USDJPY trading strategy in the last days of the year
Japan's Finance Minister: Appropriate Actions to Be Taken for Excessive Exchange Rate Volatility
The Minister declined to comment on the likelihood of achieving the basic budget surplus target in the next fiscal year.
Recently, he expressed concerns about strong and unilateral exchange rate fluctuations. Stability in exchange rates is crucial, reflecting the actual economic conditions. He highlighted particular concern over exchange rate fluctuations driven by speculative activities. Japan will take appropriate actions if exchange rates exhibit excessive or abnormal volatility. These remarks indicate a stronger verbal intervention. The USD/JPY rate has retraced to lower levels during trading sessions.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to maintain its policy rate at 0.25% during the meeting held on December 18–19. However, the possibility of a rate hike cannot be ruled out if the yen weakens significantly, with the USD/JPY currently hovering below 154.
The meeting also announced a comprehensive review of the BoJ's past monetary policies, aiming to assess both the strengths and weaknesses of its ultra-loose monetary policy. Additionally, the BoJ may outline plans to gradually reduce its ETF holdings starting in 2026.
Asian Market Update: USD/JPY Drops to 157.50
The USD/JPY pair touched 158.09 earlier today, marking its highest level since mid-July 2024. However, it has since dropped to 157.50 following Tokyo's December inflation data, which accelerated for the second consecutive month. At the same time, the Japanese government announced cuts in utility subsidies.
In China, industrial profits continued to decline for the fourth consecutive month, with a 7.3% drop in November—less severe than the 10% drop in October. On a year-to-date basis through November, profits fell 4.7%, reflecting persistent challenges in the country's industrial sector.
Trade Recommendations
Buy: 157.300 - 157.100
Stop Loss (SL): 154.800
Sell: 159.100 - 159.300
Stop Loss (SL): 159.600
For now, USD/JPY is expected to complete a minor corrective downward structure before resuming its strong upward trend. Traders should take note of quick profit-taking on sell positions and look for buy opportunities near support levels. The USD (DXY) remains robust and is anticipated to continue its strong upward trajectory into next year.
The Minister declined to comment on the likelihood of achieving the basic budget surplus target in the next fiscal year.
Recently, he expressed concerns about strong and unilateral exchange rate fluctuations. Stability in exchange rates is crucial, reflecting the actual economic conditions. He highlighted particular concern over exchange rate fluctuations driven by speculative activities. Japan will take appropriate actions if exchange rates exhibit excessive or abnormal volatility. These remarks indicate a stronger verbal intervention. The USD/JPY rate has retraced to lower levels during trading sessions.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to maintain its policy rate at 0.25% during the meeting held on December 18–19. However, the possibility of a rate hike cannot be ruled out if the yen weakens significantly, with the USD/JPY currently hovering below 154.
The meeting also announced a comprehensive review of the BoJ's past monetary policies, aiming to assess both the strengths and weaknesses of its ultra-loose monetary policy. Additionally, the BoJ may outline plans to gradually reduce its ETF holdings starting in 2026.
Asian Market Update: USD/JPY Drops to 157.50
The USD/JPY pair touched 158.09 earlier today, marking its highest level since mid-July 2024. However, it has since dropped to 157.50 following Tokyo's December inflation data, which accelerated for the second consecutive month. At the same time, the Japanese government announced cuts in utility subsidies.
In China, industrial profits continued to decline for the fourth consecutive month, with a 7.3% drop in November—less severe than the 10% drop in October. On a year-to-date basis through November, profits fell 4.7%, reflecting persistent challenges in the country's industrial sector.
Trade Recommendations
Buy: 157.300 - 157.100
Stop Loss (SL): 154.800
Sell: 159.100 - 159.300
Stop Loss (SL): 159.600
For now, USD/JPY is expected to complete a minor corrective downward structure before resuming its strong upward trend. Traders should take note of quick profit-taking on sell positions and look for buy opportunities near support levels. The USD (DXY) remains robust and is anticipated to continue its strong upward trajectory into next year.
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❗️ DISCLAIMER: The content shared in the training program is designed for educational and informational purposes only, so the program is not a financial advice or a solution.
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