BTCUSD: Bitcoin Trade Points From Here
After a surprisingly active weekend of over 750 points profit
(from 7579 before getting stopped out at 6825, stop was too
close by about 45 points or so here, sorry) Bitcoin has moved
back into neutral in the nearterm.
On the Bitmex chart Bitcoin is now moving in a 200 point
range bounded by near term resistance at 6860 and near term
support at 6660.
Its best hope now is for it to hold up until US opens and to
find buyers enough from there to break above 6815 on Futures
and 6860 here on Bitmex - the ensuing counter-rally should be
worth following back to 7056 and 7200-7289 at best if we see
it develop later.
But at the moment Bitcoin is drifting on lack of interest either
way, nearterm neutral but will remain vulnerable whilst
unable to regain and hold the 6860 line here.
It now has to break below 6600 to trigger a quick short
opportunity to 6481-6428 (often the only way to trade it is to
place orders and limits on Bitmex beforehand most likely. The spikes often show imprints in the trail where other traders
have done the same thing).
On the downside there are a series of closely positioned support levels beginning at 6660, then 6518-6481 and last-gasp support at 6428 - which must hold up today for Bitcoin bulls to stand any chance from here.
This might make trading the break lower trickier than usual so will need to take care if trading this part of the range.
But any failure to hold 6420 from this point today will likely flip Bitcoin down to 5887 next. So 6425 is most likely the point that swings and day traders are likely to start to short more aggressively when broken with stops either quite tight above, and no higher than 6620.