Overview: This script leverages the principles of Bollinger Bands (BB), a popular tool for measuring volatility and identifying extreme price levels of overbought or oversold conditions. When the price closes outside the upper or lower bands, there is a strong probability that it will revert back inside the bands, typically in two steps:
First, towards the EMA 7 (fast exponential moving average). Then, towards the SMA 20 (the middle line of the BB). How It Works:
Outer BB Closes: When a candle closes beyond the upper or lower Bollinger Bands, it typically signals an extreme price extension (high volatility or impulsive movement). Mean Reversion: Generally, the price tends to revert quickly inside the bands, with the first target being the EMA 7 and the second being the SMA 20. This behavior is based on the mean-reverting nature of Bollinger Bands, which act as dynamic price boundaries. Alert Signal: The script highlights these closes and visually marks areas where potential reversals or technical corrections might occur. Usage:
Ideal for traders aiming to exploit extreme moves for counter-trend trades or profit-taking opportunities. Works best in volatile markets, but caution is advised during strong trends where prices can stay extended outside the bands. Combine this tool with other indicators (such as RSI or MACD) to confirm signals. Precautions:
The signals generated do not guarantee an immediate reversion. In strong trending markets, the price can "ride" the outer bands for several candles. Strict risk management is advised: always use appropriate stop-loss levels based on your risk tolerance. Practical Example:
When the price closes above the upper band: Expect a correction towards the EMA 7 and then the SMA 20. When the price closes below the lower band: Look for a potential bounce towards the same targets. Conclusion: This script is designed to help traders identify opportunities in overbought or oversold conditions. However, it is not financial advice but rather an analytical tool to incorporate into your trading strategy.
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