GKD-C Adaptive-Lookback Stochastic [Loxx]

15 May 2023

Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-C Adaptive-Lookback Stochastic is a Metamorphosis module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".

█ GKD-C Adaptive-Lookback Stochastic
The Adaptive-Lookback Stochastic uses a swing pivot lookback algorithm to adjust the periiod input bar-bar-bar thereby converting the regular Stochasitc oscillator into an adaptive Stochatic oscillator.

What is the Adaptive Lookback Period?
The adaptive lookback period is a technique used in technical analysis to adjust the period of an indicator based on changes in market conditions. This technique is particularly useful in volatile or rapidly changing markets where a fixed period may not be optimal for detecting trends or signals.

The concept of the adaptive lookback period is relatively simple. By adjusting the lookback period based on changes in market conditions, traders can more accurately identify trends and signals. This can help traders to enter and exit trades at the right time and improve the profitability of their trading strategies.

The adaptive lookback period works by identifying potential swing points in the market. Once these points are identified, the lookback period is calculated based on the number of swings and a speed parameter. The swing count parameter determines the number of swings that must occur before the lookback period is adjusted. The speed parameter controls the rate at which the lookback period is adjusted, with higher values indicating a more rapid adjustment.

The adaptive lookback period can be applied to a wide range of technical indicators, including moving averages, oscillators, and trendlines. By adjusting the period of these indicators based on changes in market conditions, traders can reduce the impact of noise and false signals, leading to more profitable trades.

The adaptive lookback period is a powerful technique for traders and analysts looking to optimize their technical indicators. By adjusting the period based on changes in market conditions, traders can more accurately identify trends and signals, leading to more profitable trades. While there are various ways to implement the adaptive lookback period, the basic concept remains the same, and traders can adapt and customize the technique to suit their individual needs and trading styles.

What is the Stochastic Oscillator?

The Stochastic Oscillator is a popular technical analysis indicator developed by George Lane in the 1950s. It is a momentum indicator that compares a security's closing price to its price range over a specified period. The main idea behind the Stochastic Oscillator is that, in an upward trending market, prices tend to close near their high, while in a downward trending market, prices tend to close near their low. The Stochastic Oscillator ranges from 0 to 100 and is primarily used to identify overbought and oversold conditions or potential trend reversals.

The Stochastic Oscillator is calculated using the following formula:

%K = ((C - L14) / (H14 - L14)) * 100

Where:

%K: The Stochastic Oscillator value.
C: The most recent closing price.
L14: The lowest price of the last 14 periods (or any other chosen period).
H14: The highest price of the last 14 periods (or any other chosen period).
Additionally, a moving average of %K, called %D, is calculated to provide a signal line:

%D = Simple Moving Average of %K over 'n' periods

The Stochastic Oscillator generates signals based on the following conditions:

1. Overbought and Oversold Levels: The Stochastic Oscillator typically uses 80 and 20 as overbought and oversold levels, respectively. When the oscillator is above 80, it is considered overbought, indicating that the market may be overvalued and a price decline is possible. When the oscillator is below 20, it is considered oversold, indicating that the market may be undervalued and a price rise is possible.

2. Bullish and Bearish Divergences: A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the Stochastic Oscillator makes a higher low, suggesting a potential trend reversal to the upside. A bearish divergence occurs when the price makes a higher high, but the Stochastic Oscillator makes a lower high, suggesting a potential trend reversal to the downside.

3. Crosses: Buy signals are generated when %K crosses above %D, indicating upward momentum. Sell signals are generated when %K crosses below %D, indicating downward momentum.

The Stochastic Oscillator is commonly used in combination with other technical analysis tools to confirm signals and improve the accuracy of predictions.

When using the Stochastic Oscillator, it's important to consider a few best practices and additional insights:

1. Confirmation with other indicators: While the Stochastic Oscillator can provide valuable insights into potential trend reversals and overbought/oversold conditions, it is generally more effective when used in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). This can help confirm signals and reduce the chances of false signals or whipsaws.

2. Timeframes: The Stochastic Oscillator can be applied to various timeframes, such as daily, weekly, or intraday charts. Adjusting the lookback period for the calculation can also alter the sensitivity of the indicator. A shorter lookback period will make the oscillator more sensitive to price movements, while a longer lookback period will make it less sensitive. Traders should choose a timeframe and lookback period that aligns with their trading strategy and risk tolerance.

