UBER: Bullish Momentum Builds on Free Cash Flow — But a $200M IPO Settlement Still Unfolds
Court: N.D. California
Case: 3:19-cv-06361
Uber UBER has delivered a +41% YTD return, far outpacing the broader market. A recent bullish thesis by Simeon McMillan sees 15–25% further upside, fueled by Uber’s surging free cash flow, resilient earnings, and growing revenue from Delivery and Freight, which now comprise 44% of the company’s topline.
The stock's valuation multiple expanded by 37% as 2026 earnings proved stronger than expected, and concerns over autonomous vehicle (AV) competition eased following Uber’s integration deal with Waymo.
📊 Key Catalysts- FCF conversion exceeds 100%
- Waymo partnership reduces competitive threats
- Consensus sees $107–$117 price target range over next 12 months
- Strong institutional backing: 145 hedge funds hold UBER
While the bull case strengthens, Uber is still navigating a $200 million investor settlement over claims it misled shareholders during its 2019 IPO.
📆 Timeline Recap- May 10, 2019: Uber goes public, raises $8.1B
- Aug 2019: Reports $5.24B loss, stock drops 20%
- Oct 2019: Class action lawsuit filed
- Class Period: Nov 5, 2019 – Nov 20, 2024
- Misrepresenting financial risk and sustainability of business model
- Operating illegally in key markets (India, LATAM, Tanzania)
- Ignoring major safety concerns — including 5,981 sexual assaults and 107 crash-related deaths
- Eligible shareholders: Held
UBER between Nov 5, 2019 – Nov 20, 2024
- Late claims are being accepted, pending court approval
- Payouts typically take 8–12 months post-approval
👉 You can check more information about it and file for a payout HERE.
UBER is riding high on operating momentum — but unresolved issues from its IPO era still trail close behind.