PEPE Edge Hunter v1 - Quantitative Signals

PEPE Quantitative Edge Hunter Data-Driven

Short Description:

A microstructure analysis tool tailored specifically for PEPE (1000PEPE), based on quantitative patterns identified in January 2026 market data. This script highlights high-probability setups derived from volatility, volume, and mean reversion statistics.

Detailed Description:
Overview
This indicator is not based on standard technical analysis (like RSI or MACD), but on a rigorous quantitative analysis of recent PEPE price action. It identifies 5 specific “Edges” where the statistical probability of a specific outcome significantly exceeds random chance.

The 5 Quantitative Edges:

Edge #1: The Coiled Spring (Range Compression)
• Logic: Detects when PEPE’s range contracts to the bottom 20% of historical volatility.
• Stat: 85.9% probability of range expansion in the immediate next bar.
• Usage: Prepares you for a breakout move.

Edge #2: Bearish Momentum & Volume (The “Crush” Pattern)
• Logic: Identifies 3 consecutive red candles accompanied by a Relative Volume (RVOL) spike (>90th percentile).
• Stat: 71.4% Win Rate for bearish continuation.
• Note: This edge was found to be statistically significant only for downside moves (Shorts), not upside.

Edge #3: Extreme Mean Reversion
• Logic: Fades moves that are in the top/bottom 5% of returns.
• Stat: 58.8% Win Rate for bounces after extreme drops; 55.9% for reversals after extreme pumps.
• Usage: Best used for scalping quick reversals.

Edge #4: Wick Rejection (Microstructure)
• Logic: Flags candles with large lower wicks (Top 10%).
• Stat: 54.4% probability of bullish follow-through.

Edge #5: Expansion to Contraction
• Logic: Identifies range exhaustion. After a Top 20% range bar, probability dictates a consolidation.
• Stat: 76.3% chance of a smaller subsequent candle.
• Usage: Perfect for timing Take Profits.

How to Trade
• Green Triangles: Long Setups (Mean Reversion or Compression Breakouts).
• Red Triangles: Short Setups (Volume Momentum or Reversals).
• Info Panel: Displays the active market state and live probabilities.
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Disclaimer
Past performance (January 2026 data) is not indicative of future results. This tool provides statistical probabilities, not financial advice. Always use Stop Losses.