3. Variations: There are two primary variations of the Stochastic Oscillator: Fast Stochastic and Slow Stochastic. The Fast Stochastic uses the original %K and %D calculations, while the Slow Stochastic smooths %K with an additional moving average and uses this smoothed %K as the new %D. The Slow Stochastic is generally considered to generate fewer false signals due to the additional smoothing.

4. Overbought and Oversold: It's important to remember that overbought and oversold conditions can persist for an extended period, especially during strong trends. This means that the Stochastic Oscillator alone should not be relied upon as a definitive buy or sell signal. Instead, traders should wait for additional confirmation from other indicators or price action before entering or exiting a trade.

The Stochastic Oscillator is a valuable momentum indicator that helps traders identify potential trend reversals and overbought/oversold conditions in the market. However, it is most effective when used in combination with other technical analysis tools and should be adapted to suit the specific needs of the individual trader's strategy and risk tolerance.

█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System

Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:

1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
8. Metamorphosis - a technical indicator that produces a compound signal from the combination of other GKD indicators*

*(not part of the NNFX algorithm)

What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.

True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:

-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close

ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.

Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass

What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.

The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).

Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.

By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.

What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.

Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.

In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.

What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.

What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.

By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.

What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.

The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.

The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.

In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.

Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.

What is an Metamorphosis indicator?
The concept of a metamorphosis indicator involves the integration of two or more GKD indicators to generate a compound signal. This is achieved by evaluating the accuracy of each indicator and selecting the signal from the indicator with the highest accuracy. As an illustration, let's consider a scenario where we calculate the accuracy of 10 indicators and choose the signal from the indicator that demonstrates the highest accuracy.

The resulting output from the metamorphosis indicator can then be utilized in a GKD-BT backtest by occupying a slot that aligns with the purpose of the metamorphosis indicator. The slot can be a GKD-B, GKD-C, or GKD-E slot, depending on the specific requirements and objectives of the indicator. This allows for seamless integration and utilization of the compound signal within the GKD-BT framework.

How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v2.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:

1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
6. GKD-M - Metamorphosis module (Metamorphosis, Number 8 in the NNFX algorithm, but not part of the NNFX algorithm)

(additional module types will added in future releases)

Each module interacts with every module by passing data to A backtest module wherein the various components of the GKD system are combined to create a trading signal.

That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.

This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.

What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:

• Backtest: Full GKD Backtest
  
• Baseline: Hull Moving Average
  
• Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
  
• Confirmation 1: Composite RSI
  
• Confirmation 2: uf2018
  
• Continuation: Vortex
  
• Exit: Rex Oscillator
  
• Metamorphosis: Fisher Transform, Universal Oscillator, Aroon, Vortex .. combined
  

Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, GKD-M, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD system.

█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals

Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2. Baseline agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Volatility/Volume agrees

1-Candle Standard Entry
1a. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2a. Baseline agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees

Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Basline gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Volatility/Volume agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior

1-Candle Baseline Entry
1a. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees

Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Baseline agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior

1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry
1a. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSVVC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Volatility/Volume agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Baseline agrees

Confirmation 2 Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 2 gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Volatility/Volume agrees
6. Baseline agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior

1-Candle Confirmation 2 Entry
1a. GKD-C Confirmation 2 gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSC2C Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Confirmation 2 agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Volatility/Volume agrees
5b. Baseline agrees

PullBack Entry
1a. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle
1b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
2b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees

Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, 1-Candle Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, 1-Candle Baseline Entry, Volatility/Volume Entry, 1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry, Confirmation 2 Entry, 1-Candle Confirmation 2 Entry, or Pullback entry triggered previously
2. Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
4. Confirmation 1 agrees
5. Baseline agrees
6. Confirmation 2 agrees

█ Connecting to Backtests

All GKD indicators are chained indicators meaning you export the value of the indicators to specialized backtest to creat your GKD trading system. Each indicator contains a proprietary signal generation algo that will only work with GKD backtests. You can find these backtests using the links below.

GKD-BT Giga Confirmation Stack Backtest:

GKD-BT Giga Stacks Backtest:

GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest:

GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest:

GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest:

GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Simple Backtest:

1 Haz 2023

Sürüm Notları

Updated for multi-ticker backtests.

1 Haz 2023

Sürüm Notları

Readded source types

1 Haz 2023

Sürüm Notları

Fixed input spelling.

10 Haz 2023

Sürüm Notları

Updated for GKD optimizers.

10 Haz 2023

Sürüm Notları

UI update