Date: August 15, 2024
Instrument: Gold (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: Daily Chart
Trade Type: Short Position (Pending Order at 2277.50)
1. Market Analysis:
Pattern Observed: An ending diagonal has been identified on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Pattern Characteristics: The ending diagonal typically appears in the final wave of a trend, often indicating exhaustion before a reversal. The pattern is characterized by converging trendlines that suggest a weakening bullish momentum.
2. Trade Setup:
Pending Order Placement: A pending short order has been placed.
Entry Level: The order is set at 2277.50, to capture the downside momentum when it start.
Stop Loss: The stop loss is placed above the recent high at 2511.78, to protect against a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Take Profit: The target is set at 2278.00, ideally at a key support zone or the previous wave low.
3. Risk Management:
Position Size: The position size is calculated to risk no more than 1-2% of trading capital, aligning with proper risk management practices.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aiming for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2, ensuring a favorable outcome even if the trade does not go as planned.
4. Outlook:
Bearish Bias: The ending diagonal suggests a bearish bias, with expectations of a trend reversal upon the pattern's completion. If the breakout occurs as anticipated, there could be significant downside potential.
Market Sentiment: The broader market sentiment is mixed, with gold facing both bullish and bearish pressures. The completion of the ending diagonal could tip the balance in favor of the bears.