights, it leverages advanced momentum analysis, RSI, MACD, support/resistance detection, and time-weighted trends to forecast price targets over customizable horizons. Ideal for all trading styles, this indicator ensures accurate, realistic projections across any timeframe, with a focus on actionable data for informed decision-making.
Features
Bullish and Bearish Projections: Forecasts upward (bullish) and downward (bearish) price targets for a user-defined period (default 20 bars), with refined slopes for balanced accuracy.
Enhanced Confidence Levels: Assigns percentage confidence scores (capped at 90%) to each outlook, reflecting trend strength, validated by RSI and MACD, and adjusted for volatility and volume.
RSI and MACD Filters: Integrates a 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI > 50 for bullish, < 50 for bearish) and 12-26-9 MACD (bullish: MACD > signal, bearish: MACD < signal) to confirm trend direction, boosting confidence by 5% when aligned.
Support/Resistance Detection: Increases confidence by 5% when projections are within 2% of key swing highs/lows, enhancing forecast reliability.
Time-Based Weighting: Prioritizes recent price movements in trend analysis, ensuring projections reflect current market dynamics.
Customizable Inputs: Offers flexibility to adjust lookback period, projection bars, RSI period, confidence threshold, colors, and label positioning for personalized use.
Forced Label Spacing: Prevents overlap of bullish/bearish text labels, even for tight projections, using fixed vertical slots when price differences are small (<2% of average price).
Price Constraints: Caps projections at 50%-150% of the current close and ±2% per bar, ensuring realistic targets.
Timeframe Flexibility: Adapts seamlessly to all TradingView timeframes (e.g., 30-minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly).
Clean Visualization: Displays green (bullish) and red (bearish) dashed lines with non-overlapping text labels at projection endpoints, showing price targets and confidence percentages.
How It Works
The indicator analyzes historical price and volume data over a customizable lookback period (default 50 bars) to produce:
Momentum Analysis: Combines price changes and volume with a weighted moving average (WMA) to assess trend strength, enhanced by MACD for directional confirmation.
Trend Analysis: Counts bullish (price up, volume above average, RSI > 50, MACD > signal) and bearish (price down, volume above average, RSI < 50, MACD < signal) trends, weighting recent bars for relevance.
Projections:
Bullish Slope: Positive or flat, scaled by price, momentum, and confidence (moderated for low confidence), capped at +2% per bar.
Bearish Slope: Negative or flat, tuned for sensitivity with high confidence, capped at -2% per bar.
Projects prices forward (default 20 bars) from the current close, constrained to 50%-150% of close.
Confidence Levels:
Derived from trend proportions, with a 5% minimum, adjusted by volatility, volume, support/resistance, and MACD alignment.
Capped at 90% to reflect uncertainty, ensuring balanced probability estimates.
Visualization:
Draws projection lines from the current close to future targets.
Places text labels at line endpoints with price targets and confidence, spaced to avoid overlap.
Input Parameters
Lookback Period (default: 50): Bars for historical analysis (minimum 10).
Projection Bars (default: 20): Bars to project forward (minimum 5).
Confidence Threshold (default: 0.6): Minimum confidence for strong trends (0.1 to 1.0).
Bullish Projection Line Color (default: Green): Color for bullish line/label.
Bearish Projection Line Color (default: Red): Color for bearish line/label.
RSI Period (default: 14): Period for RSI momentum filter (minimum 5).
Label Vertical Offset (%) (default: 1.0): Base label offset as a percentage of price range (0.1% to 5.0%).
Minimum Label Spacing (%) (default: 2.0): Minimum label spacing for tight projections (0.5% to 10.0%).
Usage Instructions
Add to Chart: Copy the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor, save, and add to your chart.
Select Timeframe: Use on any timeframe (e.g., 30-minute, daily, weekly) to suit your strategy.
Interpret Outputs:
Green Line/Label: Bullish price target and confidence (e.g., "Bullish: 387.20, Confidence: 29.4%").
Red Line/Label: Bearish price target and confidence (e.g., "Bearish: 315.32, Confidence: 33%").
Higher confidence indicates stronger trend likelihood.
Adjust Inputs:
Shorten Lookback Period (e.g., 20) for short-term trading, extend (e.g., 100) for long-term.
Modify Projection Bars for different horizons (e.g., 10 for short, 50 for long).
Tweak RSI Period or Confidence Threshold for momentum/trend sensitivity.
Customize Colors for visibility.
Increase Minimum Label Spacing for volatile markets.
Combine with Analysis: Pair with other tools (e.g., moving averages, fundamentals) to confirm signals, as projections are probabilistic.
Notes
Accuracy: Projections are estimates, enhanced by RSI, MACD, and confidence calibration for high reliability. Use with complementary analysis for best results.
Timeframe Sensitivity: Short-term intervals (e.g., 30-minute) show volatile projections, while longer intervals (e.g., weekly) are stable, as seen with TSLA.
Customization: Adjust inputs to match your trading style (e.g., shorter lookback for day trading, longer for swing trading).
Performance: Rigorously tested on volatile stocks like TSLA, ensuring robust forecasts across market conditions.
Limitations: Confidence may be high in strong trends (up to 90%), but calibration ensures uncertainty is accounted for. Projections are capped to prevent unrealistic targets.
Feedback
If you encounter issues (e.g., label overlap, projection mismatches), please share your timeframe, settings, or a screenshot. Suggestions for enhancements (e.g., additional filters, visual tweaks) are welcome!
Disclaimer
The Canuck Trading Projection Indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Sürüm Notları
Made a bunch of improvements that smooth out by interval changes, added improved label positioning and confidence calculations.Sürüm Notları
Several improvements made in this release, specifically related to fixing RSI, MACD, ADX, and VWAP in projections. Furthermore, visual improvements are made with additional support for configurable projection bars. Sürüm Notları
Fixed a timing issue where the calculations only happened on the last closed candle/bar. This now also takes into consideration the current forming candle along with the historical candles in calculations. Sürüm Notları
Updated calculations in some cases we're reporting incorrect confidence scores. Açık kaynak kodlu komut dosyası
Gerçek TradingView ruhuna uygun olarak, bu komut dosyasının oluşturucusu bunu açık kaynaklı hale getirmiştir, böylece yatırımcılar betiğin işlevselliğini inceleyip doğrulayabilir. Yazara saygı! Ücretsiz olarak kullanabilirsiniz, ancak kodu yeniden yayınlamanın Site Kurallarımıza tabi olduğunu unutmayın.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.
Açık kaynak kodlu komut dosyası
Gerçek TradingView ruhuna uygun olarak, bu komut dosyasının oluşturucusu bunu açık kaynaklı hale getirmiştir, böylece yatırımcılar betiğin işlevselliğini inceleyip doğrulayabilir. Yazara saygı! Ücretsiz olarak kullanabilirsiniz, ancak kodu yeniden yayınlamanın Site Kurallarımıza tabi olduğunu unutmayın.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.