My goal going forward into 2025 is to only trade the Parabolic Trend trades and to master them. They happen roughly 5-8 times per month. Just catching 1 of these per month is all I need. Using 3% risk per one of these setups can deliver 15-20% gains.
The universal entry criteria is the 5 minute close back inside the 20sma.
The timeframe for entries are either 1 hour before the open, the open, and 1 hour after the open.
Profit targets are generally until the close or a range expansion target of 1-2 times the Asia/London box.
Below are multiple charts of the same setup with the green box being the ideal entry.
If I can only trade 1 trade PER MONTH, this is what I will focus on.
Not
Over the course of 40 days randomly chosen in the last three months, there have been 15 parabolic trend days both long and short. The Dow is not designed to be traded everyday. Only on a trend day is when the easy money is made. Why sit through hours of chop going nowhere?
Remember, you only need ONE of these A MONTH, to make significant gains.
Why take 50/50 trades and get beat up and inconsistent results?
You can literally not do anything all month and just hit ONE of these trades.
Not
2025 I am going into with a changed mindset. No longer will I feel the need to trade everyday to make an income, but to focus on hitting these parabolic trades when they present themselves with bigger size. Better to take 1 trade at 10X the size than to take 10 50/50 trades.
An example in October, you can hit just one of these trades and hit your goals for the whole month.
Not
If you resonate more with shorting, then focus on Bearish trending days and a parabolic short trade. Again, just this one trade can net 21% gains in the entire month and be done.
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