GOLD → Retest of the resistance range. Correction?

XAUUSD is recovering amid expectations of lower interest rates in the US, and the falling dollar is also supporting the price of the metal.



The dollar remains under pressure due to political uncertainty in the US, budget concerns, and trade risks. However, strong stock market growth and possible tariff measures against Japan and the EU are also affecting the market, adding volatility to gold
Powell will speak at the ECB forum, and markets are waiting for him to hint at a rate cut. Currently, the probability of a cut in July is estimated at 20%, and in September at 77%. A dovish tone will support gold, while a hawkish tone will increase pressure.
Technically, since the opening of the session, gold has exhausted its daily range (ATR), and there is a fairly high probability that after strong growth, the price may be stopped in the 3347-3350 zone.

Resistance levels: 3347, 3350
Support levels: 3312, 3295

If gold cannot continue to rise after breaking through 3347 and the price returns to the resistance zone, then in this case, we can consider a correction to 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci before a possible continuation of growth.

Best regards, R. Linda!