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Fabian Z-Score

105
Fabian Z-Score — % Distance & Z-Scores for SPX / DJI / XLU
What it does
This indicator measures how far three market proxies are from a moving average and standardizes those distances into z-scores so you can spot stretch/mean-reversion and relative out/under-performance.

Universe: S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones (DJI) and Utilities (XLU). You can change any of these in Inputs.

Anchor MA: user-selectable MA type (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA/VWMA/HMA/LSMA/ALMA) and length (default 39; a popular weekly anchor).

Outputs

% from MA: 100 × (𝐶𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑒 − 𝑀𝐴) / 𝑀𝐴

Time-series Z: z-score of the last N % distances (default 39) → “how stretched vs its own history?”

Cross-sectional Z: z-score of each % distance within the trio on this bar → “who’s strongest vs the others right now?”

A compact mini table (top-right) shows the latest values for each symbol: % from MA, Z(ts) and Z(xsec).

Panels & Visualization
Toggle what you want to see in View:

Plot % distance — raw % above/below the MA (0% line shown).

Plot time-series Z — standardized stretch with ±Threshold guides (default ±2σ).

Plot cross-sectional Z — relative z across SPX, DJI, XLU (0 = at the trio’s mean).

Smoothing — optional light MA on the plotted series (set to 1 for none).

A price-panel Moving Average is drawn with your chosen type/length for visual context.

Colors: SPX = teal, DJI = orange, XLU = purple.

Alerts
Two built-in alert conditions (time-series Z only):

“Z(ts) crosses up +Thr” — any of the three crosses above +Threshold.

“Z(ts) crosses down -Thr” — any crosses below −Threshold.

When enabled, the chart background tints faint green (up cross) or red (down cross) on those bars.

How to use (ideas, not advice)
On weekly charts, a 39-length MA/Z lookback often captures major risk-on/off swings. (Fabian Timing)

Deep negative Z(ts) (e.g., ≤ −2σ or −3σ) frequently accompanies panic and mean-reversion setups.

High positive Z(ts) suggests over-extension; watch for momentum fades.

Cross-sectional Z helps rank leadership today:

Z(xsec) > 0 → stronger than the trio’s mean this bar; Z(xsec) < 0 → weaker.

Utilities (XLU) turning positive x-sec while the others are negative can hint at defensive rotation.

If all 3 are above 0, go long, if below 0 go cash.

Combine: look for extreme Z(ts) aligning with lead/lag Z(xsec) to time entries/exits or hedges.

Inputs (quick reference)
Symbols: SPX / DJI / XLU (editable).

MA type & length: SMA, EMA, RMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA, LSMA, ALMA; default EMA(39).

Z-score lookback (ts): default 39.

Smoothing on plots: default 1 (off).

Z threshold (±): default 2.0 (guide lines & alerts).
Sürüm Notları
I added buy and sell alerts.
Sürüm Notları
...
Sürüm Notları
multiple ma types.

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.