USDJPY Long Forecast Monetary Policy Statement | 10th March 2023

Fundamental Backdrop
1. The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged, showing a very big interest rate differential between JPY and USD, weakening the JPY.
2. There are also signs that inflation has sustained above BOJ’s 2% target.

Technical Confluences
1. The overall bias for USDJPY on the H4 chart is bullish . To add confluence to our bias, price is above the Ichimoku cloud .
2. Near-term resistance at 137.600.
3. Minor support at 136.000.

Idea
With my bias on the USD to still be bullish , combined with the weak fundamental backdrop on JPY, I expect price to head towards the near-term resistance at 137.600.






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