XLF Head and Shoulders pattern

5 Nis

Earlier today I commented not to go long today because XLF hasn't completed it's pattern yet. This is the pattern I was talking abut, H&S on the daily chart. So unless congress does something over the weekend to rescind tariffs, XLF will complete this pattern Monday.

I didn't short it because I expect congress to do something, but it's a matter of when. When they do, the bounce will be so huge, it'll wipe out any put option. Not to mention, the pattern should complete Monday anyways. If the GOPs in congress don't get together and rescind tariffs, expect XLF to overshoot the target by a lot, lol.

Assuming no action by congress, expect market to tank Monday. No idea what happens on Tuesday.

5 Nis

Not

BTW, this is also why I was so bullish on XLF during the last bounce, I actually expected a H&S pattern and had a target in mind. Too bad I didn't bet on Trump to be stupid, lol.

5 Nis

Not

Congress does not appear to be in any real hurry to repeal the tariffs, GOP congressmen are willing to see if Trump's gambit works. Expect XLF to complete the pattern.

I think we'll hit oversold on the monthly chart, I posted a chart for ES (SPX futures).

No long positions until the market fully prices in the tariffs.

8 Nis

Not

PATTERN COMPLETED. You can see that it just hit the target this morning