RexDog Average

18 May 2021

Yes, simple—the RexDog Average is a bias moving average indicator. The purpose is to provide the overall momentum bias you should have when trading an instrument. It works across all markets and all timeframes.

Usage:

• Price above the RexDog AVG = long momentum bias
  
• Price below the RexDog AVG = short momentum bias
  

*Note: we have banned the word “trend” in the RexDog Trading Method.

Additional Usage Advice:

If price rips through the average your momentum bias should probably change. 80% of the time when price moves through the RexDog Average it will come back and test the area around average within 1-2 bars. 20% of the time it does not. The momentum is so strong in that direction so look for a 50-70% tests of the bar that impulse through the RexDog Average.

If you are using the RexDog Trading Method by default if the price is above the average and you are short you are in a fade trade. The momentum trade would be long. Of course reverse if price is below.

On multiple time frames. Of course, one timeframe can be long bias and a lower timeframe can be short bias. Which one do you use? Both—if your in a short trade using lower timeframe and with the bias of the average your in a momentum trade—but on the higher timeframe your aware you are essential fading the overall momentum.

Background:

Rex and I searched high and low for one simple thing. A moving average (or combination of some) that we could use to form our momentum bias that worked for all timeframes and all markets we trade.

We tried and tested them all. Even went down the path of ribbons and various other types of hybrid EMA/MA derivatives. Nothing had a high enough accuracy or mathematically was reliable that we could say with a high probability that it was on the right side of the momentum.

We almost stopped and landed on using the true and tested 200 MA—but we found through extensive tests that using the 200MA or EMA you’re often late to the party. Look you don’t need to be the first one in the trade but having a heads up sure helps.

To quote one of the best financial movies of the modern era—Margin Call:
“There are three ways to make a living in this business: be first, be smarter, or cheat… it sure is a hell of a lot easier to be first”. The RexDog Average used properly enables you to be first or damn near close.

Under the Hood:
This is so simple most reading this will discount it. You might even scoff and berate Rex for wasting your time. But you would be wrong. The RexDog Average has been tested across all markets—FOREX, Crypto, Equities, Futures (even tick charts), and even the Penguin population in Antarctica.

The RexDog Average is an average of 6 simple moving averages: 200, 100, 50, 24, 9, 5.

Yes, that’s it.

The RexDog Average Plus will be released soon with additional parameters and most likely upper and lower bounds. In addition, we are working on a hybrid RexDog Exponential Average.