BTC/USD 3分バイナリー予測【完全修正版v7.2】

20 saat önce

## BTC/USD 3-Minute Binary Prediction Indicator v7.2 Documentation

### Overview
This indicator predicts whether BTCUSD price will move ±$25 or more within 3 minutes using a 5-layer filter system and pattern recognition. Designed for 30-second timeframe analysis with statistical tracking.

### ⚠️ Critical Warnings
- **This is a prediction tool, NOT a profit guarantee**
- **30-second timeframe ONLY** (Will not function correctly on other timeframes)
- **BTCUSD pair ONLY**
- **Past performance does not guarantee future results**
- **Test thoroughly in demo before live trading**
- **You can lose your entire investment**

### Core Components

#### 1. Five-Layer Filter System
```
Layer 1: Trend Alignment (25 points) - EMA configuration analysis
Layer 2: Indicator Confluence (25 points) - RSI + MACD confirmation
Layer 3: Volume Analysis (20 points) - Abnormal volume detection
Layer 4: Key Levels (15 points) - Support/Resistance proximity
Layer 5: Momentum (15 points) - Price acceleration measurement
```

#### 2. Pattern Recognition Engine
- Double Top/Bottom formations
- Triangle patterns (Symmetrical, Ascending, Descending)
- Channel patterns
- Candlestick patterns (Engulfing, Hammer, Hanging Man)

#### 3. Performance Tracking
- Overall win rate
- Hourly performance
- Daily performance
- Real-time statistics

### Input Parameters

#### Basic Settings
- `Range Width ($)`: Target price movement (Default: $50 = ±$25)
- `Minimum Confidence (%)`: Required confidence for entry (Default: 75%)
- `Max Daily Trades`: Overtrading prevention (Default: 5)

#### Filter Settings
- `Trend Filter`: EMA alignment validation
- `Volume Confirmation`: Volume spike detection
- `S/R Filter`: Key level analysis
- `Momentum Alignment`: Directional strength confirmation

#### Display Settings
- `Minimal Mode`: Reduced visual elements for experienced users
- `Pattern Display`: Visual pattern overlays
- `EMA Lines`: Moving average visualization

### Usage Instructions

#### Setup Process
1. Open BTCUSD chart on TradingView
2. **Set timeframe to 30 seconds** (CRITICAL)
3. Add indicator to chart
4. Adjust parameters if needed

#### Reading Signals

**Decision Panel (Left Side)**
- `HIGH`: Predicts +$25 move in 3 minutes
- `LOW`: Predicts -$25 move in 3 minutes
- `WAIT`: Conditions building, no entry yet
- `STAY`: No trade opportunity

**F-Score Interpretation**
- 65+ points: Direction suggestion (light color)
- 80+ points: Strong signal (solid color)
- Entry ready: Exclamation mark (!)

**Statistics Panel (Right Side)**
- Win rate: Percentage of successful predictions
- 1H Stats: Last hour performance
- Daily Stats: Today's results

#### Entry Execution
1. Wait for `HIGH!` or `LOW!` in decision panel
2. Large arrow appears on chart (▲ for HIGH, ▼ for LOW)
3. Enter at **next candle open**
4. Result evaluated after 3 minutes (6 candles)

### Algorithm Logic

#### Early Entry System (v7.2 Feature)
The indicator uses predictive analysis starting at F-Score 65 instead of waiting for 80:
- Faster signal generation
- Reduced opportunity loss
- Slightly lower win rate trade-off

#### Confidence Calculation
```
Base confidence: 50%
+ Filter score bonus
+ Pattern recognition bonus
+ Volatility adjustment
- Risk factors
= Final confidence (50-95%)
```

### Technical Specifications

#### Multi-Timeframe Analysis
- Primary: 30-second chart
- Secondary: 1-minute data
- Reference: 5-minute trend

#### Data Processing
- Real-time tick analysis
- No repainting (signals are final)
- Historical verification system

### Limitations & Known Issues

1. **Spread/Commission Not Included**: Actual profits will be lower
2. **30-Second Noise**: High false signal risk on ultra-short timeframe
3. **Network Latency**: Execution delays not accounted for
4. **Market Conditions**: Performance varies with volatility
5. **Algorithm Trading**: Cannot compete with HFT systems

