Oil WTI: At a critical juncture

15 Eyl 2016

If we don't see bearish follow through within the next 3 sessions we can expect further upside in crude.
I'm long small with a wide stop, and looking to add and tighten the stops soon.

Good luck,

Ivan Labrie.

15 Eyl 2016

Not

Good progress. I'll add to longs aggressively on a break of today's high after the close, and will tighten the stop loss to today's low.

16 Eyl 2016

Not

Testing lower levels of support. I'm out but will reenter on a new daily high.

16 Eyl 2016

İşlem elle kapatılmış

19 Eyl 2016

İşlem aktif

Clearly, bulls now in control, let's see for how long.

21 Eyl 2016

İşlem elle kapatılmış

21 Eyl 2016

Not

(oil could remain sideways, in a triangle here, but, if it breaks resistance above, it could rally really strongly)

This is when fundamentals kick in, OPEC members will likely fight for market share with higher prices, so we can expect to remain range-bound for a long time.

21 Eyl 2016

Not

(buy airlines)

23 Eyl 2016

İşlem elle kapatılmış

Good spot to exit oil longs, maybe half, and buy back lower.

23 Eyl 2016

Not

Good time for both the buy, and the sell. We have to wait for 3 days, which matches the open after the OPEC news date.

23 Eyl 2016

Not

The Obama news might create some volatility: zerohedge.com/news/2016-09-23/siding-saudi-arabia-obama-vetoes-sept-11-bill-passed-unanimously-congress

I'll be looking closely at oil, to jump back in the long. I expect the trend to turn wildly bullish after we break up from this range. For now, it seems like the monthly resistance needs time to break:



It can break it by the end of the month, or in 2 more months, as a minimum, it can also take more time than that, but when it breaks up, it has between 46% and 140% upside. So, buy dips to the bottom of the range, sell partially at the top.
Price probably won't go too far down due to fundamentals.

23 Eyl 2016

Not

*buy dips at the bottom of the range

24 Eyl 2016

Not

bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-19/at-500-million-a-pop-it-s-an-oil-gamble-that-has-no-precedent

This might be relevant.