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NDQ

NASDAQ a look ahead...As the NASDAQ and other major U.S. Equity Indexes face the pressure of economic uncertainty, the price action between days show that investors are not quite convinced this bull run has seen its finish line. However, we shouldn't only be looking toward private investor sentiment, but also that of the Federal Reserve's presence in the market and how the bond market reflects the Fed's position moving forward. As shown here, the all time high for the TVC:NDQ is $22,133.22. Our position is that the NASDAQ must reclaim, retest, and continue beyond the all time high in order for us to continue our confirmation on the bull run. The path described should look as shown below... In this instance, we can assume the bull run should continue. However, we should also be prepared for an alternate scenario where investors leave risk assets behind to chase non-risk assets (bonds for example). This scenario would look as shown below. All though these are not the only two possible scenarios, we can most likely expect the future to play out in a similar fashion as the examples. As for the market metrics to keep an eye on, look to TVC:US10Y for any bond yield manipulation, FRED:RRPONTSYD for market liquidity metrics, and FRED:M1V for M1 money velocity. Furthermore, keep an eye on tariffs for consumer tech ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NYSE:TSM ) and military activity ( NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , NYSE:NOC ). Lastly, keep an eye on the banking and financial sector for more than likely banking deregulations withing the coming years.
TVC:NDQ
by addatheriver0808
1
Nasdaq - The Most Decisive Point Ever!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) might break below all structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After breaking above the major channel resistance trendline just a couple of months ago, the Nasdaq is now being dominated by bears and starting to break everything back to the downside. So far we didn't see any confirmation but the next couple of days will decide just everything. Levels to watch: $20.000, $16.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQShort
by basictradingtv
13
Nasdaq - Starting The Final Parabolic Year!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is perfectly following the breakout: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Back in 2020 we already witnessed the channel break and retest, which was followed by a parabolic rally of another +50%. And in mid 2024, the Nasdaq again broke the channel trendline towards the upside, preparing the repetition of the parabolic rally which we saw four years ago. Levels to watch: $30.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQLong
by basictradingtv
14
Rate Cuts Coming Up?Simply put, yes , the Fed has appeared to switch its position on the FRED:FEDFUNDS remaining flat and are expecting further rate cuts. So what can we hypothesize the market's reaction will be? Well, you guessed it, the market will probably like the news and cash will flow into "risk-on" assets including crypto assets and, of course, stocks. Furthermore, we can infer that the market is not currently pricing in any rate cuts and we have yet to see a TRUE correction specifically in the TVC:DJI , TVC:NDQ , and the $SP:SPX. The image above shows an example of the 200 EMA significance and how it can be used to buy the dip at the right timing. PLEASE do not try to buy each top and bottom as it's virtually impossible to perfectly time the market. However, it should be suggested that you buy the day after the underlying bounces off the EMA. This is the most effective way to avoid a "fake out" in the trend. When this EMA it touched and rebounded, it could imply that a correction has taken place and that momentary downtrend is about to reverse to continue its previous bull trend. This could look as shown below. Just because it is shown on the chart doesn't make it so. Please keep in mind an equal and opposite possibility, where the EMA is broken through and a Bear market begins. Even though the odds for this are less than likely, the market simply not getting a rate cut could lead to this situation becoming a reality. In this market, nothing is impossible so be ready for everything. In conclusion, prepare for rate cut from not only the Fed, but ECB, and Bank of England as well. With this, we can expect rising markets as cash moves its way into risk assets. However, no one is a visionary, so if the markets don't get what they want (and we all know that it wants rate cuts more than anything), expect a lowering market and prepare to exit positions until a rebound appears reasonable.
SP:SPX
by addatheriver0808
Nasdaq - This Can Still Be A Fakeout!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting to slow down: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 A couple of months ago, the Nasdaq perfectly broke above the channel resistance trendline again, attempting the creation of another parabolic rally. However bulls are not flexing their muscles properly so this breakout attempt could still turn into a devastating fakeout. Levels to watch: $20.000, $17.000, $30.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQShort
by basictradingtv
37
Nasdaq - It All Comes Down To This Month!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is at a crucial breakout level: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 The Nasdaq rallied an incredible +25% over the past couple of months and is now actually also breaking a major resistance trendline towards the upside. This could still turn into a false breakout but if it doesn't, we will most likely see a flourishing stock market year of 2025 Levels to watch: $21.000, $28.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQLong
by basictradingtv
17