12 MONTH BASIS WITH SUPER DETAILING #9, 3180-3200 BEFORE 4/3

30 Mar

So I wrote these notes only for my followers before the open:

>> 5) while working on this (this post), I found that there is one legitimate outcome
>> 6) that I have not eliminated
>> 7) and that is SAME MOVE to November, BUT 2X SPEED
>> 8) that would mean 3900 by 5/15, AND 2600 BY 7/30
>> 9) if this is to be the case
>> 10) then we would hit 3245 by this coming Wednesday 4/2
>> 11) this is soooo legit that, whatever route I end up with post #9
>> 12) that route for post #9 would be PLAN A
>> 13) and 3245 by 4/2 would be PLAN A2
>> 14) I say this to indicate the seriousness of this outcome
>> 15) that is to say calling it PLAN B is a bad idea
>> 16) unless I can eliminate it by Monday

... well, I can eliminate only parts of it. What I have now is much faster than posts 6, 7, and 8. But it looks like the following will happen:

1) 3110 before London tonight
2) 3072 in New York on Monday
3) THEN RUN UP TO 3180-3200 BY NY OPEN ON 04/02
4) FOLLOWED BY 100-125 POINT REVERSAL BY END OF DAY 04/03

This has strong implications of what is favored to happen later:
1) high of this year now moves to FIRST HALF OF JUNE AT 3965
2) low of this year now moves to SECOND HALF OF SEPTEMBER AT 2617
3) and furiously rebounding to 3600 again by/before Valentine's Day, 2026 (02/15/26)

Will add when I have time.

30 Mar

Not

03/30/25 SO HERE IS THE CURRENT BASE CASE UNTIL PROVEN OTHERWISE:

30 Mar

Not

6) continuing in chart above, so we were previously yellow
7) NOW WE ARE GRAY
8) that means FURIOUS MOVE TO 3965 BY FIRST HALF OF THIS JUNE
9) in other words, before June 18TH FOMC
10) then we will be followed by an even more furious move to 2617
11) the charts above has this in SEPTEMBER
12) BY 09/26

31 Mar

Not

03/30, 9:48 PM ET, so play chart at top....
1) that's the first move already
2) but this is going to cause some issues for 16-hour window
3) like this:

31 Mar

Not

03/30, 9:48 PM ET, so play chart at top....
1) that's the first move already
2) but this is going to cause some issues for 16-hour window
3) like this:

31 Mar

Not

4) so long story short
5) the next buying opportunity is Monday afternoon
6) and Monday night

31 Mar

Not

10:53 PM ET, THE IMPORTANT THING IS THIS:
1) despite breaking 3100s just now,
2) my mind is hardly concerned with immediate price action
3) but I can say this...
4) 3107 just now means 3125 tomorrow
5) but I also said that 3125 would hit Monday in closing notes of PART 8
6) so what has changed?
7) what has changed is the speed of 3180-3200
8) what this means is that even though 2-WAY VOL WILL EXPLODE AFTER 3200
9) that is if price even makes it this week like stalling at 3185..
10) the 2/11 ceiling will drop to 3225-3250
11) but more importantly 3370-3410 will hit BEFORE MAY
12) in other words, late April
13) what this also means is that 3965 will come in first week or second of week of June
14) because there is NO SIDEWAYS STALL AFTER 3400s
15) so the only pattern to fit trend is "RUNAWAY RUNAWAY"

31 Mar

Not

16) be aware that means 10-11 weeks to almost 4000
17) so at some point 100 point swings become "par for the course"
18) so having a strong CORE LONG POSITION ABSOLUTELY CRUCIAL
19) so be aware

31 Mar

Not

31 Mar

Not

IF you want more of this material, the link to "12 MONTH BASIS WITH SUPER DETAILING" group is ...
1) on this page
2) top of page before intro if you are on laptop/Chromebook/pc
3) bottom of page before comments if you are phone/mobile
4) it's free until June 6th
5) what happens on June 6th?
6) either there's demand for it and I keep writing
7) or there's not and I am pretty much done with this
8) personally, I don't care if gold moves from 2600 to 26000
9) I already know what to do with that
10) but I am tired of "paying for the right to forecast"

31 Mar

Not

11) especially when I get paid when to NOT DO THIS (meaning to do something else)
12) so gold is trading 3111 as I type and I have the highest value 6 year window for any asset class
13) and every damn day I want to stop doing this
14) have a good one, and hope tomorrow brings a reason to keep writing

31 Mar

Not

03/31, 2:13 AM, 3126.XX and this is too early for tonight
a) watch out for retracing here
b) price is at the limit of a number of trends and patterns
c) any thing past this point is dangerous for today

31 Mar

Not

2:29 AM ET, 3118.XX and here's what we have...
1) NY session tomorrow is critical for how fast we get to 3333
2) if price does not retrace meaningfully...
3) that would raise the floor to 3085-3100
4) this causes a a number of complicated problems for short term forecasting
5) it would however, put us strongly in the June high- September low scenario
6) and it's not close
7) and it's not obvious to me what the 4/11 high is anymore

31 Mar

Not

8) unless bears make it to 3060
9) a new short term draft would be needed immediately

31 Mar

Not

31 Mar

Not

1) from my phone in chart above
2) so, that's the weakest version of this move right now
3) and it's so NOT obvious we get a move to 3095
4) without putting in ONE MORE HIGH FIRST

31 Mar

Not

31 Mar

Not

Red is base case now in chart above.

31 Mar

Not

31 Mar

Not

4) continuing in chart above, this means several things
5) first when I thought the channel that ...
6) "has held price for 100 years will not break this year"
7) THAT IS NO LONGER OBVIOUS .
8) this is the reason 3879-2860 is now 3965-2617
9) and if I have to make "RUMORS OF A PIVOT, RESURRECTION PART 2"...
10) THE FIRST BACK UP FOR 3965-2617 is 4141-2720
11) what is after 4141???
12) the unthinkable...

31 Mar

Not

11:15, I MEANT TO POST THIS NOTE 80 MIN AGO:

31 Mar

Not

31 Mar

Not

5) continuing in chart above, POST #9 (that you are reading now)
6) IS USELESS NOW
7) I need POST #10 FROM HERE TO 4/11
8) we are aiming 3285+/-40, THAT WE KNOW
9) the rest is not obvious

31 Mar

Not

12:37 PM ET, 03/31.. no, THERE WILL NOT BE A BIG RETRACE THERE NOW ...
10) the move, generally, is right
11) I just need reconfimation

31 Mar

Not

AND HERE IS CONFIRMATION POST #10