Spot Altın/ABD Doları
Güncellendi

Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 10

88
✅ Fundamental Analysis:
🔹 U.S. President Trump announced a 50% punitive tariff on Brazil starting August 1st, escalating global trade tensions and increasing risk premiums, thereby boosting safe-haven demand for gold.

🔹 The EU is accelerating trade talks with the U.S., but disagreements over the 25% tariff and quota mechanism raise uncertainty, which supports gold prices.

🔹 The Fed’s June meeting minutes show most officials oppose a rate cut in July, citing concerns that tariffs could raise inflation. However, markets still expect a 50bps rate cut in September.

🔹 Trump’s continued pressure on the Fed to cut rates, coupled with the Fed’s internal divisions, has heightened policy uncertainty and amplified gold’s volatility.

🔹 Tensions in the Middle East remain elevated, with the U.S. imposing additional sanctions on Iran. Geopolitical risks continue to fuel safe-haven flows into gold.

✅ Technical Analysis:
🔸 The 4-hour chart shows gold rebounding sharply after a pullback, forming a "zigzag correction" pattern characterized by a choppy retracement followed by a corrective rally and renewed pressure.

🔸 After retreating from the 3365 high to 3345, gold has established a descending channel. The upper boundary of this downtrend channel, which now acts as resistance, has shifted down to the 3328–3330 zone, which is also the key resistance during the Asian and European sessions today.

🔸 The market remains in a consolidation phase. The initial test of the 3328–3330 resistance zone during the Asian session is likely to be rejected. While gold is still in a rebound phase, it is not advisable to rush into short positions—instead, closely monitor how price reacts at this resistance area.

🔸 If gold fails to break and hold above 3328–3330, it should still be regarded as a rebound within a downtrend. However, if gold successfully breaks and stabilizes above this level, a bullish reversal may be underway. The next level to watch is 3345, which is a key inflection point between bullish and bearish sentiment. A firm break above this level would alter the current weak technical structure.

🔸 On the 1-hour chart, the moving averages remain bearishly aligned, with no signs of turning up yet, suggesting that the bullish momentum is still weak. Therefore, the short-term strategy remains to sell on rallies and buy on dips.

✅ Key Intraday Levels:
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3328–3330 (descending trendline resistance). If broken, target 3345.

🟢 Support Levels: 3282–3280 (strong support area). If breached, watch for further downside toward 3245.

✅ Intraday Trading Strategy:
🔰 If gold breaks and holds above 3328–3330, consider light long positions, with targets around 3345. Stop loss around 3315.

🔰 If 3328–3330 acts as resistance and price reverses, consider light short positions, with initial support at 3307. If this level is broken, the next targets are 3297–3280.

🔰 During the European and U.S. sessions, gold may rise initially and fall later. Without further fundamental catalysts, gold could retreat back toward the 3300 psychological level after testing resistance.

🔥 Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive and should be adjusted in real time based on market conditions, especially after key support or resistance levels are broken. If you need more accurate and timely trading signals, feel free to reach out to me directly!
İşlem aktif
🔥PERFECT!!! ✅GOLD SELL @ 3325-3330🎯
👏Congratulations to our members for running profits++180PIPS🔝🔝🔝
👍Each of our trading signals is heavily analyzed and verified to ensure maximum profits with minimum risk👍👍👍

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.