ETH-BCH Strategy-V0 (Powered by BCH)

5 gün önce

ETH-BCH Strategy – Cross-Asset Divergence-Based Momentum Strategy
(Optimized for 2H ETHUSDT)
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Strategy Overview
This strategy aims to identify long trade opportunities based on cross-asset divergence among Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH). By integrating momentum filters, volatility bands, volume signals, and timing logic, it captures medium-term price swings while maintaining strict risk controls.
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📌 Strategy Logic Overview
Entry Conditions:
• Cross-Asset Momentum:
Enter when BCH outperforms ETH over the last bar.
• Volume Filter:
BCH trading volume must exceed 135% of its 20-period average, indicating genuine market interest.
• Volatility Filter:
ETH price should be below 110% of the lower Bollinger Band boundary (20 periods, 2 standard deviations), signaling oversold conditions.
• RSI & MACD Confirmation:
ETH RSI < 70 (not overbought) and BCH MACD line above its signal line (supporting upward trend).
• Optional Entry Boosters:
Entry signal is reinforced if ETH has fallen more than -20% in the past 48 hours or -25% in the past 72 hours.
• Timing Constraint:
Entry only allowed after at least 1 bar has passed since the last sell.
Exit Conditions:
• Take Profit:
Exit when ETH price rises 30% above the entry price.
• Trailing Stop Loss:
Exit if ETH price drops 6% from the highest point reached after entry.
• Cross-Asset Reversal:
Exit triggered when BTC outperforms BCH by a threshold calculated as ETH short-term/long-term volume ratio × 2.5.
• Timing Constraint:
Exit only allowed after 12 bars have passed since the last buy.
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📊 Indicators Used
Category Indicators
Volatility Bollinger Bands (20 periods, 2σ) on ETH close
Momentum RSI(14) on ETH, MACD(12,26,9) on BCH
Volume BCH volume compared to 20-period SMA (threshold at 1.35×)
Divergence Percentage change comparison between ETH, BCH, and BTC closes (1-bar interval)
Volatility Ratio ETH volume short-term vs long-term average to modulate exit threshold
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⚙️ Strategy Settings (Backtest)
Setting Value
Chart Symbol ETHUSDT
Timeframe 2 Hours
Position Size 10% of equity (default), also tested at 100% for comparison
Initial Capital $10,000
Commission 0.1%
Slippage 3 points

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📈 Performance Summary (Backtested Jan 2023 – Jul 2025, ETHUSDT 2H)
Metric 10% Position Size (Default) 100% Position Size (Aggressive)
Net Profit 30.91% 1064.80%
Max Drawdown(MDD) 1.94% 19.38%
Profit Factor 5.1 4.6
Win Rate 61.54% (40/65) 61.54% (40/65)
Total Trades 65 65
• The 10% position sizing delivers strong risk-adjusted returns with low drawdown, suitable for conservative or institutional traders.
• The 100% sizing highlights the full alpha potential but with significantly higher drawdown risk.
• Both maintain consistent win rate and profit factor, evidencing robustness.
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💡 Additional Notes and Usage Suggestions
• The strategy combines cross-asset signals with volatility and momentum validations to reduce false entries.
• Enforces cooldown periods between trades to avoid overtrading.
• Uses 2-hour candles for main logic and 5-minute data for more precise entry and exit pricing.
• Well-suited for traders who prioritize timing over blind holding and want to harness the interplay between ETH, BCH, and BTC.
• Can be integrated into diversified portfolios or as part of rotational trading systems.
• Ideal for advanced users looking to enhance ETH exposure with dynamic timing signals.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
This strategy is intended for educational and research purposes only. All performance figures are based on historical backtests and do not guarantee future results. Trading involves risk; use appropriate risk management.

4 gün önce

Sürüm Notları

Updated for the better performance at 4hr time frame also.
Trailing stop : 6 .0 -> 5.0

4 gün önce

Sürüm Notları

Best fitted for 4hr time frame.

evvelsi gün

Sürüm Notları

Optimized to perform well on both ETH and BTC 2hr and 4hr time frames.

evvelsi gün

Sürüm Notları

Best fit for BTCUSDT also.

evvelsi gün

Sürüm Notları

Visulaization updated

5 saat önce

Sürüm Notları

Change divergence diff. from (ETH-BCH) to (Cryto Ave.- BCH)