### Performance Metrics
- Target Win Rate: 83% (aspirational)
- Evaluation Period: 3 minutes
- Risk per trade: Fixed ±$25
- Maximum daily exposure: 5 trades

### Troubleshooting Guide

**No signals appearing?**
- Check F-Score (needs 65+)
- Verify 30-second timeframe
- Ensure BTCUSD pair selected

**Low win rate?**
- Only trade 75%+ confidence signals
- Respect daily trade limit
- Avoid news events

**Pattern shows "-"?**
- Normal when no clear pattern exists
- Not all market conditions produce patterns

### Code Modification Notes
Written in Pine Script v6. Key considerations for modifications:
- Global variables use `var` for persistence
- Drawing objects require manual management
- Bar counting varies by timeframe
- Pattern detection runs on confirmed bars only

### Risk Disclosure
**IMPORTANT**: Trading cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.

### Support & Updates
- Report issues in TradingView comments
- Check for updates regularly
- Version 7.2 is current release
- Community feedback welcome

### Legal Notice
This indicator is provided for educational and research purposes only. It should not be construed as investment advice. The authors and distributors of this indicator accept no liability for losses incurred through its use. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

---
*Version: 7.2*
*License: Mozilla Public License 2.0*
*Author: [Your TradingView Username]*
*Last Updated: 2024*

**FINAL WARNING: This indicator cannot predict the future. Use at your own risk. Start with demo trading. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.**

10 saat önce

Sürüm Notları

367 pattern_line1 := na
Cannot modify global variable "pattern_line1" in function
370 pattern_line2 := na
Cannot modify global variable "pattern_line2" in function
373 pattern_line3 := na
Cannot modify global variable "pattern_line3" in function
376 pattern_box := na
Cannot modify global variable "pattern_box" in function
379 pattern_label := na
Cannot modify global variable "pattern_label" in function
564high_probability_short = filter_score >= 80 and
Syntax error at input "end of line without line continuation"
212 ph = ta.pivothigh(high, 5, 5)
The function "ta.pivothigh" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
213 pl = ta.pivotlow(low, 5, 5)
The function "ta.pivotlow" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
214 if not na(ph)
The variable "ph" is declared in local scope, which may not be executed at every update. So, obtaining its historical values may lead to unexpected results
216 pattern_line1 := na
The variable "pl" is declared in local scope, which may not be executed at every update. So, obtaining its historical values may lead to unexpected results
271 highest_20 = ta.highest(high, lookback)
The function "ta.highest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
272 lowest_20 = ta.lowest(low, lookback)
The function "ta.lowest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
273 highest_5 = ta.highest(high, 5)
The function "ta.highest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
274 lowest_5 = ta.lowest(low, 5)
The function "ta.lowest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
283 upper_slope = (highest_5 - ta.highest(high, 5)[5]) / 5
The function "ta.highest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
284 lower_slope = (lowest_5 - ta.lowest(low, 5)[5]) / 5
The function "ta.lowest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
309 channel_high = ta.highest(high, lookback)
The function "ta.highest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
310 channel_low = ta.lowest(low, lookback)
The function "ta.lowest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
386 update_pivot_cache()
The function "update_pivot_cache" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
390 [triangle_pattern, triangle_conf, triangle_dir] = detect_triangle_pattern()
The function "detect_triangle_pattern" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
391 [channel_pattern, channel_conf, channel_dir] = detect_channel_pattern()
The function "detect_channel_pattern" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
392 [candle_pattern, candle_conf, candle_dir] = detect_candle_pattern()
The function "detect_candle_pattern" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
441 label_price = best_pattern == "DOUBLE_TOP" ? ta.highest(high, lookback) : ta.lowest(low, lookback)
The function "ta.highest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
447 highest_price = ta.highest(high, lookback)
The function "ta.highest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
448 lowest_price = ta.lowest(low, lookback)
The function "ta.lowest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
463 highest_price = ta.highest(high, lookback)
The function "ta.highest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope
464 lowest_price = ta.lowest(low, lookback)
The function "ta.lowest" should be called on each calculation for consistency. It is recommended to extract the call from this scope