Real estate investment trusts have struggled this year, and now some traders may look for a bearish move.

The first pattern on today’s chart of the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund is the series of higher lows in May, June and August. XLRE has struggled to hold the line in the past week, which may suggest it’s a bearish flag in the longer-term downtrend starting in early 2022.

Second, notice the lower highs at two key points. In July, the REIT index failed to reclaim the June 2022 low around $38.63. It then slid below the July 18 low of $37.82 and has remained there since. Is this a double case of old support becoming new resistance?

Third, you have a large bearish engulfing candle on July 27.

Fourth, prices have consolidated below the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). That may suggest its longer-term downtrend is still in effect. (Interestingly, XLRE never had a “golden cross” this year.)

Finally, MACD has been on falling since late last month.

Standardized Performances for ETF mentioned above:
SPDR Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund® (XLRE):
1-year: -13.87%
5-years: +15.55%
10-years: N/A
(As of July 31, 2023)

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