CRUDE OIL ON A SUPER BEAR TREND CYCLE?

14 Kas 2018

If you have been paying attention to oil then you would have noticed prices dropped from $76 to $54 in the space of a month and even more impressive is the very recent drop of $6+ in the span of around 24hrs, which was a jaw dropper for me. Just 2 months ago when market was still slowly climbing uphill I had outlined support areas for when market goes into retracement, which can also serve as resistance areas depending on your outlook. Little did I know we were soon to go into a huge and fast bear trend. Now as market has been dropping, it has smashed through much (though not all) of my support/resistance lines which are usually depicted with yellow lines on my chart.

So upon observing this major drop, I had to take a closer look at market beyond the daily here to see what weekly and monthly depicted and I saw the bigger picture in motion. Prices were exactly at these levels in November last year so current prices is not a coincidence. Market is following its steps back and as a super bear trend, the chances of market to continue on path to its history looks very much likely.

First yellow at $45

2nd yellow line at $41

3rd yellow line at $33

4th yellow line at $25


Here is a chart i made putting together with a few well-crafted indicators by some great creators on tradingview. It allows you to tail trail oil market intraday on the 3 minute view. I hope many of you find this helpful, i use it to trade myself :)
tradingview.com/chart/rKIgnLER/


Furthers Tips;

Alternative to trading Crude Oil is Brent Oil, this market moves like an identical twin to Crude they mirror images of eachother. Polar opposite to both markets is Natural Gas, this market moves in the complete opposite to Crude and Brent atleast 90% of the time so although I am yet to analyze NG market, it has not failed to meet expectations in contrast to crude movement in the past year of my observations.

Also Apple Market is another market I've been trading the past 2 months, prices have been sinking and I see a bottom of 160s which should playout within the next 4months so watch that space closely. You can either get in on further drop or if not confident then wait for bottom and get in to buy market up when it gets back to bull trend.

If you have enough funds and want to be like Warren Buffett, invest and HODL for the long term, then look for markets that have bottomed out, get in and hold for years because the only way is up, one of many I spotted is Platinum, which i will link my chart to this post, feel free to check it out.

Oh and the period for crypto to take a turn for the upside is upon us again so look into that. If you notice, many markets are on a superbear cycle and I predicted beginning of this year that markets are due for a crash and once this happens, much of the money will jump into crypto. Now call me intuitive but I see this has started playing out in the past few months. Look at major stock markets! If it helps, I am a hodler in Tron, Bitcoin, Ripple and few others via binance platform.


DISCLAIMER;
Do set stop losses when trading but be generous with how much room you allow for this due to candle wicks and there is also the possibility to hedge yourself, for more confident traders.

All comments and questions welcome, if curious about indicators I use then feel free to inquire. IF YOU SUPPORT MY IDEAS THEN LIKE, FOLLOW & SHARE.

14 Kas 2018

Not

**correction, 3rd yellow line is higher than should be, should be sitting at $33, not sure why it published this way, sorry about that. Now at $33 you can see where the super bull trend began in this market history and formed a very obvious doji which the wick of touched $25 and was signal of trend reversal as market just finished a bear trend then.

P.S. on the external link for double-top , just scroll down some to get to the technical analysis chart, some very informative tech analysis terms and its meanings if you hover/click them.