XAU/USD: The Only Way Is Up!

If it appears as if the price of spot gold (XAU/USD) chalks up an all-time high every week, it is. In fact, the precious metal rallied northbound for eight consecutive weeks, and opposing bearish themes are few and far between. Geopolitical risks, uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans, and limited resistance until around US$3,000 (as shown on the daily chart) seat gold in a robust position. Another observation supporting gold’s position I feel worth highlighting is found on the monthly chart. Despite the Relative Strength Index testing resistance of 87.31-82.20, the next upside objective lies between US$3,264 and US$3,187, formed between 1.618% and 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratios, respectively. Goldman Sachs also recently updated their gold projection to US$3,100.

While monthly and daily flows suggest additional outperformance, the potential head and shoulders top pattern on the H1 timeframe indicates a move to the downside could be in store before further buying is seen. As you can see, the pattern’s neckline – taken from the low of US$2,918 – has yet to be engulfed, therefore there is still a chance the pattern will not complete and price continues to push higher from current levels. However, in the event the yellow metal does engulf the neckline, it is common for chart pattern enthusiasts to apply a downside profit objective by extending the value between the head and the neckline from the breakout point.