Gold Hits the Ceiling and Slides — All Eyes on Support Zones

XAUUSD 4H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

OVERALL TREND
📉 DOWNTREND — A strong reversal occurred after tapping the Pivot High near 3,500, triggering heavy sell pressure as signaled by the dynamic resistance and confirmed by a sharp momentum shift.

🔴RESISTANCE ZONE

• 🔴 3,500.000 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH
  
• 🔴 3,473.328 — SELL ORDER 2
  
• 🔴 3,418.942 — SELL ORDER 1
  

🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS

• 🎯 3,315.400 — SELL ORDER & TP1
  
• 🎯 3,228.382 — SELL ORDER & TP2 | Mid-Pivot
  
• 🎯 3,164.297 — SELL ORDER & TP3
  
• 🎯 3,065.920 — EXIT SELL & TP4
  

🟢SUPPORT ZONE

• 🟢 3,041.597 — BUY Order 1 |
  
• 🟢 2,983.746 — BUY Order 2 |
  
• 🟢 2,956.560 — Dynamic Support | Reversal Watch
  

📉OSCILLATOR INSIGHTS

• RSI at 38.17 — Weak, nearing oversold
  
• Stoch %K at 11.77 — Near bottom, possible bounce
  
• CCI at −124 — Deeply oversold, buy signal building
  
• MACD & Momentum — Both signaling strong bearish continuation
  
• Stochastic RSI flat at 0.000 — Indicates a bottoming potential
  

📉MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY

• All 10–50 MAs are SELL signals — Short-term sentiment bearish
  
• 100 & 200 EMAs/SMA — Still supportive (BUY), suggesting macro trend not broken
  
• VWMA and Ichimoku Baseline confirm short-term bearish control
  

🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES

• Rejection from 3,500-level created a sharp fall back inside the previous range
  
• Short-term bearish control confirmed by a clean break below 3,315 (TP1)
  
• Major confluence area forming near 3,041–2,983 as next test zone
  
• Volume profile favors bounce if buyers defend 2,956–3,041 range
  

TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎

• 📉 Sell Bias active below 3,315 with deep pullback toward 3,041–2,983 likely
  
• 📈 High-Risk Long Reversal possible near 2,956 support if volume spikes and momentum shifts
  
• 👀 Watch Hull MA (3,278) — rising into falling price = potential compression setup
  

🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION

CONSERVATIVE (Trend-Following):
— Entry: Sell below 3,315
— TP: 3,228 / 3,164 / 3,065
— SL: Above 3,418

AGGRESSIVE (Reversal Scout):
— Entry: Buy at 3,041 / 2,983
— TP: 3,164 / 3,228
— SL: Below 2,956

“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”